Monitoring and Evaluation of
Private Sector Development
Hiroyuki Hatashima
Private Sector Evaluation,
Independent Evaluation Group (IEG)
World Bank Group
Canadian Evaluation Society Conference
June 11, 2013
IEG is part of a larger array of
evaluation and control mechanisms
2
World Bank Group
President / Management
Management’s Internal
Accountability Framework
And Systems
•Self Evaluation
•Monitoring (QAG, DOTS, AS)
•Institutional Integrity
•Internal Audit
•Compliance Advisor/ Ombudsman (IFC,
MIGA)
Independent
Evaluation
Group
Inspection
Panel
Board of
Executive Directors
IEG seeks to address both
accountability and learning
• Accountability for results:
– Is the Bank Group doing what it says?
– Is it achieving its objectives?
– To what extent is it contributing to development outcomes?
– With what results and development impact?
• Learning:
– What projects and programs achieve results – relevance,
efficacy, and efficiency – and why?
– How can M&E be strengthened in the Bank Group and in
client countries?
3
Three main messages
Evaluation Across Boundaries
• Private Sector operations have specific data
gathering advantage/disadvantage based on
their business model
• M&E systems should adopt to the business
practices to be effective and efficient
• M&E can influence learning, quality of work
and outcome
Outline of Presentation
1. Context of Private Sector Development Assistance
2. Types of World Bank Group Private Sector
Development interventions
3. Technical Assistance projects M&E
4. Private Sector Investment projects M&E
5. Use and Influence of M&E
1.1 Context: Private Sector As Important Player
1. The private sector has taken on an essential
role in contributing a wide range of
development issues.
2. Potential of private sector to contribute to
development solution is still underutilized.
3. M&E essential for track progress, assess
outcome & performance and generating
knowledge of what works, what does not, and
why.
Are the monitoring and evaluation systems of IFC
and MIGA equipped to inform the organizations on
their performance and results?
Systems functions
• To what extent
does the
mechanism in
place ensure
that M&E
systems
generate
credible, timely,
and relevant
information?
Use and Influence
• To what extent
does M&E
information
support
evidence-based
decision making
and learning?
Effectiveness and
Efficiency
• What has been
the impact of
the M&E
outputs and use
on project
quality and
development
outcomes?
1.2 Assessing M&E systems –
Evaluation Questions
Outline of Presentation
1. Context of Private Sector Development Assistance
2. Types of World Bank Group Private Sector
Development interventions
3. Technical Assistance projects M&E
4. Private sector Investment projects M&E
5. Use and Influence of M&E
The World Bank Group consists of
five closely related institutions:
• IBRD: The International Bank for
Reconstruction and Development
• IDA: The International Development
Association
• IFC: International Finance Corporation
• MIGA: The Multilateral Investment
Guarantee Agency
• ICSID: The International Center for the
Settlement of Investment Disputes
1. Types of WBG Private Sector Development
interventions
1. Interventions through the Public Sector to influence
the Private Sector
 World Band Financial and Private Sector Development
projects,
 IFC’s Advisory Services projects to government (Investment
Climate, PPP)
2. Direct interventions in partnership with the private
sector and public entities operating commercially
 IFC’s investments and MIGA’s guarantees
3. Blend interventions
 IFC’s Advisory Services to private companies, but with a
strong public good component
Outline of Presentation
1. Context of Private Sector Development Assistance
2. Types of World Bank Group Private Sector
Development interventions
3. Technical Assistance projects M&E
4. Private Sector Investment projects M&E
5. Business Models and M&E
3.1. Technical Assistances follow
logical model results measurement
ImpactOutcomesOutputsActivitiesInputs
 Resources used
for advisory
services projects
 Programs
associated with an
advisory project
 Example:
– Provide
advisory
services to
local
companies
 Immediate
deliverables of
the project
 Example:
– Diagnostic
report and
recommendati
ons made
– 10 managers
were trained
– Legislation
drafted
 Changes in
knowledge,
behaviors, and
attitudes as a
result of
intervention with
attribution of
changes to the
project
 Example:
– Legislative or
inst reforms
– Changes in
agricultural
techniques, or
CG practices
 Consequences
resulting from an
intervention
including
improvements in
clients’
performance and
effects beyond
direct
beneficiaries
 Example:
– increased
investment,
sales, jobs
Track indicators
Project Supervision Report
(PSR)
Supervise
Approve Disburse Completion
Commit
M&E system
Logframe,
Identify indicators
Project
Completion
Report
(PCR)
3.2. M&E follows project cycle
Development Effectiveness Framework
Strategic
Relevance
Was it the right
project at the
right time?
