The accurate estimation of reference evapotranspiration (ETo) plays a pivotal role in water resources planning and management studies. The present study was attempted to estimate the reference evapotranspiration (ETo) using three temperature based methods namely, Blaney-Criddle method, Thornthwaite method and Hargreaves-Samani model and three radiation based methods namely, Turc method, Priestly-Taylor model, and FAO - 24 Radiation Model for Mohanpur area, Nadia district, West Bengal. ET estimates of the above mentioned methods were then compared with FAO Penman - Monteith (FAO-56 PM) method, which was considered as the standard method of ETo estimation, to check the capabilities of different models to predict ETo for the study area. The present analysis was carried out using 10-years daily weather data of Mohanpur weather station. The results of the study revealed that, the ETo values at Mohanpur, Nadia district, West Bengal, India were in the range of 3.5 mm/day to 5.0 mm/day. A rank was assigned to different methods based on the comparative analysis of different ETo estimation methods with FAO-56 PM method and it could be inferred that Turc method as the closest method and Thornthwaite method as the least-matched method to FAO 56 Penman-Monteith for the study area
Comparative evaluation of different potential evapotranspiration estimation a...eSAT Publishing House
IJRET : International Journal of Research in Engineering and Technology is an international peer reviewed, online journal published by eSAT Publishing House for the enhancement of research in various disciplines of Engineering and Technology. The aim and scope of the journal is to provide an academic medium and an important reference for the advancement and dissemination of research results that support high-level learning, teaching and research in the fields of Engineering and Technology. We bring together Scientists, Academician, Field Engineers, Scholars and Students of related fields of Engineering and Technology.
This document evaluates different radiation-based methods for estimating reference evapotranspiration (ET0) and compares them to the Penman-Monteith (PM) method. It finds that the Priestley-Taylor (PT), FAO-24 Radiation (RA), and Makkink (MK) methods perform unsatisfactorily compared to PM. By developing relationships between PM and the other methods and recalibrating the coefficients, the performance of RA improves significantly, with the lowest root mean square error and highest coefficient of determination and efficiency. Therefore, the study concludes the recalibrated RA method provides reasonably accurate ET0 estimation for the study area under limited climate data availability conditions.
Time Series Data Analysis for Forecasting – A Literature ReviewIJMER
This document summarizes literature on using statistical and data mining techniques for time series forecasting, with a focus on weather prediction. Section 2 discusses various statistical techniques used in literature such as ARIMA models, exponential smoothing models, and spectral analysis methods for time series rainfall and weather forecasting. Section 3 discusses data mining techniques used for time series forecasting, including neural networks and evolutionary computation methods. Several studies applying neural networks to weather prediction are summarized.
Comparative study of evaluation of evapotranspiration methods and calculation...eSAT Journals
This document summarizes research on methods for calculating evapotranspiration (ET) and compares seven methods to the standard FAO-56 Penman-Monteith method. Previous studies found FAO-56 PM to be the most accurate across climates but require significant data. Other methods are popular due to lower data needs. This study calculates ET for the left bank canal of the Chaskaman Dam in India using temperature-based, radiation-based, and combined methods and compares them to FAO-56 PM using statistical analyses to identify the next best method when data is limited. Crop water requirements will then be calculated to aid irrigation planning for the command area.
This document evaluates the performance of 20 radiation-based equations for estimating reference evapotranspiration (ET0) against the FAO Penman-Monteith method using 24 years of weather data from Pantnagar, India. The FAO24-Radiation method provided ET0 values that most closely matched the FAO Penman-Monteith method based on agreement index and RMSE values on daily, weekly, and monthly timescales. The Castaneda-Rao method estimated ET0 values that were almost equal to the FAO Penman-Monteith values. Overall, the FAO24-Radiation method performed the best among the 20 radiation-based equations evaluated for the sub-humid climate
This document presents two methods for quantifying uncertainties in national estimates of living biomass derived from sample surveys like National Forest Inventories: an analytic approach and a parametric bootstrap approach. The analytic approach estimates the total variance of biomass estimates as the sum of the sampling variance and model variance. The model variance accounts for uncertainties in model parameter estimates and residuals. The parametric bootstrap approach simulates biomass estimates under different model parameter values and residuals to estimate total variance. Both methods are compared using data from the Norwegian National Forest Inventory to quantify the contribution of model-related variability to uncertainties in biomass stock and change estimates.
