Standard Chartered is issuing Indian Depository Receipts (IDRs) that will allow Indian investors to invest in the company. The bank stands to benefit from emerging market recovery as Asia accounted for 83% of its profits in 2009. It has a strong presence in growing markets like India, Hong Kong, and Singapore. The bank has superior returns on assets and equity compared to its peers. The IDR issue provides exposure to a globally diversified bank that is well positioned in high-growth emerging markets.
Indo Thai Securities Ltd is issuing an IPO of 4 million shares at a price band of Rs. 70-84 per share to list on the NSE and BSE. The IPO opens from September 30 to October 5, 2011. At the cap price of Rs. 84, the IPO would raise Rs. 33.6 crore and value the company at Rs. 84 crore. The IPO is expensive compared to peers at a PE of 70.09x based on FY11 earnings. The summary recommends investors skip the issue due to intense competition, limited growth prospects, and the global economic slowdown.
The document projects that the favorable economic and market conditions seen in late 2009 will continue into the first half of 2010, driven by ongoing global monetary and fiscal stimulus ("tailwinds"). It forecasts GDP growth of 3-5% in the first half and 2-3% in the second half as stimulus fades. Investors are advised to favor cyclical and risky assets in the first half as tailwinds remain, but shift to more defensive positions in the second half as headwinds from expiring stimulus emerge. Risks to the outlook include a potential renewed economic slowdown as stimulus is removed.
The document projects that the favorable economic and market conditions seen in late 2009 will continue into the first half of 2010, driven by ongoing global monetary and fiscal stimulus ("tailwinds"). This stimulus is expected to foster continued economic growth and a positive environment for investors. Specifically, the document forecasts:
- GDP growth in the 3-5% range for the first half of 2010, supported by business spending, inventory restocking, and solid corporate balance sheets, while the consumer contributes modest growth.
- The Federal Reserve continues quantitative easing and keeping interest rates near zero through the first quarter of 2010.
- China maintains stimulative policies, driving regional growth.
- A modest dollar decline boosts
ICICI Prudential Value Fund-Series 1 Presentationiciciprumf
1) The document describes a new close-ended equity fund called ICICI Prudential Value Fund Series 1 that will invest in undervalued stocks using a value investing strategy.
2) The fund will take a focused approach, investing in 25-30 high conviction stocks, in order to benefit more from potential price increases in these stocks compared to broader funds.
3) It will use fundamental analysis to identify stocks trading at low price-to-earnings or price-to-book valuations, with strong dividends, and attractive returns on equity and capital employed. The strategy aims to find good companies at reasonable prices.
SBI Magnum Multicap Fund: An Open-ended Growth Scheme - Sep 16SBI Mutual Fund
SBI Magnum Multicap Fund provides investors with opportunities for long-term growth in capital along with the liquidity of an open-ended scheme through an active management of investments in a diversified basket of equity stocks spanning the entire market capitalization spectrum and in debt and money market instruments. To learn more about this mutual fund check SBI Mutual Fund page https://www.sbimf.com/Products/EquitySchemes/Magnum_Multicap_Fund.aspx
February was a significant and on the balance positive month for all Indian markets as well as the Indian economy. Here's a sneak peek at the markets and other facts required for the upcoming month.
The document discusses two recent events: the Indian budget and Fidelity's decision to exit its Indian mutual fund business by selling it to L&T Finance. Regarding the budget, the author notes it was underwhelming and did little to benefit retail investors. On Fidelity's exit, the author counsels patience for investors in Fidelity funds and to await communication from L&T on fund mergers before deciding whether to exit. The newsletter also debuts new equity advisory and recommended fund lists sections.
Indo Thai Securities Ltd is issuing an IPO of 4 million shares at a price band of Rs. 70-84 per share to list on the NSE and BSE. The IPO opens from September 30 to October 5, 2011. At the cap price of Rs. 84, the IPO would raise Rs. 33.6 crore and value the company at Rs. 84 crore. The IPO is expensive compared to peers at a PE of 70.09x based on FY11 earnings. The summary recommends investors skip the issue due to intense competition, limited growth prospects, and the global economic slowdown.
The document projects that the favorable economic and market conditions seen in late 2009 will continue into the first half of 2010, driven by ongoing global monetary and fiscal stimulus ("tailwinds"). It forecasts GDP growth of 3-5% in the first half and 2-3% in the second half as stimulus fades. Investors are advised to favor cyclical and risky assets in the first half as tailwinds remain, but shift to more defensive positions in the second half as headwinds from expiring stimulus emerge. Risks to the outlook include a potential renewed economic slowdown as stimulus is removed.
The document projects that the favorable economic and market conditions seen in late 2009 will continue into the first half of 2010, driven by ongoing global monetary and fiscal stimulus ("tailwinds"). This stimulus is expected to foster continued economic growth and a positive environment for investors. Specifically, the document forecasts:
- GDP growth in the 3-5% range for the first half of 2010, supported by business spending, inventory restocking, and solid corporate balance sheets, while the consumer contributes modest growth.
- The Federal Reserve continues quantitative easing and keeping interest rates near zero through the first quarter of 2010.
- China maintains stimulative policies, driving regional growth.
- A modest dollar decline boosts
ICICI Prudential Value Fund-Series 1 Presentationiciciprumf
1) The document describes a new close-ended equity fund called ICICI Prudential Value Fund Series 1 that will invest in undervalued stocks using a value investing strategy.
2) The fund will take a focused approach, investing in 25-30 high conviction stocks, in order to benefit more from potential price increases in these stocks compared to broader funds.
3) It will use fundamental analysis to identify stocks trading at low price-to-earnings or price-to-book valuations, with strong dividends, and attractive returns on equity and capital employed. The strategy aims to find good companies at reasonable prices.
SBI Magnum Multicap Fund: An Open-ended Growth Scheme - Sep 16SBI Mutual Fund
SBI Magnum Multicap Fund provides investors with opportunities for long-term growth in capital along with the liquidity of an open-ended scheme through an active management of investments in a diversified basket of equity stocks spanning the entire market capitalization spectrum and in debt and money market instruments. To learn more about this mutual fund check SBI Mutual Fund page https://www.sbimf.com/Products/EquitySchemes/Magnum_Multicap_Fund.aspx
February was a significant and on the balance positive month for all Indian markets as well as the Indian economy. Here's a sneak peek at the markets and other facts required for the upcoming month.
The document discusses two recent events: the Indian budget and Fidelity's decision to exit its Indian mutual fund business by selling it to L&T Finance. Regarding the budget, the author notes it was underwhelming and did little to benefit retail investors. On Fidelity's exit, the author counsels patience for investors in Fidelity funds and to await communication from L&T on fund mergers before deciding whether to exit. The newsletter also debuts new equity advisory and recommended fund lists sections.
This document discusses a new fund called the DSP Floater Fund. The fund aims to generate returns from periodic accruals from sovereign positions, capital gains/losses from sovereign and paid overnight index swap positions, and benefits from both active and passive fund management through its strategy of active management of paid overnight index swap positions and a roll down strategy for government securities. The fund seeks to invest only in sovereign securities and paid positions in overnight index swaps to avoid credit risk. It aims to help investors navigate rising and falling interest rate cycles by using gains from government securities in falling cycles and gains from paid OIS positions in rising cycles. The document discusses the fund's strategy, risks, and positioning based on current spreads between government securities and
AFC Asia Frontier Fund Presentation 2015.04.10Thomas Hugger
- Asia Frontier Capital manages the AFC Asia Frontier Fund, which invests in equities in Asian frontier markets such as Bangladesh, Cambodia, Iraq, and others.
- The fund offers diversification benefits and low correlations with global markets due to its focus on under-researched frontier markets in Asia.
- Asian frontier markets provide attractive valuations relative to other emerging markets, with lower price-to-earnings and price-to-book ratios as well as higher dividend yields.
The Trophy LV fund is an Asia-focused long/short equity fund managed by Winnington Capital. It aims for a 20% annualized return with low volatility below 10% and maintains net exposure between -30% to 30%. The fund uses proprietary valuation and quantitative models to identify investment opportunities. Since inception in 2007, it has returned 25% compared to a 21% decline for the MSCI Asia Index. In 2009, the fund returned 34% with 90% of gains from alpha. The manager's preferences include Chinese, Indian, and Korean stocks and it aims to raise the fund to $500 million.
The document provides analysis of the Indian stock market. It discusses that global concerns led to some correction in global markets on Friday. The Nifty futures showed profit-booking and consolidated between 7510-7550 before breaking out and closing with a gain of 1.35%. Several stocks such as ONGC, Reliance Capital, CESC, Canara Bank and Tata Motors looked strong. Analysis of options data suggested strength in the market. The breakout has significance for the market to resume its uptrend, with 7700 and 8000 levels being key resistance levels.
The document provides an overview of the Indonesian capital market or Pasar Modal Indonesia. It discusses the structure of the Indonesian capital market, including the roles of the Indonesia Stock Exchange, clearing houses, custodians, brokers, and other supporting institutions. It also outlines how the capital market provides a source of long-term financing for companies and an investment opportunity for investors. In addition, the document summarizes recent trading activity and market performance updates from the Indonesia Stock Exchange.
This report initiates coverage on Thomas Cook (India) Ltd with a "Buy" rating and target price of Rs 70, representing 23% upside potential. Key points:
1) Thomas Cook has a strong presence in the highly profitable forex business, which contributes ~50% of revenues. It is a leading player with regulatory advantages.
