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UNRAVELING THE PEACE PROCESS
MJTI PEP • The Israeli-Palestinian Con
fl
ict • Week 4
Review
Review
Week 1 — Origins of the Con
fl
ict
3
Review
Week 1 — Origins of the Con
fl
ict
Week 2 — Peace Process
4
Review
Week 1 — Origins of the Con
fl
ict
Week 2 — Peace Process
Week 3 — The Players & Spoilers
5
Review
Week 1 — Origins of the Con
fl
ict
Week 2 — Peace Process
Week 3 — The Players & Spoilers
Week 4 — Unraveled Relations
6
Week 2 — Peace Process
1. Camp David Agreement (Egypt - Israel) 1978
2. Madrid Conference (Arab Nations - Israel) 1991
3. Jordan - Israel Agreement 1994
4. Oslo Accords I & II (Palestinian - Israeli) 1993-1995
5. Camp David Summit (Palestinian - Israeli) 2000
7
First Oslo Accord
September 13, 1993
1. Recognition of Palestine & Israel
2. Established interim Palestinian Authority (PA)
3. Began the process of Palestinian Sovereignty
4. Began the process of Israeli withdrawal
5. Established timetable for negotiation
8
2nd Camp David Summit
July, 2000
1. Palestinian sovereignty
2. Staged withdrawal from West Bank
3. Complete withdrawal from Gaza
4. Dismantling Jewish Settlements in West Bank & Gaza
5. Palestinian custodianship of the Temple Mount
6. Palestinian annexation of parts of East Jerusalem
7. Highways interconnecting the West Bank and Gaza
9
Arafat Rejected the Offer
Players & Spoilers
1. UNRWA
2. Mahmoud Abbas, PA
3. Israels Political Parties
4. Hamas
5. Iran
6. United States
7. West Bank Settlers
West Bank Settlers
132 West Bank Settlements
465,400 Jewish settlers
20,000+ Jews in 5 illegal towns
Most are Far Right Modern Orthodox
12
https://israelpolicyforum.org/west-bank-settlements-explained/
Why Do They Go?
Because Israel has not annexed the
territories yet
Because they know the government will
protect them (legal or illegal)
Because if they
fi
ll the West Bank they
will squeeze out Palestinians
13
https://israelpolicyforum.org/west-bank-settlements-explained/
1948 - 1967
Jordan expelled Jews from WB
1967 Religious Jews settled Kfar
Etzion
1967 - 1977 32 new settlements in
Jordan Valley
14
https://israelpolicyforum.org/west-bank-settlements-explained/
Yigal Allon, Labor
1967 - 1977
Yigal Allon, Labor Minister
“Allon Plan” during Six-Day War
Establish a security perimeter around
Palestinian villages of religious Jewish
settlers
15
https://israelpolicyforum.org/west-bank-settlements-explained/
Ariel Sharon, Likud
1977 - 1984
Promoted settlements around Palestinian
villages with Modern Orthodox
To prevent estab. of Palestinian State
To apply political pressure on the PLO
16
https://israelpolicyforum.org/west-bank-settlements-explained/
Yitzhak Rabin, Labor
1992
Stopped all Settlements
Oslo Accord, agreed to dismantle
settlements
17
https://israelpolicyforum.org/west-bank-settlements-explained/
Illegal Settlements
1992 - 2020
In response to Oslo, and possibility of a
Palestinian State
Religious extremist groups like the
“Hilltop Youth” began illegal
settlements against government
100 Illegal settlements on WB
18
https://israelpolicyforum.org/west-bank-settlements-explained/
Hilltop Youth
Founded November, 1998
At the urging of Ariel Sharon to “grab
the hilltops”
Extremist Modern Orthodox
Isabel Kershner, Barrier: The Seam of the Israeli-Palestinian Con
fl
ict (St. Martin: 2014): : 184-185
Sharon (Likud) Inspired the Hilltop Youth
Everyone [on the West Bank] should run…grab more hills, expand the
territory. Everything that's grabbed will be in our hands. Everything we
don't grab will be in their hands.
Ariel Sharon
Adam T. Smith, The Political Landscape: Constellations of Authority in Early Complex Polities, University of California Press, 2003
Settler-Palestinian Violence Spike
January, 2020 - July 2021
Beginning with Intifada II, Settlers
began harassing and attacking
Palestinians in the West Bank
Map shows Settler Violence
21
https://israelpolicyforum.org/west-bank-settlements-explained/
Netanyahu & Settlers
Netanyahu’s new Likud Coalition
included far right MK ministers
many of whom represented
Settlers.
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/06/29/world/middleeast/israel-west-bank-settlements-expansion.html
Netanyahu with Bezalel Smotrich, far right Settler Activist
Netanyahu & Settlers
By June, 2023
Permitted 13,000 new settlements
More than 400,000 Israeli Settlers
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/06/29/world/middleeast/israel-west-bank-settlements-expansion.html
Netanyahu with Bezalel Smotrich, far right Settler Activist
Bezalel Smotrich
• Minister of Finance
• Religious Zionist
• Born in Haspin, a WB Settlement
• Grew up in an illegal settlement
• Opposes Palestinian Statehood
• Supporter of Settlements
• Controversial because of his anti-
Arab statements and suggestions
that Israel expel Palestinians
24
To Arab Lawmakers: “You’re here by mistake! Its a mistake that Ben-Gurion didn’t
fi
nish the job
and throw you all out in 1948.” [1]
To Knesset: Israel should not sell homes to Arabs [inside Israel] Anyone who wants to protect the
Jewish people should oppose Jews marrying Arabs.[2]
To Gazans: “Israel will no longer put up with the existence of Palestinians in Gaza,” calling Israel
to expel Palestinians en masse from Gaza. [3]
[1] Spiro, Amy . "Smotrich at Knesset: Ben-Gurion should have "
fi
nished the job", thrown out Arabs". The Times of Israel. (13 October 2021)
[2] Harkov, Lahav “Bayit Yehudi MK: God commanded Jews not to sell homes to Arabs". The Jerusalem Post.
[3] “Israeli O
ffi
cials' Calls For Emigration Of Palestinians Alarm Human Rights Experts". Hu
ff
Post. (4 January 2024)
“We are now rolling out the Gaza Nakba!” (MK Avi Dichter)
Dropping a nuclear bomb on Gaza is one of the possibilities (Heritage Minister Amihai Eliyahu)
We need to create a “sterile zone” in the West Bank, by expelling Palestinians. (MK Bezalel Smotrich)
https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/gaza-nakba-israels-far-right-palestinian-fears-hamas-war-rcna123909
Far Right lawmaker Itamar Ben Gvir said…he wants to introduce a bill…to deport
Arab Israeli citizens…as well as Arab politicians who are disloyal to the State of
Israel…they should be deported on trains and planes. (MK Ben Gvir)
Michael Horowitz, “Ben Gvir Says He’d seek to expel Arabs” The Times of Israel (16 Aug 2022) https://www.timeso
fi
srael.com/ben-gvir-says-hed-seek-to-expel-arabs-who-attack-idf-soldiers-disloyal-mks/
What are the concerns?
• Does the rhetoric complicate the peace process?
• Does the growth of new Settlements complicate the peace process?
• Does the growth of new settlements near Arab villages increase incidents of violence?
• Does the language of Israel’s right alienate Arab - Israelis?
28
What are the concerns?
• If peace talks resume, will Israel actually go about removing
religious settlers from their land?
29
Why does Netanyahu’s Likud tolerate the religious right?
• Possibly to maintain political pressure on the PA?
• Possibly to keep his fragile coalition together?
• Possibly to create political leverage if negotiation resumes?
• Possibly (but not probably) because he actually agrees with them?
