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www.TransformingTransportation.org
Current Public and Private Financial
Flows and Role of Climate Finance
in the Transport Sector
Benoit Lefevre
Director, Energy & Climate, WRI Ross Center forS
ustainable Cities, WRI
Presented at Transforming Transportation 2015
BENOIT LEFEVRE, PHD
DIRECTOR ENERGY & CLIMATE, WRI ROSS CENTER FOR SUSTAINABLE CITIES, WRI
CURRENT PUBLIC AND
PRIVATE FINANCIAL FLOWS
&
ROLE OF CLIMATE FINANCE
IN THE TRANSPORT SECTOR
Transforming Transportation
Washington, USA – January 16th, 2015
WRI Ross center for sustainable cities
Finance-related activities:
1) Track financial flows + Investment needs :
big picture + detailed analysis (countries, private sources)
2) Increase, improve and popularize (climate)
finance options
3) Support developing countries & cities,
Highlight public instruments to mobilize funding
& INCREASESHIFT
Outline:
1.Landscape of current financial flows
2.Investments needs
3.Role of (public) climate finance
Current
public and private
financial flows in
transport ?
Financial flows to transport:
a Trillion Dollar Question
1. Global annual investment
2. Only capital assets (not
operational or consumer
spending)
3. All modes (i.e. land, air, & water)
4. Public and Private sources
5. Domestic and cross-border
How much is invested annually
in the transport sector?
$1.4 - $2.1 trillion
What portion is invested in
developing countries?
About 24%,
or $500 billion
What portion comes from
private investors?
About 58%
or $1 trillion
Is public or private investment
larger in developed countries?
Is public or private investment
larger in developing countries?
What portion of public investment
comes from domestic budget?
Investments needs
in transport ?
How much do we need to invest in
Transport?
$0
$20
$40
$60
$80
$100
$120
McKinsey: US$24 trillion
WEF: US$33 trillion (4DS) | US$36.7 trillion (2DS)
OECD: US$11.3 trillion
(trillion)
IEA: US$118.2 trillion (4DS) | US$ 98.2 trillion (2DS)
_____________________________
Sources:
1) Global Land Transport Infrastructure Requirements, International Energy Agency, 2013
2) The Green Investment Report, The ways and means to unlock private finance for green growth, World Economic Forum, 2013
3) Infrastructure productivity: How to save $1 trillion a year, McKinsey Global Institute, 2013
4) Infrastructure investment needs of low-carbon scenario, The New Climate Economy, 2014
5) Strategic Transport Infrastructure Needs to 2030, OECD, (2012)
NCE: US$13.67 trillion
Estimating Annual Investment Needs on
Transport
4DS (2015-2030): ~US$3.1 trillion / year
2DS (2015-2030): ~US$2.8 trillion / year
IEA
 Sectors: Road and Rail
 Range: 2010 - 2050
 Climate Scenario: 4DS and 2DS (based on sectoral shift)
OECD
 Sectors: Airports, Ports and Oil & Gas (T & D)
 Range: 2009 - 2030
 Climate Scenario: Not specified
Based on our estimate of US$1.4 – 2.1 trillion spending; transport infrastructure will
remain underfunded by at least a TRILLION dollars.
What role for
Public Climate
Finance?
Role of International Public Climate Finance
GIZ sourcebook : Urban
Transport & CC
Transport-NAMA database
Readiness for Climate
Finance
Environmental/Climate Funds
Name Acronym
Year
Created
Admin
Total
Spending
Total Spent on
Transport
Proportion
MULTILATERAL
Global Environment
Facility
GEF 1991 WB $4.5 billion $292.5 million 6.5%
Clean Technology Fund CTF 2008 WB $2.3 billion $361 million 15.7%
Global Climate Change
Alliance
GCCA 2007 EC $368 million $10 million 2.7%
IDB Sustainable Energy
and Climate Change
Initiative
SECCI 2007 IDB $58.7 million $5.2 million 8.9%
ADB Climate Change
Fund
CCF 2008 ADB $43.3 million Unknown Unknown
ADB Clean Energy Fund
(Partnership Facility)
CEF(PF) 2007 ADB $72.3 million $900,000* 1.2%
Partnership for Market
Readiness
PRM 2012 WB $5.25 million Unknown Unknown
BILATERAL
International Climate
Initiative
ICI 2008 BMU $1.06 billion $20.49 million 1.2%
Japan Fast Start Fund
Initiative
n/a 2009 JICA $13.2 billion Unknown Unknown
Environmental/
Climate Funds
*Estimated
International public climate
finance should offer leverage.
Public sector intervention to mobilize private investment
A Mix of Approaches:
- Policy instruments + financial instruments used in
coordination
- Market + project level intervention
WHAT CAN TRANSPORT CLIMATE FINANCE SUPPORT?
CTF GEF Japan FSF NAMA Private
Transport Mode
Road x x x x x
Rail x x x x x
Urban Public x x x x x
Non-motorised x x x x x
Type of Support
Concepts & plans x x x
Infrastructure x x x x x
Operations & Maintenance x x x x x
Technology Transfer x x x x
Capacity Building x x x
Support Instruments
Grant x x x x
Loan x x x x
Technical Assistance x x x
Who can access the funds?
