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India Morning Note
    a       g
Frida May 18, 2012
    ay,

Dom
  mestic Mark
            kets Snapsh
                      hot                                  Views on markets t
                                                                            today
 Nam of Index
   me                  May 16       May 17    Change (%)
                                                       )   • India
                                                                 an markets dropped after a positive tr
                                                                             s                              rading
 Sensex             16,030.09     16,070.48      0.25%       sess
                                                                sion till afte
                                                                             ernoon, as investors worried ove the
                                                                                                  w         er
 CNX Nifty
   X                  4,858.25     4,870.20      0.25%       euro zone situation and unfavo
                                                                o                                 orable dommestic
 BSE Mid-cap          5,879.42     5,880.57      0.02%       econnomic situation due to weak     kening induustrial
 BSE IT               5,512.94     5,510.75     -0.04%       prod
                                                                duction and high inflatio
                                                                                        on.
 BSE Banks          10,566.84     10,542.61     -0.23%     • Investors sold e equities afte taking th Sensex a
                                                                                          er         he         almost
FII A
    Activity                                     (`Cr)       210 points up in the mor     rning sessio as a wa
                                                                                                     on,        ave of
                                                             sellin pressure created o fall in Eu
                                                                  ng          e          on          uropean ma arkets.
 Date
    e                     Buy          Sell        Net
                                                             After touching a high of 16  6,240.18 duuring the day, the
 16-M
    May                 2,243         2,725        -482
                                                             Sens sex fell to a
                                                                              almost a ne egative of 16,008 level. The
                                                                                                     1
 15-M
    May                 1,834         1,970        -136
                                                             inde closed 40
                                                                ex           0.39 points u or 0.25% to 16,070
                                                                                          up,        %,         0.48.
 Tota May
    al                 24,055        24,222        -167
 2012 YTD             260,433      217,140       43295
                                                           • Investors were also on hold for Friday's ear
                                                                           e                    F           rnings
                                                             results from Sta Bank of India, Tata Steel and Coal
                                                                            ate       f                     d
MF A
   Activity                                       (`Cr)      India which wil help dete
                                                                 a,         ll       ermine direc
                                                                                                ction in the near-
 Date
    e                     Buy          Sell        Net       term
                                                                m.
 16-M
    May                   572          591          -19
                                                           • FMCG stocks edged higher afte     er the we
                                                                                                       eather
 15-M
    May                   550          358         192          artment fo
                                                             depa          orecast th  hat the 2012 Southwest
                                                                                               2
 Tota May
    al                  4,599         5,039        -441      Monsoon will ar
                                                                           rrive in time
                                                                                       e.
 2012 YTD              49,593        56,134       -6541
                                                           • Markket breadth was marg
                                                                             h           ginally lowe at ~0.98x as
                                                                                                    er
Volu
   ume & Adva
            ances / Dec
                      clines                                 investors sold mid and small cap stocks On
                                                                                        d           c         s.
                                      NSE          BSE       prov
                                                                visional bas            old equity of `0.1bn while
                                                                             sis, FIIs so
 Trad
    ding Volume (Cr)                58.01         17.02      dom             utions bought equity of `2.54bn in cash
                                                                mestic institu                      f         n
 Turn
    nover (`Cr)                     9,737         1,805      segmment.
 Advances                             736         1,340    • Asian markets declined ssharply tod
                                                                                               day, as Mo oody's
 Declines                             713         1,368      Ratin
                                                                 ngs Agency downgrade 16 Spanish banks raising
                                                                           y         ed
 Unchanged                             80          134       the concerns about the wider reach of the euro zone
                                                                                                          o
 Tota
    al                              1,529         2,842      prob
                                                                blems starte with Gree
                                                                           ed        ece.

