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India Morning Note
    a
Friday August 31 2012
     y,        1,

  mestic Markets Snapshot
Dom                     t                                   V
                                                            Views on ma
                                                                      arkets today
                                                                                 y
 Nam of Index
   me                  Aug 29       Aug 30     Change (%)   • Indian markets snap four-day losing streak a
                                                                     m            p                         and closed
 Sens
    sex              17,490.81    17,541.64
                                  1               0.29%       on positive note yes sterday as lenders like ICICI Bank
                                                              rose after steep re ecent falls, although ca  aution still
 CNX Nifty            5,287.80     5,315.05       0.52%
                                                              prevailed ahead o key eco
                                                                      d           of          onomic grow   wth data.
 BSE Mid-cap          5,962.21     5,996.00       0.57%
                                                              Investors will however scrutinise April-Ju
                                                                       s                                    une gross
 BSE IT               5,746.28     5,786.45       0.70%       domestic product da out, given concerns t
                                                                      c           ata          n           that India's
 BSE Banks           11,500.83    11,564.38
                                  1               0.55%       economy is slowin
                                                                      y           ng sharply even as inflationary
                                                              pressure remain, m
                                                                      es          making the prospect of monetary
FII Ac
     ctivity                                      (`Cr)
                                                              action uuncertain. A Reuters poll of 38 e
                                                                                              p            economists
 Date
    e                     Buy          Sell         Net       forecast growth of 5.3 percent for the April-June
 29-Aug                 2,244         1,830         415       quarter, unchanged from Janua   ary-March qu  uarter and
 28-Aug                 2,007         1,838         169       marking its slowest growth sinc 2009.Volatility was
                                                                                               ce
                                                              high as traders rolle over posi
                                                                                  ed           itions in the futures &
                                                                                                           e
 Total Aug
     l                  39987        32613         7375
                                                              options (F&O) segm ment from th near-mon
                                                                                              he           nth August
 2012 YTD
    2                  413957       353283        60675
                                                              2012 serries to Septe
                                                                                  ember 2012 s series.
MF A
   Activity                                        (`Cr)    • FMCG sttocks rose o revival o monsoon rains this
                                                                                on          of
 Date
    e                     Buy          Sell         Net       month. Hindustan UUnilever and ITC hit re
                                                                                            d           ecord high.
                                                              Pharma s
                                                                     stocks exten
                                                                                nded their re
                                                                                            ecent gains.
 29-Aug                   399          478           -80
 28-Aug                   494          718          -224    • Hero M  MotoCorp fe ell 1.4% after Cred      dit Suisse
                                                              downgra aded the stock to "neutr ral" from "ov
                                                                                                           verweight",
 Total Aug
     l                   8335        10056         -1721
                                                              citing ca
                                                                      aution about the compan  ny's near-ter outlook
                                                                                                            rm
 2012 YTD
    2                   80304        89839         -9536
                                                              in the domestic two o-wheeler m market. Tech Mahindra
                                                                                                           h
Global Markets                                                slumped 5% after B  British teleco
                                                                                               oms firm BT unloaded
                                                                                                           T
                                                              about a 5% stake i the Indian IT service provider.
                                                                                  in                       e
 Index
     x                     Latest Values
                                t              Change (%)     Tata Ste fell 2.3% while Jinda Steel and Power fell
                                                                      eel        %             al
 DJIA                            13
                                  3,000.71       -0.81%       1.9%, ex xtending rec
                                                                                  cent sharp d  declines on continued
 NASD
    DAQ                           3,048.71
                                  3              -1.05%       worries about the faallout from the controv  versial coal
 Nikke *
     ei                           8,884.21
                                  8              -1.11%       concessions that has consumed parliament.
                                                                                  s
 Hang Seng *
    g                            19
                                  9,465.04       -0.45%     • Market breadth was marginally positive negative at
                                                                      b           s         y
* as of 8.25AM IST
      f                                                       ~1.06x as investor bought large cap s
                                                                                  rs                     stocks. On
                                                              provision basis, FIIs bought eq
                                                                      nal                   quity of `23.0
                                                                                                         06bn while
Curre
    ency Snapsh
              hot
                                                              domestic institutions sold equit of `3.28b in cash
                                                                      c           s          ty          bn
 Future contract                                   RBI        segment t.
                          Latest    Previous
 expir on
     re                                      Reference
                                             R
                          Quote        Close                • Asian sttocks fell s
                                                                                 sharply, afte weak US markets
                                                                                             er          S
 29/08/12                                         Rate
 India Rupee per $
     an                    55.93       55.67       55.65      overnigh as the inv
                                                                     ht          vestors kept their closed watch on
                                                                                                         d
                                                              Federal R
                                                                      Reserve Cha           Bernanke's speech.
                                                                                 airman Ben B
 India Rupee per €
     an                    69.95       69.94       88.10
 India Rupee per £
     an                    88.26       88.08       69.84    • We expe ect a weak opening for the Indian markets,
                                                                                                      n
                                                              following the cues from the Asian markets and
                                                                      g            s
 India Rupee per ¥
     an                    71.18       70.90       70.78
                                                              declining prices of co
                                                                      g            ommodities.
* NSE Exchange                                              Economic and Corporate Developm
                                                                     a                    ments
                                                            • Governmment signed production sharing pac for four
                                                                                                        cts
                                                              blocks under NEL   LP-IX. Oil IIndia, ONGC among
                                                              companies in NELP-  -IX production sharing pact. The
                                                                    ment has Sig
                                                              governm            gned 18 prooduction shaaring pacts
                                                              under NE
                                                                     ELP-IX so far.