30
UNRAVELING THE PEACE PROCESS
MJTI PEP • The Israeli-Palestinian Con
fl
ict • Week 4
Why did Arafat reject it?
Why did Arafat reject the offer?
1. Claimed the summit was “premature” (i.e. wasn’t ready to talk).
Saul Singer, “Whose Fault was the Failure of Camp David?” Jerusalem Center for Public A
ff
airs No. 424, (15 Mar 2002). https://www.jcpa.org/jl/vp474.htm
Why did Arafat reject the offer?
1. Claimed the summit was “premature”
2. Claimed the summit was “a trap” (i.e. presented an “all or nothing” o
ff
er).
Saul Singer, “Whose Fault was the Failure of Camp David?” Jerusalem Center for Public A
ff
airs No. 424, (15 Mar 2002). https://www.jcpa.org/jl/vp474.htm
Why did Arafat reject the offer?
1. Claimed the summit was “premature”
2. Claimed the summit was “a trap”
3. Many think Arafat wanted to leave a legacy and let another negotiator make
concessions to Israel rather than him.
Saul Singer, “Whose Fault was the Failure of Camp David?” Jerusalem Center for Public A
ff
airs No. 424, (15 Mar 2002). https://www.jcpa.org/jl/vp474.htm
Why did Arafat reject the offer?
1. Claimed the summit was “premature”
2. Claimed the summit was “a trap”
3. Many think Arafat wanted to leave a legacy.
4. Criticism is not that Arafat rejected o
ff
er, but didn’t make a counter o
ff
er.
Saul Singer, “Whose Fault was the Failure of Camp David?” Jerusalem Center for Public A
ff
airs No. 424, (15 Mar 2002). https://www.jcpa.org/jl/vp474.htm
"An irate Clinton [told] Arafat: 'If the Israelis can make compromises
and you can't, I should go home. You have been here fourteen days
and said no to everything.”
Robert Malley, Special Assistant to the President on Arab-Israeli A
ff
airs
Singer, 2002, “Arafat said no”
White House replied: Arafat never made a counter-o
ff
er.
Robert Malley, Special Assistant to the President on Arab-Israeli A
ff
airs
Singer, 2002, “Arafat said no”
2001 Election
Israel Pivoted to the Right
Voting in Likud
Israelis Protested against Ehud Barak
And against the peace process
Ariel Sharon (Likud)
• Campaigned against Labor
• Sharon was politically conservative
• Argued that “Land for Peace” failed
• Palestinians don’t negotiate in good faith
• Promised to be harder on the Palestinians
42
February, 2001 Election, Labor was voted out
The Second Intifada
Sep 2000 - Feb 2005
Temple Mount
September 28,
While campaigning Sharon visited the the
Temple Mount, where Al Aqsa Mosque is
With a delegation of his campaign team
and hundred’s of Police o
ffi
cers
https://www.jewishvirtuallibrary.org/background-and-overview-of-al-aqsa-intifada
Riot Broke Out
Abu Qteish, in manager of Temple Mount
that day, announced over the loudspeaker
that Israel was taking possession of the
Mosque and called Palestinians to defend
the Mosque
Protesters gathered, hurled stones,
And riot broke out
https://www.jewishvirtuallibrary.org/background-and-overview-of-al-aqsa-intifada
Riot Spread
The riot spread throughout Jerusalem and
West Bank
Became blew up into the 2nd Intifada also
known as the Al Aqsa Intifada.
https://www.jewishvirtuallibrary.org/background-and-overview-of-al-aqsa-intifada
Why did Sharon go?
Shlomo Ben Ami (spokesperson)
claimed he called the PA to get
reassurance that there’d be no problem
with the visit.
Jibril Rajoub, (spokesperson)
denied ever giving permission
https://www.jewishvirtuallibrary.org/background-and-overview-of-al-aqsa-intifada
Why did Sharon go?
Sharon said
• He went to assert the right of all Israelis to
visit the Temple Mount
Akunis (Likud spokesperson) admitted
• “Sharon also wanted to show that under
Likud, the Temple Mount will stay under
Israel’s sovereignty.”
"Palestinians say opposition tour of holy site could cause bloodshed". CNN (citing Associated Press). (27 September 2000). http://archives.cnn.com/2000/WORLD/meast/09/27/israel.palestinians.ap/index.html
But also…
Imad Faluji (PA Communications Minister)
Admitted months later that the PA was looking
for an opportunity to protest following the
failure of the 2000 Summit.
"Palestinians say opposition tour of holy site could cause bloodshed". CNN (citing Associated Press). (27 September 2000). http://archives.cnn.com/2000/WORLD/meast/09/27/israel.palestinians.ap/index.html
Palestinian Authority said,
Sharon made a deliberate provocation at a time of increased tension over the summit
Government of Israel said
“The immediate catalyst for the violence was the breakdown of…negotiations…but the
Palestinian violence had been planned by the PA leadership to provoke and ensure
Palestinian casualties as a means of regaining the diplomatic initiative.”
George Mitchell, “Letter to President George Bush, April 30, 2001” cited by Virtual Jewish Library (April 30, 2001) https://www.jewishvirtuallibrary.org/the-mitchell-report-may-2001
Aftermath
• Began with Stone throwing
• Turned into bombings, suicide
bombing, and eventually rocket
attacks.
• 1,137 Israelis killed
• 3,000 Palestinians killed
https://www.gov.il/en/departments/ministry_of_foreign_a
ff
airs/govil-landing-page
Defensive Shield
Mar - Apr 2002
• Response to a suicide bombing at a Passover
Seder killing 30.
• IDF took possession of Ramallah, Tulkarm,
Qalqilya, Bethlehem, Jenin, and Nablus
• House to House searches
• 4,200 Suspects Arrested
• 250 Palestinians killed
• Turning point in war leading to peace talks
https://www.jewishvirtuallibrary.org/operation-defensive-shield
West Bank Barrier
2003 - 2006
440 mile wall around the West Bank
Israel claims iti reduced suicide bombings
from 73 to 12, after 2006.
https://www.jewishvirtuallibrary.org/background-and-overview-of-israel-s-security-fence
Aftermath
• Led to Israel building the wall
• Led to rise of Hamas and popularity in the
territories.
• Led to Iran’s support and training of
Hamas
fi
ghters in the territories
• Brought PA back to peace table.
https://www.gov.il/en/departments/ministry_of_foreign_a
ff
airs/govil-landing-page
Sharm El Sheikh Summit
February, 2005
• Israel, PA, US, Jordan, and Egypt in El
Sheikh in the Sinai
• Followed Arafat’s death and Mahmoud
Abbas’ e
ff
ort to end the 2nd Intifada
• Ended the 2nd Intifada
https://www.gov.il/en/departments/ministry_of_foreign_a
ff
airs/govil-landing-page
Sharm El Sheikh Summit
1. Abbas agreed to end Intifada
2. Sharon agreed to release 900 Palestinian
prisoners
3. Sharon agreed to withdraw from villages
taken during the Intifada
4. Both agreed to restart the “Road Map for
Peace” started in Oslo.
https://www.gov.il/en/departments/ministry_of_foreign_a
ff
airs/govil-landing-page
Hamas Takeover of Gaza
Why Withdraw Gaza?
November, 2003
Ehud Olmert, Deputy PM
1. Because the US and International community put
huge pressure on Israel during 2nd Intifada.
2. Because Gaza was not considered a part of the State
of Israel or contested territory.
3. Because Palestinians were abandoning Two-State
Solution and advocating for One-State solution with
Palestinians having the right to vote.
4. Because as long Israel governs millions of Arabs,
there remains the threat that Arabs will eventually
outnumber Jews.
5. Because Israel must either grant Palestinians the right
to vote, govern the population as non-voting occupied
residents, or unilaterally give them sovereignty
59
For this reason, Sharon justi
fi
ed the Gaza withdrawal as a demographic necessity.
