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India Morning Note
    a       g
Frida August 0 2012
    ay,      03,

Dom
  mestic Mark
            kets Snapsh
                      hot                                  Views on markets t
                                                                            today
 Nam of Index
   me                   Aug 1        Aug 2    Change (%)
                                                       )   • Indiaan markets snapped four day winning s
                                                                             s                                 streak
 Sensex             17,257.38     17,224.36     -0.19%       yestterday to c close on neegative note tracking weak
 CNX Nifty
   X                  5,240.50     5,227.75     -0.24%       Asian shares af fter the Fed
                                                                                        deral Reserv refrained from
                                                                                                   ve         d
 BSE Mid-cap          6,069.67     6,083.56      0.23%           oducing new US mon
                                                             intro                       netary stim
                                                                                                   mulus measures,
 BSE IT               5,327.09     5,323.25     -0.07%       while doubts grew abou whether the Euro
                                                                  e                      ut         r          opean
 BSE Banks          11,951.52     11,908.79     -0.36%       Cent tral Bank woould announ measur to suppo the
                                                                                        nce        res        ort
FII A
    Activity                                     (`Cr)       euro zone later in the day SBI's cut some loan rates
                                                                 o           r          y.
                                                             for new borrowers sparked worries ot
                                                                 n                      d          ther banks would
 Date
    e                     Buy          Sell        Net
                                                             follow suit, hitt
                                                                             ting margins in the seector also h the
                                                                                                              hit
 01-A
    Aug                 2,212         1,581        631
                                                             mar  ket sentimeents.
 31-Jul                 2,953         2,025        928
 Tota Aug
    al                 47,790        39,853       7937     • Rain remained below ave
                                                                ns         d           erage in the week to Aug. 1,
                                                                                                  e
 2012 YTD             376,182      322,251       53931       exte
                                                                ending worries about foood inflation and lower rural
                                                                                                   n         r
                                                             cons
                                                                sumption. BBSE Sensex shed 33.02 points or 00.19%,
MF A
   Activity                                       (`Cr)
                                                             up about 67 points from th day's low and off clo
                                                                a                      he          w         ose to
 Date
    e                     Buy          Sell        Net       22 points from t
                                                                p           the day's high.
 31-Jul                   439          546         -107
                                                           • Consstruction companies and compa     anies which are
                                                                                                               h
 30-Jul                   287          295           -8
                                                             linke to order from Ind
                                                                 ed         rs         dian Railwa ays surged after
 Tota Jul
    al                  8,826        10,795       -1970
                                                             Prim Minister a
                                                                me          approved reelaxation in the land tra
                                                                                                               ansfer
 2012 YTD              71,969        79,783       -7815
                                                             polic of the go
                                                                 cy         overnment for governm  ment owned land
                                                                                                               d
Volu
   ume & Adva
            ances / Dec
                      clines                                 so th infrastru
                                                                 hat        ucture proje
                                                                                       ects are not held up because
                                      NSE          BSE       of pr
                                                                 rocedural de
                                                                            elays.
 Trad
    ding Volume (Cr)                44.93         16.86    • Airlin stocks w
                                                                  ne          were mostly lower as state-owne oil
                                                                                                               ed
 Turn
    nover (`Cr)                     7,345         1,756      companies raise jet fuel o ATF rates by a steep 4.5%
                                                                              ed        or         s          p
 Advances                             814         1,508      on firming inte
                                                                 f           ernational crude oil pri
                                                                                                    ices. L&T g
                                                                                                              gained
 Declines                             641         1,179      0.60 as the c
                                                                 0%          company re eported that its order inflow
                                                                                                    t
 Unchanged                             83          130       jump ped 21% to `19594Cr in Q1 June 2012 ove Q1
                                                                              o          r                     er
 Tota
    al                              1,538         2,817      June 2011 des
                                                                 e           spite weak investment sentiment and
                                                                                                    t
Glob Markets
   bal                                                       prevvailing globa uncertainties.
                                                                             al

