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India Morning Note
    a       g
Tues
   sday, July 10 2012
               0,

Dom
  mestic Mark
            kets Snapsh
                      hot                                    Views on markets t
                                                                              today
 Nam of Index
   me                     Jul 6         Jul 9   Change (%)
                                                         )   • India
                                                                   an markets fell for the secon
                                                                               s                       nd straight day
                                                                                                                   t
                                                               yestterday to h their low
                                                                              hit          west closing level in 1-1/2
 Sensex             17,521.12      17,391.98      -0.74%
                                                               weeks, with sen ntiment hit adversely by global g  growth
 CNX Nifty
   X                  5,316.95      5,275.15      -0.79%
                                                               worrries and euro-zone deb woes. Se
                                                                                           bt          entiment hit after
                                                                                                                  t
 BSE Mid-cap          6,313.90      6,238.19      -1.20%       U.S. jobs data aand falling inflation in China reinfforced
 BSE IT               5,654.85      5,650.87      -0.07%       conccerns abou  ut the global economy. Corp        porate
 BSE Banks          12,265.41      12,173.45      -0.75%       earnnings results and more important
                                                                                           e           tly, the guid
                                                                                                                   dance
FII A
    Activity                                       (`Cr)       given could b key in determinin the ma
                                                                              be                       ng         arket’s
                                                               direcction. BSE Sensex, w  was down 129.14 poin
                                                                                                       1          nts or
 Date
    e                     Buy           Sell         Net       0.74
                                                                  4%, off close to 95 points from the day's high and
                                                                               e
 06-Jul                 1,942          1,334         609       up about 50 poi
                                                                  a            ints from the day's low.
 05-Jul                 2,672          2,216         456     • A shortfall of ne
                                                                               early 50% of the averag rainfalls in the
                                                                                                     ge
 Tota Jul
    al                 15,911         10,090        5821          sonal monso
                                                               seas            oon period s far has become the latest
                                                                                          so        b
 2012 YTD             339,436       292,605        46831       dom
                                                                 mestic worry given wo
                                                                               y,         orries about the impa act on
                                                               rural consumers s.
MF A
   Activity                                         (`Cr)
                                                             • Powe generation stocks fell on prof booking for a
                                                                   er                               fit
 Date
    e                     Buy           Sell         Net
                                                               seco
                                                                  ond straight day after recent stro
                                                                               t                    ong gains. Adani
 06-Jul                   272           517          -246      Powe fell 4.8% while JSW Energy los 5.1% and Tata
                                                                   er        %,          W          st        d
 05-Jul                   445           507           -62      Powe lost 2.2% Consumer goods co
                                                                   er          %.                   ompanies ffell on
 Tota Jul
    al                  2,010          2,744         -733      worrries about th impact o low rainfa could ha
                                                                               he         of       alls       ave on
 2012 YTD              65,153         71,732        -6578      the farming se ector, and hhence the wider impaact on
                                                               conssumption. Hindustan Unilever fell 0.5%, while
                                                                                                    f
Volu
   ume & Adva
            ances / Dec
                      clines
                                                               cigarette maker ITC fell 0.4
                                                                               r          44%.
                                       NSE           BSE
                                                             • Indra
                                                                   aprastha Gas rose 1.8 88% on media report the
                                                                                                              ts
