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India Morning Note
    a       g
Mond
   day, June 04 2012
              4,

Dom
  mestic Mark
            kets Snapsh
                      hot                                  Views on markets t
                                                                            today
 Nam of Index
   me                  May 31        Jun 01   Change (%)
                                                       )   • India markets closed ~1.
                                                                 an                     .6% down on Friday to post
                                                                                                   o          o
 Sensex             16,218.53     15,965.16     -1.56%       its biggest fall s
                                                                 b            since May 1 as the market sentim
                                                                                        16                    ments
                                                             were hit by rising worr
                                                                 e                      ries about India's slowing
 CNX Nifty
   X                  4,924.25     4,841.60     -1.68%
                                                             econnomy at a t  time of wor
                                                                                        rsening glob risk ave
                                                                                                   bal        ersion.
 BSE Mid-cap          5,907.95     5,821.63     -1.46%
                                                             The market fall on Friday trracked weaker global s
                                                                                                              shares
 BSE IT               5,666.08     5,552.27     -2.01%       after surveys s
                                                                  r           showed Chiinese factory output bbarely
 BSE Banks          10,884.53     10,684.62     -1.84%       growwing and powerful European manufacturing
FII A
    Activity                                     (`Cr)       counntries falling deeper into malaise. Re
                                                                                                  m           eports
                                                             indic
                                                                 cating that monsoon rains over India's mai    inland
 Date
    e                     Buy          Sell        Net
                                                             will be delayed by about four days also weighe on
                                                                             d                                 ed
 31-M
    May                 6,325         6,960        -635      senttiment.
 30-M
    May                 2,197         2,112         86
                                                           • The BSE Sense fell below the psyc
                                                                           ex          w         chological 1
                                                                                                            16,000
 Tota May
    al                 46,655        48,178       -1524      mark. The Sens sex was dow 253.37 points or 1
                                                                                       wn                   1.56%,
 2012 YTD             283,033      241,096       41939       off close to 26 points fr
                                                                 c         60         rom the da ay's high an up
                                                                                                             nd
MF A
   Activity                                       (`Cr)      abou 30 points from the day's low. The Sensex shed
                                                                 ut         s                     T         x
                                                             1,10
                                                                00.28 points or 6.35% in May 2012 on India’s
                                                                                      %
 Date
    e                     Buy          Sell        Net
                                                             econnomic health and euro-
                                                                                      -zone debt worries.
                                                                                                 w
 31-M
    May                   400          857         -457
                                                           • Auto companies fell after posting lacklustre sales in
                                                                 o
 30-M
    May                   208          476         -268
                                                             May, as an exc cise tax hik and risin fuel prices hit
                                                                                       ke           ng
 Tota May
    al                  8,321         8,877        -558
                                                               mand. Howev
                                                             dem            ver, gas util
                                                                                        lity Indrapra
                                                                                                    astha Gas surged
 2012 YTD              53,315        59,972       -6658      28.9
                                                                9% on TV reports tha a New Delhi court had
                                                                                        at
Volu
   ume & Adva
            ances / Dec
                      clines                                 reve
                                                                ersed a reg gulator's ord
                                                                                        der asking IGL to tariffs in
                                                             India capital.
