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India Morning Note
    a       g
Thur
   rsday, May 2 2012
              24,

Dom
  mestic Mark
            kets Snapsh
                      hot                                  Views on markets t
                                                                            today
 Nam of Index
   me                  May 22       May 23    Change (%)
                                                       )   • India markets declined y
                                                                 an       s           yesterday to close at their
                                                                                                t
 Sensex             16,026.41     15,948.10     -0.49%       lowe since January, as t
                                                                 est                  the rupee hit a new r
                                                                                                h         record
 CNX Nifty
   X                  4,860.50     4,835.65     -0.51%       low below the psycholog
                                                                          e          gically key 56 level, while
 BSE Mid-cap          5,854.18     5,830.22     -0.41%       glob stocks co
                                                                bal        ontinued to be routed because of fears
                                                                                                          f
 BSE IT               5,471.24     5,480.05      0.16%       abou the euro zone.
                                                                 ut
 BSE Banks          10,678.79     10,618.09     -0.57%     • A bo of volatility was wi
                                                                 out                     itnessed at the onset o the
                                                                                                               of
FII A
    Activity                                     (`Cr)       trading session as key be  enchmark in ndices cut l
                                                                                                               losses
                                                             after an initial slide trigge
                                                                 r                       ered by we eak Asian sstocks
 Date
    e                     Buy          Sell        Net
                                                             and the continuued slide of the rupee against the d
                                                                                                   a           dollar.
 21-M
    May                 1,330         1,389         -59
                                                             The BSE Sense fell below the psyc
                                                                            ex,                    chological 1
                                                                                                              16,000
 18-M
    May                 1,660         1,866        -206
                                                             mark.
 Tota May
    al                 29,345        29,734        -389
 2012 YTD             265,724      222,652       43072
                                                           • Investors expeect more w   weakness ahead for I
                                                                                                 a         Indian
                                                             stocks, given th rupee has dropped more than 13%
                                                                            he                             n
MF A
   Activity                                       (`Cr)      since its 2012 peak in February, underscorin an
                                                                 e         2                               ng
 Date
    e                     Buy          Sell        Net       urgeent need of major reforms to get inve
                                                                                                 o         estors
 21-M
    May                   310          206         104       belie
                                                                 eving again in the India story.
                                                                                        a
 18-M
    May                   484          407         -150    • Telecom stocks such as Bharti Airtel were amon the
                                                                           s                                 ng
 Tota May
    al                  6,325         6,286         39       big decliners ahead of meeting by the telecom
                                                                                                   b
 2012 YTD              51,319        57,381       -6062      ministry to decide on a coontroversial proposal from a
Volu
   ume & Adva
            ances / Dec
                      clines                                 regu
                                                                ulatory body to raise sp
                                                                            y          pectrum prices in an auuction
                                                             of mobile airwav
                                                                m           ves.
                                      NSE          BSE
 Trad
    ding Volume (Cr)                49.64         17.10    • Mark breadth was weak at ~0.68x as investors sold
                                                                 ket
 Turn
    nover (`Cr)                     8,439         1,821      large cap stock On provisional basis FIIs sold e
                                                                 e         ks.                    s,         equity
 Advances                             507         1,095
                                                             of `3
                                                                 3.61bn while domestic institutions bought equ
                                                                            e                                uity of
                                                             `1.68bn in cash segment.
                                                                           h
 Declines                             936         1,618
 Unchanged                             86          114     • Asian stocks ddropped aft ter a posit
                                                                                                 tive openinng, as
 Tota
    al                              1,529         2,827      Chin
                                                                nese manu  ufacturing PMI dropp  ped below 50,
                                                                                                            w
                                                             show
                                                                wing a contr
                                                                           raction in th manufact
                                                                                       he        turing activities.
Glob Markets
   bal
 Inde
    ex                     Late Values
                              est             Change (%)
                                                       )   • We expect a po  ositive openning for the Indian ma
                                                                                                    e         arkets,
                                                             as petrol price hike will help the petro
                                                                                                    oleum comppanies
 DJIA
    A                            12,496.15      -0.05%
                                                             to ge boost fro the investors. Howe
                                                                 et         om                      ever, weak g
                                                                                                               global
 NAS
   SDAQ                           2,850.12       0.39%
                                                             cues may keep the index u
                                                                 s                      under check k.
 Nikk *
    kei                           8,532.05      -0.29%
 Hang Seng *                     18,711.20      -0.40%     Econom and Cor
                                                                mic     rporate Dev
                                                                                  velopments
                                                                                           s
* as o 8.25AM IST
     of                                                    • In a move which will benef millions of employee the
                                                                            h         fit         o          es,
Curr
   rencies / Co
              ommodities Snapshot
                       s                                     goveernment has hiked inte
                                                                            s         erest rate on contributio to
                                                                                                  n           ons
                                    Latest     Previous      Geneeral Provide Fund (G
                                                                            ent       GPF) and other similar funds
                                    Quote         Close      to 8.
                                                                 .8% for 2012-13.
 Indian Rupee per $                  55.98        55.39
                                                           • In th steepest ever increa
                                                                 he                    ase, petrol rates were r
                                                                                                    r           raised
 Indian Rupee per €                  70.46        70.26      by a massive `            tre, the first hike in rates in
                                                                           `7.54 per lit            t
 NYM
   MEX Crude Oil($/bbl)              90.61        89.90      six months. Pe
                                                                  m        etrol price in Delhi has been hike byed
 Gold ($/oz)
    d                             1,557.80     1,548.10      `7.54 per litre to `73.18 a litre with effect from
                                                                           e           8            w
 Silve ($/oz)
     er                              27.75        27.50      Wed dnesday mid           te-owned oil companies said
                                                                            dnight, stat
                                                             in pr
                                                                 ress announ
                                                                           ncements.