This document evaluates and recalibrates temperature-based methods for estimating reference evapotranspiration (ET0) in the Tirupati region of India. It compares the Blaney-Criddle, Hargreaves, and Jensen-Haise methods to the Penman-Monteith standard method using meteorological data from 1992-2001. Relationships are developed between the temperature methods and Penman-Monteith, and the temperature methods are recalibrated against Penman-Monteith. The recalibrated Blaney-Criddle method shows the best performance with monthly ET0 estimates comparable to Penman-Monteith and reasonable accuracy for the study area given its simpler data requirements.
EVALUATION OF REFERENCE EVAPOTRANSPIRATION ESTIMATION METHODS AND DEVELOPMENT...IAEME Publication
This study is an attempt to find best alternative method to estimate reference evapotranspiration (ETo) for the Nagarjuna Sagar Reservoir Project [NSRP], command area located at Andhra Pradesh, India. When input climatic parameters are insufficient to apply standard Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) of the United Nations Penman–Monteith (P–M) method. To identify the best alternative climatic based method that yield results closest to the P–M method, performances of four climate based methods namely Blaney–Criddle, Radiation, Modified Penman and Pan evaporation were compared with the FAO-56 Penman–Monteith method. Performances were evaluated using the statistical indices.
Comparative evaluation of different potential evapotranspiration estimation a...eSAT Publishing House
IJRET : International Journal of Research in Engineering and Technology is an international peer reviewed, online journal published by eSAT Publishing House for the enhancement of research in various disciplines of Engineering and Technology. The aim and scope of the journal is to provide an academic medium and an important reference for the advancement and dissemination of research results that support high-level learning, teaching and research in the fields of Engineering and Technology. We bring together Scientists, Academician, Field Engineers, Scholars and Students of related fields of Engineering and Technology.
This document evaluates different radiation-based methods for estimating reference evapotranspiration (ET0) and compares them to the Penman-Monteith (PM) method. It finds that the Priestley-Taylor (PT), FAO-24 Radiation (RA), and Makkink (MK) methods perform unsatisfactorily compared to PM. By developing relationships between PM and the other methods and recalibrating the coefficients, the performance of RA improves significantly, with the lowest root mean square error and highest coefficient of determination and efficiency. Therefore, the study concludes the recalibrated RA method provides reasonably accurate ET0 estimation for the study area under limited climate data availability conditions.
Time Series Data Analysis for Forecasting – A Literature ReviewIJMER
This document summarizes literature on using statistical and data mining techniques for time series forecasting, with a focus on weather prediction. Section 2 discusses various statistical techniques used in literature such as ARIMA models, exponential smoothing models, and spectral analysis methods for time series rainfall and weather forecasting. Section 3 discusses data mining techniques used for time series forecasting, including neural networks and evolutionary computation methods. Several studies applying neural networks to weather prediction are summarized.
Comparative study of evaluation of evapotranspiration methods and calculation...eSAT Journals
This document summarizes research on methods for calculating evapotranspiration (ET) and compares seven methods to the standard FAO-56 Penman-Monteith method. Previous studies found FAO-56 PM to be the most accurate across climates but require significant data. Other methods are popular due to lower data needs. This study calculates ET for the left bank canal of the Chaskaman Dam in India using temperature-based, radiation-based, and combined methods and compares them to FAO-56 PM using statistical analyses to identify the next best method when data is limited. Crop water requirements will then be calculated to aid irrigation planning for the command area.
