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India Morning Note
    a       g
Thur
   rsday, June 28, 2012

Dom
  mestic Mark
            kets Snapsh
                      hot                                  Views on markets t
                                                                            today
 Nam of Index
   me                   Jun 26       Jun 27   Change (%)
                                                       )   • India
                                                                 an market   ts edged higher in choppy trade
 Sensex             16,906.58     16,967.76      0.36%       yestterday as ppower utilitie gained after a proposed
                                                                                         es         a
                                                             tariff hike in N
                                                                  f          New Delhi, while infraastructure s
                                                                                                              stocks
 CNX Nifty
   X                  5,120.80     5,141.90      0.41%
                                                             advaanced on hopes for a renewe push by the
                                                                                                   ed          y
 BSE Mid-cap          6,030.09     6,051.50      0.36%
                                                             goveernment to increase investment in the s
                                                                             o                      t         sector.
 BSE IT               5,622.53     5,675.26      0.94%       Sent timent was also boosted after Deutsche Bank
                                                                             s
 BSE Banks          11,502.43     11,544.27      0.36%       upgr raded Indian stocks to "overweight" from "neu
                                                                             n                                 utral,"
FII A
    Activity                                     (`Cr)       calling them clo to the ch
                                                                             ose         heapest in two decades The
                                                                                                    t          s.
                                                             actio followed a J.P.Mor
                                                                 on          d          rgan upgrad to the same
                                                                                                    de
 Date
    e                     Buy          Sell        Net
                                                             ratin last week
                                                                 ng          k.
 26-Jun                 1,474         1,388         86
                                                           • Howwever, inves
                                                                           stors rema ain cautious ahead o the
                                                                                                  s       of
 25-Jun                 1,402         1,211        191
                                                             expiry of deriv
                                                                           vatives on Thursday and ahead of a
 Tota Jun
    al                 32,475        31,913        561          opean Union summit st
                                                             Euro          n          tarting on th same day that
                                                                                                  he
 2012 YTD             315,509      273,008       42499       is ex
                                                                 xpected to deliver little in term of mean
                                                                                                 ms       ningful
MF A
   Activity                                       (`Cr)      actio on the eu zone de crisis.
                                                                 on        uro       ebt

