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India Morning Note
    a       g
Tues
   sday, June 2 2012
              26,

Dom
  mestic Mark
            kets Snapsh
                      hot                                  Views on markets t
                                                                            today
 Nam of Index
   me                   Jun 22       Jun 25   Change (%)
                                                       )   • India markets fell for a second con
                                                                 an                                nsecutive se
                                                                                                              ession
                                                             yestterday as Reeserve Bank of India's announcement of
                                                                                        k           a
 Sensex             16,972.51     16,882.16     -0.53%
                                                             meaasures to a  attract grea
                                                                                        ater foreign investme
                                                                                                    n         ent in
 CNX Nifty
   X                  5,146.05     5,114.65     -0.61%
                                                             goveernment bo onds and inncrease in the total am
                                                                                                    t         mount
 BSE Mid-cap          6,010.21     6,008.46     -0.03%       that Indian commpanies can borrow by way of external
                                                                                        n          y
 BSE IT               5,663.69     5,625.99     -0.67%       commercial borrowing (EC   CB), fell sh
                                                                                                   hort of inve
                                                                                                              estors'
 BSE Banks          11,561.05     11,442.55     -1.02%       expeectations. In
                                                                             nvestors had hoped for more structural
FII A
    Activity                                     (`Cr)       reforrms from th Finance Minister to boost long
                                                                             he                               g-term
                                                             foreiign investm
                                                                            ments or central bank steps such as
                                                                                                    k
 Date
    e                     Buy          Sell        Net       targeting dollar demand fr
                                                                             r          rom oil companies that were
                                                                                                              t
 22-Jun                 1,322         1,442        -119      expeected to hav had a big
                                                                             ve         gger impact t.
 21-Jun                 1,525         1,764        -239    • Wea akness in world sto  ocks also hit sent   timent
 Tota Jun
    al                 29,598        29,314        284       adveersely. Woorld stocks dropped yesterday as
                                                                                      s
 2012 YTD             312,632      270,409       42222       investors grew concerned t
                                                                                      that a key European su
                                                                                                 E         ummit
                                                             later this week to deal w
                                                                 r         k          with the onngoing euro
                                                                                                           o-zone
MF A
   Activity                                       (`Cr)
                                                             debt crisis may not come up with strong measures to
                                                                 t         y
 Date
    e                     Buy          Sell        Net       reso
                                                                olve euro-zone debt woe
                                                                                      es.
 22-Jun                   300          455         -155    • Tata Steel fell 0
                                                                a            0.94% as Cr redit Suisse downgrade the
                                                                                                               ed
 21-Jun                   439          459          -21      stock to "un    nderperformm" from "neutral," while
 Tota Jun
    al                  6,767         6,382        384       mainntaining its target price at `340, saying valua
                                                                                         e           s         ations
 2012 YTD              60,631        66,713       -6083      are no longer "supportive But Reliance Indu
                                                                                         e."                  ustries
                                                             rose 0.73% after Moody's said the long
                                                                e                                             g-term
Volu
   ume & Adva
            ances / Dec
                      clines
                                                             fund
                                                                damentals o the company remain intact de
                                                                             of                                espite
                                      NSE          BSE       weak macro out   tlook.
 Trad
    ding Volume (Cr)                57.17         20.33    • Markket breadth was how
                                                                            h           wever margginally strong at
 Turn
    nover (`Cr)                     8,725         1,917      ~1.006x as inves
                                                                            stors bough small and mid cap stocks.
                                                                                        ht        d
 Advances                             775         1,420      On provisiona al basis, both FIIs and dom        mestic
 Declines                             693         1,334      institutions boought equities worth `1.53bn and
                                                                                                  h
 Unchanged                             86          125       `0.26bn, respecctively in cash segment
                                                                                                  t.
 Tota
    al                              1,554         2,879    • Asian markets a trading lower this morning. Nik
                                                                            are                   m          kkei is
                                                             trading weak to a one-week low on gro
                                                                            o                      owing conce
                                                                                                             erns a
Glob Markets
   bal
                                                             Euroopean leade summit this week will fail to make
                                                                            ers
 Inde
    ex                     Late Values
                              est             Change (%)
                                                       )     any significant progress in tackling the region's debt
                                                                                        n         t          s
 DJIA
    A                            12,502.66      -1.09%       crisis. Hang Sen is also tra
                                                                            ng          ading lower
                                                                                                  r.
 NAS
   SDAQ                           2,836.16      -1.95%     • We expect that Indian markets will open flat to lower
                                                                            t
 Nikk *
    kei                           8,690.92      -0.50%       track
                                                                 king weak Asian markets. Mark    kets will re
                                                                                                             emain
 Hang Seng *                     18,884.64      -0.07%       volatile ahead o expiry of F&O contract.
                                                                            of
* as o 8.25AM IST
     of
                                                           Econom and Cor
                                                                mic     rporate Dev
                                                                                  velopments
                                                                                           s
                                                           • Montek Singh AAhluwalia has said tha India will soon
                                                                                                at
Curr
   rencies / Co
              ommodities Snapshot
                       s
                                                                           easures apa from what has also been
                                                             see a set of me           art
                                    Latest     Previous
                                                             annoounced, particularly, o impleme
                                                                                       on       entation of large
                                    Quote         Close
                                                             proje
                                                                 ects on which the Prim Minister has set up new
                                                                                       me       r          p
 Indian Rupee per $                  56.96        57.12
                                                             mechanism to mmove things faster.
                                                                                       s
 Indian Rupee per €                  71.21        71.60
                                                           • Moody's Investo Service maintained a stable ou
                                                                           ors                 d          utlook
 NYM
   MEX Crude Oil($/bbl)              79.18        79.21
                                                             on India, but w
                                                                           warned lowe growth. Higher exp
                                                                                     er                  penses
 Gold ($/oz)
    d                             1,585.10     1,587.60      compared to r revenues aand stress in the ba anking
 Silve ($/oz)
     er                              27.40        27.52      systeem could lead to downward pressure on the
                                                                                               p          n
                                                             ratin
                                                                 ng.

