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COP	
  19	
  Side	
  Event	
  
12	
  November,	
  2013	
  

SCALING	
  UP	
  CLIMATE	
  SMART	
  AGRICULTURE:	
  	
  
POLICIES,	
  DEVELOPMENT,	
  ADAPTATION	
  AND	
  
MITIGATION	
  
Henry	
  Neufeldt	
  
World	
  Agroforestry	
  Centre	
  (ICRAF)	
  
Emissions	
  from	
  agricultural	
  producMon,	
  conversion	
  
of	
  land	
  and	
  pre-­‐	
  and	
  postproducMon	
  processes	
  
9.5-­‐14.7	
  Gt	
  CO2e	
  
	
  
(19-­‐29%)	
  
global	
  food	
  
	
  
system	
  
	
  
7.6-­‐12.4	
  Gt	
  CO2e	
  
(15-­‐25%)	
  
indirect	
  
	
  
5.4-­‐5.8	
  Gt	
  CO2e	
  
(10-­‐12%)	
  
direct	
  
EsMmated	
  historical	
  and	
  projected	
  GHG	
  emissions	
  

• 
• 
• 
• 
• 

38%	
  as	
  N2O	
  from	
  soils	
  
32%	
  as	
  CH4	
  from	
  ruminant	
  enteric	
  fermentaMon	
  
12%	
  mainly	
  as	
  N2O	
  and	
  CH4	
  through	
  biomass	
  burning	
  
11%	
  mainly	
  as	
  CH4	
  in	
  rice	
  producMon	
  
7%	
  as	
  N2O	
  and	
  CH4	
  from	
  manure	
  management	
  
Smith	
  et	
  al	
  in	
  IPCC	
  AR4	
  GWIII,	
  2007	
  
Global	
  technical	
  miMgaMon	
  
potenMal	
  by	
  2030	
  by	
  
management	
  pracMce	
  and	
  
greenhouse	
  gases	
  	
  

Smith	
  et	
  al	
  in	
  IPCC	
  AR4	
  GWIII,	
  2007	
  
Climate-­‐smart	
  agriculture	
  
Whole	
  food	
  
systems	
  
Climate	
  
variability	
  

Climate	
  
change	
  
Incremental	
  
adaptaMon	
  

Food	
  security	
  
Synergies	
  

AdaptaMon	
  

MiMgaMon	
  

Tradeoffs	
  

TransformaMonal	
  
adaptaMon	
  
THE	
  CHALLENGES	
  
Examples	
  of	
  climate-­‐smart	
  agriculture	
  pracMces	
  
Crops	
  
Livestock	
  
No	
  Mllage,	
  direct	
  seeding	
  	
   Increased	
  feeding	
  
efficiency	
  
RotaMons	
  with	
  legumes	
   Improved	
  rangeland	
  
management	
  
Intercropping	
  with	
  
Efficient	
  treatment	
  of	
  
legumes	
  
manure	
  
New	
  varieMes:	
  shorter	
  
Improved	
  livestock	
  
cycle,	
  drought	
  tolerant,	
   health	
  
etc	
  
Improved	
  storage	
  &	
  
Animal	
  husbandry	
  
processing	
  technologies	
   improvements	
  

Agroforestry	
  
MulMpurpose	
  trees	
  on	
  
farms	
  
Nitrogen-­‐fixing	
  trees,	
  
bushes,	
  fodder	
  trees	
  
Improved	
  fallows	
  
Hedges,	
  windbreaks,	
  
shelterbelts,	
  live	
  fences	
  
Fruit	
  orchards	
  
Examples	
  of	
  climate-­‐smart	
  agriculture	
  pracMces	
  
Water	
  management	
  
Water	
  storage	
  –	
  e.g.	
  
water	
  pans	
  
Alternate	
  we`ng	
  and	
  
drying	
  (rice)	
  
Dams,	
  pits,	
  retaining	
  
ridges	
  
Improved	
  irrigaMon	
  
(drip)	
  

Soils	
  management	
  
Fisheries	
  &	
  Aquaculture	
  
ConservaMon	
  agriculture	
   Saline	
  resistant	
  species	
  
and	
  no-­‐Mll	
  
Stone	
  bunds	
  
Increased	
  feeding	
  
efficiency	
  
PlanMng	
  pits	
  (zai)	
  
IntegraMon	
  of	
  
aquaculture	
  in	
  farms	
  
Mulching	
  
Low	
  energy	
  fuel	
  efficient	
  
fishing	
  
	
  
Examples	
  of	
  no-­‐Mll	
  pracMces	
  in	
  different	
  countries	
  
GHG	
  miMgaMon	
  through	
  no-­‐Mll	
  in	
  selected	
  countries	
  	
  