Keyn
   note Capitals Research
                        h                      (reseaarch@keyno otecapitals.net)             (+91222-3026600  00)
                                      Keyynote Capita Research is also available on
                                                     als        h
Bloo
   omberg KNTE <GO>, Tho
               E             omson One A Analytics, Re
                                                     euters Knowwledge, Capit IQ, TheMa
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TOP GAINERS                                         Buzzin Stocks
                                                         ng
(BSE A-Group)
   E
                                                    • Mahhindra & Maahindra is fi
                                                                                inding it tough to exor rcise
                   Previous   Currennt   Change       the ghosts of f          ese ownersh at its South
                                                                    failed Chine            hip
 Com
   mpany Name
            e
                   Close(`
                         `)   Price(`
                                    `)      (%)       Kore
                                                         ean car uni Ssangyon as it loo
                                                                    it         ng          oks to push the
                                                                                                       h
 Woc
   ckhardt          717.75
                         5     808.60     12.66
                                                      bran into Chin
                                                         nd         na's auto mmarket, the world's larg gest.
 Havells India      535.20
                         0     568.60      6.24
                                                      At the same tim the car tractor an truck ma
                                                                    me,         r,          nd         aker,
 GMR Infra
   R                 19.50
                         0      20.30      4.10       the core part o the `80,0
                                                                    of          000Cr diver rsified Mahindra
 Gail India         313.95
                         5     323.95      3.19       Grou will take its own ru
                                                          up,       e           ugged sport utility vehicles
                                                                                            t
 JUBL FOOD
    L              1133.05
                         5    1167.85      3.07       (SUVVs) elsewhere, to em merging ma   arkets such as
                                                                                                       h
(BSE Mid-Cap)
   E                                                  Braz and Sou
                                                         zil        uth Africa - though it is develo
                                                                                            t          oping
                                                      engines to be u
                                                                    used across both brands.
                   Previous   Currennt   Change
 Com
   mpany Name
            e
                   Close(`
                         `)   Price(`
                                    `)      (%)     • With export commitments having dwindled in re
                                                          h                                         ecent
 Woc
   ckhardt          717.75     808.60     12.66       timees, Ahmeda abad-based Pradip Ovverseas Lim
                                                                                                   mited
 Fres
    senius Kabi     128.75     143.30     11.30       has shelved it denim fo
                                                                     ts        oray plans. The comp  pany
 Havells India      535.20     568.60       6.24      wou instead focus on ex
                                                         uld                   xpanding its core business
 Delt Corp
    ta               59.20      62.45       5.49      of home textiles.
 Shre Global Trd
    ee         d     86.00      90.30       5.00    • Indian iron ore major, NMDC signed a contract f afor
                                                      stee melting shop (SMS) p
                                                         el                    package wit a consortium
                                                                                            th
TOP LOSERS                                            led by Siemens VAI MT GmbH & Co, Austria, fo its
                                                                     s                      ,         or
(BSE A-Group)
   E                                                  upcooming integ
                                                                    grated steel plant in Ch
                                                                                           hhattisgarh.

