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Read 2.0 is mobile (and global)



                     NFAIS MOBILE workshop

                            MARCH 16, 2012
This morning’s presentation
                          2

 A mobile context
 Global trends
 Current options for mobile content consumption
 Implications for content creation and management
Mobile content consumption: core take-aways
                          3


 Expanding rapidly
 Global implications
 Dedicated and multi-function devices
 Content forms evolving along with the platforms
Headlines (begin to) tell the tale
                4
Things are changing fast, and faster
                           5

 Smartphone use grew an estimated 40% in 2011
 Social networking on mobile devices grew 240% in a
 single year
 Tablet sales doubled in 2011
 72% of the U.S. workforce is “already mobile”
 Mobile is expected to “trump laptops and desktops”
 and become the “first screen” for web access by 2013



                                           Source: Chief Content Officer
Mobile is busting out all over
                           6

 US leads the way
 Significant expansion expected in UK, France
 Emerging: Spain, Germany, Netherlands
 Regional rights sales can be a challenge
Digital reading in major markets
               7




                    Sources: Barclays Capital, PwC, Magellan analysis
Digital reading in emerging markets
                 8




                      Sources: Barclays Capital, PwC, Magellan analysis
How do you qualify emerging markets?
                            9

 Affordable, attractive eReading devices
 Wide range of content (okay if it’s trade)
 Perceived price competitiveness
 Straightforward interfaces
 … and maybe see if your content is being pirated
Keys to mobile reading success
                             10

 Wireless coverage
 Seamless transactions
 Extensive content libraries
 Device reliability
 Content interoperability




                                  Adapted from work by Andrew Brenneman, Book Business
Technology: changing the reading landscape
                                11

 Content forms are evolving as platforms emerge
 Today: web, text, apps, search, (some) ads
 New options are emerging
    Location-based services (LBS)
    QR codes
    Near-field communication (NFC)
 Dedicated eReaders and multifunction devices
 Tablets may supplant other devices for reading
Already: iPad eating away at print news
                                   12

 University of Missouri survey of 1,600 iPad users
 84.4% cited “following current events” as a primary
 use for their iPad [good news]
 Almost half claimed an hour or more per day is spent
 reading news
 Of those heavy news consumers, 58% said they were
 likely to cancel print; 10% had already cancelled
 Key factor: price [bad news]



                   Sources: Journalism Institute at the University of Missouri; Macworld March 2011
The appeal of mobile reading
                           13

 Portable
 Searchable
 Broader selection
 “In the moment” (immediate, interactive, relevant,
 updated)
 Increasingly “webby”: open, social, linked
A cross-section of digital content models
                        14




Typically supported          Opportunity to develop
  using web-based            and implement device-
wireless applications             based apps
                             Source: Alisa Bowen, Thomson-Reuters; Magellan analysis
Mobile reading segments: a range …
                             15




• Sony Reader       • Apple iPad    • iPhone (Apple)
• Amazon Kindle     • Samsung       • Blackberry (RIM)
• BN Nook           • Motorola      • Android (Google)
• Kobo Reader       • RIM           • Microsoft (Windows)
• … and many more   • Kindle Fire
                    • Nook Color
                    • Kobo
… with differing use profiles
              16




                           Source: Nielsen, February 2011
Part of an evolving e-reading value chain
                    17




                           Source: Forrester Research; Magellan research
Designing for mobile is “the new black”
                            18

 Desired: a consistent user experience across multiple
 digital channels
 “Fat-finger” challenges
 Search options must be omnipresent
 Speed matters (so, optimize for the platform)
 Sharing matters (“likes”, recommendations, reviews)
 Increasingly, geo-location features matter
A significant challenge: formats
               19




       Today: Device +
    Format + Discovery +
        Acquisition +
    Installation + DRM =
         “Confusion”



                    “Confusion” courtesy Peter Brantley, Internet Archive
Proliferation of file types and DRM options
                               20


Segment          Options
File types       RTF and PDF
                 BBeB
                 .lit, mobi and AZW
                 PDB and FB2
                 HTML, RB, CHM and OEB
                 … and EPUB
Digital rights   Microsoft Reader
management       Adobe Digital Editions
                 eReader
                 Mobi
                 Apple FairPlay
                 DNL
                 … and others


                                          Adapted from work by Neelan Choksi
Salvation in the cloud?
           21
Platforms, devices and carriers
              22



