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PASTORAL LAND MANAGEMENT OPTIONS IN THE SAHEL: THE CONSEQUENT CLIMATE FORCINGS

ZIPPORAH MUSYIMI
SUPERVISION BY
Prof. Dr. T. Uddelhoven (University Trier)
Dr. L. Zida (INERA)
Dr. J. de Leeuw (ILRI)
OUTLINE
 INTRODUCTION
•BACKGROUND
•HYPOTHESIS
•REASERCH QUESTIONS
•OBJECTIVES

 METTHODOLOGY
•DESCIPTION OF THE STUDY SITE
•DESCRIPTION OF THE METHODS
Introduction –Background
Pastoral sytems in African drylands

Pastoral sytems Future resilience –Uncertain due to climate
change effects

Way foward – Livelihood diverification options
--Mitigation options

CARBON CREDITS

????- Managing land for carbon credits (Geochemical) may
upset the cooling effects due to warming due to changes in
physical land characteristics of land surface (Geophysical)

Study Relevance – Could the pastorlists benefit from Payment of Environmental Sercives
(PAYES) opting for management which mitigate climate?
Introduction –Aim, Hypothesis, Research questions
Aim: Develop a framework for assessment of the climatic forcing consequent of different
land management by integrating two lines of evidence: Geophysical and Geochemical
Hypothesis
Hypothesis 1 : Land management have significant impacts on both the geochemical
and geophysical climate Forcing
Hypothesis 2: Land cover changes influence the both below ground carbon storage
and the surface albedo
Research questions
• What are the impacts of land management on Above ground carbon stock ?
•What impact do land management options have on surface albedo?
•What is the net Radiative forcing of pastoral land management options considering both
the geochemical and geophysical factors?
•What are the land dynamics with within 20 years and their implications on SC and Albedo
Objectives
1.Assess the impact of land management options on the geochemical climate Forcing
(carbon sequestration) (RQ1)
2.Assess the impact of pastoral land management options on the Geophysical forcing
(Surface Albedo) –(RQ2)
3.Estimate the net climate forcing consequent from the land management options
(Considering Geochemical and Geophyical Factors) (RQ3)
4.Assess land cover changes within 20 year time step and estimate the consequent climatic
forcing considering both the biophysical and biochemical aspects (RQ4)
Methods: Description of the study area
Methods: Description of the study site
Laba

Tiogo
Methods: Description of Land management options
Methods: Description of the experimental design
Grazing

Fire

Selective cutting

Grazing

No Fire

No Cutting
Selective cutting

Number of plots
of (50X50)
4
4

Annual early fire

No Cutting
Selective cutting

4
4

No Cutting
Selective cutting

4
4

No fire

No Cutting
Selective cutting

4
4

Annual early fire

No Cutting
Selective cutting

4
4

No Grazing
Methods: Description of the study area- experimental layout- Tiogo and Laba
Methods: Description of the Remote sensing data
Characteristics

Data sets
Albedo and above ground
carbon estimation

Land cover changes

Sensor

Geo- eye

Spot 4 and 5

Spatial
resolution

0.5 m

20km

Temporal subset 3/11/2010, 3/21/2011

21/06/1987, 21/06/1998,
21/06/2009

Projection

WGS84

WGS84
Methods: Estimation of above ground Carbon – Objective 1
Above Ground carbon
estimation (Field data)

Image Processing

•Calculate Above Ground
Biomas
•Calculate Above ground
Stock

•Atmospheric corrections
•Pansharpening
Ready image for
analysis
Spatial Modelling
Image Analysis
•Object oriented analysis
•Validation

Tree Crowns/species

• Develop a model – Crown
Projection Area(CPA) and
AGC
•Apply the model to the
Image

ABOVE GROUND CARBON
MAP

Above ground Carbon
stock (AGC)
Methods: Radiative Forcings of carbon storage (based on Kirschbaum et al 2011)
•The change in Radiative Forcing for a square meter of ground RM can be calculated
as follows

Where
C =Background atmospheric carbondioxide concentration
∆C = Change in the atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations attributed to Land
management .
86400= is the number of seconds in a day.
5.35 =Converts units of carbon dioxide to radiative forcing.

A change in carbon stock
change in the atmosphere

needs to be converted to the corresponding concentration
Methods: Radiative Forcings of carbon storage (based on Kirschbaum et al 2011)
Considering that 1 ppm in carbon dioxide concentration corresponds to 2.123 GtC: Thus

The total radiative forcing over a year and for the Earth surface as a whole
can be calculated as

510x10 12m2 = Surface of the Earth,
365= Number of days in a year.
With an atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration of 390ppm and for the earth as a whole
the earth the Radiative Forcing of removal
of I tonne carbon can be calculated as
Methods:

Estimation of surface albedo– Objective 2

Image-Rainy season
Image Processing
•Atmospheric corrections

Ready image for
analysis

Image Analysis
•Extraction of surface
Albedo using ATCORE
software

Albedo (Wet season)

Image-Dry season
Image Processing
• Atmospehericcorrections

Ready image for
analysis

Image Analysis
•Extraction of surface
Albedo using ATCORE
software

Albedo (Dry seson)
Methods: Radiative Forcings of Surface Albedo (based on Kirschbaum et al 2011)
The change in Radiative Forcing due to change in Albedo can be calculated as

= Total daily downward solar radiation
= Difference in Albedo over the short wave spectrum between two different
land management options
= The proportion of short wave radiation absorbed by the atmosphere (~20%)
The difference in Radiative Forcing for 50 m2 over a year can be calculated as

2500= Number of square metres of the experimental site
Methods: Land cover /Use changes and impact on soil carbon-Objective 4
THANK YOU

