This document discusses challenges in designing pharmacogenomics clinical trials. It provides an overview of pharmacogenomics and different types of pharmacogenomics studies. It then discusses three common clinical trial designs - subgroups analysis design, enrichment design, and genotype-guided design - and their advantages and disadvantages. Key challenges in pharmacogenomics clinical trials include small sample sizes for subgroups, possible confounding and selection biases, and statistical power issues. Prospective clinical trials are needed to validate predictive biomarkers and assess clinical utility of genotype-guided treatments.
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Outline
PGx short overview
Response related research questions
Clinical trial designs
Challenges
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What is Pharmacogenomics?
Pharmacogenomics (PGx) is the study of how genes
affect the way our bodies respond to a medicine.
An inter-disciplinary science involving
Biology and Genetics
Medicine
Pharmacology
Statistics
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Goals of PGx research
Achieving better safety profile and mitigating potential
risks
Better understanding of MoA
Identify disease genetics
Investigating the contribution of genetic variation to inter-
individual variability in response to drug treatment
Promoting an optimal drug response for the individual
patient
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The Human Genome
46 chromosomes – 23 pairs
~2 meters of DNA
~3.4B DNA bases
~25000 genes
~26M variable sites (0.7%)
~10M SNPs
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Types of PGx studies
Studies to investigate genotype-trait association within a
population of unrelated individuals:
Exploratory studies
Gnome-wide association studies (GWA/GWAS)
Whole Genome Sequencing (WGS) studies
Prospective studies
Candidate polymorphism studies
Candidate gene studies
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GWA and WGS studies
Consider large set of SNP and possibly other variants
Aim to identify association between variants and phenotype
Less hypothesis driven
Nee to handle multiplicity testing issues, but…
Type II error (False Negative) is more important than Type I
error (False Positive)
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Candidate gene/polymorphism studies
Consider polymorphism(s) within a gene or multiple genes
There may be a priori hypothesis about functionality
Functionality: the given variants influence the disease trait
directly
Non-functionality: the given variants may be associated to a
functional variant within the gene(s)
This association is called Linkage Disequilibrium
In any case, the candidate gene/polymorphism is pre-
specified
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Response related research questions
1. Does the treatment effect of the drug vary between
subjects with different genotypes?
2. What is the benefit of the drug over placebo or an standard
treatment for patients with a particular genotype?
3. What is the risk-benefit ratio of genotype-guided treatment
over standard care?
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FORTE GWA study
The FORTE study compared Glatiramer Acetate 20 mg and
40 mg doses in RRMS patients.
731 subjects consented to provide DBA samples
Response classification was available for 599 Caucasian
subjects
Extreme phenotype approach: 52 super-responders, 61
non-responders
1M SNPs considered
31 SNPs were identified significantly associated with
SR/NR
2 relevant pathways that merge into a unique functional
gene network were identified
Predictive model for response: a 87.9 % sensitivity, 92.7 %
specificity
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Tamoxifen therapy for breast cancer
Clinical trial performed in Sweden, 1996
Four treatment groups, following a modified radical
mastectomy :
Adjuvant chemotherapy
Adjuvant chemotherapy + tamoxifen
Radiotherapy
Radiotherapy + tamoxifen
679 postmenopausal breast cancer patients randomized
226 fresh frozen tumor tissues were available 7 years later
Relationship of CYP2D6 and SULT1A1 genotypes and
benefit from tamoxifen therapy was observed
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Subgroups analysis design
advantages
Can piggyback on Phase II or III trial
Appropriate for GWA/WGS exploratory studies
Can be performed in prospective/retrospective fashion
Simple, fast, relatively inexpensive
Can test many genetic markers in one study
Small chance of bias even where there are many genetic
subgroups
Provides efficient assessment of relative treatment efficacy
in each genotype subgroup and in the whole group
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Subgroups analysis design
disadvantages
Possible confounding bias
Possible selection bias:
Some subjects may not consent
If DNA is not collected at baseline, clinical outcome may affect
decision to consent
Dependency of genotype distribution in the original study
population
Size of subgroups can’t be controlled
Possible imbalance in baseline characteristics/ prognostic factors
Statistical power issues
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Impact of CYP2D6 on venlafaxine and
desvenlafaxine PK
14 healthy volunteers
7 CYP2D6 poor metabolizers
7 CYP2D6 extensive metabolizers
CYP2D6 intermediate and ultra-rapid metabolizers were
excluded
An excess of extensive metabolizers was also excluded
Randomized sequence crossover study
Endpoints – AUC and Cmax
Conclusions
No impact of CYP2D6 polymorphisms on exposure to
desvenlafaxine
CYP2D6 polymorphisms impacts exposure to venlafaxine
