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India Morning Note
    a
Mond
   day, October 22, 2012
              r

Dom
  mestic Markets Snapshot
                        t                                    V
                                                             Views on ma
                                                                       arkets today
                                                                                  y

 Nam of Index
   me                   18-Oct       19-Oct       Change     • The BSE Sensex declined 109.6 points or 0.58% to
                                                                     E                     62        r
 Sens
    sex              18,791.93   18,682.31
                                 1                -0.58%           close at 18,682.31 a
                                                                                      and Nifty50 dropped 34
                                                                                                           4.45 points
 CNX Nifty            5,718.70     5,684.25       -0.60%           or 0.60% to close at 5,684.25 le by stocks of Power,
                                                                          %           t           ed        s
 BSE Mid-cap          6,706.82     6,671.62       -0.52%           Metal an Capital Goods sect
                                                                          nd                 tors and we
                                                                                                       eak global
 BSE IT               5,715.72     5,700.37       -0.27%           trends.
 BSE Banks           13,307.99   13,193.05
                                 1                -0.86%
                                                             • The rupee fell to a fresh one
                                                                                           e-month low at 53.97
                                                                                                     w
FII Ac
     ctivity                                       (`Cr)           versus it previous close of 53.41 on the bac of heavy
                                                                           ts                      1          ck
                                                                   dollar de
                                                                           emand from importers.
 Date
    e                     Buy           Sell         Net
 18-O
    Oct                 2,427          2,299         128     •      ITC rose 2.09% to c
                                                                           e          close at record high of Rs 297.50
 17-O
    Oct                 2,140          2,064          76           following
                                                                           g     stronger-t
                                                                                          than-expecte
                                                                                                     ed      number
                                                                                                                  rs    in   the
 Total Oct
     l                 36,957       27,204          9752           Septemb
                                                                         ber quarter. Net profit rose by 21% year-on-
                                                                                                           %
 2012 YTD
    2                  530895       436535         94360           year to Rs 1,836Cr, h
                                                                           R           helped espec
                                                                                                  cially by stro
                                                                                                               ong growth
MF A
   Activity                                         (`Cr)          in its ot
                                                                           ther fast moving consu
                                                                                                umer goods and Agri
                                                                                                         s
                                                                   business
                                                                          s.
 Date
    e                     Buy           Sell         Net
 17-O
    Oct                   272           441         -169
                                                             • Among the 13 secto
                                                                     t          oral indices, eleven sect
                                                                                                        tors closed
 16-O
    Oct                   571           336          235           in negat
                                                                          tive, while remaining two sectors closed in
                                                                                                t
 Total Oct
     l                  5,287          6,939       -1652           positive. Top Gainers BSE FMCG up by 0.84% and BSE
                                                                                       s:       G           %
 2012 YTD
    2                   96730       111693        -14962           CD surge by 0.43% Top Losers: BSE Powe down by
                                                                          ed       %.                   er
                                                                   1.44%, BSE Metal snapped by 1.32% and BSE CG
                                                                                             y
Global Markets
                                                                   down by 1.09%.
 Index
     x                 Latest Valu
                                 ues            Change (%)
                                                C                • Market breadth was negative a ~0.80x as investors
                                                                          b         s          at        s
 DJIA                     13,343.51               -1.52%
                                                                   sold large cap stocks
                                                                                       s.
 Nasd
    daq                    3,005.62               -2.19%
 Nikke
     ei                        9.54
                           8,929                  -0.81%         • Asia-liste stocks f
                                                                            ed       fell sharply on Monday, led by
 Hang Seng
    g                     21,575.88                0.11%                           modity firms, after a stee drop for
                                                                   exporter and comm
                                                                          rs                                ep
* as of 8.25AM IST
      f                                                            stocks and commodities in the US and the release of
Curre
    ency Snapsh
              hot                                                  disappointing Japane trade dat
                                                                                      ese       ta.

 Future contract                                   RBI           • We expe
                                                                         ect a weak opening fo the Indian markets
                                                                                             or
                          Latest    Previous
 expir on
     re                                      Reference
                                             R                     following the cues f
                                                                           g                     ian markets, however,
                                                                                      from the Asi
                          Quote        Close
 29/10/12                                         Rate
                                                                   strengthening dollar against major curre
                                                                                                m         encies and
 India Rupee per $
     an                    53.43        52.96      53.72
                                                                   positive results of TC may help it to get sup
                                                                                        CS                     pport.
 India Rupee per €
     an                    70.34        70.39      70.17
 India Rupee per £
     an                    86.35        86.58      86.15         Economic a
                                                                          and Corporate Developm
                                                                                               ments
 India Rupee per ¥
     an                    67.34        67.30      67.71
                                                             •     Sebi   se
                                                                           ets     one-year   target   for    probe
                                                                                                                  es,    warns
* NSE Exchange                                                     manipula
                                                                          ator