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TOP GAINERS
    G                                               Buzzing Stocks
(BSE A-Group)                                       • Lanco In
                                                             nfra in talks with PEs to raise upto USD 750
                                                                                     o
                   Previous   Current    Change       mn
 Company Name
                   Close(`)   Price(`)      (%)     • NTPC h has slashed investments by Rs 50,0
                                                                                     s        000 crore
 JSW E
     ENERGY          44.00      46.55      5.80
                                                      due to coal supply uncertainty
 Adan Ports
    ni              109.05     114.40      4.91
                                                    • SAIL  moves
                                                            m       Com mpetition  Appellate   Tribunal
 Apoll Tyres
     lo              90.50      94.80      4.75
                                                      (COMPAT against JS petition o CCI ruling
                                                            T)         SPL        on         g
 Astra
     azeneca Pha   1827.10    1910.70      4.58
 GMR Infra           18.35      19.15      4.36     • Telecom Disputes Settlement an Appellate Tribunal
                                                            m                       nd        e
                                                      (TDSAT) allows Airte ’s plea against TTSL claiming
                                                                         el
(BSE Mid-Cap)
   E                                                  dues of Rs 287 crore
                                                                         e
                   Previous   Current    Change     • RCF to invest Rs 400 crore ove next three years to
                                                                         00         er          e
 Company Name
                   Close(`)   Price(`)      (%)
                                                      ramp up urea capacity at Thal plant near Mu
                                                             p                                  umbai
 JUBIL
     LANT           172.60     187.40       8.57
 PHOE
    ENIX MILL       165.70     179.35       8.24    • Koutons Retail board meets today to co
                                                                                       t   onsider &
 Arvin
     nd              60.75      64.70       6.50      discuss preferential issue /ADR /GDR
                                                                                      /
 Bombay Rayon       231.10     244.70       5.88    • EIH Asssociated Hot  tels   board to meet t
                                                                                                today for
 Aban Offshore
    n               378.60     399.00       5.39      consider
                                                             ring rights issue
                                                    • Aarti In
                                                             ndustries b board appr roves    deme
                                                                                                erger    of
TOP LOSERS
    L                                                 manufaccturing busin
                                                                         ness underta
                                                                                    aking
(BSE A-Group)                                       • Essar Oi Cafe Coffe Day in m
                                                             il,         ee         marketing tie e-up (CCD
                   Previous   Current    Change       to open Coffee shops at Essar Oil Fuel statio
                                                                                                  ons)
 Company Name
                   Close(`)   Price(`)      (%)     • Religare Finvest up stake in Hindustan T Works
                                                             e          ps         H         Tin
 Tech Mahindra      835.60    792.15       -5.20
                                                      by 2.41% to 14.09%
                                                             %          %
 JPPOW
     WER             26.30      25.20      -4.18
                                                    • Reliance Industries (RIL) submi new plan for tow
                                                             e                      its      n
 Jain Irrigation     69.20      66.60      -3.76
                                                      gas discoveries in KG basin
                                                                          G
 Neyv Lignite
    veli             80.30      77.75      -3.18
 Crom
    mpton Greav     111.05    107.55       -3.15

