Indusind Bank Ltd. reported strong quarterly results for the quarter ending March 2015, with healthy growth in advances, net interest income, and profit after tax. Asset quality improved slightly with gross non-performing assets declining to 0.8% from 1.0% in the previous quarter. The bank expects further improvement in asset quality and margins going forward as the business mix shifts toward retail lending and CASAs increase. The analyst maintains an 'Accumulate' rating and raises the target price to Rs. 960 based on positive fundamentals and growth prospects.
Petronet LNG: Reports decent set of numbers, hold - Sushil FinanceIndiaNotes.com
Petronet LNG has reported decent set of numbers for the quarter ended March’14 which were slightly better than expectations. With no major trigger in offing in near term, expect the stock to underperform & hence maintain hold with a revised price target of Rs152
Yes Bank: Reports tepid set of numbers in Q1FY15; HoldIndiaNotes.com
Yes Bank reported tepid set of numbers which were marginally below our estimates. While NII grew by 13.1% YoY to INR 7453 mn, profit grew by 9.6% to INR 4395 mn dented largely by 3.7% decline in non interest income and 25.1% surge in operating expenses. Hold
Petronet LNG: Reports decent set of numbers, hold - Sushil FinanceIndiaNotes.com
Petronet LNG has reported decent set of numbers for the quarter ended March’14 which were slightly better than expectations. With no major trigger in offing in near term, expect the stock to underperform & hence maintain hold with a revised price target of Rs152
Yes Bank: Reports tepid set of numbers in Q1FY15; HoldIndiaNotes.com
Yes Bank reported tepid set of numbers which were marginally below our estimates. While NII grew by 13.1% YoY to INR 7453 mn, profit grew by 9.6% to INR 4395 mn dented largely by 3.7% decline in non interest income and 25.1% surge in operating expenses. Hold
Bajaj Finance Q1FY15: AUM growth remained strong at Rs269.4 bn, buyIndiaNotes.com
Bajaj Finance Q1FY15 PAT stood at INR2.11b, up 20% YoY and 16% QoQ (11% above est. of INR1.9b). Strong AUM growth (+40% YoY and 12% QoQ) and stable asset quality QoQ (GNPA/NNPA 1.13/0.27%) were highlights of the quarter. Buy
TCS’ 1QFY15 revenue grew 5.5% QoQ to USD3.6b (and 4.8% QoQ CC), in line with estimate. EBITDA margin declined 210bp QoQ to 28.8%, v/s estimate of 29.2%. EBIT margin (26.3%) was lower than est. (27.6%) due to a one-time depreciation charge.
Shriram Transport Finance Company Q1FY15: Buy for a target of Rs1130IndiaNotes.com
Shriram Transport’s 1QFY15 PAT declined 10% YoY and (up 4% QoQ to INR3b (In line). Moderation in AUM growth (+4% YoY to INR544b), decline in disbursements (7% YoY), and improvement in margins (10bp QoQ) are key highlights of the quarter; buy.
SBI Magnum Equity Fund: An Equity Mutual Fund - Jul 2016SBI Mutual Fund
SBI Magnum Equity Fund is an open ended Equity Mutual which is best suited for investors seeking long term investment. This Mutual Fund Scheme seeks to provide maximum growth opportunities from a portfolio of equity and debt instruments of companies having high growth potential. To know more about this product check our website page https://www.sbimf.com/Products/EquitySchemes/Magnum_Equity_Fund.aspx
Currently, valuations seem reasonable for long term investment, Business Cycle has bottomed out and relatively low FII flows have been recorded. Our framework suggests that it is time to accumulate equities and stay invested for long term.
Hindustan Media Q1FY15: Strong advertising as well as circulation growth, BuyIndiaNotes.com
During the quarter, the company's revenue grew 16.5% YoY to INR2.1b (est INR2.02b). Advertising revenue grew 17% YoY to INR1.56b (est INR1.5b) largely led by yield improvement. Circulation revenue grew 17% YoY to INR493m (est INR458m). Buy
Q3FY15 Recommendation: Maintain hold on Alembic PharmaIndiaNotes.com
For the quarter, Alembic Pharma reported muted sales growth of 4.6% yoy to Rs 497 cr, below than the street expectations of Rs 561cr on account of (1) discontinuation of low margin products in international markets (2) Failure to gain expected market share in newly launched products (3) Price erosion due to higher competition in existing products (4) Lower growth in domestic portfolio because of high base effect in Q3FY14. However, it still could manage to sustain its healthy EBITDA margins at 21.2% as compared to 19.8% in Q2FY15/21.7% in Q3FY14. The management has reiterated its earlier guidance of 100-125 bps improvement in margins for next 3-4 years to take the margins to 23-24% levels. Alembic Pharma is awaiting its USFDA inspection this year for both its formulations as well as API facilities.
