Overview of italian res market danish italian business forum-01

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This document provides an overview and statistics on renewable energy sources in Italy. It discusses Italy's targets for renewable energy, the evolution of support schemes for renewables over time, current statistics on installed capacity and generation by source, and the roadmap for renewables to reach targets by 2030. It also examines the draft of the new Ministerial Decree "FER1" which aims to promote further renewable energy development through capacity auctions.

Environment

Antonello Di Pardo
Monitoring, studies and
statistics unit
antonello.dipardo@gse.it
Energy in motion
toward 2030
GSE
WE GUARANTEE THE SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT OF OUR COUNTRY.
WE PROMOTE RENEWABLE SOURCES AND ENERGY EFFICIENCY.

2
• RES ITALIAN TARGETS MONITORING
• RES results and evolution
• RES in electricity sector: main statistics
• OVERVIEW OF SUPPORT SCHEMES
• Support schemes timeline
• Cost and burden of incentives in 2017
• EVOLUTION OF RES: THE ROAD TOWARDS 2030
• Focus on the draft of the new Ministerial Decree “FER1”
Overview of the Italian renewable energy market
AGENDA

EUROPEAN TARGETS FOR CLIMATE AND ENERGY






3

RES TARGET MONITORING: WHERE WE ARE
Observed Renewable share
Renewable National Plan
17,7%
GSE - Danish-Italian Business Forum4


17,4 16,5
19,6 20,7 20,2 21,3 21,1 21,7
133,3 128,2 127,1 123,9 118,5 121,5 121,1 123,0
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017*
RES Transport RES Heating
RES Electricity Total gross final consumptions

EVOLUTION OF RES: STATISTICS
(*) preliminary data
**
*


GSE - Danish-Italian Business Forum5
*

RES DISTRIBUTION: PV
GSE - Danish-Italian Business Forum6

RES DISTRIBUTION: WIND
GSE - Danish-Italian Business Forum7

RES DISTRIBUTION: HYDROELECTRIC
GSE - Danish-Italian Business Forum8

RES DISTRIBUTION: BIOENERGIES
9 GSE - Danish-Italian Business Forum

RES DISTRIBUTION: GEOTHERMAL
10 GSE - Danish-Italian Business Forum

11
• RES ITALIAN TARGETS MONITORING
• RES results and evolution
• RES in electricity sector: main statistics
• OVERVIEW OF SUPPORT SCHEMES
• Support schemes timeline
• Cost and burden of incentives in 2017
• EVOLUTION OF RES: THE ROAD TOWARDS 2030
• Focus on the draft of the new Ministerial Decree “FER1”
Overview of the Italian renewable energy market
AGENDA

HOW DID WE GET HERE? SUPPORT SCHEMES TIMELINE
CIP 6/92
(Feed in tariff)
Certificati Verdi
(Green Certificates)
Conto Energia FTV
(Feed in premium)
Tariffe Onnicomprensive
(Feed in tariff)
Conto Energia CSP
(Feed in premium)
Decreto 6 luglio 2012
(Feed in premium/Feed in tariff)
Decreto 23 giugno 2016
(Feed in premium/Feed in tariff)
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
12 GSE - Danish-Italian Business Forum

EVOLUTION OF RES: DRIVERS
Meccanismo Incentivo medio
Conto Energia FTV 290 €/MWh
TO 210 €/MWh
INCENTIVO EX-CV 104 €/MWh
DM 6/7/2012 74 €/MWh
DM 23/6/2016 49 €/MWh



13 GSE - Danish-Italian Business Forum



14 GSE - Danish-Italian Business Forum
EVOLUTION OF RES: IMPACTS ON INVESTMENTS AND JOBS
580
782
309
123
111
1.906
815
288
904
524
673
679
54
3.937-
500
1.000
1.500
2.000
2.500
3.000
3.500
4.000
4.500
Mln€
Investments
O&M costs
3.979
6.141
2.984
1.158
1.124
15.395
9.677
3.719
11.502
6.454
3.621
1.990
689
37.652
-
5.000
10.000
15.000
20.000
25.000
30.000
35.000
40.000
JOBS
Temporary jobs
Permanent jobs

15
• RES ITALIAN TARGETS MONITORING
• RES results and evolution
• RES in electricity sector: main statistics
• OVERVIEW OF SUPPORT SCHEMES
• Support schemes timeline
• Cost and burden of incentives in 2017
• EVOLUTION OF RES: THE ROAD TOWARDS 2030
• Focus on the draft of the new Ministerial Decree “FER1”
Overview of the Italian renewable energy market
AGENDA

EVOLUTION OF RES: THE ROAD TOWARDS 2030


0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2024
2026
2028
2030SEN
GW
Hydro Wind
Solar Geothermal
Bioenergy
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
2024
2026
2028
2030SEN
TWh Hydro Wind
Solar Geothermal
Bioenergy
16 GSE - Danish-Italian Business Forum

EVOLUTION OF RES: THE M.D. “FER1” DRAFT
17 GSE - Danish-Italian Business Forum




A
(Wind, PV)
A-2
(PV substitution
of asbesto)
B
(hydro,
sewage gas)
C
(refurbished
wind,hydro,
sewage gas)
770 800 80 80
A
(Wind, PV)
B
(hydro,
sewage gas)
C
(refurbished
wind,hydro,
sewage gas)
5.600 110 500
Group
Capacity
(MW)







FOCUS ON PAST AND FUTURE WIND AUCTIONS




18 GSE - Danish-Italian Business Forum
?
89 89
89
66
21
127 127 127
110
70
124
115
93
66
96 103
89
75
63
52
43
72
124 124 124
108
69
2012 session 2013 session 2014 session 2016 session 2019 session
€/MWh
Possible range Base tariff Min admitted reduction Max admitted reduction Energy price

RES studies and statistics on the Italian market
19 GSE - Danish-Italian Business Forum

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Overview of italian res market danish italian business forum-01

1. Antonello Di Pardo Monitoring, studies and statistics unit antonello.dipardo@gse.it Energy in motion toward 2030 GSE WE GUARANTEE THE SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT OF OUR COUNTRY. WE PROMOTE RENEWABLE SOURCES AND ENERGY EFFICIENCY.