2) Revenue is expected to grow at a CAGR of 15% from CY11-13, led by forex (11% CAGR) and outbound travel (17% CAGR).
3) The company has a large distribution network in India and plans to expand further in tier 2/3 cities. EBITDA margins are expected to expand
The ICICI Prudential Focused Bluechip Fund has consistently outperformed its benchmark index 11 out of 12 quarters since 2008. It has an average outperformance of 5.39% in down markets compared to 1.04% in up markets. The fund outperforms other large cap funds over 1 and 3 year periods. It takes moderately risky positions in large cap stocks from sectors like banking, IT, automobiles and metals. The fund's use of derivatives and focus on stable sectors helps balance the risks in its portfolio.
Special report equities - get ready for a bright futureNooresh Merani
The document discusses technical indicators pointing to a potential start of major bull markets in global and Indian stock indices in 2013. It notes that several US indices have broken above resistance levels from 2007 highs and are setting up for multi-year rallies. European indices are also showing signs of bottoms being in place or bull markets starting. Indian indices like Nifty and Bank Nifty are reaching oversold levels on technical indicators like RSI, which has previously signaled durable bottoms and subsequent rallies of 10% or more. The document argues accumulating Indian stocks in the coming weeks could provide large risk-reward opportunities.
Yuta Inoue - Session 1: Commercial Development and Airport Real-EstateGlobal Airport Cities
1) MFMA Development SDN BHD is a joint venture between Mitsui Fudosan and Malaysia Airports to develop an outlet mall project called Mitsui Outlet Park KLIA on land owned by Malaysia Airports.
2) Phase 1 will include approximately 25,000 square meters of retail space and 140 shops, with construction starting in late 2013 and opening in early 2015.
3) The final master plan envisions expanding to 46,300 square meters and 260 shops across Phase 2 and 3.
The document discusses how mutual funds can beat market volatility. It identifies two mutual funds that have done so: ICICI Prudential Focussed Bluechip and Franklin India Bluechip. ICICI Prudential Focussed Bluechip has outperformed its benchmark 11 out of 12 quarters and performed better in bear markets. Franklin India Bluechip has outperformed its benchmark 40 out of 70 quarters and also performed better in bear markets. Both funds have consistently outperformed other large cap funds over long periods of time.
Right Horizons market outlook for 2016 - stay investedRight Horizons
This document discusses India's economic outlook and the performance of various mutual fund portfolios. It notes that India is expected to grow at around 7-8% through 2020 according to Goldman Sachs. Several factors are positive for 2016, including lower commodity prices and higher infrastructure spending. The document highlights the performance of various mutual fund portfolios managed by the company, showing they have outperformed comparable funds over various time periods. It sets a target for the Sensex to end 2016 over 30,000, representing 22% upside from current levels.
The newsletter discusses the strong growth in the stock market from the previous Diwali to the current Diwali. It notes that analysts believe the bull run will continue for the next 4-5 years, though returns may slow. It advises remaining invested in equities but choosing the right mix of stocks and funds. It also profiles ESG funds, flexicap funds, and business cycle funds as good investment options in the current market. It highlights the inspiring story of an investor who achieved his goal of accumulating over Rs. 1 crore through systematic SIP investments over 10 years for his daughter's education.
A welcome respite in softening of commodity prices provided some much- needed positive sentiment to the Indian equity markets last month.Most benchmarks recovered quite well from their early lows and are showing definite signs of positive near term movement.
1) The Singapore Exchange (SGX) operates the stock market in Singapore, listing and trading stocks of over 700 companies with a total market capitalization of $650 billion.
2) SGX was formed in 1999 through the merger of Singapore's existing stock, futures, and options exchanges. It has since expanded through acquisitions and opening representative offices in other financial centers.
3) In addition to its core functions of facilitating stock trading, SGX also oversees derivatives and commodities markets, and has strategic investments in other Asian stock exchanges to boost regional connectivity.
The market indices in India declined slightly on September 23, 2010. The Sensex and Nifty fell by 0.3% each, closing below 20,000 and 6,000 levels respectively, as European stocks also declined. Some frontline stocks like Maruti Suzuki and HDFC gained 1-4% while others like JP Associates and RCOM lost 2-3%. Midcap stocks like JSL Ltd. and Triveni Engg. rose 5-17% but others like Geekay Finance fell 4-5%. The trends for the day will depend on whether the Nifty trades above 5,992 levels in the first half hour.
Hussar & Co. is an investment banking firm focused on advising corporate clients in emerging Europe, including Eastern Europe, Russia, and CIS countries. It provides strategic advisory, mergers and acquisitions advisory, and capital formation services to empower its clients with access to global capital markets and support their growth, liquidity, and strategic transactional objectives. Hussar's team has decades of experience in the region and an extensive network of investors globally.
The document provides an overview and assessment of various global markets and asset classes in May 2012. It notes that the brief period of calm in European markets following ECB intervention had ended, with concerns shifting from Greece to problems in Spain. Fixed income investments are viewed negatively due to high debt levels and political uncertainty in Europe. Property prices are seen as neutral overall, with weakness in some areas offset by strength in others like Asia and London. US and Japanese equities are given negative and positive outlooks respectively, based on country-specific economic factors.
This document provides a summary of events happening at the Institute of Management, Nirma University (IMNU) in Ahmedabad, India.
1) IMNU had a very successful placement week, with final year students receiving highest salaries over Rs. 11 lakh per year on average, compared to Rs. 5.5 lakh last year. Major recruiters included IBM, Deloitte, Vodafone, Idea, HP, Infosys, Ashok Leyland and IOC.
2) The festivals Richter and Perspective are scheduled at IMNU in December. Richter is a cultural festival while Perspective involves competitions in areas like case studies, debates and presentations. Management institutions from
- The document discusses a mutual fund newsletter that introduces new portfolio analysis and goal tracking features on the FundsIndia investment platform.
- The new features allow investors to view the asset allocation of each portfolio, set goals for portfolio values at future dates, and track progress towards goals.
- The newsletter explains that these features are aimed at helping investors develop financial plans and track their progress towards different goals over time.
- The key Indian stock market indices, Nifty and Sensex, saw minor declines of 0.23% and 0.26% respectively at market close. The top gainers were IDFC, HINDUNILVR, and HEROHONDA, while the top losers were RELCAPITAL, RPOWER, and RCOM. Most sectors saw declines with the exception of the consumer goods sector, which saw a gain of 0.62%.
- In the coming week, markets are expected to see volatility due to upcoming derivative contract expiries. Technical indicators suggest the possibility of a minor pullback after recent gains. Support levels for the indices are seen at 17,278-17,141 for Sensex and 5
Ambuja Cements reported a 52.2% year-over-year decline in net profit for the third quarter of 2010 due to lower sales realizations and higher raw material and power costs. However, despatches increased 6.1% year-over-year. Going forward, analysts expect capacity additions to drive higher volume growth but margins may remain under pressure due to increasing costs. At current price levels, the stock is considered fairly valued based on estimated future earnings and operating metrics.
This document discusses a new fund called the DSP Floater Fund. The fund aims to generate returns from periodic accruals from sovereign positions, capital gains/losses from sovereign and paid overnight index swap positions, and benefits from both active and passive fund management through its strategy of active management of paid overnight index swap positions and a roll down strategy for government securities. The fund seeks to invest only in sovereign securities and paid positions in overnight index swaps to avoid credit risk. It aims to help investors navigate rising and falling interest rate cycles by using gains from government securities in falling cycles and gains from paid OIS positions in rising cycles. The document discusses the fund's strategy, risks, and positioning based on current spreads between government securities and
AFC Asia Frontier Fund Presentation 2015.04.10Thomas Hugger
- Asia Frontier Capital manages the AFC Asia Frontier Fund, which invests in equities in Asian frontier markets such as Bangladesh, Cambodia, Iraq, and others.
- The fund offers diversification benefits and low correlations with global markets due to its focus on under-researched frontier markets in Asia.
- Asian frontier markets provide attractive valuations relative to other emerging markets, with lower price-to-earnings and price-to-book ratios as well as higher dividend yields.
The Trophy LV fund is an Asia-focused long/short equity fund managed by Winnington Capital. It aims for a 20% annualized return with low volatility below 10% and maintains net exposure between -30% to 30%. The fund uses proprietary valuation and quantitative models to identify investment opportunities. Since inception in 2007, it has returned 25% compared to a 21% decline for the MSCI Asia Index. In 2009, the fund returned 34% with 90% of gains from alpha. The manager's preferences include Chinese, Indian, and Korean stocks and it aims to raise the fund to $500 million.
The document provides analysis of the Indian stock market. It discusses that global concerns led to some correction in global markets on Friday. The Nifty futures showed profit-booking and consolidated between 7510-7550 before breaking out and closing with a gain of 1.35%. Several stocks such as ONGC, Reliance Capital, CESC, Canara Bank and Tata Motors looked strong. Analysis of options data suggested strength in the market. The breakout has significance for the market to resume its uptrend, with 7700 and 8000 levels being key resistance levels.
The document provides an overview of the Indonesian capital market or Pasar Modal Indonesia. It discusses the structure of the Indonesian capital market, including the roles of the Indonesia Stock Exchange, clearing houses, custodians, brokers, and other supporting institutions. It also outlines how the capital market provides a source of long-term financing for companies and an investment opportunity for investors. In addition, the document summarizes recent trading activity and market performance updates from the Indonesia Stock Exchange.
