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K E Y N O T E 
                                                                                   INSTITUTIONAL  RESEARCH
India Morning Note
Thursday, April 12, 2012

Domestic Markets Snapshot                                  Views on markets today
 Name of Index         Apr 10        Apr 11   Change (%)   • Indian markets reverse the previous day gain and
 Sensex              17,243.84    17,199.40     -0.26%       closed on negative note amid high volatility as a
                                                             global flare-up of risk aversion hit blue chips such as
 CNX Nifty            5,243.60     5,226.85     -0.32%
                                                             Reliance Industries, though broader losses were cut as
 BSE Mid-cap          6,370.45     6,330.39     -0.63%
                                                             banking stocks gained on speculation the RBI could
 BSE IT               5,980.82     5,991.98      0.19%       cut the cash reserve ratio. Fears about the potential
 BSE Banks           11,766.02    11,788.84      0.19%       impact in southern India from a powerful 8.6
FII Activity                                     (`Cr)       magnitude earthquake off Indonesia also kept
                                                             investors on edge. Nevertheless, the market staged an
 Date                     Buy          Sell        Net
                                                             intraday rebound in volatile late trade on higher
 10-Apr                 1,903         2,942       -1039      European stocks, but could not sustain the gain and
 9-Apr                  1,085         1,338        -253      closed lower. Investors are looking for a series of
 Total Apr              6,409         7,198        -789      important data in the days ahead, with IIP on
 2012 YTD             206,643      162,104       44538       Thursday, Infosys result on Friday, inflation on Monday
                                                             and the Reserve Bank of India's policy meeting on
MF Activity                                       (`Cr)
                                                             April 17. The downward movement was mainly led by
 Date                     Buy          Sell        Net       selling pressure in metal, consumer durable, oil & gas
 9-Apr                    194          401         -207      and capital goods stocks while pharma, bank, IT and
 4-Apr                    372          417          -45      FMCG stocks witnessed some buying activities which
 Total Apr              1,426         1,645        -220      gave some support to the markets. Cement stocks fell
                                                             sharply amid reports that the Competition Commission
 2012 YTD              37,371        43,164       -5794
                                                             of India was soon likely to announce ruling on alleged
Volume & Advances / Declines                                 price cartelisation in the sector. A negative ruling was
                                      NSE          BSE       expected to hurt profits and pricing power of cement
 Trading Volume (Cr)                68.53         23.98      manufacturers. Shares in Indian airlines jumped on
                                                             expectations the government will soon allow foreign
 Turnover (`Cr)                    11,065         2,383
                                                             carriers to invest in local airlines, providing a lifeline to
 Advances                             568         1,232
                                                             cash-starved and debt-laden carriers such as
 Declines                             902         1,539      Kingfisher Airlines. Jet Airways rose 5%, while SpiceJet
 Unchanged                             76          121       rose 5.5% and Kingfisher gained 6.7%.
 Total                              1,546         2,892    • Market breadth was lower at ~0.80x as investors sold
Global Markets                                               large cap stocks. On provisional basis, both FIIs and
                                                             domestic institutions sold equities worth `4.45bn and
 Index                     Latest Values      Change (%)
                                                             `0.83bn, respectively.
 DJIA                            12,805.39       0.70%
 NASDAQ                           3,016.46       0.84%
                                                           • Asian markets moderately up today, after of strong US
                                                             markets overnight.
 Nikkei *                         9,470.52       0.12%
 Hang Seng *                     20,178.36       0.19%
                                                           • We expect a positive opening for the Indian markets.
                                                             However, the markets may remain highly volatile
* as of 8.25AM IST
                                                             ahead of key economic developments, which include
Currencies / Commodities Snapshot                            IIP data today, inflation on Monday and monetary
                                    Latest     Previous      policy on Tuesday next week.
                                    Quote         Close
                                                           Economic and Corporate Developments
 Indian Rupee per $                  51.33        51.47
                                                           • The country's industrial output growth in February is
 Indian Rupee per €                  67.41        67.44
                                                             expected to fall below 6.8% recorded in January even
 NYMEX Crude Oil($/bbl)            102.61        102.70
                                                             though there are some signs of pick-up in
 Gold ($/oz)                      1,658.70     1,659.00      manufacturing and consumer goods, according to
 Silver ($/oz)                       31.58        31.52      consensus.


