Research Design Andrew Martin PS 372 -- University of Kentucky
What is research design? Research design  is a plan that shows how a researcher intends to study an empirical question.  Choice of research design depends on a number of factors.
Research Designs should ... (1) Establish a relationship between two or more variables. (Comparison)‏ (2) Demonstrate the results are generally true in the real world. (Generalizability)‏ (3) Reveal whether one phenomenon precedes another in time. (Manipulation)‏ (4) Eliminate as many alternative explanations as possible. (Control)‏
Causal vs. Spurious Relationships A  causal relationship  is a connection between two variables that occurs because one produces, or brings about, the other with complete or great regularity. The independent variable is the cause, the dependent variable is the effect.
Causal vs. Spurious Relationships A spurious relationship occurs when the relationship between two variables appears to be valid but is actually explained by variables other than those stated in the hypothesis.
JRM 124
Downs Voter Paradox (1957)‏ In An Economic Theory of Democracy, Anthony Downs concludes that voting is an irrational act in most instances. Reward = Probability your vote changes election outcome * benefits - costs R = PB - C
Research Design and Causal Inferences To explain why phenomena are connected, we must know why they are connected, not simply that they are associated.
Riker and Ordeshook (1968)‏ Reformulated model, suggesting Downs’ model omitted an important component of an individual’s choice to vote, the intangible benefits.  Thus, the model becomes: R = PB - C +  D D  represents non-instrumental or expressive benefits.
Research Design and Causal Inferences Covariation . The research must demonstrate that the alleged cause (X) does in fact covary with the supposed effect (Y). Time order.  The research must show that the cause preceded the effect.  Eliminates alternatives . All possible joint causes of X and Y must be eliminated.
JRM 125
JRM 126
Research Designs Four major approaches in the social sciences: Experimental design Quasi-experimental design Cross-sectional design Pre-Experimental design
Experiments Experiments  allow the researcher to control exposure to an experimental variable (or independent variable).  Theoretically, this allows researchers to make causal inferences with greater confidence than non-experimental approaches.
Classical Experimental Design Classical experimental design  involves an experiment with the random assignment of subjects to experimental and control groups with a pre-test and a post-test.
Classical Experimental Design Establishes an experimental group and a control group.  Each subject is randomly assigned to one group or the other.  The researcher controls the administration or introduction of the experimental treatment.
Classical Experimental Design The researcher establishes and measures a dependent variable both before and after the experimental variable is introduced. The experimenter controls the environment -- that is, the time, location and other physical aspects of the of the experiment.
JRM 129
NN 91
Internal Validity Internal validity  constitutes the ability to show that manipulation or variation of the independent variable actually causes the dependent variable to change.
Internal Validity Internal validity is directly related to the control component of research design. Random assignment of participants helps guard against this, but sometimes this is not ethical or practical.  Extrinsic factors  can sometimes produce differences between experimental and control groups.
Internal Validity Extrinsic factors produce differences in the two groups prior to the research operation.  When this happens, it is difficult to distinguish  selection effects  from effects of the independent variable. This causes selection bias, and it threatens a study’s internal validity.
Internal Validity Intrinsic factors  include changes to individuals or units studies during the study period.
Intrinsic Factors History Maturation Experiment mortality Instrumentation Testing  Regression artifact Interactions with selection
Intrinsic Factors Nachmias-Nachmias (2000)‏ History  refers to all events that occurred during the time of the study that might affect the individuals studied and provide a rival explanation for the change in the dependent variable. Ex: Financial crisis in government during the time of the experiment.
Intrinsic Factors Nachmias-Nachmias (2000)‏ Maturation  involves biological, psychological or social processes that produce changes in individuals or units studied with the passage of time.  Ex: Test scores and teaching methods. Perhaps the students just became older and wiser independently of teaching method.
Intrinsic Factors Nachmias-Nachmias (2000)‏ Experimental mortality  refers to dropout problems that prevent the researcher from obtaining complete information on all cases.  Ex: Studying the effect of media on prejudice, and most dropouts were prejudiced individuals.
Intrinsic Factors Nachmias-Nachmias (2000)‏ Instrumentation  designates changes in the measuring instruments between the pre-test and post-test. Ex: Changing criteria for evaluating psychological tests.
