SlideShare a Scribd company logo
Major Concepts in Demand
Measurement
Dr. Gopal Thapa
Member Secretary
Marketing Subject Standing Committee
Tribhuvan University
Market
 Potential market
 Available market
 Target/ served market
 Penetrated market
08/10/17 Copy right reserved 2
Levels of Demand Measurement
 Market Demand
 Company Demand
08/10/17 Copy right reserved 3
Market Demand
 Market demand is the total volume of product in
a :
 Defined customer group
 Defined geographical area
 Defined time period
 Defined marketing environment
 Defined marketing programme
08/10/17 Copy right reserved 4
Company Demand
 Estimated share of market demand that a company
could expect to achieve at alternative levels of
marketing expenditure in a defined time period
 Effected by marketing mix
 Based on sales forecasting
 Based on chosen marketing expenditure plan
Methods of Estimating Current
Market Demand
 Total market potential
 Area market potential
 Company Market Share
Total market potential
Total market potential
= Potential buyer × Average quantity per
buyer × price
Area Market Potential
 Market Build up method
 Market Factor method
Market Build-up Method
 Area Market Potential
= Potential buyers × Potential purchase per buyer
Market Factor method
 Suppose, Kathmandu Valley has 10% of Nepal’s
population, 25% of Nepal’s disposable income
and 50% of Nepal’s book sales.
 Weight given to different factors are;
 0.2for population size
 0.5 for disposable income
 0.3 for retail sales
Area market potential = (0.2×10)+(0.5×25)+(0.3×50)
= 2+12.5+15
= 29.5%
Thus, area market potential in Kathmandu is 29.5%
of Nepal’s total book sales
Company Market Share
 Company Market Share
= Company sales × 100
Industry sales
Methods of Estimating Future
Demand
 Executive Judgement
 Survey
Survey of Buyer’s intention
Composite of sales force opinion
Survey of Expert opinion
Market test method
Past sales analysis: Time series, statistical demand
analysis, econometrics
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??????????????
08/10/17 Copy right reserved 13

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Demand forecasting

  • 1. Major Concepts in Demand Measurement Dr. Gopal Thapa Member Secretary Marketing Subject Standing Committee Tribhuvan University
  • 2. Market  Potential market  Available market  Target/ served market  Penetrated market 08/10/17 Copy right reserved 2
  • 3. Levels of Demand Measurement  Market Demand  Company Demand 08/10/17 Copy right reserved 3
  • 4. Market Demand  Market demand is the total volume of product in a :  Defined customer group  Defined geographical area  Defined time period  Defined marketing environment  Defined marketing programme 08/10/17 Copy right reserved 4
  • 5. Company Demand  Estimated share of market demand that a company could expect to achieve at alternative levels of marketing expenditure in a defined time period  Effected by marketing mix  Based on sales forecasting  Based on chosen marketing expenditure plan
  • 6. Methods of Estimating Current Market Demand  Total market potential  Area market potential  Company Market Share
  • 7. Total market potential Total market potential = Potential buyer × Average quantity per buyer × price
  • 8. Area Market Potential  Market Build up method  Market Factor method
  • 9. Market Build-up Method  Area Market Potential = Potential buyers × Potential purchase per buyer
  • 10. Market Factor method  Suppose, Kathmandu Valley has 10% of Nepal’s population, 25% of Nepal’s disposable income and 50% of Nepal’s book sales.  Weight given to different factors are;  0.2for population size  0.5 for disposable income  0.3 for retail sales Area market potential = (0.2×10)+(0.5×25)+(0.3×50) = 2+12.5+15 = 29.5% Thus, area market potential in Kathmandu is 29.5% of Nepal’s total book sales
  • 11. Company Market Share  Company Market Share = Company sales × 100 Industry sales
  • 12. Methods of Estimating Future Demand  Executive Judgement  Survey Survey of Buyer’s intention Composite of sales force opinion Survey of Expert opinion Market test method Past sales analysis: Time series, statistical demand analysis, econometrics