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                                  K E Y N O T E 
                                                                               INSTITUTIONAL  RESEARCH

TOP GAINERS                                               Buzzing Stocks
(BSE A-Group)                                             • A SAIL-led consortium will bid for copper and gold
                      Previous   Current    Change          reserves in the mineral-rich country, steel minister
 Company Name
                      Close(`)   Price(`)      (%)          Beni Prasad Verma said on Wednesday. Verma met
 Strides Arco          596.00     631.90      6.02          Afghanistan President Hamid Karzai on Tuesday
 Financial Tech        706.45     747.10      5.75          during his visit there and discussed various aspects
 Max India             181.65     188.25      3.63          of bilateral cooperation and mutual development.
 Kotak Mah Bank        545.05     560.00      2.74          SAIL-led consortium and Afghanistan government
 Hexaware Tech         116.95     120.00      2.61          are likely to ink a final pact in May to develop
                                                            Hajigak iron ore mines and set up steel and power
(BSE Mid-Cap)                                               plants there.
                      Previous   Current    Change        • Jet Airways has said there has been some delays in
 Company Name
                      Close(`)   Price(`)      (%)
                                                            its payments to airports due to rising fuel costs and
 Godfrey Phil         3333.50    3542.95       6.28
                                                            a depreciating rupee.
 Strides Arco          596.00     631.90       6.02
 Financial Tech        706.45     747.10       5.75       • National Thermal Power Corporation Limited (NTPC)
 Jet Air India         340.60     358.50       5.26         has expressed confidence to cross its power
 Fresenius Kabi        153.40     159.70       4.11
                                                            generation target during the 12th five year plan.
                                                          • Piramal Healthcare on Wednesday announced it has
TOP LOSERS                                                  received European regulatory nod to sell BST-CarGel,
                                                            a bio-orthopaedic product. The approval will enable
(BSE A-Group)
                                                            Piramal to commercialise BST-CarGel in all of the
                      Previous   Current    Change          countries in the European Union. It will also serve as
 Company Name
                      Close(`)   Price(`)      (%)
                                                            the basis to obtain commercial authorisation for the
 Gujarat Gas           341.95     316.85      -7.34
                                                            product in areas such as West Asia.
 Century Tex           368.05     345.35      -6.17
 Reliance Cap          381.45     360.55      -5.48
                                                          • Ashok Leyland is to enter Britain’s mid-range truck
                                                            market through a tie-up by its Prague-based
 ACC                  1300.80    1236.65      -4.93
                                                            subsidiary, Avia Ashok Leyland.
 United Brew           538.75     513.45      -4.70
                                                          US markets
(BSE Mid-Cap)
                                                          U.S. stocks rose overnight, after Spanish and Italian
                      Previous   Current    Change        bond yields fell and aluminum maker Alcoa Inc.
 Company Name
                      Close(`)   Price(`)      (%)
                                                          reported a surprising profit.
 COX KINGS             155.95     143.70      -7.86
 India Cements         104.85      96.75      -7.73       The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 89.46 points, or
 Gujarat Gas           341.95     316.85      -7.34       0.7%, to 12,805.3. The S&P 500 Index gained 10.12
 Century Tex           368.05     345.35      -6.17
                                                          points, or 0.7%, to 1,368.71. The Nasdaq Composite
                                                          added 12.24 points, or 0.8%, to 3,016.46.
 Edelweiss Capital       31.55     30.25      -4.12




