SlideShare a Scribd company logo
Cournot’s model of oligopoly
• Single good produced by n firms
• Cost to firm i of producing qi units: Ci(qi), where Ci is
nonnegative and increasing
• If firms’ total output is Q then market price is P(Q),
where P is nonincreasing
Profit of firm i, as a function of all the firms’ outputs:
πi(q1, . . . , qn) = qiP


n
j=1
qj

 − Ci(qi).
Strategic game:
• players: firms
• each firm’s set of actions: set of all possible outputs
• each firm’s preferences are represented by its profit
1
Example
• two firms
• inverse demand:
P(Q) = max{0, α − Q} =



α − Q if Q ≤ α
0 if Q > α
• constant unit cost: Ci(qi) = cqi, where c < α.
0 Q →
↑
P(Q)
α
@
@
@
@
@
@
@
@
@
@
@@
α
2
Nash equilibrium
Payoff functions
Firm 1’s profit is
π1(q1, q2) = q1(P(q1 + q2) − c)
=



q1(α − c − q2 − q1) if q1 ≤ α − q2
−cq1 if q1 > α − q2
Best response functions
Firm 1’s profit as a function of q1:
0
a - c
q
2
= 0
q
1
q
2
> 0
a - c - q
2
a
profit of
firm 1
Up to α − q2 this function is a quadratic that is zero when
q1 = 0 and when q1 = α − c − q2.
3
So when q2 is small, optimal output of firm 1 is (α − c − q2)/2.
As q2 increases this output decreases until it is zero.
It is zero when q2 = α − c.
Best response function is:
b1(q2) =



(α − c − q2)/2 if q2 ≤ α − c
0 if q2 > α − c.
Same for firm 2: b2(q) = b1(q) for all q.
H
H
H
HH
H
HH
H
H
HH
A
A
A
A
A
A
A
A
A
A
A
A
q
0 α−c
2
α − c
α−c
2
α − c
↑
q2
q1 →
b1(q2)
b2(q1)
4
Nash equilibrium
Pair (q∗
1, q∗
2) of outputs such that
each firm’s action is a best response to the other firm’s action
or
q∗
1 = b1(q∗
2) and q∗
2 = b2(q∗
1) :
H
H
H
HH
H
HH
H
H
HH
A
A
A
A
A
A
A
A
A
A
A
A
q
0
......................................
α−c
3
α−c
2
α − c
α−c
3
α−c
2
α − c
↑
q2
q1 →
b1(q2)
b2(q1)
(q∗
1, q∗
2)
or q1 = (α − c − q2)/2 and q2 = (α − c − q1)/2.
Solution:
q∗
1 = q∗
2 = (α − c)/3.
5
Conclusion
Game has unique Nash equilibrium:
(q∗
1, q∗
2) = ((α − c)/3, (α − c)/3)
At equilibrium, each firm’s profit is (α − c)2
/9.
Note: Total output 2(α − c)/3 lies between monopoly output
(α − c)/2 and competitive output α − c.
6
Bertrand’s model of oligopoly
Strategic variable price rather than output.
• Single good produced by n firms
• Cost to firm i of producing qi units: Ci(qi), where Ci is
nonnegative and increasing
• If price is p, demand is D(p)
• Consumers buy from firm with lowest price
• Firms produce what is demanded
Firm 1’s profit:
π1(p1, p2) =



p1D(p1) − C1(D(p1)) if p1 < p2
1
2 p1D(p1) − C1(1
2 D(p1)) if p1 = p2
0 if p1 > p2
Strategic game:
• players: firms
• each firm’s set of actions: set of all possible prices
• each firm’s preferences are represented by its profit
7
Example
• 2 firms
• Ci(qi) = cqi for i = 1, 2
• D(p) = α − p.
Nash equilibrium
Best response functions
To find best response function of firm 1, look at its payoff as a
function of its output, given output of firm 2.
8
c a
p2
p1
profit
(p1 - c)D(p1)
c ap2
p1
profit
(p1 - c)D(p1)
c ap2
pm
p1
profit
(p1 - c)D(p1)
9
p2 < c
c a
p2
p1
profit
(p1 - c)D(p1)
Any price greater than p2 is a best response to p2:
B1(p2) = {p1 : p1 > p2}.
Note: a price between p2 and c is a best response!
p2 = c
Any price greater than or equal to p2 is a best response to p2:
B1(p2) = {p1 : p1 ≥ p2}.
10
c < p2 ≤ pm
c ap2
p1
profit
(p1 - c)D(p1)
There is no best response! (a bit less than p2 is almost a best
response).
pm
< p2
c ap2
pm
p1
profit
(p1 - c)D(p1)
pm
is the unique best response to p2:
B1(p2) = {pm
}.
11
Summary
Bi(pj) =



{pi : pi > pj} if pj < c
{pi : pi ≥ pj} if pj = c
∅ if c < pj ≤ pm
{pm
} if pm
< pj.
p2
p1pm
pm
c
c
0
12
Nash equilibrium
(p∗
1, p∗
2) such that p∗
1 ∈ B1(p∗
2) and p∗
2 ∈ B2(p∗
1)
I.e. intersection of the graphs of the best response functions
p2
p1pm
pm
c
c
0
So: unique Nash equilibrium, (p∗
1, p∗
2) = (c, c).
13
“Direct” argument for Nash equilibrium
If each firm charges the price of c then the other firm can do
no better than charge the price of c also (if it raises its price is
sells no output, while if it lowers its price is makes a loss), so
(c, c) is a Nash equilibrium.
No other pair (p1, p2) is a Nash equilibrium since
• if pi < c then the firm whose price is lowest (or either
firm, if the prices are the same) can increase its profit (to
zero) by raising its price to c
• if pi = c and pj > c then firm i is better off increasing its
price slightly
• if pi ≥ pj > c then firm i can increase its profit by
lowering pi to some price between c and pj (e.g. to
slightly below pj if D(pj) > 0 and to pm
if D(pj) = 0).
Note: to show a pair of actions is not a Nash equilibrium we
need only find a better response for one of the players—not
necessarily the best response.
14
Equilibria in Cournot’s and Bertrand’s models generate
different economic outcomes:
• equilibrium price in Bertrand’s model is c
• price associated with an equilibrium of Cournot’s model is
1
3 (α + 2c), which exceeds c since α > c.
Does one model capture firms’ strategic reasoning better than
the other?
Bertrand’s model: firm changes its behavior if it can increase
its profit by changing its price, on the assumption that the
other firm will not change its price but the other firm’s output
will adjust to clear the market.
Cournot’s model: firm changes its behavior if it can increase
its profit by changing its output, on the assumption that the
output of the other firm will not change but the price will
adjust to clear the market.
If prices can easily be changed, Cournot’s model may thus
better capture firms’ strategic reasoning.
15
Hotelling’s model of electoral competition
• Several candidates vie for political office
• Each candidate chooses a policy position
• Each citizen, who has preferences over policy positions,
votes for one of the candidates
• Candidate who obtains the most votes wins.
Strategic game:
• Players: candidates
• Set of actions of each candidate: set of possible positions
• Each candidate gets the votes of all citizens who prefer her
position to the other candidates’ positions; each candidate
prefers to win than to tie than to lose.
Note: Citizens are not players in this game.
16
Example
• Two candidates
• Set of possible positions is a (one-dimensional) interval.
• Each voter has a single favorite position, on each side of
which her distaste for other positions increases equally.
x*x y
• Unique median favorite position m among the voters: the
favorite positions of half of the voters are at most m, and
the favorite positions of the other half of the voters are at
least m.
Note: m may not be in the center of the policy space.
17
Positions and votes
Candidate who gets most votes wins.
x1
(x1 + x2)/2
x2m
vote for 1 vote for 2
In this case, candidate 1 wins.
Best responses
Best response of candidate i to xj:
• xj < m:
xj m
any position for i in here wins
candidate i wins if xi > xj and 1
2 (xi + xj) < m, or in
other words xj < xi < 2m − xj. Otherwise she either ties
or loses. Thus every position between xj and 2m − xj is a
best response of candidate i to xj.
• xj > m: symmetrically, every position between 2m − xj
and xj is a best response of candidate i to xj.
• xj = m: if candidate i choose xi = m she ties for first
place; if she chooses any other position she loses. Thus m
is the unique best response of candidate i to xj.
18
Summary
Candidate i’s best response function:
Bi(xj) =