Glob Markets
   bal                                                     • We expect a ga down ope
                                                                  e         ap           ening for th Indian ma
                                                                                                    he          arkets
 Inde
    ex                     Late Values
                              est             Change (%)
                                                       )     toda as trade may dum shares taking cues from
                                                                 ay,        ers         mp           t         s
                                                             the Asian ma   arkets. Wea  akness acr  ross the g global
 DJIA
    A                            12,442.49      -1.24%
                                                             markets is also indicated through weak euro which
                                                                             o                      w
 NAS
   SDAQ                           2,813.69      -2.10%
                                                             declined below crucial $1.2 levels. It would be a very
                                                                                         27         t
 Nikk *
    kei                           8,669.30      -2.34%
                                                             diffic
                                                                  cult for the RBI to stop rupee     e's deterioration
 Hang Seng *                     18,785.07      -2.17%       against dollar putting further pressure on the equ
                                                                                                    e          uities.
* as o 8.25AM IST
     of
                                                           Econom and Cor
                                                                mic     rporate Dev
                                                                                  velopments
                                                                                           s
Curr
   rencies / Co
              ommodities Snapshot
                       s
                                    Latest     Previous    • Colle
                                                                 ection of i
                                                                           indirect taxxes jumped by 10.4    4% to
                                    Quote         Close      `33,045Cr in th first mon
                                                                           he          nth of the current fisc on
                                                                                                             cal
 Indian Rupee per $                  54.35        54.34      the back of inc
                                                                           crease in eexcise duty and servic tax
                                                                                                             ce
 Indian Rupee per €                  68.96        69.11      rates The indi
                                                                 s.        irect tax— excise dut   ty, customs and
                                                                                                              s
 NYM
   MEX Crude Oil($/bbl)              92.68        92.56      serv
                                                                vice tax— co
                                                                           ollection had totalled `29,936Cr in April
                                                                                                  `          n
                                                             20111.
 Gold ($/oz)
    d                             1,575.50     1,574.90
 Silve ($/oz)
     er                              28.02        28.00