This report initiates coverage on Thomas Cook (India) Ltd with a "Buy" rating and target price of Rs 70, representing 23% upside potential. Key points:
1) Thomas Cook has a strong presence in the highly profitable forex business, which contributes ~50% of revenues. It is a leading player with regulatory advantages.
2) Revenue is expected to grow at a CAGR of 15% from CY11-13, led by forex (11% CAGR) and outbound travel (17% CAGR).
3) The company has a large distribution network in India and plans to expand further in tier 2/3 cities. EBITDA margins are expected to expand
The ICICI Prudential Focused Bluechip Fund has consistently outperformed its benchmark index 11 out of 12 quarters since 2008. It has an average outperformance of 5.39% in down markets compared to 1.04% in up markets. The fund outperforms other large cap funds over 1 and 3 year periods. It takes moderately risky positions in large cap stocks from sectors like banking, IT, automobiles and metals. The fund's use of derivatives and focus on stable sectors helps balance the risks in its portfolio.
Special report equities - get ready for a bright futureNooresh Merani
The document discusses technical indicators pointing to a potential start of major bull markets in global and Indian stock indices in 2013. It notes that several US indices have broken above resistance levels from 2007 highs and are setting up for multi-year rallies. European indices are also showing signs of bottoms being in place or bull markets starting. Indian indices like Nifty and Bank Nifty are reaching oversold levels on technical indicators like RSI, which has previously signaled durable bottoms and subsequent rallies of 10% or more. The document argues accumulating Indian stocks in the coming weeks could provide large risk-reward opportunities.
Yuta Inoue - Session 1: Commercial Development and Airport Real-EstateGlobal Airport Cities
1) MFMA Development SDN BHD is a joint venture between Mitsui Fudosan and Malaysia Airports to develop an outlet mall project called Mitsui Outlet Park KLIA on land owned by Malaysia Airports.
2) Phase 1 will include approximately 25,000 square meters of retail space and 140 shops, with construction starting in late 2013 and opening in early 2015.
3) The final master plan envisions expanding to 46,300 square meters and 260 shops across Phase 2 and 3.
The document discusses how mutual funds can beat market volatility. It identifies two mutual funds that have done so: ICICI Prudential Focussed Bluechip and Franklin India Bluechip. ICICI Prudential Focussed Bluechip has outperformed its benchmark 11 out of 12 quarters and performed better in bear markets. Franklin India Bluechip has outperformed its benchmark 40 out of 70 quarters and also performed better in bear markets. Both funds have consistently outperformed other large cap funds over long periods of time.
Right Horizons market outlook for 2016 - stay investedRight Horizons
This document discusses India's economic outlook and the performance of various mutual fund portfolios. It notes that India is expected to grow at around 7-8% through 2020 according to Goldman Sachs. Several factors are positive for 2016, including lower commodity prices and higher infrastructure spending. The document highlights the performance of various mutual fund portfolios managed by the company, showing they have outperformed comparable funds over various time periods. It sets a target for the Sensex to end 2016 over 30,000, representing 22% upside from current levels.
The newsletter discusses the strong growth in the stock market from the previous Diwali to the current Diwali. It notes that analysts believe the bull run will continue for the next 4-5 years, though returns may slow. It advises remaining invested in equities but choosing the right mix of stocks and funds. It also profiles ESG funds, flexicap funds, and business cycle funds as good investment options in the current market. It highlights the inspiring story of an investor who achieved his goal of accumulating over Rs. 1 crore through systematic SIP investments over 10 years for his daughter's education.
A welcome respite in softening of commodity prices provided some much- needed positive sentiment to the Indian equity markets last month.Most benchmarks recovered quite well from their early lows and are showing definite signs of positive near term movement.
1) The Singapore Exchange (SGX) operates the stock market in Singapore, listing and trading stocks of over 700 companies with a total market capitalization of $650 billion.
2) SGX was formed in 1999 through the merger of Singapore's existing stock, futures, and options exchanges. It has since expanded through acquisitions and opening representative offices in other financial centers.
3) In addition to its core functions of facilitating stock trading, SGX also oversees derivatives and commodities markets, and has strategic investments in other Asian stock exchanges to boost regional connectivity.
The market indices in India declined slightly on September 23, 2010. The Sensex and Nifty fell by 0.3% each, closing below 20,000 and 6,000 levels respectively, as European stocks also declined. Some frontline stocks like Maruti Suzuki and HDFC gained 1-4% while others like JP Associates and RCOM lost 2-3%. Midcap stocks like JSL Ltd. and Triveni Engg. rose 5-17% but others like Geekay Finance fell 4-5%. The trends for the day will depend on whether the Nifty trades above 5,992 levels in the first half hour.
Hussar & Co. is an investment banking firm focused on advising corporate clients in emerging Europe, including Eastern Europe, Russia, and CIS countries. It provides strategic advisory, mergers and acquisitions advisory, and capital formation services to empower its clients with access to global capital markets and support their growth, liquidity, and strategic transactional objectives. Hussar's team has decades of experience in the region and an extensive network of investors globally.
The document provides an overview and assessment of various global markets and asset classes in May 2012. It notes that the brief period of calm in European markets following ECB intervention had ended, with concerns shifting from Greece to problems in Spain. Fixed income investments are viewed negatively due to high debt levels and political uncertainty in Europe. Property prices are seen as neutral overall, with weakness in some areas offset by strength in others like Asia and London. US and Japanese equities are given negative and positive outlooks respectively, based on country-specific economic factors.
This document provides a summary of events happening at the Institute of Management, Nirma University (IMNU) in Ahmedabad, India.
1) IMNU had a very successful placement week, with final year students receiving highest salaries over Rs. 11 lakh per year on average, compared to Rs. 5.5 lakh last year. Major recruiters included IBM, Deloitte, Vodafone, Idea, HP, Infosys, Ashok Leyland and IOC.
2) The festivals Richter and Perspective are scheduled at IMNU in December. Richter is a cultural festival while Perspective involves competitions in areas like case studies, debates and presentations. Management institutions from
- The document discusses a mutual fund newsletter that introduces new portfolio analysis and goal tracking features on the FundsIndia investment platform.
- The new features allow investors to view the asset allocation of each portfolio, set goals for portfolio values at future dates, and track progress towards goals.
- The newsletter explains that these features are aimed at helping investors develop financial plans and track their progress towards different goals over time.
- The key Indian stock market indices, Nifty and Sensex, saw minor declines of 0.23% and 0.26% respectively at market close. The top gainers were IDFC, HINDUNILVR, and HEROHONDA, while the top losers were RELCAPITAL, RPOWER, and RCOM. Most sectors saw declines with the exception of the consumer goods sector, which saw a gain of 0.62%.
- In the coming week, markets are expected to see volatility due to upcoming derivative contract expiries. Technical indicators suggest the possibility of a minor pullback after recent gains. Support levels for the indices are seen at 17,278-17,141 for Sensex and 5
Ambuja Cements reported a 52.2% year-over-year decline in net profit for the third quarter of 2010 due to lower sales realizations and higher raw material and power costs. However, despatches increased 6.1% year-over-year. Going forward, analysts expect capacity additions to drive higher volume growth but margins may remain under pressure due to increasing costs. At current price levels, the stock is considered fairly valued based on estimated future earnings and operating metrics.
The derivative report provides an analysis of the movement in Nifty futures, open interest levels, and key option statistics from August 6, 2010. Open interest in Nifty futures increased by 1.45% while premium levels changed. The put-call ratio rose and implied volatility remained the same. Certain stocks saw large increases or decreases in open interest. Analysis is also provided on index levels and bullish/bearish option strategies.
The market indices in India declined slightly on the day, with the Sensex and Nifty losing 0.5% and 0.6% respectively. Several sectors such as realty, FMCG and metals declined, while TCS and Infosys gained slightly. The document then provides analysis of quarterly earnings results for several companies such as Wipro, Bank of India, Dr. Reddy's Labs, and Indian Bank. It also previews upcoming quarterly results and provides other stock recommendations and analysis.
The key points from the document are:
1) Broad selling was seen across almost all sectors, causing the key indices (Nifty and Sensex) to close deep in the red, down around 2.5-3%.
2) Metals and capital goods sectors saw the largest losses of around 5%, while banking and oil & gas sectors lost around 2.5-3%.
3) The technical charts show the indices have tested a lower trendline and a close below key support levels could lead to further declines in the indices. However, a short bounce is also possible given the sharp recent falls.
The market indices opened marginally lower but closed higher. Top gainers were Maruti, Unitech and Sun Pharma, while top losers were LT, HCL Tech and Sterlite. The realty and healthcare sectors saw gains while capital goods saw losses. Stocks like Maruti and Essar Oil are positively biased for the next 2-3 days, while technical indicators suggest the market may consolidate at current levels or see a slight decline. Pivot points are provided for various stocks.
Deccan Chronicle Holdings (DCHL) reported a 7% year-over-year increase in revenue and an 18.4% increase in profits for the first quarter of fiscal year 2011. Revenue was in line with expectations at Rs231.8 crore, driven by a 7% increase in advertising revenue. Profits increased due to a 281 basis point expansion in operating margins and a lower effective tax rate of 14%. The company continued to benefit from low newsprint prices. While advertising revenue growth was driven by higher rates, management expects advertising volumes to recover going forward. DCHL maintained its buy rating based on attractive valuations and growth prospects.
