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India Morning Note
    a       g
Tues
   sday, June 1 2012
              12,

Dom
  mestic Mark
            kets Snapsh
                      hot                                  Views on markets t
                                                                            today
                                                           • India markets snapped f
                                                                 an                      five-day win
                                                                                                    nning streak and
 Nam of Index
   me                    Jun 8       Jun 11   Change (%)
                                                       )
                                                             close on nega
                                                                  ed        ative note y yesterday affter global rating
 Sensex             16,718.87     16,668.01     -0.30%
                                                             agenncy Standard & Poor' warned that India could
                                                                                          's
 CNX Nifty
   X                  5,068.35     5,054.10     -0.28%       becoome the fir BRIC nation to lose its investment-
                                                                            rst                     e
 BSE Mid-cap          5,988.21     5,976.48     -0.20%       grad rating if the South A
                                                                 de                      Asian country doesn't r revive
 BSE IT               5,617.05     5,613.88     -0.06%       its growth and push the p
                                                                 g                       pedal on refforms. The S&P’s
 BSE Banks          11,513.80     11,462.48     -0.45%       repo sparked profit-taking after Indian stocks p
                                                                 ort                                            posted
                                                             their best week gain of th year last week. That rally
                                                                 r          kly           he         t
FII A
    Activity                                     (`Cr)
                                                             had been fuelle by hopes the Reser
                                                                             ed           s         rve Bank of India
                                                                                                                f
 Date
    e                     Buy          Sell        Net       would cut inte erest rates and by th governm
                                                                                                    he          ment's
 08-Jun                 1,779         1,498        280       prommise to kicks
                                                                             start infrast
                                                                                         tructure pro
                                                                                                    ojects.
 07-Jun                 2,740         2,000        741     • Investors are wwaiting for a critical data in co
                                                                                                            oming
 Tota Jun
    al                 12,407        12,559        -152      weeks for Indian markets Industria output is due
                                                                                       s.         al        s
 2012 YTD             295,441      253,654       41786       toda followed by inflatio date on Thursday, which
                                                                ay,        d          on
                                                             could lead to a
                                                                           adjustments in rate cut expectatio
                                                                                      s            t        ons in
MF A
   Activity                                       (`Cr)      the RBI meeting on 18th Ju
                                                                 R         g          une.
 Date
    e                     Buy          Sell        Net     • Vide
                                                                eocon Indusstries and BPCL rose after Ana
                                                                                                        adarko
 07-Jun                   285          280            5          oleum Corp says it has found significant gas
                                                             Petro
 06-Jun                   831          361         470       rese
                                                                erves off th coast o Mozamb
                                                                           he        of       bique. BPCL and
                                                                                                         L
 Tota Jun
    al                  2,508         1,685        823       Vide
                                                                eocon own 1
                                                                          10% each in the Mozam
                                                                                     n        mbique block
                                                                                                         k.
 2012 YTD              56,372        62,016       -5644    • Powe generatio companies rose for the third straight
                                                                 er           on
                                                             day as Prime Minister laid out ambitio
                                                                                                  ous infrastru
                                                                                                              ucture
Volu
   ume & Adva
            ances / Dec
                      clines                                 deveelopment plans for the current fiscal year which
                                                                                                  f
                                      NSE          BSE       inclu