This document evaluates the performance of 20 radiation-based equations for estimating reference evapotranspiration (ET0) against the FAO Penman-Monteith method using 24 years of weather data from Pantnagar, India. The FAO24-Radiation method provided ET0 values that most closely matched the FAO Penman-Monteith method based on agreement index and RMSE values on daily, weekly, and monthly timescales. The Castaneda-Rao method estimated ET0 values that were almost equal to the FAO Penman-Monteith values. Overall, the FAO24-Radiation method performed the best among the 20 radiation-based equations evaluated for the sub-humid climate
This document presents two methods for quantifying uncertainties in national estimates of living biomass derived from sample surveys like National Forest Inventories: an analytic approach and a parametric bootstrap approach. The analytic approach estimates the total variance of biomass estimates as the sum of the sampling variance and model variance. The model variance accounts for uncertainties in model parameter estimates and residuals. The parametric bootstrap approach simulates biomass estimates under different model parameter values and residuals to estimate total variance. Both methods are compared using data from the Norwegian National Forest Inventory to quantify the contribution of model-related variability to uncertainties in biomass stock and change estimates.
This document evaluates and recalibrates temperature-based methods for estimating reference evapotranspiration (ET0) in the Tirupati region of India. It compares the Blaney-Criddle, Hargreaves, and Jensen-Haise methods to the Penman-Monteith standard method using meteorological data from 1992-2001. Relationships are developed between the temperature methods and Penman-Monteith, and the temperature methods are recalibrated against Penman-Monteith. The recalibrated Blaney-Criddle method shows the best performance with monthly ET0 estimates comparable to Penman-Monteith and reasonable accuracy for the study area given its simpler data requirements.
EVALUATION OF REFERENCE EVAPOTRANSPIRATION ESTIMATION METHODS AND DEVELOPMENT...IAEME Publication
This study is an attempt to find best alternative method to estimate reference evapotranspiration (ETo) for the Nagarjuna Sagar Reservoir Project [NSRP], command area located at Andhra Pradesh, India. When input climatic parameters are insufficient to apply standard Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) of the United Nations Penman–Monteith (P–M) method. To identify the best alternative climatic based method that yield results closest to the P–M method, performances of four climate based methods namely Blaney–Criddle, Radiation, Modified Penman and Pan evaporation were compared with the FAO-56 Penman–Monteith method. Performances were evaluated using the statistical indices.
Defining Homogenous Climate zones of Bangladesh using Cluster AnalysisPremier Publishers
Climate zones of Bangladesh are identified by using mathematical methodology of cluster analysis. Monthly data from 34 climate stations for rainfall from 1991 to 2013 are used in the cluster analysis. Five Agglomerative Hierarchical clustering measures based on mostly used six proximity measures are chosen to perform the regionalization. Besides three popular measures: K-means, Fuzzy and density based clustering techniques are applied initially to decide the most suitable method for the identification of homogeneous region. Stability of the cluster is also tested based on nine validity indices. It is decided that Ward method based on Euclidean distance, K-means, Fuzzy are the most likely to yield acceptable results in this particular case, as is often the case in climatological research. In this analysis we found seven different climate zones in Bangladesh.
Analyzing the rainfall and temperature influence on municipal water consumpti...eSAT Publishing House
IJRET : International Journal of Research in Engineering and Technology is an international peer reviewed, online journal published by eSAT Publishing House for the enhancement of research in various disciplines of Engineering and Technology. The aim and scope of the journal is to provide an academic medium and an important reference for the advancement and dissemination of research results that support high-level learning, teaching and research in the fields of Engineering and Technology. We bring together Scientists, Academician, Field Engineers, Scholars and Students of related fields of Engineering and Technology
International Journal of Engineering Research and Applications (IJERA) is an open access online peer reviewed international journal that publishes research and review articles in the fields of Computer Science, Neural Networks, Electrical Engineering, Software Engineering, Information Technology, Mechanical Engineering, Chemical Engineering, Plastic Engineering, Food Technology, Textile Engineering, Nano Technology & science, Power Electronics, Electronics & Communication Engineering, Computational mathematics, Image processing, Civil Engineering, Structural Engineering, Environmental Engineering, VLSI Testing & Low Power VLSI Design etc.
