Disaster in Japan11 March 2011David AlexanderGlobal Risk Forum Davos
14:46 Friday 11 March 2011Earthquakeepicentre: 130 km off coast
hypocentre: 24 km deep
magnitude: 9Tsunamiheight:11.87 - 29.6 m
magnitude:3.6 to 4.9
 7 waves in 6 hours tsunami warning available in 3 minutes
 arrival time was 9-26 minutes
 443 km2 inundated
 only vertical evacuation was feasible
 old and infirm people most at risk?
 r/c buildings safe, other structures not14,517 confirmed dead
11,432 missing
 78 bodies recovered in  first three days of April possibly 1000 bodies in the   20km nuclear exclusion zone
In some instances, such as this case,there was no one to rescue.
54 of 174 cities in fourprefectures affected (1/3)
 16,950 homes and buildings destroyed  and 138,000 damaged in 7 prefectures 170,500 people in 2,230 evacuation  centres in 17 prefectures 70,409 families living in centres
 4000 schools damaged and  554 used as evacuation centres
 30,000 transitional houses  to be supplied in two months: construction has started on 4,216 damage estimated at €216 billion  ($309 billion) - more than twice the  cost of 1995 Kobe earthquake (€92 bn) insured property losses: 4.5-11.3%Fukushima DaiichiReactors 1, 2 and 3:-damage to the cores from cooling problems
buildings holed by gas explosion
containment damage possible
radioactive water detected in reactor,basement and groundwaterleaking crack in containment pit of reactor no. 2Reactor 4:-shut down prior to quake.
fires and explosion in spent fuel pondReactors 5 and 6:-reactors shut down.
temperature of spent fuel pools was very high. safe limits exceeded 40 km away
 radioactivity at plant 100,000 times usual level
 radioactive iodine in the sea near  the plant 4,385 times usual level 70% of one reactor core severely  damaged and 30% of anotherFukushima Daiichi
 20-km radius: 70,000 long-term evacuees

Disaster in Japan, 11 March 2011