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India Morning Note
    a       g
Mond
   day, June 18, 2012

Dom
  mestic Mark
            kets Snapsh
                      hot                                  Views on markets t
                                                                            today
 Nam of Index
   me                   Jun 14       Jun 15   Change (%)
                                                       )   • India markets surged on F
                                                                 an                       Friday to attain their hi
                                                                                                                  ighest
                                                             closiing level in over 6 wee as stock rose acros the
                                                                                         eks         ks            ss
 Sensex             16,677.88     16,949.83      1.63%
                                                             glob on reports central ba
                                                                be                        anks of majo economie are
                                                                                                      or          es
 CNX Nifty
   X                  5,054.75     5,139.05      1.67%
                                                             read to prov
                                                                 dy           vide liquidit if needed after c
                                                                                          ty                      crucial
 BSE Mid-cap          5,924.59     5,958.50      0.57%       electtions in Greeek on Sund day, 17 June 2012. The vote
                                                                                                      e           e
 BSE IT               5,701.57     5,765.50      1.12%       is exxpected to determine the Greece's future i the  in
 BSE Banks          11,338.72     11,586.65      2.19%       euro zone. Dom
                                                                 o             mestic mar rkets have also rallied this
                                                                                                                  d
FII A
    Activity                                     (`Cr)       monnth on hope the Rese
                                                                              es         erve Bank of India's w cut
                                                                                                     o           will
                                                             inter
                                                                 rest rates to boost the falling econ
                                                                              o                      nomy.
 Date
    e                     Buy          Sell        Net
                                                           • India markets have rallie since the country p
                                                                 an                     ed         e         posted
 14-Jun                 1,282         1,192         90
                                                             its weakest gro
                                                                 w          owth in nine years in th January-March
                                                                                       e           he
 13-Jun                 1,870         1,598        272       quarrter, according to data released on May 31, r
                                                                                                   n         raising
 Tota Jun
    al                 18,632        18,183        449       expeectations th RBI would need to switch its focus
                                                                             he
 2012 YTD             301,666      259,278       42387       from inflation to growth.
                                                                m            o
MF A
   Activity                                       (`Cr)    • The barometer index, BS Sensex, jumped 271.95
                                                                            r          SE
                                                             points or 1.63% up about 250 point from the day's
                                                                            %,         t        ts
 Date
    e                     Buy          Sell        Net
                                                             low and off clos to 20 poin from the day's high.
                                                                 a          se         nts      e
 14-Jun                   187          462         -275
                                                           • Auto real estate and ban
                                                                 o,                  nks stocks advanced o the
                                                                                                 a         on
 13-Jun                   635          547          88
                                                             expeectation of rate cut by the RBI’s mid-qu   uarter
 Tota Jun
    al                  4,233         3,824        409       monnetary polic review on Monda
                                                                            cy                   ay. Tata MMotors
 2012 YTD              58,097        64,155       -6058      surg
                                                                ged over 5% after Chairman Ratan Tata purchased
                                                                           %                     n
Volu
   ume & Adva
            ances / Dec
                      clines                                 additional share of the firm and aft
                                                                            es                   ter the com
                                                                                                           mpany
                                                                orted a surg in sales o its Jaguar Land Rove unit
                                                             repo          ge         of         r         er