Bharti Airtel reported a 2.4% year-over-year growth in net revenue for 4QFY2010 due to strong growth in its tower business and other businesses, although its mobile business revenue declined slightly. While the company's mobile subscriber base grew 35.9% year-over-year, revenue per user declined significantly due to competitive pressures. Higher selling, general and administrative expenses eroded operating margins, and combined with higher taxes and depreciation expenses, net income declined 8.2% year-over-year despite total minutes of usage growing by 12.8%. Going forward, the company expects continued strong subscriber addition but declining revenue per minute, which will impact profitability.
Dabur reported a mixed set of results for the first quarter of fiscal year 2011. While revenue growth was strong at 23% due to a record 20% increase in volume, earnings growth disappointed at 17% due to margin contraction and higher taxes. Revenue was boosted by double-digit growth in consumer care division categories like oral care, health supplements, and home care. However, earnings fell short of estimates due to a rise in advertising spending squeezing margins. The company also announced an acquisition and a bonus share issue.
The document provides a summary of derivative market activity in India for August 19, 2010. It notes that open interest for Nifty futures increased 2.14% while Minifutures increased 26.29%. The Nifty August future closed at a premium of 3.90 points. Put-call ratios for Nifty increased to 1.57. Implied volatility of at-the-money options decreased. Total open interest in the market was Rs. 1,80,788 crore with stock futures open interest at Rs. 50,692 crore. FIIs were net buyers of Rs. 675 crore in the cash market.
The document provides a summary of derivative market activity in India for June 25, 2010. Key points include:
1) Nifty futures open interest increased 3.42% while Minifity futures decreased 1.62% as the market closed at 5320.60.
2) Several stocks saw significant changes in open interest, both increases like HCLTECH (112%) and decreases like TATAPOWER (-11.23%).
3) The put-call ratio for Nifty futures increased to 1.87 from 1.84. Historical volatility decreased for some stocks.
4) FIIs were net buyers of stocks and index futures but net sellers of index options and stock futures. Total
SpiceJet is initiating coverage with a buy recommendation and a target price of Rs84, implying 33% upside. SpiceJet is one of the fastest growing airlines in India with a 12% market share. Passenger traffic is expected to grow at 13% annually over the next few years, outpacing low capacity additions of 5-8% annually. This will result in higher load factors and profitability for airlines like SpiceJet. SpiceJet increased its market share from 8% to 12% in the past year and is expected to increase its passenger volume by 44% in the current year due to its low cost model and expansion plans.
The document provides a daily market summary of the Nifty Sensex stocks in India on April 19, 2010. Key points include:
1) The markets opened lower and traded in a narrow range throughout the day, closing in the red.
2) Titan, FinanTech, and IBREALEST were the top 3 gainers, while PRAJ INDS, BALRAM CHIN, and ROLTA were the top 3 losers.
3) CD, CG, and PSU sectors saw losses for the day, while other sectors like FMCG saw small gains.
Federal Bank reported a 3.3% year-over-year decline in net profit to Rs132cr for the first quarter of fiscal year 2011, lower than estimates due to lower non-interest income and higher provisions. Asset quality pressures emerged as gross and net NPAs increased substantially from the previous quarter. Advances and deposits growth of 16.6% and 10.2% respectively lagged industry averages. CASA deposits grew faster than overall deposits. The bank maintained an Accumulate rating based on attractive valuation and strong core returns, though earnings quality faced pressure from rising NPAs.
The document summarizes the performance of Indian stock market indices on June 24, 2010. It notes that market volatility was high as traders rolled over positions in the derivatives segment, though the market recovered from an initial slide and closed marginally higher. Several indices such as BSE mid-cap and small-cap closed up 0.8% and 0.7% respectively. Top gainers included Amtek Auto and Anant Raj, while top losers included L&T and Indus Ind. The document provides an outlook for the next day's market and notes recent news about companies such as Sun TV Network and Concor.
- Markets in India were largely flat for the week, with the Sensex up 0.2% and Nifty up 0.1%. Mid and small cap indices outperformed large caps.
- The BSE Oil & Gas index gained 2.7% led by a 3.9% gain in Reliance Industries, which makes up 58.8% of the index. Other oil marketing companies like HPCL and BPCL also witnessed gains.
- Aurobindo Pharma is initiated with a Buy rating and target price of Rs. 1,330 based on an SOTP valuation. The company has transformed from a low margin API player to a high margin formulations player, and its financial metrics are
Lupin reported in-line results for the first quarter of fiscal year 2011, with net sales of Rs1,312 crore, operating profit margin of 20%, and net profit of Rs196 crore. Key drivers of growth included strong sales of generic drugs in the US market, as well as expansion of Lupin's domestic field force in India. While the company saw a delay in FDA approval for oral contraceptive drugs, management does not expect this to impact its competitive position. The analyst maintains an 'Accumulate' rating for Lupin based on its scale in key markets like the US and India, as well as its pipeline of generic drug approvals.
SKS Microfinance is the largest microfinance company in India, with a market share of approximately 10%. It offers microloans primarily to low-income women in rural India using the Grameen Bank model of joint liability groups. This model and SKS's focus on operational efficiency has allowed it to achieve industry-leading asset quality and low interest rates of around 25%. The IPO note recommends subscribing to the IPO given SKS's market leadership position and the large unmet demand for microfinance in India.
The monthly fact sheet provides an overview of the local Malaysian market in February 2010. Equity markets ended higher for the month, though small cap stocks underperformed. Ten of ten sectors were positive, led by telecommunications, consumer staples, and financials. Fixed income markets were flat due to lack of catalysts. The GDP grew strongly in Q4 2009 and inflation rose slightly. The outlook remains positive, expecting further equity market gains supported by strong economic growth, though deteriorating global growth or policy mistakes pose risks.
The document is a report on the IDFC Sterling Value Fund, an open-ended equity scheme following a value investment strategy. It provides details on the fund's performance, portfolio allocation, investment strategy and outlook. The fund focuses on investing in mid and small cap companies following a bottom-up stock selection process. It looks for leaders and challengers in sectors with good return on capital and cash flow. The fund had strong returns in February 2021 with small and mid caps performing best.
The document is a report on the IDFC Sterling Value Fund, an open-ended equity scheme that follows a value investment strategy focusing on mid and small cap stocks. It discusses the fund's strong performance in the December 2020 quarter. The report also notes that while domestic markets continued to rise in February 2021, concerns remain about rising bond yields and inflation potentially slowing economic growth. The fund remains focused on investing in leader and challenger companies with low debt, high returns on capital and emerging businesses with growth potential.
Asian Paints reported strong quarterly results with 16% year-over-year revenue growth, beating estimates. Earnings grew 76% year-over-year due to expanded gross margins and improved profitability internationally. The analyst upgrades the stock to "Accumulate" expecting continued revenue growth of 13-14% from market share gains and product mix improvements, as well as sustained earnings momentum. The stock price provides an attractive entry point given its growth potential.
This document provides information about non-banking financial companies (NBFCs) in India. It discusses that NBFCs engage in various financial services like lending and insurance. NBFCs contribute to the Indian economy by developing sectors like transport and helping wealth creation, especially in rural areas. The top 10 NBFCs in India include Bajaj Finserv, which provides consumer financing and insurance services. COVID-19 may impact NBFCs by increasing non-performing asset levels if delayed loan repayments result in more defaults.
Yes Bank reported strong loan and deposit growth in 4QFY2010, with loans up 18.6% sequentially and deposits up 21.6%. This fueled a 15.8% sequential rise in net interest income. However, the analyst maintains a neutral outlook due to expensive valuation multiples that require high execution of growth plans, especially in retail banking.
The document discusses the attractiveness of emerging markets like China and India for investments after recent corrections. It notes that valuations in countries like China have become compelling, with its P/E ratio of 13x and market cap to GDP ratio of 0.6x given that growth will remain higher than developed economies. It argues the European bailout package and low interest rates globally will drive funds back into high growth emerging markets like China and India. It highlights India's growth is driven more by domestic factors than external ones, and expects the economy to grow 8-9% in the coming fiscal year.
This document discusses the impact of an industrial slowdown on credit flow and the quality of small and medium enterprises (SMEs) in India. It analyzes secondary data on credit flow to SMEs from public sector banks in Rajasthan over recent years. The analysis finds that while there was consistent growth in credit to SMEs, the pace increased sharply from 2007-2008. However, the numbers may be inflated due to an expansion in what is included under SMEs in 2006. Despite the global recession, the number of SME beneficiaries in Rajasthan continued growing between late 2008 and early 2009.
IndusInd Bank delivers strong set of numbers in Q4; AccumulateIndiaNotes.com
Indusind Bank Ltd. reported strong quarterly results for the quarter ending March 2015, with healthy growth in advances, net interest income, and profit after tax. Asset quality improved slightly with gross non-performing assets declining to 0.8% from 1.0% in the previous quarter. The bank expects further improvement in asset quality and margins going forward as the business mix shifts toward retail lending and CASAs increase. The analyst maintains an 'Accumulate' rating and raises the target price to Rs. 960 based on positive fundamentals and growth prospects.
The document discusses opportunities for investment banking in a bearish market. It summarizes Kotak Mahindra Capital Company's (KMCC) offerings including private equity, venture funding, and mergers and acquisitions. KMCC has a global presence and has led many large initial public offerings. It also discusses the Indian financial sector growth and regulatory developments. The document then evaluates potential financial innovations for an initial public offering including offering detachable warrants and Singapore depository receipts to attract investors in the current market conditions.
