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India Morning Note
    a       g
Tues
   sday, June 0 2012
              05,

Dom
  mestic Mark
            kets Snapsh
                      hot                                  Views on markets t
                                                                            today
 Nam of Index
   me                    Jun 1        Jun 4   Change (%)
                                                       )   • India markets recovered and closed on positive note
                                                                  an                                           e
 Sensex             15,965.16     15,988.40      0.15%       yest terday after earlier hi
                                                                             r           itting their lowest int
                                                                                                               traday
 CNX Nifty
   X                  4,841.60     4,848.15      0.14%       levels since early January, as hopes for interest rate
 BSE Mid-cap          5,821.63     5,809.23     -0.21%       cuts sparked g  gains in baanks, while bargain-hu unting
 BSE IT               5,552.27     5,536.35     -0.29%       lifted blue chips such as La
                                                                  d          s          arsen & Toubro.
 BSE Banks          10,684.62     10,802.52      1.10%     • Falling oil prices as well as declining core inflatio and
                                                                              s          s           c           on
FII A
    Activity                                     (`Cr)       grow in India give the Re
                                                                 wth                     eserve Bank of India room to
                                                                                                     k
                                                             adjust interest rates, a d   deputy gov vernor said two
                                                                                                                 d,
 Date
    e                     Buy          Sell        Net
                                                             weeks before a policy review. The comments came
 01-Jun                 1,826         1,964        -138
                                                             after data last week show
                                                                  r                      wed Januaryy-March dom  mestic
 31-M
    May                 6,325         6,960        -635
                                                             grow falling t a nine-ye
                                                                 wth          to         ear low of 5.3 percent at a
                                                                                                     5           t,
 Tota Jun
    al                  1,826         1,964        -138      time when the outlook fo the global economy also
                                                                 e                       or                      y
 2012 YTD             284,859      243,060       41800       worssens.
MF A
   Activity                                       (`Cr)    • The hopes for in
                                                                            nterest rate relief allow
                                                                                       e            wed Indian s
                                                                                                               stocks
 Date
    e                     Buy          Sell        Net       to sn
                                                                 nap a three-
                                                                            -day losing streak and outperform most
                                                                                                              m
 31-M
    May                   400          857         -457      Asian indexes. The BSE S  Sensex rose 23.24 poin or
                                                                                                    e          nts
 30-M
    May                   208          476         -268      0.155%, up close to 239 po
                                                                            e          oints from the day's low and
                                                                                                               w
 Tota May
    al                  8,321         8,877        -558      off about 24 points from th day's high
                                                                 a                     he            h.
 2012 YTD              53,315        59,972       -6658    • Sharres of aviat
                                                                            tion companies gained on report the
                                                                                                   d           ts
Volu
   ume & Adva
            ances / Dec
                      clines                                 aviation ministr has called for aboliti
                                                                            ry         d           ion of servic tax
                                                                                                               ce
                                                             on air tickets a
                                                                 a          and reduction in sales tax on av
                                                                                                  s           viation
                                      NSE          BSE
                                                             fuel from an ave
                                                                            erage 25% t a uniform 4%.