Intrinsic Factors Nachmias-Nachmias (2000)‏ Testing  the possible reactivity of measurement is a major problem in social science research. The process of testing may change the phenomena being measured. Ex: People aware of the purpose of the survey; taking intelligence tests often
Intrinsic Factors Nachmias-Nachmias (2000)‏ Sometimes selection factors and intrinsic factors interact. The most common are  selection-history  and  selection-maturation .
Procedures of Control Nachmias-Nachmias (2000)‏ Matching Randomization The Control Group
Matching Nachmias-Nachmias (2000)‏ Matching is a way of equating the experimental and control groups on extrinsic factors known to be related to the research project.
Matching Nachmias-Nachmias (2000)‏ Precision matching,  for each case in the group, another case with identical characteristics is selected for the control group.
NN 98
Matching Nachmias-Nachmias (2000)‏ Frequency distribution  looks at central characteristics of the two groups rather than on-on-one matching.  Frequency distribution is a more efficient alternative.
NN 99
Randomization Nachmias-Nachmias (2000)‏ Randomization  is a method of control that helps to offset the confounding effects of known and unknown factors by randomly assigning cases to experimental and control groups.  Can be accomplished by flipping a coin, using a table of random digits or any other method that ensure each case has an equal probability of being chosen.
External Validity Nachmias-Nachmias (2000)‏ External validity  is the extent to which the research findings can be generalized to larger populations and applied to different settings. The two main components of external validity are representativeness of the sample and reactive arrangements in the research process.
External Validity Nachmias-Nachmias (2000)‏ Reactive arrangements  can compromise the experimental setting or situation if they do not reflect the natural setting or situation about which researchers wish to generalize. The way the study is conducted could impact its outcome. Ex: Surveys, subject response and question wording.

Research design

  • 1.
    Research Design AndrewMartin PS 372 -- University of Kentucky
  • 2.
    What is researchdesign? Research design is a plan that shows how a researcher intends to study an empirical question. Choice of research design depends on a number of factors.
  • 3.
    Research Designs should... (1) Establish a relationship between two or more variables. (Comparison)‏ (2) Demonstrate the results are generally true in the real world. (Generalizability)‏ (3) Reveal whether one phenomenon precedes another in time. (Manipulation)‏ (4) Eliminate as many alternative explanations as possible. (Control)‏
  • 4.
    Causal vs. SpuriousRelationships A causal relationship is a connection between two variables that occurs because one produces, or brings about, the other with complete or great regularity. The independent variable is the cause, the dependent variable is the effect.
  • 5.
    Causal vs. SpuriousRelationships A spurious relationship occurs when the relationship between two variables appears to be valid but is actually explained by variables other than those stated in the hypothesis.
  • 6.
  • 7.
    Downs Voter Paradox(1957)‏ In An Economic Theory of Democracy, Anthony Downs concludes that voting is an irrational act in most instances. Reward = Probability your vote changes election outcome * benefits - costs R = PB - C
  • 8.
    Research Design andCausal Inferences To explain why phenomena are connected, we must know why they are connected, not simply that they are associated.
  • 9.
    Riker and Ordeshook(1968)‏ Reformulated model, suggesting Downs’ model omitted an important component of an individual’s choice to vote, the intangible benefits. Thus, the model becomes: R = PB - C + D D represents non-instrumental or expressive benefits.
  • 10.
    Research Design andCausal Inferences Covariation . The research must demonstrate that the alleged cause (X) does in fact covary with the supposed effect (Y). Time order. The research must show that the cause preceded the effect. Eliminates alternatives . All possible joint causes of X and Y must be eliminated.
  • 11.
  • 12.
  • 13.
    Research Designs Fourmajor approaches in the social sciences: Experimental design Quasi-experimental design Cross-sectional design Pre-Experimental design
  • 14.
    Experiments Experiments allow the researcher to control exposure to an experimental variable (or independent variable). Theoretically, this allows researchers to make causal inferences with greater confidence than non-experimental approaches.
  • 15.
    Classical Experimental DesignClassical experimental design involves an experiment with the random assignment of subjects to experimental and control groups with a pre-test and a post-test.