Many studies have shown that the increased atmospheric concentration of pollutants has an intensified health risk on lung-, heart- and cardiovascular disease sufferers, as well as the increasing willingness of morbidity and mortality. Therefore, the monitoring of the air pollutants is particularly important. The goal of the recent study was to show a complex picture about Veszprém county’s air quality situation and to discover the relationships between the selected air pollutants (PM10, CO, NO2, SO2, O3) concentration and the picked health diseases (cardiovascular diseases, respiratory diseases, gastrointestinal disorders, ischemic heart disease, cerebrovascular disease, and chronic lower respiratory diseases). Ambient air pollution and hospital admission data for the research were obtained for 2005–2013. According to the calculations; it was found that there was a moderate relation between the air pollutants concentrations and the health diseases.
Climate-related Changes in Tropical-fruit Flowering Phases in Songkhla Provin...Orca Whale
Abstract: Changes in the timing of plant phenological phases in response to anomalous climate variability and the ongoing anthropogenic climate change have recently been studied in southern Thailand. In this study, we showed the evidence of climate-related changes in flowering phases of 2 tropical-fruit species: mangosteen (Garcinia mangostana L.) and longkong (Lansium domesticum Corr.) during 2003-2012. The flowering dates of these tropical fruits recorded at Hat Yai district, Songkhla province and daily climate data were used to assess phenophase response to variations in rainfall and evaporation. With the observed changes in local climate conditions which are defining factors for phenological development of tropical fruits particularly in southern Thailand, the flowering dates of both tropical fruits during 2003-2012 have significantly delayed comparing with the regular pattern in the past. Paradoxically, below-than-normal rainfall was also found in the El Niño years, while La Niña years were found in opposite. In summary, rainfall variations in Hat Yai district, Songkhla province are associated with ENSO. It was evident that the flowering period of tropical fruits tended to shift to the second-half of the year instead of the first-half of the year as usual. The results revealed that, during 33 years (1980-2012), annual rainfall totals, the annual number of rainy days, relative humidity, maximum and minimum temperatures from the Thai Meteorological Department significantly increased by 29.5 mm/year, 0.83 day/year, 0.116 %/year, 0.033 and 0.035°C/year, respectively. These findings suggest that anthropogenically warm climate and its associated inter-annual variations in local weather patterns may to the great extent influence on tropical-fruit phenology and their responses to recent climate change seem to be complex and nonlinear. Therefore, further study is needed to shed more light on such causal-effect linkages and plausible underlying mechanisms.
Precipitable water modelling using artificial neuralmehmet şahin
This document summarizes a study that used an artificial neural network to model and predict precipitable water values in the Çukurova region of Turkey. Meteorological and geographical data from 1990-2006 was used to train the neural network, with altitude, temperature, pressure, and humidity as inputs and precipitable water as the output. The neural network achieved a correlation of 94.0% between predicted and measured monthly mean precipitable water values for the training data and 91.8% for the testing data. The results demonstrated that an artificial neural network is effective at estimating precipitable water and can be used to predict values where observational data is limited.
IRJET- Rainfall Forecasting using Regression TechniquesIRJET Journal
This document discusses rainfall forecasting using regression techniques. It begins with an abstract stating that rainfall is important for agriculture and food production in India. It then provides an introduction to different rainfall forecasting methods, emphasizing empirical regression approaches. The paper performs multiple linear regression on five years of monthly rainfall data from Mumbai to predict rainfall values. It calculates correlation coefficients between months and plots actual versus predicted rainfall to evaluate forecast accuracy. The goal is to aid agricultural planning and management in India's monsoon-dependent regions.
