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Labour Migration and Development:
Implementing the SDGs
L. Alan Winters
CEO of Migrating Out of Poverty
and Professor of Economics
University of Sussex
The Argument
• Internal Migration is important
– Especially for poverty alleviation
• International Migration generates huge gains
– Migrants and their households
• Remittances help households
– But remittance costs is a second order issue
• The big policy gains come from increasing
numbers of migrants
14th December 2015 IOM 2
The SDGs on Migration
• 8.8 Protect labour rights and promote safe and
secure working environments for all workers, including
migrant workers, in particular women migrants, and
those in precarious employment
• 10.7 Facilitate orderly, safe, regular and responsible
migration and mobility of people, including through the
implementation of planned and well-managed
migration policies
• 10.c By 2030, reduce to less than 3 per cent the
transaction costs of migrant remittances and eliminate
remittance corridors with costs higher than 5 per cent
14th December 2015 IOM 3
Internal Migration is Key
• Clearly part of the SDGs
• Four-fifths of migration is internal
• Essential part of development
– Urbanisation
– Exploiting natural resources (+ and -)
– Environmental pressures
• More relevant to the poorest than international
14th December 2015 IOM 4
Internal Migration Helps
• Mostly viewed very positively by migrants and
their households - livelihoods, life-styles
– Ethiopia: small income differences, but 84% felt
households with migrants were better off
– Ghana: 85% of migrant h’holds report
improvement; >80% of migrants find work -
mostly informal sector
– Domestic work, construction → vulnerabilities
• Policy involves making services available,
protecting rights, avoiding discrimination
14th December 2015 IOM 5
International Migration: Migrants
• Development as if people mattered, not space
– i.e. count the migrants’ welfare
• Income in Jamaica = $3,600
• Income of Jamaicans = $6,500
– 235 million live where differential ≥ 20%
14th December 2015 IOM 6
Source: Clemens and Pritchett (2008)
Recognised Seasonal Employer (RSE)
• New Zealand, 9 Pacific Islands
• Agricultural Season
• Formally evaluated and declared to be
• Best Practice
– Domestically – labour, over-staying, crime
– Development – incomes, education, poverty
14th December 2015 IOM 7
• Labour markets/conditions
– Pastoral care
– No recruitment fees, market wages, minimum
remuneration, transport costs shared (and loans for
worker part)
– Work-ready pools
• New Zealand Evaluation - Successful
– Reliable work-force for affected sectors
– Productivity gains if workers return
– Over-staying 1% or less
– Negligible complaints of exploitation
14th December 2015 IOM 8
RSE: Development Effects
• Base-line pre-programme survey
• D-i-D, with propensity mapping for samples
• Semi-annual income:
+34-38% in Tonga +30-36% in Vanuatu
• Consumption +10% in T; +ve in V
• Poverty: -50% in T at $1 pd; -30% ($2 pd); -ve in V
• Also, subjective welfare, bank account use,
durable assets, schooling
14th December 2015 IOM 9
Remittances to households left behind
14th December 2015 IOM 10
• Typically cut poverty, foster investment
– Precise effects depends on who migrates
• Remittances transfer income
– Migrant loses income, family gains it
• Cutting remittance costs: nice, but second order
– Global weighted average costs < 6% (2015, Q2)
– SDG aims at, say, 4% → gain of 2%
– Remittances approx. $500 billion
→ maximum gain of $10 billion p.a.
International Migration Policy
• Value ≈ (whost-whome) cumulated, less costs
– Defines what people will pay to migrate
• If reduce costs, e.g. recognise qualifications or
manage agent fees, where will the surplus go?
– Economic rent to migrant? Excess training?
Queuing?
• The issue is the limited stock of places creates
scarcity rents that people compete for
• The big gain is to increase numbers, therefore …
14th December 2015 IOM 11
Indicators
• For international migration:
– Number of migrants;
– Number of residence/working visas and
naturalisations issued by host countries
– Average ‘excess income’ of migrants
• For internal migration:
– Share of urban population that are migrants
– Explicit recognition of migrants’ rights
14th December 2015 IOM 12
Thank you
14th December 2015 IOM 13

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Labour Migration and Development: Implementing the Sustainable Development Goals - Alan Winters