 Trad
    ding Volume (Cr)                 55.76          21.63      company raise prices o compressed natura gas
                                                                             ed         of                   al
 Turn
    nover (`Cr)                      9,345          1,818      (CNG to offset the impa
                                                                   G)          t        act of the rupee's fall. TVS
                                                                                                    r
 Advances                              442          1,096      Moto also surg
                                                                   or         ged 7.8% affter news th the com
                                                                                                    hat      mpany
 Declines                            1,048          1,772      was in talks wit a unit German auto maker BMW AG's
                                                                              th                             W
 Unchanged                              65           103       unit to source technolog
                                                                             e          gical know-how to de evelop
                                                               high-end motorcycles.
 Tota
    al                               1,555          2,971
                                                             • Mark breadth was weak at ~0.62x as investors sold
                                                                   ket
Glob Markets
   bal
                                                               large cap stoc
                                                                   e          cks. On pro
                                                                                        ovisional ba
                                                                                                   asis, FIIs b
                                                                                                              bought
 Inde
    ex                     Late Values
                              est               Change (%)
                                                         )     equity of `2.53bn while domestic institutions sold
                                                                                                              s
 DJIA
    A                             12,736.29       -0.28%       equity of `2.88b in cash segment.
                                                                              bn
 NAS
   SDAQ                            2,931.77       -0.19%     • Asian stocks dropped afte a positiv opening, after
                                                                                       er        ve
 Nikk *
    kei                            8,920.56        0.27%          nese trade data show exports str
                                                               Chin                              rong but im
                                                                                                           mports
 Hang Seng *                      19,379.94       -0.25%       surp
                                                                  prisingly wea
                                                                              ak.
* as o 8.25AM IST
     of                                                      • We expect a we
                                                                   e         eak opening for the Indian marke
                                                                                         g                   ets, on
                                                               glob
                                                                  bal cues and caution ahead of the indu
                                                                                         n         o          ustrial
Curr
   rencies / Co
              ommodities Snapshot
                       s                                                                                 th
                                                               prod
                                                                  duction data slated to b released on 12 July.
                                                                             a           be
                                     Latest      Previous
                                     Quote          Close    Econom and Cor
                                                                  mic     rporate Dev
                                                                                    velopments
                                                                                             s
 Indian Rupee per $                   55.85         55.40    • RBI objects to some clauses of textile debt
                                                                                                   o
 Indian Rupee per €                   68.76         68.07          ructuring package. Textile Ministry, Finance
                                                               restr
 NYM
   MEX Crude Oil($/bbl)               84.69         85.99
                                                               Ministry, bankers & textile companies to meet o July
                                                                                         e         s         on
                                                               13. The mini   istry anno ounced debt restructuring
 Gold ($/oz)
    d                              1,586.60      1,589.10
                                                               packkage on Ma 29. Textile companies have ap
                                                                             ay                               pplied
 Silve ($/oz)
     er                               27.24         27.41      for `10,000Cr w
                                                                   `         worth of reca
                                                                                         ast.