                                      NSE          BSE
                                                             in May 2012.
 Trad
    ding Volume (Cr)                52.27         17.16
                                                           • Markket breadth was strong at ~1.3
                                                                             h                   31x as inve estors
 Turn
    nover (`Cr)                     9,496         1,723
                                                             bougght large c cap stocks. On provis
                                                                                                 sional basis FIIs
                                                                                                             s,
 Advances                             823         1,525      bougght equity of `3.39bn while dommestic institu
                                                                                                             utions
 Declines                             611         1,165      sold equity of `1
                                                                             1.21bn in ca segmen
                                                                                        ash     nt.
 Unchanged                            101          145     • Asia markets juumped after Greece’s pro-bailout party
 Tota
    al                              1,535         2,835      appeeared likely to secure a narrow win in na
                                                                            y         e                     ational
Glob Markets
   bal                                                       elect
                                                                 tions and ke
                                                                            eep the euro zone intac for now.
                                                                                                  ct
                                                           • We expect a po ositive open
                                                                                       ning for the Indian ma
                                                                                                  e         arkets,
 Inde
    ex                     Late Values
                              est             Change (%)
                                                       )
                                                             as the optimism across t
                                                                t                      the world rises after Greek
                                                                                                  r
 DJIA
    A                            12,767.17       0.91%
                                                             elect
                                                                 tions. The m
                                                                            markets, howwever, may remain cau
                                                                                                  y          utious
 NAS
   SDAQ                           2,872.80       1.29%       ahea of the mo
                                                                 ad         onetary policy today.
 Nikk *
    kei                           8,720.27       1.76%
                                                           Econom and Cor
                                                                mic     rporate Dev
                                                                                  velopments
                                                                                           s
 Hang Seng *                     19,547.25       1.63%
                                                           • Desppite the ovverall gloom in the economy, adv
                                                                                       m                   vance
* as o 8.25AM IST
     of                                                      tax collections of the top 100 companies are
                                                                            s                              s
Curr
   rencies / Co
              ommodities Snapshot
                       s                                     margginally high
                                                                            her at 10% in the firs quarter o the
                                                                                                   st      of
                                    Latest     Previous      curre fiscal, said senior ta officials.
                                                                 ent                    ax
                                    Quote         Close    • India has been increasing its exposure to Ame
                                                                 a          n          g                       erican
 Indian Rupee per $                  55.38        55.71      debt since the start of this year and owne US
                                                                 t           e                                ed
 Indian Rupee per €                  70.01        70.34      goveernment se ecurities wo
                                                                                       orth $51.2bn till April, amid
 NYM
   MEX Crude Oil($/bbl)              84.97        84.03      pers
                                                                sisting globa economic uncertainti
                                                                            al                    ies.
 Gold ($/oz)
    d                             1,623.50     1,627.20    • The governmen on Sunda ruled out raising the 49%
                                                                            nt      ay         t        e
 Silve ($/oz)
     er                              28.44        28.73      forei
                                                                 ign direct investment (FDI) cap in the I
                                                                                     t         p        Indian
                                                             aviation sector.

