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Welcome to our Presentation
• Md. Enamul Islam Shemul
• Student of Patuakhali Science and
Technology University
• Faculty of Business Administration and
Management
• Session 2013-14
Our selected topic name is “Risk
adjustment performance analysis of
DSE listed companies: A case study
on Mutual funds”.
Introduction:
A mutual fund is a professionally managed type of
collective investment scheme that pools money from
many investors and invests it in stocks, bonds, short-term
money market instruments or other securities. Most
open-end mutual funds stand ready to redeem its shares
at their current net asset value, which depends on the
total market value of the fund’s investment portfolio at
the time of redemption. Risk-adjusted performance
measures are frequently used to rank investment
opportunities. The ranking methods differ due to
different choices for the return and risk measures as well
as the way of adjusting for risk.
Objectives of the study:
Main Purpose of this study is to understand the
risk adjusted performance of DSE listed Mutual
Funds. This study has attempted to specify some
other objectives:
• To know about market index of DSE
• To know about return
• To know about systematic risk with return
• To know about per unit risk return relationship
Methodology of the study
Population size
Sample size
Sampling plan
Selection of Index
Source of Data
Procedure of Data Analysis
Conceptual Discussion
Return:
The return consists of the income and the capital gains relative on an
investment. It is usually quoted as a percentage. Return is computed
on the basis of monthly closing stock price and return of the market
are calculated on the basis of DSI price.
Standard deviation:
Standard deviation is applied to the annual rate of return of an
investment to measure the investment's volatility. The smeller stander
deviation indicates the lower degree of risk of the stock.
Total risk (σ):
Systematic risk+ unsystematic risk
Systematic risk:
The risk inherent to the entire market or entire market segment.
Variance:
Variance measures the variability (volatility) from an average. Volatility
is a measure of risk, so this statistic can help determine the risk an
investor might take on when purchasing a specific security.
Coefficient of variation:
To compare series having different values, we need a relative measure
of dispersion, which is Coefficient of variation (CV). It measures the
risk per unit of return.
Covariance:
The coefficient of variation represents the ratio of the standard
deviation to the mean, and it is a useful statistic for comparing the
degree of variation from one data series to another, even if the means
are drastically different from each other. Coefficient of variation allows
determining how much volatility (risk) is assuming in comparison to
the amount of return that can expect from r investment.
Beta Coefficient:
Beta coefficient is the measure of sensitivity which
reflects the tendency of the return on a given stock with
the stock market/ market portfolio. The beta coefficient is
a measure of systematic risk.
Sharpe Ratio:
It was developed by William F. Sharpe (1966). Here,
additional portfolio return over risk free return is related
with the total risk of the portfolio. The greater a
portfolio's Sharpe ratio, the better its risk-adjusted
performance has been. A negative Sharpe ratio indicates
that a risk-less asset would perform better than the
security being analyzed. The Sharpe ratio measures the
risk premium earned per unit of risk exposure.
Treynor Ratio:
This is introduced by Treynor (1965) and similar to the above discussed
Jensen measure. Here, additional returns of the portfolio over the risk free
return is expressed in relation to portfolio‘s systematic risk. Treynor ratio is a
risk-adjusted measure of return based on systematic risk. It is similar to the
Sharpe ratio, with the difference being that the Treynor ratio uses beta as the
measurement of volatility. Treynor ratio is a measurement that utilizing the
relationship between annualized risk-adjusted return and risk.
Jensen Alpha:
According to Jensen (1968), equilibrium average return on a portfolio would
be a benchmark. Equilibrium average return is the return of the portfolio by
the market with respect to systematic risk (volatility) of the portfolio. This is a
return the portfolio should earn with the given systematic risk.
Appraisal ratio:
A ratio used to measure the quality of a fund's investment picking ability. It
compares the fund's alpha (or the adjusted return of the fund assuming the
market return is zero) to the portfolio's unsystematic risk or residual standard
deviation.