                                                                 udes plans to add a r record 18,0000MW of p  power
 Trad
    ding Volume (Cr)                72.28         18.59      capaacity this ye
                                                                             ear.
 Turn
    nover (`Cr)                     9,620         1,971    • Markket breadth was posit
                                                                             h           tive at ~1.15x as inve
                                                                                                              estors
 Advances                             769         1,447      boug mid and small cap stocks. On provisional basis,
                                                                 ght         d
                                                             FIIs bought e    equity of `1.30bn while dom     mestic
 Declines                             693         1,260
                                                             institutions sold equity of `
                                                                             d           `2.15bn in cash segmen
                                                                                                              nt.
 Unchanged                             94          144
                                                           • Asian shares fe today, a issues ov
                                                                           ell      as          ver Spain’s bank
 Tota
    al                              1,556         2,851
                                                             bailo gave wa to uncert
                                                                 out       ay       tainty over the details.
                                                                                                t
Glob Markets
   bal                                                     • We expect a gap down ope
                                                                 e                    ening for the Indian ma
                                                                                                  e         arkets,
 Inde
    ex                     Late Values
                              est             Change (%)
                                                       )     as worries rose over slowd
                                                                w                     down after S&P said tha the
                                                                                                  S          at
 DJIA
    A                            12,411.23      -1.14%       coun
                                                                ntry may lose its in  nvestment grade and thed
                                                             sent
                                                                timents over global maarkets is weak. The inve
                                                                                                             estors
 NAS
   SDAQ                           2,809.73      -1.70%
                                                             may keep a close watch on the IIP data to be released
                                                                y                      n
 Nikk *
    kei                           8,514.76      -1.28%
                                                             toda
                                                                ay.
 Hang Seng *                     18,792.10      -0.85%
                                                           Econom and Cor
                                                                mic     rporate Dev
                                                                                  velopments
                                                                                           s
* as o 8.25AM IST
     of
                                                           • Ratin
                                                                 ngs agency S&P said India may become the first
                                                                           y                                   e
Curr
   rencies / Co
              ommodities Snapshot
                       s                                     BRIC country to lose the in
                                                                C          o           nvestment grade rating S&P
                                                                                                   g          g.
                                    Latest     Previous      said that slow G
                                                                            GDP growth is pushing up the risk of a
                                                                                       h           g
                                    Quote         Close      rate cut. S&P ssaid the coountry's reaactions to s
                                                                                                              slower
 Indian Rupee per $                  55.69        55.42      grow and extent of vulne
                                                                wth                    erability to economic sshocks
 Indian Rupee per €                  69.44        69.31      could determine rating.
                                                                            e
 NYM
   MEX Crude Oil($/bbl)              81.79        82.70    • Dism
                                                                missing conc
                                                                           cerns that India's growth rate may drop
                                                                                                            y
 Gold ($/oz)
    d                             1,592.70     1,595.50      below 6.5%, Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee said
                                                                                                  b         e
 Silve ($/oz)
     er                              28.53        28.62      20122-13 would be the turnaround year for the
                                                                           d                      d
                                                             econ
                                                                nomy.