BSE Ltd is Asia's first stock exchange located in Mumbai, India. It has over 5,000 listed companies and a total market capitalization of around 4K Cr. BSE generates revenue from listing fees, market data fees, and platform fees from services like BSE StAR MF and its electronic bond platform. It has a strong position in the SME and mutual fund segments. The company has no debt and 2426 Cr in cash/bank balances. At the current market price of 738, BSE Ltd is undervalued given its diverse revenue streams, leadership positions, and strong balance sheet.
The document summarizes India's banking sector. It notes that while the sector has expanded in terms of branches and deposits, asset quality and profitability have declined in recent years due to economic slowdown. Deposits have grown primarily in current and savings accounts. Employment in banking has increased, led by growth at private banks. However, non-performing assets are rising, squeezing bank margins. Overall, the sector has expanded but faces challenges around asset quality and slowing credit growth.
The document provides an overview of India's banking sector. It notes that the sector has grown significantly in recent years, with deposits and total assets increasing at a CAGR of 11.4% and 11.3% respectively between FY09-FY13. However, asset quality has declined due to the economic slowdown, with gross NPAs rising to 1.7% in FY13. Going forward, favorable demographics and infrastructure investments are likely to drive continued growth, though rising NPAs and capital requirements pose challenges. The banking sector is also adopting new technologies and focusing on fee-based services, rural markets, and emerging industries to boost growth.
The document summarizes economic and financial news from Sri Lanka in March 2010. It reports that Commercial Bank was named Sri Lanka's best bank for the 12th consecutive year. It also summarizes Commercial Bank's financial results, noting maintained profitability in 2009 despite challenging conditions. Additionally, it provides overviews of IMF views on Sri Lanka's economy, the top 10 billionaires in the world according to Forbes, and an analysis of Sri Lanka's fiscal performance and 2010 budget outlook.
The Economic Survey of India 2008-2009 makes several predictions and assessments:
1) It predicts GDP growth of 7.75% if the global economy improves, or 6.25% if the global recession persists.
2) It claims high savings and investment, rural growth, and resilient services exports have protected India's economy despite global conditions.
3) It argues the worst effects may be over and recent measures could facilitate a quick "U-shaped recovery", subject to some factors outside India's control.
Current trends in banking sector (2015) EditionIsha Desai
The document discusses current trends in the Indian banking sector. It outlines that banks play an important role in capital formation by mobilizing savings and channeling them into productive investment. It then discusses trends in key sectors such as industry, small businesses, agriculture, e-commerce, and foreign exchange. Recent union budgets have increased caps on foreign investment and recapitalized public sector banks. The Reserve Bank of India helps implement monetary policy and focus development in different sectors. Overall, the banking sector is growing and adapting to increasing technology and customer needs.
Be realistic, be selective. We believe this market rally has pushed
valuations to the point where growth expectations have reached
implausible levels. In fact, profits have just begun to turn down. We are
not overly bearish – our Buy list is longer than our Sell list – but we
caution that optimism over growth can disappear as quickly as it
appeared. Domestic factors, particularly political developments, may
be a positive catalyst.
Profit recession has just begun. Industrial production peaked in
January 2008, but profits only began a broad-based decline in 1Q09.
Within our coverage, 63% of the companies that have released 1Q
earnings reported lower sequential quarterly net profits. In seven
sectors, our entire coverage list suffered profit contractions. This
suggests the recession in profits has just begun.
Market valuation implies an optimistic view of growth. The market
currently trades at 15.2x 2009 earnings, up from 12x earlier this year.
This is only 10% below the previous cycle’s mid-cycle value, but today,
we face growth of -7.7% (2009) and +9.7% (2010), taking market
earnings only 1% higher by the end of 2010 from its end-2008 level.
Market growth expectations seem to be running ahead of reality.
History tells us the bear market isn’t over. Two previous bear
markets over 1981-86 and 1993-98 lasted 57 and 58 months
respectively. It has now been 17 months from the January 2008
collapse. Those bear markets had 22-38 trend reversals of 5% or more;
we have now seen 12 since January 2008. These comparisons suggest
we are, at best, half way through this bear market.
Bet on Prime Minister Najib, but Sell hope. Our top stock picks are
in the construction sector. We expect PM Najib will deliver on the fiscal
spending promises, reinvigorating the construction and building
materials sectors. Our top Sells are stocks where high hopes and
expectations have been built in; where current prices have run well
ahead of both our and consensus target prices.
Politics a positive wildcard. Beyond rapidly executed fiscal packages,
the country’s new leadership could make further changes to longstanding
policies to attract foreign investment and win back broader
support from all Malaysians. These initiatives should be positive for
equity market at least in the short-term.
- Yes Bank is an Indian private sector bank that has grown to become the 4th largest private bank in India. It has over 600 branches with a focus in Northern and Western India.
- The document recommends Yes Bank as a strong buy due to its strong financials, shift towards a retail-led strategy that will boost profit margins, and potential interest rate cuts that will support loan growth.
- Yes Bank has successfully increased its lower-cost current and savings account deposits while maintaining strong asset quality and profitability. It is poised for further growth as it expands its retail presence.
• Owing to growth concerns, Global Central Banks are reducing interest rates. The Reserve Bank of India
(RBI) too is expected to follow suits and may deliver 25-50 bps rate cut
• Central Banks are expected to continue with the loose monetary policy
• Food inflation is beginning to see some moderation although CPI Inflation continues to remain above
RBI‟s comfort zone. RBI‟s operation twist and LTRO too bodes well for the bond markets
• In light of the above factors, we have added duration across our portfolios as we have become positive
on the duration segment in the near term
• We continue to believe that the best strategy would be to create portfolio maturity in the range of 2-5
years
• We also continue to remain positive on the accrual space, as the divergence between Gsec/AAA & AA/A
yields persist.
Similar to Standard chartered ipo note - 25-05-10 (20)
The Indian markets are expected to open higher, tracking gains in most Asian markets. Spain has asked for a bailout of up to €100 billion for its banking system. Chinese exports grew more than expected in May. In India, shares extended gains for a fifth session despite weak global cues as major central banks held off on additional stimulus. The key support and resistance levels for the Nifty are 5,023 and 5,114 respectively. L&T has bagged orders worth Rs. 483 crore to build commercial vessels in Qatar. Vedanta Resources has acquired a 24.5% stake in Raykal Aluminium for Rs. 201 crore.
Axis Bank reported a 27.0% year-over-year increase in net profit to Rs. 942 crore for the first quarter of fiscal year 2012, in line with analyst estimates. Business growth momentum slowed as advances declined 7.4% quarter-over-quarter and deposits fell 3.0% quarter-over-quarter, moderating the bank's cash-deposit ratio to 40.5% from 41.1% last quarter. However, asset quality remained healthy with slippage ratio declining to 0.8% and gross and net NPA ratios stable.
1) For 1QFY2012, Electrosteel Castings reported 16.4% sales growth but margins declined due to higher raw material costs. EBITDA fell 18.2% and net profit declined 7.2%.
2) While sales volumes grew, costs increased more due to a rise in raw material costs as a percentage of sales.
3) The company maintains a buy recommendation due to initiatives in steelmaking and backward integration that should lower costs starting in FY2013 and valuation remains attractive.
1) For 1QFY2012, Persistent Systems reported revenues of ₹224 crore, up 5.2% over the previous quarter and 23.6% over the same period last year.
2) EBITDA was ₹40 crore, up 5.3% over the previous quarter but margins declined.
3) PAT was ₹28 crore, down 16.8% over the previous quarter due to higher taxes.
4) Management maintained revenue guidance of 29% growth for FY2012 and expects PAT to remain flat despite higher tax rates.
HT Media reported a 22.7% year-over-year increase in revenue to ₹494 crore for the first quarter of FY2012. Revenue was also up 5.8% quarter-over-quarter. Advertising revenue grew 17% year-over-year, with 18% growth in English and 15% growth in Hindi. Operating profit rose 11.8% year-over-year to ₹87.8 crore due to higher other income and lower tax rates, although operating margins contracted by 174 basis points. The company maintained its Accumulate rating based on expectations of continued revenue growth and margin expansion.
The summary is:
1) The derivative report analyzes the performance of the Nifty futures, options, and key stocks from the previous trading session on July 18, 2011.
2) It provides details on changes in open interest, premium levels, volatility, and turnover for various derivatives contracts.
3) Trading strategies and technical analysis is also given for some stocks along with risk-reward profiles of sample spreads trades for the Nifty.
The market ended lower, with the Sensex and Nifty closing down 0.3%. Mid- and small-cap indices closed higher. Select heavyweights like Hindalco Industries and BHEL gained 1-3%, while TCS and Tata Motors lost 1-2%. In corporate news, Motherson Sumi Systems agreed to acquire an 80% stake in Peguform for €141.5 million. HDFC Bank, Cadila Healthcare, Crompton Greaves, and Ashok Leyland are scheduled to announce their quarterly results. The trend for the day will be decided by whether Nifty trades above or below the levels of 18,533/5,572 in early trade.
- GSM subscriber additions in India continued their declining trend in June 2011, with net additions of 9.6 million, down 10% from the previous month.
- All major operators except BSNL reported a drop in subscriber additions. Bharti and Vodafone each added 2.1 million subscribers.
- The total GSM subscriber base reached 598.8 million in June 2011, with Bharti, Vodafone, Idea and BSNL maintaining their major market shares.