 Date
    e                     Buy          Sell        Net     • Softwware stocks were most higher on upbeat da on
                                                                              s          tly                   ata
 25-Jun                   281          289           -8
                                                             houssing market in the United States while Metal s
                                                                              t                    w           stocks
                                                             rose on speculation Chin will intro
                                                                e                       na          oduce addi itional
 22-Jun                   300          455         -155
                                                             econnomic stimu ulus. Strides Arcolab gained 2.7% after
                                                                                         s                    %
 Tota Jun
    al                  7,047         6,671        376
                                                             the company said it h       had redeem med $80m  mn of
 2012 YTD              60,911        67,002       -6091      outsstanding fo  oreign cur rrency connvertible b bonds,
Volu
   ume & Adva
            ances / Dec
                      clines                                 remo oving a ke concern for investo
                                                                             ey                    ors. Gujarat NRE
                                                                                                               t
                                                             Coke rose 1.92% after the company said its boa
                                                                  e                      e                     ard of
                                      NSE          BSE
                                                             direcctors has allotted 5C convertible warran
                                                                                         Cr                    nts to
 Trad
    ding Volume (Cr)                53.59         18.84
                                                             prommoter/promo  oter group entities  s. Tata Power
 Turn
    nover (`Cr)                     8,002         1,635      Commpany advan   nced 2.46% and Relian
                                                                                        %          nce Infrastru
                                                                                                               ucture
 Advances                             810         1,462      gained 1.65% after the Delhi Electricity Regulatory
 Declines                             629         1,309      Commmission (D  DERC) on T  Tuesday appproved a steep
 Unchanged                            107          142       tariff hike in Delhi.
                                                                  f
 Tota
    al                              1,546         2,913    • Markket breadth was strong at ~1.1
                                                                             h                   12x as inve estors
                                                             bougght large c cap stocks. On provis
                                                                                                 sional basis FIIs
                                                                                                             s,
Glob Markets
   bal
                                                             bougght equity of `0.86bn while dommestic institu
                                                                                                             utions
 Inde
    ex                     Late Values
                              est             Change (%)
                                                       )     sold equity of `0
                                                                             0.15bn in ca segmen
                                                                                        ash     nt.
 DJIA
    A                            12,627.01       0.74%
                                                           • Asian stocks ro
                                                                           ose today, with invest
                                                                                                tors bullish after
 NAS
   SDAQ                           2,875.32       0.74%       bette U.S. da
                                                                 er        ata but cautious aheead of a c  crucial
 Nikk *
    kei                           8,827.06       1.11%       Euro
                                                                opean Union summit du to start later in the g
                                                                           n         ue                     global
 Hang Seng *                     19,221.02       0.23%       trading day.
* as o 8.25AM IST
     of                                                    • We expect a positive opening for the Indian ma
                                                                                                e         arkets
Curr
   rencies / Co
              ommodities Snapshot
                       s                                     toda taking th cues from the Asian markets.
                                                                ay,       he        m
                                    Latest     Previous    Econom and Cor
                                                                mic     rporate Dev
                                                                                  velopments
                                                                                           s
                                    Quote         Close
                                                           • Accoording to the plan, immedia     ately after the
                                                                                                           r
 Indian Rupee per $                  57.01        56.99
                                                             pres
                                                                sidential po
                                                                           olls, the prroposals fo foreign direct
                                                                                                 or
 Indian Rupee per €                  71.08        71.19      investment (FDI) in two segments — multi-brand retail
                                                                                                 m
 NYM
   MEX Crude Oil($/bbl)              80.60        80.21      and civil aviattion — wou uld be pusshed. Supporting
 Gold ($/oz)
    d                             1,573.70     1,577.60      polic measure
                                                                 cy         es, on the lines of those annou unced
 Silve ($/oz)
     er                              26.96        26.94      yestterday would also be ppursued to enhance fo
                                                                                                           oreign
                                                             investment inflo
                                                                            ows.

Keyn
   note Capitals Research
                        h                      (reseaarch@keyno otecapitals.net)             (+91222-3026600  00)
                                      Keyynote Capita Research is also available on
                                                     als        h
Bloo
   omberg KNTE <GO>, Tho
               E             omson One A Analytics, Re
                                                     euters Knowwledge, Capit IQ, TheMa
                                                                             tal        arkets.com and securitie
                                                                                                   a           es.com
     Keynote Capitals Institu
                            utional Resea
                                        arch - winner of “India’s Best IPO Analyst Award 2009” by MCX-Zee Business
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                                                                                                   s.net
 



                                                                                                                 




                                                                                                                 




