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India Morning Note
    a       g
Mond
   day, July 09 2012
              9,

Dom
  mestic Mark
            kets Snapsh
                      hot                                    Views on markets t
                                                                              today
 Nam of Index
   me                     Jul 5         Jul 6   Change (%)
                                                         )   • India markets snapped th
                                                                   an                    hree-day winning strea and
                                                                                                                ak
 Sensex             17,538.67      17,521.12      -0.10%       close on nega
                                                                   ed        ative note o Friday af
                                                                                         on          fter interest rate
 CNX Nifty
   X                  5,327.30      5,316.95      -0.19%       cuts in China and the euro zone spar
                                                                                         o          rked alarm about
 BSE Mid-cap          6,349.26      6,313.90      -0.56%       glob economi growth, hitting Infosys ahead of its
                                                                  bal         ic
 BSE IT               5,700.05      5,654.85      -0.79%          nings results next wee Investors are gearing up
                                                               earn           s         ek.         s
 BSE Banks          12,243.60      12,265.41       0.18%       for the start o corporate earnings reports starting
                                                                    t        of          e
                                                               next week, with Infosys an Tata Consulting Services
                                                                   t          h          nd
FII A
    Activity                                       (`Cr)
                                                               the first compa
                                                                             anies to rep
                                                                                        port. BSE Seensex, lost 17.55
 Date
    e                     Buy           Sell         Net       points or 0.1%, up close to 100 point from the day's
                                                                                         o          ts
 05-Jul                 2,672          2,216         456       low and off about 35 points from the day's high.
                                                                   a                     s          d
 04-Jul                 2,185          1,884         301
                                                             • Meta stocks fe as metal prices dec
                                                                  al        ell                      clined on Loondon
 Tota Jul
    al                 13,968          8,756        5212       Meta Exchange on Thursd
                                                                  al        e            day, 5 July 2012. Jindal Steel
                                                                                                     2
 2012 YTD             337,493       291,271        46222       & Po
                                                                  ower declin
                                                                            ned on repo   orts that th company has
                                                                                                     he
MF A
   Activity                                         (`Cr)      susp
                                                                  pended operrations at its iron ore mine in Boliv
                                                                                                     m           via.
 Date
    e                     Buy           Sell         Net     • Infossys shares fell 1.4%, as the wo   orries abou the
                                                                                                                  ut
 05-Jul                   445           507           -62      globbal economy are cementing exp     pectations India's
 04-Jul                   573           593           -20      secoond-biggest software service ex    xporter wil cut
                                                                                                                  ll
 Tota Jul
    al                  1,738          2,226         -488      reveenue guida ance give  en evidenc   ce of red   duced
 2012 YTD              64,881         71,214        -6333
                                                               techhnology spending world dwide. Statee-run oil ret
                                                                                                                  tailers
                                                               rose on news th
                                                                   e          hey receive `140bn ($2.5bn) from the
                                                                                          ed
Volu
   ume & Adva
            ances / Dec
                      clines                                   gove ernment sin
                                                                              nce the en of June as part o the
                                                                                          nd                      of
                                       NSE           BSE       subssidy payout for the finaancial year ended in M March.
 Trad
    ding Volume (Cr)                 55.76          22.32      Eros Internation Media r
                                                                   s          nal         rose 3% aft ter announc cing a
 Turn
    nover (`Cr)                      9,345          2,112      licen          with television channel COLORS Viacom
                                                                   nsing deal w
 Advances                              597           971                      ture betwee TV18 and Viacom, f an
                                                               18, a joint vent           en                      for
 Declines                              914          1,542
                                                               undisclosed amount.