Demography was more important to him than geography to insure a long-term Jewish
majority within Israel.
Dov Waxman
Dov Waxman, The Israeli-Palestinian Con
fl
ict, 141.
Israel is going to have to address the demographic issue with utmost seriousness and
resolve…Palestinians…want a one-man-one-vote [alternative]…For us it would mean
the end of the Jewish State.
[Therefore] In the absence of a negotiated agreement…we need to implement a
unilateral alternative [i.e. unilaterally withdraw from Gaza].
Ehud Olmert to Knesset, 2003
David Landau, “Maximum Jews, Minimum Palestinians” Haaretz (Nov 13, 2003). https://www.haaretz.com/2003-11-13/ty-article/maximum-jews-minimum-palestinians/0000017f-ed37-ddba-a37f-ef7fefd10000
[I have reached] the conclusion that, for the time being, there exists no
Palestinian partner with whom to advance peacefully toward a settlement
and since the current impasse is unhelpful to the achievement of our
shared goals, I have decided to initiate a process of gradual disengagement
with the hope of reducing friction between Israelis and Palestinians.
Ariel Sharon to President Bush (14 April 2004)
https://www.gov.il/en/Departments/General/exchange-of-letters-sharon-bush-14-apr-2004
Withdrawal from Gaza
August 15 - September 11, 2005
Disengagement Plan
• Dismantled 21 settlements
• Withdrew all IDF Soldiers
• Compensated settlers up to $200,000
63
Hamas Takeover of Gaza
25 January 2006 Election
• Hamas won 77 seats and 44.5% of votes
• Fatah won 45 seats and 41.43 of votes
However, Exit Polls by Birzeit University
• Hamas won 35% of votes
• Fatah won 42% of votes
Erlanger, Steven (2006-01-25). "A Narrow Win for Fatah Expected in Palestinian Elections - New York Times"
Ismail Haniyeh, Hamas Farouk Kaddoumi, Fatah
Hamas Takeover of Gaza
14 June 2007
Mahmoud Abbas dismissed the Hamas
coalition government and suspended the
Parliament (PLC)
Hamas took over the Gaza Strip, expelled
Fatah sta
ff
, arrested dissidents, and appointed
Salam Fayyad as Gaza’s prime minister
Gaza became independent of the West Bank.
Erlanger, Steven (2006-01-25). "A Narrow Win for Fatah Expected in Palestinian Elections - New York Times"
Ehud Olmert’s Re-Alignment Offer
Re-Alignment Plan
1. Palestinian Sovereignty
2. Return 94% of West Bank
3. Withdraw Israeli Forces
4. Dismantle small settlements
5. Land exchange for large settlements
6. Corridors between WB and Gaza
7. Joint administration of Jerusalem
8. Right of Return: Admit 1,000 Palestinians
every year based on humanitarian criteria
https://www.jewishvirtuallibrary.org/ehud-olmert-s-peace-o
ff
er#:~:text=The%20main%20elements%20of%20Olmert's,have%20been%20split%20in%20half.
Ehud Omert
Mahmood Abbas
Ehud Olmert (Labor)
• 2006 Ariel Sharon su
ff
ered a stroke
• Olmert became acting prime minister
• Olmert hoped the Palestinian Civil War
gave opportunity for peace with Fatah.
• Announced the “Re-alignment Plan” to
withdraw Israeli forces from the West
Bank and turn over sovereignty to the PA
• Met in Annapolis, MD with Pres. Bush
68
Ehud Olmert showed Abbas a map…He told Abbas, “‘This is the
o
ff
er. Sign it and we can immediately get support from America, from
Europe, from all over the world.’ I told him he’d never get anything like
this again from an Israeli leader for 50 years.
https://www.jewishvirtuallibrary.org/ehud-olmert-s-peace-o
ff
er#:~:text=The%20main%20elements%20of%20Olmert's,have%20been%20split%20in%20half.
Abbas Rejected the O
ff
er
Mahmoud Abbas said “he declined the proposal — which
included near-total withdrawal from West Bank and
relinquishing Israeli control of Jerusalem’s Old City —
because he wasn’t allowed to study map.”
Josef Federman, “Abbas Admits He Rejected the 2008 Peace O
ff
er”, Times of Israel. (19 Feb 2015). https://www.timeso
fi
srael.com/abbas-admits-he-rejected-2008-peace-o
ff
er-from-olmert/
Ehud Olmert
Embroiled in corruption charges
Stepped down
Was charged, arrested, incarcerated.
Replaced by PM Tzipi Livni
Replaced by Benjamin Netanyahu.
(Likud)
Peace process ended.
Susser, L. D.. "Tzipi Livni." Encyclopedia Britannica, January 27, 2024. https://www.britannica.com/biography/Tzipi-Livni.
Benjamin Netanyahu’s Coaltion
Benjamin Netanyahu
10 February 2009
Elected Prime Minister
Remains Prime minister
75
Conservative Coalition
Included members of Far Right
religious parties that opposed
• Two-State solution
• Oslo Agreement
• Any Palestinian State
• Withdrawal of WB Settlements
76
Zvi Sukkot, MK Religious Zionist Party
Chairman Committee on West Bank
Achievements
• One of the longest serving Prime Ministers
• Expanded Israel’s economy
• Tough on Security
• Prevented numerous terrorist attacks
• Presented a tough front to Hamas, Hezbollah, and Iran
• Created a united coalition in Knesset
• Partnered with President Trump in producing the Abraham Accords
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/09/27/magazine/benjamin-netanyahu-israel.html
Policies toward Peace Talks
• Rejected Land for Peace —“We don’t just hand over territory, close our eyes, and
hope for the best”
Efune, Dovid (6 October 2014). "Netanyahu Says Stance On Security Requirements Has Become 'Firmer'". Algemeiner Journal.
Policies toward Peace Talks
• Rejected Land for Peace
• Rejects Two-State Solution — A Palestinian State “will constitute an existential danger
to Israel”
https://www.nytimes.com/2024/01/21/world/middleeast/netanyahu-biden-israel-palestinian-state.html
Policies toward Peace Talks
• Rejected Land for Peace
• Rejects Two-State Solution
• Supports expanded Israeli Settlements on the West Bank
https://www.timeso
fi
srael.com/netanyahu-hands-smotrich-full-authority-to-expand-existing-settlements/
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s government passed a…resolution Sunday that
gives…all control over planning approval for construction in West Bank settlements to
Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich, an…advocate of settlements.
The decision approved at Sunday morning’s cabinet meeting, which takes immediate
e
ff
ect, also dramatically expedites and eases the process for expanding existing West
Bank settlements and retroactively legalizes previously illegal outposts.
Jeremy Sharon, “Netanyahu Hands Smotrich” Times of Israel (18 June 2023). https://www.timeso
fi
srael.com/netanyahu-hands-smotrich-full-authority-to-expand-existing-settlements/
Netanyahu & Settlers
Permitted 13,000 new settlements
More than 400,000 Israeli Settlers
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/06/29/world/middleeast/israel-west-bank-settlements-expansion.html
Netanyahu with Bezalel Smotrich, far right Settler Activist
West Bank Settlers
• 500,000 settlers West Bank
• 144 Settlements
• 100 illegal outposts
83
Bezalel Smotrich, Finance Minister (advocate for settlers)
Questions
• How does increased settlers a
ff
ect future peace
talks?
• Do settlers around Arab villages create possibility
for violence on the West Bank?
• Are settlements leverage for negotiation?
• Are settlements e
ff
orts to contain Arab villages?
• Are settlements e
ff
ort to curtail negotiation?
• How will they (or will they) be removed if a peace
deal is brokered?