Output
Achievement
Were “key”
deliverables
achieved? To
what extent were
clients satisfied
with the advisory
service?
Outcome
Achievement
Were intended
short & medium-
term changes in
behavior
achieved?
Efficiency
Were costs
reasonable vis-à-
vis results?
Impact
Achievement
Were intended longer-
term effects achieved?
What would have
happened without the
intervention? (What is
the counterfactual?)
• These combine into a “synthesis” rating
In addition: Assessment of IFC Role & Contribution:
– Was IFC particularly catalytic or innovative in its advisory services?
– Was IFC able to play a unique role not easily filled by others?
3.2. Advisory Services Project
Completion Report as Self-Evaluation
3.4 Technical Assistance M&E –
ways to adopt to business practices
Progress
 Integration with project cycle
 M&E officer playing important and
formal roles in quality assurance
 Quality control cycle
established
 M&E officers sign-off, Development
Impact Dept reviews
 M&E quality improved
 Quality of logical framework, baseline
data, quality of results discussion – all
improved
Challenges
 Standard indicators not
sufficient to track results
 Inadequate information in
PCR to justify
outcome/impact ratings
 Post completion follow-up
system not systematic
 Work quality assessment not
covered in PCR
Outline of Presentation
1. Context of Private Sector Development Assistance
2. Types of World Bank Group Private Sector
Development interventions
3. IFC Advisory Services (Technical Assistance)
projects M&E
4. Private Sector investment projects M&E
5. Use and Influence of M&E
4.1. Characteristics of Private Sector investments
supported by IFC and MIGA
 Operations subject to market test
Direct Beneficiaries pay for service
Some degree of competition
Sponsors motivated by profitability
 Third party effects (TPE) with no market feedback
Economic distortions
Positive and negative externalities
Provide rationale for public intervention
 Development Agency’s involvement
Consistent with market principles
Focused on third party effects (TPE)
Neighbors /
Environment
CustomersGovernment /
Taxpayers
Employees
4.2 Assessing Development Results - Stakeholder
Framework
Competitors
Producers of
Complementary
Products
Suppliers
New Entrants
Project
Company
(financiers)
4.3. Performance dimensions of IFC
investments and MIGA guarantees
Objective Stakeholders Criteria Standards Assessment
Development
Outcome
Financiers Business
success
(Market test)
Market
benchmarks for
ROIC
Actual financial
statements and
objectives at approval
Customers,
suppliers,
employees,
government
Economic
sustainability
(Third party
effect)
Social benchmarks
for ERR
Actual financial
statements, adjusted
by economic prices
and values
Neighbors,
environment
Environment and
social effects
(Third party
effects)
WBG performance
standards
Actual impact and
compliance with
performance
standards
Competitors, new
entrants, producers
of complementary
products
Private sector
development
(Third party
effect)
Objectives on
competition,
ownership
structure,
demonstration
effects
Qualitative
assessment of
achievements of
objectives on
competition,
ownership structure,
demonstration effects
Track indicators and
development outcomes
Supervise
DOTS*
*IFC’s Development Outcome Tracking System
Approve Disburse Repaid / Exit
Commit
Identify indicators
Expanded
Supervision
Report (XPSR)
4.4. M&E to adopt investment
project cycle
21
Development Outcome Framework
Financial
Performance
Financiers
Economic
Performance
Gov’t, taxpayers
employees, custome
rs,
suppliers
Envi. & Social
Performance
Neighbors &
Environment
Private Sector
Development
Demo. effects,
linkages, corp. gov,
investment climate
& new entrants
+
Standard Development Reach Indicators
IFC-wide: Taxes, employment (incl. female)
Plus sector-specific: e.g. MSME loans, utility connections
• Development Outcome: Overall effect on country’s development
• Framework: Derived from Good Practice Standards for Private Sector
Evaluation (investments)
• Each with specific indicators, benchmarks
3.2. Performance Assessment
2.2 Investment project M&E
Challenges
•Difficult to gather info beyond
company”
•Gaps in tracking private sector
development outcome
– Missing indicators, discrepancies