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   note Capitals Research
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TOP GAINERS                                          Buzzin Stocks
                                                          ng
(BSE A-Group)
   E                                                 • Essa Oil says it has ag
                                                           ar         s           greed to pay a princ
                                                                                           p           cipal
                    Previous   Currennt   Change       amo ount of `6,169Cr post t
                                                                                 the SC order. The comp
                                                                                                      pany
 Com
   mpany Name
            e
                    Close(`
                          `)   Price(`
                                     `)      (%)       will pay `1,0000Cr immediately to show its bonaafide
 Man
   nap Gen Fin        30.90
                          0      32.70      5.83       intent. The co ompany say it is su
                                                                                 ys        urprised by the
 Engineers India     228.30
                          0     238.60      4.51       Gujaarat gover rnment’s st tep of atttaching its oil
                                                                                                      s
 Woc
   ckhardt           884.90
                          0     924.05      4.42       accoounts.
 JPINFRATEC           54.85
                          5      55.90      1.91     • Coal India’s booard will m
                                                                                meet on July 17 to discuss
                                                                                           y
 Indr
    raprastha Gas
                s    241.80
                          0     246.20      1.82       issues related t signing o Fuel Supp Agreem
                                                                      to         of        ply      ments
(BSE Mid-Cap)
   E                                                   (FSA Other is
                                                          A).         ssues to be discussed are impor of
                                                                                 e         d          rt
                                                       coal and price p
                                                           l          pooling.
                    Previous   Currennt   Change
 Com
   mpany Name
            e                                        • ONG Videsh, subsidiary of ONGC plans `5,00
                                                           GC                                        00Cr
                    Close(`
                          `)   Price(`
                                     `)      (%)
 TVS Motor            36.60      39.50       7.92      IPO via the seccondary ma
                                                                               arket route. ONGC’s board
                                                                                           .
 HAT
   THWAY CAB         188.05     200.15       6.43      will consider th proposal in the board meeting this
                                                                      he
 Man
   nap Gen Fin        30.90      32.70       5.83      wee reports the Economic Times.
                                                          ek,
 Woc
   ckhardt           884.90     924.05       4.42    • The Warburg P  Pincus - Fut
                                                                                 ture Capital deals hits the
                                                                                                       s
 Shre Global Trd
    ee         d      83.75      87.20       4.12      FIPB wall after the latter was asked to hive of its
                                                          B          r                     d           ff
                                                       real estate arm before the deal.
                                                                     m
TOP LOSERS                                           • OnM Mobile CEO Arvind Rao resigns. This comes a
                                                                                 o                       after
(BSE A-Group)
   E                                                   repoorts of fina
                                                                      ancial irregularities at the comp pany.
                                                       Kpm which w
                                                          mg          was the inteernal audito worked with
                                                                                             or,
                    Previous   Currennt   Change
 Com
   mpany Name
            e                                          lega experts to come out with a special review on
                                                           al                     t                     w
                    Close(`
                          `)   Price(`
                                     `)      (%)
 JSW ENERGY           55.80
                          0      53.00
                                     0      -5.02      thes allegations. Mouli Raman, anot
                                                           se                                ther co-foun
                                                                                                        nder,
 GMR Infra
   R                  26.20
                          0      24.90
                                     0      -4.96      is naamed interim managin director as the comp
                                                                                 ng          a           pany
 ADA POWER
   ANI                51.60
                          0      49.15
                                     5      -4.75
                                                       initiates a searc for a new CEO.
                                                                       ch        w
 Chambal Fert         80.65
                          5      76.85
                                     5      -4.71    • REC raises `3,0
                                                         C           085Cr via bo
                                                                                onds.
 Hind
    dustan Zinc      124.60
                          0    118.85
                                    5       -4.61    • Zenotech founnder challennges FIPB’s nod to a
                                                                                            s      allow
                                                       Daiichi Sankyo to buy 20% in the co.
                                                                               %
(BSE Mid-Cap)
   E
                                                     • Wipro rejigs its telecom bu
                                                                                 usiness on fa
                                                                                             alling sales.
                                                                                                         .
                    Previous   Currennt   Change
 Com
   mpany Name
            e
                    Close(`
                          `)   Price(`
                                     `)      (%)     US markets
 Info Edge India     367.05     357.05      -2.72
                                                     U.S. markets drop
                                                          m             pped for a third session, the lon
                                                                                                        ngest
 TVS Motor            36.45      35.50      -2.61
                                                     such streak in mo than a m
                                                                        ore        month, afte Spanish b
                                                                                             er         bond
 Alsto T&D
     om              194.85     190.15      -2.41    yields rose to leve viewed a unsustain
                                                                        els       as         nable and ah
                                                                                                        head
 Asho Leyland
    ok                24.95      24.35      -2.40    of earnnings from Alcoa Inc. The Dow Jones Indus
                                                                                              J         strial
 COX KINGS
   X                 131.60     129.05      -1.94    Averagge ended down 36.18 points, or 0.3%, at
                                                     12,7366.29. It’s los more tha 207 points over the last
                                                                        st        an
                                                     three sessions.
                                                           s




