Launch of the Southeast Asia office of the CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change, Agriculture and Food Security http://ccafs.cgiar.org 7 May 2013, Hanoi, Vietnam. Presentation by Bruce Campbell, CCAFS Program Director

1. CCAFS
Mee(ng,
Hanoi,
May
2013
Climate
Smart
Agriculture
in
Southeast
Asia

2. 2
Outline
1. Challenges
2. CGIAR Research Program on Climate Change,
Agriculture and Food Security (CCAFS)
3. Next steps for CCAFS in SE Asia

3. 3
SE Asia
& Climate Change
• 8.6% of the world’s population
• > 50% in rural areas
• Nearly 50% of land used for agriculture
• Dependence on agriculture means high
vulnerability to climate change

4. 4
Climate hazards
• 45 million people affected by tropical cyclones in
last half century
• Increased intensity and frequency of extreme
weather events in last 20 years
• Floods and droughts are both common
• Delays in wet season
Ø Increased severity and frequency of extreme
events predicted
Ø +5-6OC ?

5. 5
Sea level rise: 1 m = 38% inundated
(MONRE, 2009)
Legend
Province
border
District
borders
Satellite
antenna
Rivers
and
canals
Flooded
area

6. 6
Impact of projected
climate change
• Changes in crop suitability
• Loss of land
• Increased fire, forest dieback and landslides
• Decrease in freshwater availability
• Increase in pests, pathogens, and invasive species
FAO,
2011;
Cruz
et
al.,
2007;
Lacombe,
Hoanh
and
Smakh(n,
2012;
Nelson
et
al.,
2009;
Lefroy,
Collet
and
Groverman,
2010)

7. 7
Magnitude and sources of GHGs
Indirect
-­‐
deforesta(on
Soils
Enteric
Rice
Vermeulen
et
al
(2012)

8. 8
Drivers
of
Deforesta,on
Hosonuma
et
al.
2013

9. Part 2:
CGIAR Research Program on Climate
Change Agriculture and Food Security

10. 10
• Iden(fy
and
develop
pro-­‐
poor
adapta,on
and
mi,ga,on
prac,ces,
technologies
and
policies
for
agriculture
and
food
systems.
• Support
the
inclusion
of
agricultural
issues
in
climate
change
policies,
and
of
climate
issues
in
agricultural
policies,
at
all
levels.
CCAFS Overall Objectives

11. 11
Technologies, practices,
partnerships and policies for:
1. Adaptation to Progressive
Climate Change
2. Adaptation through Managing
Climate Risk
3. Pro-poor Climate Change
Mitigation
4. Integration for Decision Making
• Linking Knowledge with Action
• Assembling Data and Tools for Analysis
and Planning
• Refining Frameworks for Policy Analysis

12. 12
Farms-­‐of-­‐The-­‐Future
:
A
Journey
to
plausible
futures
of
Doggoh
(Ghana)
• Analogue tool to identify climate analogue sites
• Implement farmers-to-farmers visits
• Enhance adaptive capacity

13. Agricultural Insurance Company of India
§ Risk characterization for key crops at agro-climatic zone level
§ Rainfall triggers for rice, cotton, soybean, pearl millet, and
corn
§ Heat triggers for wheat, mustard and chickpea
§ GPS enabled handheld devices for enrolment and loss
assessment
§ Various pilots launched

14. SAMPLES
Identifying pro-poor mitigation options for
smallholder agriculture in the developing world
Landscape
units
and
landusers
Phase
1:
targe,ng,
laboratory
upgrading
Phase
2:
data
acquisi,on
Phase
3:
development
of
system-­‐level
mi,ga,on
op,ons
Phase
4:
implementa,on
with
development
partners

15. 15
Open access databases
Number of page
visits
Number of dataset
downloads
CCAFS-CLIMATE data portal 26833 39648
Agtrials 6292
Climate Analogues 3287
Adaptation and Mitigation
Knowledge Network (AMKN)
1442
Household baseline survey 1879
Organisational baseline survey 81
Village baseline survey * 493

16. 16
Regional Programs

17. 17
Climate-smart
villages
Index-­‐based
insurance
Climate
informa(on
services
Climate-­‐
smart
technologies
Local
adapta(on
plans
• Learning sites
• Multiple partners
• Capacity building
Scaling up
• Policy
• Private sector
• Extension
• Mainstream
successes via
major initiatives
Developing climate smart
villages

18. Commission on
Sustainable
Agriculture and
Climate Change
Final report
35,
000
downloads

19. 19
Part 3: Next steps
in SE Asia

20. 20
1. Develop proposed development outcomes

21. 21
1.
Climate-­‐smart
agricultural
models
up-­‐scaled
to
x
million
farmers
by
2023
2.
CCAFS
science
informing
agricultural
adapta(on
policy
needs
and
solu(ons
in
at
least
y
countries
by
2023
3.
X
million
farmers
and
other
local
agricultural
decision-­‐makers
use
climate-­‐
related
informa(on
to
improve
climate
risk
management
by
2023
To
be
nego(ated
with
partners
(na(onal,
major
development
agencies,
private
sector…..)
Eg,
West
Africa

22. 22
With partners:
1. Develop proposed development outcomes
2. Finalize country selection
3. Embark on site selection
4. Facilitate regional scenarios process

23. 23
Scenarios process (with
FAO)
• Multi-partner visioning about plausible regional
futures
• Quantitative modelling
• Identification of options and strategic planning
• Identification of research issues

24. 24
With partners:
1. Develop proposed development outcomes
2. Finalize country selection
3. Embark on site selection
4. Facilitate regional scenarios process
5. Develop a regional (and national) engagement
strategy

25. 25
ASEAN
Regional Expert Forum
Climate Change, Agriculture, and Food Security

26. 26
With partners:
1. Develop proposed development outcomes
2. Finalize country selection
3. Embark on site selection
4. Facilitate regional scenarios process
5. Develop a regional (and national) engagement
strategy
6. Initiate community-based planning

27. 27
Community-based adaptation
planning
• Partnership, research, and capacity
building to inform options
• Bottom-up participatory adaptation
planning
• Prioritize, plan, and cost adaptation
options
• Feed into research questions

28. 28
Thank
you