Keyn
   note Capitals Research
                        h                      (reseaarch@keyno otecapitals.net)             (+91222-3026600  00)
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TOP GAINERS                                          Buzzin Stocks
                                                          ng
(BSE A-Group)
   E                                                 •   C&C Construct
                                                            C          tions got a `151Cr or rder from Ircon
                    Previous   Currennt   Change         International for constrruction of a bridge in e
 Com
   mpany Name
            e
                    Close(`
                          `)   Price(`
                                     `)      (%)         Rajaasthan. The company h received an order f
                                                                       e          has                    from
 Man
   nappuram Fin
              n       24.60
                          0      27.15     10.37         Ircon International for construction of road over
 Sun TV Network      280.45
                          5     292.25      4.21         bridge and its approach  hes as per specification,
 JPINFRATEC           49.00
                          0      50.95      3.98         drawwing and design, mainntaining all quality control
 Woc
   ckhardt           868.85
                          5     900.20      3.61         stan
                                                            ndards.
 L&T Finance
   T                  42.05
                          5      43.40      3.21     •   The government has aske Reliance Industries Ltd
                                                                                   ed           e       s
(BSE Mid-Cap)
   E                                                     (RIL to sign agreement to incre
                                                            L)                    ts           ease supply of
                                                                                                         y
                                                         natu
                                                            ural gas from KG-D6 fie
                                                                                  elds to urea manufactu
                                                                                               a        uring
                    Previous   Currennt   Change         unit of Iffco an Indo Gulf Fertilizer Ltd.
                                                            ts          nd        f
 Com
   mpany Name
            e
                    Close(`
                          `)   Price(`
                                     `)      (%)
 Man
   nappuram Fin
              n       24.60      27.15     10.37     •   The proposed m merger betw ween Sesa Goa and Ste
                                                                                              G         erlite
 Educomp Sol         157.60     167.05       6.00           ustries (India), aimed a creating a mega nat
                                                         Indu                       at                  tural
 Tulip Telecom
     p               113.65     119.35       5.02        reso
                                                            ources firm, on Monday moved a step ahead with
                                                                                    y         s
 Jagr
    ran Prakashan
                n     86.80      90.40       4.15        both the Ve
                                                            h           edanta Gro  oup firms’ shareholders
                                                                                              ’
                                                         favo
                                                            ouring the reesolution.
 JPINFRATEC           49.00      50.95       3.98
                                                     •   Sun TV Netwo   ork has prroposed to spend aro   ound
TOP LOSERS                                               `200 as capit expendit
                                                             0Cr        tal       ture (capex) for the cur
                                                                                             )           rrent
                                                         financial year, which include upgradding equipm ment
(BSE A-Group)
   E
                                                         and on programmming operations.
                    Previous   Currennt   Change
 Com
   mpany Name
            e                                        •   Fort Healthca will be in focus as reports sug
                                                            tis      are                             ggest
                    Close(`
                          `)   Price(`
                                     `)      (%)
 Adani Enter         219.35
                          5     211.40
                                     0      -3.62        the company i eyeing a 26% stake in renew
                                                                      is                             wable
 Relia
     ance Power      102.45
                          5      99.50
                                     0      -2.88        energy compaanies throu
                                                                               ugh its su ubsidiary FFortis
 Hero MotoCorp
    o               2084.50
                          0    2027.75
                                     5      -2.72
                                                         Malh
                                                            har.
 India Bank
     an              180.00
                          0     175.25
                                     5      -2.64    US markets
 Gras
    sim Inds        2527.70
                          0    2463.75
                                     5      -2.53    US markets droppped more thhan 1% on worries over the
                                                                                           w          r
                                                     effect of the Euuropean de  ebt crisis on the gl lobal
(BSE Mid-Cap)
   E
                                                     econom Dow Jo
                                                           my.       ones Industrial Average fell 1.09% or
                                                                                            e         %
                    Previous   Currennt   Change     138.12 points at 12502.66. Nasdaq Composite s
                                                           2                               C          shed
 Com
   mpany Name
            e
                    Close(`
                          `)   Price(`
                                     `)      (%)
                                                     1.95% or 56.26 ppoints at 28836.16. Sta
                                                                                           andard & Pooor's
 Hind
    dustan Oil       133.70     127.75      -4.45
                                                     500 slipped 1.6% or 21.3 poin at 1313.
                                                                                 nts        .72.
 WAB
   BCO India        1590.30    1538.10      -3.28
 India Infoline
     a                63.75      62.00      -2.75
 Radico Khaitan      118.30     115.35      -2.49
 Balk
    krishna Inds     258.20     252.05      -2.38