                                                                                       to         m
 Trad
    ding Volume (Cr)                50.80         15.89
 Turn
    nover (`Cr)                     8,920         1,760    • Futu Capital H
                                                                ure        Holdings rose 5% after Warburg P
                                                                                                 r          Pincus
 Advances                             621         1,204
                                                             LLC agreed to buy a controlling stak in it for n
                                                                                                ke          nearly
                                                             $1000mn from c
                                                                          current majority shareholder Pant taloon
 Declines                             842         1,449
                                                             Reta
                                                                ail.
 Unchanged                             81          121
 Tota
    al                              1,544         2,774    • Markket breadth was how
                                                                             h         wever weak at ~0.46 as
                                                                                                  k           6x
                                                             investors sold l          stocks. On provisional basis,
                                                                             large cap s          p
Glob Markets
   bal
                                                             FIIs sold equity of `6.37bn while dom
                                                                                       n         mestic institu
                                                                                                              utions
 Inde
    ex                     Late Values
                              est             Change (%)
                                                       )     boug equity o `4.46bn in cash segm
                                                                 ght        of         n         ment.
 DJIA
    A                            12,101.46      -0.14%
                                                           • Asian shares ad
                                                                           dvanced, as investors hoped that policy
                                                                                      s          h
 NAS
   SDAQ                           2,760.01       0.46%
                                                             makkers would s
                                                                           step in to s
                                                                                      stem growin concerns over
                                                                                                 ng        s
 Nikk *
    kei                           8,345.56       0.60%
                                                             the global ec conomy an  nd Chinese Services PMI
                                                                                                 e         s
 Hang Seng *                     18,353.01       0.92%       imprroved.
* as o 8.25AM IST
     of
                                                           • We expect a po
                                                                 e         ositive start for the India markets, after
                                                                                                     an
Curr
   rencies / Co
              ommodities Snapshot
                       s
                                                             the RBI Deputy Governor hinted at interest rate cuts
                                                                            y                                 e
                                    Latest     Previous      are possible and the Asian markets are positive to
                                                                 p          d                                 oday.
                                    Quote         Close
 Indian Rupee per $                  55.66        55.51    Econom and Cor
                                                                mic     rporate Dev
                                                                                  velopments
                                                                                           s
 Indian Rupee per €                  69.54        69.02    • Ahea of its mid-quarterly policy review, the Re
                                                                 ad                     y                    eserve
 NYM
   MEX Crude Oil($/bbl)              84.87        83.98      Bank today hinted at cu in intere
                                                                 k                      ut        est rates, s
                                                                                                             saying
 Gold ($/oz)
    d                             1,620.10     1,612.20      modderation in inflation due to lower economic g
                                                                                         e         e         growth
                                                             and cooling gloobal oil pric
                                                                                        ces provide room for e
                                                                                                             easing
 Silve ($/oz)
     er                              28.32        28.01
                                                             monnetary policy
                                                                            y.