84
Bezalel Smotrich, Finance Minister (advocate for settlers)
To Arab Lawmakers: “You’re here by mistake! Its a mistake that Ben-Gurion didn’t
fi
nish the job
and throw you all out in 1948.” (Smotrich) [1]
To Knesset: Israel should not sell homes to Arabs [inside Israel] Anyone who wants to protect the
Jewish people should oppose Jews marrying Arabs.(Bayit Yehudi) [2]
To Gazans: “Israel will no longer put up with the existence of Palestinians in Gaza,” calling Israel
to expel Palestinians en masse from Gaza. [3]
[1] Spiro, Amy . "Smotrich at Knesset: Ben-Gurion should have "
fi
nished the job", thrown out Arabs". The Times of Israel. (13 October 2021)
[2] Harkov, Lahav “Bayit Yehudi MK: God commanded Jews not to sell homes to Arabs". The Jerusalem Post.
[3] “Israeli O
ffi
cials' Calls For Emigration Of Palestinians Alarm Human Rights Experts". Hu
ff
Post. (4 January 2024)
“We are now rolling out the Gaza Nakba!” (MK Avi Dichter)
Dropping a nuclear bomb on Gaza is one of the possibilities (Heritage Minister Amihai Eliyahu)
We need to create a “sterile zone” in the West Bank, by expelling Palestinians. (MK Bezalel Smotrich)
https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/gaza-nakba-israels-far-right-palestinian-fears-hamas-war-rcna123909
Israel-Gaza Conflict
First Hamas Attacks
28 March 2006
Hamas began
fi
ring rockets into Israel
25 June 2006
Militants in
fi
ltrated Israel through tunnel near Kerem
Shalom, Killed 2 soldiers and captured Gilad Shalit.
18 October 2011
Shalit was swapped for 1,027 Palestinians
88
Blockade of Gaza
Israel Blockaded of Gaza
Egypt blockaded Gaza in 2007 after
Hamas tried to destroy the border wall
and in
fi
ltrate Egypt.
Nations began condemning Israel for the
blockade
89
Who lives in Gaza?
2.1 Million residents
141 Square Miles
One of world’s most dense areas
70% of residents are refugees
50% of residents are under 18
Britannica, T. Editors of Encyclopaedia. "Gaza Strip." Encyclopedia Britannica, February 22, 2024. https://www.britannica.com/place/Gaza-Strip.
Gaza Conflict Timeline
Aug 2006 — Israeli withdrew
Jan, 2006 — Hamas took over
Mar 2006 — Hamas
fi
red rockets
Jun 2006 — Captured Gilad Shalit
Dec 2008 — Israeli O
ff
ensive, Cease Fire
Nov 2012 — Israel assassinated Ahmad Jabari
Nov 2012 — Hamas rocket attacks, Israeli air strikes
https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/con
fl
ict-between-israel-palestinians-gaza-2023-10-07/
Gaza Conflict Timeline
Jul 2014 — Hamas kidnapped 3 teenagers, 7-week war ended in Cease
fi
re.
Mar 2018 — Palestinians charged the border walls. Israelis opened
fi
re
Mar 2021 — Hamas rocket attack following Israeli security incursion to Al Aqsa
Aug 2022 — Israel assassinated Khaled Mansour, commander of Iranian-backed militia
Aug 2022 — Islamic Jidhad (Iranian backed)
fi
res 1,000 rockets into Israel.
6 Aug 2022 — Egyptian mediated a truce
https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/con
fl
ict-between-israel-palestinians-gaza-2023-10-07/
Israel-Hamas Truce
6 August 2022
1. Israel o
ff
ered to halt air strikes
2. Issued 12,000 work permits
3. O
ff
ered 2,000 additional permits
4. O
ff
ered open all crossing points
5. Allowed humanitarian aid
https://www.npr.org/2022/08/07/1116218806/gaza-cease
fi
re-israel-palestinians-islamic-jihad
Yahya Sinwar, Head of Hamas in Gaza
October 7, 2023
Hamas militants in
fi
ltrated Israel
Killed 1,269 Israelis
Kidnapped 253 hostages
Fired 3,000 rockets on
fi
rst day
https://aoav.org.uk/2023/an-analysis-of-the-7th-of-october-2023-casualties-in-israel-as-a-result-of-the-hamas-attack/
What do Israelis think today?
Only 35% of Israelis think “a way can be found for Israel and an
independent Palestinian state to coexist peacefully” according
to Pew Research Study in Apr 2023.
https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2023/09/26/israelis-have-grown-more-skeptical-of-a-two-state-solution/
https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2023/09/26/israelis-have-grown-more-skeptical-of-a-two-state-solution/
https://www.pewresearch.org/religion/2022/05/26/modest-warming-in-u-s-views-on-israel-and-palestinians/
https://www.pewresearch.org/religion/2022/05/26/modest-warming-in-u-s-views-on-israel-and-palestinians/
https://www.pewresearch.org/religion/2021/05/11/u-s-jews-connections-with-and-attitudes-toward-israel/
https://www.pewresearch.org/religion/2021/05/11/u-s-jews-connections-with-and-attitudes-toward-israel/
What do Palestinians think?
https://www.arabbarometer.org/media-news/what-palestinians-really-think-of-hamas/
https://news.gallup.com/poll/512828/palestinians-lack-faith-biden-two-state-solution.aspx
https://news.gallup.com/poll/512828/palestinians-lack-faith-biden-two-state-solution.aspx
https://news.gallup.com/poll/512828/palestinians-lack-faith-biden-two-state-solution.aspx
The Road Forward
Populations
Israel 9.84 Million
Jews 7.21 Million (73%)
Arab 2.63 Million (27%)
Palestinians 5.34 Million
West Bank 3.18 Million
Gaza 2.16 Million
111
https://www.cia.gov/the-world-factbook/countries/west-bank
https://www.jewishvirtuallibrary.org/latest-population-statistics-for-israel
Expel
The Jews
One-State
Palestinian
One-State
Colaborative
Two-State
Solution
Confederation
Federation
Expel
Palestinians
Proposals
Expel
The Jews
One-State
Palestinian
One-State
Colaborative
Two-State
Solution
Confederation
Federation
Expel
Palestinians
Most Popular Solutions
Expel
The Jews
Proposals
Hamas
Iran
Islamic Jihad
Hezbollah
Preamble: Israel will continue to exist until Islam will annihilate it, just as it
annihilated others before it.
Hamas charter
https://embassies.gov.il/holysee/AboutIsrael/the-middle-east/Pages/The%20Hamas-Covenant.aspx
Expel
The
One-State
Palestinian
Proposals
Religious Arab States
Hamas Cofounder
Mahmoud Al Zahar
Libya (Gadda
fi
)
I do not rule out the possibility of having Jews, Muslims and Christians live
under the sovereignty of an Islamic state.
Mahmoud Al-Zahar, Hamas Co-founder
“Interview with Mahmoud Al Zahar” Al Jazeera. (8 Feb 2009) https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2009/2/8/interview-mahmoud-al-zahar
Expel
The
One-State
Palestinian
One-State
Colaborative
Proposals
Western Progressives
Palestinian Americans
Some WB Palestinians
Rashida Tlaib (D-Mich)
Talib supports a one-state solution entailing a single democratic state
encompassing Israel and the occupied territories, including Jews,
Muslims, and Christians
“I will not be silenced” The Guardian, (21 Nov 2012) https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2023/nov/12/rashida-tlaib-censure-congress-palestinian-rights-gaza
Expel
The Jews
One-State
Palestinian
One-State
Colaborative
Two-State
Solution
Proposals
Oslo Accords
United Nations
Moderate Arab
Countries
US Policy
Most American Jews
Many Israelis
Palestinian Authority
Expel
The
One-State
Palestinian
One-State
Colaborative
Two-State
Solution
Confederation
Federation
Proposals
Peace to
Prosperity
January, 2020
Benjamin Netanyahu
and the US Admin
PA was not present
122
Peace to Prosperity Proposal
• Palestinian Authority have 4 years to become self-sustaining
• PA will demilitarize
• Israel will annex Jordan River Valley
• Israel will annex land of the West Bank settlements
• Israel will annex East Jerusalem
• Israel will retain the right to intervene in PA territory
• Corridors between villages.