 Com
   mpany Name
            e
                   Previous   Currennt   Change     • NTP plans to spend as m
                                                         PC                     much as $155bn (`82,52
                                                                                                     21Cr)
                   Close(`
                         `)   Price(`
                                    `)      (%)       over a decade to secure overseas coal supplie as
                                                                                           c         es
 Volt
    tas              95.90
                         0      91.45
                                    5      -4.64      prices of the fuel tumble to a 19-mont
                                                                                 o         th-low.
 Jain Irrigation     73.85
                         5      70.60
                                    0      -4.40
                                                    US markets
 Bharti Airtel      294.60
                         0    281.95
                                   5       -4.29
 Man
   nappuram Fin
              n      23.25
                         5      22.30
                                    0      -4.09    U.S. stocks turned mostly up Wednesda after ano
                                                                      d         p         ay       other
 Baja Finserv
    aj              689.90
                         0    663.25
                                   5       -3.86    late-se
                                                          ession comeback inve  estor sentim
                                                                                           ments boo
                                                                                                   osted
                                                    after the indicatio
                                                                      ons that Gr
                                                                                reek may not be depa
                                                                                          n        arted
(BSE Mid-Cap)
   E
                                                    from th euro.
                                                          he
                   Previous   Currennt   Change
 Com
   mpany Name
            e                                       The Dow Jones Industrial A Average endded down 6.66
                   Close(`
                         `)   Price(`
                                    `)      (%)
 REI Agro              8.29      7.70      -7.12    points, or 0.1%, a 12,496.15, recovering from a 191-
                                                                     at
 Anant Raj Inds      50.30      46.80      -6.96
                                                    point drop. The S
                                                          d          S&P 500 Ind
                                                                               dex gained 2.23 points or
                                                                                                    s,
                                                    0.2%, to 1,318.86 The Nasd
                                                                     6.         daq Compoosite Index also
 Volt
    tas              95.90      91.45      -4.64
                                                    turned around, rising 11.04 points, or 0.4%, to
 Amt
   tek Auto         110.40     105.40      -4.53
                                                    2,850.1
                                                          12.
 Jain Irrigation     73.85      70.60      -4.40




Keyn
   note Capitals Research
                        h                  (resea
                                                arch@keyno
                                                         otecapitals.net)             (+912
                                                                                          22-3026600
                                                                                                   00)
 



                                                                                                                                     




                                                                                                                                     




 India and Globa Economic Calendar
     a         al       c

    Countries /             Thursday                     Fr
                                                          riday                    Monday
                                                                                   M                          Tuesday
                                                                                                              T

   Reg
     gions                   24/
                               /May                     25
                                                         5/May                     28/May                      29/May
                                                                                                               2

   Ind
     dia                                        Forex Res
                                                        serves Data
                                                                  a