between stated outcome and
indicators
•Reliance on client-submitted
data
– Some data based largely on
assumptions
•Financial Institutions –
challenges in getting sub-
project level information
Advantages
•Financial data- good quality
and frequently updated;
•Enforcement via contracts /
covenants
•Integration with project cycle
– Use of standard indicators, with
baseline and target
•Quality control cycle
established
–Dept. review, Development Impact
Dept review, External Assurance for
Annual Report
Political Risk Guarantee Business model
and M&E challenges (MIGA)
Business Model
•Core competency as
guarantee underwriting,
not financing
•Arms-length relationship
to project enterprises;
•No statutory reporting
requirement from projects;
•Constraints to access –
–No membership on project
company boards of directors
Challenges
In data gathering
In communicating with
project entities
Challenges in
contextual analysis
Industry / sector
intelligence
23
Function of M&E in MIGA:
significant progress in intro of self-evaluation and
indicators.
Achievements
•New monitoring system
for Environment & Social
•Mainstreaming self-
evaluation
•Development indicator
tracking system
introduced
Areas of improvement
Challenges in data gathering
Inconsistent E&S follow-up on
missing documents
DEIS –ex-ante data not
covering all indicators.
Pool of evaluation not
adequate to report portfolio
results
24
Outline of Presentation
1. Context of Private Sector Development Assistance
2. Types of WBG Private Sector Development
interventions
3. Technical Assistance projects M&E
4. Private Sector Investment projects M&E
5. Use and influence of M&E
3.1 Lessons can have a positive influence on
results
IFC Investment
•Lack of lessons / application of
lessons at appraisal associated
with poor outcome
– 80% of unsuccessful projects – low
quality at entry was main factor
– Low DO with low quality at entry =
40% of them without lessons
60% of them lessons were not
integrated in design.
•Improved performance by
learning from past failures
(Agribusiness case study)
– Newer successful projects applied
lessons from earlier failed projects
IFC Advisory
 Lessons influence design and
implementation
 New template asks “how
lessons have been applied to
project design”
 Wealth of lessons from PCR
 Segmented categories of lessons
 High use of past project PCR in
new projects
 Low use of “SmartLessons”
 M&E officers review at entry
3.2 Issues have been detected during
supervision and actions have been taken
IFC Investment
•High quality of supervision work:
83% high (XPSR)
•Half of XPSR identified issues
during supervision, 90% of them
were detected, 63% of them
were fully addressed during
supervision.
•Credit and Environment risk
systems as the most frequently
used monitoring systems
IFC Advisory
 PSR widely used
 95% of staff used PSR to
make adjustment.
 88% of supervision issues
identified in PCR captured in
PSR.
 Poor supervision critical factor
of 25% of projects rated low in
DE
3.3 M&E information is increasingly
used in IFC Strategies
• Increasing use of M&E data
• Annual Strategy process
– Development impact Dept. provide data and
participate discussion.
– Guidance: asks development issues to cover
• Ratings and reach data used in strategy formulation
– Historical DOTS rating comparisons between
sectors – prioritization of subsector
– DOTS ratings vs. profitability
– Gap analysis using “reach indicators” – strategy to
sharpen focus, areas to reach (i.e. BOP)
– Development return of different options using reach
data (reach per $ cost of capital)
Three main messages
• Private Sector operations have specific data
gathering advantage/disadvantage based on
their business model
• M&E systems should adopt to the business
practices to be effective and efficient
• M&E can influence learning, quality of work
and outcome
Outstanding issues
• Difficult to estimate benefit of M&E
–Need innovative approach, some
assumptions about counterfactuals;
Monitoring and Evaluation of
Private Sector Development
Hiroyuki Hatashima
Private Sector Evaluation,
Independent Evaluation Group (IEG)
World Bank Group
Canadian Evaluation Society Conference
June 11, 2013

Monitoring and Evaluation of Private Sector Development

  • 1.