123
Peace to Prosperity Proposal
• PA was not present, or invited, to the conference
• Presented in 2020 to the Palestinian Authority as take or leave o
ff
er
• PA rejected proposal.
124
Expel
The
One-State
Palestinian
One-State
Colaborative
Two-State
Solution
Confederation
Federation
Expel
Palestinians
Proposals
Bezalel Smotrich, Religious Zionism
Ben-Gvir, Nationalist Front
Hilltop Youth
Bezalel Smotrich, National Religious Party (Religious Zionism) Itamar Ben-Gvir, Otzma Yehudit
630 × 900

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MJTI PEP Unraveling the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict Part 4

  • 1. UNRAVELING THE PEACE PROCESS MJTI PEP • The Israeli-Palestinian Con fl ict • Week 4
  • 3. Review Week 1 — Origins of the Con fl ict 3
  • 4. Review Week 1 — Origins of the Con fl ict Week 2 — Peace Process 4
  • 5. Review Week 1 — Origins of the Con fl ict Week 2 — Peace Process Week 3 — The Players & Spoilers 5
  • 6. Review Week 1 — Origins of the Con fl ict Week 2 — Peace Process Week 3 — The Players & Spoilers Week 4 — Unraveled Relations 6
  • 7. Week 2 — Peace Process 1. Camp David Agreement (Egypt - Israel) 1978 2. Madrid Conference (Arab Nations - Israel) 1991 3. Jordan - Israel Agreement 1994 4. Oslo Accords I & II (Palestinian - Israeli) 1993-1995 5. Camp David Summit (Palestinian - Israeli) 2000 7
  • 8. First Oslo Accord September 13, 1993 1. Recognition of Palestine & Israel 2. Established interim Palestinian Authority (PA) 3. Began the process of Palestinian Sovereignty 4. Began the process of Israeli withdrawal 5. Established timetable for negotiation 8
  • 9. 2nd Camp David Summit July, 2000 1. Palestinian sovereignty 2. Staged withdrawal from West Bank 3. Complete withdrawal from Gaza 4. Dismantling Jewish Settlements in West Bank & Gaza 5. Palestinian custodianship of the Temple Mount 6. Palestinian annexation of parts of East Jerusalem 7. Highways interconnecting the West Bank and Gaza 9
  • 11. Players & Spoilers 1. UNRWA 2. Mahmoud Abbas, PA 3. Israels Political Parties 4. Hamas 5. Iran 6. United States 7. West Bank Settlers
  • 12. West Bank Settlers 132 West Bank Settlements 465,400 Jewish settlers 20,000+ Jews in 5 illegal towns Most are Far Right Modern Orthodox 12 https://israelpolicyforum.org/west-bank-settlements-explained/
  • 13. Why Do They Go? Because Israel has not annexed the territories yet Because they know the government will protect them (legal or illegal) Because if they fi ll the West Bank they will squeeze out Palestinians 13 https://israelpolicyforum.org/west-bank-settlements-explained/
  • 14. 1948 - 1967 Jordan expelled Jews from WB 1967 Religious Jews settled Kfar Etzion 1967 - 1977 32 new settlements in Jordan Valley 14 https://israelpolicyforum.org/west-bank-settlements-explained/
  • 15. Yigal Allon, Labor 1967 - 1977 Yigal Allon, Labor Minister “Allon Plan” during Six-Day War Establish a security perimeter around Palestinian villages of religious Jewish settlers 15 https://israelpolicyforum.org/west-bank-settlements-explained/
  • 16. Ariel Sharon, Likud 1977 - 1984 Promoted settlements around Palestinian villages with Modern Orthodox To prevent estab. of Palestinian State To apply political pressure on the PLO 16 https://israelpolicyforum.org/west-bank-settlements-explained/
  • 17. Yitzhak Rabin, Labor 1992 Stopped all Settlements Oslo Accord, agreed to dismantle settlements 17 https://israelpolicyforum.org/west-bank-settlements-explained/
  • 18. Illegal Settlements 1992 - 2020 In response to Oslo, and possibility of a Palestinian State Religious extremist groups like the “Hilltop Youth” began illegal settlements against government 100 Illegal settlements on WB 18 https://israelpolicyforum.org/west-bank-settlements-explained/
  • 19. Hilltop Youth Founded November, 1998 At the urging of Ariel Sharon to “grab the hilltops” Extremist Modern Orthodox Isabel Kershner, Barrier: The Seam of the Israeli-Palestinian Con fl ict (St. Martin: 2014): : 184-185
  • 20. Sharon (Likud) Inspired the Hilltop Youth Everyone [on the West Bank] should run…grab more hills, expand the territory. Everything that's grabbed will be in our hands. Everything we don't grab will be in their hands. Ariel Sharon Adam T. Smith, The Political Landscape: Constellations of Authority in Early Complex Polities, University of California Press, 2003
  • 21. Settler-Palestinian Violence Spike January, 2020 - July 2021 Beginning with Intifada II, Settlers began harassing and attacking Palestinians in the West Bank Map shows Settler Violence 21 https://israelpolicyforum.org/west-bank-settlements-explained/
  • 22. Netanyahu & Settlers Netanyahu’s new Likud Coalition included far right MK ministers many of whom represented Settlers. https://www.nytimes.com/2023/06/29/world/middleeast/israel-west-bank-settlements-expansion.html Netanyahu with Bezalel Smotrich, far right Settler Activist
  • 23. Netanyahu & Settlers By June, 2023 Permitted 13,000 new settlements More than 400,000 Israeli Settlers https://www.nytimes.com/2023/06/29/world/middleeast/israel-west-bank-settlements-expansion.html Netanyahu with Bezalel Smotrich, far right Settler Activist
  • 24. Bezalel Smotrich • Minister of Finance • Religious Zionist • Born in Haspin, a WB Settlement • Grew up in an illegal settlement • Opposes Palestinian Statehood • Supporter of Settlements • Controversial because of his anti- Arab statements and suggestions that Israel expel Palestinians 24
  • 25. To Arab Lawmakers: “You’re here by mistake! Its a mistake that Ben-Gurion didn’t fi nish the job and throw you all out in 1948.” [1] To Knesset: Israel should not sell homes to Arabs [inside Israel] Anyone who wants to protect the Jewish people should oppose Jews marrying Arabs.[2] To Gazans: “Israel will no longer put up with the existence of Palestinians in Gaza,” calling Israel to expel Palestinians en masse from Gaza. [3] [1] Spiro, Amy . "Smotrich at Knesset: Ben-Gurion should have " fi nished the job", thrown out Arabs". The Times of Israel. (13 October 2021) [2] Harkov, Lahav “Bayit Yehudi MK: God commanded Jews not to sell homes to Arabs". The Jerusalem Post. [3] “Israeli O ffi cials' Calls For Emigration Of Palestinians Alarm Human Rights Experts". Hu ff Post. (4 January 2024)
  • 26. “We are now rolling out the Gaza Nakba!” (MK Avi Dichter) Dropping a nuclear bomb on Gaza is one of the possibilities (Heritage Minister Amihai Eliyahu) We need to create a “sterile zone” in the West Bank, by expelling Palestinians. (MK Bezalel Smotrich) https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/gaza-nakba-israels-far-right-palestinian-fears-hamas-war-rcna123909
  • 27. Far Right lawmaker Itamar Ben Gvir said…he wants to introduce a bill…to deport Arab Israeli citizens…as well as Arab politicians who are disloyal to the State of Israel…they should be deported on trains and planes. (MK Ben Gvir) Michael Horowitz, “Ben Gvir Says He’d seek to expel Arabs” The Times of Israel (16 Aug 2022) https://www.timeso fi srael.com/ben-gvir-says-hed-seek-to-expel-arabs-who-attack-idf-soldiers-disloyal-mks/
  • 28. What are the concerns? • Does the rhetoric complicate the peace process? • Does the growth of new Settlements complicate the peace process? • Does the growth of new settlements near Arab villages increase incidents of violence? • Does the language of Israel’s right alienate Arab - Israelis? 28
  • 29. What are the concerns? • If peace talks resume, will Israel actually go about removing religious settlers from their land? 29
  • 30. Why does Netanyahu’s Likud tolerate the religious right? • Possibly to maintain political pressure on the PA? • Possibly to keep his fragile coalition together? • Possibly to create political leverage if negotiation resumes? • Possibly (but not probably) because he actually agrees with them? 30
  • 31. UNRAVELING THE PEACE PROCESS MJTI PEP • The Israeli-Palestinian Con fl ict • Week 4
  • 32. Why did Arafat reject it?