(BSE Mid-Cap)
   E
                   Previous   Current    Change
 Company Name
                   Close(`)   Price(`)      (%)
 MTNL
    L                43.15      37.70     -12.63
 INDIA POWER
     AB              10.59      10.02      -5.38
 Relig
     gare Enter     334.85     317.05      -5.32
 Glody
     yne Tech        74.95      71.25      -4.94
 Alok Inds           12.10      11.55      -4.55




Keyno Capitals Research
    ote                                    (research
                                                   h@keynotecapitals.net)             (+9122-3026
                                                                                                66000)
 



                                                                                                                                  




                                                                                                                                  




 India and Global Economic C
                           Calendar

   Cou
     untries /               Frida
                                 ay                    Monda
                                                           ay                    Tuesda
                                                                                      ay                  Wednesday

   Reg
     gions                  31/Au
                                ug                      3/Sep
                                                            p                     4/Sep
                                                                                      p                      5/Sep
   India            Forex Reserves                                                                  M3 Money Sup
                                                                                                               pply
                    Data; Federa Fiscal
                                al
                    Deficit
                    GDP Quaterly (YoY) ;
                    Infrastructur
                                re
                    Output (YoYY)


   US               Factory Ordeers                                       Construction
                                                                          C                         MBA Mortgage e
                    (MoM); Chicaago                                       Spending (MooM)           Ap
                                                                                                     pplications
                    Purchasing
                    Manager's Inndex
                    Fed's Bernannke                                       Markit
                                                                          M
                    Speech                                                Manufacturing PMI
                                                                          M
                    Reuters/ Mic
                               chigan                                     Total Vehicle Sales
                                                                          T
                    Consumer Sentiment
                    Index
   Global           Eurozone Coonsumer         UK's Halifax House
                                               U                          UK's PMI
                                                                          U                         UK Markit Se
                                                                                                     K's         ervices
                    Price Index (
                                (YoY)          Prices (3m/YoY)
                                               P                          Construction
                                                                          C                         PM
                                                                                                     MI
                    Japan Vehicl
                    J           le             Germany's M
                                               G           Markit                                   Ge
                                                                                                     ermany's Ma arkit
                    Production (YoY);          Manufacturin PMI
                                               M           ng                                       Se
                                                                                                     ervices PMI
                    Construction Orders
                                n
                    (YoY)
                    Japan Housing Starts
                    J
                    (YoY); Annuaalized
                    Housing Starts




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                    ort           f            on           nd             o             rmation. News content is a attributable to
                                                                                                                                  o
various media, unles specified ot
       s            ss           therwise. All m
                                               market related statistical da pertains to the immedia
                                                            d              ata           o            ately preceding trading dayy,
unless stated otherw
                   wise. Neither the information nor any opin
                                                            nion expresse in this repo constitutes an offer, or a invitation to
                                                                           ed           ort                        an             o
make an offer, to bu or sell the s
       a           uy            securities menntioned herein We or any o our directors, officers or employees sh
                                                            n.              of                                      hall not in any
                                                                                                                                  y
way be responsible for any loss a
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Keynote capitals india morning note august 31-'12