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Anti-HER2 monoclonal antibody plus chemotherapy
for metastatic breast cancer
Genotyping at screening – 469 women that that over-
expressed HER2 were randomized
HER2 is over-rexpressed in 25-30% percent of breast
cancers ⇒ sample size without enrichment would be 1550-
1900
Randomization stratified by past treatmenat by an
anthracycline:
Standard chemotherapy (an anthracycline and
cyclophosphamide or paclitaxel)
Standard chemotherapy + tratuzumab
Conclusion: Trastuzumab increases the clinical benefit of
first-line chemotherapy in metastatic breast cancer that
overexpresses HER2
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Enrichment design advantages
Genotype strata can be balanced
Can select subjects with genotypes between which the
largest difference in treatment effect is expected (instead of
all genotypes)
Sample size and power calculation takes final analysis into
account
Selective consenting bias is avoided
Opens door for possible adaptations
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Enrichment design disadvantages
“Tailored” study for particular genetic hypothesis
Appropriate for contexts where there is such a strong
biological basis for believing that “wildtype subjects” will not
benefit from the new drug
Efficient only when prevalence of variant is high and the
effectiveness in variant population is high compared to the
wildtype population
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Genotype guided design advantages
Assesses the added value of the PGx-based treatment over
the current use of the drug and the corresponding costs
Economic advantage of limiting the number of potentially
expensive DNA genotypings
Can be mimicked by a “regular” clinical trial, by comparing
the whole treatment arm to its subgroup of “variant
subjects” (statistical analysis is computationally intensive)
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Genotype guided design
disadvantages
Inefficient in terms of sample size
A positive study cannot distinguish between a successful
treatment selection strategy and a situation in which the
experimental drug is better than the control therapy for all
patients
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More to consider
Adaptations: randomization, patient enrollment, enrichment,
sample size re-estimation, group sequential design
Combine general efficacy endpoint and PGx related
endpoint in a single study – need to consider multiplicity
issues
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References
van der Baan, F. H., Klungel, O. H., Egberts, A. C., Leufkens, H. G., Grobbee, D. E., Roes, K.
C., & Knol, M. J. (2011). Pharmacogenetics in randomized controlled trials: considerations for
trial design. Pharmacogenomics, 12(10), 1485-1492.
Farina, G., Longo, F., Martelli, O., Pavese, I., Mancuso, A., Moscetti, L., ... & Scanni, A. (2011).
Rationale for Treatment and Study Design of TAILOR: A Randomized Phase III Trial of Second-
line Erlotinib Versus Docetaxel in the Treatment of Patients Affected by Advanced Non–Small-
Cell Lung Cancer With the Absence of Epidermal Growth Factor Receptor Mutations. Clinical
lung cancer, 12(2), 138-141.
Freidlin, B., McShane, L. M., & Korn, E. L. (2010). Randomized clinical trials with biomarkers:
design issues. Journal of the National Cancer Institute, 102(3), 152-160.
Ito, Y., Nagasaki, K., Miki, Y., Iwase, T., Akiyama, F., Matsuura, M., ... & Hatake, K. (2011).
Prospective randomized phase II study determines the clinical usefulness of genetic biomarkers
for sensitivity to primary chemotherapy with paclitaxel in breast cancer. Cancer science, 102(1),
130-136.
Macciardi, F., Cohen, J., Comabella Lopez, M., Comi, G., Cutter, G., Eyal, E., ... & Wolinsky, J.
(2012, April). A Genetic Model To Predict Response to Glatiramer Acetate Developed from a
Genome Wide Association Study (GWAS). In NEUROLOGY (Vol. 78).
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References (Cont.)
Mandrekar, S. J., & Sargent, D. J. (2009). Clinical trial designs for predictive biomarker
validation: one size does not fit all. Journal of biopharmaceutical statistics, 19(3), 530-542.
Preskorn, S., Patroneva, A., Silman, H., Jiang, Q., Isler, J. A., Burczynski, M. E., Saeeduddin
A., Jeffrey P., & Nichols, A. I. (2009). Comparison of the pharmacokinetics of venlafaxine
extended release and desvenlafaxine in extensive and poor cytochrome P450 2D6
metabolizers. Journal of clinical psychopharmacology, 29(1), 39-43.
Simon, R. (2012). Clinical trials for predictive medicine. Statistics in Medicine, 31(25), 3031-
3040
Slamon, D. J., Leyland-Jones, B., Shak, S., Fuchs, H., Paton, V., Bajamonde, A., ... & Norton,
L. (2001). Use of chemotherapy plus a monoclonal antibody against HER2 for metastatic
breast cancer that overexpresses HER2. New England Journal of Medicine, 344(11), 783-792.
Trepicchio, W. L., Essayan, D., Hall, S. T., Schechter, G., Tezak, Z., Wang, S. J., Weinreich D.,
& Simon, R. (2006). Designing prospective clinical pharmacogenomic (PG) trials: meeting
report on drug development strategies to enhance therapeutic decision making. The
pharmacogenomics journal, 6(2), 89-94.
Wegman, P., Vainikka, L., Stal, O., Nordenskjold, B., Skoog, L., Rutqvist, L. E., & Wingren, S.
(2005). Genotype of metabolic enzymes and the benefit of tamoxifen in postmenopausal breast
cancer patients. Breast Cancer Res, 7(3), R284-R290.
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SNPs
SNP - Single Nucleotide
Polymorphism
Most common type of
genetic variation
Each SNP represent a
difference in a single DNA
base
The SNP in the picture is
CT or AC or AG or GT –
they are all the same
SNP can have 3 possible
values: AA, Aa or aa