{xi : xj < xi < 2m − xj} if xj < m
{m} if xj = m
{xi : 2m − xj < xi < xj} if xj > m.
x1
x2
0 m
m
19
Nash equilibrium
x1
x2
0 m
m
Unique Nash equilibrium, in which both candidates choose the
position m.
Outcome of election is tie.
Competition between the candidates to secure a majority of
the votes drives them to select the same position.
20
Direct argument for Nash equilibrium
(m, m) is an equilibrium: if either candidate chooses a
different position she loses.
No other pair of positions is a Nash equilibrium:
• if one candidate loses then she can do better by moving to
m (where she either wins outright or ties for first place)
• if the candidates tie (because their positions are either the
same or symmetric about m), then either candidate can
do better by moving to m, where she wins outright.
21
The War of Attrition
• Two parties involved in a costly dispute
• E.g. two animals fighting over prey
• Each animal chooses time at which it intends to give up
• Once an animal has given up, the other obtains all the prey
• If both animals give up at the same time then they split
the prey equally.
• Fighting is costly: each animal prefers as short a fight as
possible.
Also a model of bargaining between humans.
Let time be a continuous variable that starts at 0 and runs
indefinitely.
Assume value to party i of object in dispute is vi > 0; value of
half of object is vi/2.
Each unit of time that passes before one of parties concedes
costs each party one unit of payoff.
22
Strategic game
• players: the two parties
• each player’s set of actions is [0, ∞) (set of possible
concession times)
• player i’s preferences are represented by payoff function
ui(t1, t2) =



−ti if ti < tj
1
2 vi − ti if ti = tj
vi − tj if ti > tj,
where j is the other player.
23
Payoff function:
tj
tivi
tj
tivi
tj
ti
vi
24
Best responses
Suppose player j concedes at time tj:
Intuitively: if tj is small then optimal for player i to wait until
after tj; if tj is large then player i should concede immediately.
Precisely: if tj < vi:
tj
tivi
so any time after tj is a best response to tj
25
If tj = vi:
tj
tivi
so conceding at 0 or at any time after tj is a best response to
tj
If tj > vi:
tj
ti
vi
so best time for player i to concede is 0.
26
So player i’s best response function:
Bi(tj) =



{ti : ti > tj} if tj < vi
{0} ∪ {ti : ti > tj} if tj = vi
{0} if tj > vi.
Best response function of player 1:
t2
t1
v1
0
27
Nash equilibrium
t2
t1
v1
v20
Nash equilibria: (t1, t2) such that either
t1 = 0 and t2 ≥ v1
or
t2 = 0 and t1 ≥ v2.
That is: either player 1 concedes immediately and player 2
concedes at the earliest at time v1, or player 2 concedes
immediately and player 1 concedes at the earliest at time v2.
28
Note: in no equilibrium is there any fight
Note: there is an equilibrium in which either player concedes
first, regardless of the sizes of the valuations.
Note: equilibria are asymmetric, even when v1 = v2, in which
case the game is symmetric.
E.g. could be a stable social norm that the current owner of the
object concedes immediately; or that the challenger does so.
Single population case: only symmetric equilibria are relevant,
and there are none!
29
Auctions
Common type of auction:
• people sequentially bid for an object
• each bid must be greater than previous one
• when no one wishes to submit a bid higher than current
one, person making current bid obtains object at price she
bid.
Assume everyone is certain about her valuation of the object
before bidding begins, so that she can learn nothing during the
bidding.
Model
• each person decides, before auction begins, maximum
amount she is willing to bid
• person who bids most wins
• person who wins pays the second highest bid.
Idea: in a dynamic auction, a person wins if she continues
bidding after everyone has stopped—in which case she pays a
price slightly higher than the price bid by the last person to
drop out.
30
Strategic game:
• players: bidders
• set of actions of each player: set of possible bids
(nonnegative numbers)
• preferences of player i: represented by a payoff function
that gives player i vi − p if she wins (where vi is her
valuation and p is the second-highest bid) and 0 otherwise.
This is a sealed-bid second-price auction.
How to break ties in bids?
Simple (but arbitrary) rule: number players 1, . . . , n and make
the winner the player with the lowest number among those
that submit the highest bid.
Assume that v1 > v2 > · · · > vn.
31
Nash equilibria of second-price sealed-bid
auction
One Nash equilibrium
(b1, . . . , bn) = (v1, . . . , vn)
Outcome: player 1 obtains the object at price v2; her payoff is
v1 − v2 and every other player’s payoff is zero.
Reason:
• Player 1:
• if she changes her bid to some x ≥ b2 the outcome
does not change (remember she pays the second
highest bid)
• if she lowers her bid below b2 she loses and gets a
payoff of 0 (instead of v1 − b2 > 0).
• Players 2, . . . , n:
• if she lowers her bid she still loses
• if she raises her bid to x ≤ b1 she still loses
• if she raises her bid above b1 she wins, but gets a
payoff vi − v1 < 0.
32
Another Nash equilibrium
(v1, 0, . . . , 0) is also a Nash equilibrium:
Outcome: player 1 obtains the object at price 0; her payoff is
v1 and every other player’s payoff is zero.
Reason:
• Player 1:
• any change in her bid has no effect on the outcome
• Players 2, . . . , n:
• if she raises her bid to x ≤ v1 she still loses
• if she raises her bid above v1 she wins, but gets a
negative payoff vi − v1.
33
Another Nash equilibrium
(v2, v1, 0, . . . , 0) is also a Nash equilibrium:
Outcome: player 2 gets object at price v2; all payoffs 0.
Reason:
• Player 1:
• if she raises her bid to x < v1 she still loses
• if she raises her bid to x ≥ v1 she wins, and gets a
payoff of 0
• Player 2
• if she raises her bid or lowers it to x > v2, outcome
remains same
• if she lowers her bid to x ≤ v2 she loses and gets 0
• Players 3, . . . , n:
• if she raises her bid to x ≤ v1 she still loses
• if she raises her bid above v1 she wins, but gets a
negative payoff vi − v1.
Player 2’s may seem “risky”—but isn’t if the other players
adhere to their equilibrium actions.
Nash equilibrium requires only that each player’s action be
optimal, given the other players’ actions.
In a dynamic setting, player 2’s bid isn’t credible (why would
she keep bidding above v2?) [Will study this issue later.]
34
Distinguishing between equilibria
For each player i the action vi weakly dominates all her other
actions
That is: player i can do no better than bid vi no matter what
the other players bid.
Argument:
• If the highest of the other players’ bids is at least vi, then
• if player i bids vi her payoff is 0
• if player i bids x = vi her payoff is either zero or
negative.
• If the highest of the other players’ bids is b < vi, then
• if player i bids vi her payoff is vi − b (she obtains the
object at the price b)
• if player i submits some other bid then she either
obtains the good and gets the same payoff, or does not
obtain the good and gets the payoff of zero.
Summary
Second-price auction has many Nash equilibria, but the
equilibrium (b1, . . . , bn) = (v1, . . . , vn) is the only one in which
every players’ action weakly dominates all her other actions.
35
First-price auction
Another auction form:
• auctioneer begins by announcing a high price
• price is gradually lowerered until someone indicates a
willingness to buy the object at that price.
Model
Strategic game:
• players: bidders
• actions of each player: set of possible bids (nonnegative
numbers)
• preferences of player i: represented by a payoff function
that gives player i vi − p if she wins (where vi is her
valuation and p is her bid) and 0 otherwise.
This is a first-price sealed-bid auction.
One Nash equilibrium
(v2, v2, v3, . . . , vn)
Outcome: player 1 obtains the object at the price v2.
Why is this a Nash equilibrium?
36
Property of all equilibria
In all equilibria the object is obtained by the player who values
it most highly (player 1)
Argument:
• If player i = 1 obtains the object then we must have
bi > b1.
• But there is no equilibrium in which bi > b1:
• if bi > v2 then i’s payoff is negative, so she can do
better by reducing her bid to 0
• if bi ≤ v2 then player 1 can increase her payoff from 0
to v1 − bi by bidding bi.
Another equilibrium
(v1, v1, v3, . . . , vn)
Outcome: player 1 obtains the object at the price v1.
As before, player 2’s action may seem “risky”: if there is any
chance that player 1 submits a bid less than v1 then there is a
chance that player 2’s payoff is negative.
37
Domination
As in a second-price auction, any player i’s action of bidding
bi > vi is weakly dominated by the action of bidding vi:
• if the other players’ bids are such that player i loses when
she bids bi, then it makes no difference to her whether she
bids bi or vi
• if the other players’ bids are such that player i wins when
she bids bi, then she gets a negative payoff bidding bi and
a payoff of 0 when she bids vi.
However, in a first-price auction, unlike a second-price auction,
a bid by a player less than her valuation is not weakly
dominated.
Reason: if player i bids vi < vi and the highest bid of the
other players is < vi, then player i is better off than she is if
she bids vi.
Revenue equivalence
The price at which the object is sold, and hence the
auctioneer’s revenue, is the same in the equilibrium
(v1, . . . , vn) of the second-price auction as it is in the
equilibrium (v2, v2, v3, . . . , vn) of the first-price auction.
38