Keyn
   note Capitals Research
                        h                   (resea
                                                 arch@keyno
                                                          otecapitals.net)              (+912
                                                                                            22-3026600
                                                                                                     00)
 



                                                                                                                                     




                                                                                                                                     




 India and Globa Economic Calendar
     a         al       c

    Countries /             Tue
                              esday                   Wed
                                                        dnesday                   Th
                                                                                   hursday                     Friday

   Reg
     gions                    26
                               6-Jun                     27
                                                          7-Jun                     28-Jun
                                                                                    2                          29-Jun

   Ind
     dia                                        Money Su
                                                       upply                                           Forex Reserves Data
                                                                                                             R

                                                                                                       Bank Lo
                                                                                                             oan Growth




   US                S&P/Case-
                             -Shiller           Durable G
                                                        Goods order
                                                                  r        Gross Do
                                                                                  omestic              Core Pe
                                                                                                             ersonal
                     Home Pric Indices
                             ce                                            Product Annualized          Consummption
                     (YoY)                                                 (Q1)                        Expenditure - Price
                                                                                                                         e
                                                                                                       Index (Y
                                                                                                              YoY & MoM) )

                     Consumerr                                             Initial Job
                                                                                     bless Claims      Personaal
                     Confidenc
                             ce                                            (Jun 23)                    Consummption
                                                                                                       Expenditure - Price
                                                                                                                         e
                                                                                                              YoY & MoM)
                                                                                                       Index (Y          )