TOP GAINERS                                          Buzzin Stocks
                                                          ng
(BSE A-Group)
   E                                                 • In a bid to revive its confectionary busin
                                                                                 s                   ness,
                    Previous   Currennt   Change       Ahmmedabad-ba  ased Bhagw wati Banqueets and Ho
                                                                                                     otels
 Com
   mpany Name
            e
                    Close(`
                          `)   Price(`
                                     `)      (%)       (BBH is set to go the C
                                                           H)          o         Cafe Coffee Day way. The
 Man
   nap Gen Fin        30.20
                          0      33.15      9.77       commpany will set up ab   bout 150 cafe-cum-bakery
 Unit
    ted Brew-$       498.40
                          0     530.75      6.49       outlets in cities like Mumbai, Ahmed
                                                                       s                   dabad and P
                                                                                                     Pune
 JSW ENERGY           48.10
                          0      51.20      6.44       in next one yea ar.
 Pow Finance
   wer               165.15
                          5     173.55      5.09     • Tata Motors Ltd, India’s b
                                                           a                    biggest com
                                                                                          mmercial vehicle
 REC
   C                 177.35
                          5     184.75      4.17       mannufacturer, will close its Jamshe
                                                                                          edpur plant for
                                                                                                       t
(BSE Mid-Cap)
   E                                                   thre days, st
                                                          ee         tarting tommorrow, in order to stop
                                                       furth piling up of invento at the de
                                                           her       p          ory        ealers end.
                    Previous   Currennt   Change
 Com
   mpany Name
            e                                        • DLF’s plea in the Compe    etition Appellate Tribu
                                                                                                        unal,
                    Close(`
                          `)   Price(`
                                     `)      (%)
 Man
   nap Gen Fin        30.20      33.15       9.77      seekking a clarification on a stay ord
                                                                                            der last yea on
                                                                                                        ar
 Himadri Chem         30.70      33.10       7.82      CCI’ `630Cr penalty, will come up for final hea
                                                          ’s                                f           aring
 Tata Teleservice
    a                 13.34
                          4      14.16       6.15      on July 18.
 REI Agro               7.93      8.38       5.67    • JSW Steel plans to raise crude steel production 20-22
                                                                     s
 Pola
    aris Fin Tec     120.20     126.65       5.37      per cent to abo 9 million tonnes (MT) during 2012-
                                                                     out         n
                                                       13. The plann  ned production is higher than itsn
TOP LOSERS                                             guid
                                                          dance for the year.
(BSE A-Group)
   E                                                 • Rallis India exp
                                                                      pects a `50
                                                                                00Cr turnover in five y
                                                                                                      years
                                                       from its multi-p
                                                          m           purpose maanufacturing plant at D
                                                                                           g          Dahej
                    Previous   Currennt   Change
 Com
   mpany Name
            e                                          in Gujarat.
                                                          G
                    Close(`
                          `)   Price(`
                                     `)      (%)
 Andhra Bank         123.95
                          5    115.15
                                    5       -7.10    US markets
 Tata Motors
    a                246.60
                          0    239.05
                                    5       -3.06    U.S. stocks on We
                                                                     ednesday ro
                                                                               ose for a se
                                                                                          econd day, a
                                                                                                     after
 India
     abulls Fin      225.30
                          0    220.90
                                    0       -1.95    positive economic data.
                                                                     c
 Yes Bank            341.25
                          5    334.65
                                    5       -1.93
                                                     The Do Jones Industrial Ave
                                                           ow                      erage adde 92.34 po
                                                                                            ed         oints,
 Central Bank         79.00
                          0      77.60
                                     0      -1.77
                                                     or 0.7% to 12,627.01. The S
                                                           %,                     S&P 500 ros 11.87 po
                                                                                            se         oints,
(BSE Mid-Cap)
   E                                                 or 0.9% to 1,331
                                                           %,          1.85. The NNasdaq Commposite clim
                                                                                                       mbed
                                                     21.26 points, or 0.
                                                           p           .7%, to 2,87
                                                                                  75.32.
                    Previous   Currennt   Change
 Com
   mpany Name
            e
                    Close(`
                          `)   Price(`
                                     `)      (%)
 Andhra Bank         123.95     115.15      -7.10
 Prism Cement
     m                48.15      46.20      -4.05
 Educomp Sol         169.00     163.50      -3.25
 Core Projects
    e                306.85     300.00      -2.23
 ABG Shipyard
   G                 372.40     364.20      -2.20




Keyn
   note Capitals Research
                        h                   (resea
                                                 arch@keyno
                                                          otecapitals.net)             (+912
                                                                                           22-3026600
                                                                                                    00)
 



                                                                                                                                     




                                                                                                                                     




 India and Globa Economic Calendar
     a         al       c

    Countries /             Thursday                     Fr
                                                          riday                    Monday
                                                                                   M                          Tuesday
                                                                                                              T

   Reg
     gions                    28
                               8-Jun                     29
                                                          9-Jun                      2-Jul                      3-Jul

   Ind
     dia                                        Forex Res
                                                        serves Data
                                                                  a

                                                Bank Loa Growth
                                                       an




   US                Gross Dommestic            Core Pers
                                                        sonal              Markit                      Factory Orders
                                                                                                             y
                     Product Annualized         Consump ption              Manufaccturing PMI          (MoM)
                     (Q1)                       Expenditu - Price
                                                         ure
                                                Index (Yo & MoM)
                                                        oY

                     Initial Jobless Claims     Personal                   Construc
                                                                                  ction
                     (Jun 23)                   Consump ption              Spending (MoM)
                                                Expenditu - Price
                                                         ure
                                                Index (Yo & MoM)
                                                        oY

