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Ana Cascão Stockholm International Water Institute (SIWI) DANIDA Development Days 2011 Copenhagen, May 3 Cooperation over transboundary water resources in the Nile Basin: potential, obstacles and challenges
The Nile River Basin Complexity Asymmetries
Cooperation: possible and desired?
Cooperation = Maximising benefits
Cooperation in the Nile: Potential
Potential: Hydropower and Energy Security 7% 49% 22% 75% 69% 33% Percentage of technical and economic hydropower potential exploited  World Atlas of Hydropower & Dams, 2003 Attractive World Bank, 2004
Potential: Agriculture and Food Security ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Not so Attractive
Potential: Hydropolitics/Politics
Harnessing the cooperation potential... ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Obstacles to Cooperation Legal:  Lack of overarching legal multilateral agreement and existence of contested past agreements Institutional:  Delays in establishing a permanent Nile Basin Commission
since  1999 1997-2007 ?
Obstacles to Cooperation Political:  Ongoing political cleavage between downstream and upstream riparians Structural:  Current lack of regional ‘umbrella’ in the Nile region Perceptions:  No full understanding of  benefits of cooperation  and  costs of no-cooperation
CHALLENGES TO COOPERATION
Parallel realities:  Unilateralism in spite of cooperation New Valley Project – Egypt Merowe Dam -Sudan Tekezze Dam - Ethiopia Millenium Dam – Ethiopia
The end of ‘traditional’ funding? NEW FRAMING Self-financing New business models New partners China, India, Gulf countries, ...
Land-Grabbing: transboundary impacts? Cotula et al., 2009
New geopolitical developments: ‘Revolutions’ in the making in the Nile Basin Velvet divorce in Sudan Popular uprising in Egypt
Concluding remarks... ,[object Object],[object Object]
Thank you!

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Cooperation in the Nile Basin: potential, obstacles and challenges (DANIDA 2011)

Editor's Notes

  1. Positive-Sum Outcome: All can get a bigger ‘share’ of the pie
  2. Water consumption Livelihoods
  3. Land grab or development opportunity? Agricultural investment and international land deals in Africa FAO, IIED and IFAD, 2009