UNEP	
  Emissions	
  Gap	
  Report,	
  2013	
  
System	
  of	
  rice	
  
intensificaMon	
  as	
  
an	
  example	
  of	
  
improved	
  nutrient	
  
and	
  water	
  
management	
  

Uphoff,	
  2012	
  
Review	
  of	
  SRI	
  
management	
  impacts	
  
on	
  yield,	
  water	
  
saving,	
  costs	
  of	
  
producMon	
  and	
  
farmer	
  income	
  per	
  ha	
  
in	
  13	
  countries	
  
	
  
Average:	
  	
  
+50%	
  yield	
  
-­‐37.5%	
  water	
  use	
  
-­‐16%	
  costs	
  
+94%	
  income	
  
Uphoff,	
  2012	
  
Evergreen	
  agriculture	
  
with	
  	
  
Faidherbia	
  albida	
  
Farmer	
  climate	
  coping	
  strategies
	
  
•  Farmers	
  most	
  interested	
  in	
  reducing	
  food	
  insecurity	
  
•  No	
  long-­‐	
  or	
  medium-­‐term	
  planning	
  possible	
  under	
  food	
  insecure	
  situaMon	
  
•  Tree	
  planMng	
  (and	
  other	
  investments	
  in	
  livelihood	
  improvements)	
  only	
  
ager	
  basic	
  food	
  security	
  is	
  guaranteed	
  
•  Food	
  insecurity	
  rose	
  by	
  at	
  least	
  one	
  month	
  (above	
  on	
  average	
  3	
  months)	
  
during	
  recent	
  drought	
  and	
  floods	
  
•  Coping	
  strategies	
  lead	
  into	
  ‘poverty	
  trap’	
  
•  Agroforestry	
  reduced	
  food	
  insecurity	
  by	
  about	
  1	
  month	
  

All	
  #s	
  in	
  %	
  
Lower	
  
Nyando	
  
Middle	
  
Nyando	
  

Reduce	
  
Comm-­‐
QuanMty,	
   unity	
  or	
  
Quality	
  or	
  #	
   family	
  
of	
  meals	
  
support	
  

Help	
  from	
  
Gov,	
  NGO,	
  
Church	
  

Borrow	
  
money	
  

Casual	
  
Labor	
  

Sell	
  
possess-­‐
ions	
  or	
  
livestock	
  

Consume	
  
Seeds	
  

Children	
  
alend	
  
school	
  
less	
  

85	
  

30	
  

42	
  

32	
  

28	
  

72	
  

72	
  

38	
  

38	
  

23	
  

18	
  

37.5	
  

25	
  

40	
  

61	
  

12.5	
  

Thorlakson	
  and	
  Neufeldt,	
  Agriculture	
  and	
  Food	
  Security	
  2012,	
  1:15	
  
Barriers	
  to	
  adopMon	
  of	
  CSA	
  in	
  smallholder	
  agriculture	
  
• 
• 
• 
• 
• 
• 

Provide	
  an	
  enabling	
  legal	
  and	
  poliMcal	
  environment	
  
Improve	
  market	
  accessibility	
  
Involve	
  farmers	
  in	
  the	
  project-­‐planning	
  process	
  
Improve	
  access	
  to	
  knowledge	
  and	
  training	
  
Introduce	
  more	
  secure	
  tenure	
  
Overcome	
  the	
  barriers	
  of	
  high	
  opportunity	
  costs	
  to	
  
land	
  
•  Improve	
  access	
  to	
  farm	
  implements	
  and	
  capital	
  

Thorlakson	
  and	
  Neufeldt,	
  2012	
  
Financial	
  benefits	
  of	
  no-­‐Mll	
  wheat	
  
producMon	
  in	
  northern	
  Kasakhstan	
  

Derpsch	
  et	
  al,	
  2010	
  
Constraints:	
  insecure	
  tenure
	
  

Economic,	
  Environmental	
  and	
  Social	
  
Tenure	
  
Unadjud	
   Freehold	
  
Impacts	
  
Effect	
  
Net	
  returns	
  to	
  land	
  ($	
  ha-­‐1	
  y-­‐1)	
  
$126	
  
$288	
  
2.28	
  
Woody	
  crops,	
  woodlots	
  etc	
  (ha	
  km-­‐2)	
  
5.4	
  
25.6	
  
4.7	
  
Hedgerows	
  (km	
  km-­‐2)	
  
5.2	
  
23.6	
  
4.5	
  
Social	
  cost	
  from	
  embedding	
  
-­‐$40	
  
$30	
  
$70	
  
Social	
  "tax"	
  
-­‐32%	
  
+10%	
  
	
  
	
  
InnovaTon	
  and	
  food	
  security
	
  

RelaMonship	
  between	
  
innovaMveness	
  (number	
  
of	
  farming	
  system	
  
changes)	
  and	
  household	
  
food	
  security	
  (number	
  
of	
  food	
  deficit	
  months).	
  