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TOP GAINERS
    G
(BSE A-Group)                                       Buzzing Stocks

                   Previous   Current    Change
 Company Name
                   Close(`)   Price(`)      (%)      • Gujarat NRE Coke t raise $20mn through FCCB
                                                                        to                  h
 CRISIL             937.55     969.15     3.37%
                                                     • ONGC looks to hir RIL's ununtilised pr
                                                                       re                   roduction
 Gitan
     njali Gems     381.15     393.65     3.28%
 CESC
    C                330.6     339.05     2.56%
                                                                s
                                                       facilities
 Emam
    mi-$            516.95     529.55     2.44%      • State B
                                                             Bank of India (SBI), wh
                                                                                   hich is dealing with
 Gujarat Mnrl        208.8      213.9     2.44%
                                                       abnormal levels of NPAs at 4.9 per cent, thinks the
                                                                                    9
(BSE Mid-Cap)
   E                                                   worst is over when it comes to asset qua
                                                              s         n          t          ality. The
                   Previous   Current    Change
 Company Name                                          NPA position would currently stay flattis and is
                                                                        d                      sh
                   Close(`)   Price(`)      (%)
 Kirlos
      skar Oil       169.4      180.5     6.55%        expecte to contin
                                                             ed        nue like this for the next 3-4
 Enginnes
 DBR  REALTY        111.45        117     4.98%        quarters as quantu
                                                              s         um of new loans turning NPAs
 Tulip Telecom
     p               42.55       44.6     4.82%
                                                       seems t be comin down, sai R Venkatachalam,
                                                             to       ng        id
 ABG Shipyard          360      375.7     4.36%
 TVS Motor           40.95       42.7     4.27%        deputy managing d
                                                                       director and chief risk officer of
                                                                                  d
                                                       the bank.
TOP LOSERS
    L
                                                     • Oil and Natural G
                                                             d         Gas Corp (ONGC) on Sunday
(BSE A-Group)
                                                       inaugur
                                                             rated a Rs 6,060-cro
                                                                      s         ore facility on the
                   Previous   Current    Change
 Company Name
                   Close(`)   Price(`)      (%)        country’s biggest oil field to replace a massive
 Exide Inds
     e               162.7    148.35     -8.82%        platform that was gutted in a devasta
                                                              m        s                   ating fire
 India Hotels
     an               70.2      66.35    -5.48%
                                                       seven years ago, k
                                                             y          killing 22 pe
                                                                                    eople and co
                                                                                               osting its
 Jet Air India       372.5    354.95     -4.71%
 Jain Irrigation     73.45      70.65    -3.81%        then chairman Subir Raha his j
                                                                                    job.
 Relia
     ance Cap       454.95      440.4    -3.20%

(BSE Mid-Cap)
   E                                                 • To cash in on the h
                                                                         healthcare s
                                                                                    service oppo
                                                                                               ortunities

                   Previous   Current    Change        in diab
                                                             betes mana
                                                                      agement across the country,
 Company Name
                   Close(`)   Price(`)      (%)
                                                       Apollo H
                                                              Hospitals En
                                                                         nterprise Ltd (AHEL) is planning
                                                                                     d
 Ecler Serv
     rx              803.3      734.3    -8.59%
                                                       to set up standalo
                                                                        one diabete clinics under the
                                                                                  es
 India Hotels
     an                70.2     66.35    -5.48%
 HMT                   47.8      45.5    -4.81%        brand, Sugar Clinic, which i currently housed
                                                                                  is        y
 Jet Air India       372.5     354.95    -4.71%        inside it existing h
                                                               ts         hospitals.
 HATH
    HWAY CAB        242.85      232.9    -4.10%




Keyno Capitals Research
    ote                                    (research
                                                   h@keynotecapitals.net)              (+9122-3026
                                                                                                 66000)
 



                                                                                                                                  




                                                                                                                                  




 India and Global Economic C
                           Calendar

   Cou
     untries /                     Monday                            Tuesd
                                                                         day                         Wednesday
                                                                                                     W


   Reg
     gions                         22/Oct                             23/Oct                            24/Oct


   India




                                                                                            Markit Ma
                                                                                                    anufacturing PMI
                                                                                                               g
   US                                                    Pres
                                                            sidential Deb
                                                                        bate
                                                                                            (Oct)

                                                         Rich
                                                            hmond Fed                       New Hom Sales (Mo
                                                                                                  me        oM)
                                                         Mannufacturing Index (Oct)
                                                                        I                   (Sep)

                                                                                            Fed Interest Rate Dec
                                                                                                                cision
                                                                                            (Oct 24)