 Inde
    ex                     Late Values
                              est             Change (%)
                                                       )   • Markket breadth was howe
                                                                            h           ever positiv at ~1.28x as
                                                                                                   ve
 DJIA
    A                            12,878.88      -0.71%       investors boug ght small and mid cap stocks On  s.
 NAS
   SDAQ                           2,909.77      -0.36%       prov
                                                                visional basis, FIIs bought equity of `1.41bn while
 Nikk *
    kei                           8,513.20      -1.62%       dommestic institu
                                                                             utions sold equity of `0.66bn in cash
                                                             segmment.
 Hang Seng *                     19,502.46      -0.95%
* as o 8.25AM IST
     of                                                    • Asian markets tumbled today, af
                                                                           s                  fter the fo
                                                                                                        oreign
Curr
   rencies / Co
              ommodities Snapshot
                       s                                     investors disap
                                                                           ppointed w
                                                                                    with the European Central
                                    Latest     Previous      Bankk.
                                    Quote         Close
                                                           • We expect a w weak opening for the Indian ma
                                                                                                e         arkets
 Indian Rupee per $                  55.84        55.47
                                                             toda following the cues fro the Asia markets.
                                                                ay                     om       an
 Indian Rupee per €                  68.04        67.85
 NYM
   MEX Crude Oil($/bbl)              87.48        87.13    Econom and Cor
                                                                mic     rporate Dev
                                                                                  velopments
                                                                                           s
 Gold ($/oz)
    d                             1,590.00     1,587.40    • Cabi
                                                                inet may fin
                                                                           nalize 2G res
                                                                                       serve price today.
 Silve ($/oz)
     er                              27.12        27.00



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   note Capitals Research
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TOP GAINERS                                         Buzzin Stocks
                                                         ng
(BSE A-Group)
   E                                                • Sun Pharma looks to a      acquire Geermany’s Stada
                   Previous   Currennt   Change          neimittel, se
                                                      Arzn           eeks to raise $1bn for the deal.
                                                                                 e          t
 Com
   mpany Name
            e
                   Close(`
                         `)   Price(`
                                    `)      (%)
                                                    • RIL and BP’s pplan to buy stake in new termina of
                                                                               y         n         al
 Cum
   mmins India      437.65
                         5     467.35      6.79
                                                         ronet LNG is shelved.
                                                      Petr          s
 Unit
    ted Spirits     804.15
                         5     849.80      5.68
 Bharat Elect      1221.15
                         5    1285.55      5.27     • Strid
                                                          des Arcolab Ranbaxy and Mylan in tie up with
                                                                     b,               n
 Cast
    trol India      558.25
                         5     586.25      5.02       Gilead for HIV g
                                                                     generic.
 Asho Leyland
    ok               22.05
                         5      23.00      4.31     • NMD arm to b
                                                        DC       buy 2 coal as
                                                                             ssets in Que
                                                                                        eensland.
(BSE Mid-Cap)
   E                                                • Deccan Chronic promote pledge more proper
                                                                   cle     ers      m         rties.
                   Previous   Currennt   Change     • JSPL Mauritius r
                                                         L           raises $150
                                                                               0mn via ECB to repay lo
                                                                                         B           oans
 Com
   mpany Name
            e
                   Close(`
                         `)   Price(`
                                    `)      (%)       take from the parent.
                                                         en
 Prism Cement
     m               51.00      53.40       4.71
                                                    • SBI cuts home loan growth projection.
                                                                              h
 Schn
    neider Elec      78.80      82.45       4.63
 Mad
   dras Cements
              s     169.90     177.60       4.53    • Bom                    eocon from manufactu
                                                        mbay HC restrains Vide                     uring
 Asho Leyland
    ok               22.05      23.00       4.31      was
                                                        shing machines resemb
                                                                            bling Whirpo
                                                                                       ool's design.
                                                                                                   .
 Novartis India     663.75     688.45       3.72    • Oil India keen t take up to 10-15% stake in HP
                                                          I          to                            PCL's
                                                      Barm refinery
                                                          mer        y.
TOP LOSERS
                                                    • Elde
                                                         er Pharma board o
                                                                    a          okays   mer
                                                                                         rger   of   Elder
                                                                                                     E
(BSE A-Group)
   E                                                  Healthcare into company.
                                                                    o
                   Previous   Currennt   Change     • Unit
                                                         tech moves CLB ver
                                                                     s         rsus Uninor
                                                                                         r's decision to
                                                                                                    n
 Com
   mpany Name
            e
                   Close(`
                         `)   Price(`
                                    `)      (%)
                                                      auct
                                                         tion India te
                                                                     elecom business.
 Cair India
    rn              337.55
                         5    330.35
                                   5       -2.13
 HPC
   CL               337.45
                         5    330.40
                                   0       -2.09
                                                    US markets
 Unit
    tech             21.70
                         0      21.25
                                    5      -2.07    U.S. stocks exte
                                                           s          ended losse into a fourth ses
                                                                                 es                  ssion
 NMD
   DC               189.75
                         5    185.95
                                   5       -2.00    Thursdday after the European Central Ban disappointed
                                                                      e                    nk
 LIC Housing Fin    266.70
                         0    261.40
                                   0       -1.99    the invvestors over the concre steps tow
                                                                      r          ete       wards Europ
                                                                                                     pean
                                                    stabilit
                                                           ty.
(BSE Mid-Cap)
   E
                   Previous   Currennt   Change
 Com
   mpany Name
            e
                   Close(`
                         `)   Price(`
                                    `)      (%)
 NIIT Tech
    T               297.85     282.50      -5.15
 Glod
    dyne Tech       187.80     178.45      -4.98
 Shre Global Trd
    ee         d     72.15      69.35      -3.88
 Relig
     gare Enter     351.25     338.05      -3.76
 Tulip Telecom
     p               99.45      95.85      -3.62