A comparative study of different imputation methods for daily rainfall data i...journalBEEI
Rainfall data are the most significant values in hydrology and climatology modelling. However, the datasets are prone to missing values due to various issues. This study aspires to impute the rainfall missing values by using various imputation method such as Replace by Mean, Nearest Neighbor, Random Forest, Non-linear Interactive Partial Least-Square (NIPALS) and Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). Daily rainfall datasets from 48 rainfall stations across east-coast Peninsular Malaysia were used in this study. The dataset were then fed into Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) model. The performance of abovementioned methods were evaluated using Root Mean Square Method (RMSE), Mean Absolute Error (MAE) and Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency Coefficient (CE). The experimental results showed that RF coupled with MLR (RF-MLR) approach was attained as more fitting for satisfying the missing data in east-coast Peninsular Malaysia.
International Journal of Engineering Research and Applications (IJERA) is an open access online peer reviewed international journal that publishes research and review articles in the fields of Computer Science, Neural Networks, Electrical Engineering, Software Engineering, Information Technology, Mechanical Engineering, Chemical Engineering, Plastic Engineering, Food Technology, Textile Engineering, Nano Technology & science, Power Electronics, Electronics & Communication Engineering, Computational mathematics, Image processing, Civil Engineering, Structural Engineering, Environmental Engineering, VLSI Testing & Low Power VLSI Design etc.
This document discusses using satellite data and meteorological variables to estimate monthly average daily solar radiation (SR) over Turkey using artificial neural network (ANN) and multiple linear regression (MLR) models. Land surface temperature, altitude, latitude, longitude and month were used as inputs to the ANN and MLR models to estimate SR, which was then evaluated against meteorological measurements. The results showed that the ANN model produced more accurate estimates of SR compared to the MLR model. The ANN model was also able to generate a yearly average SR map for Turkey using satellite data.
The document describes a method for normalizing well logging curves in the Daqingzi oilfield in China. Key steps include:
1. Selecting key wells that are evenly distributed in the area and have complete coring data to analyze. A standard marker bed is also selected.
2. Using a combined correction method including tendency surface analysis, frequency distribution histograms, and mean correction to standardize sonic logging curves. Tendency surface analysis is used initially but outliers are corrected using the other two methods.
3. The combined method is found to provide a 6% better fit than tendency surface analysis alone when fitting times are four. The combined method better addresses outliers caused by logging equipment differences and human errors.
Estimation of wind power density with artificial neural networkmehmet şahin
Industry and technology are rapidly developing with each passing day. They need energy to sustain this evolution. The demand of energy is mainly provided from fossil fuels. Unfortunately, this kind of energy reserves are consumed away day by day. Therefore, there is a need to use alternative energy sources to supply energy needs. Alternative energy sources can be listed as; solar, wind, wave, biomass, geothermal and hydro-electric power. Our country has significant potential for wind energy. Wind power density estimation is required to determine the wind potential. In this study, the wind power density was estimated by using artificial neural network (ANN) method. Forty meteorological stations were used for ANN training, while eighteen meteorological stations were used to test the trained network. Network has trained according to, respectively; trainlm, trainbfg, trainscg, traincgp traincgb, traincgf ve trainoss learning algorithms. The correlation coefficient (R) and Mean bias error (MBE) of the best developed model were calculated as 0,9767 and -0,3124 W/m2 respectively. Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) was calculated as 1,4786 W/m2. In conclusion, the obtained results demonstrate that the developed model can be used to estimate the wind power density.
ROLE OF INDIAN INSTITUTE OF TROPICAL INSTITUTEAbhimanyu Tomar
The document discusses the history and functions of the Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology (IITM). It notes that IITM was established in 1962 to study tropical weather and the Indian monsoon. Its research focuses on weather forecasting, climatology, monsoon studies, and other areas. IITM conducts both fundamental research and more application-oriented studies to understand atmospheric processes and their impacts. It carries out field experiments and develops forecasting models to advance knowledge in meteorology and support national development goals.