Keyn
   note Capitals Research
                        h                   (resea
                                                 arch@keyno
                                                          otecapitals.net)              (+912
                                                                                            22-3026600
                                                                                                     00)
 



                                                                                                                                     




                                                                                                                                     




 India and Globa Economic Calendar
     a         al       c

    Countries /             Tue
                              esday                   Wed
                                                        dnesday                   Th
                                                                                   hursday                     Friday

   Reg
     gions                    10
                               0-Jul                     11-Jul                     12-Jul
                                                                                    1                           13-Jul

   Ind
     dia                                        Money Su
                                                       upply               Cumulat tive                Forex Reserves Data
                                                                                                             R
                                                                           Industria Output
                                                                                   al
                                                                           (Jul)

                                                                                                       Bank Lo
                                                                                                             oan Growth




   US                IBD/TIPP E
                              Economic          Trade Balance              Import aand export          Produce Price Inde
                                                                                                             er         ex
                     Optimism (MoM)                                        Price Ind
                                                                                   dex (MoM)           ex Food & Energy
                                                                                                             d
                                                                           (Jun)                       (YoY & MoM)

                                                FOMC Min
                                                       nutes                Initial Jo
                                                                                     obless Claim
                                                                                                ms     Produce Price Inde
                                                                                                             er         ex
                                                                           (Jul)                       (YoY & MoM)

                                                                                                       Reuter/ Michigan
                                                                                                             /
                                                                                                       Consummer
                                                                                                       Sentime Index
                                                                                                             ent

   Glo
     obal            UK's Indus
                              strial            Germany Consumer
                                                      y                    Japan Bo Interest
                                                                                  oJ                   Japan In
                                                                                                              ndustrial
                     Production (MoM)
                              n                 and Wholesale Price        Rate Dec
                                                                                  cision               Producttion (YoY &
                     and (YoY)                  Index                                                  MoM)

                     Eurozone's EcoFin          Japan Machine tools        Europe E
                                                                                  ECB Monthly
                                                                                            y          Japan Capacity
                                                                                                              C
                     Meeting                    order                      Report                      Utilization

                                                                           UK 10-y Bond
                                                                           Auction




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                                              NOTE CAPITTALS LTD.
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Disclaiimer: This re
                   eport is purely for informa ation purpose and is bassed on public information News cont
                                                                                    c             n.          tent is attribu
                                                                                                                            utable to
various media, unle specified otherwise. A market related statistic data perta
                    ess                       All                      cal          ains to the im
                                                                                                 mmediately preceding trad  ding day,
unless stated other
      s             rwise. Neithe the informa
                                 er           ation nor any opinion expressed in this report constitutes an off
                                                          y                         s                         fer, or an invitation to
make an offer, to bbuy or sell the securities m
                                              mentioned he erein. We or any of our directors, offic
                                                                                                  cers or emplo
                                                                                                              oyees shall not in any
way be responsible for any loss arising from the use of this report. Investors are advised to apply their own judgmen before
       e            e             s           m                                     e                         o             nt
acting on the conteents of this re
                                 eport. The rep
                                              port has not been edited due to time c
                                                                       d            constraints.

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Keynote capitals india morning note july 10-'12