Keyn
   note Capitals Research
                        h                  (resea
                                                arch@keyno
                                                         otecapitals.net)           (+912
                                                                                        22-3026600
                                                                                                 00)
 



                                                                                                                                     




                                                                                                                                     




 India and Globa Economic Calendar
     a         al       c

   Countries /                      Friday                           Monday                          Tuesday

   Reg
     gions                          3-Aug                             6-A
                                                                        Aug                           7-Aug

   Ind
     dia                 Forex R
                               Reserves Da
                                         ata

                         Bank L
                              Loan Growth
                                        h




   US                    Averag Hourly Ea
                               ge        arnings                                          Consum Credit Change
                                                                                               mer      C
                         (YoY) & Average W
                                         Weekly
                         Hours

                         Nonfar Payrolls &
                              rm
                         Unempployment Ra
                                        ate

                         ISM No
                              on-Manufact
                                        turing
                         PMI

   Glo
     obal                UK Mar
                              rket Service PMI
                                         es               Ja
                                                           apan Indust
                                                                     trial                UK's In
                                                                                                ndustrial
                                                          Production Data
                                                          P          D                    Producction (MoM) and
                                                                                          (YoY)

                         Germany Market S
                                        Services          UK's BRC Re
                                                          U           etail Sales         UK's MManufacturin
                                                                                                           ng
                         PMI                              Monitor - (Yo
                                                          M           oY)                 Producction (MoM) and
                                                                                          (YoY)

                                                          Eurozone's Sentix
                                                          E          S
                                                          In
                                                           nvestor Con
                                                                     nfidence




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                                              NOTE CAPITTALS LTD.
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                                                                                capitals.com
                                                                                           m

Disclaiimer: This re
                   eport is purely for informa ation purpose and is bassed on public information News cont
                                                                                    c             n.          tent is attribu
                                                                                                                            utable to
various media, unle specified otherwise. A market related statistic data perta
                    ess                       All                      cal          ains to the im
                                                                                                 mmediately preceding trad  ding day,
unless stated other
      s             rwise. Neithe the informa
                                 er           ation nor any opinion expressed in this report constitutes an off
                                                          y                         s                         fer, or an invitation to
make an offer, to bbuy or sell the securities m
                                              mentioned he erein. We or any of our directors, offic
                                                                                                  cers or emplo
                                                                                                              oyees shall not in any
way be responsible for any loss arising from the use of this report. Investors are advised to apply their own judgmen before
       e            e             s           m                                     e                         o             nt
acting on the conteents of this re
                                 eport. The rep
                                              port has not been edited due to time c
                                                                       d            constraints.