The document provides a technical analysis of the Indian stock market indices Sensex and Nifty for the week of July 16, 2011. It summarizes that the indices declined over 1.5% for the week and are currently trading in a range between 18,326/5496 on the downside and 19,132/5740 on the upside. It notes that a break above or below this range would dictate the direction of the upcoming trend. The analysis also lists pivot levels for 50 Nifty stocks to watch in the coming week.
The document provides a summary of derivative market activity in India for July 18, 2011. Key points include:
- Nifty futures open interest increased 0.67% while Mini Nifty increased 3.48% as the market closed at 5581.10
- Nifty July futures closed at a premium of 5.85 points and August futures at a premium of 22.60 points
- Implied volatility of at-the-money options decreased from 18% to 17.3%
- Total open interest in the market was Rs. 135,158 crore with stock futures open interest at Rs. 34,675 crore.
The indices opened flat but traded choppily throughout the day. Metal, auto and realty stocks declined while IT stocks gained. The indices are currently trading in a range between 18,326-18,810/5496-5653 on the downside and 19,132-19,094/5740-5700 on the upside. A break above these resistance levels could lead to further gains while a break below support could result in losses extending to 17,805-17,950/5350-5400. Pivot levels for 50 Nifty stocks are provided.
- The key Indian stock indices declined slightly, with the Sensex and Nifty closing down 0.3%.
- GSM subscriber additions in India continued their declining trend in June across most major operators such as Idea, Bharti Airtel, and Vodafone. Total GSM subscriber addition was 9.6 million, down 10% from the previous month.
- Tata Motors reported flat annual global sales growth in June 2011 compared to the previous year.
- South Indian Bank reported a 41.2% year-over-year increase in net profit to Rs. 82 crores for the first quarter of fiscal year 2012, slightly below analyst estimates.
- Business growth remained strong, with advances growth of 31.2% and deposits growth of 35.5% year-over-year. However, net interest margins compressed by 29 basis points sequentially to 2.8% due to a sharp rise in the bank's cost of deposits.
- Non-interest income was boosted by treasury gains, but fee income growth was modest. Asset quality was stable with gross and net NPAs rising marginally, and provision coverage at a comfortable 73.1%.
Bajaj Auto reported marginally lower-than-expected results for the first quarter of fiscal year 2012, with net sales growth of 22.8% year-over-year driven by a 17.7% increase in volumes. However, operating margins contracted by 145 basis points quarter-over-quarter to 19.1% due to a 150 basis point increase in raw material costs. As a result, net profit grew by 20.5% year-over-year to ₹711 crore, which was slightly below analyst estimates. Going forward, the analyst expects further margin pressure and has revised downward its earnings estimates for fiscal years 2012 and 2013 to factor in higher raw material costs and changes to export incentives.
1) Tata Consultancy Services (TCS) reported strong results for the first quarter of fiscal year 2012, outperforming expectations with revenue growth of 6.3% over the previous quarter and 31.4% over the same quarter of the previous fiscal year.
2) A key highlight was 7.4% quarter-over-quarter growth in business volumes. While profit margins declined due to wage hikes, net profit remained flat due to foreign exchange gains.
3) Management maintained a positive outlook, highlighting strong demand environment and deal pipeline, and expects pricing increases later in the fiscal year.
The document summarizes the Indian stock market outlook and performance on July 15, 2011. It reports that domestic indices closed with modest gains of 0.1-0.4%, while global indices declined. Wholesale price inflation in India rose to 9.44% in June 2011, above estimates and persisting above 9% for seven months, driven by increases in primary articles and fuel costs. Key benchmark levels are identified for determining if the market may continue rallying or correct in the near term.
The summary is:
1) The derivative report analyzes the movement in Nifty futures, options, and individual stocks between July 14-15, 2011.
2) Nifty futures open interest decreased while mini Nifty open interest increased as the market closed at 5599.80.
3) Implied volatility of at-the-money options increased from 17.6% to 18%.
The Sensex and Nifty indices opened lower and traded with volatility, closing marginally lower. On the sectoral front, Realty, Banks and Healthcare gained while IT and FMCG fell. The advance-decline ratio favored advancing stocks. On the daily chart, prices tested but did not close above the downward gap area of 18,679-18,589/5,601-5,580 levels. Immediate resistance is seen at 18,735/5,633, while 18,449/5,541 is crucial support.
1) Infosys reported modest revenue growth of 3.2% qoq for 1QFY2012. EBITDA and margins declined due to wage hikes.
2) Guidance for 2QFY2012 revenue growth was lower than expected at 3.5-5% qoq. Annual revenue growth guidance was unchanged.
3) The analyst revised EPS estimates down and cut the target price to INR 3,200 due to macro concerns and muted guidance.
This document summarizes a derivative report from India Research dated July 13, 2011. Some key points:
- The Nifty futures open interest increased 0.51% while Minifty futures open interest rose 8.2% as the market closed at 5526.15.
- Implied volatility of at-the-money options increased from 18% to 19.75%. PCR-OI decreased from 1.20 to 1.15.
- Total open interest of the market is Rs. 125,816 crore and stock futures open interest is Rs. 33,500 crore.
- FII were net sellers of Rs. 969 crore in the cash market segment. Put-call
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The Rise of Generative AI in Finance: Reshaping the Industry with Synthetic DataChampak Jhagmag
In this presentation, we will explore the rise of generative AI in finance and its potential to reshape the industry. We will discuss how generative AI can be used to develop new products, combat fraud, and revolutionize risk management. Finally, we will address some of the ethical considerations and challenges associated with this powerful technology.
Falcon stands out as a top-tier P2P Invoice Discounting platform in India, bridging esteemed blue-chip companies and eager investors. Our goal is to transform the investment landscape in India by establishing a comprehensive destination for borrowers and investors with diverse profiles and needs, all while minimizing risk. What sets Falcon apart is the elimination of intermediaries such as commercial banks and depository institutions, allowing investors to enjoy higher yields.
Lecture slide titled Fraud Risk Mitigation, Webinar Lecture Delivered at the Society for West African Internal Audit Practitioners (SWAIAP) on Wednesday, November 8, 2023.
OJP data from firms like Vicinity Jobs have emerged as a complement to traditional sources of labour demand data, such as the Job Vacancy and Wages Survey (JVWS). Ibrahim Abuallail, PhD Candidate, University of Ottawa, presented research relating to bias in OJPs and a proposed approach to effectively adjust OJP data to complement existing official data (such as from the JVWS) and improve the measurement of labour demand.
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In a tight labour market, job-seekers gain bargaining power and leverage it into greater job quality—at least, that’s the conventional wisdom.
Michael, LMIC Economist, presented findings that reveal a weakened relationship between labour market tightness and job quality indicators following the pandemic. Labour market tightness coincided with growth in real wages for only a portion of workers: those in low-wage jobs requiring little education. Several factors—including labour market composition, worker and employer behaviour, and labour market practices—have contributed to the absence of worker benefits. These will be investigated further in future work.
1. IPO Note | Banking
May 25, 2010
Standard Chartered SUBCRIBE
Issue Open: May 25, 2010
An Emerging Market Play Issue Close: May 28, 2010
Standard Chartered Plc's first-ever Indian depository receipt (IDR) will open on Issue Details
May 25, 2010, at a price band of Rs100-115. The company will issue 24 crore
Face Value: US $0.5
IDRs (10 IDRs representing 1 share), accounting for 1.16% of the bank's capital.
The issue of IDRs will allow Standard Chartered to significantly boost its market Present Equity Capital (No. of Shares): 202.9cr
visibility and brand perception in India. The company is already listed in London
Post Equity Capital (No. of Shares): 205.3cr
and Hong Kong. Standard Chartered Bank (SCB) is the main operating entity of
the group. SCB focuses on developing its wholesale and consumer banking business Offer Size: 24cr IDR's
in Asia, Africa and the Middle East, from where it derives 90% of its operating income (10 IDR's =1 Equity Share of FV US $0.5)
and profit. The bank operates a network of over 1,700 branches and outlets (including
Issue size (amount): *Rs2,400cr - **Rs2,760cr
subsidiaries, associates and joint ventures) and employs 73,000 people.
Issue Price Band: Rs100-115
Rationale for our Subscribe recommendation
Well placed to play the emerging market recovery: SCB is well positioned to *at Lower end of the price band
**at Upper end of the price band
benefit from the recovering emerging markets. The bank has well-diversified revenue
Note: 5% discount for retail investors
streams spread across emerging markets such as Hong Kong, Singapore, India,
Korea, the Middle East and Africa. Diversification of the business, capital employed Book Building
and operating income across economies act as a natural hedge and offers the
QIBs At least 50%
bank an opportunity to dynamically and optimally utilise its resources. In 2009,
Non-Institutional At least 20%
Asia accounted for 83% of SCB's profit before tax (PBT), 83% of its loans and 78%
Retail At most 30%
of its assets.
Wholesale Banking and Trading business-The key drivers for Profit: SCB's
wholesale banking business accounts for ~80% of its PBT. Unlike the consumer
banking business, this business does not require any large distribution. The bank
has enhanced its service capabilities (acquisitions and investments in technology),
with relationships increasingly becoming multi-country and multi-product.