More Related Content

What's hot

Fundamentals of Option Contracts
Fundamentals of Option ContractsFundamentals of Option Contracts
Fundamentals of Option Contracts
Fortuna Favi et Fortus Ltd.
 
Random walk theory
Random walk theoryRandom walk theory
Random walk theory
Gurudayalkumar
 
The Model Of Perfect Competition
The Model Of Perfect CompetitionThe Model Of Perfect Competition
The Model Of Perfect Competition
Kevin A
 
National stock exchange
National stock exchangeNational stock exchange
National stock exchange
Byju Antony
 
Asymmetric Information
Asymmetric InformationAsymmetric Information
Asymmetric Information
Cesar Sobrino
 
Commodity ppt
Commodity pptCommodity ppt
Commodity pptHome
 
Pakistan Stock Exchange
Pakistan Stock ExchangePakistan Stock Exchange
Pakistan Stock Exchange
Maryam Tajalli
 
Game theory
Game theoryGame theory
Game theory
Hoang Nguyen
 
Monopolistic competition in short run
Monopolistic competition in short runMonopolistic competition in short run
Monopolistic competition in short runAnimesh Gupta
 
Price determination under oligopoly
Price determination under   oligopolyPrice determination under   oligopoly
Price determination under oligopoly
sukhpal0015
 
Break even analysis
Break even analysisBreak even analysis
Break even analysis
Dr. Mani Madhavan
 
Presentation on stock market and growth
Presentation on stock market and growthPresentation on stock market and growth
Presentation on stock market and growth
Solara Kadouf
 
stackelberg model
stackelberg modelstackelberg model
stackelberg model
nazirali423
 
Collusion and Cartels in Oligopoly
Collusion and Cartels in OligopolyCollusion and Cartels in Oligopoly
Collusion and Cartels in Oligopoly
nazirali423
 
About Indian Stock Exchange
About Indian Stock ExchangeAbout Indian Stock Exchange
About Indian Stock Exchange
Dhanashri Academy
 
Bain’s limit pricing model
Bain’s limit pricing modelBain’s limit pricing model
Bain’s limit pricing model
Prabha Panth
 
Macroeconomics chapter 18
Macroeconomics chapter 18Macroeconomics chapter 18
Macroeconomics chapter 18
MDevSNPT
 

What's hot (20)

Fundamentals of Option Contracts
Fundamentals of Option ContractsFundamentals of Option Contracts
Fundamentals of Option Contracts
 
Topic 1.3
Topic 1.3Topic 1.3
Topic 1.3
 
Random walk theory
Random walk theoryRandom walk theory
Random walk theory
 
The Model Of Perfect Competition
The Model Of Perfect CompetitionThe Model Of Perfect Competition
The Model Of Perfect Competition
 
Game theory
Game theoryGame theory
Game theory
 
National stock exchange
National stock exchangeNational stock exchange
National stock exchange
 
Asymmetric Information
Asymmetric InformationAsymmetric Information
Asymmetric Information
 
Commodity ppt
Commodity pptCommodity ppt
Commodity ppt
 
Pakistan Stock Exchange
Pakistan Stock ExchangePakistan Stock Exchange
Pakistan Stock Exchange
 
Game theory
Game theoryGame theory
Game theory
 
Monopolistic competition in short run
Monopolistic competition in short runMonopolistic competition in short run
Monopolistic competition in short run
 
Price determination under oligopoly
Price determination under   oligopolyPrice determination under   oligopoly
Price determination under oligopoly
 
Break even analysis
Break even analysisBreak even analysis
Break even analysis
 
Presentation on stock market and growth
Presentation on stock market and growthPresentation on stock market and growth
Presentation on stock market and growth
 
stackelberg model
stackelberg modelstackelberg model
stackelberg model
 
Collusion and Cartels in Oligopoly
Collusion and Cartels in OligopolyCollusion and Cartels in Oligopoly
Collusion and Cartels in Oligopoly
 
About Indian Stock Exchange
About Indian Stock ExchangeAbout Indian Stock Exchange
About Indian Stock Exchange
 
Bain’s limit pricing model
Bain’s limit pricing modelBain’s limit pricing model
Bain’s limit pricing model
 
Macroeconomics chapter 18
Macroeconomics chapter 18Macroeconomics chapter 18
Macroeconomics chapter 18
 