                                                Bank Loa Growth
                                                       an




   US                Durable G
                             Goods              Reuters/ Michigan                                      Consummer
                     orders                     Consume Sentiment
                                                        er                                             Confide
                                                                                                             ence
                                                Index (Ma
                                                        ay)

                     Initial & Continuing
                     Jobless Claaims



   Glo
     obal            UK retail S
                               Sales            Germany Gfk
                                                       y's                 Japan                       UK's Na
                                                                                                             ationwide
                                                Consumeer                        oyment rate
                                                                           Unemplo         e           Housing Prices n.s.
                                                                                                              g          .a
                                                Confidence Survey                                      (YoY) an (MoM)
                                                                                                              nd

                     UK & Ger
                            rmany GDP                                      Japan Ho
                                                                                  ousehold             German ny's
                     data                                                  spending
                                                                                  g                    Consum Price
                                                                                                             mer
                                                                                                       Index (M
                                                                                                              MoM) and
                                                                                                       (YoY)

                                                                           Japan retail trade




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                                              NOTE CAPITTALS LTD.
                       The Rub 9th Floo Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumba – 400 028
                             by,      or,                                   ai        8
                                    Tel. : +9
                                            9122-30266
                                                     6000         •   www
                                                                        w.keynotec
                                                                                 capitals.com
                                                                                            m

Disclaiimer: This re
                   eport is purely for informa ation purpose and is bassed on public information News cont
                                                                                    c             n.          tent is attribu
                                                                                                                            utable to
various media, unle specified otherwise. A market related statistic data perta
                    ess                       All                      cal          ains to the im
                                                                                                 mmediately preceding trad  ding day,
unless stated other
      s             rwise. Neithe the informa
                                 er           ation nor any opinion expressed in this report constitutes an off
                                                          y                         s                         fer, or an invitation to
make an offer, to bbuy or sell the securities m
                                              mentioned he erein. We or any of our directors, offic
                                                                                                  cers or emplo
                                                                                                              oyees shall not in any
way be responsible for any loss arising from the use of this report. Investors are advised to apply their own judgmen before
       e            e             s           m                                     e                         o             nt
acting on the conteents of this re
                                 eport. The rep
                                              port has not been edited due to time c
                                                                       d            constraints.

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Keynote capitals india morning note may 24-'12