RoAs superior to peers and RoEs higher at 18%: From 2007 to 2009, the bank
has been consistently reporting return on assets (ROA) and return of equity (RoE) in
the range of 0.8% and 14-15%, respectively. Subdued RoEs are a result of high
goodwill, which was created on account of acquisitions. If one looks at adjusted
RoEs vis-à-vis price to adjusted book value, the parity is quite attractive with 18%
RoEs. The bank is adequately capitalised with capital adequacy ratio (CAR) at
16.5% (as on December 31, 2009) and a strong core tier-1 ratio of 11.5%.
Outlook and Valuation: SCB's IDR provides Indian investors a vehicle to invest in
a global entity that has a global presence. As a result of its diversified presence
and emerging market focus, SCB came out relatively unscathed from the
Vaibhav Agrawal
sub-prime crisis and is now well poised to benefit from the ongoing recovery in
+91 22 4040 3800 Ext: 333
emerging economies. Hence, the bank is an excellent diversified multinational Email: vaibhav.agrawal@angeltrade.com
banking play, with strategic positioning in high-growth emerging markets. The
stock is currently trading at 1.7x CY2010 P/B vis-a-vis 2.9x and 3.8x FY2010 P/B Amit Rane
for Axis Bank and HDFC Bank, respectively. We recommend Subscribe to +91 22 4040 3800 Ext: 326
Email: amitn.rane@angeltrade.com
the Issue.
Please refer to important disclosures at the end of this report
2. Standard Chartered | IPO Note
Well placed to benefit from the emerging market recovery
In 2009, Asia accounted for 83% of SCB's PBT, 83% of its loans and 78% of its assets.
Hong Kong, South Korea, Singapore and India are the bank's largest markets,
accounting for 61% of PBT and 50% of assets in 2009. The group entered India and
China in 1858, which has helped the group to build a strong customer base and
strengthen its distribution network. In 2009, India and China contributed 12% and
5% to the bank's net income, respectively, while its other key geographies, viz. Hong
Kong, South Korea, Singapore, Asia Pacific and Middle East, contributed 16%, 10%,
11%, 19% and 14%, respectively, to the net income.
The bank is well placed to benefit from Asia's higher growth and rising trade and
income levels. Asia, which accounts for the bulk of the profits, is estimated to have
grown by 2.8% in 2009 on the back of strong growth by emerging Asian economies.
Industrial economies are estimated to have contracted by 4.4% overall, with Japan
contracting the most by 5.4% in 2009. Asia is rebounding fast from the depths of the
global crisis as the world pulls out of the global recession. As international trade and
finance normalises, it is expected to generate an outsized Asian upturn. Asia's recovery
has been aided by the thawing of international capital markets, which has restored
firms' access to critical long-term equity and debt financing. Additionally, Asia's relatively
strong initial conditions have given it the space to cut interest rates sharply and adopt
large fiscal stimulus packages. As a result, overall domestic demand has held up
remarkably well. In line with the global recovery, Asia is expected to grow by 5.8% in
2010, led by China and India and with all major Asian economies showing positive
gross domestic product (GDP) growth. (Source: International Monetary Fund; Regional
Economic Outlook (Asia), October 2009).
Exhibit 1: Geographic breakdown of PBT - 83% in Asia (CY2009)
Source: Annual Report, DRHP
May 25, 2010 2
3. Standard Chartered | IPO Note
Exhibit 2: Geographic breakdown of assets - 78% in Asia (CY2009)
Source: Annual Report, DRHP
Exhibit 3: Growth rate of different countries (%)
GDP FY2008 FY2009 FY2010 FY2011
CHINA 9.6 8.7 10.0 9.9
INDIA 7.3 5.7 8.8 8.4
Hong Kong 2.1 (2.7) 4.6 3.4
Singapore 1.4 (2.0) 5.1 5.0
Malaysia 4.6 (1.7) 5.4 4.0
South Korea 2.3 0.2 5.0 4.0
U.S 0.4 (2.4) 2.8 1.5
Source: IMF
Wholesale banking and trading business: The key driver for profits
Wholesale banking accounted for nearly 80% of SCB's PBT in 2009, up from 52% in
2004. Corporate lending, trade finance, transaction banking and trading have
powered SCB's growth over the last five years. Unlike consumer banking, these
businesses do not need a large distribution network, and the bank is able to leverage
its transcontinental footprint to fund and serve customers across countries. In 2009,
the bank also took advantage of the credit crisis to gain market share as global/
regional banks were constrained. In Hong Kong and Singapore, where system loan
growth was muted, SCB's loan book grew by 20% yoy in 2009.
Trading: Remarkable growth
SCB earned US$3.4bn from trading in 2009, up 4.4x from 2004. The bank's trading
revenue has grown each year since 2004, accounting for 20% of the total income in
2009. The steep yield curve, high volatility and liquidity continue to drive the bank's
trading revenue.
SCB is the largest foreign bank in India in terms of PBT, and overall the fourth largest
bank in India. From 1999 to 2009, SCB's PBT from Indian operations grew 28.6%
annually. With net interest margin (NIM) of 3.8% and pre-tax RoA of 3.3%, SCB's
Indian operations are significantly more profitable than those of its Indian peers, and
the second highest amongst all its geographies. India, together with Hong Kong, is
now the largest contributor to PBT, while remaining one of the most profitable and
one of the fastest-growing regions for the bank.
May 25, 2010 3
4. Standard Chartered | IPO Note
RoAs superior to peers and RoEs higher at 18%
From 2007 to 2009, the bank has been consistently reporting ROA's and RoE in the
range of 0.8% and 14-15%, respectively. The subdued RoEs are also a result of high
goodwill, which was created on account of acquisitions. If one looks at adjusted RoEs
vis-à-vis price to adjusted book value, the parity is quite attractive with 18% RoEs.
Comparing the Indian operations of SCB with its Indian peers, we find that the former's
operations are highly profitable. Despite a small branch network and below-market
loan growth at an 11% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) from 2006 to 2009,
the bank is highly profitable in terms of RoA and has one of the highest NIM when
compared to its peers.
The bank is adequately capitalised with the CAR at 16.5% (as on December 31,
2009) and a strong core tier-I ratio of 11.5%.
Exhibit 4: SCB's pre-tax RoA is significantly higher than that of its Indian peers
Source: Company, Angel Research
May 25, 2010 4
5. Standard Chartered | IPO Note
Financials
NII grew at a 10% CAGR CY2007-2009
The bank's net interest income (NII) grew at a 10% CAGR over 2007-2009 to US$7.6bn,
led by 13% annual growth in advances and NIM's of 1.7-1.9%. Sluggish growth of
just 3% in NII in 2009, on account of the global turmoil, pulled the CAGR for the
period down. Lower growth in NII in 2009 was led by an 8% yoy decline in NII to
US$3.9bn in consumer banking, though NII in wholesale banking grew by a healthy
18% yoy to US$3.7bn.
Exhibit 5: PBT CAGR (2004-2009) at 45%: Second highest among Indian banks
Source: Company, Angel Research
Outlook and Valuation
SCB's IDR provides Indian investors a vehicle to invest in a global entity. As a result of
its diversified presence and emerging market focus, the bank came out relatively
unscathed from the sub-prime crisis and is now well poised to benefit from the ongoing
recovery in the emerging economies. Hence, the bank is an excellent
diversified multinational banking play with strategic positioning in high-growth
emerging markets. At the lower end of the offer price band, the stock is offered at a
~9% discount to its current market price at the Hong Kong Stock Exchange (HKD178
implies a value of Rs109 per IDR; 10 IDRs equal to one equity share). The stock is
currently trading at 1.7x CY2010 P/B vis-a-vis 2.9x and 3.8x FY2010 P/B for Axis
Bank and HDFC Bank, respectively. We recommend Subscribe to the Issue.
May 25, 2010 5
6. Standard Chartered | IPO Note
Company Background
Standard Chartered Plc operates through a number of subsidiaries, including SCB-
one of the leading international banking and financial services company. SCB
particularly focuses on the markets of Asia, Africa and the Middle East. The company
has no significant operations or assets other than its 100% interest in SCB. As on
December 31, 2009, the group operated in nearly 1,700 branches and outlets in
more than 70 countries and employed over 75,000 employees worldwide. The group
has significant operations in the Asian region, which accounted for over 75% of its
US$5,151 million total profit before taxation for the year ended December 31, 2009.
On December 31, 2009, the company had total consolidated assets of US$437 billion,
total consolidated customer loans and advances of US$198,292 million, total
consolidated customer deposits of US$251,244 million and total parent company
shareholders' equity (excluding minority interests) of US$27,340 million. The company's
total capital ratio as on December 31, 2009, was 16.5% and its tier-1 capital ratio
was 11.5%.
The company is headquartered in the U.K., where it is regulated by the Financial
Services Authority. The group's head office provides guidance on governance and
regulatory standards across the group's network. The company operates two business
divisions-consumer banking and wholesale banking. For the year ended December
31, 2009, the consumer banking and wholesale banking divisions contributed 17%
and 79%, respectively, of Standard Chartered's operating profit before taxation and
impairment.
May 25, 2010 6
7. Standard Chartered | IPO Note
Investment concerns
SCB operates in a highly regulated industry. Any changes to bank regulations and
laws and regulations could have an impact on its operations or impair its financial
condition.
Greater competition from global banks: SCB was one of the few banks to gain
during the credit crisis, as competition from global and regional banks eased. With
weakness in home markets, global banks have increased their focus on Asia and are
likely to compete more aggressively.
Vulnerable trading revenue: SCB's lower NIM was largely offset by trading gains.
