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Communicate Seminar

Benedict Evans / benedict.evans@endersanalysis.com / +44 7880 786 727 / @benedictevans




               June 2012
The explosion of smartphone sales

  Quarterly smartphone unit sales (m)



  90

  80

  70

  60

  50

  40

  30

  20

  10

   0
  Dec-2008            Jul-2009          Jan-2010   Aug-2010   Feb-2011   Sep-2011                 Apr-2012


             iPhone               Android          Symbian      RIM         Windows Phone


                                                                         Source: Companies, Enders Analysis

                                                                         HTML5 Communication, June 2012       2
Divergence of platforms

  Q4 2011 global smartphone market



                 50
                 45
                 40
                 35
                 30
     Units (m)




                 25
                 20
                 15
                 10
                  5
                 0
                      0        100          200         300         400          500        600               700               800
                                                              Reported ASP ($)

                 Nokia smart     Motorola         HTC     iPhone       RIM       SonyEricsson        Samsung Android (e)


                                                                                                  Source: Companies, Enders Analysis

                                                                                                   HTML5 Communication, June 2012      3
Over 450m combined users of iPhone and Android – about 10% of the global base

  Estimated global smartphone install base (m)



  350
                                                          298
  300

  250
                                                    218
  200                                                                  178 179 177
                               167            164                                    165
  150                    141
                   112                  118
            103                                                                              94    97     101 101
  100

   50

    0
                   iPhone                     Android                      Symbian                    RIM




        Jun-2011          Sep-2011       Dec-2011           Mar-2012                       Source: Companies, Enders Analysis

                                                                                           HTML5 Communication, June 2012       4
Tablet sales continue to explode


Quarterly tablet unit sales (m)


   20
   18
   16                                                                                 2.2

   14
                                                                        3.1                              2.8
   12
   10                                                        2.4

    8                                                                                15.4
    6                                                                   11.1                             11.8
                                                             9.2
    4                                 7.3
    2                   4.2                         4.7
            3.3
    0
         Jun-2010    Sep-2010      Dec-2010     Mar-2011   Jun-2011   Sep-2011    Dec-2011           Mar-2012




              iPad                Android premium                                Source: Apple, Google, Enders Analysis

                                                                                    HTML5 Communication, June 2012        5
Apple is the biggest PC maker – iPad is bigger than HP’s PC business

  Apple versus the PC industry: quarterly shipments (m)



  100
   90
   80
   70
   60
   50                                                                               71                          72
                               66                            66
   40
   30
   20
   10                                                              11                       15
               5               15          9                 15                     16                          15
    0          4                           4                       5                         5

            Apple         Windows         Apple        Windows    Apple         Windows   Apple            Windows

                    2011 Q1                       2011 Q2                 2011 Q3                 2011 Q4



        Macs            iPad         HP              Other                                                [Source: Apple, Gartner]

                                                                                          HTML5 Communication, June 2012             6
Consumerisation of IT

• “Eighty-seven percent of IT managers said workers get their    Mobile users consuming news
  smartphones and other mobile devices from the
  company, and that the company covers their costs. Yet more
  than half of employees with iPhones, Android phones and
  iPads said they bought the devices themselves”                 50%
                                                                                 46%
                                                                 45%
• 40% of devices used to access business information are owned
  by employees, up from 30% a year ago                           40%

                                                                 35%
• IDC – IT managers think 35% of staff have smartphones –
  actual figure was 69%                                          30%

                                                                 25%
• 60% of business users are using smartphones for browsing
  business information
                                                                 20%

                                                                 15%
                                                                                                                  10%
                                                                 10%

                                                                 5%

                                                                 0%
                                                                         Business professionals               Consumers
                                                                                                                             [Source: FT]

                                                                                                  HTML5 Communication, June 2012            7
The cost of multiple platforms




                                 HTML5 Communication, June 2012   8
HTML5: platforms and routes to market




                                       Products requires rich experiences
                                                                            It is possible to deliver the desired
                                          that are only possible with a
                                                                               experience using only HTML5
                                                   native app




      Product needs the ease of
  installation, route to market and
                                                  Condé Nast                  ‘Wrapper’ hybrid applications
  built-in frictionless payment that
       come with an app store




 Product can swim outside the app
                                                  Not viable                          Financial Times
               store



                                                                                       HTML5 Communication, June 2012   9

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HTML5 Seminar - Benedict Evans - Enders Analysis

  • 1. HTML5 Communication Communicate Seminar Benedict Evans / benedict.evans@endersanalysis.com / +44 7880 786 727 / @benedictevans June 2012
  • 2. The explosion of smartphone sales Quarterly smartphone unit sales (m) 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 Dec-2008 Jul-2009 Jan-2010 Aug-2010 Feb-2011 Sep-2011 Apr-2012 iPhone Android Symbian RIM Windows Phone Source: Companies, Enders Analysis HTML5 Communication, June 2012 2
  • 3. Divergence of platforms Q4 2011 global smartphone market 50 45 40 35 30 Units (m) 25 20 15 10 5 0 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 Reported ASP ($) Nokia smart Motorola HTC iPhone RIM SonyEricsson Samsung Android (e) Source: Companies, Enders Analysis HTML5 Communication, June 2012 3
  • 4. Over 450m combined users of iPhone and Android – about 10% of the global base Estimated global smartphone install base (m) 350 298 300 250 218 200 178 179 177 167 164 165 150 141 112 118 103 94 97 101 101 100 50 0 iPhone Android Symbian RIM Jun-2011 Sep-2011 Dec-2011 Mar-2012 Source: Companies, Enders Analysis HTML5 Communication, June 2012 4
  • 5. Tablet sales continue to explode Quarterly tablet unit sales (m) 20 18 16 2.2 14 3.1 2.8 12 10 2.4 8 15.4 6 11.1 11.8 9.2 4 7.3 2 4.2 4.7 3.3 0 Jun-2010 Sep-2010 Dec-2010 Mar-2011 Jun-2011 Sep-2011 Dec-2011 Mar-2012 iPad Android premium Source: Apple, Google, Enders Analysis HTML5 Communication, June 2012 5
  • 6. Apple is the biggest PC maker – iPad is bigger than HP’s PC business Apple versus the PC industry: quarterly shipments (m) 100 90 80 70 60 50 71 72 66 66 40 30 20 10 11 15 5 15 9 15 16 15 0 4 4 5 5 Apple Windows Apple Windows Apple Windows Apple Windows 2011 Q1 2011 Q2 2011 Q3 2011 Q4 Macs iPad HP Other [Source: Apple, Gartner] HTML5 Communication, June 2012 6
  • 7. Consumerisation of IT • “Eighty-seven percent of IT managers said workers get their Mobile users consuming news smartphones and other mobile devices from the company, and that the company covers their costs. Yet more than half of employees with iPhones, Android phones and iPads said they bought the devices themselves” 50% 46% 45% • 40% of devices used to access business information are owned by employees, up from 30% a year ago 40% 35% • IDC – IT managers think 35% of staff have smartphones – actual figure was 69% 30% 25% • 60% of business users are using smartphones for browsing business information 20% 15% 10% 10% 5% 0% Business professionals Consumers [Source: FT] HTML5 Communication, June 2012 7
  • 8. The cost of multiple platforms HTML5 Communication, June 2012 8
  • 9. HTML5: platforms and routes to market Products requires rich experiences It is possible to deliver the desired that are only possible with a experience using only HTML5 native app Product needs the ease of installation, route to market and Condé Nast ‘Wrapper’ hybrid applications built-in frictionless payment that come with an app store Product can swim outside the app Not viable Financial Times store HTML5 Communication, June 2012 9