Environmental/
Climate Funds
National
Government
Regional
Government Private Sector
Local
Government
Eligible World Regions:
Global Environment Facility (US$4.5 billion)
Clean Technology Fund (UD$2.3 billion)
International Climate Initiative (US$1.6 billion)
Sustainable Energy and Climate Change Initiative (US$58.7 million)*
Clean Energy Fund (US$72.3 million)
Climate Change Fund (US$ 43.3 million)
Global Climate Change
Alliance
(US$368 million)**
Fast Start Fund
Initiative
(US$13.2 billion)
* As of 2011
** Funds cannot be allocated to projects at the local level
Available
Climate
Funds
What is “Readiness”?
23
Climate Financiers
Recipient
Country/City
Status Quo
“Readiness”
Climate Financiers
Recipient
Country/City
Transport Readiness
Two sides to readiness (1 of 2)
Benefits to Donor/Lender Benefits to Local Objectives
1. Attract the
Private
Sector
2. Focus on
Institutional
Capacity
 Meet the
requirements
for co-
financing
 More
effective
compliance
reporting
 Increase local
private sector
capacity
 Develop long-term
skills
 Leverage
more project
resources
 Enhance
collaboration
among agencies
 Manage
international
investment
Two sides to readiness (2 of 2)
Benefits to Donor/Lender Benefits to Local Objectives
3. Develop
Financial
Strategy
5. Gather
Good Data
 Distribute
investment
risk
.
 Create
defensible
carbon offset
credits
 Reduce debt
obligation
 Use data for
ongoing projects
 Track co-benefits
 Maximize
investment
impact
 Strengthen MRV
framework to
verify results
4. Plan Early
& Upstream
 Increased data
availability
 More finance
opportunities
 Clear project roles/
responsibilities
Any good news?
Good news: Development
banks are allocating more to
low-carbon transport
Source: ADB
Good news: Climate funds are
allocating more to transport.
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
CTF
GEF
GCCA
NDF
CEF
SECCI
CCF
PMR
FSF
ICI$23
Percent
Of Fund
Invested
in
Transport
(Bubble Size is Millions of USD of Investment)
$370
$1270
$45.3
$3.0
$5.0
$5.2
$10
$0.9
Good news: private sector investment is
growing
MERCI !
Benoit Lefevre, PhD
Director Energy & Climate, WRI Ross center for sustainable cities
blefevre@wri.org
www.wri.org
www.embarq.org
www.thecityfix.com

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Current Public and Private Financial Flows and Role of Climate Finance in the Transport Sector - Benoit Lefevre - World Resources Institute - Transforming Transportation 2015

  • 1. www.TransformingTransportation.org Current Public and Private Financial Flows and Role of Climate Finance in the Transport Sector Benoit Lefevre Director, Energy & Climate, WRI Ross Center forS ustainable Cities, WRI Presented at Transforming Transportation 2015
  • 2. BENOIT LEFEVRE, PHD DIRECTOR ENERGY & CLIMATE, WRI ROSS CENTER FOR SUSTAINABLE CITIES, WRI CURRENT PUBLIC AND PRIVATE FINANCIAL FLOWS & ROLE OF CLIMATE FINANCE IN THE TRANSPORT SECTOR Transforming Transportation Washington, USA – January 16th, 2015
  • 3. WRI Ross center for sustainable cities Finance-related activities: 1) Track financial flows + Investment needs : big picture + detailed analysis (countries, private sources) 2) Increase, improve and popularize (climate) finance options 3) Support developing countries & cities, Highlight public instruments to mobilize funding & INCREASESHIFT
  • 4. Outline: 1.Landscape of current financial flows 2.Investments needs 3.Role of (public) climate finance
  • 6. Financial flows to transport: a Trillion Dollar Question 1. Global annual investment 2. Only capital assets (not operational or consumer spending) 3. All modes (i.e. land, air, & water) 4. Public and Private sources 5. Domestic and cross-border
  • 7. How much is invested annually in the transport sector? $1.4 - $2.1 trillion
  • 8. What portion is invested in developing countries? About 24%, or $500 billion
  • 9. What portion comes from private investors? About 58% or $1 trillion
  • 10. Is public or private investment larger in developed countries?
  • 11. Is public or private investment larger in developing countries?
  • 12. What portion of public investment comes from domestic budget?