Keyn
   note Capitals Research
                        h                      (reseaarch@keyno otecapitals.net)             (+91222-3026600  00)
                                      Keyynote Capita Research is also available on
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TOP GAINERS                                            Buzzin Stocks
                                                            ng
(BSE A-Group)
   E                                                   • The government has initiated the process of 10%
                                                                                          p
                      Previous   Currennt   Change       stak sale in National Aluminium Company w
                                                            ke                            C         which
 Com
   mpany Name
            e                                            may fetch the e
                                                            y          exchequer a estimated `12,000Cr.
                                                                                 an
                      Close(`
                            `)   Price(`
                                       `)      (%)
 Gras
    sim Inds          2340.85
                            5    2485.00      6.16     • Shasun Pharmaceuticals is planning for backw
                                                                                             g         ward
 Tata Motors
    a                  227.00
                            0     240.05      5.75       integration by entering into manufacture of
                                                                       y          g         m
 Unit
    ted Spirits        656.95
                            5     687.55      4.66       intermediates, initially w
                                                                                  with starting material for
 IB R
    Real Est            54.00
                            0      56.30      4.26       som of its ke active p
                                                            me         ey         pharmaceutical ingredi
                                                                                                       ients
 Relia
     ance Cap          332.55
                            5     346.25      4.12       (APIs).
                                                       • Shriram Transp port Finance Company has planne to
                                                                                   e                      ed
(BSE Mid-Cap)
   E
                                                         raise around `
                                                             e          `2,000Cr via secured/uunsecured non-
                      Previous   Currennt   Change       convvertible deb
                                                                        bentures (N
                                                                                  NCDs). There would be one
                                                                                              e
 Com
   mpany Name
            e
                      Close(`
                            `)   Price(`
                                       `)      (%)       or more tranc
                                                             m          ches of pubblic issues and/or private
 Stat Bk Mysre
    te                 481.40     530.00     10.10
                                                         plac
                                                            cements during the current financ cial year, sa a
                                                                                                          aid
 India Cements
     a                  76.60      81.65       6.59      seni official.
                                                             ior
 HMT
   T                    38.20      40.65       6.41
                                                       • India Infoline V
                                                                        Venture Cap
                                                                                  pital Fund, the VC arm of
                                                                                                         m
 Allca
     argo Logistics
                  s    120.05     127.05       5.83
                                                         the country’s leading fina
                                                                                  ancial servic
                                                                                              ces provide is
                                                                                                         er,
 D B CORP              182.50     192.50       5.48      adding another `200Cr to its `500Cr real estate f
                                                                        r                    r           fund.
                                                       • Refu
                                                            uting Oil M           arges on KG-D6 gas field
                                                                       Ministry cha         K
TOP LOSERS
                                                         outp lagging targets, Re
                                                            put                   eliance Indu
                                                                                             ustries has said
(BSE A-Group)
   E                                                     ther is no "obligation" in the contract to ach
                                                            re                                          hieve
                      Previous   Currennt   Change       cert
                                                            tain levels of producttion and th governm
                                                                                             he         ment
 Com
   mpany Name
            e                                            cannot levy p penalty for not mee
                                                                                  r          eting indica
                                                                                                        ative
                      Close(`
                            `)   Price(`
                                       `)      (%)
 Corp
    poration Bk        438.30
                            0    416.95
                                      5       -4.87      outp levels.
                                                            put
 Hind
    dustan Copp        263.75
                            5    258.35
                                      5       -2.05    • Coal India has cancelled preliminar supply p
                                                                       s                     ry         pacts
 Rash
    htriya Chem         58.15
                            5      57.10
                                       0      -1.81      with as many as 60 captive pow
                                                            h          y                     wer plants and
 Alsto T&D
     om                183.00
                            0    180.00
                                      0       -1.64      indeependent prroducers, in
                                                                                   ncluding Tatas, Essars and
 Ster
    rlite Inds         101.85
                            5    100.25
                                      5       -1.57      Bhushans, say ying they d did not coomply with the
                                                         stipulated norm
                                                                       ms.
(BSE Mid-Cap)
   E
                                                       • NMD has started a fresh round of ne
                                                            DC                               egotiations with
                      Previous   Currennt   Change       glob mining g
                                                            bal        giant Rio Tin to revive an equal joint
                                                                                   nto
 Com
   mpany Name
            e
                      Close(`
                            `)   Price(`
                                       `)      (%)       ventture that w
                                                                       was mutually scrapped almost a year
                                                                                            d
 Corp
    poration Bk        438.30     416.95      -4.87      ago.
 KSK Energy
   K                    53.10      50.80      -4.33
                                                       US markets
 VST Inds
   T                  1832.60    1758.80      -4.03
                                                             tocks on Friday climbe on optim
                                                       U.S. st                    ed,        mism for ac ction
 Himadri Chem           30.55      29.50      -3.44
                                                       by global central banks to s
                                                                                  stabilize markets if nee
                                                                                                         eded
 Mah
   harashtra Sea
               a       342.25     332.05      -2.98
                                                       after Greek electio
                                                             G           ons.
                                                       The Do Jones Ind
                                                              ow        dustrial Average rose 115.26 point or
                                                                                                         ts,
                                                       0.9%, to 12,767.1 The S&P 500 Index climbed 13.74
                                                                        17.         P         x
                                                       points, or 1%, to 1,342.84, up 1.3% from the week
                                                                                              m          k-ago
                                                       close.
                                                       The Nasdaq Composite adde 36.47 points, or 1.3% to
                                                                               ed                    %,
                                                             80.
                                                       2,872.8