Keynote Capitals Institutional Research               (research@keynotecapitals.net)            (+9122-30266000)
                                  K E Y N O T E  
                                                                                                                                                        INSTIT UT IONAL     R ES EAR C H 

 India and Global Economic Calendar

   Countries /                 Thursday                                    Friday                                  Monday                                  Tuesday

   Regions                       12/Apr                                   13/Apr                                    16/Apr                                   17/Apr

   India            IIP Data                                 Forex Reserves Data                       Monthly Inflation                        RBI's Monetary
                                                                                                                                                Policy

                                                             Weekly Supplement
                                                             of RBI



   US               Initial Jobless claims                   Consumer Price                            Retail Sales                             Housing Starts
                                                             Index & Consumer                                                                   (MoM)
                                                             Price Index Ex Food
                                                             & Energy (YoY &
                                                             MoM)

                    Producer price Index                     Retail Sales & Retail                     Empire State Index                       Capacity Utilization
                                                             Sales Ex Autos                            and Home builders'
                                                             (MoM),                                    index

                    Trade balance                            Reuters/ Michigan                         Business Inventories                     Building Permits
                                                             Consumer                                                                           (MoM)
                                                             Sentiment Index

   Global           UK trade balance                         UK Producer Price                                                                  UK's Building
                    data                                     Index - Input (YoY &                                                               Permits (MoM) and
                                                             MoM) n.s.a                                                                         (YoY)

                    Germany WPI Data                         UK Producer Price                                                                  Japan's Industrial
                                                             Index - Output (YoY                                                                Production (MoM)
                                                             & MoM) n.s.a                                                                       and (YoY)

                    European central                         China Industrial
                    bank (ECB) monthly                       Production (YoY),
                    report                                   GDP (YoY), Retail
                                                             Sales (YoY)




                                               KEYNOTE CAPITALS LTD.
           4th Floor, Balmer Lawrie Building, 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Mumbai 400 001. INDIA
                                   Tel. : 9122-2269 4322 / 24 / 25                            •   www.keynotecapitals.com

Disclaimer: This report is purely for information purpose and is based on public information. News content is attributable to
various media, unless specified otherwise. All market related statistical data pertains to the immediately preceding trading day,
unless stated otherwise. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed in this report constitutes an offer, or an invitation to
make an offer, to buy or sell the securities mentioned herein. We or any of our directors, officers or employees shall not in any
way be responsible for any loss arising from the use of this report. Investors are advised to apply their own judgment before
acting on the contents of this report. The report has not been edited due to time constraints.

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Indian markets reverse gains on global risk aversion