  • 1.       India Morning Note a g Thur rsday, May 2 2012 24, Dom mestic Mark kets Snapsh hot Views on markets t today Nam of Index me May 22 May 23 Change (%) ) • India markets declined y an s yesterday to close at their t Sensex 16,026.41 15,948.10 -0.49% lowe since January, as t est the rupee hit a new r h record CNX Nifty X 4,860.50 4,835.65 -0.51% low below the psycholog e gically key 56 level, while BSE Mid-cap 5,854.18 5,830.22 -0.41% glob stocks co bal ontinued to be routed because of fears f BSE IT 5,471.24 5,480.05 0.16% abou the euro zone. ut BSE Banks 10,678.79 10,618.09 -0.57% • A bo of volatility was wi out itnessed at the onset o the of FII A Activity (`Cr) trading session as key be enchmark in ndices cut l losses after an initial slide trigge r ered by we eak Asian sstocks Date e Buy Sell Net and the continuued slide of the rupee against the d a dollar. 21-M May 1,330 1,389 -59 The BSE Sense fell below the psyc ex, chological 1 16,000 18-M May 1,660 1,866 -206 mark. Tota May al 29,345 29,734 -389 2012 YTD 265,724 222,652 43072 • Investors expeect more w weakness ahead for I a Indian stocks, given th rupee has dropped more than 13% he n MF A Activity (`Cr) since its 2012 peak in February, underscorin an e 2 ng Date e Buy Sell Net urgeent need of major reforms to get inve o estors 21-M May 310 206 104 belie eving again in the India story. a 18-M May 484 407 -150 • Telecom stocks such as Bharti Airtel were amon the s ng Tota May al 6,325 6,286 39 big decliners ahead of meeting by the telecom b 2012 YTD 51,319 57,381 -6062 ministry to decide on a coontroversial proposal from a Volu ume & Adva ances / Dec clines regu ulatory body to raise sp y pectrum prices in an auuction of mobile airwav m ves. NSE BSE Trad ding Volume (Cr) 49.64 17.10 • Mark breadth was weak at ~0.68x as investors sold ket Turn nover (`Cr) 8,439 1,821 large cap stock On provisional basis FIIs sold e e ks. s, equity Advances 507 1,095 of `3 3.61bn while domestic institutions bought equ e uity of `1.68bn in cash segment. h Declines 936 1,618 Unchanged 86 114 • Asian stocks ddropped aft ter a posit tive openinng, as Tota al 1,529 2,827 Chin nese manu ufacturing PMI dropp ped below 50, w show wing a contr raction in th manufact he turing activities. Glob Markets bal Inde ex Late Values est Change (%) ) • We expect a po ositive openning for the Indian ma e arkets, as petrol price hike will help the petro oleum comppanies DJIA A 12,496.15 -0.05% to ge boost fro the investors. Howe et om ever, weak g global NAS SDAQ 2,850.12 0.39% cues may keep the index u s under check k. Nikk * kei 8,532.05 -0.29% Hang Seng * 18,711.20 -0.40% Econom and Cor mic rporate Dev velopments s * as o 8.25AM IST of • In a move which will benef millions of employee the h fit o es, Curr rencies / Co ommodities Snapshot s goveernment has hiked inte s erest rate on contributio to n ons Latest Previous Geneeral Provide Fund (G ent GPF) and other similar funds Quote Close to 8. .8% for 2012-13. Indian Rupee per $ 55.98 55.39 • In th steepest ever increa he ase, petrol rates were r r raised Indian Rupee per € 70.46 70.26 by a massive ` tre, the first hike in rates in `7.54 per lit t NYM MEX Crude Oil($/bbl) 90.61 89.90 six months. Pe m etrol price in Delhi has been hike byed Gold ($/oz) d 1,557.80 1,548.10 `7.54 per litre to `73.18 a litre with effect from e 8 w Silve ($/oz) er 27.75 27.50 Wed dnesday mid te-owned oil companies said dnight, stat in pr ress announ ncements. Keyn note Capitals Research h (reseaarch@keyno otecapitals.net) (+91222-3026600 00) Keyynote Capita Research is also available on als h Bloo omberg KNTE <GO>, Tho E omson One A Analytics, Re euters Knowwledge, Capit IQ, TheMa tal arkets.com and securitie a es.com Keynote Capitals Institu utional Resea arch - winner of “India’s Best IPO Analyst Award 2009” by MCX-Zee Business To unsubsc cribe from th mailing lis please reply to unsub his st, bscribe@keyynotecapitals s.net