2. 2 • RES ITALIAN TARGETS MONITORING • RES results and evolution • RES in electricity sector: main statistics • OVERVIEW OF SUPPORT SCHEMES • Support schemes timeline • Cost and burden of incentives in 2017 • EVOLUTION OF RES: THE ROAD TOWARDS 2030 • Focus on the draft of the new Ministerial Decree “FER1” Overview of the Italian renewable energy market AGENDA

3. EUROPEAN TARGETS FOR CLIMATE AND ENERGY       3

4. RES TARGET MONITORING: WHERE WE ARE Observed Renewable share Renewable National Plan 17,7% GSE - Danish-Italian Business Forum4   17,4 16,5 19,6 20,7 20,2 21,3 21,1 21,7 133,3 128,2 127,1 123,9 118,5 121,5 121,1 123,0 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017* RES Transport RES Heating RES Electricity Total gross final consumptions

5. EVOLUTION OF RES: STATISTICS (*) preliminary data ** *   GSE - Danish-Italian Business Forum5 *

6. RES DISTRIBUTION: PV GSE - Danish-Italian Business Forum6

7. RES DISTRIBUTION: WIND GSE - Danish-Italian Business Forum7

8. RES DISTRIBUTION: HYDROELECTRIC GSE - Danish-Italian Business Forum8

9. RES DISTRIBUTION: BIOENERGIES 9 GSE - Danish-Italian Business Forum

10. RES DISTRIBUTION: GEOTHERMAL 10 GSE - Danish-Italian Business Forum

11. 11 • RES ITALIAN TARGETS MONITORING • RES results and evolution • RES in electricity sector: main statistics • OVERVIEW OF SUPPORT SCHEMES • Support schemes timeline • Cost and burden of incentives in 2017 • EVOLUTION OF RES: THE ROAD TOWARDS 2030 • Focus on the draft of the new Ministerial Decree “FER1” Overview of the Italian renewable energy market AGENDA

12. HOW DID WE GET HERE? SUPPORT SCHEMES TIMELINE CIP 6/92 (Feed in tariff) Certificati Verdi (Green Certificates) Conto Energia FTV (Feed in premium) Tariffe Onnicomprensive (Feed in tariff) Conto Energia CSP (Feed in premium) Decreto 6 luglio 2012 (Feed in premium/Feed in tariff) Decreto 23 giugno 2016 (Feed in premium/Feed in tariff) 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 12 GSE - Danish-Italian Business Forum

13. EVOLUTION OF RES: DRIVERS Meccanismo Incentivo medio Conto Energia FTV 290 €/MWh TO 210 €/MWh INCENTIVO EX-CV 104 €/MWh DM 6/7/2012 74 €/MWh DM 23/6/2016 49 €/MWh    13 GSE - Danish-Italian Business Forum

14.   14 GSE - Danish-Italian Business Forum EVOLUTION OF RES: IMPACTS ON INVESTMENTS AND JOBS 580 782 309 123 111 1.906 815 288 904 524 673 679 54 3.937- 500 1.000 1.500 2.000 2.500 3.000 3.500 4.000 4.500 Mln€ Investments O&M costs 3.979 6.141 2.984 1.158 1.124 15.395 9.677 3.719 11.502 6.454 3.621 1.990 689 37.652 - 5.000 10.000 15.000 20.000 25.000 30.000 35.000 40.000 JOBS Temporary jobs Permanent jobs

15. 15 • RES ITALIAN TARGETS MONITORING • RES results and evolution • RES in electricity sector: main statistics • OVERVIEW OF SUPPORT SCHEMES • Support schemes timeline • Cost and burden of incentives in 2017 • EVOLUTION OF RES: THE ROAD TOWARDS 2030 • Focus on the draft of the new Ministerial Decree “FER1” Overview of the Italian renewable energy market AGENDA

16. EVOLUTION OF RES: THE ROAD TOWARDS 2030   0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030SEN GW Hydro Wind Solar Geothermal Bioenergy 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030SEN TWh Hydro Wind Solar Geothermal Bioenergy 16 GSE - Danish-Italian Business Forum

17. EVOLUTION OF RES: THE M.D. “FER1” DRAFT 17 GSE - Danish-Italian Business Forum     A (Wind, PV) A-2 (PV substitution of asbesto) B (hydro, sewage gas) C (refurbished wind,hydro, sewage gas) 770 800 80 80 A (Wind, PV) B (hydro, sewage gas) C (refurbished wind,hydro, sewage gas) 5.600 110 500 Group Capacity (MW)      

18. FOCUS ON PAST AND FUTURE WIND AUCTIONS     18 GSE - Danish-Italian Business Forum ? 89 89 89 66 21 127 127 127 110 70 124 115 93 66 96 103 89 75 63 52 43 72 124 124 124 108 69 2012 session 2013 session 2014 session 2016 session 2019 session €/MWh Possible range Base tariff Min admitted reduction Max admitted reduction Energy price

19. RES studies and statistics on the Italian market 19 GSE - Danish-Italian Business Forum

20. THANK YOU MOVING ENERGIES

Overview of italian res market danish italian business forum-01

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