Keyn
   note Capitals Research
                        h                     (resea
                                                   arch@keyno
                                                            otecapitals.net)            (+912
                                                                                            22-3026600
                                                                                                     00)
 



                                                                                                                                     




                                                                                                                                     




 India and Globa Economic Calendar
     a         al       c

    Countries /              Mon
                               nday                     Tuesday                  Wed
                                                                                   dnesday                    Thursday

   Reg
     gions                    18
                               8-Jun                     19
                                                          9-Jun                     20-Jun
                                                                                    2                          21-Jun

   Ind
     dia             Consumer Price
                            r
                     Index




   US                NAHB Hou using             Housing S
                                                        Starts             Fed pres
                                                                                  ss                   Continuuing & Initial
                     Market Ind
                              dex               (MoM)                      conferen & FOMC
                                                                                  nce    C             jobless claims
                                                                           minutes

                                                Building P
                                                         Permits           Interest rate               Purchas
                                                                                                             sing Manageer
                                                (MoM)                      decision                    Index Manufacturin
                                                                                                             M          ng
                                                                                                       (Jun)

                                                                                                       Housing Price Index
                                                                                                             g
                                                                                                       (Apr)

   Glo
     obal            Bank of Ja
                              apan              UK's Cons
                                                        sumer Price
                                                                  e        Germany producer
                                                                                   y                   Europe--purchasingg
                     Monthly Economic           Index (Mo
                                                        oM) and            price ind
                                                                                   dex                 manage index
                                                                                                              ers
                     Survey                     (YoY)                                                  (Manufaacturing &
                                                                                                       Services)

                                                Japan's L
                                                        Leading            Bank of england             UK Reta Sales (Yo
                                                                                                             ail       oY)
                                                Economic Index
                                                        c                  minutes & UK
                                                                           unemplooyment rate
                                                                                            e

                                                Germany ZEW
                                                        y's                Japan's a industry
                                                                                    all
                                                Survey - Economic          activity index
                                                Sentimennt




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                                              NOTE CAPITTALS LTD.
                       The Rub 9th Floo Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumba – 400 028
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Disclaiimer: This re
                   eport is purely for informa ation purpose and is bassed on public information News cont
                                                                                    c             n.          tent is attribu
                                                                                                                            utable to
various media, unle specified otherwise. A market related statistic data perta
                    ess                       All                      cal          ains to the im
                                                                                                 mmediately preceding trad  ding day,
unless stated other
      s             rwise. Neithe the informa
                                 er           ation nor any opinion expressed in this report constitutes an off
                                                          y                         s                         fer, or an invitation to
make an offer, to bbuy or sell the securities m
                                              mentioned he erein. We or any of our directors, offic
                                                                                                  cers or emplo
                                                                                                              oyees shall not in any
way be responsible for any loss arising from the use of this report. Investors are advised to apply their own judgmen before
       e            e             s           m                                     e                         o             nt
acting on the conteents of this re
                                 eport. The rep
                                              port has not been edited due to time c
                                                                       d            constraints.

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Keynote capitals india morning note jun 18-'12