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   note Capitals Research
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TOP GAINERS                                        Buzzin Stocks
                                                        ng
(BSE A-Group)
   E                                               • Houusing Develo opment andd   Infrastruc
                                                                                            cture is clos to
                                                                                                        se
                  Previous   Currennt   Change       selling their 14-acre landd    in Bangaalore to Go odrej
 Com
   mpany Name
            e
                  Close(`
                        `)   Price(`
                                   `)      (%)       Propperties, the realty arm
                                                                               m   of the Goodrej group, for
 Astr
    razeneca Ph   1541.10
                        0    1849.30     20.00       arouund `100Cr according
                                                                    r,         g   to source close to the
                                                                                            es
 Dish TV India
    h               55.10
                        0      60.75     10.25       talks.
 Obe
   eroi Realty     238.40
                        0     249.80      4.78     • Goddrej Consummer Product will consider acquis
                                                                               ts                     sition
 Shriram Trans     480.35
                        5     502.30      4.57       opportunities to get into n
                                                                    o          new segmen nts, such as oral
 Alsto T&D
     om            140.75
                        5     146.95      4.40       care as it believes that getting into new verticals
                                                        e,                                 o
(BSE Mid-Cap)
   E                                                 thro
                                                        ough norma route wou be toug accordin to
                                                                   al          uld        gh,         ng
                                                     Chairman Adi Godrej. To get in into a totally new
                                                                                          o
                  Previous   Currennt   Change       cate
                                                        egory organnically would be a tough call, he said.
                                                                               d          h
 Com
   mpany Name
            e
                  Close(`
                        `)   Price(`
                                   `)      (%)
 Astr
    razeneca Ph   1541.10    1849.30     20.00     • Induustrial gas maker BO India, a part of L
                                                                                OC                Linde
 Dish TV India
    h               55.10      60.75     10.25       Grou in Germany, has sa that the possibility of a
                                                         up                      aid        e
 Prism Cement
     m              44.15      47.00       6.46      shar buyback is still ope with the company and
                                                         re         k            en         e
 Delt Corp
    ta              58.60      62.35       6.40      will take a decis
                                                                     sion on it be
                                                                                 efore June 2013.
                                                                                            2
 VST Inds
   T              1821.40    1930.00       5.96    • GMR Hyderab
                                                        R          bad Intern national Airport Lim
                                                                                          A          mited
                                                     (GHIAL), which runs the Rajiv Gandhi Internati
                                                                   h                                  ional
TOP LOSERS                                           Airp
                                                        port (RGIA) in Hyderabad, is expe ecting to ha
                                                                                                     andle
                                                     100,000 tonne of cargo wi ithin a year, according to a
(BSE A-Group)
   E
                                                     seniior compan official. The airpor has rece
                                                                   ny                      rt         ently
                  Previous   Currennt   Change       cros
                                                        ssed the 80,,000-tonne mark.
 Com
   mpany Name
            e
                  Close(`
                        `)   Price(`
                                   `)      (%)
 Volt
    tas            105.70
                        0      98.85
                                   5      -6.48    • Afte the government recently reaffirmed its ea
                                                        er                                            arlier
 Pant
    taloon Retl    140.35
                        5     132.00
                                   0      -5.95      decision to al llow Reliannce Power Ltd. to divert
 Cum
   mmins India     452.15
                        5     431.00
                                   0      -4.68
                                                     surp
                                                        plus coal f from its S Sasan projeect in Mad  dhya
                                                     Prad
                                                        desh for a nearby p   project, the company has
 Tech Mahindra
    h              636.95
                        5     607.40
                                   0      -4.64
                                                     aske the Com
                                                        ed         mptroller and Auditor General (CAG to
                                                                               d                      G)
 JUBL FOOD
    L             1179.20
                        0    1132.30
                                   0      -3.98
                                                     drop its observ
                                                        p           vations of ""undue bennefit" in a d
                                                                                                      draft
(BSE Mid-Cap)
   E                                                 audit report.
                  Previous   Currennt   Change     • Koutons Retail India plan to raise up to $200mn
                                                                             ns
 Com
   mpany Name
            e
                  Close(`
                        `)   Price(`
                                   `)      (%)          ound `1,090
                                                     (aro         0Cr) by issu
                                                                             uing prefere
                                                                                        ential share to
                                                                                                   es
 Volt
    tas            105.70      98.85      -6.48      prom
                                                        moters and others.
 Pant
    taloon Retl    140.35     132.00      -5.95
                                                   • DLF and Hary  yana Urban Developm
                                                                              n            ment Authority
 Blue Star
    e              184.25     176.10      -4.42
                                                        da) have joined hand to const
                                                     (Hud                    ds            truct a 16- -lane
 Birla Corp
     a             258.95     247.85      -4.29
                                                     road covering 8 km in Gu
                                                        d          8.3        urgaon at an investment of
 JUBL FOOD
    L             1179.20    1132.30      -3.98      up to `600Cr to ease heavy traffic flow in the city
                                                        t          o                       w           y.
                                                   US markets
                                                   US stoocks droppe sharply overnight, with the Dow
                                                                     ed
                                                   Jones contracted f an 11th out of 12 se
                                                         c           for                 essions, as euro
                                                   zone issues coupled with a a nega     ative gauge of
                                                                                                    e
                                                   manufaacturing in the Phila
                                                                    n        adelphia region added to
                                                                                                    d
                                                   worries for investo
                                                         s           ors.
                                                   The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 156.06
                                                        D
                                                   points, or 1.2%, to 12,544
                                                                            42.49, led by J.P. Morgan
                                                   Chase & Co. share down 4.3
                                                                   es,      3%.
                                                   The S& 500 Index lost 1
                                                         &P                 19.94 points, or 1.5% to
                                                                                                %,
                                                   1,304.8
                                                         86. The Na asdaq Composite declined 60.35 or
                                                                                                 5,
                                                   2.1%, to 2,813.69.
                                                         t



Keyn
   note Capitals Research
                        h                 (resea
                                               arch@keyno
                                                        otecapitals.net)              (+912
                                                                                          22-3026600
                                                                                                   00)
 



                                                                                                                                     




                                                                                                                                     




 India and Globa Economic Calendar
     a         al       c

    Countries /               Fri
                                iday                    Mo
                                                         onday                     Tu
                                                                                    uesday                  We
                                                                                                             ednesday