  • 1.       India Morning Note a g Tues sday, July 10 2012 0, Dom mestic Mark kets Snapsh hot Views on markets t today Nam of Index me Jul 6 Jul 9 Change (%) ) • India an markets fell for the secon s nd straight day t yestterday to h their low hit west closing level in 1-1/2 Sensex 17,521.12 17,391.98 -0.74% weeks, with sen ntiment hit adversely by global g growth CNX Nifty X 5,316.95 5,275.15 -0.79% worrries and euro-zone deb woes. Se bt entiment hit after t BSE Mid-cap 6,313.90 6,238.19 -1.20% U.S. jobs data aand falling inflation in China reinfforced BSE IT 5,654.85 5,650.87 -0.07% conccerns abou ut the global economy. Corp porate BSE Banks 12,265.41 12,173.45 -0.75% earnnings results and more important e tly, the guid dance FII A Activity (`Cr) given could b key in determinin the ma be ng arket’s direcction. BSE Sensex, w was down 129.14 poin 1 nts or Date e Buy Sell Net 0.74 4%, off close to 95 points from the day's high and e 06-Jul 1,942 1,334 609 up about 50 poi a ints from the day's low. 05-Jul 2,672 2,216 456 • A shortfall of ne early 50% of the averag rainfalls in the ge Tota Jul al 15,911 10,090 5821 sonal monso seas oon period s far has become the latest so b 2012 YTD 339,436 292,605 46831 dom mestic worry given wo y, orries about the impa act on rural consumers s. MF A Activity (`Cr) • Powe generation stocks fell on prof booking for a er fit Date e Buy Sell Net seco ond straight day after recent stro t ong gains. Adani 06-Jul 272 517 -246 Powe fell 4.8% while JSW Energy los 5.1% and Tata er %, W st d 05-Jul 445 507 -62 Powe lost 2.2% Consumer goods co er %. ompanies ffell on Tota Jul al 2,010 2,744 -733 worrries about th impact o low rainfa could ha he of alls ave on 2012 YTD 65,153 71,732 -6578 the farming se ector, and hhence the wider impaact on conssumption. Hindustan Unilever fell 0.5%, while f Volu ume & Adva ances / Dec clines cigarette maker ITC fell 0.4 r 44%. NSE BSE • Indra aprastha Gas rose 1.8 88% on media report the ts Trad ding Volume (Cr) 55.76 21.63 company raise prices o compressed natura gas ed of al Turn nover (`Cr) 9,345 1,818 (CNG to offset the impa G) t act of the rupee's fall. TVS r Advances 442 1,096 Moto also surg or ged 7.8% affter news th the com hat mpany Declines 1,048 1,772 was in talks wit a unit German auto maker BMW AG's th W Unchanged 65 103 unit to source technolog e gical know-how to de evelop high-end motorcycles. Tota al 1,555 2,971 • Mark breadth was weak at ~0.62x as investors sold ket Glob Markets bal large cap stoc e cks. On pro ovisional ba asis, FIIs b bought Inde ex Late Values est Change (%) ) equity of `2.53bn while domestic institutions sold s DJIA A 12,736.29 -0.28% equity of `2.88b in cash segment. bn NAS SDAQ 2,931.77 -0.19% • Asian stocks dropped afte a positiv opening, after er ve Nikk * kei 8,920.56 0.27% nese trade data show exports str Chin rong but im mports Hang Seng * 19,379.94 -0.25% surp prisingly wea ak. * as o 8.25AM IST of • We expect a we e eak opening for the Indian marke g ets, on glob bal cues and caution ahead of the indu n o ustrial Curr rencies / Co ommodities Snapshot s th prod duction data slated to b released on 12 July. a be Latest Previous Quote Close Econom and Cor mic rporate Dev velopments s Indian Rupee per $ 55.85 55.40 • RBI objects to some clauses of textile debt o Indian Rupee per € 68.76 68.07 ructuring package. Textile Ministry, Finance restr NYM MEX Crude Oil($/bbl) 84.69 85.99 Ministry, bankers & textile companies to meet o July e s on 13. The mini istry anno ounced debt restructuring Gold ($/oz) d 1,586.60 1,589.10 packkage on Ma 29. Textile companies have ap ay pplied Silve ($/oz) er 27.24 27.41 for `10,000Cr w ` worth of reca ast. Keyn note Capitals Research h (reseaarch@keyno otecapitals.net) (+91222-3026600 00) Keyynote Capita Research is also available on als h Bloo omberg KNTE <GO>, Tho E omson One A Analytics, Re euters Knowwledge, Capit IQ, TheMa tal arkets.com and securitie a es.com Keynote Capitals Institu utional Resea arch - winner of “India’s Best IPO Analyst Award 2009” by MCX-Zee Business To unsubsc cribe from th mailing lis please reply to unsub his st, bscribe@keyynotecapitals s.net