Keyn
   note Capitals Research
                        h                      (reseaarch@keyno otecapitals.net)             (+91222-3026600  00)
                                      Keyynote Capita Research is also available on
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                                                                                                   a           es.com
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TOP GAINERS                                          Buzzin Stocks
                                                          ng
(BSE A-Group)
   E                                                 • EIH Associated Hotels, a part of the Oberoi Gr
                                                                                            e           roup,
                    Previous   Currennt   Change       plan to raise `
                                                           ns          `110Cr by issuing equuity shares o a
                                                                                                         on
 Com
   mpany Name
            e
                    Close(`
                          `)   Price(`
                                     `)      (%)       rights basis to its existing sharehold
                                                                                  g         ders. It plan to
                                                                                                        ns
 Pant
    taloon Retl      138.85
                          5     148.45      6.91       utilise the am mount for repayment of loans and
 Hexaware Tech       115.00
                          0     121.95      6.04       general corpo  orate purp  poses, acc cording to a
                                                                                                        o
 Mannappuram          20.45
                          5      21.65      5.87       docu ument filed with the Securities and Excha
                                                                      d                                 ange
 Fina
    ance Real
 India
     abulls           51.00
                          0      53.75      5.39       Board of India (
                                                                      (Sebi).
 Est
 Shre Cement
     ee             2365.15
                          5    2490.00      5.28     • Hero MotoCor
                                                           o          rp announ  nced an investment of   t
(BSE Mid-Cap)
   E                                                   `2,5
                                                          575Cr to se up, amon other things, two m
                                                                     et          ng                      more
                                                       mannufacturing units to the existing th
                                                                                 e           hree factorie
                                                                                                         es.
                    Previous   Currennt   Change
 Com
   mpany Name
            e                                        • Inse
                                                          ecticides (In
                                                                      ndia) is plan
                                                                                  nning to continue with the
                                                                                                       h
                    Close(`
                          `)   Price(`
                                     `)      (%)
 Zydus Wellness-     359.55     418.60     16.42       capital investm
                                                                     ment by pum  mping in another `200C to
                                                                                                       Cr
 $                                                     expand its ma   anufacturing capacitie in the next
                                                                                             es
 Fres
    senius Kabi       89.60      98.55       9.99
 S Mo
    obility-$         37.70      41.45       9.95      couple of yearss.
 Pant
    taloon Retl      138.85     148.45       6.91    • To reduce its mounting debt, Futu      ure Group has
 Delt Corp
    ta                57.60      61.15       6.16      decided to se a 54% stake in Future Capital
                                                                       ell
                                                       Hold
                                                          dings (FCH) to US-based private equity m
                                                                                             e          major
TOP LOSERS                                             Warrburg Pincu  us. Its board approve the sale on
                                                                                             ed         e
                                                       Monnday. The deal would c  cost Cloverd
                                                                                             dell Investm
                                                                                                        ment,
(BSE A-Group)
   E
                                                       an affiliate of W
                                                          a            Warburg, abo `560Cr.
                                                                                  out
                    Previous   Currennt   Change
 Com
   mpany Name
            e                                        • Com
                                                         mpetition Co
                                                                    ommission o India (CCI) has appro
                                                                              of                    oved
                    Close(`
                          `)   Price(`
                                     `)      (%)
 Guja
    arat Gas         333.55
                          5     305.05
                                     5      -8.54      26% stake transfer in Max India's insurance arm,
                                                         %
 JUBL FOOD
    L               1233.05
                          5    1149.90
                                     0      -6.74      Max New York Life Insu
                                                          x         k         urance (MNNYL) to Jappan's
 Petr
    ronet LNG        139.40
                          0     130.55
                                     5      -6.35
                                                       Mits Sumitom Insurance Company.
                                                          sui      mo         e          .
 Neyveli Lignite      85.25
                          5      80.55
                                     5      -5.51    • Man Industries orders wor `800Cr from the Mi
                                                          n                      rth         f       iddle
 Indr
    raprastha Gas
                s    249.35
                          5     235.85
                                     5      -5.41      East and domestic custo
                                                          t                      omers for supply of large
                                                                                             s
                                                       diam
                                                          meter pipes for oil and gas sector.
(BSE Mid-Cap)
   E
                                                     • Oma axe has red  duced its gr
                                                                                   ross debt by `213Cr in the
                                                                                                         n
                    Previous   Currennt   Change       last fiscal to `1,339.55Cr fr
                                                                                   rom interna accruals.
                                                                                             al
 Com
   mpany Name
            e
                    Close(`
                          `)   Price(`
                                     `)      (%)
 Mon
   nnet Ispat        397.90     362.60      -8.87    US markets
 Energy
 Guja
    arat Gas         333.55     305.05      -8.54    US ma arkets ended a choppy session with their fo
                                                                                 y          w        ourth
 JUBL FOOD
    L               1233.05    1149.90      -6.74    straigh loss Mond
                                                           ht         day, lagging the other benchmarks as
                                                                                 g                    s,
 Indr
    raprastha Gas
                s    249.35     235.85      -5.41    a worssening outlo
                                                                      ook for the global economy vied with
 Aban Offshore       351.25     333.40      -5.08    hopes of central b
                                                                      bank stimulu
                                                                                 us.
                                                     The Do Jones In
                                                           ow        ndustrial Av
                                                                                verage ended down 17.11
                                                     points, or 0.1%, at 12,101 1.46. The S&P 500 In
                                                                                          S          ndex
                                                     ended up 0.14 point, or 0.01%, at 1,278.18. The
                                                     Nasdaq Composite Index gained 12.53 points, or 0.5%,
                                                           q         e                    p
                                                     at 2,76
                                                           60.01.