Assessment of Water Quality in Imo River Estuary Using Multivariate Statistic...IOSR Journals
Abstract: The water quality of Imo River Estuary, the Niger Delta region was studied for a duration of 12 months. This study was aimed at the assessment of water quality parameter of the water body. In order to have an indepth knowledge to the physical and chemical processes as well as their associated spatial distribution, the study analyses some parameters recorded at the three sampling sites through multivariate statistical methods. The principal component analysis (PCA) and factor analysis (FA) was employed to extract and recognize the major underlying factors contributing to the variations among the water quality measured. Results indicate that three principal components, that is nutrients, organic and meteorological factor account for 99.91% of the total variance among the water quality parameters. The spatial distribution of principal components further confirms that nutrient sources constitute the main pollutant contribution. Keywords: Assessment, Principal Component Analysis, Factor Analysis, Estuary, Source
This document discusses the derivation of new empirical magnitude conversion relationships for earthquakes in Turkey and surrounding regions between 1900-2012. It uses an improved earthquake catalog containing 12,674 events of magnitude 4.0 and greater. The catalog includes events reported in different magnitude scales. The study derives conversion equations to relate moment magnitude (Mw) to local magnitude (ML), duration magnitude (Md), body wave magnitude (mb), and surface wave magnitude (Ms) using 489 events that have reported Mw values. Both orthogonal regression and ordinary least squares methods are used and compared. The new relationships are meant to make the catalog more homogeneous by converting all magnitudes to the common Mw scale.
This study uses atmospheric measurements to estimate methane emissions from an oil and gas production field in Uintah County, Utah. The researchers calculate a methane emission rate of 55±15x103 kg/hr, equivalent to 6.2-11.7% of average natural gas production in the county for that month. This demonstrates the value of the mass balance technique for independently assessing methane emissions from oil and gas regions. The single-day estimate also illustrates the need for more atmospheric measurements to better understand inventory estimates and the variability of emissions over time.
Application of mathematical modelling in rainfall forcast a csae study in...eSAT Journals
Abstract Malaysia receives rainfall from 2000 mm to 4000 mm annually where it is greatly influenced by two monsoon periods in November to March and May to September. The state of Sarawak is well known for its long and wide rivers. Numerous activities such as commercial, industrial and residential can always be found in the vicinity of the rivers. The activities have started since decades ago and still continue to grow and spatially expanding through times providing incomes ranging from small farmers to the largest corporations. Unfortunately, these areas are expected to experience frequent flood events as well as possible receding water level in rivers based on the findings of previous studies. If the projections are accurate, the productivity of these activities will be reduced, hence, in a longer term may affect the economy of the state as whole as well. Therefore, there is an urgent need for existing knowledge on rainfall behavior to be revised as effects of climate change with the intention that the state can fully utilize the favorable conditions and make scientific based decisions in the future. Recent study reveals that the Fourier series (FS), has the ability to simulate long-term rainfall up to 300 years is viewed as an important finding in the study of rainfall forecast. Long-term rainfall forecasting is viewed to be beneficial to the state of Sarawak in its future planning in various sectors such as water supply, flood mitigation, river transportation as well as agriculture. The main goal of the study is to apply a mathematical modeling in rainfall forecasting for the Sungai Sarawak basin. Data from eight rain gauge stations was analyzed and prepared for missing data, consistency check and adequacy of number of stations. Simple statistical analysis was conducted on the data such as maximum, minimum, mean and standard deviation. 27 years of annual rainfall data were simulated with the Fourier Series equation using spreadsheet. Hence, the result was compared with the Fitting N-term Harmonic Series. The model result reveals that the Fourier Series has the ability to simulate the observed data by being able to describe the rainfall pattern and there is a reasonable relationship between the simulation and observed data with p-value of 0.93. Keywords: Fourier series, Mathematical
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Monitoring Kuhdasht Plain Aquifer Using the Drastic Model (Water Quality Inde...AJHSSR Journal
ABSTRACT:Identification and provision of zoning of vulnerable aquifers, i.e. areas where pollutants can
penetrate and distribute from ground surface to groundwater system, is an appropriate management tool to
prevent the contamination of groundwater resources. There are several methods to assess the vulnerability of
aquifers, which are generally divided into three main groups: statistical methods, mathematical methods, and
overlapping indexes methods. In this research, due to the importance of plain aquifer for agricultural and
drinking water supply of the region, drastic method is one of the most applicable overlapping methods used. The
plain aquifer vulnerability map derived from the combination of seven raster maps of drastic model parameters
(water table depth, pure supply, aquifer type, soil type, topographic slope, non-saturated environment
ingredients and hydraulic conductivity) is used; it has been developed in seven layers in ArcGis software. The
final aquifer vulnerability map was prepared for contamination by weighting and ranking and combining the
seven layers above. Matching the nitrate ion on the final drastic map, it was determined that all points with high
nitrate are in the high contamination range, approving the accuracy of the model. According to the zoning map
obtained, about 0.98%, 12.98%, 62.56%, and 23.48% of the study area were within the low, moderate, moderate
to high, and high vulnerability ranges, respectively. The results of this study indicate that the highest
vulnerability potential is in the moderate to high class, and the northern, northwestern and western areas of the
plain have a high potential, while the southwest areas have the lowest potential.