  • 2.       TOP GAINERS Buzzin Stocks ng (BSE A-Group) E • Essa Oil says it has ag ar s greed to pay a princ p cipal Previous Currennt Change amo ount of `6,169Cr post t the SC order. The comp pany Com mpany Name e Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) will pay `1,0000Cr immediately to show its bonaafide Man nap Gen Fin 30.90 0 32.70 5.83 intent. The co ompany say it is su ys urprised by the Engineers India 228.30 0 238.60 4.51 Gujaarat gover rnment’s st tep of atttaching its oil s Woc ckhardt 884.90 0 924.05 4.42 accoounts. JPINFRATEC 54.85 5 55.90 1.91 • Coal India’s booard will m meet on July 17 to discuss y Indr raprastha Gas s 241.80 0 246.20 1.82 issues related t signing o Fuel Supp Agreem to of ply ments (BSE Mid-Cap) E (FSA Other is A). ssues to be discussed are impor of e d rt coal and price p l pooling. Previous Currennt Change Com mpany Name e • ONG Videsh, subsidiary of ONGC plans `5,00 GC 00Cr Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) TVS Motor 36.60 39.50 7.92 IPO via the seccondary ma arket route. ONGC’s board . HAT THWAY CAB 188.05 200.15 6.43 will consider th proposal in the board meeting this he Man nap Gen Fin 30.90 32.70 5.83 wee reports the Economic Times. ek, Woc ckhardt 884.90 924.05 4.42 • The Warburg P Pincus - Fut ture Capital deals hits the s Shre Global Trd ee d 83.75 87.20 4.12 FIPB wall after the latter was asked to hive of its B r d ff real estate arm before the deal. m TOP LOSERS • OnM Mobile CEO Arvind Rao resigns. This comes a o after (BSE A-Group) E repoorts of fina ancial irregularities at the comp pany. Kpm which w mg was the inteernal audito worked with or, Previous Currennt Change Com mpany Name e lega experts to come out with a special review on al t w Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) JSW ENERGY 55.80 0 53.00 0 -5.02 thes allegations. Mouli Raman, anot se ther co-foun nder, GMR Infra R 26.20 0 24.90 0 -4.96 is naamed interim managin director as the comp ng a pany ADA POWER ANI 51.60 0 49.15 5 -4.75 initiates a searc for a new CEO. ch w Chambal Fert 80.65 5 76.85 5 -4.71 • REC raises `3,0 C 085Cr via bo onds. Hind dustan Zinc 124.60 0 118.85 5 -4.61 • Zenotech founnder challennges FIPB’s nod to a s allow Daiichi Sankyo to buy 20% in the co. % (BSE Mid-Cap) E • Wipro rejigs its telecom bu usiness on fa alling sales. . Previous Currennt Change Com mpany Name e Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) US markets Info Edge India 367.05 357.05 -2.72 U.S. markets drop m pped for a third session, the lon ngest TVS Motor 36.45 35.50 -2.61 such streak in mo than a m ore month, afte Spanish b er bond Alsto T&D om 194.85 190.15 -2.41 yields rose to leve viewed a unsustain els as nable and ah head Asho Leyland ok 24.95 24.35 -2.40 of earnnings from Alcoa Inc. The Dow Jones Indus J strial COX KINGS X 131.60 129.05 -1.94 Averagge ended down 36.18 points, or 0.3%, at 12,7366.29. It’s los more tha 207 points over the last st an three sessions. s Keyn note Capitals Research h (resea arch@keyno otecapitals.net) (+912 22-3026600 00)
  • 3.       India and Globa Economic Calendar a al c Countries / Tue esday Wed dnesday Th hursday Friday Reg gions 10 0-Jul 11-Jul 12-Jul 1 13-Jul Ind dia Money Su upply Cumulat tive Forex Reserves Data R Industria Output al (Jul) Bank Lo oan Growth US IBD/TIPP E Economic Trade Balance Import aand export Produce Price Inde er ex Optimism (MoM) Price Ind dex (MoM) ex Food & Energy d (Jun) (YoY & MoM) FOMC Min nutes Initial Jo obless Claim ms Produce Price Inde er ex (Jul) (YoY & MoM) Reuter/ Michigan / Consummer Sentime Index ent Glo obal UK's Indus strial Germany Consumer y Japan Bo Interest oJ Japan In ndustrial Production (MoM) n and Wholesale Price Rate Dec cision Producttion (YoY & and (YoY) Index MoM) Eurozone's EcoFin Japan Machine tools Europe E ECB Monthly y Japan Capacity C Meeting order Report Utilization UK 10-y Bond Auction KEYN NOTE CAPITTALS LTD. The Rub 9th Floo Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumba – 400 028 by, or, ai 8 Tel. : +9 9122-30266 6000 • www w.keynotec capitals.com m Disclaiimer: This re eport is purely for informa ation purpose and is bassed on public information News cont c n. tent is attribu utable to various media, unle specified otherwise. A market related statistic data perta ess All cal ains to the im mmediately preceding trad ding day, unless stated other s rwise. Neithe the informa er ation nor any opinion expressed in this report constitutes an off y s fer, or an invitation to make an offer, to bbuy or sell the securities m mentioned he erein. We or any of our directors, offic cers or emplo oyees shall not in any way be responsible for any loss arising from the use of this report. Investors are advised to apply their own judgmen before e e s m e o nt acting on the conteents of this re eport. The rep port has not been edited due to time c d constraints.