  • 1.       India Morning Note a Friday August 31 2012 y, 1, mestic Markets Snapshot Dom t V Views on ma arkets today y Nam of Index me Aug 29 Aug 30 Change (%) • Indian markets snap four-day losing streak a m p and closed Sens sex 17,490.81 17,541.64 1 0.29% on positive note yes sterday as lenders like ICICI Bank rose after steep re ecent falls, although ca aution still CNX Nifty 5,287.80 5,315.05 0.52% prevailed ahead o key eco d of onomic grow wth data. BSE Mid-cap 5,962.21 5,996.00 0.57% Investors will however scrutinise April-Ju s une gross BSE IT 5,746.28 5,786.45 0.70% domestic product da out, given concerns t c ata n that India's BSE Banks 11,500.83 11,564.38 1 0.55% economy is slowin y ng sharply even as inflationary pressure remain, m es making the prospect of monetary FII Ac ctivity (`Cr) action uuncertain. A Reuters poll of 38 e p economists Date e Buy Sell Net forecast growth of 5.3 percent for the April-June 29-Aug 2,244 1,830 415 quarter, unchanged from Janua ary-March qu uarter and 28-Aug 2,007 1,838 169 marking its slowest growth sinc 2009.Volatility was ce high as traders rolle over posi ed itions in the futures & e Total Aug l 39987 32613 7375 options (F&O) segm ment from th near-mon he nth August 2012 YTD 2 413957 353283 60675 2012 serries to Septe ember 2012 s series. MF A Activity (`Cr) • FMCG sttocks rose o revival o monsoon rains this on of Date e Buy Sell Net month. Hindustan UUnilever and ITC hit re d ecord high. Pharma s stocks exten nded their re ecent gains. 29-Aug 399 478 -80 28-Aug 494 718 -224 • Hero M MotoCorp fe ell 1.4% after Cred dit Suisse downgra aded the stock to "neutr ral" from "ov verweight", Total Aug l 8335 10056 -1721 citing ca aution about the compan ny's near-ter outlook rm 2012 YTD 2 80304 89839 -9536 in the domestic two o-wheeler m market. Tech Mahindra h Global Markets slumped 5% after B British teleco oms firm BT unloaded T about a 5% stake i the Indian IT service provider. in e Index x Latest Values t Change (%) Tata Ste fell 2.3% while Jinda Steel and Power fell eel % al DJIA 13 3,000.71 -0.81% 1.9%, ex xtending rec cent sharp d declines on continued NASD DAQ 3,048.71 3 -1.05% worries about the faallout from the controv versial coal Nikke * ei 8,884.21 8 -1.11% concessions that has consumed parliament. s Hang Seng * g 19 9,465.04 -0.45% • Market breadth was marginally positive negative at b s y * as of 8.25AM IST f ~1.06x as investor bought large cap s rs stocks. On provision basis, FIIs bought eq nal quity of `23.0 06bn while Curre ency Snapsh hot domestic institutions sold equit of `3.28b in cash c s ty bn Future contract RBI segment t. Latest Previous expir on re Reference R Quote Close • Asian sttocks fell s sharply, afte weak US markets er S 29/08/12 Rate India Rupee per $ an 55.93 55.67 55.65 overnigh as the inv ht vestors kept their closed watch on d Federal R Reserve Cha Bernanke's speech. airman Ben B India Rupee per € an 69.95 69.94 88.10 India Rupee per £ an 88.26 88.08 69.84 • We expe ect a weak opening for the Indian markets, n following the cues from the Asian markets and g s India Rupee per ¥ an 71.18 70.90 70.78 declining prices of co g ommodities. * NSE Exchange Economic and Corporate Developm a ments • Governmment signed production sharing pac for four cts blocks under NEL LP-IX. Oil IIndia, ONGC among companies in NELP- -IX production sharing pact. The ment has Sig governm gned 18 prooduction shaaring pacts under NE ELP-IX so far. Keyno Capitals Research ote (research h@keynotecapitals.net) (+9122-3026 66000) Keyno Capitals R ote Research is also available on Bloom mberg KNTE <GO>, Thom mson One Ana alytics, Reute Knowledge, Capital IQ, TheMarkets.com and sec ers , curities.com Keynote Capi K itals Institutio onal Research - winner of “India’s Best IPO Analyst Award 2009” by MCX-Zee Business h t ” e To unsubscrib from this m T be mailing list, p please reply to unsubscribe@keynotecaapitals.net