  • 33. Why did Arafat reject the offer? 1. Claimed the summit was “premature” (i.e. wasn’t ready to talk). Saul Singer, “Whose Fault was the Failure of Camp David?” Jerusalem Center for Public A ff airs No. 424, (15 Mar 2002). https://www.jcpa.org/jl/vp474.htm
  • 34. Why did Arafat reject the offer? 1. Claimed the summit was “premature” 2. Claimed the summit was “a trap” (i.e. presented an “all or nothing” o ff er). Saul Singer, “Whose Fault was the Failure of Camp David?” Jerusalem Center for Public A ff airs No. 424, (15 Mar 2002). https://www.jcpa.org/jl/vp474.htm
  • 35. Why did Arafat reject the offer? 1. Claimed the summit was “premature” 2. Claimed the summit was “a trap” 3. Many think Arafat wanted to leave a legacy and let another negotiator make concessions to Israel rather than him. Saul Singer, “Whose Fault was the Failure of Camp David?” Jerusalem Center for Public A ff airs No. 424, (15 Mar 2002). https://www.jcpa.org/jl/vp474.htm
  • 36. Why did Arafat reject the offer? 1. Claimed the summit was “premature” 2. Claimed the summit was “a trap” 3. Many think Arafat wanted to leave a legacy. 4. Criticism is not that Arafat rejected o ff er, but didn’t make a counter o ff er. Saul Singer, “Whose Fault was the Failure of Camp David?” Jerusalem Center for Public A ff airs No. 424, (15 Mar 2002). https://www.jcpa.org/jl/vp474.htm
  • 37. "An irate Clinton [told] Arafat: 'If the Israelis can make compromises and you can't, I should go home. You have been here fourteen days and said no to everything.” Robert Malley, Special Assistant to the President on Arab-Israeli A ff airs Singer, 2002, “Arafat said no”
  • 38. White House replied: Arafat never made a counter-o ff er. Robert Malley, Special Assistant to the President on Arab-Israeli A ff airs Singer, 2002, “Arafat said no”
  • 39. 2001 Election Israel Pivoted to the Right Voting in Likud
  • 40. Israelis Protested against Ehud Barak And against the peace process
  • 41.
  • 42. Ariel Sharon (Likud) • Campaigned against Labor • Sharon was politically conservative • Argued that “Land for Peace” failed • Palestinians don’t negotiate in good faith • Promised to be harder on the Palestinians 42
  • 43. February, 2001 Election, Labor was voted out
  • 44. The Second Intifada Sep 2000 - Feb 2005
  • 45. Temple Mount September 28, While campaigning Sharon visited the the Temple Mount, where Al Aqsa Mosque is With a delegation of his campaign team and hundred’s of Police o ffi cers https://www.jewishvirtuallibrary.org/background-and-overview-of-al-aqsa-intifada
  • 46. Riot Broke Out Abu Qteish, in manager of Temple Mount that day, announced over the loudspeaker that Israel was taking possession of the Mosque and called Palestinians to defend the Mosque Protesters gathered, hurled stones, And riot broke out https://www.jewishvirtuallibrary.org/background-and-overview-of-al-aqsa-intifada
  • 47. Riot Spread The riot spread throughout Jerusalem and West Bank Became blew up into the 2nd Intifada also known as the Al Aqsa Intifada. https://www.jewishvirtuallibrary.org/background-and-overview-of-al-aqsa-intifada
  • 48. Why did Sharon go? Shlomo Ben Ami (spokesperson) claimed he called the PA to get reassurance that there’d be no problem with the visit. Jibril Rajoub, (spokesperson) denied ever giving permission https://www.jewishvirtuallibrary.org/background-and-overview-of-al-aqsa-intifada
  • 49. Why did Sharon go? Sharon said • He went to assert the right of all Israelis to visit the Temple Mount Akunis (Likud spokesperson) admitted • “Sharon also wanted to show that under Likud, the Temple Mount will stay under Israel’s sovereignty.” "Palestinians say opposition tour of holy site could cause bloodshed". CNN (citing Associated Press). (27 September 2000). http://archives.cnn.com/2000/WORLD/meast/09/27/israel.palestinians.ap/index.html
  • 50. But also… Imad Faluji (PA Communications Minister) Admitted months later that the PA was looking for an opportunity to protest following the failure of the 2000 Summit. "Palestinians say opposition tour of holy site could cause bloodshed". CNN (citing Associated Press). (27 September 2000). http://archives.cnn.com/2000/WORLD/meast/09/27/israel.palestinians.ap/index.html
  • 51. Palestinian Authority said, Sharon made a deliberate provocation at a time of increased tension over the summit Government of Israel said “The immediate catalyst for the violence was the breakdown of…negotiations…but the Palestinian violence had been planned by the PA leadership to provoke and ensure Palestinian casualties as a means of regaining the diplomatic initiative.” George Mitchell, “Letter to President George Bush, April 30, 2001” cited by Virtual Jewish Library (April 30, 2001) https://www.jewishvirtuallibrary.org/the-mitchell-report-may-2001
  • 52. Aftermath • Began with Stone throwing • Turned into bombings, suicide bombing, and eventually rocket attacks. • 1,137 Israelis killed • 3,000 Palestinians killed https://www.gov.il/en/departments/ministry_of_foreign_a ff airs/govil-landing-page
  • 53. Defensive Shield Mar - Apr 2002 • Response to a suicide bombing at a Passover Seder killing 30. • IDF took possession of Ramallah, Tulkarm, Qalqilya, Bethlehem, Jenin, and Nablus • House to House searches • 4,200 Suspects Arrested • 250 Palestinians killed • Turning point in war leading to peace talks https://www.jewishvirtuallibrary.org/operation-defensive-shield
  • 54. West Bank Barrier 2003 - 2006 440 mile wall around the West Bank Israel claims iti reduced suicide bombings from 73 to 12, after 2006. https://www.jewishvirtuallibrary.org/background-and-overview-of-israel-s-security-fence
  • 55. Aftermath • Led to Israel building the wall • Led to rise of Hamas and popularity in the territories. • Led to Iran’s support and training of Hamas fi ghters in the territories • Brought PA back to peace table. https://www.gov.il/en/departments/ministry_of_foreign_a ff airs/govil-landing-page
  • 56. Sharm El Sheikh Summit February, 2005 • Israel, PA, US, Jordan, and Egypt in El Sheikh in the Sinai • Followed Arafat’s death and Mahmoud Abbas’ e ff ort to end the 2nd Intifada • Ended the 2nd Intifada https://www.gov.il/en/departments/ministry_of_foreign_a ff airs/govil-landing-page
  • 57. Sharm El Sheikh Summit 1. Abbas agreed to end Intifada 2. Sharon agreed to release 900 Palestinian prisoners 3. Sharon agreed to withdraw from villages taken during the Intifada 4. Both agreed to restart the “Road Map for Peace” started in Oslo. https://www.gov.il/en/departments/ministry_of_foreign_a ff airs/govil-landing-page
  • 59. Why Withdraw Gaza? November, 2003 Ehud Olmert, Deputy PM 1. Because the US and International community put huge pressure on Israel during 2nd Intifada. 2. Because Gaza was not considered a part of the State of Israel or contested territory. 3. Because Palestinians were abandoning Two-State Solution and advocating for One-State solution with Palestinians having the right to vote. 4. Because as long Israel governs millions of Arabs, there remains the threat that Arabs will eventually outnumber Jews. 5. Because Israel must either grant Palestinians the right to vote, govern the population as non-voting occupied residents, or unilaterally give them sovereignty 59
  • 60. For this reason, Sharon justi fi ed the Gaza withdrawal as a demographic necessity. Demography was more important to him than geography to insure a long-term Jewish majority within Israel. Dov Waxman Dov Waxman, The Israeli-Palestinian Con fl ict, 141.