  • 1.       India Morning Note a g Mond day, June 18, 2012 Dom mestic Mark kets Snapsh hot Views on markets t today Nam of Index me Jun 14 Jun 15 Change (%) ) • India markets surged on F an Friday to attain their hi ighest closiing level in over 6 wee as stock rose acros the eks ks ss Sensex 16,677.88 16,949.83 1.63% glob on reports central ba be anks of majo economie are or es CNX Nifty X 5,054.75 5,139.05 1.67% read to prov dy vide liquidit if needed after c ty crucial BSE Mid-cap 5,924.59 5,958.50 0.57% electtions in Greeek on Sund day, 17 June 2012. The vote e e BSE IT 5,701.57 5,765.50 1.12% is exxpected to determine the Greece's future i the in BSE Banks 11,338.72 11,586.65 2.19% euro zone. Dom o mestic mar rkets have also rallied this d FII A Activity (`Cr) monnth on hope the Rese es erve Bank of India's w cut o will inter rest rates to boost the falling econ o nomy. Date e Buy Sell Net • India markets have rallie since the country p an ed e posted 14-Jun 1,282 1,192 90 its weakest gro w owth in nine years in th January-March e he 13-Jun 1,870 1,598 272 quarrter, according to data released on May 31, r n raising Tota Jun al 18,632 18,183 449 expeectations th RBI would need to switch its focus he 2012 YTD 301,666 259,278 42387 from inflation to growth. m o MF A Activity (`Cr) • The barometer index, BS Sensex, jumped 271.95 r SE points or 1.63% up about 250 point from the day's %, t ts Date e Buy Sell Net low and off clos to 20 poin from the day's high. a se nts e 14-Jun 187 462 -275 • Auto real estate and ban o, nks stocks advanced o the a on 13-Jun 635 547 88 expeectation of rate cut by the RBI’s mid-qu uarter Tota Jun al 4,233 3,824 409 monnetary polic review on Monda cy ay. Tata MMotors 2012 YTD 58,097 64,155 -6058 surg ged over 5% after Chairman Ratan Tata purchased % n Volu ume & Adva ances / Dec clines additional share of the firm and aft es ter the com mpany orted a surg in sales o its Jaguar Land Rove unit repo ge of r er NSE BSE in May 2012. Trad ding Volume (Cr) 52.27 17.16 • Markket breadth was strong at ~1.3 h 31x as inve estors Turn nover (`Cr) 9,496 1,723 bougght large c cap stocks. On provis sional basis FIIs s, Advances 823 1,525 bougght equity of `3.39bn while dommestic institu utions Declines 611 1,165 sold equity of `1 1.21bn in ca segmen ash nt. Unchanged 101 145 • Asia markets juumped after Greece’s pro-bailout party Tota al 1,535 2,835 appeeared likely to secure a narrow win in na y e ational Glob Markets bal elect tions and ke eep the euro zone intac for now. ct • We expect a po ositive open ning for the Indian ma e arkets, Inde ex Late Values est Change (%) ) as the optimism across t t the world rises after Greek r DJIA A 12,767.17 0.91% elect tions. The m markets, howwever, may remain cau y utious NAS SDAQ 2,872.80 1.29% ahea of the mo ad onetary policy today. Nikk * kei 8,720.27 1.76% Econom and Cor mic rporate Dev velopments s Hang Seng * 19,547.25 1.63% • Desppite the ovverall gloom in the economy, adv m vance * as o 8.25AM IST of tax collections of the top 100 companies are s s Curr rencies / Co ommodities Snapshot s margginally high her at 10% in the firs quarter o the st of Latest Previous curre fiscal, said senior ta officials. ent ax Quote Close • India has been increasing its exposure to Ame a n g erican Indian Rupee per $ 55.38 55.71 debt since the start of this year and owne US t e ed Indian Rupee per € 70.01 70.34 goveernment se ecurities wo orth $51.2bn till April, amid NYM MEX Crude Oil($/bbl) 84.97 84.03 pers sisting globa economic uncertainti al ies. Gold ($/oz) d 1,623.50 1,627.20 • The governmen on Sunda ruled out raising the 49% nt ay t e Silve ($/oz) er 28.44 28.73 forei ign direct investment (FDI) cap in the I t p Indian aviation sector. Keyn note Capitals Research h (reseaarch@keyno otecapitals.net) (+91222-3026600 00) Keyynote Capita Research is also available on als h Bloo omberg KNTE <GO>, Tho E omson One A Analytics, Re euters Knowwledge, Capit IQ, TheMa tal arkets.com and securitie a es.com Keynote Capitals Institu utional Resea arch - winner of “India’s Best IPO Analyst Award 2009” by MCX-Zee Business To unsubsc cribe from th mailing lis please reply to unsub his st, bscribe@keyynotecapitals s.net
