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INTRODUCTION TO
EPIDEMIOLOGY
By: Dr. Ismail Zubair M.D, MSc HPM
LEARNING OBJECTIVES
At the end of this session the participants will be able to:
 Discuss the historical evolution of epidemiology
 Explain the usage of epidemiology
 List the core epidemiological functions
 Explain types of epidemiological studies
EPIDEMIOLOGICAL PRINCIPLES
 Diseases (or other health events)
don’t occur at random
 Diseases (or other health events)
have causal and preventive factors
which can be identified
EPIDEMIOLOGY
Epi = upon
Demos = population
Logos = study of
HISTORY
From Hippocrate …
… To John Snow !
cholera 1854
Cholera 1854
investigation
CHOLERA MAP
JOHN SNOW PILLAR OF EPIDEMIOLOGY
 On 31 August 1854, after several other outbreaks had already occurred elsewhere in the city, a
major outbreak of cholera struck Soho. Dr. Snow later called it "the most terrible outbreak of
cholera which ever occurred in the kingdom."
 Over the next three days 127 people on or near Broad Street died
 In the next week, three quarters of the residents had fled the area
 By 10 September, 500 people had died and the mortality rate was 12.8 percent in some parts of
the city
 By the end of the outbreak 616 people died
JOHN SNOW AND CHOLERA
The miasmatic theory of disease held that diseases such as cholera,
Chlamydia or the Black Death were caused by a miasma (Greek
language: "pollution"), a noxious form of "bad air".
JOHN SNOW AND CHOLERA
 This concept has been supplanted by the germ theory of disease.
 also called the pathogenic theory of medicine, is a theory that proposes that
microorganisms are the cause of many diseases. Although highly controversial
when first proposed, it is now a cornerstone of modern medicine and clinical
microbiology, leading to such important innovations as antibiotics and hygienic
practices
JOHN SNOW AND CHOLERA
 In 19th century sanitory reforms was repalced by sanitory science depending
on germ theory
 Based on Epidemiology Science, Public health began to focus on preventive
measures
 By decline of the infectious disease and emmergence of the new set of
diseases related to lifestyle in the mid 20th, the profile of public health became
low...
DEFINITION OF EPIDEMIOLOGY
The study of the distribution and determinants of health related
states or events in specified human populations and its application to
the control of health problems
Last, 1988
KEY WORDS (I)
The study of the distribution and determinants of health related
states or events in specified human populations and its application to
the control of health problems.
Distribution  Time, place, person
KEY WORDS (II)
The study of the distribution and determinants of health
related states or events in specified human populations and its
application to the control of health problems.
Determinants  Cause, risk factors
KEY WORDS (III)
The study of the distribution and determinants of health related
states or events in specified human populations and its
application to the control of health problems.
Population Public health
KEY WORDS (IV)
The study of the distribution and determinants of health related
states or events in specified human populations and its
application to the control of health problems.
Application  Information for action
Epidemiology is?
USE OF EPIDEMIOLOGY
• Determine the magnitude and trends
• Identify the etiology or cause of disease
• Determine the mode of transmission
• Identify risk factors or susceptibility
• Determine the role of the environment
• Evaluate the impact of the control measures
CORE EPIDEMIOLOGIC FUNCTIONS
• Public health surveillance
• Outbreak investigations
• Data analysis
• Evaluation of disease control programs
• Communication
• Management and teamwork
BASIC EPIDEMIOLOGICAL APPROCH
 Observe
 Count cases (events)
 Describe
 Time, place, person
 Calculate rates,
 Compare rates
 Develop hypotheses
 Test hypotheses
 Implement actions (control, prevention)
Descriptive
Epidemiolog
y
Analytical
Epidemiology
DESCRIPTIVE VS. ANALYTIC
 Descriptive: Activities related to characterizing the patterns of
disease occurrence in terms of person, place or time. Hypothesis
Generating
 Analytic: Activities related to identifying possible causes for the
occurrence of disease. Hypothesis Testing
DESCRIPTIVE EPIDEMIOLOGY
STRENGTHS AND LIMITATIONS
 Inexpensive
 Time saving
 Describe disease patterns
 Formulate research questions
 Unable to test epidemiologic hypotheses
DISTRIBUTION
 How common is the disease?