 Unchanged                              48           109     • Mark breadth was weak at ~0.63x as investors sold
                                                                   ket
 Tota
    al                               1,559          2,622      large cap stoc
                                                                   e          cks. On pro
                                                                                        ovisional ba
                                                                                                   asis, FIIs b
                                                                                                              bought
                                                               equity of `5.71bn while domestic institutions sold
                                                                                                              s
Glob Markets
   bal
                                                               equity of `2.23b in cash segment.
                                                                              bn
 Inde
    ex                     Late Values
                              est               Change (%)
                                                         )
 DJIA
    A                             12,772.47       -0.96%
                                                             • Asia stocks dro
                                                                             opped today after a st
                                                                                        y          tring of neg
                                                                                                              gative
                                                               glob
                                                                  bal   develo
                                                                             opments      hit inves
                                                                                                  stor    sentiment,
 NAS
   SDAQ                            2,937.33       -1.30%
                                                               worrrisome spee
                                                                             ech of Chine Premiere Wen Jiaba and
                                                                                        ese        e          ao
 Nikk *
    kei                            8,944.94       -0.84%
                                                               toda
                                                                  ay's Europea meeting.
                                                                             an         .
 Hang Seng *                      19,522.29       -1.41%
                                                             • We expect a w   weak opening for the Indian ma
                                                                                                     e          arkets
* as o 8.25AM IST
     of
                                                               toda following the cues f
                                                                  ay                       from the Assian market and
                                                                                                                ts
Curr
   rencies / Co
              ommodities Snapshot
                       s
                                                               the profit taking by the global investor
                                                                   p           g                      rs.
                                     Latest      Previous
                                     Quote          Close    Econom and Cor
                                                                  mic     rporate Dev
                                                                                    velopments
                                                                                             s
 Indian Rupee per $                   55.40         54.96
                                                             • Acco
                                                                  ording to Governmen Sources India rej
                                                                                        nt        s      jected
 Indian Rupee per €                   68.07         68.09      Mauritius reque for GAAR exemptio It cannot give
                                                                             est        R         on.
 NYM
   MEX Crude Oil($/bbl)               84.80         84.45      any exceptions as sought b Mauritius
                                                                                        by        s.
 Gold ($/oz)
    d                              1,580.70      1,578.90
                                                             • BJP may suppor hike in FD in insurance.
                                                                   m        rt         DI
 Silve ($/oz)
     er                               27.19         26.90



Keyn
   note Capitals Research
                        h                      (reseaarch@keyno otecapitals.net)             (+91222-3026600  00)
                                      Keyynote Capita Research is also available on
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TOP GAINERS                                          Buzzin Stocks
                                                          ng
(BSE A-Group)
   E
                                                     • Indr
                                                          raprastha G
                                                                    Gas increase CNG price in Delh by
                                                                                 ed               hi
                    Previous   Currennt   Change       `2.9
                                                          90/kg and `3
                                                                     3.30/kg in N
                                                                                Noida, Ghazi
                                                                                           iabad.
 Com
   mpany Name
            e
                    Close(`
                          `)   Price(`
                                     `)      (%)
 IFCI                 40.05
                          5      41.20      2.87     • JSW Steel denies reports of co understated deb by
                                                                                                    bt
 Suzl
    lon Energy        19.25
                          5      19.75      2.60          900 Cr in FY
                                                       `119          Y12 mislead
                                                                               ding.
 Chambal Fert         78.75
                          5      80.65      2.41     • Coal India looks to take ov IOC’s ex
                                                                      s          ver      xplosives arm to
 Unit
    ted Spirits      740.90
                          0     758.15      2.33       mee input nee
                                                         et          eds.
 Dish TV India
    h                 69.05
                          5      70.60      2.24
                                                     • Subash Menon, founder a and promotter of Sube to
                                                                                                   ex
(BSE Mid-Cap)
   E                                                   step down as chairman, wi continue as MD.
                                                          p                    ill
                    Previous   Currennt   Change     • Sikk
                                                          kim Govt formally cancels        NCC’s
                                                                                           N         `250
                                                                                                        00Cr
 Com
   mpany Name
            e
                    Close(`
                          `)   Price(`
                                     `)      (%)
                                                       prop
                                                          posed hydel power proj
                                                                               ject.
 KSK Energy
   K                  57.85      63.60       9.94
 MCX
   X                1045.80    1116.80       6.79    • Cair India to i
                                                          rn         invest $6bn to pump more crude in 2
                                                                               n         m
 BF U
    Utilities        444.55     464.25       4.43      years, also s seeks cont tract extension for the
 Anant Raj Inds       53.70      55.85       4.00         asthan block
                                                       Raja          k.
 S Mo
    obility           44.25      46.00       3.95    • TVS in talks wit BMW to s
                                                                      th       source technological kn
                                                                                                     now-
                                                       how for high-en motorcyc
                                                         w           nd        cles.
TOP LOSERS
                                                     • Engineers India bags `720 Cr BPCL co
                                                                     a                    ontract.
(BSE A-Group)
   E
                                                     US markets
                    Previous   Currennt   Change
 Com
   mpany Name
            e
                    Close(`
                          `)   Price(`
                                     `)      (%)     U.S. st
                                                           tocks finishe lower Friday, after a report on the
                                                                        ed                             n
 Shre Cement
    ee              3053.30
                          0    2922.00
                                     0      -4.30    U.S. labor market showed tepid, below-f forecast gro
                                                                                                        owth
 Woc
   ckhardt           916.85
                          5     884.90
                                     0      -3.48    in payrrolls last mo
                                                                        onth.
 Indr
    raprastha Gas
                s    249.90
                          0     241.80
                                     0      -3.24
 Jinda Steel
     al              470.05
                          5     455.15
                                     5      -3.17
 Hexaware Tech       124.55
                          5     120.85
                                     5      -2.97