   Reg
     gions                   18/
                               /May                     21
                                                         1/May                     22/May                      23/May
                                                                                                               2

   Ind
     dia             Forex Reserves Data

                     Bank Loan Growth
                             n




   US                American Petroleum         Chicago FFed               Existing Home Sales
                                                                                             s         Home sales data
                                                                                                            s
                     Institute M
                               Monthly          National A
                                                         Activity          (MoM)
                     Report                     Index

                                                                           Richmon Fed
                                                                                 nd
                                                                           Manufac
                                                                                 cturing Index



   Glo
     obal            G8 Meetin
                             ng                                            UK's Con
                                                                                  nsumer Price         Bank of Japan
                                                                                                              f
                                                                           Index (M
                                                                                  MoM) and             Interest rate
                                                                                                              t
                                                                           (YoY)                       decision
                                                                                                              n

                                                                           UK's Public Sector          Bank of England
                                                                                                             f
                                                                           Net Borr
                                                                                  rowing               Minutes
                                                                                                             s

                                                                           UK's Retail Price
                                                                                  MoM)
                                                                           Index (M




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                   eport is purely for informa ation purpose and is bassed on public information News cont
                                                                                    c             n.          tent is attribu
                                                                                                                            utable to
various media, unle specified otherwise. A market related statistic data perta
                    ess                       All                      cal          ains to the im
                                                                                                 mmediately preceding trad  ding day,
unless stated other
      s             rwise. Neithe the informa
                                 er           ation nor any opinion expressed in this report constitutes an off
                                                          y                         s                         fer, or an invitation to
make an offer, to bbuy or sell the securities m
                                              mentioned he erein. We or any of our directors, offic
                                                                                                  cers or emplo
                                                                                                              oyees shall not in any
way be responsible for any loss arising from the use of this report. Investors are advised to apply their own judgmen before
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acting on the conteents of this re
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Keynote capitals india morning note may 18-'12