 Who gets disease?
 Where does the disease occur?
 When does the disease occur?
DESCRIPTIVE EPIDEMIOLOGY -
PERSON
 Disease does not occur at random.
 Not all persons within a population are equally likely to develop a particular
disease.
DESCRIPTIVE EPIDEMIOLOGY -
PERSON
Variation of occurrence in relation to personal characteristics may reflect differences in level of:
 exposure to causal factors
 susceptibility to causal factors
 the need for some level of both susceptibility and exposure
DESCRIPTIVE EPIDEMIOLOGY -
PERSON
Personal characteristics that are commonly examined with respect to disease occurrence are:
 age
 race
 gender
 marital status
 education
 income
 occupation
DESCRIPTIVE EPIDEMIOLOGY -
PERSON
Reported cases of Tuberculosis by age in country X, in
1992
DISTRIBUTION
 How common is the disease?
 Who gets disease?
 Where does the disease occur?
 When does the disease occur?
DESCRIPTIVE EPIDEMIOLOGY -
PLACE
 Where are the disease rates highest?
 Where are the disease rates lowest?
 Does the disease rate vary by country, region, etc?
DISTRIBUTION
 How common is the disease?
 Who gets disease?
 Where does the disease occur?
 When does the disease occur?
DESCRIPTIVE EPIDEMIOLOGY - TIME
 When is the disease common?
 When is the disease rare?
 Is the frequency of the disease in the present different from
the frequency of the disease in the past?
DESCRIPTIVE EPIDEMIOLOGY - TIME
Reported cases of Tuberculosis by year in country X during the period
1980-1992
TYPES OF EPIDEMIOLOGICAL STUDIES
EPIDEMIOLOGY AND PREVENTION
Thank you

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Introduction to epidemiology

  • 1. INTRODUCTION TO EPIDEMIOLOGY By: Dr. Ismail Zubair M.D, MSc HPM
  • 2. LEARNING OBJECTIVES At the end of this session the participants will be able to:  Discuss the historical evolution of epidemiology  Explain the usage of epidemiology  List the core epidemiological functions  Explain types of epidemiological studies
  • 3. EPIDEMIOLOGICAL PRINCIPLES  Diseases (or other health events) don’t occur at random  Diseases (or other health events) have causal and preventive factors which can be identified
  • 4. EPIDEMIOLOGY Epi = upon Demos = population Logos = study of
  • 5. HISTORY From Hippocrate … … To John Snow ! cholera 1854
  • 7. JOHN SNOW PILLAR OF EPIDEMIOLOGY  On 31 August 1854, after several other outbreaks had already occurred elsewhere in the city, a major outbreak of cholera struck Soho. Dr. Snow later called it "the most terrible outbreak of cholera which ever occurred in the kingdom."  Over the next three days 127 people on or near Broad Street died  In the next week, three quarters of the residents had fled the area  By 10 September, 500 people had died and the mortality rate was 12.8 percent in some parts of the city  By the end of the outbreak 616 people died
  • 8. JOHN SNOW AND CHOLERA The miasmatic theory of disease held that diseases such as cholera, Chlamydia or the Black Death were caused by a miasma (Greek language: "pollution"), a noxious form of "bad air".
  • 9. JOHN SNOW AND CHOLERA  This concept has been supplanted by the germ theory of disease.  also called the pathogenic theory of medicine, is a theory that proposes that microorganisms are the cause of many diseases. Although highly controversial when first proposed, it is now a cornerstone of modern medicine and clinical microbiology, leading to such important innovations as antibiotics and hygienic practices
  • 10. JOHN SNOW AND CHOLERA  In 19th century sanitory reforms was repalced by sanitory science depending on germ theory  Based on Epidemiology Science, Public health began to focus on preventive measures  By decline of the infectious disease and emmergence of the new set of diseases related to lifestyle in the mid 20th, the profile of public health became low...