Bajaj Finance Q1FY15: AUM growth remained strong at Rs269.4 bn, buyIndiaNotes.com
Bajaj Finance Q1FY15 PAT stood at INR2.11b, up 20% YoY and 16% QoQ (11% above est. of INR1.9b). Strong AUM growth (+40% YoY and 12% QoQ) and stable asset quality QoQ (GNPA/NNPA 1.13/0.27%) were highlights of the quarter. Buy
TCS’ 1QFY15 revenue grew 5.5% QoQ to USD3.6b (and 4.8% QoQ CC), in line with estimate. EBITDA margin declined 210bp QoQ to 28.8%, v/s estimate of 29.2%. EBIT margin (26.3%) was lower than est. (27.6%) due to a one-time depreciation charge.
Shriram Transport Finance Company Q1FY15: Buy for a target of Rs1130IndiaNotes.com
Shriram Transport’s 1QFY15 PAT declined 10% YoY and (up 4% QoQ to INR3b (In line). Moderation in AUM growth (+4% YoY to INR544b), decline in disbursements (7% YoY), and improvement in margins (10bp QoQ) are key highlights of the quarter; buy.
SBI Magnum Equity Fund: An Equity Mutual Fund - Jul 2016SBI Mutual Fund
SBI Magnum Equity Fund is an open ended Equity Mutual which is best suited for investors seeking long term investment. This Mutual Fund Scheme seeks to provide maximum growth opportunities from a portfolio of equity and debt instruments of companies having high growth potential. To know more about this product check our website page https://www.sbimf.com/Products/EquitySchemes/Magnum_Equity_Fund.aspx
Currently, valuations seem reasonable for long term investment, Business Cycle has bottomed out and relatively low FII flows have been recorded. Our framework suggests that it is time to accumulate equities and stay invested for long term.
Hindustan Media Q1FY15: Strong advertising as well as circulation growth, BuyIndiaNotes.com
During the quarter, the company's revenue grew 16.5% YoY to INR2.1b (est INR2.02b). Advertising revenue grew 17% YoY to INR1.56b (est INR1.5b) largely led by yield improvement. Circulation revenue grew 17% YoY to INR493m (est INR458m). Buy
Q3FY15 Recommendation: Maintain hold on Alembic PharmaIndiaNotes.com
For the quarter, Alembic Pharma reported muted sales growth of 4.6% yoy to Rs 497 cr, below than the street expectations of Rs 561cr on account of (1) discontinuation of low margin products in international markets (2) Failure to gain expected market share in newly launched products (3) Price erosion due to higher competition in existing products (4) Lower growth in domestic portfolio because of high base effect in Q3FY14. However, it still could manage to sustain its healthy EBITDA margins at 21.2% as compared to 19.8% in Q2FY15/21.7% in Q3FY14. The management has reiterated its earlier guidance of 100-125 bps improvement in margins for next 3-4 years to take the margins to 23-24% levels. Alembic Pharma is awaiting its USFDA inspection this year for both its formulations as well as API facilities.
ING Vyasa Bank Q2FY14 Result: Maintain neutralIndiaNotes.com
ING Vysya Bank’s (VYSB) 2QFY15 PAT was 9% above estimate at INR1.8b (+2% YoY) led by better-than-expected NIM (+10bp) and lower provisioning. Reported NIM improved 17bp QoQ to 3.54%. However, adjusted for interest reversal on account of stressed accounts in 1QFY15, NIM was stable QoQ at 3.54%.