Error	
  bars	
  indicate	
  the	
  
95%	
  confidence	
  interval	
  
of	
  the	
  mean	
  
	
  

Kristjanson	
  et	
  al.,	
  2012	
  
Lessons	
  learned	
  for	
  policy	
  development	
  and	
  scaling	
  up	
  
Agricultural	
  miTgaTon	
  opTons	
  require	
  a	
  coordinated	
  mix	
  of	
  policy	
  support,	
  
private	
  and	
  public	
  sector	
  investment,	
  strengthened	
  research,	
  and	
  capacity	
  
building	
  of	
  key	
  stakeholders	
  
	
  
Explicitly	
  considering	
  climate	
  change	
  miTgaTon,	
  adaptaTon	
  and	
  other	
  benefits	
  
at	
  the	
  outset	
  is	
  criTcal	
  to	
  achieving	
  mulTple	
  benefits	
  and	
  reducing	
  tradeoffs	
  
	
  
FacilitaTon	
  of	
  public-­‐private	
  partnerships	
  and	
  stakeholder	
  engagement,	
  
including	
  research	
  centers,	
  governments,	
  extension	
  agents,	
  the	
  private	
  sector	
  
and	
  NGOs,	
  is	
  criTcal	
  	
  
	
  
Financial	
  incenTves	
  (including	
  tax	
  offsets,	
  subsidies,	
  credit)	
  are	
  needed	
  to	
  
overcome	
  high	
  investment	
  costs	
  and	
  lag	
  Tmes	
  before	
  benefits	
  accrue	
  
	
  
Technologies	
  must	
  be	
  context	
  specific	
  to	
  the	
  region	
  or	
  country	
  where	
  they	
  are	
  
introduced	
  
	
  
AdapTve	
  management	
  of	
  natural	
  resource	
  governance	
  systems	
  is	
  essenTal	
  
Thanks	
  for	
  a	
  future	
  

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Scaling up Climate Smart Agriculture: policies, development, adaptation and mitigation - Henry Neufeldt (ICRAF)

