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H Pathak
ICAR-National Rice
Research Institute,
Cuttack, Odisha
Climate Risks in
Achieving SDGs:
Policies and
Institutions for
Climate Action
Climate Change and SDGs
UN Agenda for ‘Transforming OurWorld’.
17 SDGs to end poverty, fight inequality and
injustice and tackle climate change by 2030.
Climate risk is No. 13 of the SDGs.
Carbon
dioxide
concentration
has crossed
410 ppm.
Temperature
increase
~1.0oC.
2015 was the
hottest year,
2016 has
broken the
record, once
again.
Climate Change Scenarios: CO2 and
Temperature
-0.6
-0.4
-0.2
0.0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1.0
1875 1925 1975
Temperatureanamoly,C
IPCC (2014)
Mean temperature increased by 0.8-0.9oC.
Seasons have shifted.
Winter season has shortened.
Rainfall variability and intensity has increased.
Climate Change Scenarios in India
Year Rainfall Departure (%)
2000 -8
2001 -15
2002 -19
2003 +2
2004 -13
2005 -1
2006 -1
2007 +5
2008 -2
2009 -23
2010 +2
2011 +1
2012 -8
2013 +6
2014 -12
2015 -14
2016 -2
Excess (>20%
normal)
19%
Normal (-20%
to +20%
normal)
44%
Deficient (-20%
to -40%
normal)
34%
Scanty (<-40%
normal)
3%
Rainfall distribution in
India in 2016
Even with normal
monsoon:
• 37% area had
deficit rainfall
• 19% excess
Increasing Frequency of Extreme Weather Events
DROUGHTFLOODHEAT WAVEHEAVY RAINSCYCLONE
0 >
>
Frequency
(Days)
Frequency and intensity of climatic extremes will
increase.
IPCC (2014)
Carbon dioxide
76%
Major Greenhouse Gases andTheir
Contributions to GlobalWarming
IPCC (2014)
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
China
USA
European
Union
India
GHGemission(%ofglobal)
Contribution of Different Countries to GHGs
Emission vis-a-vis Indian Agriculture
In 2015,World
emitted ~55 billion
tons CO2 eq.
Globally, agriculture
contributes 10-12%,
AFOLU 24-25%.
India emitted ~5%
of global GHGs.
Indian agriculture
~1% of global
GHGs.
Pathak (2015)
Historic Occupation of Atmospheric Carbon
Space by Different Countries
8
Country Carbon space (%)
USA 29
Other developed countries 45
China 10
Other emerging economies 9
India 3
MoEFCC (2015)
About 75% atmospheric carbon space is
occupied by the developed countries.
Per Capita GHG Emissions by Countries
9
Country Emission
(ton CO2 per capita)
United States 16.4
Russia 12.4
Japan 10.4
European Union 7.4
China 7.1
World 4.9
India 1.6
MoEFCC (2015)
India is not part of the problem but can be a
part of the solution.
Climate Change Impacts on Agriculture
Abiotic and
biotic Stresses
IPCC (2014), Pathak et al. (2015)
Change in production by 2080 due to climate
change
Scientific American (2010)
So, what to do?
Mitigation?
Adaptation?
Both?
Climate-smart
Agriculture
How prepared are we?
Preparedness on Climate Change
International: IPCC and UNFCCC
National Missions on Climate Change
State Action Plans on Climate Change
IPCC and UNFCCC
IPCC reviews scientific and
technical literature relevant
to climate change
IPCC 5th Assessment Report
has come in 2014,
preparation is going on for
the 6th Report
Provides ‘policy-relevant’
reports to the policy makers
UNFCCC takes note of
reports for negotiations and
policy formulation
Agriculture in the UNFCCC: Major Landmarks
1994:Article 4.1c, passing reference of agriculture
2007: Bali Action plan.Agriculture included for
discussion
2008: UNFCCC text on mitigation in agriculture
2009: Copenhagen, a negotiating text developed
2010: Cancun, Parties invited to undertake planning
for adaptation actions
2011: Durban, the SBSTA was requested to consider
the scientific and technical issues
2012: Doha, Discussed but no conclusion
2013:Warsaw, workshop held
2015: Paris, Paris Agreement
Outcomes of Paris, 2015 COP 21
To peak greenhouse gas emissions as soon as
possible.