Taxes and elastcity
Taxes and elastcityTaxes and elastcity
Taxes and elastcity
 

Viewers also liked

cournot model
cournot modelcournot model
cournot model
nazirali423
 
Cartels ppt
Cartels pptCartels ppt
Cartels ppt
Mangesh Barhate
 

Viewers also liked (7)

Oligopoly,duopoly
Oligopoly,duopolyOligopoly,duopoly
Oligopoly,duopoly
 
Oligopoly
OligopolyOligopoly
Oligopoly
 
cournot model
cournot modelcournot model
cournot model
 
Duopoly
DuopolyDuopoly
Duopoly
 
Cartel presentation
Cartel presentationCartel presentation
Cartel presentation
 
Oligopoly
OligopolyOligopoly
Oligopoly
 
Cartels ppt
Cartels pptCartels ppt
Cartels ppt
 

Similar to Cournot’s model of oligopoly

Gt brno
Gt brnoGt brno
Gt brno
Kjetil Haugen
 
Computer Network Assignment Help
Computer Network Assignment HelpComputer Network Assignment Help
Computer Network Assignment Help
Computer Network Assignment Help
 
Computer Network Assignment Help.pptx
Computer Network Assignment Help.pptxComputer Network Assignment Help.pptx
Computer Network Assignment Help.pptx
Computer Network Assignment Help
 
Adauctions
AdauctionsAdauctions
Adauctions
超 刘
 
02_Intro to LP.pdf
02_Intro to LP.pdf02_Intro to LP.pdf
02_Intro to LP.pdf
LekhaSri46
 
Options Portfolio Selection
Options Portfolio SelectionOptions Portfolio Selection
Options Portfolio Selection
guasoni
 
Optimization tutorial
Optimization tutorialOptimization tutorial
Optimization tutorial
Northwestern University
 
Real time information reconstruction -The Prediction Market
Real time information reconstruction -The Prediction MarketReal time information reconstruction -The Prediction Market
Real time information reconstruction -The Prediction Marketraghavr186
 
Network Analytics - Homework 3 - Msc Business Analytics - Imperial College Lo...
Network Analytics - Homework 3 - Msc Business Analytics - Imperial College Lo...Network Analytics - Homework 3 - Msc Business Analytics - Imperial College Lo...
Network Analytics - Homework 3 - Msc Business Analytics - Imperial College Lo...
Jonathan Zimmermann
 
ISI MSQE Entrance Question Paper (2013)
ISI MSQE Entrance Question Paper (2013)ISI MSQE Entrance Question Paper (2013)
ISI MSQE Entrance Question Paper (2013)
CrackDSE
 
Graphical method
Graphical methodGraphical method
Graphical method
Vipul Zanzrukiya
 
Randomized algorithms ver 1.0
Randomized algorithms ver 1.0Randomized algorithms ver 1.0
Randomized algorithms ver 1.0
Dr. C.V. Suresh Babu
 
Optimization Methods in Finance
Optimization Methods in FinanceOptimization Methods in Finance
Optimization Methods in Finance
thilankm
 
Curve_fairness_IOUs.pdf
Curve_fairness_IOUs.pdfCurve_fairness_IOUs.pdf
Curve_fairness_IOUs.pdf
Stefan Duprey
 
ISI MSQE Entrance Question Paper (2009)
ISI MSQE Entrance Question Paper (2009)ISI MSQE Entrance Question Paper (2009)
ISI MSQE Entrance Question Paper (2009)
CrackDSE
 

Similar to Cournot’s model of oligopoly (20)

Gt brno
Gt brnoGt brno
Gt brno
 
Lect05 slides
Lect05 slidesLect05 slides
Lect05 slides
 
Computer Network Assignment Help
Computer Network Assignment HelpComputer Network Assignment Help
Computer Network Assignment Help
 
Computer Network Assignment Help.pptx
Computer Network Assignment Help.pptxComputer Network Assignment Help.pptx
Computer Network Assignment Help.pptx
 
F ch
F chF ch
F ch
 
Adauctions
AdauctionsAdauctions
Adauctions
 
02_Intro to LP.pdf
02_Intro to LP.pdf02_Intro to LP.pdf
02_Intro to LP.pdf
 
Options Portfolio Selection
Options Portfolio SelectionOptions Portfolio Selection
Options Portfolio Selection
 
Optimization tutorial
Optimization tutorialOptimization tutorial
Optimization tutorial
 
Real time information reconstruction -The Prediction Market
Real time information reconstruction -The Prediction MarketReal time information reconstruction -The Prediction Market
Real time information reconstruction -The Prediction Market
 
Ch25
Ch25Ch25
Ch25
 
Network Analytics - Homework 3 - Msc Business Analytics - Imperial College Lo...
Network Analytics - Homework 3 - Msc Business Analytics - Imperial College Lo...Network Analytics - Homework 3 - Msc Business Analytics - Imperial College Lo...
Network Analytics - Homework 3 - Msc Business Analytics - Imperial College Lo...
 
ISI MSQE Entrance Question Paper (2013)
ISI MSQE Entrance Question Paper (2013)ISI MSQE Entrance Question Paper (2013)
ISI MSQE Entrance Question Paper (2013)
 
Graphical method
Graphical methodGraphical method
Graphical method
 
Ch9
Ch9Ch9
Ch9
 
Newgame (2)
Newgame (2)Newgame (2)
Newgame (2)
 
Randomized algorithms ver 1.0
Randomized algorithms ver 1.0Randomized algorithms ver 1.0
Randomized algorithms ver 1.0
 
Optimization Methods in Finance
Optimization Methods in FinanceOptimization Methods in Finance
Optimization Methods in Finance
 
Curve_fairness_IOUs.pdf
Curve_fairness_IOUs.pdfCurve_fairness_IOUs.pdf
Curve_fairness_IOUs.pdf
 
ISI MSQE Entrance Question Paper (2009)
ISI MSQE Entrance Question Paper (2009)ISI MSQE Entrance Question Paper (2009)
ISI MSQE Entrance Question Paper (2009)
 

More from nazirali423

Sejda b0 w
Sejda b0 wSejda b0 w
Sejda b0 w
nazirali423
 
Ilovepdf merged
Ilovepdf mergedIlovepdf merged
Ilovepdf merged
nazirali423
 
Merged
MergedMerged
Merged
nazirali423
 
Basic Microeconomics
Basic MicroeconomicsBasic Microeconomics
Basic Microeconomics
nazirali423
 
Short run
Short runShort run
Short run
nazirali423
 
Mit14 01 scf11_rttext
Mit14 01 scf11_rttextMit14 01 scf11_rttext
Mit14 01 scf11_rttext
nazirali423
 
Microeconomics
MicroeconomicsMicroeconomics
Microeconomics
nazirali423
 
Pricing and Output Decisions in Monopoly
Pricing and Output Decisions in MonopolyPricing and Output Decisions in Monopoly
Pricing and Output Decisions in Monopoly
nazirali423
 
Images(1)
Images(1)Images(1)
Images(1)
nazirali423
 
cost curves
cost curvescost curves
cost curves
nazirali423
 
Econ501a l11
Econ501a l11Econ501a l11
Econ501a l11
nazirali423
 
Dominant Firm Model
Dominant Firm ModelDominant Firm Model
Dominant Firm Model
nazirali423
 
International Trade Theory and Policy: A Review of the Literature*
International Trade Theory and Policy: A Review of the Literature*International Trade Theory and Policy: A Review of the Literature*
International Trade Theory and Policy: A Review of the Literature*
nazirali423
 