Keyn
   note Capitals Research
                        h                      (reseaarch@keyno otecapitals.net)             (+91222-3026600  00)
                                      Keyynote Capita Research is also available on
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Bloo
   omberg KNTE <GO>, Tho
               E             omson One A Analytics, Re
                                                     euters Knowwledge, Capit IQ, TheMa
                                                                             tal        arkets.com and securitie
                                                                                                   a           es.com
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TOP GAINERS                                          Buzzin Stocks
                                                          ng
(BSE A-Group)
   E                                                 • Vide
                                                          eocon and Philips are gearing up to usher in a
                                                                                             p
                    Previous   Currennt   Change       new regime wi
                                                         w            ith new mo  odels that can receive and
                                                                                             c
 Com
   mpany Name
            e
                    Close(`
                          `)   Price(`
                                     `)      (%)          adcast TV signals witho a set-top box, though a
                                                       broa                       out
 Volt
    tas              104.15
                          5     108.15      3.84       debate over th preparedness of cab operator to
                                                                     he                      ble          rs
 Vide
    eocon Inds       169.55
                          5     175.00      3.21       migrate to digit
                                                                      tisation from July 1 continues to ra
                                                                                  m                      age.
 Synd
    dicate Bank       96.90
                          0      99.65      2.84     • The two companies are launching light-emit
                                                                                 e          g           tting
 Lanc Infra
    co                13.28
                          8      13.65      2.79       diod (LED) TV that will eliminate the need f
                                                          de          Vs                               for a
 ADA POWER
   ANI                47.00
                          0      48.10      2.34       set-top box, a d
                                                                      device otheerwise neces
                                                                                            ssary to rec
                                                                                                       ceive
(BSE Mid-Cap)
   E                                                   digit signals in the new regime. This will be the
                                                           tal                   w          T          e
                                                       seco
                                                          ond time that Videocon will take a shot at this; it
                                                                                  n
                    Previous   Currennt   Change       had launched ‘Satellite TV almost five years ago,
                                                                                  Vs’
 Com
   mpany Name
            e
                    Close(`
                          `)   Price(`
                                     `)      (%)
                                                       but these didn’t work in the marketpla
                                                                                            ace.
 GVK Power
   K                  12.65      14.40     13.83
 KSK Energy
   K                  51.15      53.70       4.99    • Vedanta Aluminum Ltd (V   VAL) is plann
                                                                                             ning to buy the
                                                                                                        y
 Anant Raj Inds       47.35      49.55       4.65      pow
                                                         wer business undertak   king of Mad dras Aluminnium
 Volt
    tas              104.15     108.15       3.84      Commpany Ltd (Malco) fo an estimated `15
                                                                                  or                    50Cr.
                                                       Vedanta Group will subse
                                                                      p          equently me erge Malco with
 Raymond             369.25     382.65       3.63
                                                       Sesa Goa as pa of a larg amalgam
                                                           a           art       ger         mation scheeme,
TOP LOSERS                                             acco
                                                          ording to V VAL Group’s Sterlite In
                                                                                 s          ndustries (In
                                                                                                        ndia)
                                                       Ltd. Vedanta “ “shall pay t Malco a lump-sum cash
                                                                                 to
(BSE A-Group)
   E                                                   conssideration o around `
                                                                       of         `150Cr”, sa a note f
                                                                                            aid          from
                    Previous   Currennt   Change       Ster
                                                          rlite Industri
                                                                       ies.
 Com
   mpany Name
            e
                    Close(`
                          `)   Price(`
                                     `)      (%)
                                                     • Suzl
                                                          lon said tha the holders of the June tranch of
                                                                       at                   J        he
 Lupi
    in               546.10
                          0    524.45
                                    5       -3.96
                                                       FCC
                                                         CBs (foreign currency convertible bonds) h
                                                                       n                    e         have
 Sun TV Network      257.65
                          5    248.55
                                    5       -3.53
                                                       approved its p proposal for an extens
                                                                                 r         sion of maturity
 Unio Bank
    on               212.40
                          0    205.10
                                    0       -3.44
                                                       date until July 2
                                                          e            27.
 Havells India       562.70
                          0    544.55
                                    5       -3.23
                                                     US markets
 Pidil
     lite Inds       174.25
                          5    169.00
                                    0       -3.01
                                                     U.S. stocks drop
                                                           s         pped sharp  ply Monday as inves
                                                                                             y,        stors
(BSE Mid-Cap)
   E                                                 fretted coming events, includ
                                                           d                     ding election in Greece
                                                                                             ns        e.
                    Previous   Currennt   Change     The Do Jones Ind
                                                           ow         dustrial Ave
                                                                                 erage slid 14
                                                                                             42.97 point or
                                                                                                       ts,
 Com
   mpany Name
            e
                    Close(`
                          `)   Price(`
                                     `)      (%)
                                                     1.1%, at 12,411.2 The S&P 500 Index declined 16.73
                                                                      23.        P
 Pres
    stige Estates    122.20     115.15      -5.77
                                                     points, or 1.3%, at 1,308.93 The Nas
                                                                                  3.        sdaq Compo  osite
 COX KINGS
   X                 137.80     131.55      -4.54
                                                     Index slipped 48.6 points, or 1.7%, at 2,809.73.
                                                           s          69          r
 D B REALTY           89.70      85.90      -4.24
 Mon
   nnet Ispat        340.45     327.20      -3.89
 Delt Corp
    ta                65.85      63.30      -3.87