(BSE Mid-Cap)
   E
                    Previous   Currennt   Change
 Com
   mpany Name
            e
                    Close(`
                          `)   Price(`
                                     `)      (%)
 Info Edge India     367.05     357.05      -2.72
 TVS Motor            36.45      35.50      -2.61
 Alsto T&D
     om              194.85     190.15      -2.41
 Asho Leyland
    ok                24.95      24.35      -2.40
 COX KINGS
   X                 131.60     129.05      -1.94




Keyn
   note Capitals Research
                        h                   (resea
                                                 arch@keyno
                                                          otecapitals.net)            (+912
                                                                                          22-3026600
                                                                                                   00)
 



                                                                                                                                     




                                                                                                                                     




 India and Globa Economic Calendar
     a         al       c

    Countries /              Mon
                               nday                     Tuesday                  Wed
                                                                                   dnesday                     Friday

   Reg
     gions                     9-
                                -Jul                     10-Jul                     11-Jul
                                                                                    1                           13-Jul

   Ind
     dia                                                                   Money S
                                                                                 Supply                Forex Reserves Data
                                                                                                             R

                                                                                                       Bank Lo
                                                                                                             oan Growth




   US                Consumer Credit
                            r                   IBD/TIPP Economic          Trade Ba
                                                                                  alance               Produce Price Inde
                                                                                                             er         ex
                                                Optimism (MoM)
                                                       m                                               ex Food & Energy
                                                                                                             d
                                                                                                       (YoY & MoM)

                                                                           FOMC Minutes                Produce Price Inde
                                                                                                             er         ex
                                                                                                       (YoY & MoM)

                                                                                                       Reuter/ Michigan
                                                                                                             /
                                                                                                       Consummer
                                                                                                       Sentime Index
                                                                                                             ent

   Glo
     obal            Germany Trade              UK's Indu
                                                        ustrial            Germany Consumer
                                                                                 y           r         Japan In
                                                                                                              ndustrial
                     Balance                    Productio (MoM)
                                                        on                 and Who
                                                                                 olesale Price
                                                                                             e         Producttion (YoY &
                                                and (YoY)                  Index                       MoM)

                     Japanese Economic          Eurozone EcoFin
                                                        e's                Japan Ma
                                                                                  achine tools
                                                                                             s         Japan Capacity
                                                                                                              C
                     Survey                     Meeting                    order                       Utilization

                     UK retail s
                               sales
                     monitor




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                                              NOTE CAPITTALS LTD.
                       The Rub 9th Floo Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumba – 400 028
                             by,      or,                                   ai        8
                                    Tel. : +9
                                            9122-30266
                                                     6000         •   www
                                                                        w.keynotec
                                                                                 capitals.com
                                                                                            m

Disclaiimer: This re
                   eport is purely for informa ation purpose and is bassed on public information News cont
                                                                                    c             n.          tent is attribu
                                                                                                                            utable to
various media, unle specified otherwise. A market related statistic data perta
                    ess                       All                      cal          ains to the im
                                                                                                 mmediately preceding trad  ding day,
unless stated other
      s             rwise. Neithe the informa
                                 er           ation nor any opinion expressed in this report constitutes an off
                                                          y                         s                         fer, or an invitation to
make an offer, to bbuy or sell the securities m
                                              mentioned he erein. We or any of our directors, offic
                                                                                                  cers or emplo
                                                                                                              oyees shall not in any
way be responsible for any loss arising from the use of this report. Investors are advised to apply their own judgmen before
       e            e             s           m                                     e                         o             nt
acting on the conteents of this re
                                 eport. The rep
                                              port has not been edited due to time c
                                                                       d            constraints.