                                                                 a's
                                      NSE          BSE
 Trad
    ding Volume (Cr)                54.83         20.29    • Mark breadth was weak at ~0.46x as investors sold
                                                                 ket
                                                             large cap stock On provisional basis FIIs sold e
                                                                 e         ks.                    s,         equity
 Turn
    nover (`Cr)                     8,947         1,874
                                                             of `2
                                                                 2.20bn while domestic institutions bought equ
                                                                            e                                uity of
 Advances                             376          850
                                                             `2.05bn in cash segment.
                                                                           h
 Declines                           1,092         1,830
                                                           • Asian markets dropped sharply toda after we
                                                                                                  ay       eaker-
 Unchanged                             72          118
                                                                n-expected U.S. jobs data, add
                                                             than                                 ding to on
                                                                                                           ngoing
 Tota
    al                              1,540         2,798      worrries about g
                                                                            global grow
                                                                                      wth, includin the drag from
                                                                                                  ng       g
Glob Markets
   bal                                                       Euro
                                                                ope’s debt c
                                                                           crisis.
 Inde
    ex                     Late Values
                              est             Change (%)
                                                       )   • We expect a gap down ope
                                                                  e                    ening for the Indian ma
                                                                                                   e          arkets,
 DJIA
    A                            12,118.57      -2.22%       following the wweak cues f from the global econo omies.
                                                             Cons sidering the weakenin domesti economy and
                                                                                        ng         ic         y
 NAS
   SDAQ                           2,747.48      -2.82%
                                                             shar loss in c
                                                                 rp         currency str
                                                                                       rength, the markets have a
 Nikk *
    kei                           8,271.07      -2.00%
                                                             very little support downw
                                                                 y                      wards. Lack of any major
 Hang Seng *                     18,138.08      -2.26%       econnomic events, weaknes in the auto sales g
                                                                                        ss                    growth
* as o 8.25AM IST
     of                                                      and consistently rising inflation would certainly make
                                                                                                   d
Curr
   rencies / Co
              ommodities Snapshot
                       s                                     matt ters worse.
                                    Latest     Previous    Econom and Cor
                                                                mic     rporate Dev
                                                                                  velopments
                                                                                           s
                                    Quote         Close    • Petro price was cut by `2.02 per litre, a p
                                                                  ol                             r         partial
 Indian Rupee per $                  55.51        56.08      rollb
                                                                 back of the `7.54 a litre increas effected more
                                                                                                 se
 Indian Rupee per €                  69.02        69.32      than a week ago.
                                                                 n
 NYM
   MEX Crude Oil($/bbl)              82.30        83.23    • The country's e exports rose 3.23% y-o to $24.5
                                                                                         e         o-y         5bn in
 Gold ($/oz)
    d                             1,620.00     1,620.50      April, while impports grew 3.83% on year to $37
                                                                                                    y           7.9bn.
 Silve ($/oz)
     er                              28.31        28.50      April's trade def
                                                                             ficit was $13.5bn, while oil imports rose
                                                                                                    e           s
                                                             6.96 on year t $13.9bn.
                                                                6%           to