                                                                                                       Persona
                                                                                                             al
                                                                                                       Income(MoM);
                                                                                                       Chicago Purchasing
                                                                                                             o          g
                                                                                                       Manageers' Index

   Glo
     obal            UK's Public Sector         Germany CPI Data
                                                      y                    EUROPEA COUNCIL
                                                                                 AN                    Euro Zo
                                                                                                             one EU
                     Net Borrowwing                                        MEETING
                                                                                 G                     Econom Summit &
                                                                                                             mic
                                                                                                       Europea Council
                                                                                                              an
                                                                                                       Meeting
                                                                                                             g

                                                Japan's                    UK CURR
                                                                                 RENT                  Japan Construction
                                                                                                             C          n
                                                manufact  turingPMI &      ACCOUN (Q1)
                                                                                 NT                    Orders (YoY) &
                                                retail trad data
                                                          de                                           Housing Starts (YoY
                                                                                                             g           Y)

                                                                           UK Gross Domestic
                                                                                   s
                                                                           Product (YoY)




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                                              NOTE CAPITTALS LTD.
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Disclaiimer: This re
                   eport is purely for informa ation purpose and is bassed on public information News cont
                                                                                    c             n.          tent is attribu
                                                                                                                            utable to
various media, unle specified otherwise. A market related statistic data perta
                    ess                       All                      cal          ains to the im
                                                                                                 mmediately preceding trad  ding day,
unless stated other
      s             rwise. Neithe the informa
                                 er           ation nor any opinion expressed in this report constitutes an off
                                                          y                         s                         fer, or an invitation to
make an offer, to bbuy or sell the securities m
                                              mentioned he erein. We or any of our directors, offic
                                                                                                  cers or emplo
                                                                                                              oyees shall not in any
way be responsible for any loss arising from the use of this report. Investors are advised to apply their own judgmen before
       e            e             s           m                                     e                         o             nt
acting on the conteents of this re
                                 eport. The rep
                                              port has not been edited due to time c
                                                                       d            constraints.

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Keynote capitals india morning note jun 26-'12