                   Leading platforms
                    Apple iPhone OS
                    Android
                    Windows
                    Blackberry
Market share for smartphone platforms
                                          23


Platform                     Nov 2010             Nov 2011              Change
Android                          26.0%                47.0%                 +21.0

Blackberry RIM                   33.5%                 6.0%                  -27.5

Apple iOS                        25.0%                43.0%                 +18.0

All other                         15.5%                4.0%                   -11.5




   Because mobile devices are replaced often, market shares can shift quickly…



                                                                       Source: Nielsen
Platform share among “recent acquirers”
                                  24


   Platform                            Share of recent acquirers
   Android                                                         46.9%

   Apple iOS                                                       44.5%

   RIM Blackberry                                                    4.5%

   All other                                                         4.1%



    Shifts like these can affect the willingness of app developers
                    to work with a given platform.


                                             Source: Nielsen Mobile Insights (December 2011)
Market share for leading devices
                                            25


Device                          3Q 2010                3Q 2011                  Change
Nokia                               28.2%                 23.9%                        -4.3
Samsung                             17.2%                 17.8%                       +0.6
LG                                   6.6%                  4.8%                        -1.8
Apple                                3.2%                  3.9%                       +0.7
ZTE                                  1.9%                  3.2%                       +1.3
RIM                                  3.0%                  2.9%                        -0.1
HTC                                  1.6%                  2.7%                        +1.1
Motorola                             2.1%                  2.5%                       +0.4
All others                          36.3%                 38.1%                       +1.8

         Although Apple trails in the share of leading devices, it outpaces all
               providers in revenue earned from its mobile devices.
                                                                Source: Gartner, November 2011
Mobile platforms vary widely by country
                                         26


Platform         USA      Canada              UK    France        Spain       Germany
Apple             35%         77%          42%         64%           56%              59%
Blackberry        28%          8%          35%
Android           27%          8%             12%      19%           20%               21%
Nokia                                                   6%           14%                8%
Other*            11%          7%             12%      11%             9%              12%




   These figures reflect operating systems for all mobile devices in use. “Other”
    includes Nokia and Blackberry in markets where they are not broken out.




                                                              Source: iCrossing, February 2011
Four carriers dominate the U.S. market
                              27


   Carrier                         Market share (2010)
   Verizon                                          37%
   AT&T                                             31%
   Sprint                                           16%
   T-Mobile                                         11%
   All others                                        5%


   Total mobile subscribers                 290 million




                                               Source: Wireless Industry News
Practical implementation advice
                          28

 Know the devices your audience uses
 Track usage behaviors and be ready to adjust
 Create and align user-experience “maps” across
 platforms (web, mobile, apps)
 Set usage and engagement goals that track across
 multiple platforms
 Remember that a bad app is worse than no app




                           Source: Publishing Executive; Association Media & Publishing
Preparing for new digital models
                           29

 Be sure that rights are well-tracked and up to date
 Know where your files are (ideally, in-house)
 Align your metadata with partner requirements
 If you want to sell content components, plan ahead
 Think globally
If you are just getting started
                           30

 Think EPUB
 Simple before enhanced
 If enhanced, think platform
If you are prepared to go global
                           31

 Direct sales? Devices and markets are complex
 Partners can help
 If geographically focused, you can choose
 Worldwide rights gaining in value
Either way: “Look Homeward, Angel”
                          32

 Subscription and component sales
 Cost containment and agile content
 Piracy can point out demand
 Keep up with VAT
 Buy and use eReaders
Publisher options for rich-media strategies
                                 33

 Consider using one of the digital magazine vendors
 Market broadly (print, digital mag, app) and let the
 audience choose the format
 Don’t just give away content
    Limit web-based content to a subset until registered
    Limit app-based access until log-in/subscribe
 Where applicable, sell cross-platform advertising




                                                     Source: Publishing Executive
Mobile content consumption: core take-aways
                          34

 Expanding rapidly
 Global implications
 Dedicated and multi-function devices
 Content forms evolving along with the platforms
35



                “What matters is trying to figure
Looking ahead
                out how to work with the
                audience and how to help them
                find out what it is they want to
                find. People, I think, will pay for
                that.”


                      - Nick Bilton, NYT.com




                                          Source: Associations Now
For more information
                                    36

 Book Industry Study Group (www.bisg.org) , “Consumer Attitudes
  Toward Digital Publishing” (two-volume study)
 A mobile bibliography, http://bit.ly/9iaZPQ

 Livres Canada Books, “Exporting digital books: A guide to best
  practices”
 Barclays Capital, “eBooks – Digital positive for once?”