                       UK Nationnwide Housin ng            nada Retail S
                                                         Can           Sales (MoM)          China HSBC Manufact
                                                                                                              turing
   Global
                       Prices n.s.a (YoY) (Sep
                                             p)          (Aug)                              PMI (Oct)


                                                                                            Euro Markit Manufact
                                                                                                               turing
                                                                                            PMI (Oct)


                                                                                            Euro ECB President M
                                                                                                   B           Mario
                                                                                            Draghi Visits German
                                                                                                               ny




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                                                                D          Mumbai – 40 028
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                                             22-30266000
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                                                                                   als.com

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       mer: This repo is purely for informatio purpose an is based on public infor
                    ort           f            on           nd             o             rmation. News content is a attributable to
                                                                                                                                  o
various media, unles specified ot
       s            ss           therwise. All m
                                               market related statistical da pertains to the immedia
                                                            d              ata           o            ately preceding trading dayy,
unless stated otherw
                   wise. Neither the information nor any opin
                                                            nion expresse in this repo constitutes an offer, or a invitation to
                                                                           ed           ort                        an             o
make an offer, to bu or sell the s
       a           uy            securities menntioned herein We or any o our directors, officers or employees sh
                                                            n.              of                                      hall not in any
                                                                                                                                  y
way be responsible for any loss a
      e                          arising from th use of this report. Inves
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Keynote capitals india morning note 22 october-12