Keyn
   note Capitals Research
                        h                   (resea
                                                 arch@keyno
                                                          otecapitals.net)             (+912
                                                                                           22-3026600
                                                                                                    00)
 



                                                                                                                                     




                                                                                                                                     




 India and Globa Economic Calendar
     a         al       c
    Countries /             Tue
                              esday                   Wed
                                                        dnesday                   Th
                                                                                   hursday                     Friday

   Reg
     gions                    5-
                               -Jun                      6-Jun
                                                         6                           7-Jun                      8-Jun

   Ind
     dia                                                                                               Forex Reserves Data
                                                                                                             R

                                                                                                       Bank Lo
                                                                                                             oan Growth




   US                ISM Non-M Index
                             Mfg                                           Consumer Credit             Trade Balance
                                                                                                             B
                                                                           Change
                     ICSC-Goldman Store                                    Fed's Beernanke             Wholesale
                     Sales                                                 testifies                         ories
                                                                                                       Invento



   Glo
     obal            Germany's                  Euro zone ECB
                                                         e                 UK's Pur
                                                                                  rchasing             Japan Eco Watcherrs
                     Purchasing Manager         interest r
                                                         rate              Manager Index
                                                                                   r                   Survey (Current &
                              vices
                     Index Serv                 decision & press           Services
                                                                                  s                    Outlook
                                                                                                             k)
                                                conferenc ce
                                                Germany IIP
                                                      y                    UK's BoE Interest
                                                                                  E                    UK Prodducer Price
                                                                           Rate Dec
                                                                                  cision               Index - Input (YoY &
                                                                                                       MoM)n.s.a
                                                                           Japan's Leading             UK Prodducer Price
                                                                           Economic Index              Index - Output (YoYY
                                                                                                       & MoM) )n.s.a




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                                              NOTE CAPITTALS LTD.
                       The Rub 9th Floo Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumba – 400 028
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                                                                                           m

Disclaiimer: This re
                   eport is purely for informa ation purpose and is bassed on public information News cont
                                                                                    c             n.          tent is attribu
                                                                                                                            utable to
various media, unle specified otherwise. A market related statistic data perta
                    ess                       All                      cal          ains to the im
                                                                                                 mmediately preceding trad  ding day,
unless stated other
      s             rwise. Neithe the informa
                                 er           ation nor any opinion expressed in this report constitutes an off
                                                          y                         s                         fer, or an invitation to
make an offer, to bbuy or sell the securities m
                                              mentioned he erein. We or any of our directors, offic
                                                                                                  cers or emplo
                                                                                                              oyees shall not in any
way be responsible for any loss arising from the use of this report. Investors are advised to apply their own judgmen before
       e            e             s           m                                     e                         o             nt
acting on the conteents of this re
                                 eport. The rep
                                              port has not been edited due to time c
                                                                       d            constraints.

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Keynote capitals india morning note jun 5-'12