Result and Discussion
• Return earned by the DSE Listed Mutual Funds in Bangladesh
Mutual Funds list Annualized Return Return below
market
Return above
market
Abnormal Return
DSEX 1.253%
LR global bd ltd 3207944.857% √
EBL NRB Mutual Fund 221.288% √
FIRST ICB MUTUAL 766.680% √
Green delta mutual fund 3175.181% √
ICB AMCL FIRST MUTUAL FUND -19.246% √
ICB AMCL Second Mutual Fund -41.166% √
MBL first mutual fund 79423909459.221% √
NCCBL Mutual Fund-1 1905.012% √
NLI First Mutual Fund -17.077% √
Phonix finance first mutual 699.176% √
PHP 1st mutual fund 1289.252% √
Popular life 1st mf 21619.811% √
PB 1st ICB Mutual -40.864% √
Prime finance 1st mf -6.361% √
3rd ICB mutual fund 218.219% √
Trust bank 1st mf 19068.176% √
ICB AMCL ISLAMIC -35.538% √
ICBAMCL FIRST NRB -25.588% √
ICB AMCL SECOND NRB -35.191% √
ICB AMCL Third NRB -13.064% √
Prime bank 1st mf 2980.908% √
First BD Fixed Income -20.410% √
GRAMEEN ONE 323.279% √
FBSRS -24.560% √
Percentage 18/40 = 45% 12/40 = 30% 10/40 = 25%
Risk associated with the mutual funds
Beta coefficient and Systematic Risk of the mutual funds
Determining Undervalued and Overvalued DSE listed mutual funds
Mutual Funds list Annualized Return Expected return Overvalued Undervalued Abnormal Return
First Janata Bank (0.12) 20.41 √
LR global bd ltd 32,079.45 (21.69) √
Green delta mf 31.75 (128.99) √
MBL first mutual fund 794,239,094.59 (531.28) √
NCCBL Mutual Fund-1 19.05 (178,579.19) √
NLI First mf (0.17) 164.82 √
Phonix finance 1st mf 6.99 13.92 √
PHP 1st mutual fund 12.89 (5,032.89) √
Popular life 1st mf 216.20 (15,577.00) √
PB 1st ICB Mutual (0.41) 1,319.19 √
Prime finance 1st mf (0.06) 73.61 √
7th mutual fund ltd 0.18 1.40 √
Souteast 1st mf 0.34 39.72 √
3rd ICB mutual fund 2.18 58.77 √
Trust bank 1st mf 190.68 1,217.42 √
Reliance One 0.07 30.23 √
ICB AMCL ISLAMIC (0.36) 223.48 √
ICBAMCL 1st NRB (0.26) (29.94) √
ICB AMCL 2nd NRB (0.35) (70.34) √
ICB AMCL 3rd NRB (0.13) 1.39 √
ICB employees provident (0.12) (6.22) √
Prime bank 1st mf 29.81 12.18 √
First BD Fixed Income (0.20) 0.40 √
GRAMEEN ONE 3.23 15.17 √
FBSRS (0.25) (5.97) √
Percentage 25/40 = 62.5% 7/40 = 17.5% 8/40 = 20%
Risk Adjusted Performance Measure
-10.000
-8.000
-6.000
-4.000
-2.000
0.000
2.000
4.000
6.000
8.000
10.000
6thmutualfund
2ndICBmutualfund
FirstJanataBank
DBHFirstMutua
EBLFIRSTMUTUAL
EBLNRBMutualFund
EIGHTHICBMUTUAL
FIFTHICBMUTUAL
FIRSTICBMUTUAL
Grameenmutualfund
ICBAMCLFIRSTMUTUALFUND
ICBAMCLSecondMutualFund
IFILislamimutual-1
NCCBLMutualFund-1
NLIFirstMutualFund
PHP1stmutualfund
PB1stICBMutual
Primefinance1stmf
7thmutualfundltd
Souteast1stmf
3rdICBmutualfund
RelianceOne
ABBank1st
AIBL1stIslamic
AIMSFIRST
ICBAMCLISLAMIC
ICBAMCLFIRSTNRB
ICBAMCLSECONDNRB
ICBAMCLThirdNRB
ICBemployeesprovident
FirstBDFixedIncome
GRAMEENONE
FBSRS
Sharpe & Treynor Ratio
Sharpe Ratio
Treynor Ratio
Synopsis of Risk adjusted performance measures
Mutual Fund Name Sharpe Ratio Treynor Ratio Jensen Alpha Fama's Net Selectivity
6th mutual fund +ve; OP +ve; OP +ve +ve
2nd ICB mutual fund +ve; OP +ve; UP +ve +ve
First Janata Bank -ve; UP +ve; UP -ve -ve
LR global bd ltd +ve; OP +ve; OP +ve +ve
DBH First Mutua -ve; UP -ve; UP -ve -ve
EBL 1st MUTUAL -ve; UP -ve; UP -ve -ve
EBL NRB mf +ve; OP +ve; OP +ve +ve
8th ICB MUTUAL +ve; OP -ve; UP +ve +ve
5th ICB MUTUAL -ve; UP -ve; UP +ve -ve
Trust bank 1st mf +ve; OP -ve; UP +ve +ve
AIMS FIRST +ve; OP +ve; OP +ve +ve
ICB AMCL ISLAMIC -ve; UP +ve; UP -ve -ve
ICBAMCL 1st NRB -ve; UP -ve; UP +ve -ve
ICB AMCL 2nd NRB -ve; UP -ve; UP +ve -ve
ICB AMCL Third NRB -ve; UP -ve; UP -ve -ve
ICB employees provident -ve; UP -ve; UP -ve -ve
Prime bank 1st mf +ve; OP -ve; UP +ve +ve
First BD Fixed Income -ve; UP -ve; UP -ve -ve
GRAMEEN ONE +ve; OP -ve; UP +ve +ve
FBSRS -ve; UP -ve; UP -ve -ve
Positive and (Negative) % 50% & (50%) 47.5% & (52.5%) 57.5% & (42.5%) 50% (50%)
Findings
• On the basis of Sharpe ratio, Treynor ratio & Jensen Alpha, out of 40
mutual funds MBL first mutual fund, Trust bank 1st mf, LR global bd
ltd and popular life 1st mutual fund performance are abnormal.