  • 1.       India Morning Note a Mond day, October 22, 2012 r Dom mestic Markets Snapshot t V Views on ma arkets today y Nam of Index me 18-Oct 19-Oct Change • The BSE Sensex declined 109.6 points or 0.58% to E 62 r Sens sex 18,791.93 18,682.31 1 -0.58% close at 18,682.31 a and Nifty50 dropped 34 4.45 points CNX Nifty 5,718.70 5,684.25 -0.60% or 0.60% to close at 5,684.25 le by stocks of Power, % t ed s BSE Mid-cap 6,706.82 6,671.62 -0.52% Metal an Capital Goods sect nd tors and we eak global BSE IT 5,715.72 5,700.37 -0.27% trends. BSE Banks 13,307.99 13,193.05 1 -0.86% • The rupee fell to a fresh one e-month low at 53.97 w FII Ac ctivity (`Cr) versus it previous close of 53.41 on the bac of heavy ts 1 ck dollar de emand from importers. Date e Buy Sell Net 18-O Oct 2,427 2,299 128 • ITC rose 2.09% to c e close at record high of Rs 297.50 17-O Oct 2,140 2,064 76 following g stronger-t than-expecte ed number rs in the Total Oct l 36,957 27,204 9752 Septemb ber quarter. Net profit rose by 21% year-on- % 2012 YTD 2 530895 436535 94360 year to Rs 1,836Cr, h R helped espec cially by stro ong growth MF A Activity (`Cr) in its ot ther fast moving consu umer goods and Agri s business s. Date e Buy Sell Net 17-O Oct 272 441 -169 • Among the 13 secto t oral indices, eleven sect tors closed 16-O Oct 571 336 235 in negat tive, while remaining two sectors closed in t Total Oct l 5,287 6,939 -1652 positive. Top Gainers BSE FMCG up by 0.84% and BSE s: G % 2012 YTD 2 96730 111693 -14962 CD surge by 0.43% Top Losers: BSE Powe down by ed %. er 1.44%, BSE Metal snapped by 1.32% and BSE CG y Global Markets down by 1.09%. Index x Latest Valu ues Change (%) C • Market breadth was negative a ~0.80x as investors b s at s DJIA 13,343.51 -1.52% sold large cap stocks s. Nasd daq 3,005.62 -2.19% Nikke ei 9.54 8,929 -0.81% • Asia-liste stocks f ed fell sharply on Monday, led by Hang Seng g 21,575.88 0.11% modity firms, after a stee drop for exporter and comm rs ep * as of 8.25AM IST f stocks and commodities in the US and the release of Curre ency Snapsh hot disappointing Japane trade dat ese ta. Future contract RBI • We expe ect a weak opening fo the Indian markets or Latest Previous expir on re Reference R following the cues f g ian markets, however, from the Asi Quote Close 29/10/12 Rate strengthening dollar against major curre m encies and India Rupee per $ an 53.43 52.96 53.72 positive results of TC may help it to get sup CS pport. India Rupee per € an 70.34 70.39 70.17 India Rupee per £ an 86.35 86.58 86.15 Economic a and Corporate Developm ments India Rupee per ¥ an 67.34 67.30 67.71 • Sebi se ets one-year target for probe es, warns * NSE Exchange manipula ator Keyno Capitals Research ote (research h@keynotecapitals.net) (+9122-3026 66000) Keyno Capitals R ote Research is also available on Bloom mberg KNTE <GO>, Thom mson One Ana alytics, Reute Knowledge, Capital IQ, TheMarkets.com and sec ers , curities.com Keynote Capi K itals Institutio onal Research - winner of “India’s Best IPO Analyst Award 2009” by MCX-Zee Business h t ” e To unsubscrib from this m T be mailing list, p please reply to unsubscribe@keynotecaapitals.net
  • 2.     TOP GAINERS G (BSE A-Group) Buzzing Stocks Previous Current Change Company Name Close(`) Price(`) (%) • Gujarat NRE Coke t raise $20mn through FCCB to h CRISIL 937.55 969.15 3.37% • ONGC looks to hir RIL's ununtilised pr re roduction Gitan njali Gems 381.15 393.65 3.28% CESC C 330.6 339.05 2.56% s facilities Emam mi-$ 516.95 529.55 2.44% • State B Bank of India (SBI), wh hich is dealing with Gujarat Mnrl 208.8 213.9 2.44% abnormal levels of NPAs at 4.9 per cent, thinks the 9 (BSE Mid-Cap) E worst is over when it comes to asset qua s n t ality. The Previous Current Change Company Name NPA position would currently stay flattis and is d sh Close(`) Price(`) (%) Kirlos skar Oil 169.4 180.5 6.55% expecte to contin ed nue like this for the next 3-4 Enginnes DBR REALTY 111.45 117 4.98% quarters as quantu s um of new loans turning NPAs Tulip Telecom p 42.55 44.6 4.82% seems t be comin down, sai R Venkatachalam, to ng id ABG Shipyard 360 375.7 4.36% TVS Motor 40.95 42.7 4.27% deputy managing d director and chief risk officer of d the bank. TOP LOSERS L • Oil and Natural G d Gas Corp (ONGC) on Sunday (BSE A-Group) inaugur rated a Rs 6,060-cro s ore facility on the Previous Current Change Company Name Close(`) Price(`) (%) country’s biggest oil field to replace a massive Exide Inds e 162.7 148.35 -8.82% platform that was gutted in a devasta m s ating fire India Hotels an 70.2 66.35 -5.48% seven years ago, k y killing 22 pe eople and co osting its Jet Air India 372.5 354.95 -4.71% Jain Irrigation 73.45 70.65 -3.81% then chairman Subir Raha his j job. Relia ance Cap 454.95 440.4 -3.20% (BSE Mid-Cap) E • To cash in on the h healthcare s service oppo ortunities Previous Current Change in diab betes mana agement across the country, Company Name Close(`) Price(`) (%) Apollo H Hospitals En nterprise Ltd (AHEL) is planning d Ecler Serv rx 803.3 734.3 -8.59% to set up standalo one diabete clinics under the es India Hotels an 70.2 66.35 -5.48% HMT 47.8 45.5 -4.81% brand, Sugar Clinic, which i currently housed is y Jet Air India 372.5 354.95 -4.71% inside it existing h ts hospitals. HATH HWAY CAB 242.85 232.9 -4.10% Keyno Capitals Research ote (research h@keynotecapitals.net) (+9122-3026 66000)
  • 3.       India and Global Economic C Calendar Cou untries / Monday Tuesd day Wednesday W Reg gions 22/Oct 23/Oct 24/Oct India Markit Ma anufacturing PMI g US Pres sidential Deb bate (Oct) Rich hmond Fed New Hom Sales (Mo me oM) Mannufacturing Index (Oct) I (Sep) Fed Interest Rate Dec cision (Oct 24) UK Nationnwide Housin ng nada Retail S Can Sales (MoM) China HSBC Manufact turing Global Prices n.s.a (YoY) (Sep p) (Aug) PMI (Oct) Euro Markit Manufact turing PMI (Oct) Euro ECB President M B Mario Draghi Visits German ny KEYNOTE CAPITALS LTD. E The Ruby, 9th Floor, Senapati Ba , S apat Marg, Dadar (W), M D Mumbai – 40 028 00 Tel. : +912 22-30266000 0 • www.ke eynotecapita als.com Disclaim mer: This repo is purely for informatio purpose an is based on public infor ort f on nd o rmation. News content is a attributable to o various media, unles specified ot s ss therwise. All m market related statistical da pertains to the immedia d ata o ately preceding trading dayy, unless stated otherw wise. Neither the information nor any opin nion expresse in this repo constitutes an offer, or a invitation to ed ort an o make an offer, to bu or sell the s a uy securities menntioned herein We or any o our directors, officers or employees sh n. of hall not in any y way be responsible for any loss a e arising from th use of this report. Inves he s stors are advi ised to apply their own jud dgment before e acting o the conten of this repo The report has not been edited due t time constraints. on nts ort. t n to