Comparative analysis of direct and four indirect methods for determination of...eSAT Journals
Abstract
This study focused on comparative analysis of five widely used methods for determining evapotranspiration, namely, Weighing lysimeter, Pan Evapotranspiration, Blaney – Morin Nigeria, Blaney – Criddle and Modified Hargreaves – Samani methods. Each of the five methods was used to estimate crop evapotranspiration of waterleaf (Talinum triangulare) in Umudike, Southeast Nigeria. The efficacy of these evapotranspiration methods is evaluated by comparing them with the Weighing lysimeter(direct method), which provides the most reasonable estimation of evapotranspiration and is one of the most reliable methods. The crop was irrigated daily and the daily data generated from the lysimeter were used to calculate the crop evapotranspiration (ETc) between the months of November/ December, 2013. Climatic data obtained for the same period were used to determine the crop evapotranspiration (ETc) using the Pan Evapotranspiration, Blaney – Morin Nigeria, Blaney – Criddle and Modified Hargreaves – Samani methods. The total crop evapotranspiration from the Lysimeter between November and December was 148.69 mm, while that of Pan Evapotranspiration (PE), Blaney – Morin Nigeria (BMN), Blaney – Criddle (BC) and Modified Hargreaves – Samani (MHS) were 152.42 mm, 151.22 mm, 147.76 mm and 135.58 mm, respectively. Test of hypothesis using z-Test indicates that there was no significant difference between the mean of the ET by lysimeter and that of each of the other four methods (Blaney - Criddle, Pan Evapotranspiration, Modified Hargreaves - Samani and Blaney - Morin Nigeria) as z-cal < z-critical at 5% level of significance for the crop growth period of 8th November to 12th December, 2013.
Keywords: Comparative analysis, Evapotranspiration methods, Crop evapotranspiration, Hydrologic cycle, Lysimeter
Defining Homogenous Climate zones of Bangladesh using Cluster AnalysisPremier Publishers
Climate zones of Bangladesh are identified by using mathematical methodology of cluster analysis. Monthly data from 34 climate stations for rainfall from 1991 to 2013 are used in the cluster analysis. Five Agglomerative Hierarchical clustering measures based on mostly used six proximity measures are chosen to perform the regionalization. Besides three popular measures: K-means, Fuzzy and density based clustering techniques are applied initially to decide the most suitable method for the identification of homogeneous region. Stability of the cluster is also tested based on nine validity indices. It is decided that Ward method based on Euclidean distance, K-means, Fuzzy are the most likely to yield acceptable results in this particular case, as is often the case in climatological research. In this analysis we found seven different climate zones in Bangladesh.