  • 1. Labour Migration and Development: Implementing the SDGs L. Alan Winters CEO of Migrating Out of Poverty and Professor of Economics University of Sussex
  • 2. The Argument • Internal Migration is important – Especially for poverty alleviation • International Migration generates huge gains – Migrants and their households • Remittances help households – But remittance costs is a second order issue • The big policy gains come from increasing numbers of migrants 14th December 2015 IOM 2
  • 3. The SDGs on Migration • 8.8 Protect labour rights and promote safe and secure working environments for all workers, including migrant workers, in particular women migrants, and those in precarious employment • 10.7 Facilitate orderly, safe, regular and responsible migration and mobility of people, including through the implementation of planned and well-managed migration policies • 10.c By 2030, reduce to less than 3 per cent the transaction costs of migrant remittances and eliminate remittance corridors with costs higher than 5 per cent 14th December 2015 IOM 3
  • 4. Internal Migration is Key • Clearly part of the SDGs • Four-fifths of migration is internal • Essential part of development – Urbanisation – Exploiting natural resources (+ and -) – Environmental pressures • More relevant to the poorest than international 14th December 2015 IOM 4
  • 5. Internal Migration Helps • Mostly viewed very positively by migrants and their households - livelihoods, life-styles – Ethiopia: small income differences, but 84% felt households with migrants were better off – Ghana: 85% of migrant h’holds report improvement; >80% of migrants find work - mostly informal sector – Domestic work, construction → vulnerabilities • Policy involves making services available, protecting rights, avoiding discrimination 14th December 2015 IOM 5
  • 6. International Migration: Migrants • Development as if people mattered, not space – i.e. count the migrants’ welfare • Income in Jamaica = $3,600 • Income of Jamaicans = $6,500 – 235 million live where differential ≥ 20% 14th December 2015 IOM 6 Source: Clemens and Pritchett (2008)
  • 7. Recognised Seasonal Employer (RSE) • New Zealand, 9 Pacific Islands • Agricultural Season • Formally evaluated and declared to be • Best Practice – Domestically – labour, over-staying, crime – Development – incomes, education, poverty 14th December 2015 IOM 7
  • 8. • Labour markets/conditions – Pastoral care – No recruitment fees, market wages, minimum remuneration, transport costs shared (and loans for worker part) – Work-ready pools • New Zealand Evaluation - Successful – Reliable work-force for affected sectors – Productivity gains if workers return – Over-staying 1% or less – Negligible complaints of exploitation 14th December 2015 IOM 8
  • 9. RSE: Development Effects • Base-line pre-programme survey • D-i-D, with propensity mapping for samples • Semi-annual income: +34-38% in Tonga +30-36% in Vanuatu • Consumption +10% in T; +ve in V • Poverty: -50% in T at $1 pd; -30% ($2 pd); -ve in V • Also, subjective welfare, bank account use, durable assets, schooling 14th December 2015 IOM 9
  • 10. Remittances to households left behind 14th December 2015 IOM 10 • Typically cut poverty, foster investment – Precise effects depends on who migrates • Remittances transfer income – Migrant loses income, family gains it • Cutting remittance costs: nice, but second order – Global weighted average costs < 6% (2015, Q2) – SDG aims at, say, 4% → gain of 2% – Remittances approx. $500 billion → maximum gain of $10 billion p.a.
  • 11. International Migration Policy • Value ≈ (whost-whome) cumulated, less costs – Defines what people will pay to migrate • If reduce costs, e.g. recognise qualifications or manage agent fees, where will the surplus go? – Economic rent to migrant? Excess training? Queuing? • The issue is the limited stock of places creates scarcity rents that people compete for • The big gain is to increase numbers, therefore … 14th December 2015 IOM 11
  • 12. Indicators • For international migration: – Number of migrants; – Number of residence/working visas and naturalisations issued by host countries – Average ‘excess income’ of migrants • For internal migration: – Share of urban population that are migrants – Explicit recognition of migrants’ rights 14th December 2015 IOM 12
  • 13. Thank you 14th December 2015 IOM 13

Editor's Notes

  1. All migration – not just international migration
  2. Three paragraphs mention migration/migrants (23, 25, 35) and three goals (8.8, 10.7 10.c). Only one of these mentions international explicitly (35) and one (10.c) implicitly by talking of remittance corridors.
  3. Informal sector: recycling electronic waste, food businesses and manual work (kayayei). POINT: even if not very attractive it is better than the alternative; especially in terms of prospects
  4. Clemens and Pritchett Popn and Dev Review, September 2008, Income per Natural 2000 USA prices
  5. Some differences between T and V T – strong migration already V – only 1.5% prior emigration T RSE attracts poorer h’holds V RSE attracts slightly richer (still poor tho’)