                                                Personal
                                                Income(MMoM);
                                                Chicago PPurchasing
                                                Managers Index &
                                                         s'
                                                Reuters/M
                                                        Michigan
                                                Consume Sentiment
                                                        er
                                                Index

   Glo
     obal            EUROPEAN COUNCIL
                             N                  Euro Zone EU               Germanyy's                  UK's Coonsumer
                     MEETING                    Economic Summit &
                                                        c                  Purchasi
                                                                                  ing Manageer         Credit
                                                European Council
                                                        n                  Index Ma          g
                                                                                  anufacturing
                                                Meeting

                     UK CURRE
                            ENT                 Japan Construction         UK's Pur
                                                                                  rchasing             UK's M4 Money
                                                                                                             4
                     ACCOUNT (Q1)
                            T                   Orders (Y
                                                        YoY) &             Manager Index
                                                                                   r                   Supply (MoM) and
                                                Housing S
                                                        Starts (YoY)
                                                                   )       Manufaccturing              (YoY)

                     UK Gross Domestic
                              YoY)
                     Product (Y




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                                              NOTE CAPITTALS LTD.
                       The Rub 9th Floo Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumba – 400 028
                             by,      or,                                   ai        8
                                    Tel. : +9
                                            9122-30266
                                                     6000         •   www
                                                                        w.keynotec
                                                                                 capitals.com
                                                                                            m

Disclaiimer: This re
                   eport is purely for informa ation purpose and is bassed on public information News cont
                                                                                    c             n.          tent is attribu
                                                                                                                            utable to
various media, unle specified otherwise. A market related statistic data perta
                    ess                       All                      cal          ains to the im
                                                                                                 mmediately preceding trad  ding day,
unless stated other
      s             rwise. Neithe the informa
                                 er           ation nor any opinion expressed in this report constitutes an off
                                                          y                         s                         fer, or an invitation to
make an offer, to bbuy or sell the securities m
                                              mentioned he erein. We or any of our directors, offic
                                                                                                  cers or emplo
                                                                                                              oyees shall not in any
way be responsible for any loss arising from the use of this report. Investors are advised to apply their own judgmen before
       e            e             s           m                                     e                         o             nt
acting on the conteents of this re
                                 eport. The rep
                                              port has not been edited due to time c
                                                                       d            constraints.

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Keynote capitals india morning note jun 28-'12