  • 2.     TOP GAINERS G Buzzing Stocks (BSE A-Group) • Lanco In nfra in talks with PEs to raise upto USD 750 o Previous Current Change mn Company Name Close(`) Price(`) (%) • NTPC h has slashed investments by Rs 50,0 s 000 crore JSW E ENERGY 44.00 46.55 5.80 due to coal supply uncertainty Adan Ports ni 109.05 114.40 4.91 • SAIL moves m Com mpetition Appellate Tribunal Apoll Tyres lo 90.50 94.80 4.75 (COMPAT against JS petition o CCI ruling T) SPL on g Astra azeneca Pha 1827.10 1910.70 4.58 GMR Infra 18.35 19.15 4.36 • Telecom Disputes Settlement an Appellate Tribunal m nd e (TDSAT) allows Airte ’s plea against TTSL claiming el (BSE Mid-Cap) E dues of Rs 287 crore e Previous Current Change • RCF to invest Rs 400 crore ove next three years to 00 er e Company Name Close(`) Price(`) (%) ramp up urea capacity at Thal plant near Mu p umbai JUBIL LANT 172.60 187.40 8.57 PHOE ENIX MILL 165.70 179.35 8.24 • Koutons Retail board meets today to co t onsider & Arvin nd 60.75 64.70 6.50 discuss preferential issue /ADR /GDR / Bombay Rayon 231.10 244.70 5.88 • EIH Asssociated Hot tels board to meet t today for Aban Offshore n 378.60 399.00 5.39 consider ring rights issue • Aarti In ndustries b board appr roves deme erger of TOP LOSERS L manufaccturing busin ness underta aking (BSE A-Group) • Essar Oi Cafe Coffe Day in m il, ee marketing tie e-up (CCD Previous Current Change to open Coffee shops at Essar Oil Fuel statio ons) Company Name Close(`) Price(`) (%) • Religare Finvest up stake in Hindustan T Works e ps H Tin Tech Mahindra 835.60 792.15 -5.20 by 2.41% to 14.09% % % JPPOW WER 26.30 25.20 -4.18 • Reliance Industries (RIL) submi new plan for tow e its n Jain Irrigation 69.20 66.60 -3.76 gas discoveries in KG basin G Neyv Lignite veli 80.30 77.75 -3.18 Crom mpton Greav 111.05 107.55 -3.15 (BSE Mid-Cap) E Previous Current Change Company Name Close(`) Price(`) (%) MTNL L 43.15 37.70 -12.63 INDIA POWER AB 10.59 10.02 -5.38 Relig gare Enter 334.85 317.05 -5.32 Glody yne Tech 74.95 71.25 -4.94 Alok Inds 12.10 11.55 -4.55 Keyno Capitals Research ote (research h@keynotecapitals.net) (+9122-3026 66000)
  • 3.       India and Global Economic C Calendar Cou untries / Frida ay Monda ay Tuesda ay Wednesday Reg gions 31/Au ug 3/Sep p 4/Sep p 5/Sep India Forex Reserves M3 Money Sup pply Data; Federa Fiscal al Deficit GDP Quaterly (YoY) ; Infrastructur re Output (YoYY) US Factory Ordeers Construction C MBA Mortgage e (MoM); Chicaago Spending (MooM) Ap pplications Purchasing Manager's Inndex Fed's Bernannke Markit M Speech Manufacturing PMI M Reuters/ Mic chigan Total Vehicle Sales T Consumer Sentiment Index Global Eurozone Coonsumer UK's Halifax House U UK's PMI U UK Markit Se K's ervices Price Index ( (YoY) Prices (3m/YoY) P Construction C PM MI Japan Vehicl J le Germany's M G Markit Ge ermany's Ma arkit Production (YoY); Manufacturin PMI M ng Se ervices PMI Construction Orders n (YoY) Japan Housing Starts J (YoY); Annuaalized Housing Starts KEYNOTE CAPITALS LTD. E The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Ba , S apat Marg, Dadar (W), M D Mumbai – 40 028 00 Tel. : +912 22-30266000 0 • www.ke eynotecapita als.com Disclaim mer: This repo is purely for informatio purpose an is based on public infor ort f on nd o rmation. News content is a attributable to o various media, unles specified ot s ss therwise. All m market related statistical da pertains to the immedia d ata o ately preceding trading dayy, unless stated otherw wise. Neither the information nor any opin nion expresse in this repo constitutes an offer, or a invitation to ed ort an o make an offer, to bu or sell the s a uy securities menntioned herein We or any o our directors, officers or employees sh n. of hall not in any y way be responsible for any loss a e arising from th use of this report. Inves he s stors are advi ised to apply their own jud dgment before e acting o the conten of this repo The report has not been edited due t time constraints. on nts ort. t n to