  • 1.       India Morning Note a g Frida May 18, 2012 ay, Dom mestic Mark kets Snapsh hot Views on markets t today Nam of Index me May 16 May 17 Change (%) ) • India an markets dropped after a positive tr s rading Sensex 16,030.09 16,070.48 0.25% sess sion till afte ernoon, as investors worried ove the w er CNX Nifty X 4,858.25 4,870.20 0.25% euro zone situation and unfavo o orable dommestic BSE Mid-cap 5,879.42 5,880.57 0.02% econnomic situation due to weak kening induustrial BSE IT 5,512.94 5,510.75 -0.04% prod duction and high inflatio on. BSE Banks 10,566.84 10,542.61 -0.23% • Investors sold e equities afte taking th Sensex a er he almost FII A Activity (`Cr) 210 points up in the mor rning sessio as a wa on, ave of sellin pressure created o fall in Eu ng e on uropean ma arkets. Date e Buy Sell Net After touching a high of 16 6,240.18 duuring the day, the 16-M May 2,243 2,725 -482 Sens sex fell to a almost a ne egative of 16,008 level. The 1 15-M May 1,834 1,970 -136 inde closed 40 ex 0.39 points u or 0.25% to 16,070 up, %, 0.48. Tota May al 24,055 24,222 -167 2012 YTD 260,433 217,140 43295 • Investors were also on hold for Friday's ear e F rnings results from Sta Bank of India, Tata Steel and Coal ate f d MF A Activity (`Cr) India which wil help dete a, ll ermine direc ction in the near- Date e Buy Sell Net term m. 16-M May 572 591 -19 • FMCG stocks edged higher afte er the we eather 15-M May 550 358 192 artment fo depa orecast th hat the 2012 Southwest 2 Tota May al 4,599 5,039 -441 Monsoon will ar rrive in time e. 2012 YTD 49,593 56,134 -6541 • Markket breadth was marg h ginally lowe at ~0.98x as er Volu ume & Adva ances / Dec clines investors sold mid and small cap stocks On d c s. NSE BSE prov visional bas old equity of `0.1bn while sis, FIIs so Trad ding Volume (Cr) 58.01 17.02 dom utions bought equity of `2.54bn in cash mestic institu f n Turn nover (`Cr) 9,737 1,805 segmment. Advances 736 1,340 • Asian markets declined ssharply tod day, as Mo oody's Declines 713 1,368 Ratin ngs Agency downgrade 16 Spanish banks raising y ed Unchanged 80 134 the concerns about the wider reach of the euro zone o Tota al 1,529 2,842 prob blems starte with Gree ed ece. Glob Markets bal • We expect a ga down ope e ap ening for th Indian ma he arkets Inde ex Late Values est Change (%) ) toda as trade may dum shares taking cues from ay, ers mp t s the Asian ma arkets. Wea akness acr ross the g global DJIA A 12,442.49 -1.24% markets is also indicated through weak euro which o w NAS SDAQ 2,813.69 -2.10% declined below crucial $1.2 levels. It would be a very 27 t Nikk * kei 8,669.30 -2.34% diffic cult for the RBI to stop rupee e's deterioration Hang Seng * 18,785.07 -2.17% against dollar putting further pressure on the equ e uities. * as o 8.25AM IST of Econom and Cor mic rporate Dev velopments s Curr rencies / Co ommodities Snapshot s Latest Previous • Colle ection of i indirect taxxes jumped by 10.4 4% to Quote Close `33,045Cr in th first mon he nth of the current fisc on cal Indian Rupee per $ 54.35 54.34 the back of inc crease in eexcise duty and servic tax ce Indian Rupee per € 68.96 69.11 rates The indi s. irect tax— excise dut ty, customs and s NYM MEX Crude Oil($/bbl) 92.68 92.56 serv vice tax— co ollection had totalled `29,936Cr in April ` n 20111. Gold ($/oz) d 1,575.50 1,574.90 Silve ($/oz) er 28.02 28.00 Keyn note Capitals Research h (reseaarch@keyno otecapitals.net) (+91222-3026600 00) Keyynote Capita Research is also available on als h Bloo omberg KNTE <GO>, Tho E omson One A Analytics, Re euters Knowwledge, Capit IQ, TheMa tal arkets.com and securitie a es.com Keynote Capitals Institu utional Resea arch - winner of “India’s Best IPO Analyst Award 2009” by MCX-Zee Business To unsubsc cribe from th mailing lis please reply to unsub his st, bscribe@keyynotecapitals s.net
  • 2.       TOP GAINERS Buzzin Stocks ng (BSE A-Group) E • Houusing Develo opment andd Infrastruc cture is clos to se Previous Currennt Change selling their 14-acre landd in Bangaalore to Go odrej Com mpany Name e Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) Propperties, the realty arm m of the Goodrej group, for Astr razeneca Ph 1541.10 0 1849.30 20.00 arouund `100Cr according r, g to source close to the es Dish TV India h 55.10 0 60.75 10.25 talks. Obe eroi Realty 238.40 0 249.80 4.78 • Goddrej Consummer Product will consider acquis ts sition Shriram Trans 480.35 5 502.30 4.57 opportunities to get into n o new segmen nts, such as oral Alsto T&D om 140.75 5 146.95 4.40 care as