  • 1.       India Morning Note a g Thur rsday, June 28, 2012 Dom mestic Mark kets Snapsh hot Views on markets t today Nam of Index me Jun 26 Jun 27 Change (%) ) • India an market ts edged higher in choppy trade Sensex 16,906.58 16,967.76 0.36% yestterday as ppower utilitie gained after a proposed es a tariff hike in N f New Delhi, while infraastructure s stocks CNX Nifty X 5,120.80 5,141.90 0.41% advaanced on hopes for a renewe push by the ed y BSE Mid-cap 6,030.09 6,051.50 0.36% goveernment to increase investment in the s o t sector. BSE IT 5,622.53 5,675.26 0.94% Sent timent was also boosted after Deutsche Bank s BSE Banks 11,502.43 11,544.27 0.36% upgr raded Indian stocks to "overweight" from "neu n utral," FII A Activity (`Cr) calling them clo to the ch ose heapest in two decades The t s. actio followed a J.P.Mor on d rgan upgrad to the same de Date e Buy Sell Net ratin last week ng k. 26-Jun 1,474 1,388 86 • Howwever, inves stors rema ain cautious ahead o the s of 25-Jun 1,402 1,211 191 expiry of deriv vatives on Thursday and ahead of a Tota Jun al 32,475 31,913 561 opean Union summit st Euro n tarting on th same day that he 2012 YTD 315,509 273,008 42499 is ex xpected to deliver little in term of mean ms ningful MF A Activity (`Cr) actio on the eu zone de crisis. on uro ebt Date e Buy Sell Net • Softwware stocks were most higher on upbeat da on s tly ata 25-Jun 281 289 -8 houssing market in the United States while Metal s t w stocks rose on speculation Chin will intro e na oduce addi itional 22-Jun 300 455 -155 econnomic stimu ulus. Strides Arcolab gained 2.7% after s % Tota Jun al 7,047 6,671 376 the company said it h had redeem med $80m mn of 2012 YTD 60,911 67,002 -6091 outsstanding fo oreign cur rrency connvertible b bonds, Volu ume & Adva ances / Dec clines remo oving a ke concern for investo ey ors. Gujarat NRE t Coke rose 1.92% after the company said its boa e e ard of NSE BSE direcctors has allotted 5C convertible warran Cr nts to Trad ding Volume (Cr) 53.59 18.84 prommoter/promo oter group entities s. Tata Power Turn nover (`Cr) 8,002 1,635 Commpany advan nced 2.46% and Relian % nce Infrastru ucture Advances 810 1,462 gained 1.65% after the Delhi Electricity Regulatory Declines 629 1,309 Commmission (D DERC) on T Tuesday appproved a steep Unchanged 107 142 tariff hike in Delhi. f Tota al 1,546 2,913 • Markket breadth was strong at ~1.1 h 12x as inve estors bougght large c cap stocks. On provis sional basis FIIs s, Glob Markets bal bougght equity of `0.86bn while dommestic institu utions Inde ex Late Values est Change (%) ) sold equity of `0 0.15bn in ca segmen ash nt. DJIA A 12,627.01 0.74% • Asian stocks ro ose today, with invest tors bullish after NAS SDAQ 2,875.32 0.74% bette U.S. da er ata but cautious aheead of a c crucial Nikk * kei 8,827.06 1.11% Euro opean Union summit du to start later in the g n ue global Hang Seng * 19,221.02 0.23% trading day. * as o 8.25AM IST of • We expect a positive opening for the Indian ma e arkets Curr rencies / Co ommodities Snapshot s toda taking th cues from the Asian markets. ay, he m Latest Previous Econom and Cor mic rporate Dev velopments s Quote Close • Accoording to the plan, immedia ately after the r Indian Rupee per $ 57.01 56.99 pres sidential po olls, the prroposals fo foreign direct or Indian Rupee per € 71.08 71.19 investment (FDI) in two segments — multi-brand retail m NYM MEX Crude Oil($/bbl) 80.60 80.21 and civil aviattion — wou uld be pusshed. Supporting Gold ($/oz) d 1,573.70 1,577.60 polic measure cy es, on the lines of those annou unced Silve ($/oz) er 26.96 26.94 yestterday would also be ppursued to enhance fo oreign investment inflo ows. Keyn note Capitals Research h (reseaarch@keyno otecapitals.net) (+91222-3026600 00) Keyynote Capita Research is also available on als h Bloo omberg KNTE <GO>, Tho E omson One A Analytics, Re euters Knowwledge, Capit IQ, TheMa tal arkets.com and securitie a es.com Keynote Capitals Institu utional Resea arch - winner of “India’s Best IPO Analyst Award 2009” by MCX-Zee Business To unsubsc cribe from th mailing lis please reply to unsub his st, bscribe@keyynotecapitals s.net