To keep global temperature increase "well
below" 2°C and to pursue efforts to limit it to
1.5°C over pre-industrial levels by 2100.
To review progress every five years.
US$100 bn a year in climate finance for
developing countries by 2020, with a
commitment to further finance in the future.
Agriculture was not included into the final Paris
Agreement. In the non-binding part of the
Agreement ‘food security and production’ were
mentioned.
Issues of Negotiation
Mitigation
Adaptation
Loss and damage
Green climate fund
Issues of Contention
Historical responsibility
CBDR
Equity
Funding
Technology
Issues of Contention in Agriculture
Developing countries:Adaptation
Developed countries: Mitigation and adaptation
India’s position in the UNFCCC
Adaptation is the priority in agriculture
Harness mitigation as co-benefit of adaptation
Voluntary pledge by India: 33-35% reduction in
Emission intensity of GDP by 2030 compared
to 2005 levels.
Submitted its Intended Nationally Determined
Contributions (INDC) to the UNFCCC.
8 National Missions on Climate Change.
Most of the states have submitted the State
Action Plans on Climate Change.
Emphasis on renewable energy sources.
India’s Committments
National Mission on Sustainable Agriculture
Soil Health Card
Paramparagat Krishi Vikas Yojana
National Agro-forestry Programme
National Policy for Management of Crop Residues
Pradhan Mantri Krishi Sinchayee Yojana
Organic Farming
NICRA Project
Pradhan Mantri Fasal Bima Yojana
National Adaptation Fund
India’s Preparedness
By 2030
Do a 40/30/30/20
to build on Green Economy by
Productivity by 40%
Rural Poverty by 30%
Hunger by 30 %
Emission by 20%
Commitment of ICAR for Climate Change
Developed greenhouse gas emission inventory
Quantified the impacts of climate change
Assessed vulnerability to climate change
Identified the mitigation and adaptation options
Developed contingency plans
Developed state-of-the-art infrastructure
Contributed in policy formulations
ICAR: Climate Risk Preparedness
Name Year of
Release
Days Grain
Type
Yield
t/ha
Resistance/
tolerance to pest
Satyabhama 2012 110 MS 2.3 - 4.7 R-SB, LF
Ankit 2014 110 MS 3.98 MR-LB,NB,BS
ShR,SB, LF, GLH
Sahbhagidhan 2009 105 LB 3.5-4 R-LBl, MR-BS,
ShR, SB and LF
Drought Tolerant Varieties
Satyabhama
Submergence tolerant
Jalamani
Salinity Tolerant
Luna Sankhi
Aerobic Rice
High Protein Rice: CR DHAN 310, Released
by CVRC
First high protein (10.2%) rice variety
Grain yield: 4.5 t ha-1
Grain type: Medium slender
Efficient in nitrogen use
Protein-rich Rice - MUKUL (CR DHAN 311)
released by SVRC for Odisha
High protein (10.1%), moderate high Zn (21 ppm)
Grain yield: 4.3 t ha-1, Duration: 120-125 days
Grain type: Medium slender
Non-agreement in climate policy
Inaccurate estimate of GHG emission and
mitigation potential
Incomplete understanding of climate processes
Volatility in carbon market
Non-compliance of GCF commitment
Uncertainties and Constraints in Climate Action
Adaptation
Food
secu
rity
Mitigati
on
Climate Risk Management: Policy Actions
1. Invest in climate-smart
technologies with synergy
between food security.
2. Exploit mitigation co-
benefits of adaptation and
climate change benefits.
3. Mainstream climate
education and invest in
capacity building.