ING Vysya Bank: Sharp deterioration in asset quality impacts NIM in Q1FY15IndiaNotes.com
ING Vysya Bank’s PAT declined 18% YoY to ~INR1.4b (22% below est.). Sharp deterioration in asset quality not only impacted NIMs (negative impact of 15bp) but also led to higher provisioning of INR1b (61% above estimate). Estimated downgraded, maintain buy.
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IndusInd Bank delivers strong set of numbers in Q4; Accumulate
1. Indusind Bank Ltd. (IIB) has delivered strong set of numbers for the quarter ended
March’15 except for marginal negative surprise on asset quality front. We attended the
analyst meet of the company and following are the key highlights of the results.
Key Highlights of Q4FY15 Results
Healthy advances growth, higher core-fee income along with stable NIMs has led to
strong NII & PAT growth which grew by 18% YoY (7% QoQ) & 25% YoY (11% QoQ) to
Rs.9.3 bn & Rs.4.9 bn resp. Core-fee income grew by 29% YoY (~9% QoQ) with all
major sustainable streams posting double digit growth except for forex income which
was flat YoY. NIM's remained stable to 3.68% QoQ.
Advances grew by 25% YoY (8% QoQ) majorly led by Corporate segment which grew by
33% YoY (~59% of the loan-book). Retail portfolio has shown some improvement &
grew by ~15% YoY, being one of the highest YoY growth over the last 6 quarters.
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momentum in CV segment going forward. Non-vehicle segment like LAP/CC/PL (~18%
of retail portfolio) has been witnessing strong growth with LAP growing by ~50%
YoY. Deposit grew by 23% YoY (~7% QoQ) while CASA was stable at 34.1%.
Asset Quality improved with GNPA @ 0.8% (1.0% QoQ) & NNPA at 0.31% (0.32%) due
to sale to ARC of ~Rs.4 bn (one major account was classified as NPA after RBI declared
it as fraud account). Slippages in Q4 came in at Rs.4.5 bn being majorly attributed to
the above account (Corporate segment @ Rs.3.2 bn). However management doesn’t
foresee any major negative surprise on asset quality in the near term. Restructured
book came in flat at 0.53%. CRAR under Basel III stood at ~12.1% with ROE & ROA at
~19.8% & 1.9% resp.
Management Guidance: 1) NIMs likely to improve going forward (Mgmt
target 3.8-4.0% in next 1 year) on back of i) Changing business mix towards retail
ii) Improving CASA iii) Benefits of fixed rate book flowing in with
declining bulk deposit rates. 2) Branch expansion to continue - added 200 branches in
FY15 to 800 & expects the total branches to reach to 1200 by FY17 end.
3) Credit Cost to be maintained at similar levels going forward (<60 bps).
4) CASA target of ~40% by FY17E.
OUTLOOK & VALUATION
Strong advances growth, healthy NIMs coupled with consistent core-fee income has led to
superior performance in the current quarter. Strong execution of well planned strategies
has helped bank achieve strong core-fee income growth along with healthy liability
franchise. Moreover, with improving economic scenario & likely change in business mix,
we expect improvement in margins & asset quality which marginally got impacted in the
current quarter. Hence, considering the sound fundamentals & strong growth prospects,
we remain positive on the stock & recommend ‘Accumulate’ with a revised price target of
Rs.960 based on our FY17E estimates.
Indusind Bank Ltd. (IIB)
April 25, 2015 ACCUMULATE MEDIUM RISK PRICE Rs.832 TARGET Rs.960
BFSI
EARLIER RECO
HOLD
Price Rs.840
Target Rs.920
Date January 21, 2015
SHARE HOLDING (%)
Promoters 15.1
FII 39.7
FI / MF 9.0
Body Corporate 12.5
Public & Others 23.7
STOCK DATA
Reuters Code
Bloomberg
Code
INBK.BO
IIB IN
BSE Code
NSE Symbol
532187
INDUSINDBK
Market
Capitalization*
Rs.440,750 mn
US$ 6952 mn
Shares
Outstanding*
529.5 mn
52 Weeks (H/L) Rs.967 / 472
Avg. Daily
Volume (6m)
912,520 Shares
Price Performance (%)
1M 3M 6M
(6) (3) 22
*On fully diluted equity shares
200 days EMA Rs.758
Please refer to important disclosures at the end of the report For private Circulation Only.