  • 2.       TOP GAINERS Buzzin Stocks ng (BSE A-Group) E • In a bid to revive its confectionary busin s ness, Previous Currennt Change Ahmmedabad-ba ased Bhagw wati Banqueets and Ho otels Com mpany Name e Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) (BBH is set to go the C H) o Cafe Coffee Day way. The Man nap Gen Fin 30.20 0 33.15 9.77 commpany will set up ab bout 150 cafe-cum-bakery Unit ted Brew-$ 498.40 0 530.75 6.49 outlets in cities like Mumbai, Ahmed s dabad and P Pune JSW ENERGY 48.10 0 51.20 6.44 in next one yea ar. Pow Finance wer 165.15 5 173.55 5.09 • Tata Motors Ltd, India’s b a biggest com mmercial vehicle REC C 177.35 5 184.75 4.17 mannufacturer, will close its Jamshe edpur plant for t (BSE Mid-Cap) E thre days, st ee tarting tommorrow, in order to stop furth piling up of invento at the de her p ory ealers end. Previous Currennt Change Com mpany Name e • DLF’s plea in the Compe etition Appellate Tribu unal, Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) Man nap Gen Fin 30.20 33.15 9.77 seekking a clarification on a stay ord der last yea on ar Himadri Chem 30.70 33.10 7.82 CCI’ `630Cr penalty, will come up for final hea ’s f aring Tata Teleservice a 13.34 4 14.16 6.15 on July 18. REI Agro 7.93 8.38 5.67 • JSW Steel plans to raise crude steel production 20-22 s Pola aris Fin Tec 120.20 126.65 5.37 per cent to abo 9 million tonnes (MT) during 2012- out n 13. The plann ned production is higher than itsn TOP LOSERS guid dance for the year. (BSE A-Group) E • Rallis India exp pects a `50 00Cr turnover in five y years from its multi-p m purpose maanufacturing plant at D g Dahej Previous Currennt Change Com mpany Name e in Gujarat. G Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) Andhra Bank 123.95 5 115.15 5 -7.10 US markets Tata Motors a 246.60 0 239.05 5 -3.06 U.S. stocks on We ednesday ro ose for a se econd day, a after India abulls Fin 225.30 0 220.90 0 -1.95 positive economic data. c Yes Bank 341.25 5 334.65 5 -1.93 The Do Jones Industrial Ave ow erage adde 92.34 po ed oints, Central Bank 79.00 0 77.60 0 -1.77 or 0.7% to 12,627.01. The S %, S&P 500 ros 11.87 po se oints, (BSE Mid-Cap) E or 0.9% to 1,331 %, 1.85. The NNasdaq Commposite clim mbed 21.26 points, or 0. p .7%, to 2,87 75.32. Previous Currennt Change Com mpany Name e Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) Andhra Bank 123.95 115.15 -7.10 Prism Cement m 48.15 46.20 -4.05 Educomp Sol 169.00 163.50 -3.25 Core Projects e 306.85 300.00 -2.23 ABG Shipyard G 372.40 364.20 -2.20 Keyn note Capitals Research h (resea arch@keyno otecapitals.net) (+912 22-3026600 00)
  • 3.       India and Globa Economic Calendar a al c Countries / Thursday Fr riday Monday M Tuesday T Reg gions 28 8-Jun 29 9-Jun 2-Jul 3-Jul Ind dia Forex Res serves Data a Bank Loa Growth an US Gross Dommestic Core Pers sonal Markit Factory Orders y Product Annualized Consump ption Manufaccturing PMI (MoM) (Q1) Expenditu - Price ure Index (Yo & MoM) oY Initial Jobless Claims Personal Construc ction (Jun 23) Consump ption Spending (MoM) Expenditu - Price ure Index (Yo & MoM) oY Personal Income(MMoM); Chicago PPurchasing Managers Index & s' Reuters/M Michigan Consume Sentiment er Index Glo obal EUROPEAN COUNCIL N Euro Zone EU Germanyy's UK's Coonsumer MEETING Economic Summit & c Purchasi ing Manageer Credit European Council n Index Ma g anufacturing Meeting UK CURRE ENT Japan Construction UK's Pur rchasing UK's M4 Money 4 ACCOUNT (Q1) T Orders (Y YoY) & Manager Index r Supply (MoM) and Housing S Starts (YoY) ) Manufaccturing (YoY) UK Gross Domestic YoY) Product (Y KEYN NOTE CAPITTALS LTD. The Rub 9th Floo Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumba – 400 028 by, or, ai 8 Tel. : +9 9122-30266 6000 • www w.keynotec capitals.com m Disclaiimer: This re eport is purely for informa ation purpose and is bassed on public information News cont c n. tent is attribu utable to various media, unle specified otherwise. A market related statistic data perta ess All cal ains to the im mmediately preceding trad ding day, unless stated other s rwise. Neithe the informa er ation nor any opinion expressed in this report constitutes an off y s fer, or an invitation to make an offer, to bbuy or sell the securities m mentioned he erein. We or any of our directors, offic cers or emplo oyees shall not in any way be responsible for any loss arising from the use of this report. Investors are advised to apply their own judgmen before e e s m e o nt acting on the conteents of this re eport. The rep port has not been edited due to time c d constraints.