4. Develop an integrated land
use policy, crop planning.
5. Review the state action
plans for climate change.
ThankYou

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IFPRI-TAAS-ICAR- Climate Risks in achieving SDG's: Policies and Institutions for Climate Action-H Pathak

  • 1. H Pathak ICAR-National Rice Research Institute, Cuttack, Odisha Climate Risks in Achieving SDGs: Policies and Institutions for Climate Action
  • 2. Climate Change and SDGs UN Agenda for ‘Transforming OurWorld’. 17 SDGs to end poverty, fight inequality and injustice and tackle climate change by 2030. Climate risk is No. 13 of the SDGs.
  • 3. Carbon dioxide concentration has crossed 410 ppm. Temperature increase ~1.0oC. 2015 was the hottest year, 2016 has broken the record, once again. Climate Change Scenarios: CO2 and Temperature -0.6 -0.4 -0.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1875 1925 1975 Temperatureanamoly,C
  • 4. IPCC (2014) Mean temperature increased by 0.8-0.9oC. Seasons have shifted. Winter season has shortened. Rainfall variability and intensity has increased. Climate Change Scenarios in India Year Rainfall Departure (%) 2000 -8 2001 -15 2002 -19 2003 +2 2004 -13 2005 -1 2006 -1 2007 +5 2008 -2 2009 -23 2010 +2 2011 +1 2012 -8 2013 +6 2014 -12 2015 -14 2016 -2 Excess (>20% normal) 19% Normal (-20% to +20% normal) 44% Deficient (-20% to -40% normal) 34% Scanty (<-40% normal) 3% Rainfall distribution in India in 2016 Even with normal monsoon: • 37% area had deficit rainfall • 19% excess
  • 5. Increasing Frequency of Extreme Weather Events DROUGHTFLOODHEAT WAVEHEAVY RAINSCYCLONE 0 > > Frequency (Days) Frequency and intensity of climatic extremes will increase. IPCC (2014)
  • 6. Carbon dioxide 76% Major Greenhouse Gases andTheir Contributions to GlobalWarming IPCC (2014)
  • 7. 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 China USA European Union India GHGemission(%ofglobal) Contribution of Different Countries to GHGs Emission vis-a-vis Indian Agriculture In 2015,World emitted ~55 billion tons CO2 eq. Globally, agriculture contributes 10-12%, AFOLU 24-25%. India emitted ~5% of global GHGs. Indian agriculture ~1% of global GHGs. Pathak (2015)
  • 8. Historic Occupation of Atmospheric Carbon Space by Different Countries 8 Country Carbon space (%) USA 29 Other developed countries 45 China 10 Other emerging economies 9 India 3 MoEFCC (2015) About 75% atmospheric carbon space is occupied by the developed countries.
  • 9. Per Capita GHG Emissions by Countries 9 Country Emission (ton CO2 per capita) United States 16.4 Russia 12.4 Japan 10.4 European Union 7.4 China 7.1 World 4.9 India 1.6 MoEFCC (2015) India is not part of the problem but can be a part of the solution.
  • 10. Climate Change Impacts on Agriculture Abiotic and biotic Stresses IPCC (2014), Pathak et al. (2015)
  • 11. Change in production by 2080 due to climate change Scientific American (2010)
  • 12. So, what to do? Mitigation? Adaptation? Both? Climate-smart Agriculture How prepared are we?