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Keynote capitals india morning note august 3-'12

  • 1.       India Morning Note a g Frida August 0 2012 ay, 03, Dom mestic Mark kets Snapsh hot Views on markets t today Nam of Index me Aug 1 Aug 2 Change (%) ) • Indiaan markets snapped four day winning s s streak Sensex 17,257.38 17,224.36 -0.19% yestterday to c close on neegative note tracking weak CNX Nifty X 5,240.50 5,227.75 -0.24% Asian shares af fter the Fed deral Reserv refrained from ve d BSE Mid-cap 6,069.67 6,083.56 0.23% oducing new US mon intro netary stim mulus measures, BSE IT 5,327.09 5,323.25 -0.07% while doubts grew abou whether the Euro e ut r opean BSE Banks 11,951.52 11,908.79 -0.36% Cent tral Bank woould announ measur to suppo the nce res ort FII A Activity (`Cr) euro zone later in the day SBI's cut some loan rates o r y. for new borrowers sparked worries ot n d ther banks would Date e Buy Sell Net follow suit, hitt ting margins in the seector also h the hit 01-A Aug 2,212 1,581 631 mar ket sentimeents. 31-Jul 2,953 2,025 928 Tota Aug al 47,790 39,853 7937 • Rain remained below ave ns d erage in the week to Aug. 1, e 2012 YTD 376,182 322,251 53931 exte ending worries about foood inflation and lower rural n r cons sumption. BBSE Sensex shed 33.02 points or 00.19%, MF A Activity (`Cr) up about 67 points from th day's low and off clo a he w ose to Date e Buy Sell Net 22 points from t p the day's high. 31-Jul 439 546 -107 • Consstruction companies and compa anies which are h 30-Jul 287 295 -8 linke to order from Ind ed rs dian Railwa ays surged after Tota Jul al 8,826 10,795 -1970 Prim Minister a me approved reelaxation in the land tra ansfer 2012 YTD 71,969 79,783 -7815 polic of the go cy overnment for governm ment owned land d Volu ume & Adva ances / Dec clines so th infrastru hat ucture proje ects are not held up because NSE BSE of pr rocedural de elays. Trad ding Volume (Cr) 44.93 16.86 • Airlin stocks w ne were mostly lower as state-owne oil ed Turn nover (`Cr) 7,345 1,756 companies raise jet fuel o ATF rates by a steep 4.5% ed or s p Advances 814 1,508 on firming inte f ernational crude oil pri ices. L&T g gained Declines 641 1,179 0.60 as the c 0% company re eported that its order inflow t Unchanged 83 130 jump ped 21% to `19594Cr in Q1 June 2012 ove Q1 o r er Tota al 1,538 2,817 June 2011 des e spite weak investment sentiment and t Glob Markets bal prevvailing globa uncertainties. al Inde ex Late Values est Change (%) ) • Markket breadth was howe h ever positiv at ~1.28x as ve DJIA A 12,878.88 -0.71% investors boug ght small and mid cap stocks On s. NAS SDAQ 2,909.77 -0.36% prov visional basis, FIIs bought equity of `1.41bn while Nikk * kei 8,513.20 -1.62% dommestic institu utions sold equity of `0.66bn in cash segmment. Hang Seng * 19,502.46 -0.95% * as o 8.25AM IST of • Asian markets tumbled today, af s fter the fo oreign Curr rencies / Co ommodities Snapshot s investors disap ppointed w with the European Central Latest Previous Bankk. Quote Close • We expect a w weak opening for the Indian ma e arkets Indian Rupee per $ 55.84 55.47 toda following the cues fro the Asia markets. ay om an Indian Rupee per € 68.04 67.85 NYM MEX Crude Oil($/bbl) 87.48 87.13 Econom and Cor mic rporate Dev velopments s Gold ($/oz) d 1,590.00 1,587.40 • Cabi inet may fin nalize 2G res serve price today. Silve ($/oz) er 27.12 27.00 Keyn note Capitals Research h (reseaarch@keyno otecapitals.net) (+91222-3026600 00) Keyynote Capita Research is also available on als h Bloo omberg KNTE <GO>, Tho E omson One A Analytics, Re euters Knowwledge, Capit IQ, TheMa tal arkets.com and securitie a es.com Keynote Capitals Institu utional Resea arch - winner of “India’s Best IPO Analyst Award 2009” by MCX-Zee Business To unsubsc cribe from th mailing lis please reply to unsub his st, bscribe@keyynotecapitals s.net