  • 16.
    Classical Experimental DesignEstablishes an experimental group and a control group. Each subject is randomly assigned to one group or the other. The researcher controls the administration or introduction of the experimental treatment.
  • 17.
    Classical Experimental DesignThe researcher establishes and measures a dependent variable both before and after the experimental variable is introduced. The experimenter controls the environment -- that is, the time, location and other physical aspects of the of the experiment.
  • 18.
  • 19.
  • 20.
    Internal Validity Internalvalidity constitutes the ability to show that manipulation or variation of the independent variable actually causes the dependent variable to change.
  • 21.
    Internal Validity Internalvalidity is directly related to the control component of research design. Random assignment of participants helps guard against this, but sometimes this is not ethical or practical. Extrinsic factors can sometimes produce differences between experimental and control groups.
  • 22.
    Internal Validity Extrinsicfactors produce differences in the two groups prior to the research operation. When this happens, it is difficult to distinguish selection effects from effects of the independent variable. This causes selection bias, and it threatens a study’s internal validity.
  • 23.
    Internal Validity Intrinsicfactors include changes to individuals or units studies during the study period.
  • 24.
    Intrinsic Factors HistoryMaturation Experiment mortality Instrumentation Testing Regression artifact Interactions with selection
  • 25.
    Intrinsic Factors Nachmias-Nachmias(2000)‏ History refers to all events that occurred during the time of the study that might affect the individuals studied and provide a rival explanation for the change in the dependent variable. Ex: Financial crisis in government during the time of the experiment.
  • 26.
    Intrinsic Factors Nachmias-Nachmias(2000)‏ Maturation involves biological, psychological or social processes that produce changes in individuals or units studied with the passage of time. Ex: Test scores and teaching methods. Perhaps the students just became older and wiser independently of teaching method.
  • 27.
    Intrinsic Factors Nachmias-Nachmias(2000)‏ Experimental mortality refers to dropout problems that prevent the researcher from obtaining complete information on all cases. Ex: Studying the effect of media on prejudice, and most dropouts were prejudiced individuals.
  • 28.
    Intrinsic Factors Nachmias-Nachmias(2000)‏ Instrumentation designates changes in the measuring instruments between the pre-test and post-test. Ex: Changing criteria for evaluating psychological tests.
  • 29.
    Intrinsic Factors Nachmias-Nachmias(2000)‏ Testing the possible reactivity of measurement is a major problem in social science research. The process of testing may change the phenomena being measured. Ex: People aware of the purpose of the survey; taking intelligence tests often
  • 30.
    Intrinsic Factors Nachmias-Nachmias(2000)‏ Sometimes selection factors and intrinsic factors interact. The most common are selection-history and selection-maturation .
  • 31.
    Procedures of ControlNachmias-Nachmias (2000)‏ Matching Randomization The Control Group
  • 32.
    Matching Nachmias-Nachmias (2000)‏Matching is a way of equating the experimental and control groups on extrinsic factors known to be related to the research project.
  • 33.
    Matching Nachmias-Nachmias (2000)‏Precision matching, for each case in the group, another case with identical characteristics is selected for the control group.
  • 34.
  • 35.
    Matching Nachmias-Nachmias (2000)‏Frequency distribution looks at central characteristics of the two groups rather than on-on-one matching. Frequency distribution is a more efficient alternative.
  • 36.
  • 37.
    Randomization Nachmias-Nachmias (2000)‏Randomization is a method of control that helps to offset the confounding effects of known and unknown factors by randomly assigning cases to experimental and control groups. Can be accomplished by flipping a coin, using a table of random digits or any other method that ensure each case has an equal probability of being chosen.
  • 38.
    External Validity Nachmias-Nachmias(2000)‏ External validity is the extent to which the research findings can be generalized to larger populations and applied to different settings. The two main components of external validity are representativeness of the sample and reactive arrangements in the research process.
  • 39.
    External Validity Nachmias-Nachmias(2000)‏ Reactive arrangements can compromise the experimental setting or situation if they do not reflect the natural setting or situation about which researchers wish to generalize. The way the study is conducted could impact its outcome. Ex: Surveys, subject response and question wording.