By Claudia Adriazola-Steil, WRI India Sustainable Cities

1. Claudia Adriazola-Steil
Director of Health and Road Safety

2. The challenge
What is Vision Zero and Safe Systems?
International policies
AGENDA

3. The number of traffic
fatalities in 2015 have
risen by
4.6%
from previous year
DATA FROM INDIA
Source: WHO Global Status Report on Road Safety (2015), Ministry of Road Transport
and Highway (Government of India)
According to WHO
estimates 207,551
lives were lost in India
due to traffic deaths
It is estimated that
3%
of India’s GDP is lost due
to road traffic crashes

4. Source: WHO Global Status Report on Road Safety (2015), Ministry of Road Transport
and Highway (Government of India)
DATA FROM INDIA
Accidents are killing more people in India than terrorism or natural
disasters and yet we never talk about them.
Nitin Gadkari
Minister for Road Transport and Highways
62%
Of all crashes were due to
speeding
More than
50%
of all traffic crash
victims are below 29
years of age
Between 2008-2012 In
New Delhi and Mumbai
83-89%
of all road crash
victims were
pedestrians/cyclists/
motorized two-wheeler
users.

5. Source: WHO Global Status Report on Road Safety (2015)
Indonesia Mexico
Brazil
TRENDS IN REPORTED ROAD TRAFFIC DEATHS
India

6. Source: WHO Global Status Report on Road Safety (2015)
Switzerland United Kingdom
Sweden
TRENDS IN REPORTED ROAD TRAFFIC DEATHS
Denmark

7. THE BIG TRANSFORMATION

8. WHAT’S DIFFERENT NOW? UNPRECEDENTED SCALE
Source: World Urbanization Prospects report, United Nations Economics and
Social Affairs, U.N. Annex. Table 1.
+200
Mumbai s
By 2050

9. AN INCREASINGLY URBAN, CAR-FILLED WORLD
1 billion motor vehicles today
will triple by 2050
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
1970 1980 1990 2000 2010 2020 2030 2040 2050
World Car Numbers
(billions)

10. FINANCE
Of the 2050
infrastructure is
yet to be built
75%
CLIMATE
2%
of the land
but
70%
of the CO2
emissions
AN UNSUSTAINABLE URBANIZATION PATH
Source: Land use and emissions, UN-HABITAT. Infrastructure needs, Resilient
Cities. Air pollution and traffic fatalities, WHO.
PEOPLE
1.2 Million
Traffic Fatalities
3.7 Million
Air Pollution
premature deaths
3.2 Million
Physical Inactivity
premature deaths

11. PEDESTRIANS AND CYCLISTS
Source: WHO (2013), NIH (2009)
27%
of traffic deaths worldwide
are pedestrians and
bicyclists
In China, pedestrians
accounted for
25%
of all traffic deaths, while
cyclists accounted for
16%
Pedestrians and cyclists
accounted for
60%
of road deaths in Indian
city of Chandigarh

12. MOTORCYCLES
Photo: M M/ Flickr
In India,
25%
of traffic victims were
motorcyclists
22%
in China
Motorcycle deaths in Latin
America increased
227%
in 12 years
Motorcycles have 16x
the rate of serious
injuries compared to cars
(UK)

13. THE VULNERABLE
Photo: Richard Stanley, FIA Foundation
Traffic accidents are one of the leading causes of death
for the young, between 5 to 19 years old. (WHO)

14. Source: Jung and Sul 2014
92% of traffic fatalities occur in
middle- and low-income countries
Research from South Korea shows
that
One-third
of traffic crash victims experienced
job loss due to their disability
The victims’ average income level
was
40%
lower than the national average.
.
Photo:
http://www.hdprc.gov.ph/multimedia/
TRAFFIC ACCIDENTS AND POVERTY

15. THE THREE PRINCIPLES
1. Humans make mistakes
2. Vulnerable bodies
3. Speed perception

16. Claes Tingvall

17. FATALITY RISK FOR PEDESTRIANS AT DIFFERENT
SPEEDS
Source: OECD, 2006

18. SAFE SYSTEMS
Leadership + Targets + Knowledge

19. Source: Swedish Road Administration, 2015
SWEDEN

20. VISION ZERO AND
SAFE SYSTEMS IN THE WORLD

21. DIFFERENT MODELS, VERY DIFFERENT
OUTCOMES
Sources: Alain Bertaud (2012) Clearing the air in Atlanta: Transit and smart
growth or conventional economics?
Atlanta
USA
Barcelona
Spain
Population (1990) : 2.5 million
Built-up area : 4,280 km2
Traffic fatality rate : 9.7/ 100,000 pop.
Mode share : Car 77%,
Transit 3%,
Biking 0%,
Walking 1%
2.8 million
162 km2
1.9/ 100,000 pop.
Car 20%
Transit 33%
Biking 12%
Walking 35%

22. INCREASING RISKS ON ROADS
Source: FHWA Highway Statistics, 2008 Regression Analysis: EMBARQ
Study from U.S. states
R² = 0.69
-
5.00
10.00
15.00
20.00
25.00
30.00
35.00
10 20 30 40 50
Trafficfatalitiesper100,000people
(urbanroads)
Daily VMT per person
(urban roads)

23. PRIVATE VEHICLE VS. MASS TRANSIT
Source: Guadalajara Case Study

24. URBAN DESIGN MATTERS
Sources: Dumbaugh and Rae 2009, Ewing and Cervero 2010
Photo: Mexico City
3%
increase in severe
crashes for every 10
meters between
signalized intersections.
For an increase in
density of 100 persons
/ square mile, there
was a
6% reduction
in injurious crashes

25. SAFETY AND ECONOMICS, NYC
Source: http://www.nyc.gov/html/dot/downloads/pdf/2012-10-measuring-
the-street.pdf
Injury crashes fell by
26%
49%
fewer commercial
vacancies
49%
Increase in retail sales

26. INTERNATIONAL POLICIES

27. In my view, what the SDGs ask us to d
two-fold. First, work together to crea
world free of high-risk killer roads. A
second, ensure that the benefits of s
mobility are evenly shared.
Margaret Chan
Second Global High-level Ministerial Meeting on
Safety
Brasilia, Brazil
18 November 2015

28. UN HABITAT III

29. THANK YOU!
Claudia Adriazola-Steil, Director of Health and Road Safety Program
WRI Ross Center for Sustainable Cities