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Pastoral Land Management Options in the Sahel: The Consequent Climate Forcings

  • 1. PASTORAL LAND MANAGEMENT OPTIONS IN THE SAHEL: THE CONSEQUENT CLIMATE FORCINGS ZIPPORAH MUSYIMI SUPERVISION BY Prof. Dr. T. Uddelhoven (University Trier) Dr. L. Zida (INERA) Dr. J. de Leeuw (ILRI)
  • 2. OUTLINE  INTRODUCTION •BACKGROUND •HYPOTHESIS •REASERCH QUESTIONS •OBJECTIVES  METTHODOLOGY •DESCIPTION OF THE STUDY SITE •DESCRIPTION OF THE METHODS
  • 3. Introduction –Background Pastoral sytems in African drylands Pastoral sytems Future resilience –Uncertain due to climate change effects Way foward – Livelihood diverification options --Mitigation options CARBON CREDITS ????- Managing land for carbon credits (Geochemical) may upset the cooling effects due to warming due to changes in physical land characteristics of land surface (Geophysical) Study Relevance – Could the pastorlists benefit from Payment of Environmental Sercives (PAYES) opting for management which mitigate climate?
  • 4. Introduction –Aim, Hypothesis, Research questions Aim: Develop a framework for assessment of the climatic forcing consequent of different land management by integrating two lines of evidence: Geophysical and Geochemical Hypothesis Hypothesis 1 : Land management have significant impacts on both the geochemical and geophysical climate Forcing Hypothesis 2: Land cover changes influence the both below ground carbon storage and the surface albedo Research questions • What are the impacts of land management on Above ground carbon stock ? •What impact do land management options have on surface albedo? •What is the net Radiative forcing of pastoral land management options considering both the geochemical and geophysical factors? •What are the land dynamics with within 20 years and their implications on SC and Albedo
  • 5. Objectives 1.Assess the impact of land management options on the geochemical climate Forcing (carbon sequestration) (RQ1) 2.Assess the impact of pastoral land management options on the Geophysical forcing (Surface Albedo) –(RQ2) 3.Estimate the net climate forcing consequent from the land management options (Considering Geochemical and Geophyical Factors) (RQ3) 4.Assess land cover changes within 20 year time step and estimate the consequent climatic forcing considering both the biophysical and biochemical aspects (RQ4)
  • 6. Methods: Description of the study area
  • 7. Methods: Description of the study site Laba Tiogo
  • 8. Methods: Description of Land management options
  • 9. Methods: Description of the experimental design Grazing Fire Selective cutting Grazing No Fire No Cutting Selective cutting Number of plots of (50X50) 4 4 Annual early fire No Cutting Selective cutting 4 4 No Cutting Selective cutting 4 4 No fire No Cutting Selective cutting 4 4 Annual early fire No Cutting Selective cutting 4 4 No Grazing
  • 10. Methods: Description of the study area- experimental layout- Tiogo and Laba
  • 11. Methods: Description of the Remote sensing data Characteristics Data sets Albedo and above ground carbon estimation Land cover changes Sensor Geo- eye Spot 4 and 5 Spatial resolution 0.5 m 20km Temporal subset 3/11/2010, 3/21/2011 21/06/1987, 21/06/1998, 21/06/2009 Projection WGS84 WGS84
  • 12. Methods: Estimation of above ground Carbon – Objective 1 Above Ground carbon estimation (Field data) Image Processing •Calculate Above Ground Biomas •Calculate Above ground Stock •Atmospheric corrections •Pansharpening Ready image for analysis Spatial Modelling Image Analysis •Object oriented analysis •Validation Tree Crowns/species • Develop a model – Crown Projection Area(CPA) and AGC •Apply the model to the Image ABOVE GROUND CARBON MAP Above ground Carbon stock (AGC)
  • 13. Methods: Radiative Forcings of carbon storage (based on Kirschbaum et al 2011) •The change in Radiative Forcing for a square meter of ground RM can be calculated as follows Where C =Background atmospheric carbondioxide concentration ∆C = Change in the atmospheric carbon dioxide concentrations attributed to Land management . 86400= is the number of seconds in a day. 5.35 =Converts units of carbon dioxide to radiative forcing. A change in carbon stock change in the atmosphere needs to be converted to the corresponding concentration
  • 14. Methods: Radiative Forcings of carbon storage (based on Kirschbaum et al 2011) Considering that 1 ppm in carbon dioxide concentration corresponds to 2.123 GtC: Thus The total radiative forcing over a year and for the Earth surface as a whole can be calculated as 510x10 12m2 = Surface of the Earth, 365= Number of days in a year. With an atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration of 390ppm and for the earth as a whole the earth the Radiative Forcing of removal of I tonne carbon can be calculated as
  • 15. Methods: Estimation of surface albedo– Objective 2 Image-Rainy season Image Processing •Atmospheric corrections Ready image for analysis Image Analysis •Extraction of surface Albedo using ATCORE software Albedo (Wet season) Image-Dry season Image Processing • Atmospehericcorrections Ready image for analysis Image Analysis •Extraction of surface Albedo using ATCORE software Albedo (Dry seson)
  • 16. Methods: Radiative Forcings of Surface Albedo (based on Kirschbaum et al 2011) The change in Radiative Forcing due to change in Albedo can be calculated as = Total daily downward solar radiation = Difference in Albedo over the short wave spectrum between two different land management options = The proportion of short wave radiation absorbed by the atmosphere (~20%) The difference in Radiative Forcing for 50 m2 over a year can be calculated as 2500= Number of square metres of the experimental site
  • 17. Methods: Land cover /Use changes and impact on soil carbon-Objective 4