With most Asian central banks looking to raise rates, trading revenue seems to be
vulnerable.
Higher capital gains and dividend tax: As per the current Indian tax rules,
secondary market trading in IDR is not subject to STT (Securities Transaction Tax) and,
hence, capital gains tax will be applicable on such trading. The lower/concessional
tax rates available on long-term capital gains and dividends on investments in stocks
of Indian companies are not available on IDRs. Dividend distribution tax is not paid
by the issuer company, and hence it will be taxable in the hands of IDR holders.
Lack of interest from FIIs: FIIs may not be interested in the IDR and domestic
insurance companies are prohibited from investing in IDRs. This reduces the investor
base significantly. However, this may not be a major issue, since the investible stock is
limited and may not be excessive for residual investors such as retail, HNI and MFs.
Conversion of IDRs into equity shares or vice versa: IDRs can be converted into
underlying equity shares only after one year and with the consent of the Reserve Bank
of India. On such conversion, resident individual investors have to sell them within 30
days of the conversion. IDRs are not two -way fungible. Therefore,
re-conversion of equity shares into IDRs is not permitted.
May 25, 2010 7
8. Standard Chartered | IPO Note
Annexure: IDRs
What is an IDR?
An Indian depositary receipt (IDR) represents ownership in the shares of a foreign
company that trades in the Indian capital market. Each IDR is issued by an Indian
depositary bank and can represent a fraction of a share, a single share or multiple
shares of a foreign stock. An IDR is bought and sold just like a regular stock and is
issued/sponsored by a bank or a brokerage house. The price of an IDR often tracks
the price of the foreign stock in its home market. An IDR enables Indian investors to
buy shares in foreign companies without the hazards or inconveniences of cross-
border and cross-currency transactions.
What are the rights of an IDR holder?
An IDR holder has equivalent rights as an equity shareholder of the issuer company,
which includes voting rights, dividends, bonus, rights issue, split and other distribution
and corporate actions. An IDR holder has rights of legal recourse against the issuer
company and the domestic depository under the deposit agreement.
Can IDR be converted into equity shares?
An IDR holder can convert an IDR into underlying equity shares only after one year of
listing with the prior approval of the Reserve Bank of India. After such conversion, the
investor is allowed to hold the underlying equity shares only for the purpose of sale
within a period of 30 days from conversion.
Is there any fee payable by an IDR holder to the depository?
An IDR holder is required to pay certain fees and charges to the domestic depository
and overseas custodian for their services. The fees and charges are payable for the
conversion of IDR into underlying equity shares, any distribution by the issuer company
and any corporate action by the issuer company.
What are the tax implications for an IDR holder?
Since IDR trading does not fall under the purview of the securities act, it does not
attract securities transaction tax but does attract capital gains tax on trading profit.
The direct tax code aims to bring parity in tax treatment for equity shares and other
securities such as IDR. The dividend distribution tax is not paid by the issuer company
and, hence, is taxable in the hands of the IDR holder.
May 25, 2010 8
9. Standard Chartered | IPO Note
Profit and Loss Account (Consolidated) (US $mn)
Particulars CY2007 CY2008 CY2009
Interest income 16,176 16,378 12,926
Interest expense 9,911 8,991 5,303
Net interest income 6,265 7,387 7,623
Fees and commission income 3,189 3,420 3,824
Fees and commission expense 528 479 454
Net fee income 2,661 2,941 3,370
Net trading income 1,261 2,405 2,890
Other operating income 880 1,235 1,301
Non-interest income 4,802 6,581 7,561
Operating income 11,067 13,968 15,184
Staff costs 3,949 4,737 4,912
Premises costs 592 738 698
General administrative expenses 1,329 1,711 1,822
Depreciation and amortisation 345 425 520
Operating expenses 6,215 7,611 7,952
Pre-provisioning profit 4,852 6,357 7,232
Impairment losses on loans and advances
and other credit risk provisions 761 1,321 2,000
Other impairment 57 469 102
Profit from associates 1 1 21
Profit before taxation 4,035 4,568 5,151
Taxation 1,046 1,224 1,674
Profit for the year 2,989 3,344 3,477
Profit attributable to:
Minority interests 148 103 97
Parent company shareholders 2,841 3,241 3,380
Profit for the year 2,989 3,344 3,477
Earnings per share:
Basic earnings per ordinary share (cents) 176 192.1 167.9
Diluted earnings per ordinary share (cents) 174.2 191.1 165.3
Source: DRHP
May 25, 2010 9
10. Standard Chartered | IPO Note
Balance Sheet (Consolidated) (US $mn)
Particulars CY2007 CY2008 CY2009
Cash and balances at central banks 10,175 24,161 18,131
Financial assets held at fair value 22,958 15,425 22,446
through profit or loss
Derivative financial instruments 26,204 69,657 38,193
Loans and advances to banks 35,365 46,583 50,885
Loans and advances to customers 154,266 174,178 198,292
Investment securities 55,274 69,342 75,728
Other assets 11,011 20,374 17,201
Current tax assets 633 764 203
Prepayments and accrued income 3,857 3,466 3,241
Interests in associates 269 511 514
Goodwill and intangible assets 6,374 6,361 6,620
Property, plant and equipment 2,892 3,586 4,103
Deferred tax assets 593 660 1096
Total assets 329,871 435,068 436,653
Deposits by banks 25,880 31,909 38,461
Customer accounts 179,760 234,008 251,244
Financial liabilities held at fair value 14,250 15,478 14,505
through profit or loss
Derivative financial instruments 26,270 67,775 36,584
Debt securities in issue 27,137 23,447 29,272
Other liabilities 14,742 17,363 16,139
Current tax liabilities 818 512 802
Accruals and deferred income 3,429 4,132 4,113
Subordinated liabilities 15,740 16,986 16,730
Deferred tax liabilities 33 176 193
Provisions for liabilities and charges 38 140 184
Retirement benefit obligations 322 447 506
Total Liabilities 308,419 412,373 408,733
Equity
Share capital 705 948 1,013
Reserves 20,146 21,192 26,327
Total parent shareholders’ equity 20,851 22,140 27,340
Minority interests 601 555 580
Total equity 21,452 22,695 27,920
Total equity and liabilities 329,871 435,068 436,653
Source: DRHP
May 25, 2010 10
11. Standard Chartered
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decision. Nothing in this document should be construed as investment or financial advice. Each recipient of this document should make
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Reports based on technical and derivative analysis center on studying charts of a stock's price movement, outstanding positions and trading
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Ratings (Returns) : Buy (> 15%) Accumulate (5% to 15%) Neutral (-5 to 5%)
Reduce (-5% to 15%) Sell (< -15%)
12. Standard Chartered
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Research Team
Fundamental:
Sarabjit Kour Nangra VP-Research, Pharmaceutical sarabjit@angeltrade.com
Vaibhav Agrawal VP-Research, Banking vaibhav.agrawal@angeltrade.com
Vaishali Jajoo Automobile vaishali.jajoo@angeltrade.com
Shailesh Kanani Infrastructure, Real Estate shailesh.kanani@angeltrade.com
Anand Shah FMCG , Media anand.shah@angeltrade.com
Deepak Pareek Oil & Gas deepak.pareek@angeltrade.com
Puneet Bambha Capital Goods, Engineering puneet.bambha@angeltrade.com
Sushant Dalmia Pharmaceutical sushant.dalmia@angeltrade.com
Rupesh Sankhe Cement, Power rupeshd.sankhe@angeltrade.com
Param Desai Real Estate, Logistics, Shipping paramv.desai@angeltrade.com
Sageraj Bariya Fertiliser, Mid-cap sageraj.bariya@angeltrade.com
Viraj Nadkarni Retail, Hotels, Mid-cap virajm.nadkarni@angeltrade.com
Paresh Jain Metals & Mining pareshn.jain@angeltrade.com
Amit Rane Banking amitn.rane@angeltrade.com
Rahul Jain IT, Telecom rahul.j@angeltrade.com
Jai Sharda Mid-cap jai.sharda@angeltrade.com
Sharan Lillaney Mid-cap sharanb.lillaney@angeltrade.com
Amit Vora Research Associate (Oil & Gas) amit.vora@angeltrade.com
V Srinivasan Research Associate (Cement, Power) v.srinivasan@angeltrade.com
Aniruddha Mate Research Associate (Infra, Real Estate) aniruddha.mate@angeltrade.com
Mihir Salot Research Associate (Logistics, Shipping) mihirr.salot@angeltrade.com
Chitrangda Kapur Research Associate (FMCG, Media) chitrangdar.kapur@angeltrade.com
Vibha Salvi Research Associate (IT, Telecom) vibhas.salvi@angeltrade.com
Pooja Jain Research Associate (Metals & Mining) pooja.j@angeltrade.com
Technicals:
Shardul Kulkarni Sr. Technical Analyst shardul.kulkarni@angeltrade.com
Mileen Vasudeo Technical Analyst vasudeo.kamalakant@angeltrade.com
Derivatives:
Siddarth Bhamre Head - Derivatives siddarth.bhamre@angeltrade.com
Jaya Agarwal Derivative Analyst jaya.agarwal@angeltrade.com
Sandeep Patil Jr. Derivative Analyst patil.sandeep@angeltrade.com
Institutional Sales Team:
Mayuresh Joshi VP - Institutional Sales mayuresh.joshi@angeltrade.com
Abhimanyu Sofat AVP - Institutional Sales abhimanyu.sofat@angeltrade.com
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