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   note Capitals Research
                        h                      (reseaarch@keyno otecapitals.net)             (+91222-3026600  00)
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TOP GAINERS                                           Buzzin Stocks
                                                           ng
(BSE A-Group)
   E                                                  • Reliance Industtries agreed to sign ag
                                                                                  d          greements with
                     Previous   Currennt   Change          gati Power Corp and N
                                                        Prag                      NTPC for su
                                                                                            upply of nat
                                                                                                       tural
 Com
   mpany Name
            e
                     Close(`
                           `)   Price(`
                                      `)      (%)       gas from its eas
                                                                       stern offsho KG-D6 fields.
                                                                                  ore
 Indr
    raprastha Gas
                s     193.75
                           5     249.35     28.70
                                                      • Bharati Shipyard has agreeed to infus `118Cr f
                                                                                            se          fresh
 Neyveli Lignite       74.25
                           5      85.25     14.81
                                                        capital into the debt-    -laden commpany, as a s
 Guja
    arat Gas          291.00
                           0     333.55     14.62       prec
                                                           condition fo its `5,800 debt res
                                                                      or         0Cr        structuring p
                                                                                                        plan,
 Guja
    arat State Pet
                 t     63.40
                           0      70.50     11.20       sour
                                                           rces said.
 Petr
    ronet LNG         127.90
                           0     139.40      8.99
                                                      • Jindal Stainless approached lenders to resche
                                                                       s                            edule
(BSE Mid-Cap)
   E                                                    repaayments of its over `9,0
                                                                                   000Cr debt.
                                                                                             .
                     Previous   Currennt   Change     • NMDDC, which is setting up a 3 MTPA steel plan in
                                                                                              A      nt
 Com
   mpany Name
            e
                     Close(`
                           `)   Price(`
                                      `)      (%)       Chhattisgarh, h
                                                                      hopes to sta producin coal from its
                                                                                   art        ng     m
 Indr
    raprastha Gas
                s     193.75     249.35     28.70       capt
                                                           tive mine by 2014       4, coinciding with the
 Guja
    arat Gas          291.00     333.55     14.62       com
                                                          mmissioning of facility fo the alloy.
                                                                                   or
 Guja
    arat State Pet
                 t     63.40      70.50     11.20
                                                      • Maruti Suzuki will invest `4,000Cr to set up a new
                                                                                             o
 Amt
   tek Auto-$         100.15     106.75       6.59      mannufacturing facility in Gujarat, raising its total
                                                                                             r
 Info Edge India      714.80     739.00       3.39      capa
                                                           acity to two million units by 2015-16.
                                                                      o
                                                      • Pow
                                                          werGrid Corp poration has firmed up plans to sp
                                                                                   s                     pend
TOP LOSERS
                                                        `10,,000Cr in the next thr ree financia years on the
                                                                                              al
(BSE A-Group)
   E                                                    sett
                                                           ting up of in           ransmission lines. For this,
                                                                       ntra-state tr         n
                     Previous   Currennt   Change       Pow
                                                          wrGrid has initiated t   talks with Bihar, Odi  isha.
 Com
   mpany Name
            e
                     Close(`
                           `)   Price(`
                                      `)      (%)       Jhar
                                                           rkhand, Chhattisgarh, Manipur, Uttar Prad     desh,
 Adani Enter          261.30
                           0     239.90
                                      0      -8.19      Maddhya Prades Tamil Na
                                                                      sh,         adu and Karnataka.
 Pant
    taloon Retl       150.60
                           0     138.85
                                      5      -7.80    US markets
 JSW ENERGY            45.00
                           0      42.05
                                      5      -6.56
                                                      US markets fell mmore than 2% Friday, turning the Dow
 Asia Paints
    an               4034.65
                           5    3777.15
                                      5      -6.38
                                                            rials negativ for the y
                                                      Industr           ve          year and pushing the S&P
 Apollo Tyres          86.50
                           0      81.20
                                      0      -6.13
                                                      500 into correc   ction territtory, after weaker-t
                                                                                              r         than-
(BSE Mid-Cap)
   E                                                  expectted U.S. jobs report in M
                                                                        s           May.
                     Previous   Currennt   Change     The Do Jones Ind
                                                            ow         dustrial Ave
                                                                                  erage fell 2774.88 points, or
 Com
   mpany Name
            e
                     Close(`
                           `)   Price(`
                                      `)      (%)     2.2%, to 12,118.5 The S&P 500 Index dropped 32.29
                                                             t        57.         P          x
 Fres
    senius Kabi       108.10      89.60     -17.11    points, or 2.5%, to 1,278.04 The Nas
                                                                                   4.         sdaq Compo  osite
 Pant
    taloon Retl       150.60     138.85      -7.80    Index declined 79.86 points, o 2.8%, to 2,747.48.
                                                            d                      or
 Arvind                77.40      71.70      -7.36
 INDI
    IAB POWER          12.97      12.07      -6.94
 Apollo Tyres          86.50      81.20      -6.13