  • 1.       India Morning Note a g Tues sday, June 0 2012 05, Dom mestic Mark kets Snapsh hot Views on markets t today Nam of Index me Jun 1 Jun 4 Change (%) ) • India markets recovered and closed on positive note an e Sensex 15,965.16 15,988.40 0.15% yest terday after earlier hi r itting their lowest int traday CNX Nifty X 4,841.60 4,848.15 0.14% levels since early January, as hopes for interest rate BSE Mid-cap 5,821.63 5,809.23 -0.21% cuts sparked g gains in baanks, while bargain-hu unting BSE IT 5,552.27 5,536.35 -0.29% lifted blue chips such as La d s arsen & Toubro. BSE Banks 10,684.62 10,802.52 1.10% • Falling oil prices as well as declining core inflatio and s s c on FII A Activity (`Cr) grow in India give the Re wth eserve Bank of India room to k adjust interest rates, a d deputy gov vernor said two d, Date e Buy Sell Net weeks before a policy review. The comments came 01-Jun 1,826 1,964 -138 after data last week show r wed Januaryy-March dom mestic 31-M May 6,325 6,960 -635 grow falling t a nine-ye wth to ear low of 5.3 percent at a 5 t, Tota Jun al 1,826 1,964 -138 time when the outlook fo the global economy also e or y 2012 YTD 284,859 243,060 41800 worssens. MF A Activity (`Cr) • The hopes for in nterest rate relief allow e wed Indian s stocks Date e Buy Sell Net to sn nap a three- -day losing streak and outperform most m 31-M May 400 857 -457 Asian indexes. The BSE S Sensex rose 23.24 poin or e nts 30-M May 208 476 -268 0.155%, up close to 239 po e oints from the day's low and w Tota May al 8,321 8,877 -558 off about 24 points from th day's high a he h. 2012 YTD 53,315 59,972 -6658 • Sharres of aviat tion companies gained on report the d ts Volu ume & Adva ances / Dec clines aviation ministr has called for aboliti ry d ion of servic tax ce on air tickets a a and reduction in sales tax on av s viation NSE BSE fuel from an ave erage 25% t a uniform 4%. to m Trad ding Volume (Cr) 50.80 15.89 Turn nover (`Cr) 8,920 1,760 • Futu Capital H ure Holdings rose 5% after Warburg P r Pincus Advances 621 1,204 LLC agreed to buy a controlling stak in it for n ke nearly $1000mn from c current majority shareholder Pant taloon Declines 842 1,449 Reta ail. Unchanged 81 121 Tota al 1,544 2,774 • Markket breadth was how h wever weak at ~0.46 as k 6x investors sold l stocks. On provisional basis, large cap s p Glob Markets bal FIIs sold equity of `6.37bn while dom n mestic institu utions Inde ex Late Values est Change (%) ) boug equity o `4.46bn in cash segm ght of n ment. DJIA A 12,101.46 -0.14% • Asian shares ad dvanced, as investors hoped that policy s h NAS SDAQ 2,760.01 0.46% makkers would s step in to s stem growin concerns over ng s Nikk * kei 8,345.56 0.60% the global ec conomy an nd Chinese Services PMI e s Hang Seng * 18,353.01 0.92% imprroved. * as o 8.25AM IST of • We expect a po e ositive start for the India markets, after an Curr rencies / Co ommodities Snapshot s the RBI Deputy Governor hinted at interest rate cuts y e Latest Previous are possible and the Asian markets are positive to p d oday. Quote Close Indian Rupee per $ 55.66 55.51 Econom and Cor mic rporate Dev velopments s Indian Rupee per € 69.54 69.02 • Ahea of its mid-quarterly policy review, the Re ad y eserve NYM MEX Crude Oil($/bbl) 84.87 83.98 Bank today hinted at cu in intere k ut est rates, s saying Gold ($/oz) d 1,620.10 1,612.20 modderation in inflation due to lower economic g e e growth and cooling gloobal oil pric ces provide room for e easing Silve ($/oz) er 28.32 28.01 monnetary policy y. Keyn note Capitals Research h (reseaarch@keyno otecapitals.net) (+91222-3026600 00) Keyynote Capita Research is also available on als h Bloo omberg KNTE <GO>, Tho E omson One A Analytics, Re euters Knowwledge, Capit IQ, TheMa tal arkets.com and securitie a es.com Keynote Capitals Institu utional Resea arch - winner of “India’s Best IPO Analyst Award 2009” by MCX-Zee Business To unsubsc cribe from th mailing lis please reply to unsub his st, bscribe@keyynotecapitals s.net