Theory of International Trade
Theory of International TradeTheory of International Trade
Theory of International Trade
nazirali423
 
Introduction to Business Third Edition
Introduction to Business Third EditionIntroduction to Business Third Edition
Introduction to Business Third Edition
nazirali423
 
introduction to business class lecture
introduction to business class lectureintroduction to business class lecture
introduction to business class lecture
nazirali423
 
Factors affecting-international-trade
Factors affecting-international-tradeFactors affecting-international-trade
Factors affecting-international-trade
nazirali423
 
Business Statistics assinment
Business Statistics assinmentBusiness Statistics assinment
Business Statistics assinment
nazirali423
 
Business Statistics class lecture
Business Statistics class lectureBusiness Statistics class lecture
Business Statistics class lecture
nazirali423
 

More from nazirali423 (20)

Sejda b0 w
Sejda b0 wSejda b0 w
Sejda b0 w
 
Ilovepdf merged
Ilovepdf mergedIlovepdf merged
Ilovepdf merged
 
Merged
MergedMerged
Merged
 
199
199199
199
 
Basic Microeconomics
Basic MicroeconomicsBasic Microeconomics
Basic Microeconomics
 
Short run
Short runShort run
Short run
 
Mit14 01 scf11_rttext
Mit14 01 scf11_rttextMit14 01 scf11_rttext
Mit14 01 scf11_rttext
 
Microeconomics
MicroeconomicsMicroeconomics
Microeconomics
 
Pricing and Output Decisions in Monopoly
Pricing and Output Decisions in MonopolyPricing and Output Decisions in Monopoly
Pricing and Output Decisions in Monopoly
 
Images(1)
Images(1)Images(1)
Images(1)
 
cost curves
cost curvescost curves
cost curves
 
Econ501a l11
Econ501a l11Econ501a l11
Econ501a l11
 
Dominant Firm Model
Dominant Firm ModelDominant Firm Model
Dominant Firm Model
 
International Trade Theory and Policy: A Review of the Literature*
International Trade Theory and Policy: A Review of the Literature*International Trade Theory and Policy: A Review of the Literature*
International Trade Theory and Policy: A Review of the Literature*
 
Theory of International Trade
Theory of International TradeTheory of International Trade
Theory of International Trade
 
Introduction to Business Third Edition
Introduction to Business Third EditionIntroduction to Business Third Edition
Introduction to Business Third Edition
 
introduction to business class lecture
introduction to business class lectureintroduction to business class lecture
introduction to business class lecture
 
Factors affecting-international-trade
Factors affecting-international-tradeFactors affecting-international-trade
Factors affecting-international-trade
 
Business Statistics assinment
Business Statistics assinmentBusiness Statistics assinment
Business Statistics assinment
 
Business Statistics class lecture
Business Statistics class lectureBusiness Statistics class lecture
Business Statistics class lecture
 

Recently uploaded

can I really make money with pi network.
can I really make money with pi network.can I really make money with pi network.
can I really make money with pi network.
DOT TECH
 
innovative-invoice-discounting-platforms-in-india-empowering-retail-investors...
innovative-invoice-discounting-platforms-in-india-empowering-retail-investors...innovative-invoice-discounting-platforms-in-india-empowering-retail-investors...
innovative-invoice-discounting-platforms-in-india-empowering-retail-investors...
Falcon Invoice Discounting
 
The Role of Non-Banking Financial Companies (NBFCs)
The Role of Non-Banking Financial Companies (NBFCs)The Role of Non-Banking Financial Companies (NBFCs)
The Role of Non-Banking Financial Companies (NBFCs)
nickysharmasucks
 
Which Crypto to Buy Today for Short-Term in May-June 2024.pdf
Which Crypto to Buy Today for Short-Term in May-June 2024.pdfWhich Crypto to Buy Today for Short-Term in May-June 2024.pdf
Which Crypto to Buy Today for Short-Term in May-June 2024.pdf
Kezex (KZX)
 
一比一原版(UoB毕业证)伯明翰大学毕业证如何办理
一比一原版(UoB毕业证)伯明翰大学毕业证如何办理一比一原版(UoB毕业证)伯明翰大学毕业证如何办理
一比一原版(UoB毕业证)伯明翰大学毕业证如何办理
nexop1
 
2. Elemental Economics - Mineral demand.pdf
2. Elemental Economics - Mineral demand.pdf2. Elemental Economics - Mineral demand.pdf
2. Elemental Economics - Mineral demand.pdf
Neal Brewster
 
How to get verified on Coinbase Account?_.docx
How to get verified on Coinbase Account?_.docxHow to get verified on Coinbase Account?_.docx
How to get verified on Coinbase Account?_.docx
Buy bitget
 
Seminar: Gender Board Diversity through Ownership Networks
Seminar: Gender Board Diversity through Ownership NetworksSeminar: Gender Board Diversity through Ownership Networks
Seminar: Gender Board Diversity through Ownership Networks
GRAPE
 
Patronage and Good Governance 5.pptx pptc
Patronage and Good Governance 5.pptx pptcPatronage and Good Governance 5.pptx pptc
Patronage and Good Governance 5.pptx pptc
AbdulNasirNichari
 
Instant Issue Debit Cards - High School Spirit
Instant Issue Debit Cards - High School SpiritInstant Issue Debit Cards - High School Spirit
Instant Issue Debit Cards - High School Spirit
egoetzinger
 
The secret way to sell pi coins effortlessly.
The secret way to sell pi coins effortlessly.The secret way to sell pi coins effortlessly.
The secret way to sell pi coins effortlessly.
DOT TECH
 
when will pi network coin be available on crypto exchange.
when will pi network coin be available on crypto exchange.when will pi network coin be available on crypto exchange.
when will pi network coin be available on crypto exchange.
DOT TECH
 
how can I sell pi coins after successfully completing KYC
how can I sell pi coins after successfully completing KYChow can I sell pi coins after successfully completing KYC
how can I sell pi coins after successfully completing KYC
DOT TECH
 
Pensions and housing - Pensions PlayPen - 4 June 2024 v3 (1).pdf
Pensions and housing - Pensions PlayPen - 4 June 2024 v3 (1).pdfPensions and housing - Pensions PlayPen - 4 June 2024 v3 (1).pdf
Pensions and housing - Pensions PlayPen - 4 June 2024 v3 (1).pdf
Henry Tapper
 
Earn a passive income with prosocial investing
Earn a passive income with prosocial investingEarn a passive income with prosocial investing
Earn a passive income with prosocial investing
Colin R. Turner
 
BYD SWOT Analysis and In-Depth Insights 2024.pptx
BYD SWOT Analysis and In-Depth Insights 2024.pptxBYD SWOT Analysis and In-Depth Insights 2024.pptx
BYD SWOT Analysis and In-Depth Insights 2024.pptx
mikemetalprod
 
USDA Loans in California: A Comprehensive Overview.pptx
USDA Loans in California: A Comprehensive Overview.pptxUSDA Loans in California: A Comprehensive Overview.pptx
USDA Loans in California: A Comprehensive Overview.pptx
marketing367770
 
Instant Issue Debit Cards
Instant Issue Debit CardsInstant Issue Debit Cards
Instant Issue Debit Cards
egoetzinger
 
Eco-Innovations and Firm Heterogeneity. Evidence from Italian Family and Nonf...
Eco-Innovations and Firm Heterogeneity.Evidence from Italian Family and Nonf...Eco-Innovations and Firm Heterogeneity.Evidence from Italian Family and Nonf...
Eco-Innovations and Firm Heterogeneity. Evidence from Italian Family and Nonf...
University of Calabria
 
Introduction to Value Added Tax System.ppt
Introduction to Value Added Tax System.pptIntroduction to Value Added Tax System.ppt
Introduction to Value Added Tax System.ppt
VishnuVenugopal84
 

Recently uploaded (20)

can I really make money with pi network.
can I really make money with pi network.can I really make money with pi network.
can I really make money with pi network.
 
innovative-invoice-discounting-platforms-in-india-empowering-retail-investors...
innovative-invoice-discounting-platforms-in-india-empowering-retail-investors...innovative-invoice-discounting-platforms-in-india-empowering-retail-investors...
innovative-invoice-discounting-platforms-in-india-empowering-retail-investors...
 