 Outsell, “Worldwide eBooks market size and forecast report”

 PwC, “Turning the page: The future of eBooks”

 The Bookseller’s “FutureBook” annual surveys (2009 – 2011)

 brian.oleary@magellanmediapartners.com

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Read 2 is mobile (and global)

  • 1. Read 2.0 is mobile (and global) NFAIS MOBILE workshop MARCH 16, 2012
  • 2. This morning’s presentation 2  A mobile context  Global trends  Current options for mobile content consumption  Implications for content creation and management
  • 3. Mobile content consumption: core take-aways 3  Expanding rapidly  Global implications  Dedicated and multi-function devices  Content forms evolving along with the platforms
  • 4. Headlines (begin to) tell the tale 4
  • 5. Things are changing fast, and faster 5  Smartphone use grew an estimated 40% in 2011  Social networking on mobile devices grew 240% in a single year  Tablet sales doubled in 2011  72% of the U.S. workforce is “already mobile”  Mobile is expected to “trump laptops and desktops” and become the “first screen” for web access by 2013 Source: Chief Content Officer
  • 6. Mobile is busting out all over 6  US leads the way  Significant expansion expected in UK, France  Emerging: Spain, Germany, Netherlands  Regional rights sales can be a challenge
  • 7. Digital reading in major markets 7 Sources: Barclays Capital, PwC, Magellan analysis
  • 8. Digital reading in emerging markets 8 Sources: Barclays Capital, PwC, Magellan analysis
  • 9. How do you qualify emerging markets? 9  Affordable, attractive eReading devices  Wide range of content (okay if it’s trade)  Perceived price competitiveness  Straightforward interfaces  … and maybe see if your content is being pirated
  • 10. Keys to mobile reading success 10  Wireless coverage  Seamless transactions  Extensive content libraries  Device reliability  Content interoperability Adapted from work by Andrew Brenneman, Book Business
  • 11. Technology: changing the reading landscape 11  Content forms are evolving as platforms emerge  Today: web, text, apps, search, (some) ads  New options are emerging  Location-based services (LBS)  QR codes  Near-field communication (NFC)  Dedicated eReaders and multifunction devices  Tablets may supplant other devices for reading
  • 12. Already: iPad eating away at print news 12  University of Missouri survey of 1,600 iPad users  84.4% cited “following current events” as a primary use for their iPad [good news]  Almost half claimed an hour or more per day is spent reading news  Of those heavy news consumers, 58% said they were likely to cancel print; 10% had already cancelled  Key factor: price [bad news] Sources: Journalism Institute at the University of Missouri; Macworld March 2011
  • 13. The appeal of mobile reading 13  Portable  Searchable  Broader selection  “In the moment” (immediate, interactive, relevant, updated)  Increasingly “webby”: open, social, linked
  • 14. A cross-section of digital content models 14 Typically supported Opportunity to develop using web-based and implement device- wireless applications based apps Source: Alisa Bowen, Thomson-Reuters; Magellan analysis
  • 15. Mobile reading segments: a range … 15 • Sony Reader • Apple iPad • iPhone (Apple) • Amazon Kindle • Samsung • Blackberry (RIM) • BN Nook • Motorola • Android (Google) • Kobo Reader • RIM • Microsoft (Windows) • … and many more • Kindle Fire • Nook Color • Kobo
  • 16. … with differing use profiles 16 Source: Nielsen, February 2011
  • 17. Part of an evolving e-reading value chain 17 Source: Forrester Research; Magellan research
  • 18. Designing for mobile is “the new black” 18  Desired: a consistent user experience across multiple digital channels  “Fat-finger” challenges  Search options must be omnipresent  Speed matters (so, optimize for the platform)  Sharing matters (“likes”, recommendations, reviews)  Increasingly, geo-location features matter
  • 19. A significant challenge: formats 19 Today: Device + Format + Discovery + Acquisition + Installation + DRM = “Confusion” “Confusion” courtesy Peter Brantley, Internet Archive
  • 20. Proliferation of file types and DRM options 20 Segment Options File types RTF and PDF BBeB .lit, mobi and AZW PDB and FB2 HTML, RB, CHM and OEB … and EPUB Digital rights Microsoft Reader management Adobe Digital Editions eReader Mobi Apple FairPlay DNL … and others Adapted from work by Neelan Choksi