Keyn
   note Capitals Research
                        h                   (resea
                                                 arch@keyno
                                                          otecapitals.net)             (+912
                                                                                           22-3026600
                                                                                                    00)
 



                                                                                                                                     




                                                                                                                                     




 India and Globa Economic Calendar
     a         al       c
    Countries /             Tue
                              esday                   Wed
                                                        dnesday                   Th
                                                                                   hursday                     Friday

   Reg
     gions                    12-Jun                     13
                                                          3-Jun                     14-Jun
                                                                                    1                          15-Jun

   Ind
     dia             Index of In
                               ndustrial                                   WPI base Inflation
                                                                                   ed                  Forex Reserves Data
                                                                                                             R
                     Production (IIP) for
                               n                                           for the m
                                                                                   month of Ma
                                                                                             ay
                     April 2012
                              2                                            2012
                                                                                                       Bank Lo
                                                                                                             oan Growth




   US                Monthly budget             Retail Sales               Capacity utilization
                                                                                  y                    Industri Productio
                                                                                                               ial         on
                     statementt                                                                        (MoM), Capacity
                                                                                                       Utilization, Total Ne
                                                                                                                           et
                                                                                                       TIC Flowws
                                                Business Inventories
                                                                   s                                   NY Emp pire State
                                                                                                       Manufacturing Inde  ex



   Glo
     obal            UK industr
                              rial              Germany CPI Data
                                                      y                                                Euro Zo
                                                                                                             one
                     production
                              n                                                                        Employyment Chang  ge
                                                                                                       (YoY & QoQ) & Trad de
                                                                                                       Balance n.s.a
                                                                                                             e
                     UK Trade balance                                                                  UK Goods Trade
                                                                                                       Balance & Trade
                                                                                                             e
                                                                                                       Balance non- EU
                                                                                                             e;
                                                                                                       Japan BoJ Interest
                                                                                                             B
                                                                                                       Rate De
                                                                                                             ecision




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                                              NOTE CAPITTALS LTD.
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                   eport is purely for informa ation purpose and is bassed on public information News cont
                                                                                    c             n.          tent is attribu
                                                                                                                            utable to
various media, unle specified otherwise. A market related statistic data perta
                    ess                       All                      cal          ains to the im
                                                                                                 mmediately preceding trad  ding day,
unless stated other
      s             rwise. Neithe the informa
                                 er           ation nor any opinion expressed in this report constitutes an off
                                                          y                         s                         fer, or an invitation to
make an offer, to bbuy or sell the securities m
                                              mentioned he erein. We or any of our directors, offic
                                                                                                  cers or emplo
                                                                                                              oyees shall not in any
way be responsible for any loss arising from the use of this report. Investors are advised to apply their own judgmen before
       e            e             s           m                                     e                         o             nt
acting on the conteents of this re
                                 eport. The rep
                                              port has not been edited due to time c
                                                                       d            constraints.

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Keynote capitals india morning note jun 12-'12

