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DTL 2019 keynote
This document discusses many emerging trends in education technology and higher education. It explores the increasing globalization and demographic changes affecting universities. New types of students and economic challenges are discussed. The document also examines advances in areas like online learning, virtual and augmented reality, automation, and artificial intelligence. Throughout, it questions how educational institutions can strategically respond to and take advantage of these powerful and unpredictable technological trends.
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DTL 2019 keynote
- 1. Brilliant Technologies andChallenged Campuses What’s Next in Ed Tech 02019
- 2. The Future TrendsForum
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- 8. Globalization of highereducation International higher ed systems building up Growing international market
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- 11. Globalization of highereducation US opening branches abroad Now global student #s in US drop
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- 19. Student population changes Near-majority adult Increasing first- generation 12https://www.flickr.com/photos/un_photo/6708914025/
- 20. Student population changes Mental health Learning disabilities Politically active 12https://www.flickr.com/photos/un_photo/6708914025/
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- 29. As university presidentI used to explain that during this period we had evolved from a state-supported to a state-assisted to a state-related to a state-located university. In fact, with Michigan campuses now located in Europe and Asia, we remain only a state-molested institution. Jim Duderstadt, UM president https://sr.ithaka.org/publications/challenges-to- higher-educations-most-essential-purposes/
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- 42. By Guido4 -Own work, CC BY-SA 4.0, https://commons.wikimedia.org/w/index.ph
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- 46. Let’s assume Social media, crowdsourcing, crowdfunding,open source, data analytics…
- 47. Let’s assume …mobile computing, gaming,gamification, virtualization, digitization, digital storytelling…
- 48. Let’s assume …always-on media capture,always-on surveillance, hacking…
- 50. That's all inthe short term.
- 51. We already know allabout this stuff.
- 52. •Processing speed •Memory capacity •Dataproduced •Born digital content •Scanning analog Increasing…
- 53. Design for mobile*first *
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- 58. Changes in theLMS world? • Taking open seriously • Taking the Web seriously • Actually connecting with the social world
- 59. Changes in theLMS world? • Or stay in the LMS space to protect populations from troll armies
- 60. Video is thenew paper
- 61. Video is thenew paper Video is the new paper
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- 65. VR + AR= MR https://www.digitalbodies.net/mixed-reality/microsoft-hololens-demo-fail-at-build-2019/
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- 68. Mixed reality atwork https://bryanalexander.org/education-and-technology/virtual-augmented-and-
- 69. Incremental open revolution OER Open access Open teaching Possible flip?
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- 73. The new communityof scholars *Credit to Dan Cohen for this formulation
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- 79. A higher educationbubble?
- 80. A higher educationbubble? Continued cost/quality anxiety Studentand parent anxieties about debt Grad school crises Bipartisan political pressure
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- 90. Taking automation seriously •Robots in industry • “ “ cars • “ at war • Spambots • High frequency trading • Automated creativity…
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- 97. Pedagogy: • Apps insteadof classes • Computer-assisted creativity • Cyborg teaching and becoming Post-AI education
- 98. Curriculum and life: isschool for unemployment or working with AIs? Post-AI education
- 99. Curriculum and life: whatdoes it mean to be human when machines exceed us? Post-AI education
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- 102. Which of these trendsare the most powerful?
- 103. Which of these trendsare the most unpredicatble?
- 104. How will you anticipatethem and respond strategically?
- 105. Which ones will youride to help your institution succeed?
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Editor's Notes
- #44 What we think of as “human” may change beyond recognition. We’re already there in 2016 with bionics (show feet blades, cochlear implants) and widespread, legal, even mandated psychopharmaceuticals (image: Prozac Nation). Brain-controlled machines. nutraceuticals. We’re starting to print tissue and organ replacements. Precision medicine via bioinformatics, new imaging technologies, and nano tech medicine are coming on line. New devices give some measure of sight to some blind people. A Stony Brook team used targeted light to alter acetylcholine in the brains of mammals, removing some emotional memories. We can conceive of editing human DNA via CRISPR and gene driving. Some populations live decades longer than they did just 2 generations ago; if life extension becomes even basically successful, by 2050 will we see 100 become the new 60? Meanwhile, biological indicators are increasingly used in security: retina scanning, gait recognition. With such innovations, after such knowledge, what happens to our sense of what it means to be human? How does public health change? Does health care become the leading American industry? What’s the public interest in editing people’s minds and bodies?
- #47 There’s more, of course. There always is.
- #48 There’s more, of course. There always is.
- #49 There’s more, of course. There always is.
- #51 The next 5 years.
- #76 Meanwhile, 3d printing is growing rapidly. In education, we’ve seen it move from engineering to libraries. Think: 3d printing across the curriculum.
- #77 3d printing is allied to new learning spaces A DiY ethos contributes to the growth of Makerspaces and the Maker movement.
- #89 So to get to 2026, let’s just assume progress, and let’s consider artificial intelligence. Not at the level of a cataclysmic, world-rebooting Singularity. Just extrapolations of current trends, along the lines marked out by McAfee and Bryjolfson. Let’s assume Moore’s law continues. Add in that quantum computing starts to appear at consumer and enterprise levels. We start talking about a Fourth Industrial Revolution.
- #96 Automation means both AI and robots. The combination is extending into more human labor functions. This can supplement labor shortfalls (Japan, China) or replacing labor with capital (everywhere). Robots + AI + 3dprinting could mean deglobalization More: Emotional analysts - when at par? when beyond? What does good machine translation do? Combining the IOE w/automation and MR, should we anticipate the appearance of intelligence, even sentient tools?
- #97 Perhaps we combine and synthesize these movements. Technology doesn’t replace humans, but extend and enrich us. We work and play in ever-closer relationship to the digital world. We are both metaphorically and literally cyborgs.