  • 2.       TOP GAINERS Buzzin Stocks ng (BSE A-Group) E • Sun Pharma looks to a acquire Geermany’s Stada Previous Currennt Change neimittel, se Arzn eeks to raise $1bn for the deal. e t Com mpany Name e Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) • RIL and BP’s pplan to buy stake in new termina of y n al Cum mmins India 437.65 5 467.35 6.79 ronet LNG is shelved. Petr s Unit ted Spirits 804.15 5 849.80 5.68 Bharat Elect 1221.15 5 1285.55 5.27 • Strid des Arcolab Ranbaxy and Mylan in tie up with b, n Cast trol India 558.25 5 586.25 5.02 Gilead for HIV g generic. Asho Leyland ok 22.05 5 23.00 4.31 • NMD arm to b DC buy 2 coal as ssets in Que eensland. (BSE Mid-Cap) E • Deccan Chronic promote pledge more proper cle ers m rties. Previous Currennt Change • JSPL Mauritius r L raises $150 0mn via ECB to repay lo B oans Com mpany Name e Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) take from the parent. en Prism Cement m 51.00 53.40 4.71 • SBI cuts home loan growth projection. h Schn neider Elec 78.80 82.45 4.63 Mad dras Cements s 169.90 177.60 4.53 • Bom eocon from manufactu mbay HC restrains Vide uring Asho Leyland ok 22.05 23.00 4.31 was shing machines resemb bling Whirpo ool's design. . Novartis India 663.75 688.45 3.72 • Oil India keen t take up to 10-15% stake in HP I to PCL's Barm refinery mer y. TOP LOSERS • Elde er Pharma board o a okays mer rger of Elder E (BSE A-Group) E Healthcare into company. o Previous Currennt Change • Unit tech moves CLB ver s rsus Uninor r's decision to n Com mpany Name e Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) auct tion India te elecom business. Cair India rn 337.55 5 330.35 5 -2.13 HPC CL 337.45 5 330.40 0 -2.09 US markets Unit tech 21.70 0 21.25 5 -2.07 U.S. stocks exte s ended losse into a fourth ses es ssion NMD DC 189.75 5 185.95 5 -2.00 Thursdday after the European Central Ban disappointed e nk LIC Housing Fin 266.70 0 261.40 0 -1.99 the invvestors over the concre steps tow r ete wards Europ pean stabilit ty. (BSE Mid-Cap) E Previous Currennt Change Com mpany Name e Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) NIIT Tech T 297.85 282.50 -5.15 Glod dyne Tech 187.80 178.45 -4.98 Shre Global Trd ee d 72.15 69.35 -3.88 Relig gare Enter 351.25 338.05 -3.76 Tulip Telecom p 99.45 95.85 -3.62 Keyn note Capitals Research h (resea arch@keyno otecapitals.net) (+912 22-3026600 00)
  • 3.       India and Globa Economic Calendar a al c Countries / Friday Monday Tuesday Reg gions 3-Aug 6-A Aug 7-Aug Ind dia Forex R Reserves Da ata Bank L Loan Growth h US Averag Hourly Ea ge arnings Consum Credit Change mer C (YoY) & Average W Weekly Hours Nonfar Payrolls & rm Unempployment Ra ate ISM No on-Manufact turing PMI Glo obal UK Mar rket Service PMI es Ja apan Indust trial UK's In ndustrial Production Data P D Producction (MoM) and (YoY) Germany Market S Services UK's BRC Re U etail Sales UK's MManufacturin ng PMI Monitor - (Yo M oY) Producction (MoM) and (YoY) Eurozone's Sentix E S In nvestor Con nfidence KEYN NOTE CAPITTALS LTD. The Rub 9th Floo Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumba – 400 028 by, or, ai 8 Tel. : +9 9122-30266 6000 • www w.keynotec capitals.com m Disclaiimer: This re eport is purely for informa ation purpose and is bassed on public information News cont c n. tent is attribu utable to various media, unle specified otherwise. A market related statistic data perta ess All cal ains to the im mmediately preceding trad ding day, unless stated other s rwise. Neithe the informa er ation nor any opinion expressed in this report constitutes an off y s fer, or an invitation to make an offer, to bbuy or sell the securities m mentioned he erein. We or any of our directors, offic cers or emplo oyees shall not in any way be responsible for any loss arising from the use of this report. Investors are advised to apply their own judgmen before e e s m e o nt acting on the conteents of this re eport. The rep port has not been edited due to time c d constraints.