  • 1.       India Morning Note a g Tues sday, June 1 2012 12, Dom mestic Mark kets Snapsh hot Views on markets t today • India markets snapped f an five-day win nning streak and Nam of Index me Jun 8 Jun 11 Change (%) ) close on nega ed ative note y yesterday affter global rating Sensex 16,718.87 16,668.01 -0.30% agenncy Standard & Poor' warned that India could 's CNX Nifty X 5,068.35 5,054.10 -0.28% becoome the fir BRIC nation to lose its investment- rst e BSE Mid-cap 5,988.21 5,976.48 -0.20% grad rating if the South A de Asian country doesn't r revive BSE IT 5,617.05 5,613.88 -0.06% its growth and push the p g pedal on refforms. The S&P’s BSE Banks 11,513.80 11,462.48 -0.45% repo sparked profit-taking after Indian stocks p ort posted their best week gain of th year last week. That rally r kly he t FII A Activity (`Cr) had been fuelle by hopes the Reser ed s rve Bank of India f Date e Buy Sell Net would cut inte erest rates and by th governm he ment's 08-Jun 1,779 1,498 280 prommise to kicks start infrast tructure pro ojects. 07-Jun 2,740 2,000 741 • Investors are wwaiting for a critical data in co oming Tota Jun al 12,407 12,559 -152 weeks for Indian markets Industria output is due s. al s 2012 YTD 295,441 253,654 41786 toda followed by inflatio date on Thursday, which ay, d on could lead to a adjustments in rate cut expectatio s t ons in MF A Activity (`Cr) the RBI meeting on 18th Ju R g une. Date e Buy Sell Net • Vide eocon Indusstries and BPCL rose after Ana adarko 07-Jun 285 280 5 oleum Corp says it has found significant gas Petro 06-Jun 831 361 470 rese erves off th coast o Mozamb he of bique. BPCL and L Tota Jun al 2,508 1,685 823 Vide eocon own 1 10% each in the Mozam n mbique block k. 2012 YTD 56,372 62,016 -5644 • Powe generatio companies rose for the third straight er on day as Prime Minister laid out ambitio ous infrastru ucture Volu ume & Adva ances / Dec clines deveelopment plans for the current fiscal year which f NSE BSE inclu udes plans to add a r record 18,0000MW of p power Trad ding Volume (Cr) 72.28 18.59 capaacity this ye ear. Turn nover (`Cr) 9,620 1,971 • Markket breadth was posit h tive at ~1.15x as inve estors Advances 769 1,447 boug mid and small cap stocks. On provisional basis, ght d FIIs bought e equity of `1.30bn while dom mestic Declines 693 1,260 institutions sold equity of ` d `2.15bn in cash segmen nt. Unchanged 94 144 • Asian shares fe today, a issues ov ell as ver Spain’s bank Tota al 1,556 2,851 bailo gave wa to uncert out ay tainty over the details. t Glob Markets bal • We expect a gap down ope e ening for the Indian ma e arkets, Inde ex Late Values est Change (%) ) as worries rose over slowd w down after S&P said tha the S at DJIA A 12,411.23 -1.14% coun ntry may lose its in nvestment grade and thed sent timents over global maarkets is weak. The inve estors NAS SDAQ 2,809.73 -1.70% may keep a close watch on the IIP data to be released y n Nikk * kei 8,514.76 -1.28% toda ay. Hang Seng * 18,792.10 -0.85% Econom and Cor mic rporate Dev velopments s * as o 8.25AM IST of • Ratin ngs agency S&P said India may become the first y e Curr rencies / Co ommodities Snapshot s BRIC country to lose the in C o nvestment grade rating S&P g g. Latest Previous said that slow G GDP growth is pushing up the risk of a h g Quote Close rate cut. S&P ssaid the coountry's reaactions to s slower Indian Rupee per $ 55.69 55.42 grow and extent of vulne wth erability to economic sshocks Indian Rupee per € 69.44 69.31 could determine rating. e NYM MEX Crude Oil($/bbl) 81.79 82.70 • Dism missing conc cerns that India's growth rate may drop y Gold ($/oz) d 1,592.70 1,595.50 below 6.5%, Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee said b e Silve ($/oz) er 28.53 28.62 20122-13 would be the turnaround year for the d d econ nomy. Keyn note Capitals Research h (reseaarch@keyno otecapitals.net) (+91222-3026600 00) Keyynote Capita Research is also available on als h Bloo omberg KNTE <GO>, Tho E omson One A Analytics, Re euters Knowwledge, Capit IQ, TheMa tal arkets.com and securitie a es.com Keynote Capitals Institu utional Resea arch - winner of “India’s Best IPO Analyst Award 2009” by MCX-Zee Business To unsubsc cribe from th mailing lis please reply to unsub his st, bscribe@keyynotecapitals s.net
