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Future Cities – Smart
Transportation Research
Dr. Atif Manzoor
Distributed Systems Group
Trinity College Dublin
Public Transport Data Event
06 Dec 2012
Lero© 2012
Agenda
• Future cities
– Challenges
– Research @ DSG

• Smart transportation
– Challenges
– Research @ DSG

Lero© 2012
Urban population growth

180,000 people move to cities every day
By 2050, ~75% of population will live in cities
Lero© 2012
Urban sprawl

Negative impact on traffic CO2 emissions
Negative impact on cost of public services
Lero© 2012
Increasing energy demand

Increase across all sectors: transport; industry; residential; services

Lero© 2012
Increasing elderly
population

In 2000, 6.9% of world’s population 65+
By 2050, 15.6% of world’s population 65+
Lero© 2012
Future cities research @
DSG
Sensing

Communications

Intelligence

Improved
Services

Lero© 2012
Research Areas
• Smart infrastructure: management of urban-scale critical
infrastructure (USCI)
– autonomic management techniques modelled as self-organising multi-agent systems
that exploit model-free learning algorithms to associate meaning and actions with
available sensor data

• Smart transportation: improving the reliability and safety of road
transportation
– advanced urban traffic control and highway management systems

• Smart urban-scale sensing: middleware and communications
architectures to allow data from both public and user-contributed
sensors to be exploited by smart cities
– wireless sensor networks, vehicular sensor networks, and participatory sensing

• Smart services: middleware for adaptable software services
– run-time statistical timing analysis, timely reconfiguration; multi-layer

Lero© 2012
Agenda
• Future cities
– Challenges
– Research @ DSG

• Smart transportation
– Challenges
– Research @ DSG

Lero© 2012
Modern Society?

Lero© 2012
Air pollution

Premature deaths increase ~150 per million (in 2000) to ~390
per million (in 2030)
Lero© 2012
Air Pollution Deaths
Premature deaths from PM10 air pollution for 2000 and 2030
(cases per million inh)
1,000
900
800
700
600
500
400
300
200
100
World

Rest of
the World

South Asia
(including India)

China

Russia

Brazil

Asia

North America

Europe

Pacific

2000
2030

OECD
Source: OECD, 2008
Lero© 2012
Cost of congestion

In 2007, congestion induced economic losses in Dublin were 4.1% of GDP

Lero© 2012
Cost of Congestion
Average time (hours) wasted in congestion every year
74

71
64
57
50

44
37

49

19

45

28

25

21 20

47

43

38 35

37

27

45

54

27

35

30
23

35

42

33

38

20

Source: Time Magazine, Texas Transportation Institute
Lero© 2012
Deaths in traffic

In 2010, RTAs were no. 1 cause of death in 15-44 year-olds in the U.S.

Lero© 2012
Smart transportation
Smart infrastructure

Collaborating smart vehicles

Less congestion

Saving time

Lero© 2012

Fewer crashes

Increased safety

Reduced pollution

Green transport
Smart Infrastructure
• Urban scale critical infrastructure modelled as multi-agent systems
– Traffic-light controllers on a junction modelled as an intelligent agent
• Learn suitable actions through interaction with environment
• Suitable for dynamic operating environments

– Urban traffic control system modelled as multi-agent systems
• Use of multi-agent cooperation to manage dependencies between agents
to improve overall system performance

– Self-organizing
• Global behaviours arise from local actions and interactions
• No central control or global system view

– Multiple performance goals/policies

Lero© 2012
Collaborating Smart
Vehicles

Lero© 2012
Challenges
• Dynamic environment
– High speed movements
– Unmanaged
– Unpredictable

• Real-time requirements
• Unreliable communication

Lero© 2012
Thank you

Lero© 2012

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Dublinked Innovation Network Transport Event - Dr. Atif Manzoor, TCD

  • 1. Future Cities – Smart Transportation Research Dr. Atif Manzoor Distributed Systems Group Trinity College Dublin Public Transport Data Event 06 Dec 2012 Lero© 2012
  • 2. Agenda • Future cities – Challenges – Research @ DSG • Smart transportation – Challenges – Research @ DSG Lero© 2012
  • 3. Urban population growth 180,000 people move to cities every day By 2050, ~75% of population will live in cities Lero© 2012
  • 4. Urban sprawl Negative impact on traffic CO2 emissions Negative impact on cost of public services Lero© 2012
  • 5. Increasing energy demand Increase across all sectors: transport; industry; residential; services Lero© 2012
  • 6. Increasing elderly population In 2000, 6.9% of world’s population 65+ By 2050, 15.6% of world’s population 65+ Lero© 2012
  • 7. Future cities research @ DSG Sensing Communications Intelligence Improved Services Lero© 2012
  • 8. Research Areas • Smart infrastructure: management of urban-scale critical infrastructure (USCI) – autonomic management techniques modelled as self-organising multi-agent systems that exploit model-free learning algorithms to associate meaning and actions with available sensor data • Smart transportation: improving the reliability and safety of road transportation – advanced urban traffic control and highway management systems • Smart urban-scale sensing: middleware and communications architectures to allow data from both public and user-contributed sensors to be exploited by smart cities – wireless sensor networks, vehicular sensor networks, and participatory sensing • Smart services: middleware for adaptable software services – run-time statistical timing analysis, timely reconfiguration; multi-layer Lero© 2012
  • 9. Agenda • Future cities – Challenges – Research @ DSG • Smart transportation – Challenges – Research @ DSG Lero© 2012
  • 11. Air pollution Premature deaths increase ~150 per million (in 2000) to ~390 per million (in 2030) Lero© 2012
  • 12. Air Pollution Deaths Premature deaths from PM10 air pollution for 2000 and 2030 (cases per million inh) 1,000 900 800 700 600 500 400 300 200 100 World Rest of the World South Asia (including India) China Russia Brazil Asia North America Europe Pacific 2000 2030 OECD Source: OECD, 2008 Lero© 2012
  • 13. Cost of congestion In 2007, congestion induced economic losses in Dublin were 4.1% of GDP Lero© 2012
  • 14. Cost of Congestion Average time (hours) wasted in congestion every year 74 71 64 57 50 44 37 49 19 45 28 25 21 20 47 43 38 35 37 27 45 54 27 35 30 23 35 42 33 38 20 Source: Time Magazine, Texas Transportation Institute Lero© 2012
  • 15. Deaths in traffic In 2010, RTAs were no. 1 cause of death in 15-44 year-olds in the U.S. Lero© 2012
  • 16. Smart transportation Smart infrastructure Collaborating smart vehicles Less congestion Saving time Lero© 2012 Fewer crashes Increased safety Reduced pollution Green transport
  • 17. Smart Infrastructure • Urban scale critical infrastructure modelled as multi-agent systems – Traffic-light controllers on a junction modelled as an intelligent agent • Learn suitable actions through interaction with environment • Suitable for dynamic operating environments – Urban traffic control system modelled as multi-agent systems • Use of multi-agent cooperation to manage dependencies between agents to improve overall system performance – Self-organizing • Global behaviours arise from local actions and interactions • No central control or global system view – Multiple performance goals/policies Lero© 2012
  • 19. Challenges • Dynamic environment – High speed movements – Unmanaged – Unpredictable • Real-time requirements • Unreliable communication Lero© 2012