  • 2.       TOP GAINERS Buzzin Stocks ng (BSE A-Group) E • The government has initiated the process of 10% p Previous Currennt Change stak sale in National Aluminium Company w ke C which Com mpany Name e may fetch the e y exchequer a estimated `12,000Cr. an Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) Gras sim Inds 2340.85 5 2485.00 6.16 • Shasun Pharmaceuticals is planning for backw g ward Tata Motors a 227.00 0 240.05 5.75 integration by entering into manufacture of y g m Unit ted Spirits 656.95 5 687.55 4.66 intermediates, initially w with starting material for IB R Real Est 54.00 0 56.30 4.26 som of its ke active p me ey pharmaceutical ingredi ients Relia ance Cap 332.55 5 346.25 4.12 (APIs). • Shriram Transp port Finance Company has planne to e ed (BSE Mid-Cap) E raise around ` e `2,000Cr via secured/uunsecured non- Previous Currennt Change convvertible deb bentures (N NCDs). There would be one e Com mpany Name e Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) or more tranc m ches of pubblic issues and/or private Stat Bk Mysre te 481.40 530.00 10.10 plac cements during the current financ cial year, sa a aid India Cements a 76.60 81.65 6.59 seni official. ior HMT T 38.20 40.65 6.41 • India Infoline V Venture Cap pital Fund, the VC arm of m Allca argo Logistics s 120.05 127.05 5.83 the country’s leading fina ancial servic ces provide is er, D B CORP 182.50 192.50 5.48 adding another `200Cr to its `500Cr real estate f r r fund. • Refu uting Oil M arges on KG-D6 gas field Ministry cha K TOP LOSERS outp lagging targets, Re put eliance Indu ustries has said (BSE A-Group) E ther is no "obligation" in the contract to ach re hieve Previous Currennt Change cert tain levels of producttion and th governm he ment Com mpany Name e cannot levy p penalty for not mee r eting indica ative Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) Corp poration Bk 438.30 0 416.95 5 -4.87 outp levels. put Hind dustan Copp 263.75 5 258.35 5 -2.05 • Coal India has cancelled preliminar supply p s ry pacts Rash htriya Chem 58.15 5 57.10 0 -1.81 with as many as 60 captive pow h y wer plants and Alsto T&D om 183.00 0 180.00 0 -1.64 indeependent prroducers, in ncluding Tatas, Essars and Ster rlite Inds 101.85 5 100.25 5 -1.57 Bhushans, say ying they d did not coomply with the stipulated norm ms. (BSE Mid-Cap) E • NMD has started a fresh round of ne DC egotiations with Previous Currennt Change glob mining g bal giant Rio Tin to revive an equal joint nto Com mpany Name e Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) ventture that w was mutually scrapped almost a year d Corp poration Bk 438.30 416.95 -4.87 ago. KSK Energy K 53.10 50.80 -4.33 US markets VST Inds T 1832.60 1758.80 -4.03 tocks on Friday climbe on optim U.S. st ed, mism for ac ction Himadri Chem 30.55 29.50 -3.44 by global central banks to s stabilize markets if nee eded Mah harashtra Sea a 342.25 332.05 -2.98 after Greek electio G ons. The Do Jones Ind ow dustrial Average rose 115.26 point or ts, 0.9%, to 12,767.1 The S&P 500 Index climbed 13.74 17. P x points, or 1%, to 1,342.84, up 1.3% from the week m k-ago close. The Nasdaq Composite adde 36.47 points, or 1.3% to ed %, 80. 2,872.8 Keyn note Capitals Research h (resea arch@keyno otecapitals.net) (+912 22-3026600 00)
  • 3.       India and Globa Economic Calendar a al c Countries / Mon nday Tuesday Wed dnesday Thursday Reg gions 18 8-Jun 19 9-Jun 20-Jun 2 21-Jun Ind dia Consumer Price r Index US NAHB Hou using Housing S Starts Fed pres ss Continuuing & Initial Market Ind dex (MoM) conferen & FOMC nce C jobless claims minutes Building P Permits Interest rate Purchas sing Manageer (MoM) decision Index Manufacturin M ng (Jun) Housing Price Index g (Apr) Glo obal Bank of Ja apan UK's Cons sumer Price e Germany producer y Europe--purchasingg Monthly Economic Index (Mo oM) and price ind dex manage index ers Survey (YoY) (Manufaacturing & Services) Japan's L Leading Bank of england UK Reta Sales (Yo ail oY) Economic Index c minutes & UK unemplooyment rate e Germany ZEW y's Japan's a industry all Survey - Economic activity index Sentimennt KEYN NOTE CAPITTALS LTD. The Rub 9th Floo Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumba – 400 028 by, or, ai 8 Tel. : +9 9122-30266 6000 • www w.keynotec capitals.com m Disclaiimer: This re eport is purely for informa ation purpose and is bassed on public information News cont c n. tent is attribu utable to various media, unle specified otherwise. A market related statistic data perta ess All cal ains to the im mmediately preceding trad ding day, unless stated other s rwise. Neithe the informa er ation nor any opinion expressed in this report constitutes an off y s fer, or an invitation to make an offer, to bbuy or sell the securities m mentioned he erein. We or any of our directors, offic cers or emplo oyees shall not in any way be responsible for any loss arising from the use of this report. Investors are advised to apply their own judgmen before e e s m e o nt acting on the conteents of this re eport. The rep port has not been edited due to time c d constraints.