  • 61. Israel is going to have to address the demographic issue with utmost seriousness and resolve…Palestinians…want a one-man-one-vote [alternative]…For us it would mean the end of the Jewish State. [Therefore] In the absence of a negotiated agreement…we need to implement a unilateral alternative [i.e. unilaterally withdraw from Gaza]. Ehud Olmert to Knesset, 2003 David Landau, “Maximum Jews, Minimum Palestinians” Haaretz (Nov 13, 2003). https://www.haaretz.com/2003-11-13/ty-article/maximum-jews-minimum-palestinians/0000017f-ed37-ddba-a37f-ef7fefd10000
  • 62. [I have reached] the conclusion that, for the time being, there exists no Palestinian partner with whom to advance peacefully toward a settlement and since the current impasse is unhelpful to the achievement of our shared goals, I have decided to initiate a process of gradual disengagement with the hope of reducing friction between Israelis and Palestinians. Ariel Sharon to President Bush (14 April 2004) https://www.gov.il/en/Departments/General/exchange-of-letters-sharon-bush-14-apr-2004
  • 63. Withdrawal from Gaza August 15 - September 11, 2005 Disengagement Plan • Dismantled 21 settlements • Withdrew all IDF Soldiers • Compensated settlers up to $200,000 63
  • 64. Hamas Takeover of Gaza 25 January 2006 Election • Hamas won 77 seats and 44.5% of votes • Fatah won 45 seats and 41.43 of votes However, Exit Polls by Birzeit University • Hamas won 35% of votes • Fatah won 42% of votes Erlanger, Steven (2006-01-25). "A Narrow Win for Fatah Expected in Palestinian Elections - New York Times" Ismail Haniyeh, Hamas Farouk Kaddoumi, Fatah
  • 65. Hamas Takeover of Gaza 14 June 2007 Mahmoud Abbas dismissed the Hamas coalition government and suspended the Parliament (PLC) Hamas took over the Gaza Strip, expelled Fatah sta ff , arrested dissidents, and appointed Salam Fayyad as Gaza’s prime minister Gaza became independent of the West Bank. Erlanger, Steven (2006-01-25). "A Narrow Win for Fatah Expected in Palestinian Elections - New York Times"
  • 67. Re-Alignment Plan 1. Palestinian Sovereignty 2. Return 94% of West Bank 3. Withdraw Israeli Forces 4. Dismantle small settlements 5. Land exchange for large settlements 6. Corridors between WB and Gaza 7. Joint administration of Jerusalem 8. Right of Return: Admit 1,000 Palestinians every year based on humanitarian criteria https://www.jewishvirtuallibrary.org/ehud-olmert-s-peace-o ff er#:~:text=The%20main%20elements%20of%20Olmert's,have%20been%20split%20in%20half. Ehud Omert Mahmood Abbas
  • 68. Ehud Olmert (Labor) • 2006 Ariel Sharon su ff ered a stroke • Olmert became acting prime minister • Olmert hoped the Palestinian Civil War gave opportunity for peace with Fatah. • Announced the “Re-alignment Plan” to withdraw Israeli forces from the West Bank and turn over sovereignty to the PA • Met in Annapolis, MD with Pres. Bush 68
  • 69. Ehud Olmert showed Abbas a map…He told Abbas, “‘This is the o ff er. Sign it and we can immediately get support from America, from Europe, from all over the world.’ I told him he’d never get anything like this again from an Israeli leader for 50 years. https://www.jewishvirtuallibrary.org/ehud-olmert-s-peace-o ff er#:~:text=The%20main%20elements%20of%20Olmert's,have%20been%20split%20in%20half.
  • 70.
  • 72. Mahmoud Abbas said “he declined the proposal — which included near-total withdrawal from West Bank and relinquishing Israeli control of Jerusalem’s Old City — because he wasn’t allowed to study map.” Josef Federman, “Abbas Admits He Rejected the 2008 Peace O ff er”, Times of Israel. (19 Feb 2015). https://www.timeso fi srael.com/abbas-admits-he-rejected-2008-peace-o ff er-from-olmert/
  • 73. Ehud Olmert Embroiled in corruption charges Stepped down Was charged, arrested, incarcerated. Replaced by PM Tzipi Livni Replaced by Benjamin Netanyahu. (Likud) Peace process ended. Susser, L. D.. "Tzipi Livni." Encyclopedia Britannica, January 27, 2024. https://www.britannica.com/biography/Tzipi-Livni.
  • 75. Benjamin Netanyahu 10 February 2009 Elected Prime Minister Remains Prime minister 75
  • 76. Conservative Coalition Included members of Far Right religious parties that opposed • Two-State solution • Oslo Agreement • Any Palestinian State • Withdrawal of WB Settlements 76 Zvi Sukkot, MK Religious Zionist Party Chairman Committee on West Bank
  • 77. Achievements • One of the longest serving Prime Ministers • Expanded Israel’s economy • Tough on Security • Prevented numerous terrorist attacks • Presented a tough front to Hamas, Hezbollah, and Iran • Created a united coalition in Knesset • Partnered with President Trump in producing the Abraham Accords https://www.nytimes.com/2023/09/27/magazine/benjamin-netanyahu-israel.html
  • 78. Policies toward Peace Talks • Rejected Land for Peace —“We don’t just hand over territory, close our eyes, and hope for the best” Efune, Dovid (6 October 2014). "Netanyahu Says Stance On Security Requirements Has Become 'Firmer'". Algemeiner Journal.