  • 2.       TOP GAINERS Buzzin Stocks ng (BSE A-Group) E • Mahhindra & Maahindra is fi inding it tough to exor rcise Previous Currennt Change the ghosts of f ese ownersh at its South failed Chine hip Com mpany Name e Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) Kore ean car uni Ssangyon as it loo it ng oks to push the h Woc ckhardt 717.75 5 808.60 12.66 bran into Chin nd na's auto mmarket, the world's larg gest. Havells India 535.20 0 568.60 6.24 At the same tim the car tractor an truck ma me, r, nd aker, GMR Infra R 19.50 0 20.30 4.10 the core part o the `80,0 of 000Cr diver rsified Mahindra Gail India 313.95 5 323.95 3.19 Grou will take its own ru up, e ugged sport utility vehicles t JUBL FOOD L 1133.05 5 1167.85 3.07 (SUVVs) elsewhere, to em merging ma arkets such as h (BSE Mid-Cap) E Braz and Sou zil uth Africa - though it is develo t oping engines to be u used across both brands. Previous Currennt Change Com mpany Name e Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) • With export commitments having dwindled in re h ecent Woc ckhardt 717.75 808.60 12.66 timees, Ahmeda abad-based Pradip Ovverseas Lim mited Fres senius Kabi 128.75 143.30 11.30 has shelved it denim fo ts oray plans. The comp pany Havells India 535.20 568.60 6.24 wou instead focus on ex uld xpanding its core business Delt Corp ta 59.20 62.45 5.49 of home textiles. Shre Global Trd ee d 86.00 90.30 5.00 • Indian iron ore major, NMDC signed a contract f afor stee melting shop (SMS) p el package wit a consortium th TOP LOSERS led by Siemens VAI MT GmbH & Co, Austria, fo its s , or (BSE A-Group) E upcooming integ grated steel plant in Ch hhattisgarh. Com mpany Name e Previous Currennt Change • NTP plans to spend as m PC much as $155bn (`82,52 21Cr) Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) over a decade to secure overseas coal supplie as c es Volt tas 95.90 0 91.45 5 -4.64 prices of the fuel tumble to a 19-mont o th-low. Jain Irrigation 73.85 5 70.60 0 -4.40 US markets Bharti Airtel 294.60 0 281.95 5 -4.29 Man nappuram Fin n 23.25 5 22.30 0 -4.09 U.S. stocks turned mostly up Wednesda after ano d p ay other Baja Finserv aj 689.90 0 663.25 5 -3.86 late-se ession comeback inve estor sentim ments boo osted after the indicatio ons that Gr reek may not be depa n arted (BSE Mid-Cap) E from th euro. he Previous Currennt Change Com mpany Name e The Dow Jones Industrial A Average endded down 6.66 Close(` `) Price(` `) (%) REI Agro 8.29 7.70 -7.12 points, or 0.1%, a 12,496.15, recovering from a 191- at Anant Raj Inds 50.30 46.80 -6.96 point drop. The S d S&P 500 Ind dex gained 2.23 points or s, 0.2%, to 1,318.86 The Nasd 6. daq Compoosite Index also Volt tas 95.90 91.45 -4.64 turned around, rising 11.04 points, or 0.4%, to Amt tek Auto 110.40 105.40 -4.53 2,850.1 12. Jain Irrigation 73.85 70.60 -4.40 Keyn note Capitals Research h (resea arch@keyno otecapitals.net) (+912 22-3026600 00)
  • 3.       India and Globa Economic Calendar a al c Countries / Thursday Fr riday Monday M Tuesday T Reg gions 24/ /May 25 5/May 28/May 29/May 2 Ind dia Forex Res serves Data a Bank Loa Growth an US Durable G Goods Reuters/ Michigan Consummer orders Consume Sentiment er Confide ence Index (Ma ay) Initial & Continuing Jobless Claaims Glo obal UK retail S Sales Germany Gfk y's Japan UK's Na ationwide Consumeer oyment rate Unemplo e Housing Prices n.s. g .a Confidence Survey (YoY) an (MoM) nd UK & Ger rmany GDP Japan Ho ousehold German ny's data spending g Consum Price mer Index (M MoM) and (YoY) Japan retail trade KEYN NOTE CAPITTALS LTD. The Rub 9th Floo Senapati Bapat Marg, Dadar (W), Mumba – 400 028 by, or, ai 8 Tel. : +9 9122-30266 6000 • www w.keynotec capitals.com m Disclaiimer: This re eport is purely for informa ation purpose and is bassed on public information News cont c n. tent is attribu utable to various media, unle specified otherwise. A market related statistic data perta ess All cal ains to the im mmediately preceding trad ding day, unless stated other s rwise. Neithe the informa er ation nor any opinion expressed in this report constitutes an off y s fer, or an invitation to make an offer, to bbuy or sell the securities m mentioned he erein. We or any of our directors, offic cers or emplo oyees shall not in any way be responsible for any loss arising from the use of this report. Investors are advised to apply their own judgmen before e e s m e o nt acting on the conteents of this re eport. The rep port has not been edited due to time c d constraints.