Keyn
   note Capitals Research
                        h                    (resea
                                                  arch@keyno
                                                           otecapitals.net)             (+912
                                                                                            22-3026600
                                                                                                     00)
 



                                                                                                                                     




                                                                                                                                     




 India and Globa Economic Calendar
     a         al       c
    Countries /              Mon
                               nday                     Tuesday                  Wed
                                                                                   dnesday                    Thursday

   Reg
     gions                    4-
                               -Jun                      5-Jun
                                                         5                           6-Jun                      7-Jun

   Ind
     dia




   US                Factory Orders             ISM Non-Mfg Index                                      Consum Credit
                                                                                                            mer
                                                                                                       Change
                                                                                                            e
                                                ICSC-Gold
                                                        dman Store                                     Fed's Bernanke
                                                Sales                                                          s
                                                                                                       testifies



   Glo
     obal            UK House prices            Germanyy's                 Euro zon ECB
                                                                                   ne                  UK's Purchasing
                     data                       Purchasin Manager
                                                        ng      r          interest rate               Manage Index
                                                                                                             er
                                                Index Ser
                                                        rvices             decision & press            Services
                                                                           conferennce
                                                                           Germany IIP
                                                                                 y                     UK's Bo Interest
                                                                                                             oE
                                                                                                       Rate De
                                                                                                             ecision
                                                                                                       Japan's Leading
                                                                                                       Econom Index
                                                                                                             mic




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                                              NOTE CAPITTALS LTD.
                       The Rub 9th Floo Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumba – 400 028
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                                                                                capitals.com
                                                                                           m

Disclaiimer: This re
                   eport is purely for informa ation purpose and is bassed on public information News cont
                                                                                    c             n.          tent is attribu
                                                                                                                            utable to
various media, unle specified otherwise. A market related statistic data perta
                    ess                       All                      cal          ains to the im
                                                                                                 mmediately preceding trad  ding day,
unless stated other
      s             rwise. Neithe the informa
                                 er           ation nor any opinion expressed in this report constitutes an off
                                                          y                         s                         fer, or an invitation to
make an offer, to bbuy or sell the securities m
                                              mentioned he erein. We or any of our directors, offic
                                                                                                  cers or emplo
                                                                                                              oyees shall not in any
way be responsible for any loss arising from the use of this report. Investors are advised to apply their own judgmen before
       e            e             s           m                                     e                         o             nt
acting on the conteents of this re
                                 eport. The rep
                                              port has not been edited due to time c
                                                                       d            constraints.

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Keynote capitals india morning note jun 4-'12