• On the basis of Sharpe ratio, Treynor ratio & Jensen Alpha, out of 40
mutual funds Green delta mutual fund, 1st ICB mutual fund and
AIMS 1st mutual fund performance are very good.
• Out of 40 mutual funds, Trust bank 1st mf, LR global bd ltd and
Popular life 1st mutual fund are shown high risk.
• Out of 40 mutual funds, LR global bd ltd, MBL first mutual fund,
Popular life 1st mf, Trust bank 1st mutual fund are shown abnormal
return.
• Out of 40 mutual funds, Green delta mutual fund, NCCBL Mutual
Fund-1, PHP 1st mutual fund and Prime bank 1st mutual fund are
shown good return.
Conclusion
The main objective of this paper was to measure the risk
adjusted performance of mutual funds based on monthly
average price. The existing 40 mutual funds attained a great
collective growth over the past years, but individually some of
them are struggling yet to improve. From the result of analysis
it is evident that overall performance of the mutual funds are
moderately superior to the market index return. Mutual funds
have the capability to provide solutions to most investors’
needs, however, the key is to do proper selection and have a
process for monitoring and controlling. In Bangladesh, the
mutual fund industry is at a growing stage and it is
incorporating a higher number of new funds each year.
Thanks
everybody.

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Risk adjustment performance analysis of dse listed companies a case study on mutual funds

  • 1. Welcome to our Presentation
  • 2. • Md. Enamul Islam Shemul • Student of Patuakhali Science and Technology University • Faculty of Business Administration and Management • Session 2013-14
  • 3. Our selected topic name is “Risk adjustment performance analysis of DSE listed companies: A case study on Mutual funds”.
  • 4. Introduction: A mutual fund is a professionally managed type of collective investment scheme that pools money from many investors and invests it in stocks, bonds, short-term money market instruments or other securities. Most open-end mutual funds stand ready to redeem its shares at their current net asset value, which depends on the total market value of the fund’s investment portfolio at the time of redemption. Risk-adjusted performance measures are frequently used to rank investment opportunities. The ranking methods differ due to different choices for the return and risk measures as well as the way of adjusting for risk.
  • 5. Objectives of the study: Main Purpose of this study is to understand the risk adjusted performance of DSE listed Mutual Funds. This study has attempted to specify some other objectives: • To know about market index of DSE • To know about return • To know about systematic risk with return • To know about per unit risk return relationship
  • 6. Methodology of the study Population size Sample size Sampling plan Selection of Index Source of Data Procedure of Data Analysis
  • 7. Conceptual Discussion Return: The return consists of the income and the capital gains relative on an investment. It is usually quoted as a percentage. Return is computed on the basis of monthly closing stock price and return of the market are calculated on the basis of DSI price. Standard deviation: Standard deviation is applied to the annual rate of return of an investment to measure the investment's volatility. The smeller stander deviation indicates the lower degree of risk of the stock. Total risk (σ): Systematic risk+ unsystematic risk Systematic risk: The risk inherent to the entire market or entire market segment.
  • 8. Variance: Variance measures the variability (volatility) from an average. Volatility is a measure of risk, so this statistic can help determine the risk an investor might take on when purchasing a specific security. Coefficient of variation: To compare series having different values, we need a relative measure of dispersion, which is Coefficient of variation (CV). It measures the risk per unit of return. Covariance: The coefficient of variation represents the ratio of the standard deviation to the mean, and it is a useful statistic for comparing the degree of variation from one data series to another, even if the means are drastically different from each other. Coefficient of variation allows determining how much volatility (risk) is assuming in comparison to the amount of return that can expect from r investment.