  • 2.       TOP GAINERS Buzzin Stocks ng (BSE A-Group) E • Vide eocon and Philips are gearing up to usher in a p Previous Currennt Change new regime wi w ith new mo odels that can receive and c Com mpany Name e Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) adcast TV signals witho a set-top box, though a broa out Volt tas 104.15 5 108.15 3.84 debate over th preparedness of cab operator to he ble rs Vide eocon Inds 169.55 5 175.00 3.21 migrate to digit tisation from July 1 continues to ra m age. Synd dicate Bank 96.90 0 99.65 2.84 • The two companies are launching light-emit e g tting Lanc Infra co 13.28 8 13.65 2.79 diod (LED) TV that will eliminate the need f de Vs for a ADA POWER ANI 47.00 0 48.10 2.34 set-top box, a d device otheerwise neces ssary to rec ceive (BSE Mid-Cap) E digit signals in the new regime. This will be the tal w T e seco ond time that Videocon will take a shot at this; it n Previous Currennt Change had launched ‘Satellite TV almost five years ago, Vs’ Com mpany Name e Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) but these didn’t work in the marketpla ace. GVK Power K 12.65 14.40 13.83 KSK Energy K 51.15 53.70 4.99 • Vedanta Aluminum Ltd (V VAL) is plann ning to buy the y Anant Raj Inds 47.35 49.55 4.65 pow wer business undertak king of Mad dras Aluminnium Volt tas 104.15 108.15 3.84 Commpany Ltd (Malco) fo an estimated `15 or 50Cr. Vedanta Group will subse p equently me erge Malco with Raymond 369.25 382.65 3.63 Sesa Goa as pa of a larg amalgam a art ger mation scheeme, TOP LOSERS acco ording to V VAL Group’s Sterlite In s ndustries (In ndia) Ltd. Vedanta “ “shall pay t Malco a lump-sum cash to (BSE A-Group) E conssideration o around ` of `150Cr”, sa a note f aid from Previous Currennt Change Ster rlite Industri ies. Com mpany Name e Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) • Suzl lon said tha the holders of the June tranch of at J he Lupi in 546.10 0 524.45 5 -3.96 FCC CBs (foreign currency convertible bonds) h n e have Sun TV Network 257.65 5 248.55 5 -3.53 approved its p proposal for an extens r sion of maturity Unio Bank on 212.40 0 205.10 0 -3.44 date until July 2 e 27. Havells India 562.70 0 544.55 5 -3.23 US markets Pidil lite Inds 174.25 5 169.00 0 -3.01 U.S. stocks drop s pped sharp ply Monday as inves y, stors (BSE Mid-Cap) E fretted coming events, includ d ding election in Greece ns e. Previous Currennt Change The Do Jones Ind ow dustrial Ave erage slid 14 42.97 point or ts, Com mpany Name e Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) 1.1%, at 12,411.2 The S&P 500 Index declined 16.73 23. P Pres stige Estates 122.20 115.15 -5.77 points, or 1.3%, at 1,308.93 The Nas 3. sdaq Compo osite COX KINGS X 137.80 131.55 -4.54 Index slipped 48.6 points, or 1.7%, at 2,809.73. s 69 r D B REALTY 89.70 85.90 -4.24 Mon nnet Ispat 340.45 327.20 -3.89 Delt Corp ta 65.85 63.30 -3.87 Keyn note Capitals Research h (resea arch@keyno otecapitals.net) (+912 22-3026600 00)
  • 3.       India and Globa Economic Calendar a al c Countries / Tue esday Wed dnesday Th hursday Friday Reg gions 12-Jun 13 3-Jun 14-Jun 1 15-Jun Ind dia Index of In ndustrial WPI base Inflation ed Forex Reserves Data R Production (IIP) for n for the m month of Ma ay April 2012 2 2012 Bank Lo oan Growth US Monthly budget Retail Sales Capacity utilization y Industri Productio ial on statementt (MoM), Capacity Utilization, Total Ne et TIC Flowws Business Inventories s NY Emp pire State Manufacturing Inde ex Glo obal UK industr rial Germany CPI Data y Euro Zo one production n Employyment Chang ge (YoY & QoQ) & Trad de Balance n.s.a e UK Trade balance UK Goods Trade Balance & Trade e Balance non- EU e; Japan BoJ Interest B Rate De ecision KEYN NOTE CAPITTALS LTD. The Rub 9th Floo Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumba – 400 028 by, or, ai 8 Tel. : +9 9122-30266 6000 • www w.keynotec capitals.com m Disclaiimer: This re eport is purely for informa ation purpose and is bassed on public information News cont c n. tent is attribu utable to various media, unle specified otherwise. A market related statistic data perta ess All cal ains to the im mmediately preceding trad ding day, unless stated other s rwise. Neithe the informa er ation nor any opinion expressed in this report constitutes an off y s fer, or an invitation to make an offer, to bbuy or sell the securities m mentioned he erein. We or any of our directors, offic cers or emplo oyees shall not in any way be responsible for any loss arising from the use of this report. Investors are advised to apply their own judgmen before e e s m e o nt acting on the conteents of this re eport. The rep port has not been edited due to time c d constraints.