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Keynote capitals india morning note july 09-'12

  • 1.       India Morning Note a g Mond day, July 09 2012 9, Dom mestic Mark kets Snapsh hot Views on markets t today Nam of Index me Jul 5 Jul 6 Change (%) ) • India markets snapped th an hree-day winning strea and ak Sensex 17,538.67 17,521.12 -0.10% close on nega ed ative note o Friday af on fter interest rate CNX Nifty X 5,327.30 5,316.95 -0.19% cuts in China and the euro zone spar o rked alarm about BSE Mid-cap 6,349.26 6,313.90 -0.56% glob economi growth, hitting Infosys ahead of its bal ic BSE IT 5,700.05 5,654.85 -0.79% nings results next wee Investors are gearing up earn s ek. s BSE Banks 12,243.60 12,265.41 0.18% for the start o corporate earnings reports starting t of e next week, with Infosys an Tata Consulting Services t h nd FII A Activity (`Cr) the first compa anies to rep port. BSE Seensex, lost 17.55 Date e Buy Sell Net points or 0.1%, up close to 100 point from the day's o ts 05-Jul 2,672 2,216 456 low and off about 35 points from the day's high. a s d 04-Jul 2,185 1,884 301 • Meta stocks fe as metal prices dec al ell clined on Loondon Tota Jul al 13,968 8,756 5212 Meta Exchange on Thursd al e day, 5 July 2012. Jindal Steel 2 2012 YTD 337,493 291,271 46222 & Po ower declin ned on repo orts that th company has he MF A Activity (`Cr) susp pended operrations at its iron ore mine in Boliv m via. Date e Buy Sell Net • Infossys shares fell 1.4%, as the wo orries abou the ut 05-Jul 445 507 -62 globbal economy are cementing exp pectations India's 04-Jul 573 593 -20 secoond-biggest software service ex xporter wil cut ll Tota Jul al 1,738 2,226 -488 reveenue guida ance give en evidenc ce of red duced 2012 YTD 64,881 71,214 -6333 techhnology spending world dwide. Statee-run oil ret tailers rose on news th e hey receive `140bn ($2.5bn) from the ed Volu ume & Adva ances / Dec clines gove ernment sin nce the en of June as part o the nd of NSE BSE subssidy payout for the finaancial year ended in M March. Trad ding Volume (Cr) 55.76 22.32 Eros Internation Media r s nal rose 3% aft ter announc cing a Turn nover (`Cr) 9,345 2,112 licen with television channel COLORS Viacom nsing deal w Advances 597 971 ture betwee TV18 and Viacom, f an 18, a joint vent en for Declines 914 1,542 undisclosed amount. Unchanged 48 109 • Mark breadth was weak at ~0.63x as investors sold ket Tota al 1,559 2,622 large cap stoc e cks. On pro ovisional ba asis, FIIs b bought equity of `5.71bn while domestic institutions sold s Glob Markets bal equity of `2.23b in cash segment. bn Inde ex Late Values est Change (%) ) DJIA A 12,772.47 -0.96% • Asia stocks dro opped today after a st y tring of neg gative glob bal develo opments hit inves stor sentiment, NAS SDAQ 2,937.33 -1.30% worrrisome spee ech of Chine Premiere Wen Jiaba and ese e ao Nikk * kei 8,944.94 -0.84% toda ay's Europea meeting. an . Hang Seng * 19,522.29 -1.41% • We expect a w weak opening for the Indian ma e arkets * as o 8.25AM IST of toda following the cues f ay from the Assian market and ts Curr rencies / Co ommodities Snapshot s the profit taking by the global investor p g rs. Latest Previous Quote Close Econom and Cor mic rporate Dev velopments s Indian Rupee per $ 55.40 54.96 • Acco ording to Governmen Sources India rej nt s jected Indian Rupee per € 68.07 68.09 Mauritius reque for GAAR exemptio It cannot give est R on. NYM MEX Crude Oil($/bbl) 84.80 84.45 any exceptions as sought b Mauritius by s. Gold ($/oz) d 1,580.70 1,578.90 • BJP may suppor hike in FD in insurance. m rt DI Silve ($/oz) er 27.19 26.90 Keyn note Capitals Research h (reseaarch@keyno otecapitals.net) (+91222-3026600 00) Keyynote Capita Research is also available on als h Bloo omberg KNTE <GO>, Tho E omson One A Analytics, Re euters Knowwledge, Capit IQ, TheMa tal arkets.com and securitie a es.com Keynote Capitals Institu utional Resea arch - winner of “India’s Best IPO Analyst Award 2009” by MCX-Zee Business To unsubsc cribe from th mailing lis please reply to unsub his st, bscribe@keyynotecapitals s.net