  • 1.       India Morning Note a g Mond day, June 04 2012 4, Dom mestic Mark kets Snapsh hot Views on markets t today Nam of Index me May 31 Jun 01 Change (%) ) • India markets closed ~1. an .6% down on Friday to post o o Sensex 16,218.53 15,965.16 -1.56% its biggest fall s b since May 1 as the market sentim 16 ments were hit by rising worr e ries about India's slowing CNX Nifty X 4,924.25 4,841.60 -1.68% econnomy at a t time of wor rsening glob risk ave bal ersion. BSE Mid-cap 5,907.95 5,821.63 -1.46% The market fall on Friday trracked weaker global s shares BSE IT 5,666.08 5,552.27 -2.01% after surveys s r showed Chiinese factory output bbarely BSE Banks 10,884.53 10,684.62 -1.84% growwing and powerful European manufacturing FII A Activity (`Cr) counntries falling deeper into malaise. Re m eports indic cating that monsoon rains over India's mai inland Date e Buy Sell Net will be delayed by about four days also weighe on d ed 31-M May 6,325 6,960 -635 senttiment. 30-M May 2,197 2,112 86 • The BSE Sense fell below the psyc ex w chological 1 16,000 Tota May al 46,655 48,178 -1524 mark. The Sens sex was dow 253.37 points or 1 wn 1.56%, 2012 YTD 283,033 241,096 41939 off close to 26 points fr c 60 rom the da ay's high an up nd MF A Activity (`Cr) abou 30 points from the day's low. The Sensex shed ut s T x 1,10 00.28 points or 6.35% in May 2012 on India’s % Date e Buy Sell Net econnomic health and euro- -zone debt worries. w 31-M May 400 857 -457 • Auto companies fell after posting lacklustre sales in o 30-M May 208 476 -268 May, as an exc cise tax hik and risin fuel prices hit ke ng Tota May al 8,321 8,877 -558 mand. Howev dem ver, gas util lity Indrapra astha Gas surged 2012 YTD 53,315 59,972 -6658 28.9 9% on TV reports tha a New Delhi court had at Volu ume & Adva ances / Dec clines reve ersed a reg gulator's ord der asking IGL to tariffs in India capital. a's NSE BSE Trad ding Volume (Cr) 54.83 20.29 • Mark breadth was weak at ~0.46x as investors sold ket large cap stock On provisional basis FIIs sold e e ks. s, equity Turn nover (`Cr) 8,947 1,874 of `2 2.20bn while domestic institutions bought equ e uity of Advances 376 850 `2.05bn in cash segment. h Declines 1,092 1,830 • Asian markets dropped sharply toda after we ay eaker- Unchanged 72 118 n-expected U.S. jobs data, add than ding to on ngoing Tota al 1,540 2,798 worrries about g global grow wth, includin the drag from ng g Glob Markets bal Euro ope’s debt c crisis. Inde ex Late Values est Change (%) ) • We expect a gap down ope e ening for the Indian ma e arkets, DJIA A 12,118.57 -2.22% following the wweak cues f from the global econo omies. Cons sidering the weakenin domesti economy and ng ic y NAS SDAQ 2,747.48 -2.82% shar loss in c rp currency str rength, the markets have a Nikk * kei 8,271.07 -2.00% very little support downw y wards. Lack of any major Hang Seng * 18,138.08 -2.26% econnomic events, weaknes in the auto sales g ss growth * as o 8.25AM IST of and consistently rising inflation would certainly make d Curr rencies / Co ommodities Snapshot s matt ters worse. Latest Previous Econom and Cor mic rporate Dev velopments s Quote Close • Petro price was cut by `2.02 per litre, a p ol r partial Indian Rupee per $ 55.51 56.08 rollb back of the `7.54 a litre increas effected more se Indian Rupee per € 69.02 69.32 than a week ago. n NYM MEX Crude Oil($/bbl) 82.30 83.23 • The country's e exports rose 3.23% y-o to $24.5 e o-y 5bn in Gold ($/oz) d 1,620.00 1,620.50 April, while impports grew 3.83% on year to $37 y 7.9bn. Silve ($/oz) er 28.31 28.50 April's trade def ficit was $13.5bn, while oil imports rose e s 6.96 on year t $13.9bn. 6% to Keyn note Capitals Research h (reseaarch@keyno otecapitals.net) (+91222-3026600 00) Keyynote Capita Research is also available on als h Bloo omberg KNTE <GO>, Tho E omson One A Analytics, Re euters Knowwledge, Capit IQ, TheMa tal arkets.com and securitie a es.com Keynote Capitals Institu utional Resea arch - winner of “India’s Best IPO Analyst Award 2009” by MCX-Zee Business To unsubsc cribe from th mailing lis please reply to unsub his st, bscribe@keyynotecapitals s.net