Sushil Financial Services Private Limited Member : BSEL, SEBI Regn.No. INB/F010982338 | NSEIL, SEBI Regn.No.INB/F230607435.
Regd. Office : 12, Homji Street, Fort, Mumbai 400 001. Phone: +91 22 40936000 Fax: +91 22 22665758 Email : info@sushilfinance.com
KEY FINANCIALS
Y/E
Mar.
Net Income
(Rs mn)
PAT
(Rs mn)
AEPS
(Rs)
NIM
(%)
P/E
(x)
P/ABV
(%)
ROE
(%)
ROA
(%)
FY14 28,907 14,080 26.8 3.92 31.1 5.2 16.9 1.8
FY15E 34,202 17,937 33.9 3.82 24.6 4.4 18.2 1.8
FY16E 42,553 22,780 43.0 3.86 19.3 3.7 19.6 1.9
FY17E 53,286 29,466 55.7 3.91 14.9 3.0 21.2 2.0
ANALYST
Shreyas Bhukhanwala | +91 22 4093 5096
shreyas.bhukhanwala@sushilfinance.com
SALES:
Devang Shah | +91 22 4093 6060/62
devang.shah@sushilfinance.com
Q4FY15 Result Update
3. April 25, 2015 3
Indusind Bank Ltd.
Rating Scale
This is a guide to the rating system used by our Institutional Research Team. Our rating system
comprises of six rating categories, with a corresponding risk rating.
Risk Rating
Risk Description Predictability of Earnings / Dividends; Price Volatility
Low Risk High predictability / Low volatility
Medium Risk Moderate predictability / volatility
High Risk Low predictability / High volatility
Total Expected Return Matrix
Rating Low Risk Medium Risk High Risk
Buy Over 15 % Over 20% Over 25%
Accumulate 10 % to 15 % 15% to 20% 20% to 25%
Hold 0% to 10 % 0% to 15% 0% to 20%
Sell Negative Returns Negative Returns Negative Returns
Neutral Not Applicable Not Applicable Not Applicable
Not Rated Not Applicable Not Applicable Not Applicable
Please Note
Recommendations with “Neutral” Rating imply reversal of our earlier opinion (i.e. Book Profits / Losses).
** Indicates that the stock is illiquid With a view to combat the higher acquisition cost for illiquid stocks, we
have enhanced our return criteria for such stocks by five percentage points.
Stock Review Reports: These are Soft coverage’s on companies where Management access is difficult or Market
capitalization is below Rs. 2000 mn. Views and recommendation on such companies may not necessarily be based
on management meeting but may be based on the publicly available information and/or attending Company AGMs.
Hence Stock Reviews may be just one-time coverage’s with an occasional Update, wherever possible.
Additional information with respect to any securities referred to herein will be available upon request.
This report is prepared for the exclusive use of Sushil Group clients only and should not be reproduced, re-
circulated, published in any media, website or otherwise, in any form or manner, in part or as a whole,
without the express consent in writing of Sushil Financial Services Private Limited. Any unauthorized use,
disclosure or public dissemination of information contained herein is prohibited. This report is to be used only
by the original recipient to whom it is sent.
This is for private circulation only and the said document does not constitute an offer to buy or sell any
securities mentioned herein. While utmost care has been taken in preparing the above, we claim no
responsibility for its accuracy. We shall not be liable for any direct or indirect losses arising from the use
thereof and the investors are requested to use the information contained herein at their own risk.
This report has been prepared for information purposes only and is not a solicitation, or an offer, to buy or sell
any security. It does not purport to be a complete description of the securities, markets or developments
referred to in the material. The information, on which the report is based, has been obtained from sources,
which we believe to be reliable, but we have not independently verified such information and we do not
guarantee that it is accurate or complete. All expressions of opinion are subject to change without notice.
Sushil Financial Services Private Limited and its connected companies, and their respective directors, officers
and employees (to be collectively known as SFSPL), may, from time to time, have a long or short position in
the securities mentioned and may sell or buy such securities. SFSPL may act upon or make use of information
contained herein prior to the publication thereof.
The Investment horizon of this report is approximately 1 year. Any calls which lapse the time duration of a year
would be auto closed without any further notifications/updates. Clients are requested to keep track of the same.