  • 21. Salvation in the cloud? 21
  • 22. Platforms, devices and carriers 22 Leading platforms  Apple iPhone OS  Android  Windows  Blackberry
  • 23. Market share for smartphone platforms 23 Platform Nov 2010 Nov 2011 Change Android 26.0% 47.0% +21.0 Blackberry RIM 33.5% 6.0% -27.5 Apple iOS 25.0% 43.0% +18.0 All other 15.5% 4.0% -11.5 Because mobile devices are replaced often, market shares can shift quickly… Source: Nielsen
  • 24. Platform share among “recent acquirers” 24 Platform Share of recent acquirers Android 46.9% Apple iOS 44.5% RIM Blackberry 4.5% All other 4.1% Shifts like these can affect the willingness of app developers to work with a given platform. Source: Nielsen Mobile Insights (December 2011)
  • 25. Market share for leading devices 25 Device 3Q 2010 3Q 2011 Change Nokia 28.2% 23.9% -4.3 Samsung 17.2% 17.8% +0.6 LG 6.6% 4.8% -1.8 Apple 3.2% 3.9% +0.7 ZTE 1.9% 3.2% +1.3 RIM 3.0% 2.9% -0.1 HTC 1.6% 2.7% +1.1 Motorola 2.1% 2.5% +0.4 All others 36.3% 38.1% +1.8 Although Apple trails in the share of leading devices, it outpaces all providers in revenue earned from its mobile devices. Source: Gartner, November 2011
  • 26. Mobile platforms vary widely by country 26 Platform USA Canada UK France Spain Germany Apple 35% 77% 42% 64% 56% 59% Blackberry 28% 8% 35% Android 27% 8% 12% 19% 20% 21% Nokia 6% 14% 8% Other* 11% 7% 12% 11% 9% 12% These figures reflect operating systems for all mobile devices in use. “Other” includes Nokia and Blackberry in markets where they are not broken out. Source: iCrossing, February 2011
  • 27. Four carriers dominate the U.S. market 27 Carrier Market share (2010) Verizon 37% AT&T 31% Sprint 16% T-Mobile 11% All others 5% Total mobile subscribers 290 million Source: Wireless Industry News
  • 28. Practical implementation advice 28  Know the devices your audience uses  Track usage behaviors and be ready to adjust  Create and align user-experience “maps” across platforms (web, mobile, apps)  Set usage and engagement goals that track across multiple platforms  Remember that a bad app is worse than no app Source: Publishing Executive; Association Media & Publishing
  • 29. Preparing for new digital models 29  Be sure that rights are well-tracked and up to date  Know where your files are (ideally, in-house)  Align your metadata with partner requirements  If you want to sell content components, plan ahead  Think globally
  • 30. If you are just getting started 30  Think EPUB  Simple before enhanced  If enhanced, think platform
  • 31. If you are prepared to go global 31  Direct sales? Devices and markets are complex  Partners can help  If geographically focused, you can choose  Worldwide rights gaining in value
  • 32. Either way: “Look Homeward, Angel” 32  Subscription and component sales  Cost containment and agile content  Piracy can point out demand  Keep up with VAT  Buy and use eReaders
  • 33. Publisher options for rich-media strategies 33  Consider using one of the digital magazine vendors  Market broadly (print, digital mag, app) and let the audience choose the format  Don’t just give away content  Limit web-based content to a subset until registered  Limit app-based access until log-in/subscribe  Where applicable, sell cross-platform advertising Source: Publishing Executive
  • 34. Mobile content consumption: core take-aways 34  Expanding rapidly  Global implications  Dedicated and multi-function devices  Content forms evolving along with the platforms
  • 35. 35 “What matters is trying to figure Looking ahead out how to work with the audience and how to help them find out what it is they want to find. People, I think, will pay for that.” - Nick Bilton, NYT.com Source: Associations Now
  • 36. For more information 36  Book Industry Study Group (www.bisg.org) , “Consumer Attitudes Toward Digital Publishing” (two-volume study)  A mobile bibliography, http://bit.ly/9iaZPQ  Livres Canada Books, “Exporting digital books: A guide to best practices”  Barclays Capital, “eBooks – Digital positive for once?”  Outsell, “Worldwide eBooks market size and forecast report”  PwC, “Turning the page: The future of eBooks”  The Bookseller’s “FutureBook” annual surveys (2009 – 2011)  brian.oleary@magellanmediapartners.com