  • 2.       TOP GAINERS Buzzin Stocks ng (BSE A-Group) E • EIH Associated Hotels, a part of the Oberoi Gr e roup, Previous Currennt Change plan to raise ` ns `110Cr by issuing equuity shares o a on Com mpany Name e Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) rights basis to its existing sharehold g ders. It plan to ns Pant taloon Retl 138.85 5 148.45 6.91 utilise the am mount for repayment of loans and Hexaware Tech 115.00 0 121.95 6.04 general corpo orate purp poses, acc cording to a o Mannappuram 20.45 5 21.65 5.87 docu ument filed with the Securities and Excha d ange Fina ance Real India abulls 51.00 0 53.75 5.39 Board of India ( (Sebi). Est Shre Cement ee 2365.15 5 2490.00 5.28 • Hero MotoCor o rp announ nced an investment of t (BSE Mid-Cap) E `2,5 575Cr to se up, amon other things, two m et ng more mannufacturing units to the existing th e hree factorie es. Previous Currennt Change Com mpany Name e • Inse ecticides (In ndia) is plan nning to continue with the h Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) Zydus Wellness- 359.55 418.60 16.42 capital investm ment by pum mping in another `200C to Cr $ expand its ma anufacturing capacitie in the next es Fres senius Kabi 89.60 98.55 9.99 S Mo obility-$ 37.70 41.45 9.95 couple of yearss. Pant taloon Retl 138.85 148.45 6.91 • To reduce its mounting debt, Futu ure Group has Delt Corp ta 57.60 61.15 6.16 decided to se a 54% stake in Future Capital ell Hold dings (FCH) to US-based private equity m e major TOP LOSERS Warrburg Pincu us. Its board approve the sale on ed e Monnday. The deal would c cost Cloverd dell Investm ment, (BSE A-Group) E an affiliate of W a Warburg, abo `560Cr. out Previous Currennt Change Com mpany Name e • Com mpetition Co ommission o India (CCI) has appro of oved Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) Guja arat Gas 333.55 5 305.05 5 -8.54 26% stake transfer in Max India's insurance arm, % JUBL FOOD L 1233.05 5 1149.90 0 -6.74 Max New York Life Insu x k urance (MNNYL) to Jappan's Petr ronet LNG 139.40 0 130.55 5 -6.35 Mits Sumitom Insurance Company. sui mo e . Neyveli Lignite 85.25 5 80.55 5 -5.51 • Man Industries orders wor `800Cr from the Mi n rth f iddle Indr raprastha Gas s 249.35 5 235.85 5 -5.41 East and domestic custo t omers for supply of large s diam meter pipes for oil and gas sector. (BSE Mid-Cap) E • Oma axe has red duced its gr ross debt by `213Cr in the n Previous Currennt Change last fiscal to `1,339.55Cr fr rom interna accruals. al Com mpany Name e Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) Mon nnet Ispat 397.90 362.60 -8.87 US markets Energy Guja arat Gas 333.55 305.05 -8.54 US ma arkets ended a choppy session with their fo y w ourth JUBL FOOD L 1233.05 1149.90 -6.74 straigh loss Mond ht day, lagging the other benchmarks as g s, Indr raprastha Gas s 249.35 235.85 -5.41 a worssening outlo ook for the global economy vied with Aban Offshore 351.25 333.40 -5.08 hopes of central b bank stimulu us. The Do Jones In ow ndustrial Av verage ended down 17.11 points, or 0.1%, at 12,101 1.46. The S&P 500 In S ndex ended up 0.14 point, or 0.01%, at 1,278.18. The Nasdaq Composite Index gained 12.53 points, or 0.5%, q e p at 2,76 60.01. Keyn note Capitals Research h (resea arch@keyno otecapitals.net) (+912 22-3026600 00)
  • 3.       India and Globa Economic Calendar a al c Countries / Tue esday Wed dnesday Th hursday Friday Reg gions 5- -Jun 6-Jun 6 7-Jun 8-Jun Ind dia Forex Reserves Data R Bank Lo oan Growth US ISM Non-M Index Mfg Consumer Credit Trade Balance B Change ICSC-Goldman Store Fed's Beernanke Wholesale Sales testifies ories Invento Glo obal Germany's Euro zone ECB e UK's Pur rchasing Japan Eco Watcherrs Purchasing Manager interest r rate Manager Index r Survey (Current & vices Index Serv decision & press Services s Outlook k) conferenc ce Germany IIP y UK's BoE Interest E UK Prodducer Price Rate Dec cision Index - Input (YoY & MoM)n.s.a Japan's Leading UK Prodducer Price Economic Index Index - Output (YoYY & MoM) )n.s.a KEYN NOTE CAPITTALS LTD. The Rub 9th Floo Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumba – 400 028 by, or, ai 8 Tel. : +9 9122-30266 6000 • www w.keynotec capitals.com m Disclaiimer: This re eport is purely for informa ation purpose and is bassed on public information News cont c n. tent is attribu utable to various media, unle specified otherwise. A market related statistic data perta ess All cal ains to the im mmediately preceding trad ding day, unless stated other s rwise. Neithe the informa er ation nor any opinion expressed in this report constitutes an off y s fer, or an invitation to make an offer, to bbuy or sell the securities m mentioned he erein. We or any of our directors, offic cers or emplo oyees shall not in any way be responsible for any loss arising from the use of this report. Investors are advised to apply their own judgmen before e e s m e o nt acting on the conteents of this re eport. The rep port has not been edited due to time c d constraints.