    Monitoring and Evaluationof Private Sector Development Hiroyuki Hatashima Private Sector Evaluation, Independent Evaluation Group (IEG) World Bank Group Canadian Evaluation Society Conference June 11, 2013
  • 2.
    IEG is partof a larger array of evaluation and control mechanisms 2 World Bank Group President / Management Management’s Internal Accountability Framework And Systems •Self Evaluation •Monitoring (QAG, DOTS, AS) •Institutional Integrity •Internal Audit •Compliance Advisor/ Ombudsman (IFC, MIGA) Independent Evaluation Group Inspection Panel Board of Executive Directors
  • 3.
    IEG seeks toaddress both accountability and learning • Accountability for results: – Is the Bank Group doing what it says? – Is it achieving its objectives? – To what extent is it contributing to development outcomes? – With what results and development impact? • Learning: – What projects and programs achieve results – relevance, efficacy, and efficiency – and why? – How can M&E be strengthened in the Bank Group and in client countries? 3
  • 4.
    Three main messages EvaluationAcross Boundaries • Private Sector operations have specific data gathering advantage/disadvantage based on their business model • M&E systems should adopt to the business practices to be effective and efficient • M&E can influence learning, quality of work and outcome
  • 5.
    Outline of Presentation 1.Context of Private Sector Development Assistance 2. Types of World Bank Group Private Sector Development interventions 3. Technical Assistance projects M&E 4. Private Sector Investment projects M&E 5. Use and Influence of M&E
  • 6.
    1.1 Context: PrivateSector As Important Player 1. The private sector has taken on an essential role in contributing a wide range of development issues. 2. Potential of private sector to contribute to development solution is still underutilized. 3. M&E essential for track progress, assess outcome & performance and generating knowledge of what works, what does not, and why.
  • 7.
    Are the monitoringand evaluation systems of IFC and MIGA equipped to inform the organizations on their performance and results? Systems functions • To what extent does the mechanism in place ensure that M&E systems generate credible, timely, and relevant information? Use and Influence • To what extent does M&E information support evidence-based decision making and learning? Effectiveness and Efficiency • What has been the impact of the M&E outputs and use on project quality and development outcomes? 1.2 Assessing M&E systems – Evaluation Questions
  • 8.
    Outline of Presentation 1.Context of Private Sector Development Assistance 2. Types of World Bank Group Private Sector Development interventions 3. Technical Assistance projects M&E 4. Private sector Investment projects M&E 5. Use and Influence of M&E
  • 9.
    The World BankGroup consists of five closely related institutions: • IBRD: The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development • IDA: The International Development Association • IFC: International Finance Corporation • MIGA: The Multilateral Investment Guarantee Agency • ICSID: The International Center for the Settlement of Investment Disputes
  • 10.
    1. Types ofWBG Private Sector Development interventions 1. Interventions through the Public Sector to influence the Private Sector  World Band Financial and Private Sector Development projects,  IFC’s Advisory Services projects to government (Investment Climate, PPP) 2. Direct interventions in partnership with the private sector and public entities operating commercially  IFC’s investments and MIGA’s guarantees 3. Blend interventions  IFC’s Advisory Services to private companies, but with a strong public good component
  • 11.
    Outline of Presentation 1.Context of Private Sector Development Assistance 2. Types of World Bank Group Private Sector Development interventions 3. Technical Assistance projects M&E 4. Private Sector Investment projects M&E 5. Business Models and M&E
  • 12.
    3.1. Technical Assistancesfollow logical model results measurement ImpactOutcomesOutputsActivitiesInputs  Resources used for advisory services projects  Programs associated with an advisory project  Example: – Provide advisory services to local companies  Immediate deliverables of the project  Example: – Diagnostic report and recommendati ons made – 10 managers were trained – Legislation drafted  Changes in knowledge, behaviors, and attitudes as a result of intervention with attribution of changes to the project  Example: – Legislative or inst reforms – Changes in agricultural techniques, or CG practices  Consequences resulting from an intervention including improvements in clients’ performance and effects beyond direct beneficiaries  Example: – increased investment, sales, jobs
  • 13.