The Role of Non-Banking Financial Companies (NBFCs)
The Role of Non-Banking Financial Companies (NBFCs)The Role of Non-Banking Financial Companies (NBFCs)
The Role of Non-Banking Financial Companies (NBFCs)
 
Which Crypto to Buy Today for Short-Term in May-June 2024.pdf
Which Crypto to Buy Today for Short-Term in May-June 2024.pdfWhich Crypto to Buy Today for Short-Term in May-June 2024.pdf
Which Crypto to Buy Today for Short-Term in May-June 2024.pdf
 
一比一原版(UoB毕业证)伯明翰大学毕业证如何办理
一比一原版(UoB毕业证)伯明翰大学毕业证如何办理一比一原版(UoB毕业证)伯明翰大学毕业证如何办理
一比一原版(UoB毕业证)伯明翰大学毕业证如何办理
 
2. Elemental Economics - Mineral demand.pdf
2. Elemental Economics - Mineral demand.pdf2. Elemental Economics - Mineral demand.pdf
2. Elemental Economics - Mineral demand.pdf
 
How to get verified on Coinbase Account?_.docx
How to get verified on Coinbase Account?_.docxHow to get verified on Coinbase Account?_.docx
How to get verified on Coinbase Account?_.docx
 
Seminar: Gender Board Diversity through Ownership Networks
Seminar: Gender Board Diversity through Ownership NetworksSeminar: Gender Board Diversity through Ownership Networks
Seminar: Gender Board Diversity through Ownership Networks
 
Patronage and Good Governance 5.pptx pptc
Patronage and Good Governance 5.pptx pptcPatronage and Good Governance 5.pptx pptc
Patronage and Good Governance 5.pptx pptc
 
Instant Issue Debit Cards - High School Spirit
Instant Issue Debit Cards - High School SpiritInstant Issue Debit Cards - High School Spirit
Instant Issue Debit Cards - High School Spirit
 
The secret way to sell pi coins effortlessly.
The secret way to sell pi coins effortlessly.The secret way to sell pi coins effortlessly.
The secret way to sell pi coins effortlessly.
 
when will pi network coin be available on crypto exchange.
when will pi network coin be available on crypto exchange.when will pi network coin be available on crypto exchange.
when will pi network coin be available on crypto exchange.
 
how can I sell pi coins after successfully completing KYC
how can I sell pi coins after successfully completing KYChow can I sell pi coins after successfully completing KYC
how can I sell pi coins after successfully completing KYC
 
Pensions and housing - Pensions PlayPen - 4 June 2024 v3 (1).pdf
Pensions and housing - Pensions PlayPen - 4 June 2024 v3 (1).pdfPensions and housing - Pensions PlayPen - 4 June 2024 v3 (1).pdf
Pensions and housing - Pensions PlayPen - 4 June 2024 v3 (1).pdf
 
Earn a passive income with prosocial investing
Earn a passive income with prosocial investingEarn a passive income with prosocial investing
Earn a passive income with prosocial investing
 
BYD SWOT Analysis and In-Depth Insights 2024.pptx
BYD SWOT Analysis and In-Depth Insights 2024.pptxBYD SWOT Analysis and In-Depth Insights 2024.pptx
BYD SWOT Analysis and In-Depth Insights 2024.pptx
 
USDA Loans in California: A Comprehensive Overview.pptx
USDA Loans in California: A Comprehensive Overview.pptxUSDA Loans in California: A Comprehensive Overview.pptx
USDA Loans in California: A Comprehensive Overview.pptx
 
Instant Issue Debit Cards
Instant Issue Debit CardsInstant Issue Debit Cards
Instant Issue Debit Cards
 
Eco-Innovations and Firm Heterogeneity. Evidence from Italian Family and Nonf...
Eco-Innovations and Firm Heterogeneity.Evidence from Italian Family and Nonf...Eco-Innovations and Firm Heterogeneity.Evidence from Italian Family and Nonf...
Eco-Innovations and Firm Heterogeneity. Evidence from Italian Family and Nonf...
 
Introduction to Value Added Tax System.ppt
Introduction to Value Added Tax System.pptIntroduction to Value Added Tax System.ppt
Introduction to Value Added Tax System.ppt
 