  • 13. Preparedness on Climate Change International: IPCC and UNFCCC National Missions on Climate Change State Action Plans on Climate Change
  • 14. IPCC and UNFCCC IPCC reviews scientific and technical literature relevant to climate change IPCC 5th Assessment Report has come in 2014, preparation is going on for the 6th Report Provides ‘policy-relevant’ reports to the policy makers UNFCCC takes note of reports for negotiations and policy formulation
  • 15. Agriculture in the UNFCCC: Major Landmarks 1994:Article 4.1c, passing reference of agriculture 2007: Bali Action plan.Agriculture included for discussion 2008: UNFCCC text on mitigation in agriculture 2009: Copenhagen, a negotiating text developed 2010: Cancun, Parties invited to undertake planning for adaptation actions 2011: Durban, the SBSTA was requested to consider the scientific and technical issues 2012: Doha, Discussed but no conclusion 2013:Warsaw, workshop held 2015: Paris, Paris Agreement
  • 16. Outcomes of Paris, 2015 COP 21 To peak greenhouse gas emissions as soon as possible. To keep global temperature increase "well below" 2°C and to pursue efforts to limit it to 1.5°C over pre-industrial levels by 2100. To review progress every five years. US$100 bn a year in climate finance for developing countries by 2020, with a commitment to further finance in the future. Agriculture was not included into the final Paris Agreement. In the non-binding part of the Agreement ‘food security and production’ were mentioned.
  • 17. Issues of Negotiation Mitigation Adaptation Loss and damage Green climate fund
  • 18. Issues of Contention Historical responsibility CBDR Equity Funding Technology
  • 19. Issues of Contention in Agriculture Developing countries:Adaptation Developed countries: Mitigation and adaptation India’s position in the UNFCCC Adaptation is the priority in agriculture Harness mitigation as co-benefit of adaptation
  • 20. Voluntary pledge by India: 33-35% reduction in Emission intensity of GDP by 2030 compared to 2005 levels. Submitted its Intended Nationally Determined Contributions (INDC) to the UNFCCC. 8 National Missions on Climate Change. Most of the states have submitted the State Action Plans on Climate Change. Emphasis on renewable energy sources. India’s Committments
  • 21. National Mission on Sustainable Agriculture Soil Health Card Paramparagat Krishi Vikas Yojana National Agro-forestry Programme National Policy for Management of Crop Residues Pradhan Mantri Krishi Sinchayee Yojana Organic Farming NICRA Project Pradhan Mantri Fasal Bima Yojana National Adaptation Fund India’s Preparedness
  • 22. By 2030 Do a 40/30/30/20 to build on Green Economy by Productivity by 40% Rural Poverty by 30% Hunger by 30 % Emission by 20% Commitment of ICAR for Climate Change
  • 23. Developed greenhouse gas emission inventory Quantified the impacts of climate change Assessed vulnerability to climate change Identified the mitigation and adaptation options Developed contingency plans Developed state-of-the-art infrastructure Contributed in policy formulations ICAR: Climate Risk Preparedness
  • 24. Name Year of Release Days Grain Type Yield t/ha Resistance/ tolerance to pest Satyabhama 2012 110 MS 2.3 - 4.7 R-SB, LF Ankit 2014 110 MS 3.98 MR-LB,NB,BS ShR,SB, LF, GLH Sahbhagidhan 2009 105 LB 3.5-4 R-LBl, MR-BS, ShR, SB and LF Drought Tolerant Varieties Satyabhama
  • 28. High Protein Rice: CR DHAN 310, Released by CVRC First high protein (10.2%) rice variety Grain yield: 4.5 t ha-1 Grain type: Medium slender Efficient in nitrogen use
  • 29. Protein-rich Rice - MUKUL (CR DHAN 311) released by SVRC for Odisha High protein (10.1%), moderate high Zn (21 ppm) Grain yield: 4.3 t ha-1, Duration: 120-125 days Grain type: Medium slender
  • 30. Non-agreement in climate policy Inaccurate estimate of GHG emission and mitigation potential Incomplete understanding of climate processes Volatility in carbon market Non-compliance of GCF commitment Uncertainties and Constraints in Climate Action
  • 31. Adaptation Food secu rity Mitigati on Climate Risk Management: Policy Actions 1. Invest in climate-smart technologies with synergy between food security. 2. Exploit mitigation co- benefits of adaptation and climate change benefits. 3. Mainstream climate education and invest in capacity building. 4. Develop an integrated land use policy, crop planning. 5. Review the state action plans for climate change.