it believes that getting into new verticals e, o (BSE Mid-Cap) E thro ough norma route wou be toug accordin to al uld gh, ng Chairman Adi Godrej. To get in into a totally new o Previous Currennt Change cate egory organnically would be a tough call, he said. d h Com mpany Name e Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) Astr razeneca Ph 1541.10 1849.30 20.00 • Induustrial gas maker BO India, a part of L OC Linde Dish TV India h 55.10 60.75 10.25 Grou in Germany, has sa that the possibility of a up aid e Prism Cement m 44.15 47.00 6.46 shar buyback is still ope with the company and re k en e Delt Corp ta 58.60 62.35 6.40 will take a decis sion on it be efore June 2013. 2 VST Inds T 1821.40 1930.00 5.96 • GMR Hyderab R bad Intern national Airport Lim A mited (GHIAL), which runs the Rajiv Gandhi Internati h ional TOP LOSERS Airp port (RGIA) in Hyderabad, is expe ecting to ha andle 100,000 tonne of cargo wi ithin a year, according to a (BSE A-Group) E seniior compan official. The airpor has rece ny rt ently Previous Currennt Change cros ssed the 80,,000-tonne mark. Com mpany Name e Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) Volt tas 105.70 0 98.85 5 -6.48 • Afte the government recently reaffirmed its ea er arlier Pant taloon Retl 140.35 5 132.00 0 -5.95 decision to al llow Reliannce Power Ltd. to divert Cum mmins India 452.15 5 431.00 0 -4.68 surp plus coal f from its S Sasan projeect in Mad dhya Prad desh for a nearby p project, the company has Tech Mahindra h 636.95 5 607.40 0 -4.64 aske the Com ed mptroller and Auditor General (CAG to d G) JUBL FOOD L 1179.20 0 1132.30 0 -3.98 drop its observ p vations of ""undue bennefit" in a d draft (BSE Mid-Cap) E audit report. Previous Currennt Change • Koutons Retail India plan to raise up to $200mn ns Com mpany Name e Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) ound `1,090 (aro 0Cr) by issu uing prefere ential share to es Volt tas 105.70 98.85 -6.48 prom moters and others. Pant taloon Retl 140.35 132.00 -5.95 • DLF and Hary yana Urban Developm n ment Authority Blue Star e 184.25 176.10 -4.42 da) have joined hand to const (Hud ds truct a 16- -lane Birla Corp a 258.95 247.85 -4.29 road covering 8 km in Gu d 8.3 urgaon at an investment of JUBL FOOD L 1179.20 1132.30 -3.98 up to `600Cr to ease heavy traffic flow in the city t o w y. US markets US stoocks droppe sharply overnight, with the Dow ed Jones contracted f an 11th out of 12 se c for essions, as euro zone issues coupled with a a nega ative gauge of e manufaacturing in the Phila n adelphia region added to d worries for investo s ors. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 156.06 D points, or 1.2%, to 12,544 42.49, led by J.P. Morgan Chase & Co. share down 4.3 es, 3%. The S& 500 Index lost 1 &P 19.94 points, or 1.5% to %, 1,304.8 86. The Na asdaq Composite declined 60.35 or 5, 2.1%, to 2,813.69. t Keyn note Capitals Research h (resea arch@keyno otecapitals.net) (+912 22-3026600 00)
  • 3.       India and Globa Economic Calendar a al c Countries / Fri iday Mo onday Tu uesday We ednesday Reg gions 18/ /May 21 1/May 22/May 23/May 2 Ind dia Forex Reserves Data Bank Loan Growth n US American Petroleum Chicago FFed Existing Home Sales s Home sales data s Institute M Monthly National A Activity (MoM) Report Index Richmon Fed nd Manufac cturing Index Glo obal G8 Meetin ng UK's Con nsumer Price Bank of Japan f Index (M MoM) and Interest rate t (YoY) decision n UK's Public Sector Bank of England f Net Borr rowing Minutes s UK's Retail Price MoM) Index (M KEYN NOTE CAPITTALS LTD. The Rub 9th Floo Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumba – 400 028 by, or, ai 8 Tel. : +9 9122-30266 6000 • www w.keynotec capitals.com m Disclaiimer: This re eport is purely for informa ation purpose and is bassed on public information News cont c n. tent is attribu utable to various media, unle specified otherwise. A market related statistic data perta ess All cal ains to the im mmediately preceding trad ding day, unless stated other s rwise. Neithe the informa er ation nor any opinion expressed in this report constitutes an off y s fer, or an invitation to make an offer, to bbuy or sell the securities m mentioned he erein. We or any of our directors, offic cers or emplo oyees shall not in any way be responsible for any loss arising from the use of this report. Investors are advised to apply their own judgmen before e e s m e o nt acting on the conteents of this re eport. The rep port has not been edited due to time c d constraints.