    Track indicators Project SupervisionReport (PSR) Supervise Approve Disburse Completion Commit M&E system Logframe, Identify indicators Project Completion Report (PCR) 3.2. M&E follows project cycle
  • 14.
    Development Effectiveness Framework Strategic Relevance Wasit the right project at the right time? Output Achievement Were “key” deliverables achieved? To what extent were clients satisfied with the advisory service? Outcome Achievement Were intended short & medium- term changes in behavior achieved? Efficiency Were costs reasonable vis-à- vis results? Impact Achievement Were intended longer- term effects achieved? What would have happened without the intervention? (What is the counterfactual?) • These combine into a “synthesis” rating In addition: Assessment of IFC Role & Contribution: – Was IFC particularly catalytic or innovative in its advisory services? – Was IFC able to play a unique role not easily filled by others? 3.2. Advisory Services Project Completion Report as Self-Evaluation
  • 15.
    3.4 Technical AssistanceM&E – ways to adopt to business practices Progress  Integration with project cycle  M&E officer playing important and formal roles in quality assurance  Quality control cycle established  M&E officers sign-off, Development Impact Dept reviews  M&E quality improved  Quality of logical framework, baseline data, quality of results discussion – all improved Challenges  Standard indicators not sufficient to track results  Inadequate information in PCR to justify outcome/impact ratings  Post completion follow-up system not systematic  Work quality assessment not covered in PCR
  • 16.
    Outline of Presentation 1.Context of Private Sector Development Assistance 2. Types of World Bank Group Private Sector Development interventions 3. IFC Advisory Services (Technical Assistance) projects M&E 4. Private Sector investment projects M&E 5. Use and Influence of M&E
  • 17.
    4.1. Characteristics ofPrivate Sector investments supported by IFC and MIGA  Operations subject to market test Direct Beneficiaries pay for service Some degree of competition Sponsors motivated by profitability  Third party effects (TPE) with no market feedback Economic distortions Positive and negative externalities Provide rationale for public intervention  Development Agency’s involvement Consistent with market principles Focused on third party effects (TPE)
  • 18.
    Neighbors / Environment CustomersGovernment / Taxpayers Employees 4.2Assessing Development Results - Stakeholder Framework Competitors Producers of Complementary Products Suppliers New Entrants Project Company (financiers)
  • 19.
    4.3. Performance dimensionsof IFC investments and MIGA guarantees Objective Stakeholders Criteria Standards Assessment Development Outcome Financiers Business success (Market test) Market benchmarks for ROIC Actual financial statements and objectives at approval Customers, suppliers, employees, government Economic sustainability (Third party effect) Social benchmarks for ERR Actual financial statements, adjusted by economic prices and values Neighbors, environment Environment and social effects (Third party effects) WBG performance standards Actual impact and compliance with performance standards Competitors, new entrants, producers of complementary products Private sector development (Third party effect) Objectives on competition, ownership structure, demonstration effects Qualitative assessment of achievements of objectives on competition, ownership structure, demonstration effects
  • 20.
    Track indicators and developmentoutcomes Supervise DOTS* *IFC’s Development Outcome Tracking System Approve Disburse Repaid / Exit Commit Identify indicators Expanded Supervision Report (XPSR) 4.4. M&E to adopt investment project cycle
  • 21.
    21 Development Outcome Framework Financial Performance Financiers Economic Performance Gov’t,taxpayers employees, custome rs, suppliers Envi. & Social Performance Neighbors & Environment Private Sector Development Demo. effects, linkages, corp. gov, investment climate & new entrants + Standard Development Reach Indicators IFC-wide: Taxes, employment (incl. female) Plus sector-specific: e.g. MSME loans, utility connections • Development Outcome: Overall effect on country’s development • Framework: Derived from Good Practice Standards for Private Sector Evaluation (investments) • Each with specific indicators, benchmarks 3.2. Performance Assessment
  • 22.