Cournot’s model of oligopoly

  • 1. Cournot’s model of oligopoly • Single good produced by n firms • Cost to firm i of producing qi units: Ci(qi), where Ci is nonnegative and increasing • If firms’ total output is Q then market price is P(Q), where P is nonincreasing Profit of firm i, as a function of all the firms’ outputs: πi(q1, . . . , qn) = qiP   n j=1 qj   − Ci(qi). Strategic game: • players: firms • each firm’s set of actions: set of all possible outputs • each firm’s preferences are represented by its profit 1
  • 2. Example • two firms • inverse demand: P(Q) = max{0, α − Q} =    α − Q if Q ≤ α 0 if Q > α • constant unit cost: Ci(qi) = cqi, where c < α. 0 Q → ↑ P(Q) α @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @ @@ α 2
  • 3. Nash equilibrium Payoff functions Firm 1’s profit is π1(q1, q2) = q1(P(q1 + q2) − c) =    q1(α − c − q2 − q1) if q1 ≤ α − q2 −cq1 if q1 > α − q2 Best response functions Firm 1’s profit as a function of q1: 0 a - c q 2 = 0 q 1 q 2 > 0 a - c - q 2 a profit of firm 1 Up to α − q2 this function is a quadratic that is zero when q1 = 0 and when q1 = α − c − q2. 3
  • 4. So when q2 is small, optimal output of firm 1 is (α − c − q2)/2. As q2 increases this output decreases until it is zero. It is zero when q2 = α − c. Best response function is: b1(q2) =    (α − c − q2)/2 if q2 ≤ α − c 0 if q2 > α − c. Same for firm 2: b2(q) = b1(q) for all q. H H H HH H HH H H HH A A A A A A A A A A A A q 0 α−c 2 α − c α−c 2 α − c ↑ q2 q1 → b1(q2) b2(q1) 4
  • 5. Nash equilibrium Pair (q∗ 1, q∗ 2) of outputs such that each firm’s action is a best response to the other firm’s action or q∗ 1 = b1(q∗ 2) and q∗ 2 = b2(q∗ 1) : H H H HH H HH H H HH A A A A A A A A A A A A q 0 ...................................... α−c 3 α−c 2 α − c α−c 3 α−c 2 α − c ↑ q2 q1 → b1(q2) b2(q1) (q∗ 1, q∗ 2) or q1 = (α − c − q2)/2 and q2 = (α − c − q1)/2. Solution: q∗ 1 = q∗ 2 = (α − c)/3. 5
  • 6. Conclusion Game has unique Nash equilibrium: (q∗ 1, q∗ 2) = ((α − c)/3, (α − c)/3) At equilibrium, each firm’s profit is (α − c)2 /9. Note: Total output 2(α − c)/3 lies between monopoly output (α − c)/2 and competitive output α − c. 6
  • 7. Bertrand’s model of oligopoly Strategic variable price rather than output. • Single good produced by n firms • Cost to firm i of producing qi units: Ci(qi), where Ci is nonnegative and increasing • If price is p, demand is D(p) • Consumers buy from firm with lowest price • Firms produce what is demanded Firm 1’s profit: π1(p1, p2) =    p1D(p1) − C1(D(p1)) if p1 < p2 1 2 p1D(p1) − C1(1 2 D(p1)) if p1 = p2 0 if p1 > p2 Strategic game: • players: firms • each firm’s set of actions: set of all possible prices • each firm’s preferences are represented by its profit 7
  • 8. Example • 2 firms • Ci(qi) = cqi for i = 1, 2 • D(p) = α − p. Nash equilibrium Best response functions To find best response function of firm 1, look at its payoff as a function of its output, given output of firm 2. 8
  • 9. c a p2 p1 profit (p1 - c)D(p1) c ap2 p1 profit (p1 - c)D(p1) c ap2 pm p1 profit (p1 - c)D(p1) 9
  • 10. p2 < c c a p2 p1 profit (p1 - c)D(p1) Any price greater than p2 is a best response to p2: B1(p2) = {p1 : p1 > p2}. Note: a price between p2 and c is a best response! p2 = c Any price greater than or equal to p2 is a best response to p2: B1(p2) = {p1 : p1 ≥ p2}. 10
  • 11. c < p2 ≤ pm c ap2 p1 profit (p1 - c)D(p1) There is no best response! (a bit less than p2 is almost a best response). pm < p2 c ap2 pm p1 profit (p1 - c)D(p1) pm is the unique best response to p2: B1(p2) = {pm }. 11
  • 12. Summary Bi(pj) =    {pi : pi > pj} if pj < c {pi : pi ≥ pj} if pj = c ∅ if c < pj ≤ pm {pm } if pm < pj. p2 p1pm pm c c 0 12
  • 13. Nash equilibrium (p∗ 1, p∗ 2) such that p∗ 1 ∈ B1(p∗ 2) and p∗ 2 ∈ B2(p∗ 1) I.e. intersection of the graphs of the best response functions p2 p1pm pm c c 0 So: unique Nash equilibrium, (p∗ 1, p∗ 2) = (c, c). 13
  • 14. “Direct” argument for Nash equilibrium If each firm charges the price of c then the other firm can do no better than charge the price of c also (if it raises its price is sells no output, while if it lowers its price is makes a loss), so (c, c) is a Nash equilibrium. No other pair (p1, p2) is a Nash equilibrium since • if pi < c then the firm whose price is lowest (or either firm, if the prices are the same) can increase its profit (to zero) by raising its price to c • if pi = c and pj > c then firm i is better off increasing its price slightly • if pi ≥ pj > c then firm i can increase its profit by lowering pi to some price between c and pj (e.g. to slightly below pj if D(pj) > 0 and to pm if D(pj) = 0). Note: to show a pair of actions is not a Nash equilibrium we need only find a better response for one of the players—not necessarily the best response. 14
  • 15. Equilibria in Cournot’s and Bertrand’s models generate different economic outcomes: • equilibrium price in Bertrand’s model is c • price associated with an equilibrium of Cournot’s model is 1 3 (α + 2c), which exceeds c since α > c. Does one model capture firms’ strategic reasoning better than the other? Bertrand’s model: firm changes its behavior if it can increase its profit by changing its price, on the assumption that the other firm will not change its price but the other firm’s output will adjust to clear the market. Cournot’s model: firm changes its behavior if it can increase its profit by changing its output, on the assumption that the output of the other firm will not change but the price will adjust to clear the market. If prices can easily be changed, Cournot’s model may thus better capture firms’ strategic reasoning. 15
  • 16. Hotelling’s model of electoral competition • Several candidates vie for political office • Each candidate chooses a policy position • Each citizen, who has preferences over policy positions, votes for one of the candidates • Candidate who obtains the most votes wins. Strategic game: • Players: candidates • Set of actions of each candidate: set of possible positions • Each candidate gets the votes of all citizens who prefer her position to the other candidates’ positions; each candidate prefers to win than to tie than to lose. Note: Citizens are not players in this game. 16
  • 17. Example • Two candidates • Set of possible positions is a (one-dimensional) interval. • Each voter has a single favorite position, on each side of which her distaste for other positions increases equally. x*x y • Unique median favorite position m among the voters: the favorite positions of half of the voters are at most m, and the favorite positions of the other half of the voters are at least m. Note: m may not be in the center of the policy space. 17
  • 18. Positions and votes Candidate who gets most votes wins. x1 (x1 + x2)/2 x2m vote for 1 vote for 2 In this case, candidate 1 wins. Best responses Best response of candidate i to xj: • xj < m: xj m any position for i in here wins candidate i wins if xi > xj and 1 2 (xi + xj) < m, or in other words xj < xi < 2m − xj. Otherwise she either ties or loses. Thus every position between xj and 2m − xj is a best response of candidate i to xj. • xj > m: symmetrically, every position between 2m − xj and xj is a best response of candidate i to xj. • xj = m: if candidate i choose xi = m she ties for first place; if she chooses any other position she loses. Thus m is the unique best response of candidate i to xj. 18
  • 19. Summary Candidate i’s best response function: Bi(xj) =    {xi : xj < xi < 2m − xj} if xj < m {m} if xj = m {xi : 2m − xj < xi < xj} if xj > m. x1 x2 0 m m 19
  • 20. Nash equilibrium x1 x2 0 m m Unique Nash equilibrium, in which both candidates choose the position m. Outcome of election is tie. Competition between the candidates to secure a majority of the votes drives them to select the same position. 20
  • 21. Direct argument for Nash equilibrium (m, m) is an equilibrium: if either candidate chooses a different position she loses. No other pair of positions is a Nash equilibrium: • if one candidate loses then she can do better by moving to m (where she either wins outright or ties for first place) • if the candidates tie (because their positions are either the same or symmetric about m), then either candidate can do better by moving to m, where she wins outright. 21