  • 9. Beta Coefficient: Beta coefficient is the measure of sensitivity which reflects the tendency of the return on a given stock with the stock market/ market portfolio. The beta coefficient is a measure of systematic risk. Sharpe Ratio: It was developed by William F. Sharpe (1966). Here, additional portfolio return over risk free return is related with the total risk of the portfolio. The greater a portfolio's Sharpe ratio, the better its risk-adjusted performance has been. A negative Sharpe ratio indicates that a risk-less asset would perform better than the security being analyzed. The Sharpe ratio measures the risk premium earned per unit of risk exposure.
  • 10. Treynor Ratio: This is introduced by Treynor (1965) and similar to the above discussed Jensen measure. Here, additional returns of the portfolio over the risk free return is expressed in relation to portfolio‘s systematic risk. Treynor ratio is a risk-adjusted measure of return based on systematic risk. It is similar to the Sharpe ratio, with the difference being that the Treynor ratio uses beta as the measurement of volatility. Treynor ratio is a measurement that utilizing the relationship between annualized risk-adjusted return and risk. Jensen Alpha: According to Jensen (1968), equilibrium average return on a portfolio would be a benchmark. Equilibrium average return is the return of the portfolio by the market with respect to systematic risk (volatility) of the portfolio. This is a return the portfolio should earn with the given systematic risk. Appraisal ratio: A ratio used to measure the quality of a fund's investment picking ability. It compares the fund's alpha (or the adjusted return of the fund assuming the market return is zero) to the portfolio's unsystematic risk or residual standard deviation.
  • 11. Result and Discussion • Return earned by the DSE Listed Mutual Funds in Bangladesh Mutual Funds list Annualized Return Return below market Return above market Abnormal Return DSEX 1.253% LR global bd ltd 3207944.857% √ EBL NRB Mutual Fund 221.288% √ FIRST ICB MUTUAL 766.680% √ Green delta mutual fund 3175.181% √ ICB AMCL FIRST MUTUAL FUND -19.246% √ ICB AMCL Second Mutual Fund -41.166% √ MBL first mutual fund 79423909459.221% √ NCCBL Mutual Fund-1 1905.012% √ NLI First Mutual Fund -17.077% √ Phonix finance first mutual 699.176% √ PHP 1st mutual fund 1289.252% √ Popular life 1st mf 21619.811% √ PB 1st ICB Mutual -40.864% √ Prime finance 1st mf -6.361% √ 3rd ICB mutual fund 218.219% √ Trust bank 1st mf 19068.176% √ ICB AMCL ISLAMIC -35.538% √ ICBAMCL FIRST NRB -25.588% √ ICB AMCL SECOND NRB -35.191% √ ICB AMCL Third NRB -13.064% √ Prime bank 1st mf 2980.908% √ First BD Fixed Income -20.410% √ GRAMEEN ONE 323.279% √ FBSRS -24.560% √ Percentage 18/40 = 45% 12/40 = 30% 10/40 = 25%
  • 12. Risk associated with the mutual funds
  • 13.
  • 14. Beta coefficient and Systematic Risk of the mutual funds
  • 15. Determining Undervalued and Overvalued DSE listed mutual funds Mutual Funds list Annualized Return Expected return Overvalued Undervalued Abnormal Return First Janata Bank (0.12) 20.41 √ LR global bd ltd 32,079.45 (21.69) √ Green delta mf 31.75 (128.99) √ MBL first mutual fund 794,239,094.59 (531.28) √ NCCBL Mutual Fund-1 19.05 (178,579.19) √ NLI First mf (0.17) 164.82 √ Phonix finance 1st mf 6.99 13.92 √ PHP 1st mutual fund 12.89 (5,032.89) √ Popular life 1st mf 216.20 (15,577.00) √ PB 1st ICB Mutual (0.41) 1,319.19 √ Prime finance 1st mf (0.06) 73.61 √ 7th mutual fund ltd 0.18 1.40 √ Souteast 1st mf 0.34 39.72 √ 3rd ICB mutual fund 2.18 58.77 √ Trust bank 1st mf 190.68 1,217.42 √ Reliance One 0.07 30.23 √ ICB AMCL ISLAMIC (0.36) 223.48 √ ICBAMCL 1st NRB (0.26) (29.94) √ ICB AMCL 2nd NRB (0.35) (70.34) √ ICB AMCL 3rd NRB (0.13) 1.39 √ ICB employees provident (0.12) (6.22) √ Prime bank 1st mf 29.81 12.18 √ First BD Fixed Income (0.20) 0.40 √ GRAMEEN ONE 3.23 15.17 √ FBSRS (0.25) (5.97) √ Percentage 25/40 = 62.5% 7/40 = 17.5% 8/40 = 20%
