This document summarizes trends in technology and education. It discusses contextual trends in education systems including reform movements, rising student debt, and demographic shifts. Technology trends covered include the rise of mobile devices, cloud computing, automation/AI, and social media. The document also examines how technology is influencing teaching and learning through blended/flipped classrooms, MOOCs, learning analytics, and changes to scholarship. It concludes by speculating on potential future trends such as transnational campuses, increased gamification, and data-driven personalized learning.

1. Trends inTrends in
TechnologyTechnology
andand
EducationEducation
Trends inTrends in
TechnologyTechnology
andand
EducationEducation
EDUCAUSE
-
October 2015

2. ETH Zurich: “new ways to write [to] and read DNA”
http://www.pbs.org/wgbh/nova/next/physics/reed-solomon-codes/

3. @amcafee this
morning: "We
kept finding
examples of
science fiction
becoming
reality."
3

4.  Monthly
environmental
scan report
 Trends
identified,
tested,
projected

6. Four parts
1. Education
contexts
2. Technolog
y
3. Education
meets
technology
4. Muttering

7. Education contexts: trendsEducation contexts: trends
Education systems
 Reform movements (K-12, higher
ed, bipartisan) continue
 Rising student debt ($1.3 trillion)
 Alternative certification pilots
(competency, badges)

8. Global higher educationGlobal higher education
 More international students
heading to the US
 International higher ed systems
building up
 US campuses expanding
overseas presence

9. Contextual trendsContextual trends
Demographics:
 Youth population shrinkage,
esp. NE + midwest
 Ballooning senior
population…

10. 10

12. Racial transformationRacial transformation

13. Education contextsEducation contexts
Economics: US labor changes
› manufacturing->service
› 1 job/career->many gigs
› declining participation
› Automation rising

14. Top and bottom vs middleTop and bottom vs middle

16. Enrollment changesEnrollment changes
 Spending less
 Swirling

17. Student populationStudent population
changeschanges
 Majority adult
 Increasing first-
generation
students
 Veterans
 Learning
disabilities
17https://www.flickr.com/photos/un_photo/6708914025/

19. Enrollment decline?Enrollment decline?
 Spending less per family

20. Education trendsEducation trends
Adjunctification rising

21. Bad forecastingBad forecasting
 Inter-institutional
collaboration (except
SUNY)
 Senior admin
compensation
 Intergenerational strife

22. Athletics are doing just fineAthletics are doing just fine

24. Technology trendsTechnology trends
 Rise of
the stacks
 Post-
Snowden
 Hardware
+
networks:
multiple
ecosystems
 Digitizatio

25. Technology trendsTechnology trends
 digital
video
 cloud
migration
continues
 automation
and
artificial
intelligence
 AR
approach

26. New device ecosystemNew device ecosystem
 Android battles iOS
 Wearable computing
 Very small cameras and
computers
 Internet of Things

27. Technology ecosystemTechnology ecosystem

28. Design for mobile *first *

29.  PCs getting
crowded out
 Mouse and
keyboard
declining
 3d printing
mainstreaming
 3d tv dying

30. Technology trendsTechnology trends
social media triumphing

31. 3d printing3d printing
https://www.flickr.com/photos/collegeofsanmateolibrary/15373589050/

32. Away from physical mediaAway from physical media

33. Technology trendsTechnology trends
 crowdfunding growing
 copyright battles continue
 open struggle ongoing
 durability of Moore’s Law
 office versus Web office

34. Did ebooks plateau?Did ebooks plateau?
Nicholas Carr, linked http://bryanalexander.org/2013/08/15/have-ebooks-plateaued/

35. Reading and/versus digitalReading and/versus digital
 How much reading is
being done?
 How is digital reading
different?
 Literacies changing?

36. Weaker tech trendlinesWeaker tech trendlines
 the limits of the Web
 onshoring hardware
production

37. 3. Teaching and learning and tech3. Teaching and learning and tech

38. Teaching and learning and techTeaching and learning and tech
 blended/flipped
classroom
 rise of the net.generation
 distance learning grows
 gaming in education

39. Teaching and learning and techTeaching and learning and tech
 educational
entrepreneurship
 big data and data analytics
develop
 campus digital security
threats growing

40.  Uses of social
media
 Uses of Web
video
 Changes in the
LMS world
 Blended
learning
 Learning
analytics
 Changes in
library role
 Digital
humanities (in
classroom)
 The rise of the
Maker movement

42.  US decline, Euro interest
 Credit for MOOCs?
 STEM vs humanities
 Sustainability?
 Morphology: xMOOC vs
cMOOC and now…?

43. Changes in scholarshipChanges in scholarship

44.  Open content
 Possible divide growing
between research and teaching
 Changes to the scholarly
publication ecosystem
 Rise of the digital humanities (as
scholarly work)
 The library role

45. Extrapolations:
 Transnational
campuses
 Average
student age: 40
 Hourly faculty
 Privatizing
public
universities
 Hogwarts
vs CCs
What comes next?What comes next?

46. What comes next?What comes next?
 Rich
multimedia
environment
 Increasing
gamification
 Student as
producer
 Disintegrated
computing as a
service
 Extensive data
analysis,
surveillance,
creativity

47. Which of these
trends are the
most powerful?

48. Which of these
trends are the most
unpredicatble?

49. http://bryanalexander.orghttp://bryanalexander.org
bryan.alexander@gmail.combryan.alexander@gmail.com
http://twitter.com/bryanalexanderhttp://twitter.com/bryanalexander