  • 1. K E Y N O T E  INSTITUTIONAL  RESEARCH India Morning Note Thursday, April 12, 2012 Domestic Markets Snapshot Views on markets today Name of Index Apr 10 Apr 11 Change (%) • Indian markets reverse the previous day gain and Sensex 17,243.84 17,199.40 -0.26% closed on negative note amid high volatility as a global flare-up of risk aversion hit blue chips such as CNX Nifty 5,243.60 5,226.85 -0.32% Reliance Industries, though broader losses were cut as BSE Mid-cap 6,370.45 6,330.39 -0.63% banking stocks gained on speculation the RBI could BSE IT 5,980.82 5,991.98 0.19% cut the cash reserve ratio. Fears about the potential BSE Banks 11,766.02 11,788.84 0.19% impact in southern India from a powerful 8.6 FII Activity (`Cr) magnitude earthquake off Indonesia also kept investors on edge. Nevertheless, the market staged an Date Buy Sell Net intraday rebound in volatile late trade on higher 10-Apr 1,903 2,942 -1039 European stocks, but could not sustain the gain and 9-Apr 1,085 1,338 -253 closed lower. Investors are looking for a series of Total Apr 6,409 7,198 -789 important data in the days ahead, with IIP on 2012 YTD 206,643 162,104 44538 Thursday, Infosys result on Friday, inflation on Monday and the Reserve Bank of India's policy meeting on MF Activity (`Cr) April 17. The downward movement was mainly led by Date Buy Sell Net selling pressure in metal, consumer durable, oil & gas 9-Apr 194 401 -207 and capital goods stocks while pharma, bank, IT and 4-Apr 372 417 -45 FMCG stocks witnessed some buying activities which Total Apr 1,426 1,645 -220 gave some support to the markets. Cement stocks fell sharply amid reports that the Competition Commission 2012 YTD 37,371 43,164 -5794 of India was soon likely to announce ruling on alleged Volume & Advances / Declines price cartelisation in the sector. A negative ruling was NSE BSE expected to hurt profits and pricing power of cement Trading Volume (Cr) 68.53 23.98 manufacturers. Shares in Indian airlines jumped on expectations the government will soon allow foreign Turnover (`Cr) 11,065 2,383 carriers to invest in local airlines, providing a lifeline to Advances 568 1,232 cash-starved and debt-laden carriers such as Declines 902 1,539 Kingfisher Airlines. Jet Airways rose 5%, while SpiceJet Unchanged 76 121 rose 5.5% and Kingfisher gained 6.7%. Total 1,546 2,892 • Market breadth was lower at ~0.80x as investors sold Global Markets large cap stocks. On provisional basis, both FIIs and domestic institutions sold equities worth `4.45bn and Index Latest Values Change (%) `0.83bn, respectively. DJIA 12,805.39 0.70% NASDAQ 3,016.46 0.84% • Asian markets moderately up today, after of strong US markets overnight. Nikkei * 9,470.52 0.12% Hang Seng * 20,178.36 0.19% • We expect a positive opening for the Indian markets. However, the markets may remain highly volatile * as of 8.25AM IST ahead of key economic developments, which include Currencies / Commodities Snapshot IIP data today, inflation on Monday and monetary Latest Previous policy on Tuesday next week. Quote Close Economic and Corporate Developments Indian Rupee per $ 51.33 51.47 • The country's industrial output growth in February is Indian Rupee per € 67.41 67.44 expected to fall below 6.8% recorded in January even NYMEX Crude Oil($/bbl) 102.61 102.70 though there are some signs of pick-up in Gold ($/oz) 1,658.70 1,659.00 manufacturing and consumer goods, according to Silver ($/oz) 31.58 31.52 consensus. Keynote Capitals Institutional Research (research@keynotecapitals.net) (+9122-30266000) Keynote Capitals Institutional Research is also available on Bloomberg KNTE <GO>, Thomson One Analytics, Reuters Knowledge, Capital IQ, TheMarkets.com and securities.com Keynote Capitals Institutional Research - winner of “India’s Best IPO Analyst Award 2009” by MCX-Zee Business To unsubscribe from this mailing list, please reply to unsubscribe@keynotecapitals.net
