DEVELOPMENT OF A FRAMEWORK FOR       COST/BENEFIT ANALYSIS OF   ECOSYSTEM BASED CLIMATE CHANGE       ADAPTATION ACTIONS IN...
CONTENT•   Location, geographical background•   The CarpathCC project•   Cost benefit analysis (CBA) framework•   Vulnerab...
LOCATION
RESEARCH AREA
CARPATHIANS• Length about 1500 km, second longest in  Europe• Highest peak is 2655 m• Area is 190000 km2
Seasonal temperature changes, 1961-2010                                                           Lakatos et al., 2012    ...
Change of the seasonal precipitation sums               1961-2010           Lakatos et al., 2012           UNCCD 2nd Scien...
THE FRAMEWORK PROJECT (1/2)• IN-DEPTH ASSESSMENTS OF  VULNERABILITY OF ECOSYSTEMS AND  ADAPTATION MEASURES IN THE  CARPATH...
THE FRAMEWORK PROJECT (2/2)• SR3: Impact of the climate change on  ecosystem production systems and  tourism• SR4: Collect...
CBA FRAMEWORK1. ADAPTATION MEASURES AND   ECOSYSTEM SERVICES2. ECONOMIC VALUATION3. INTERPRETATION AND REPORTING
ADAPTATION MEASURES AND         ECOSYSTEM SERVICES            Changes         New situationPresentsituation               ...
CLIMATE CHANGE    • Determined based on the A1B scenario      ECHAM5 REMO 5.7 model calculationsTemperature and precipitat...
LAND USE CHANGEEEA database, 1990-2000 to 2006-2000
ECONOMIC VALUATION• Quantifying costs of adaptation measures  compared to the baseline option (preparatory,  investment, o...
CASE STUDY: CONCLUSION ON   ECOSYSTEM SERVICES
INTERPRETATION AND REPORTING• Sensitivity analysis• Reporting
VULNERABILITY ASSESSMENT                         Füssel and Klein)   Adaptation measures
IMPACTS ON HABITAT DISTRIBUTIONVulnerability assessment by habitat tíypes• Change in species composition• Increased spread...
QUALITATIVE DESCRIPTION OF  ECOSYSTEM SERVICES
STAKEHOLDER DIALOGUE• Meetings• Use of fact sheets  – Threats  – Ecosystem service effects
ADAPTATION MEASURES• Long list: about 150 measures collected• Short list: about 20 measures (umbrella  measures)• Final ou...
ACKNOWLEDGEMENT• Author thanks to European Comission, for  CarpathCC, which is supported by the EU  DG ENV Contract no  EN...
THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION!
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Sandor SZALAI "Development of a framework for cost/benefit analysis of ecosystem based CC adaptation actions in the Carpathian region"

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Sandor SZALAI "Development of a framework for cost/benefit analysis of ecosystem based CC adaptation actions in the Carpathian region"

  1. 1. DEVELOPMENT OF A FRAMEWORK FOR COST/BENEFIT ANALYSIS OF ECOSYSTEM BASED CLIMATE CHANGE ADAPTATION ACTIONS IN THE CARPATHIAN REGION Lambert Stijn1, Bogaert Sarah1, AdriaenssensVéronique1, Lammerant Johan1, Interwies Eduard2, Görlitz Stefan2, Sandor Szalai3 1ARCADIS Belgium NV, Gent, Belgium2Intersus Sustainability Services, Berlin, Germany 3Szent Istvan University, Gödöllő, Hungary
  2. 2. CONTENT• Location, geographical background• The CarpathCC project• Cost benefit analysis (CBA) framework• Vulnerability analysis
  3. 3. LOCATION
  4. 4. RESEARCH AREA
  5. 5. CARPATHIANS• Length about 1500 km, second longest in Europe• Highest peak is 2655 m• Area is 190000 km2
  6. 6. Seasonal temperature changes, 1961-2010 Lakatos et al., 2012 UNCCD 2nd Scientific Conference, Bonn, 9-12 April 2013
  7. 7. Change of the seasonal precipitation sums 1961-2010 Lakatos et al., 2012 UNCCD 2nd Scientific Conference, Bonn, 9-12 April 2013
  8. 8. THE FRAMEWORK PROJECT (1/2)• IN-DEPTH ASSESSMENTS OF VULNERABILITY OF ECOSYSTEMS AND ADAPTATION MEASURES IN THE CARPATHIAN REGION• SR1: Main impacts of the climate change on the water resources and water related natural disasters• SR2: Vulnerability of the natural ecosystems to climate change (forest, grasslands, wetlands)
  9. 9. THE FRAMEWORK PROJECT (2/2)• SR3: Impact of the climate change on ecosystem production systems and tourism• SR4: Collect and evaluate adaptation measures• SR5: Stakeholder dialogues: communication, meetings• SR6: focal areas, where the SRs are applied on integrated basis
  10. 10. CBA FRAMEWORK1. ADAPTATION MEASURES AND ECOSYSTEM SERVICES2. ECONOMIC VALUATION3. INTERPRETATION AND REPORTING
  11. 11. ADAPTATION MEASURES AND ECOSYSTEM SERVICES Changes New situationPresentsituation Ecosystems with Climate adaptation measuress Ecosystems without Land useBenefits adaptation measuresfrom the Change in the benefit Territorialecosystem from ecosystem services (abandonment)services and the costs of the adaptation measures
  12. 12. CLIMATE CHANGE • Determined based on the A1B scenario ECHAM5 REMO 5.7 model calculationsTemperature and precipitation changes for the period 2021-2050 compared to 1971-2000
  13. 13. LAND USE CHANGEEEA database, 1990-2000 to 2006-2000
  14. 14. ECONOMIC VALUATION• Quantifying costs of adaptation measures compared to the baseline option (preparatory, investment, operating and maintenance costs)• Identifying human populations affected by impacts• Economic valuation of ecosystem service changes• Calculation of discounted costs and benefits (select time scale and discount rate)• Accounting for non-monetised impacts
  15. 15. CASE STUDY: CONCLUSION ON ECOSYSTEM SERVICES
  16. 16. INTERPRETATION AND REPORTING• Sensitivity analysis• Reporting
  17. 17. VULNERABILITY ASSESSMENT Füssel and Klein) Adaptation measures
  18. 18. IMPACTS ON HABITAT DISTRIBUTIONVulnerability assessment by habitat tíypes• Change in species composition• Increased spread of alien species• Reduced productivity• Change in habitat distribution
  19. 19. QUALITATIVE DESCRIPTION OF ECOSYSTEM SERVICES
  20. 20. STAKEHOLDER DIALOGUE• Meetings• Use of fact sheets – Threats – Ecosystem service effects
  21. 21. ADAPTATION MEASURES• Long list: about 150 measures collected• Short list: about 20 measures (umbrella measures)• Final outcome will be 2-3 tailored adaptation measures
  22. 22. ACKNOWLEDGEMENT• Author thanks to European Comission, for CarpathCC, which is supported by the EU DG ENV Contract no ENV.D.1/FRA/2011/0006 UNCCD 2nd Scientific
  23. 23. THANK YOU FOR YOUR ATTENTION!

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