  • 79. Policies toward Peace Talks • Rejected Land for Peace • Rejects Two-State Solution — A Palestinian State “will constitute an existential danger to Israel” https://www.nytimes.com/2024/01/21/world/middleeast/netanyahu-biden-israel-palestinian-state.html
  • 80. Policies toward Peace Talks • Rejected Land for Peace • Rejects Two-State Solution • Supports expanded Israeli Settlements on the West Bank https://www.timeso fi srael.com/netanyahu-hands-smotrich-full-authority-to-expand-existing-settlements/
  • 81. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s government passed a…resolution Sunday that gives…all control over planning approval for construction in West Bank settlements to Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich, an…advocate of settlements. The decision approved at Sunday morning’s cabinet meeting, which takes immediate e ff ect, also dramatically expedites and eases the process for expanding existing West Bank settlements and retroactively legalizes previously illegal outposts. Jeremy Sharon, “Netanyahu Hands Smotrich” Times of Israel (18 June 2023). https://www.timeso fi srael.com/netanyahu-hands-smotrich-full-authority-to-expand-existing-settlements/
  • 82. Netanyahu & Settlers Permitted 13,000 new settlements More than 400,000 Israeli Settlers https://www.nytimes.com/2023/06/29/world/middleeast/israel-west-bank-settlements-expansion.html Netanyahu with Bezalel Smotrich, far right Settler Activist
  • 83. West Bank Settlers • 500,000 settlers West Bank • 144 Settlements • 100 illegal outposts 83 Bezalel Smotrich, Finance Minister (advocate for settlers)
  • 84. Questions • How does increased settlers a ff ect future peace talks? • Do settlers around Arab villages create possibility for violence on the West Bank? • Are settlements leverage for negotiation? • Are settlements e ff orts to contain Arab villages? • Are settlements e ff ort to curtail negotiation? • How will they (or will they) be removed if a peace deal is brokered? 84 Bezalel Smotrich, Finance Minister (advocate for settlers)
  • 85. To Arab Lawmakers: “You’re here by mistake! Its a mistake that Ben-Gurion didn’t fi nish the job and throw you all out in 1948.” (Smotrich) [1] To Knesset: Israel should not sell homes to Arabs [inside Israel] Anyone who wants to protect the Jewish people should oppose Jews marrying Arabs.(Bayit Yehudi) [2] To Gazans: “Israel will no longer put up with the existence of Palestinians in Gaza,” calling Israel to expel Palestinians en masse from Gaza. [3] [1] Spiro, Amy . "Smotrich at Knesset: Ben-Gurion should have " fi nished the job", thrown out Arabs". The Times of Israel. (13 October 2021) [2] Harkov, Lahav “Bayit Yehudi MK: God commanded Jews not to sell homes to Arabs". The Jerusalem Post. [3] “Israeli O ffi cials' Calls For Emigration Of Palestinians Alarm Human Rights Experts". Hu ff Post. (4 January 2024)
  • 86. “We are now rolling out the Gaza Nakba!” (MK Avi Dichter) Dropping a nuclear bomb on Gaza is one of the possibilities (Heritage Minister Amihai Eliyahu) We need to create a “sterile zone” in the West Bank, by expelling Palestinians. (MK Bezalel Smotrich) https://www.nbcnews.com/news/world/gaza-nakba-israels-far-right-palestinian-fears-hamas-war-rcna123909
  • 88. First Hamas Attacks 28 March 2006 Hamas began fi ring rockets into Israel 25 June 2006 Militants in fi ltrated Israel through tunnel near Kerem Shalom, Killed 2 soldiers and captured Gilad Shalit. 18 October 2011 Shalit was swapped for 1,027 Palestinians 88
  • 89. Blockade of Gaza Israel Blockaded of Gaza Egypt blockaded Gaza in 2007 after Hamas tried to destroy the border wall and in fi ltrate Egypt. Nations began condemning Israel for the blockade 89
  • 90. Who lives in Gaza? 2.1 Million residents 141 Square Miles One of world’s most dense areas 70% of residents are refugees 50% of residents are under 18 Britannica, T. Editors of Encyclopaedia. "Gaza Strip." Encyclopedia Britannica, February 22, 2024. https://www.britannica.com/place/Gaza-Strip.
  • 91. Gaza Conflict Timeline Aug 2006 — Israeli withdrew Jan, 2006 — Hamas took over Mar 2006 — Hamas fi red rockets Jun 2006 — Captured Gilad Shalit Dec 2008 — Israeli O ff ensive, Cease Fire Nov 2012 — Israel assassinated Ahmad Jabari Nov 2012 — Hamas rocket attacks, Israeli air strikes https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/con fl ict-between-israel-palestinians-gaza-2023-10-07/
  • 92. Gaza Conflict Timeline Jul 2014 — Hamas kidnapped 3 teenagers, 7-week war ended in Cease fi re. Mar 2018 — Palestinians charged the border walls. Israelis opened fi re Mar 2021 — Hamas rocket attack following Israeli security incursion to Al Aqsa Aug 2022 — Israel assassinated Khaled Mansour, commander of Iranian-backed militia Aug 2022 — Islamic Jidhad (Iranian backed) fi res 1,000 rockets into Israel. 6 Aug 2022 — Egyptian mediated a truce https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/con fl ict-between-israel-palestinians-gaza-2023-10-07/
  • 93. Israel-Hamas Truce 6 August 2022 1. Israel o ff ered to halt air strikes 2. Issued 12,000 work permits 3. O ff ered 2,000 additional permits 4. O ff ered open all crossing points 5. Allowed humanitarian aid https://www.npr.org/2022/08/07/1116218806/gaza-cease fi re-israel-palestinians-islamic-jihad Yahya Sinwar, Head of Hamas in Gaza
  • 94. October 7, 2023 Hamas militants in fi ltrated Israel Killed 1,269 Israelis Kidnapped 253 hostages Fired 3,000 rockets on fi rst day https://aoav.org.uk/2023/an-analysis-of-the-7th-of-october-2023-casualties-in-israel-as-a-result-of-the-hamas-attack/
  • 95. What do Israelis think today?
  • 96. Only 35% of Israelis think “a way can be found for Israel and an independent Palestinian state to coexist peacefully” according to Pew Research Study in Apr 2023. https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2023/09/26/israelis-have-grown-more-skeptical-of-a-two-state-solution/
  • 98.
  • 101.
  • 104.
  • 111. Populations Israel 9.84 Million Jews 7.21 Million (73%) Arab 2.63 Million (27%) Palestinians 5.34 Million West Bank 3.18 Million Gaza 2.16 Million 111 https://www.cia.gov/the-world-factbook/countries/west-bank https://www.jewishvirtuallibrary.org/latest-population-statistics-for-israel
  • 115. Preamble: Israel will continue to exist until Islam will annihilate it, just as it annihilated others before it. Hamas charter https://embassies.gov.il/holysee/AboutIsrael/the-middle-east/Pages/The%20Hamas-Covenant.aspx
  • 116. Expel The One-State Palestinian Proposals Religious Arab States Hamas Cofounder Mahmoud Al Zahar Libya (Gadda fi )
  • 117. I do not rule out the possibility of having Jews, Muslims and Christians live under the sovereignty of an Islamic state. Mahmoud Al-Zahar, Hamas Co-founder “Interview with Mahmoud Al Zahar” Al Jazeera. (8 Feb 2009) https://www.aljazeera.com/news/2009/2/8/interview-mahmoud-al-zahar
  • 119. Talib supports a one-state solution entailing a single democratic state encompassing Israel and the occupied territories, including Jews, Muslims, and Christians “I will not be silenced” The Guardian, (21 Nov 2012) https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2023/nov/12/rashida-tlaib-censure-congress-palestinian-rights-gaza
  • 120. Expel The Jews One-State Palestinian One-State Colaborative Two-State Solution Proposals Oslo Accords United Nations Moderate Arab Countries US Policy Most American Jews Many Israelis Palestinian Authority
  • 122. Peace to Prosperity January, 2020 Benjamin Netanyahu and the US Admin PA was not present 122
  • 123. Peace to Prosperity Proposal • Palestinian Authority have 4 years to become self-sustaining • PA will demilitarize • Israel will annex Jordan River Valley • Israel will annex land of the West Bank settlements • Israel will annex East Jerusalem • Israel will retain the right to intervene in PA territory • Corridors between villages. 123
  • 124. Peace to Prosperity Proposal • PA was not present, or invited, to the conference • Presented in 2020 to the Palestinian Authority as take or leave o ff er • PA rejected proposal. 124
  • 126. Bezalel Smotrich, National Religious Party (Religious Zionism) Itamar Ben-Gvir, Otzma Yehudit 630 × 900