  • 1.       India Morning Note a g Tues sday, June 2 2012 26, Dom mestic Mark kets Snapsh hot Views on markets t today Nam of Index me Jun 22 Jun 25 Change (%) ) • India markets fell for a second con an nsecutive se ession yestterday as Reeserve Bank of India's announcement of k a Sensex 16,972.51 16,882.16 -0.53% meaasures to a attract grea ater foreign investme n ent in CNX Nifty X 5,146.05 5,114.65 -0.61% goveernment bo onds and inncrease in the total am t mount BSE Mid-cap 6,010.21 6,008.46 -0.03% that Indian commpanies can borrow by way of external n y BSE IT 5,663.69 5,625.99 -0.67% commercial borrowing (EC CB), fell sh hort of inve estors' BSE Banks 11,561.05 11,442.55 -1.02% expeectations. In nvestors had hoped for more structural FII A Activity (`Cr) reforrms from th Finance Minister to boost long he g-term foreiign investm ments or central bank steps such as k Date e Buy Sell Net targeting dollar demand fr r rom oil companies that were t 22-Jun 1,322 1,442 -119 expeected to hav had a big ve gger impact t. 21-Jun 1,525 1,764 -239 • Wea akness in world sto ocks also hit sent timent Tota Jun al 29,598 29,314 284 adveersely. Woorld stocks dropped yesterday as s 2012 YTD 312,632 270,409 42222 investors grew concerned t that a key European su E ummit later this week to deal w r k with the onngoing euro o-zone MF A Activity (`Cr) debt crisis may not come up with strong measures to t y Date e Buy Sell Net reso olve euro-zone debt woe es. 22-Jun 300 455 -155 • Tata Steel fell 0 a 0.94% as Cr redit Suisse downgrade the ed 21-Jun 439 459 -21 stock to "un nderperformm" from "neutral," while Tota Jun al 6,767 6,382 384 mainntaining its target price at `340, saying valua e s ations 2012 YTD 60,631 66,713 -6083 are no longer "supportive But Reliance Indu e." ustries rose 0.73% after Moody's said the long e g-term Volu ume & Adva ances / Dec clines fund damentals o the company remain intact de of espite NSE BSE weak macro out tlook. Trad ding Volume (Cr) 57.17 20.33 • Markket breadth was how h wever margginally strong at Turn nover (`Cr) 8,725 1,917 ~1.006x as inves stors bough small and mid cap stocks. ht d Advances 775 1,420 On provisiona al basis, both FIIs and dom mestic Declines 693 1,334 institutions boought equities worth `1.53bn and h Unchanged 86 125 `0.26bn, respecctively in cash segment t. Tota al 1,554 2,879 • Asian markets a trading lower this morning. Nik are m kkei is trading weak to a one-week low on gro o owing conce erns a Glob Markets bal Euroopean leade summit this week will fail to make ers Inde ex Late Values est Change (%) ) any significant progress in tackling the region's debt n t s DJIA A 12,502.66 -1.09% crisis. Hang Sen is also tra ng ading lower r. NAS SDAQ 2,836.16 -1.95% • We expect that Indian markets will open flat to lower t Nikk * kei 8,690.92 -0.50% track king weak Asian markets. Mark kets will re emain Hang Seng * 18,884.64 -0.07% volatile ahead o expiry of F&O contract. of * as o 8.25AM IST of Econom and Cor mic rporate Dev velopments s • Montek Singh AAhluwalia has said tha India will soon at Curr rencies / Co ommodities Snapshot s easures apa from what has also been see a set of me art Latest Previous annoounced, particularly, o impleme on entation of large Quote Close proje ects on which the Prim Minister has set up new me r p Indian Rupee per $ 56.96 57.12 mechanism to mmove things faster. s Indian Rupee per € 71.21 71.60 • Moody's Investo Service maintained a stable ou ors d utlook NYM MEX Crude Oil($/bbl) 79.18 79.21 on India, but w warned lowe growth. Higher exp er penses Gold ($/oz) d 1,585.10 1,587.60 compared to r revenues aand stress in the ba anking Silve ($/oz) er 27.40 27.52 systeem could lead to downward pressure on the p n ratin ng. Keyn note Capitals Research h (reseaarch@keyno otecapitals.net) (+91222-3026600 00) Keyynote Capita Research is also available on als h Bloo omberg KNTE <GO>, Tho E omson One A Analytics, Re euters Knowwledge, Capit IQ, TheMa tal arkets.com and securitie a es.com Keynote Capitals Institu utional Resea arch - winner of “India’s Best IPO Analyst Award 2009” by MCX-Zee Business To unsubsc cribe from th mailing lis please reply to unsub his st, bscribe@keyynotecapitals s.net