  • 2.       TOP GAINERS Buzzin Stocks ng (BSE A-Group) E • Indr raprastha G Gas increase CNG price in Delh by ed hi Previous Currennt Change `2.9 90/kg and `3 3.30/kg in N Noida, Ghazi iabad. Com mpany Name e Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) IFCI 40.05 5 41.20 2.87 • JSW Steel denies reports of co understated deb by bt Suzl lon Energy 19.25 5 19.75 2.60 900 Cr in FY `119 Y12 mislead ding. Chambal Fert 78.75 5 80.65 2.41 • Coal India looks to take ov IOC’s ex s ver xplosives arm to Unit ted Spirits 740.90 0 758.15 2.33 mee input nee et eds. Dish TV India h 69.05 5 70.60 2.24 • Subash Menon, founder a and promotter of Sube to ex (BSE Mid-Cap) E step down as chairman, wi continue as MD. p ill Previous Currennt Change • Sikk kim Govt formally cancels NCC’s N `250 00Cr Com mpany Name e Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) prop posed hydel power proj ject. KSK Energy K 57.85 63.60 9.94 MCX X 1045.80 1116.80 6.79 • Cair India to i rn invest $6bn to pump more crude in 2 n m BF U Utilities 444.55 464.25 4.43 years, also s seeks cont tract extension for the Anant Raj Inds 53.70 55.85 4.00 asthan block Raja k. S Mo obility 44.25 46.00 3.95 • TVS in talks wit BMW to s th source technological kn now- how for high-en motorcyc w nd cles. TOP LOSERS • Engineers India bags `720 Cr BPCL co a ontract. (BSE A-Group) E US markets Previous Currennt Change Com mpany Name e Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) U.S. st tocks finishe lower Friday, after a report on the ed n Shre Cement ee 3053.30 0 2922.00 0 -4.30 U.S. labor market showed tepid, below-f forecast gro owth Woc ckhardt 916.85 5 884.90 0 -3.48 in payrrolls last mo onth. Indr raprastha Gas s 249.90 0 241.80 0 -3.24 Jinda Steel al 470.05 5 455.15 5 -3.17 Hexaware Tech 124.55 5 120.85 5 -2.97 (BSE Mid-Cap) E Previous Currennt Change Com mpany Name e Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) Info Edge India 367.05 357.05 -2.72 TVS Motor 36.45 35.50 -2.61 Alsto T&D om 194.85 190.15 -2.41 Asho Leyland ok 24.95 24.35 -2.40 COX KINGS X 131.60 129.05 -1.94 Keyn note Capitals Research h (resea arch@keyno otecapitals.net) (+912 22-3026600 00)
  • 3.       India and Globa Economic Calendar a al c Countries / Mon nday Tuesday Wed dnesday Friday Reg gions 9- -Jul 10-Jul 11-Jul 1 13-Jul Ind dia Money S Supply Forex Reserves Data R Bank Lo oan Growth US Consumer Credit r IBD/TIPP Economic Trade Ba alance Produce Price Inde er ex Optimism (MoM) m ex Food & Energy d (YoY & MoM) FOMC Minutes Produce Price Inde er ex (YoY & MoM) Reuter/ Michigan / Consummer Sentime Index ent Glo obal Germany Trade UK's Indu ustrial Germany Consumer y r Japan In ndustrial Balance Productio (MoM) on and Who olesale Price e Producttion (YoY & and (YoY) Index MoM) Japanese Economic Eurozone EcoFin e's Japan Ma achine tools s Japan Capacity C Survey Meeting order Utilization UK retail s sales monitor KEYN NOTE CAPITTALS LTD. The Rub 9th Floo Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumba – 400 028 by, or, ai 8 Tel. : +9 9122-30266 6000 • www w.keynotec capitals.com m Disclaiimer: This re eport is purely for informa ation purpose and is bassed on public information News cont c n. tent is attribu utable to various media, unle specified otherwise. A market related statistic data perta ess All cal ains to the im mmediately preceding trad ding day, unless stated other s rwise. Neithe the informa er ation nor any opinion expressed in this report constitutes an off y s fer, or an invitation to make an offer, to bbuy or sell the securities m mentioned he erein. We or any of our directors, offic cers or emplo oyees shall not in any way be responsible for any loss arising from the use of this report. Investors are advised to apply their own judgmen before e e s m e o nt acting on the conteents of this re eport. The rep port has not been edited due to time c d constraints.