    2.2 Investment projectM&E Challenges •Difficult to gather info beyond company” •Gaps in tracking private sector development outcome – Missing indicators, discrepancies between stated outcome and indicators •Reliance on client-submitted data – Some data based largely on assumptions •Financial Institutions – challenges in getting sub- project level information Advantages •Financial data- good quality and frequently updated; •Enforcement via contracts / covenants •Integration with project cycle – Use of standard indicators, with baseline and target •Quality control cycle established –Dept. review, Development Impact Dept review, External Assurance for Annual Report
  • 23.
    Political Risk GuaranteeBusiness model and M&E challenges (MIGA) Business Model •Core competency as guarantee underwriting, not financing •Arms-length relationship to project enterprises; •No statutory reporting requirement from projects; •Constraints to access – –No membership on project company boards of directors Challenges In data gathering In communicating with project entities Challenges in contextual analysis Industry / sector intelligence 23
  • 24.
    Function of M&Ein MIGA: significant progress in intro of self-evaluation and indicators. Achievements •New monitoring system for Environment & Social •Mainstreaming self- evaluation •Development indicator tracking system introduced Areas of improvement Challenges in data gathering Inconsistent E&S follow-up on missing documents DEIS –ex-ante data not covering all indicators. Pool of evaluation not adequate to report portfolio results 24
  • 25.
    Outline of Presentation 1.Context of Private Sector Development Assistance 2. Types of WBG Private Sector Development interventions 3. Technical Assistance projects M&E 4. Private Sector Investment projects M&E 5. Use and influence of M&E
  • 26.
    3.1 Lessons canhave a positive influence on results IFC Investment •Lack of lessons / application of lessons at appraisal associated with poor outcome – 80% of unsuccessful projects – low quality at entry was main factor – Low DO with low quality at entry = 40% of them without lessons 60% of them lessons were not integrated in design. •Improved performance by learning from past failures (Agribusiness case study) – Newer successful projects applied lessons from earlier failed projects IFC Advisory  Lessons influence design and implementation  New template asks “how lessons have been applied to project design”  Wealth of lessons from PCR  Segmented categories of lessons  High use of past project PCR in new projects  Low use of “SmartLessons”  M&E officers review at entry
  • 27.
    3.2 Issues havebeen detected during supervision and actions have been taken IFC Investment •High quality of supervision work: 83% high (XPSR) •Half of XPSR identified issues during supervision, 90% of them were detected, 63% of them were fully addressed during supervision. •Credit and Environment risk systems as the most frequently used monitoring systems IFC Advisory  PSR widely used  95% of staff used PSR to make adjustment.  88% of supervision issues identified in PCR captured in PSR.  Poor supervision critical factor of 25% of projects rated low in DE
  • 28.
    3.3 M&E informationis increasingly used in IFC Strategies • Increasing use of M&E data • Annual Strategy process – Development impact Dept. provide data and participate discussion. – Guidance: asks development issues to cover • Ratings and reach data used in strategy formulation – Historical DOTS rating comparisons between sectors – prioritization of subsector – DOTS ratings vs. profitability – Gap analysis using “reach indicators” – strategy to sharpen focus, areas to reach (i.e. BOP) – Development return of different options using reach data (reach per $ cost of capital)
  • 29.
    Three main messages •Private Sector operations have specific data gathering advantage/disadvantage based on their business model • M&E systems should adopt to the business practices to be effective and efficient • M&E can influence learning, quality of work and outcome
  • 30.
    Outstanding issues • Difficultto estimate benefit of M&E –Need innovative approach, some assumptions about counterfactuals;
  • 31.
    Monitoring and Evaluationof Private Sector Development Hiroyuki Hatashima Private Sector Evaluation, Independent Evaluation Group (IEG) World Bank Group Canadian Evaluation Society Conference June 11, 2013

Editor's Notes

  • #4 IEG Private Sector Evaluation (IEGPE)*Evaluates the effectiveness of programs, projects, and activities and the strategies, policies and procedures that relate to them with particular attention to the achievement of objectives for private sector development Generates lessons for learningSupports the Board in ensuring WBG’s development effectiveness and accountability*Adapted from Director’s terms of reference approved by the Board (November 2005)