  • 2.       TOP GAINERS Buzzin Stocks ng (BSE A-Group) E • Reliance Industtries agreed to sign ag d greements with Previous Currennt Change gati Power Corp and N Prag NTPC for su upply of nat tural Com mpany Name e Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) gas from its eas stern offsho KG-D6 fields. ore Indr raprastha Gas s 193.75 5 249.35 28.70 • Bharati Shipyard has agreeed to infus `118Cr f se fresh Neyveli Lignite 74.25 5 85.25 14.81 capital into the debt- -laden commpany, as a s Guja arat Gas 291.00 0 333.55 14.62 prec condition fo its `5,800 debt res or 0Cr structuring p plan, Guja arat State Pet t 63.40 0 70.50 11.20 sour rces said. Petr ronet LNG 127.90 0 139.40 8.99 • Jindal Stainless approached lenders to resche s edule (BSE Mid-Cap) E repaayments of its over `9,0 000Cr debt. . Previous Currennt Change • NMDDC, which is setting up a 3 MTPA steel plan in A nt Com mpany Name e Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) Chhattisgarh, h hopes to sta producin coal from its art ng m Indr raprastha Gas s 193.75 249.35 28.70 capt tive mine by 2014 4, coinciding with the Guja arat Gas 291.00 333.55 14.62 com mmissioning of facility fo the alloy. or Guja arat State Pet t 63.40 70.50 11.20 • Maruti Suzuki will invest `4,000Cr to set up a new o Amt tek Auto-$ 100.15 106.75 6.59 mannufacturing facility in Gujarat, raising its total r Info Edge India 714.80 739.00 3.39 capa acity to two million units by 2015-16. o • Pow werGrid Corp poration has firmed up plans to sp s pend TOP LOSERS `10,,000Cr in the next thr ree financia years on the al (BSE A-Group) E sett ting up of in ransmission lines. For this, ntra-state tr n Previous Currennt Change Pow wrGrid has initiated t talks with Bihar, Odi isha. Com mpany Name e Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) Jhar rkhand, Chhattisgarh, Manipur, Uttar Prad desh, Adani Enter 261.30 0 239.90 0 -8.19 Maddhya Prades Tamil Na sh, adu and Karnataka. Pant taloon Retl 150.60 0 138.85 5 -7.80 US markets JSW ENERGY 45.00 0 42.05 5 -6.56 US markets fell mmore than 2% Friday, turning the Dow Asia Paints an 4034.65 5 3777.15 5 -6.38 rials negativ for the y Industr ve year and pushing the S&P Apollo Tyres 86.50 0 81.20 0 -6.13 500 into correc ction territtory, after weaker-t r than- (BSE Mid-Cap) E expectted U.S. jobs report in M s May. Previous Currennt Change The Do Jones Ind ow dustrial Ave erage fell 2774.88 points, or Com mpany Name e Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) 2.2%, to 12,118.5 The S&P 500 Index dropped 32.29 t 57. P x Fres senius Kabi 108.10 89.60 -17.11 points, or 2.5%, to 1,278.04 The Nas 4. sdaq Compo osite Pant taloon Retl 150.60 138.85 -7.80 Index declined 79.86 points, o 2.8%, to 2,747.48. d or Arvind 77.40 71.70 -7.36 INDI IAB POWER 12.97 12.07 -6.94 Apollo Tyres 86.50 81.20 -6.13 Keyn note Capitals Research h (resea arch@keyno otecapitals.net) (+912 22-3026600 00)
  • 3.       India and Globa Economic Calendar a al c Countries / Mon nday Tuesday Wed dnesday Thursday Reg gions 4- -Jun 5-Jun 5 6-Jun 7-Jun Ind dia US Factory Orders ISM Non-Mfg Index Consum Credit mer Change e ICSC-Gold dman Store Fed's Bernanke Sales s testifies Glo obal UK House prices Germanyy's Euro zon ECB ne UK's Purchasing data Purchasin Manager ng r interest rate Manage Index er Index Ser rvices decision & press Services conferennce Germany IIP y UK's Bo Interest oE Rate De ecision Japan's Leading Econom Index mic KEYN NOTE CAPITTALS LTD. The Rub 9th Floo Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumba – 400 028 by, or, ai 8 Tel. : +9 9122-30266 6000 • www w.keynotec capitals.com m Disclaiimer: This re eport is purely for informa ation purpose and is bassed on public information News cont c n. tent is attribu utable to various media, unle specified otherwise. A market related statistic data perta ess All cal ains to the im mmediately preceding trad ding day, unless stated other s rwise. Neithe the informa er ation nor any opinion expressed in this report constitutes an off y s fer, or an invitation to make an offer, to bbuy or sell the securities m mentioned he erein. We or any of our directors, offic cers or emplo oyees shall not in any way be responsible for any loss arising from the use of this report. Investors are advised to apply their own judgmen before e e s m e o nt acting on the conteents of this re eport. The rep port has not been edited due to time c d constraints.