DEMAND FORECASTING
INTRODUCTION
• Forecasting means estimating the future
possibilities of a particular incident or
situation expected to happen.
Demand forecasting
• Demand Forecasting is the process by which every
new and established firms are following to predict
the demand for their products & services to make
managerial decisions necessary.
• Sales forecasting and demand forecasting are one
and the same which suggests developments and
corrective actions related to production function,
inventory control and managerial actions.
TYPES OF DEMAND FORECASTING
• According to requirements of business
organisations, time span and planning of
production, demand forecasting will be done
in two types.
• They are : 1) short-term demand forecasting.
2) Long – term demand forecasting.
short-term demand forecasting
• It is especially limited to short periods,
generally for one year.
• It depends on policies relating to sales,
purchases, price and investment.
• It is necessary to make decisions regarding
prices
• This price forecasting helps in sale policy
formulation.
Long – term demand forecasting
• It helps the management to know the long
term demand for its products which also helps
to take production, sales and pricing decisions.
• Planning of a new plant or expansion of an
existing unit depends on long-term demand.
• . When forecast are mode covering long
periods, the probability of error is high.
• Prof. C. I. Savage and T.R. Small classify
demand forecasting into three types.
They are 1. Economic forecasting,
2. Industry forecasting,
3. Firm level forecasting
Methods of forecasting
1. Survey Method:
Survey Method:
A. Opinion survey method:
B. Expert opinion method
C. Delphi Method
D. Consumers interview method
2. Statistical Methods:
2. Statistical Methods:
a. Time series analysis or trend projection
methods
b. Barometric Technique
c. Regression and correlation method

Demand forecasting

  • 1.
  • 2.
    INTRODUCTION • Forecasting meansestimating the future possibilities of a particular incident or situation expected to happen.
  • 3.
    Demand forecasting • DemandForecasting is the process by which every new and established firms are following to predict the demand for their products & services to make managerial decisions necessary. • Sales forecasting and demand forecasting are one and the same which suggests developments and corrective actions related to production function, inventory control and managerial actions.
  • 4.
    TYPES OF DEMANDFORECASTING • According to requirements of business organisations, time span and planning of production, demand forecasting will be done in two types. • They are : 1) short-term demand forecasting. 2) Long – term demand forecasting.
  • 5.
    short-term demand forecasting •It is especially limited to short periods, generally for one year. • It depends on policies relating to sales, purchases, price and investment. • It is necessary to make decisions regarding prices • This price forecasting helps in sale policy formulation.
  • 6.
    Long – termdemand forecasting • It helps the management to know the long term demand for its products which also helps to take production, sales and pricing decisions. • Planning of a new plant or expansion of an existing unit depends on long-term demand. • . When forecast are mode covering long periods, the probability of error is high.
  • 7.
    • Prof. C.I. Savage and T.R. Small classify demand forecasting into three types. They are 1. Economic forecasting, 2. Industry forecasting, 3. Firm level forecasting
  • 8.
  • 9.
    1. Survey Method: SurveyMethod: A. Opinion survey method: B. Expert opinion method C. Delphi Method D. Consumers interview method
  • 10.
    2. Statistical Methods: 2.Statistical Methods: a. Time series analysis or trend projection methods b. Barometric Technique c. Regression and correlation method