  • 1. COP  19  Side  Event   12  November,  2013   SCALING  UP  CLIMATE  SMART  AGRICULTURE:     POLICIES,  DEVELOPMENT,  ADAPTATION  AND   MITIGATION   Henry  Neufeldt   World  Agroforestry  Centre  (ICRAF)  
  • 2. Emissions  from  agricultural  producMon,  conversion   of  land  and  pre-­‐  and  postproducMon  processes   9.5-­‐14.7  Gt  CO2e     (19-­‐29%)   global  food     system     7.6-­‐12.4  Gt  CO2e   (15-­‐25%)   indirect     5.4-­‐5.8  Gt  CO2e   (10-­‐12%)   direct  
  • 3. EsMmated  historical  and  projected  GHG  emissions   •  •  •  •  •  38%  as  N2O  from  soils   32%  as  CH4  from  ruminant  enteric  fermentaMon   12%  mainly  as  N2O  and  CH4  through  biomass  burning   11%  mainly  as  CH4  in  rice  producMon   7%  as  N2O  and  CH4  from  manure  management   Smith  et  al  in  IPCC  AR4  GWIII,  2007  
  • 4. Global  technical  miMgaMon   potenMal  by  2030  by   management  pracMce  and   greenhouse  gases     Smith  et  al  in  IPCC  AR4  GWIII,  2007  
  • 5. Climate-­‐smart  agriculture   Whole  food   systems   Climate   variability   Climate   change   Incremental   adaptaMon   Food  security   Synergies   AdaptaMon   MiMgaMon   Tradeoffs   TransformaMonal   adaptaMon   THE  CHALLENGES  
  • 6. Examples  of  climate-­‐smart  agriculture  pracMces   Crops   Livestock   No  Mllage,  direct  seeding     Increased  feeding   efficiency   RotaMons  with  legumes   Improved  rangeland   management   Intercropping  with   Efficient  treatment  of   legumes   manure   New  varieMes:  shorter   Improved  livestock   cycle,  drought  tolerant,   health   etc   Improved  storage  &   Animal  husbandry   processing  technologies   improvements   Agroforestry   MulMpurpose  trees  on   farms   Nitrogen-­‐fixing  trees,   bushes,  fodder  trees   Improved  fallows   Hedges,  windbreaks,   shelterbelts,  live  fences   Fruit  orchards  
  • 7. Examples  of  climate-­‐smart  agriculture  pracMces   Water  management   Water  storage  –  e.g.   water  pans   Alternate  we`ng  and   drying  (rice)   Dams,  pits,  retaining   ridges   Improved  irrigaMon   (drip)   Soils  management   Fisheries  &  Aquaculture   ConservaMon  agriculture   Saline  resistant  species   and  no-­‐Mll   Stone  bunds   Increased  feeding   efficiency   PlanMng  pits  (zai)   IntegraMon  of   aquaculture  in  farms   Mulching   Low  energy  fuel  efficient   fishing    
  • 8. Examples  of  no-­‐Mll  pracMces  in  different  countries  
  • 9. GHG  miMgaMon  through  no-­‐Mll  in  selected  countries     UNEP  Emissions  Gap  Report,  2013  
  • 10. System  of  rice   intensificaMon  as   an  example  of   improved  nutrient   and  water   management   Uphoff,  2012  
  • 11. Review  of  SRI   management  impacts   on  yield,  water   saving,  costs  of   producMon  and   farmer  income  per  ha   in  13  countries     Average:     +50%  yield   -­‐37.5%  water  use   -­‐16%  costs   +94%  income   Uphoff,  2012  
  • 12. Evergreen  agriculture   with     Faidherbia  albida  
  • 13. Farmer  climate  coping  strategies   •  Farmers  most  interested  in  reducing  food  insecurity   •  No  long-­‐  or  medium-­‐term  planning  possible  under  food  insecure  situaMon   •  Tree  planMng  (and  other  investments  in  livelihood  improvements)  only   ager  basic  food  security  is  guaranteed   •  Food  insecurity  rose  by  at  least  one  month  (above  on  average  3  months)   during  recent  drought  and  floods   •  Coping  strategies  lead  into  ‘poverty  trap’   •  Agroforestry  reduced  food  insecurity  by  about  1  month   All  #s  in  %   Lower   Nyando   Middle   Nyando   Reduce   Comm-­‐ QuanMty,   unity  or   Quality  or  #   family   of  meals   support   Help  from   Gov,  NGO,   Church   Borrow   money   Casual   Labor   Sell   possess-­‐ ions  or   livestock   Consume   Seeds   Children   alend   school   less   85   30   42   32   28   72   72   38   38   23   18   37.5   25   40   61   12.5   Thorlakson  and  Neufeldt,  Agriculture  and  Food  Security  2012,  1:15  
  • 14. Barriers  to  adopMon  of  CSA  in  smallholder  agriculture   •  •  •  •  •  •  Provide  an  enabling  legal  and  poliMcal  environment   Improve  market  accessibility   Involve  farmers  in  the  project-­‐planning  process   Improve  access  to  knowledge  and  training   Introduce  more  secure  tenure   Overcome  the  barriers  of  high  opportunity  costs  to   land   •  Improve  access  to  farm  implements  and  capital   Thorlakson  and  Neufeldt,  2012  
  • 15. Financial  benefits  of  no-­‐Mll  wheat   producMon  in  northern  Kasakhstan   Derpsch  et  al,  2010  
  • 16. Constraints:  insecure  tenure   Economic,  Environmental  and  Social   Tenure   Unadjud   Freehold   Impacts   Effect   Net  returns  to  land  ($  ha-­‐1  y-­‐1)   $126   $288   2.28   Woody  crops,  woodlots  etc  (ha  km-­‐2)   5.4   25.6   4.7   Hedgerows  (km  km-­‐2)   5.2   23.6   4.5   Social  cost  from  embedding   -­‐$40   $30   $70   Social  "tax"   -­‐32%   +10%      
  • 17. InnovaTon  and  food  security   RelaMonship  between   innovaMveness  (number   of  farming  system   changes)  and  household   food  security  (number   of  food  deficit  months).   Error  bars  indicate  the   95%  confidence  interval   of  the  mean     Kristjanson  et  al.,  2012  
  • 18. Lessons  learned  for  policy  development  and  scaling  up   Agricultural  miTgaTon  opTons  require  a  coordinated  mix  of  policy  support,   private  and  public  sector  investment,  strengthened  research,  and  capacity   building  of  key  stakeholders     Explicitly  considering  climate  change  miTgaTon,  adaptaTon  and  other  benefits   at  the  outset  is  criTcal  to  achieving  mulTple  benefits  and  reducing  tradeoffs     FacilitaTon  of  public-­‐private  partnerships  and  stakeholder  engagement,   including  research  centers,  governments,  extension  agents,  the  private  sector   and  NGOs,  is  criTcal       Financial  incenTves  (including  tax  offsets,  subsidies,  credit)  are  needed  to   overcome  high  investment  costs  and  lag  Tmes  before  benefits  accrue     Technologies  must  be  context  specific  to  the  region  or  country  where  they  are   introduced     AdapTve  management  of  natural  resource  governance  systems  is  essenTal  
  • 19. Thanks  for  a  future