  • 11. DEFINITION OF EPIDEMIOLOGY The study of the distribution and determinants of health related states or events in specified human populations and its application to the control of health problems Last, 1988
  • 12. KEY WORDS (I) The study of the distribution and determinants of health related states or events in specified human populations and its application to the control of health problems. Distribution  Time, place, person
  • 13. KEY WORDS (II) The study of the distribution and determinants of health related states or events in specified human populations and its application to the control of health problems. Determinants  Cause, risk factors
  • 14. KEY WORDS (III) The study of the distribution and determinants of health related states or events in specified human populations and its application to the control of health problems. Population Public health
  • 15. KEY WORDS (IV) The study of the distribution and determinants of health related states or events in specified human populations and its application to the control of health problems. Application  Information for action
  • 17. USE OF EPIDEMIOLOGY • Determine the magnitude and trends • Identify the etiology or cause of disease • Determine the mode of transmission • Identify risk factors or susceptibility • Determine the role of the environment • Evaluate the impact of the control measures
  • 18. CORE EPIDEMIOLOGIC FUNCTIONS • Public health surveillance • Outbreak investigations • Data analysis • Evaluation of disease control programs • Communication • Management and teamwork
  • 19. BASIC EPIDEMIOLOGICAL APPROCH  Observe  Count cases (events)  Describe  Time, place, person  Calculate rates,  Compare rates  Develop hypotheses  Test hypotheses  Implement actions (control, prevention) Descriptive Epidemiolog y Analytical Epidemiology
  • 20. DESCRIPTIVE VS. ANALYTIC  Descriptive: Activities related to characterizing the patterns of disease occurrence in terms of person, place or time. Hypothesis Generating  Analytic: Activities related to identifying possible causes for the occurrence of disease. Hypothesis Testing
  • 21. DESCRIPTIVE EPIDEMIOLOGY STRENGTHS AND LIMITATIONS  Inexpensive  Time saving  Describe disease patterns  Formulate research questions  Unable to test epidemiologic hypotheses
  • 22. DISTRIBUTION  How common is the disease?  Who gets disease?  Where does the disease occur?  When does the disease occur?
  • 23. DESCRIPTIVE EPIDEMIOLOGY - PERSON  Disease does not occur at random.  Not all persons within a population are equally likely to develop a particular disease.
  • 24. DESCRIPTIVE EPIDEMIOLOGY - PERSON Variation of occurrence in relation to personal characteristics may reflect differences in level of:  exposure to causal factors  susceptibility to causal factors  the need for some level of both susceptibility and exposure
  • 25. DESCRIPTIVE EPIDEMIOLOGY - PERSON Personal characteristics that are commonly examined with respect to disease occurrence are:  age  race  gender  marital status  education  income  occupation
  • 26. DESCRIPTIVE EPIDEMIOLOGY - PERSON Reported cases of Tuberculosis by age in country X, in 1992
  • 27. DISTRIBUTION  How common is the disease?  Who gets disease?  Where does the disease occur?  When does the disease occur?
  • 28. DESCRIPTIVE EPIDEMIOLOGY - PLACE  Where are the disease rates highest?  Where are the disease rates lowest?  Does the disease rate vary by country, region, etc?
  • 29. DISTRIBUTION  How common is the disease?  Who gets disease?  Where does the disease occur?  When does the disease occur?
  • 30. DESCRIPTIVE EPIDEMIOLOGY - TIME  When is the disease common?  When is the disease rare?  Is the frequency of the disease in the present different from the frequency of the disease in the past?
  • 31. DESCRIPTIVE EPIDEMIOLOGY - TIME Reported cases of Tuberculosis by year in country X during the period 1980-1992