  • 14. How much do we need to invest in Transport? $0 $20 $40 $60 $80 $100 $120 McKinsey: US$24 trillion WEF: US$33 trillion (4DS) | US$36.7 trillion (2DS) OECD: US$11.3 trillion (trillion) IEA: US$118.2 trillion (4DS) | US$ 98.2 trillion (2DS) _____________________________ Sources: 1) Global Land Transport Infrastructure Requirements, International Energy Agency, 2013 2) The Green Investment Report, The ways and means to unlock private finance for green growth, World Economic Forum, 2013 3) Infrastructure productivity: How to save $1 trillion a year, McKinsey Global Institute, 2013 4) Infrastructure investment needs of low-carbon scenario, The New Climate Economy, 2014 5) Strategic Transport Infrastructure Needs to 2030, OECD, (2012) NCE: US$13.67 trillion
  • 15. Estimating Annual Investment Needs on Transport 4DS (2015-2030): ~US$3.1 trillion / year 2DS (2015-2030): ~US$2.8 trillion / year IEA  Sectors: Road and Rail  Range: 2010 - 2050  Climate Scenario: 4DS and 2DS (based on sectoral shift) OECD  Sectors: Airports, Ports and Oil & Gas (T & D)  Range: 2009 - 2030  Climate Scenario: Not specified Based on our estimate of US$1.4 – 2.1 trillion spending; transport infrastructure will remain underfunded by at least a TRILLION dollars.
  • 16. What role for Public Climate Finance?
  • 17. Role of International Public Climate Finance GIZ sourcebook : Urban Transport & CC Transport-NAMA database Readiness for Climate Finance
  • 18. Environmental/Climate Funds Name Acronym Year Created Admin Total Spending Total Spent on Transport Proportion MULTILATERAL Global Environment Facility GEF 1991 WB $4.5 billion $292.5 million 6.5% Clean Technology Fund CTF 2008 WB $2.3 billion $361 million 15.7% Global Climate Change Alliance GCCA 2007 EC $368 million $10 million 2.7% IDB Sustainable Energy and Climate Change Initiative SECCI 2007 IDB $58.7 million $5.2 million 8.9% ADB Climate Change Fund CCF 2008 ADB $43.3 million Unknown Unknown ADB Clean Energy Fund (Partnership Facility) CEF(PF) 2007 ADB $72.3 million $900,000* 1.2% Partnership for Market Readiness PRM 2012 WB $5.25 million Unknown Unknown BILATERAL International Climate Initiative ICI 2008 BMU $1.06 billion $20.49 million 1.2% Japan Fast Start Fund Initiative n/a 2009 JICA $13.2 billion Unknown Unknown Environmental/ Climate Funds *Estimated
  • 19. International public climate finance should offer leverage.
  • 20. Public sector intervention to mobilize private investment A Mix of Approaches: - Policy instruments + financial instruments used in coordination - Market + project level intervention
  • 21. WHAT CAN TRANSPORT CLIMATE FINANCE SUPPORT? CTF GEF Japan FSF NAMA Private Transport Mode Road x x x x x Rail x x x x x Urban Public x x x x x Non-motorised x x x x x Type of Support Concepts & plans x x x Infrastructure x x x x x Operations & Maintenance x x x x x Technology Transfer x x x x Capacity Building x x x Support Instruments Grant x x x x Loan x x x x Technical Assistance x x x
  • 22. Who can access the funds? Environmental/ Climate Funds National Government Regional Government Private Sector Local Government Eligible World Regions: Global Environment Facility (US$4.5 billion) Clean Technology Fund (UD$2.3 billion) International Climate Initiative (US$1.6 billion) Sustainable Energy and Climate Change Initiative (US$58.7 million)* Clean Energy Fund (US$72.3 million) Climate Change Fund (US$ 43.3 million) Global Climate Change Alliance (US$368 million)** Fast Start Fund Initiative (US$13.2 billion) * As of 2011 ** Funds cannot be allocated to projects at the local level Available Climate Funds
  • 23. What is “Readiness”? 23 Climate Financiers Recipient Country/City Status Quo “Readiness” Climate Financiers Recipient Country/City
  • 25. Two sides to readiness (1 of 2) Benefits to Donor/Lender Benefits to Local Objectives 1. Attract the Private Sector 2. Focus on Institutional Capacity  Meet the requirements for co- financing  More effective compliance reporting  Increase local private sector capacity  Develop long-term skills  Leverage more project resources  Enhance collaboration among agencies  Manage international investment
  • 26. Two sides to readiness (2 of 2) Benefits to Donor/Lender Benefits to Local Objectives 3. Develop Financial Strategy 5. Gather Good Data  Distribute investment risk .  Create defensible carbon offset credits  Reduce debt obligation  Use data for ongoing projects  Track co-benefits  Maximize investment impact  Strengthen MRV framework to verify results 4. Plan Early & Upstream  Increased data availability  More finance opportunities  Clear project roles/ responsibilities
  • 28. Good news: Development banks are allocating more to low-carbon transport Source: ADB
  • 29. Good news: Climate funds are allocating more to transport. 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 CTF GEF GCCA NDF CEF SECCI CCF PMR FSF ICI$23 Percent Of Fund Invested in Transport (Bubble Size is Millions of USD of Investment) $370 $1270 $45.3 $3.0 $5.0 $5.2 $10 $0.9
  • 30. Good news: private sector investment is growing
  • 31. MERCI ! Benoit Lefevre, PhD Director Energy & Climate, WRI Ross center for sustainable cities blefevre@wri.org www.wri.org www.embarq.org www.thecityfix.com