  • 16. Risk Adjusted Performance Measure -10.000 -8.000 -6.000 -4.000 -2.000 0.000 2.000 4.000 6.000 8.000 10.000 6thmutualfund 2ndICBmutualfund FirstJanataBank DBHFirstMutua EBLFIRSTMUTUAL EBLNRBMutualFund EIGHTHICBMUTUAL FIFTHICBMUTUAL FIRSTICBMUTUAL Grameenmutualfund ICBAMCLFIRSTMUTUALFUND ICBAMCLSecondMutualFund IFILislamimutual-1 NCCBLMutualFund-1 NLIFirstMutualFund PHP1stmutualfund PB1stICBMutual Primefinance1stmf 7thmutualfundltd Souteast1stmf 3rdICBmutualfund RelianceOne ABBank1st AIBL1stIslamic AIMSFIRST ICBAMCLISLAMIC ICBAMCLFIRSTNRB ICBAMCLSECONDNRB ICBAMCLThirdNRB ICBemployeesprovident FirstBDFixedIncome GRAMEENONE FBSRS Sharpe & Treynor Ratio Sharpe Ratio Treynor Ratio
  • 17. Synopsis of Risk adjusted performance measures Mutual Fund Name Sharpe Ratio Treynor Ratio Jensen Alpha Fama's Net Selectivity 6th mutual fund +ve; OP +ve; OP +ve +ve 2nd ICB mutual fund +ve; OP +ve; UP +ve +ve First Janata Bank -ve; UP +ve; UP -ve -ve LR global bd ltd +ve; OP +ve; OP +ve +ve DBH First Mutua -ve; UP -ve; UP -ve -ve EBL 1st MUTUAL -ve; UP -ve; UP -ve -ve EBL NRB mf +ve; OP +ve; OP +ve +ve 8th ICB MUTUAL +ve; OP -ve; UP +ve +ve 5th ICB MUTUAL -ve; UP -ve; UP +ve -ve Trust bank 1st mf +ve; OP -ve; UP +ve +ve AIMS FIRST +ve; OP +ve; OP +ve +ve ICB AMCL ISLAMIC -ve; UP +ve; UP -ve -ve ICBAMCL 1st NRB -ve; UP -ve; UP +ve -ve ICB AMCL 2nd NRB -ve; UP -ve; UP +ve -ve ICB AMCL Third NRB -ve; UP -ve; UP -ve -ve ICB employees provident -ve; UP -ve; UP -ve -ve Prime bank 1st mf +ve; OP -ve; UP +ve +ve First BD Fixed Income -ve; UP -ve; UP -ve -ve GRAMEEN ONE +ve; OP -ve; UP +ve +ve FBSRS -ve; UP -ve; UP -ve -ve Positive and (Negative) % 50% & (50%) 47.5% & (52.5%) 57.5% & (42.5%) 50% (50%)
  • 18. Findings • On the basis of Sharpe ratio, Treynor ratio & Jensen Alpha, out of 40 mutual funds MBL first mutual fund, Trust bank 1st mf, LR global bd ltd and popular life 1st mutual fund performance are abnormal. • On the basis of Sharpe ratio, Treynor ratio & Jensen Alpha, out of 40 mutual funds Green delta mutual fund, 1st ICB mutual fund and AIMS 1st mutual fund performance are very good. • Out of 40 mutual funds, Trust bank 1st mf, LR global bd ltd and Popular life 1st mutual fund are shown high risk. • Out of 40 mutual funds, LR global bd ltd, MBL first mutual fund, Popular life 1st mf, Trust bank 1st mutual fund are shown abnormal return. • Out of 40 mutual funds, Green delta mutual fund, NCCBL Mutual Fund-1, PHP 1st mutual fund and Prime bank 1st mutual fund are shown good return.
  • 19. Conclusion The main objective of this paper was to measure the risk adjusted performance of mutual funds based on monthly average price. The existing 40 mutual funds attained a great collective growth over the past years, but individually some of them are struggling yet to improve. From the result of analysis it is evident that overall performance of the mutual funds are moderately superior to the market index return. Mutual funds have the capability to provide solutions to most investors’ needs, however, the key is to do proper selection and have a process for monitoring and controlling. In Bangladesh, the mutual fund industry is at a growing stage and it is incorporating a higher number of new funds each year.