Income and remittances in Ethiopia

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Migrating out of Poverty

This presentation was given by Dr Asmelash Haile at the Migrating out of Poverty Inception meeting on 20 February 2018.

Education

MIGRATING OUT OF POVERTY
ETHIOPIA PROJECT
INCOME AND REMITTANCES RESEARCH THEME
ASMELASH HAILE

RESEARCH OBJECTIVES
• To understand whether and to what extent migrant-
sending households benefit from migration by explicitly
identifying the counterfactual scenario;
• The welfare level that might have been enjoyed by the
household if they had not experienced any migration

RESEARCH QUESTIONS
• How much does household welfare improve as a
result of members migrating?
• How important are remittances in ensuring
migration benefits migrant-sending households?
• What are the important drivers of migrant
intentions?

METHODOLOGY
• The methodology will draw largely on quantitative analysis of longitudinal household survey
data, specifically a two wave panel data set from four regions of the country. First round was
collected in 2004
• We will follow up same households and track if there is any moved households.
• Focus will be made only on quantitative analysis (econometric analysis). However we are
planning to complement this with qualitative analysis (interview with migrants at destination).
• Cross country comparison and supplementary research (South Africa, Zimbabwe and Ghana)
• We would seek to test alternative econometric methodologies to show the stability of results to
choices around how we control for non-random selection of migrants. In addition the data
would allow us to provide a richer description of the dynamics of migration patterns, remittance
flows, technologies and behaviour in each country.

DATA
• Panel household data from 1200 randomly selected
households
• Ethiopia labour force survey was used to select
enumerations areas stratified as high migrant and non
migrant areas woredas
• First data was collected in 2004
• Secondary data will be used to supplement our data
(Ethiopia labour force survey and WB Migration survey)

EXPECTED OUTPUTS
•Academic research papers
•Policy briefs
•Fill research gap on migration in Ethiopia
•Fill data gap in the country
•Public data to policy makers and
researchers

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1. MIGRATING OUT OF POVERTY ETHIOPIA PROJECT INCOME AND REMITTANCES RESEARCH THEME ASMELASH HAILE

2. RESEARCH OBJECTIVES • To understand whether and to what extent migrant- sending households benefit from migration by explicitly identifying the counterfactual scenario; • The welfare level that might have been enjoyed by the household if they had not experienced any migration

3. RESEARCH QUESTIONS • How much does household welfare improve as a result of members migrating? • How important are remittances in ensuring migration benefits migrant-sending households? • What are the important drivers of migrant intentions?

4. METHODOLOGY • The methodology will draw largely on quantitative analysis of longitudinal household survey data, specifically a two wave panel data set from four regions of the country. First round was collected in 2004 • We will follow up same households and track if there is any moved households. • Focus will be made only on quantitative analysis (econometric analysis). However we are planning to complement this with qualitative analysis (interview with migrants at destination). • Cross country comparison and supplementary research (South Africa, Zimbabwe and Ghana) • We would seek to test alternative econometric methodologies to show the stability of results to choices around how we control for non-random selection of migrants. In addition the data would allow us to provide a richer description of the dynamics of migration patterns, remittance flows, technologies and behaviour in each country.

5. DATA • Panel household data from 1200 randomly selected households • Ethiopia labour force survey was used to select enumerations areas stratified as high migrant and non migrant areas woredas • First data was collected in 2004 • Secondary data will be used to supplement our data (Ethiopia labour force survey and WB Migration survey)

6. EXPECTED OUTPUTS •Academic research papers •Policy briefs •Fill research gap on migration in Ethiopia •Fill data gap in the country •Public data to policy makers and researchers

Income and remittances in Ethiopia

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