  • 2.                                   K E Y N O T E  INSTITUTIONAL  RESEARCH TOP GAINERS Buzzing Stocks (BSE A-Group) • A SAIL-led consortium will bid for copper and gold Previous Current Change reserves in the mineral-rich country, steel minister Company Name Close(`) Price(`) (%) Beni Prasad Verma said on Wednesday. Verma met Strides Arco 596.00 631.90 6.02 Afghanistan President Hamid Karzai on Tuesday Financial Tech 706.45 747.10 5.75 during his visit there and discussed various aspects Max India 181.65 188.25 3.63 of bilateral cooperation and mutual development. Kotak Mah Bank 545.05 560.00 2.74 SAIL-led consortium and Afghanistan government Hexaware Tech 116.95 120.00 2.61 are likely to ink a final pact in May to develop Hajigak iron ore mines and set up steel and power (BSE Mid-Cap) plants there. Previous Current Change • Jet Airways has said there has been some delays in Company Name Close(`) Price(`) (%) its payments to airports due to rising fuel costs and Godfrey Phil 3333.50 3542.95 6.28 a depreciating rupee. Strides Arco 596.00 631.90 6.02 Financial Tech 706.45 747.10 5.75 • National Thermal Power Corporation Limited (NTPC) Jet Air India 340.60 358.50 5.26 has expressed confidence to cross its power Fresenius Kabi 153.40 159.70 4.11 generation target during the 12th five year plan. • Piramal Healthcare on Wednesday announced it has TOP LOSERS received European regulatory nod to sell BST-CarGel, a bio-orthopaedic product. The approval will enable (BSE A-Group) Piramal to commercialise BST-CarGel in all of the Previous Current Change countries in the European Union. It will also serve as Company Name Close(`) Price(`) (%) the basis to obtain commercial authorisation for the Gujarat Gas 341.95 316.85 -7.34 product in areas such as West Asia. Century Tex 368.05 345.35 -6.17 Reliance Cap 381.45 360.55 -5.48 • Ashok Leyland is to enter Britain’s mid-range truck market through a tie-up by its Prague-based ACC 1300.80 1236.65 -4.93 subsidiary, Avia Ashok Leyland. United Brew 538.75 513.45 -4.70 US markets (BSE Mid-Cap) U.S. stocks rose overnight, after Spanish and Italian Previous Current Change bond yields fell and aluminum maker Alcoa Inc. Company Name Close(`) Price(`) (%) reported a surprising profit. COX KINGS 155.95 143.70 -7.86 India Cements 104.85 96.75 -7.73 The Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 89.46 points, or Gujarat Gas 341.95 316.85 -7.34 0.7%, to 12,805.3. The S&P 500 Index gained 10.12 Century Tex 368.05 345.35 -6.17 points, or 0.7%, to 1,368.71. The Nasdaq Composite added 12.24 points, or 0.8%, to 3,016.46. Edelweiss Capital 31.55 30.25 -4.12 Keynote Capitals Institutional Research (research@keynotecapitals.net) (+9122-30266000)
  • 3.                                   K E Y N O T E                                                                                                                                       INSTIT UT IONAL     R ES EAR C H  India and Global Economic Calendar Countries / Thursday Friday Monday Tuesday Regions 12/Apr 13/Apr 16/Apr 17/Apr India IIP Data Forex Reserves Data Monthly Inflation RBI's Monetary Policy Weekly Supplement of RBI US Initial Jobless claims Consumer Price Retail Sales Housing Starts Index & Consumer (MoM) Price Index Ex Food & Energy (YoY & MoM) Producer price Index Retail Sales & Retail Empire State Index Capacity Utilization Sales Ex Autos and Home builders' (MoM), index Trade balance Reuters/ Michigan Business Inventories Building Permits Consumer (MoM) Sentiment Index Global UK trade balance UK Producer Price UK's Building data Index - Input (YoY & Permits (MoM) and MoM) n.s.a (YoY) Germany WPI Data UK Producer Price Japan's Industrial Index - Output (YoY Production (MoM) & MoM) n.s.a and (YoY) European central China Industrial bank (ECB) monthly Production (YoY), report GDP (YoY), Retail Sales (YoY) KEYNOTE CAPITALS LTD. 4th Floor, Balmer Lawrie Building, 5, J. N. Heredia Marg, Ballard Estate, Mumbai 400 001. INDIA Tel. : 9122-2269 4322 / 24 / 25 • www.keynotecapitals.com Disclaimer: This report is purely for information purpose and is based on public information. News content is attributable to various media, unless specified otherwise. All market related statistical data pertains to the immediately preceding trading day, unless stated otherwise. Neither the information nor any opinion expressed in this report constitutes an offer, or an invitation to make an offer, to buy or sell the securities mentioned herein. We or any of our directors, officers or employees shall not in any way be responsible for any loss arising from the use of this report. Investors are advised to apply their own judgment before acting on the contents of this report. The report has not been edited due to time constraints.