  • 22. The War of Attrition • Two parties involved in a costly dispute • E.g. two animals fighting over prey • Each animal chooses time at which it intends to give up • Once an animal has given up, the other obtains all the prey • If both animals give up at the same time then they split the prey equally. • Fighting is costly: each animal prefers as short a fight as possible. Also a model of bargaining between humans. Let time be a continuous variable that starts at 0 and runs indefinitely. Assume value to party i of object in dispute is vi > 0; value of half of object is vi/2. Each unit of time that passes before one of parties concedes costs each party one unit of payoff. 22
  • 23. Strategic game • players: the two parties • each player’s set of actions is [0, ∞) (set of possible concession times) • player i’s preferences are represented by payoff function ui(t1, t2) =    −ti if ti < tj 1 2 vi − ti if ti = tj vi − tj if ti > tj, where j is the other player. 23
  • 25. Best responses Suppose player j concedes at time tj: Intuitively: if tj is small then optimal for player i to wait until after tj; if tj is large then player i should concede immediately. Precisely: if tj < vi: tj tivi so any time after tj is a best response to tj 25
  • 26. If tj = vi: tj tivi so conceding at 0 or at any time after tj is a best response to tj If tj > vi: tj ti vi so best time for player i to concede is 0. 26
  • 27. So player i’s best response function: Bi(tj) =    {ti : ti > tj} if tj < vi {0} ∪ {ti : ti > tj} if tj = vi {0} if tj > vi. Best response function of player 1: t2 t1 v1 0 27
  • 28. Nash equilibrium t2 t1 v1 v20 Nash equilibria: (t1, t2) such that either t1 = 0 and t2 ≥ v1 or t2 = 0 and t1 ≥ v2. That is: either player 1 concedes immediately and player 2 concedes at the earliest at time v1, or player 2 concedes immediately and player 1 concedes at the earliest at time v2. 28
  • 29. Note: in no equilibrium is there any fight Note: there is an equilibrium in which either player concedes first, regardless of the sizes of the valuations. Note: equilibria are asymmetric, even when v1 = v2, in which case the game is symmetric. E.g. could be a stable social norm that the current owner of the object concedes immediately; or that the challenger does so. Single population case: only symmetric equilibria are relevant, and there are none! 29
  • 30. Auctions Common type of auction: • people sequentially bid for an object • each bid must be greater than previous one • when no one wishes to submit a bid higher than current one, person making current bid obtains object at price she bid. Assume everyone is certain about her valuation of the object before bidding begins, so that she can learn nothing during the bidding. Model • each person decides, before auction begins, maximum amount she is willing to bid • person who bids most wins • person who wins pays the second highest bid. Idea: in a dynamic auction, a person wins if she continues bidding after everyone has stopped—in which case she pays a price slightly higher than the price bid by the last person to drop out. 30
  • 31. Strategic game: • players: bidders • set of actions of each player: set of possible bids (nonnegative numbers) • preferences of player i: represented by a payoff function that gives player i vi − p if she wins (where vi is her valuation and p is the second-highest bid) and 0 otherwise. This is a sealed-bid second-price auction. How to break ties in bids? Simple (but arbitrary) rule: number players 1, . . . , n and make the winner the player with the lowest number among those that submit the highest bid. Assume that v1 > v2 > · · · > vn. 31
  • 32. Nash equilibria of second-price sealed-bid auction One Nash equilibrium (b1, . . . , bn) = (v1, . . . , vn) Outcome: player 1 obtains the object at price v2; her payoff is v1 − v2 and every other player’s payoff is zero. Reason: • Player 1: • if she changes her bid to some x ≥ b2 the outcome does not change (remember she pays the second highest bid) • if she lowers her bid below b2 she loses and gets a payoff of 0 (instead of v1 − b2 > 0). • Players 2, . . . , n: • if she lowers her bid she still loses • if she raises her bid to x ≤ b1 she still loses • if she raises her bid above b1 she wins, but gets a payoff vi − v1 < 0. 32
  • 33. Another Nash equilibrium (v1, 0, . . . , 0) is also a Nash equilibrium: Outcome: player 1 obtains the object at price 0; her payoff is v1 and every other player’s payoff is zero. Reason: • Player 1: • any change in her bid has no effect on the outcome • Players 2, . . . , n: • if she raises her bid to x ≤ v1 she still loses • if she raises her bid above v1 she wins, but gets a negative payoff vi − v1. 33
  • 34. Another Nash equilibrium (v2, v1, 0, . . . , 0) is also a Nash equilibrium: Outcome: player 2 gets object at price v2; all payoffs 0. Reason: • Player 1: • if she raises her bid to x < v1 she still loses • if she raises her bid to x ≥ v1 she wins, and gets a payoff of 0 • Player 2 • if she raises her bid or lowers it to x > v2, outcome remains same • if she lowers her bid to x ≤ v2 she loses and gets 0 • Players 3, . . . , n: • if she raises her bid to x ≤ v1 she still loses • if she raises her bid above v1 she wins, but gets a negative payoff vi − v1. Player 2’s may seem “risky”—but isn’t if the other players adhere to their equilibrium actions. Nash equilibrium requires only that each player’s action be optimal, given the other players’ actions. In a dynamic setting, player 2’s bid isn’t credible (why would she keep bidding above v2?) [Will study this issue later.] 34
  • 35. Distinguishing between equilibria For each player i the action vi weakly dominates all her other actions That is: player i can do no better than bid vi no matter what the other players bid. Argument: • If the highest of the other players’ bids is at least vi, then • if player i bids vi her payoff is 0 • if player i bids x = vi her payoff is either zero or negative. • If the highest of the other players’ bids is b < vi, then • if player i bids vi her payoff is vi − b (she obtains the object at the price b) • if player i submits some other bid then she either obtains the good and gets the same payoff, or does not obtain the good and gets the payoff of zero. Summary Second-price auction has many Nash equilibria, but the equilibrium (b1, . . . , bn) = (v1, . . . , vn) is the only one in which every players’ action weakly dominates all her other actions. 35
  • 36. First-price auction Another auction form: • auctioneer begins by announcing a high price • price is gradually lowerered until someone indicates a willingness to buy the object at that price. Model Strategic game: • players: bidders • actions of each player: set of possible bids (nonnegative numbers) • preferences of player i: represented by a payoff function that gives player i vi − p if she wins (where vi is her valuation and p is her bid) and 0 otherwise. This is a first-price sealed-bid auction. One Nash equilibrium (v2, v2, v3, . . . , vn) Outcome: player 1 obtains the object at the price v2. Why is this a Nash equilibrium? 36
  • 37. Property of all equilibria In all equilibria the object is obtained by the player who values it most highly (player 1) Argument: • If player i = 1 obtains the object then we must have bi > b1. • But there is no equilibrium in which bi > b1: • if bi > v2 then i’s payoff is negative, so she can do better by reducing her bid to 0 • if bi ≤ v2 then player 1 can increase her payoff from 0 to v1 − bi by bidding bi. Another equilibrium (v1, v1, v3, . . . , vn) Outcome: player 1 obtains the object at the price v1. As before, player 2’s action may seem “risky”: if there is any chance that player 1 submits a bid less than v1 then there is a chance that player 2’s payoff is negative. 37
  • 38. Domination As in a second-price auction, any player i’s action of bidding bi > vi is weakly dominated by the action of bidding vi: • if the other players’ bids are such that player i loses when she bids bi, then it makes no difference to her whether she bids bi or vi • if the other players’ bids are such that player i wins when she bids bi, then she gets a negative payoff bidding bi and a payoff of 0 when she bids vi. However, in a first-price auction, unlike a second-price auction, a bid by a player less than her valuation is not weakly dominated. Reason: if player i bids vi < vi and the highest bid of the other players is < vi, then player i is better off than she is if she bids vi. Revenue equivalence The price at which the object is sold, and hence the auctioneer’s revenue, is the same in the equilibrium (v1, . . . , vn) of the second-price auction as it is in the equilibrium (v2, v2, v3, . . . , vn) of the first-price auction. 38