  • 2.       TOP GAINERS Buzzin Stocks ng (BSE A-Group) E • C&C Construct C tions got a `151Cr or rder from Ircon Previous Currennt Change International for constrruction of a bridge in e Com mpany Name e Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) Rajaasthan. The company h received an order f e has from Man nappuram Fin n 24.60 0 27.15 10.37 Ircon International for construction of road over Sun TV Network 280.45 5 292.25 4.21 bridge and its approach hes as per specification, JPINFRATEC 49.00 0 50.95 3.98 drawwing and design, mainntaining all quality control Woc ckhardt 868.85 5 900.20 3.61 stan ndards. L&T Finance T 42.05 5 43.40 3.21 • The government has aske Reliance Industries Ltd ed e s (BSE Mid-Cap) E (RIL to sign agreement to incre L) ts ease supply of y natu ural gas from KG-D6 fie elds to urea manufactu a uring Previous Currennt Change unit of Iffco an Indo Gulf Fertilizer Ltd. ts nd f Com mpany Name e Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) Man nappuram Fin n 24.60 27.15 10.37 • The proposed m merger betw ween Sesa Goa and Ste G erlite Educomp Sol 157.60 167.05 6.00 ustries (India), aimed a creating a mega nat Indu at tural Tulip Telecom p 113.65 119.35 5.02 reso ources firm, on Monday moved a step ahead with y s Jagr ran Prakashan n 86.80 90.40 4.15 both the Ve h edanta Gro oup firms’ shareholders ’ favo ouring the reesolution. JPINFRATEC 49.00 50.95 3.98 • Sun TV Netwo ork has prroposed to spend aro ound TOP LOSERS `200 as capit expendit 0Cr tal ture (capex) for the cur ) rrent financial year, which include upgradding equipm ment (BSE A-Group) E and on programmming operations. Previous Currennt Change Com mpany Name e • Fort Healthca will be in focus as reports sug tis are ggest Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) Adani Enter 219.35 5 211.40 0 -3.62 the company i eyeing a 26% stake in renew is wable Relia ance Power 102.45 5 99.50 0 -2.88 energy compaanies throu ugh its su ubsidiary FFortis Hero MotoCorp o 2084.50 0 2027.75 5 -2.72 Malh har. India Bank an 180.00 0 175.25 5 -2.64 US markets Gras sim Inds 2527.70 0 2463.75 5 -2.53 US markets droppped more thhan 1% on worries over the w r effect of the Euuropean de ebt crisis on the gl lobal (BSE Mid-Cap) E econom Dow Jo my. ones Industrial Average fell 1.09% or e % Previous Currennt Change 138.12 points at 12502.66. Nasdaq Composite s 2 C shed Com mpany Name e Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) 1.95% or 56.26 ppoints at 28836.16. Sta andard & Pooor's Hind dustan Oil 133.70 127.75 -4.45 500 slipped 1.6% or 21.3 poin at 1313. nts .72. WAB BCO India 1590.30 1538.10 -3.28 India Infoline a 63.75 62.00 -2.75 Radico Khaitan 118.30 115.35 -2.49 Balk krishna Inds 258.20 252.05 -2.38 Keyn note Capitals Research h (resea arch@keyno otecapitals.net) (+912 22-3026600 00)
  • 3.       India and Globa Economic Calendar a al c Countries / Tue esday Wed dnesday Th hursday Friday Reg gions 26 6-Jun 27 7-Jun 28-Jun 2 29-Jun Ind dia Money Su upply Forex Reserves Data R Bank Lo oan Growth US S&P/Case- -Shiller Durable G Goods order r Gross Do omestic Core Pe ersonal Home Pric Indices ce Product Annualized Consummption (YoY) (Q1) Expenditure - Price e Index (Y YoY & MoM) ) Consumerr Initial Job bless Claims Personaal Confidenc ce (Jun 23) Consummption Expenditure - Price e YoY & MoM) Index (Y ) Persona al Income(MoM); Chicago Purchasing o g Manageers' Index Glo obal UK's Public Sector Germany CPI Data y EUROPEA COUNCIL AN Euro Zo one EU Net Borrowwing MEETING G Econom Summit & mic Europea Council an Meeting g Japan's UK CURR RENT Japan Construction C n manufact turingPMI & ACCOUN (Q1) NT Orders (YoY) & retail trad data de Housing Starts (YoY g Y) UK Gross Domestic s Product (YoY) KEYN NOTE CAPITTALS LTD. The Rub 9th Floo Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumba – 400 028 by, or, ai 8 Tel. : +9 9122-30266 6000 • www w.keynotec capitals.com m Disclaiimer: This re eport is purely for informa ation purpose and is bassed on public information News cont c n. tent is attribu utable to various media, unle specified otherwise. A market related statistic data perta ess All cal ains to the im mmediately preceding trad ding day, unless stated other s rwise. Neithe the informa er ation nor any opinion expressed in this report constitutes an off y s fer, or an invitation to make an offer, to bbuy or sell the securities m mentioned he erein. We or any of our directors, offic cers or emplo oyees shall not in any way be responsible for any loss arising from the use of this report. Investors are advised to apply their own judgmen before e e s m e o nt acting on the conteents of this re eport. The rep port has not been edited due to time c d constraints.