Analyzing the rainfall and temperature influence on municipal water consumpti...eSAT Publishing House
IJRET : International Journal of Research in Engineering and Technology is an international peer reviewed, online journal published by eSAT Publishing House for the enhancement of research in various disciplines of Engineering and Technology. The aim and scope of the journal is to provide an academic medium and an important reference for the advancement and dissemination of research results that support high-level learning, teaching and research in the fields of Engineering and Technology. We bring together Scientists, Academician, Field Engineers, Scholars and Students of related fields of Engineering and Technology
International Journal of Engineering Research and Applications (IJERA) is an open access online peer reviewed international journal that publishes research and review articles in the fields of Computer Science, Neural Networks, Electrical Engineering, Software Engineering, Information Technology, Mechanical Engineering, Chemical Engineering, Plastic Engineering, Food Technology, Textile Engineering, Nano Technology & science, Power Electronics, Electronics & Communication Engineering, Computational mathematics, Image processing, Civil Engineering, Structural Engineering, Environmental Engineering, VLSI Testing & Low Power VLSI Design etc.
Many studies have shown that the increased atmospheric concentration of pollutants has an intensified health risk on lung-, heart- and cardiovascular disease sufferers, as well as the increasing willingness of morbidity and mortality. Therefore, the monitoring of the air pollutants is particularly important. The goal of the recent study was to show a complex picture about Veszprém county’s air quality situation and to discover the relationships between the selected air pollutants (PM10, CO, NO2, SO2, O3) concentration and the picked health diseases (cardiovascular diseases, respiratory diseases, gastrointestinal disorders, ischemic heart disease, cerebrovascular disease, and chronic lower respiratory diseases). Ambient air pollution and hospital admission data for the research were obtained for 2005–2013. According to the calculations; it was found that there was a moderate relation between the air pollutants concentrations and the health diseases.
Climate-related Changes in Tropical-fruit Flowering Phases in Songkhla Provin...Orca Whale
Abstract: Changes in the timing of plant phenological phases in response to anomalous climate variability and the ongoing anthropogenic climate change have recently been studied in southern Thailand. In this study, we showed the evidence of climate-related changes in flowering phases of 2 tropical-fruit species: mangosteen (Garcinia mangostana L.) and longkong (Lansium domesticum Corr.) during 2003-2012. The flowering dates of these tropical fruits recorded at Hat Yai district, Songkhla province and daily climate data were used to assess phenophase response to variations in rainfall and evaporation. With the observed changes in local climate conditions which are defining factors for phenological development of tropical fruits particularly in southern Thailand, the flowering dates of both tropical fruits during 2003-2012 have significantly delayed comparing with the regular pattern in the past. Paradoxically, below-than-normal rainfall was also found in the El Niño years, while La Niña years were found in opposite. In summary, rainfall variations in Hat Yai district, Songkhla province are associated with ENSO. It was evident that the flowering period of tropical fruits tended to shift to the second-half of the year instead of the first-half of the year as usual. The results revealed that, during 33 years (1980-2012), annual rainfall totals, the annual number of rainy days, relative humidity, maximum and minimum temperatures from the Thai Meteorological Department significantly increased by 29.5 mm/year, 0.83 day/year, 0.116 %/year, 0.033 and 0.035°C/year, respectively. These findings suggest that anthropogenically warm climate and its associated inter-annual variations in local weather patterns may to the great extent influence on tropical-fruit phenology and their responses to recent climate change seem to be complex and nonlinear. Therefore, further study is needed to shed more light on such causal-effect linkages and plausible underlying mechanisms.
Precipitable water modelling using artificial neuralmehmet şahin
This document summarizes a study that used an artificial neural network to model and predict precipitable water values in the Çukurova region of Turkey. Meteorological and geographical data from 1990-2006 was used to train the neural network, with altitude, temperature, pressure, and humidity as inputs and precipitable water as the output. The neural network achieved a correlation of 94.0% between predicted and measured monthly mean precipitable water values for the training data and 91.8% for the testing data. The results demonstrated that an artificial neural network is effective at estimating precipitable water and can be used to predict values where observational data is limited.
IRJET- Rainfall Forecasting using Regression TechniquesIRJET Journal
This document discusses rainfall forecasting using regression techniques. It begins with an abstract stating that rainfall is important for agriculture and food production in India. It then provides an introduction to different rainfall forecasting methods, emphasizing empirical regression approaches. The paper performs multiple linear regression on five years of monthly rainfall data from Mumbai to predict rainfall values. It calculates correlation coefficients between months and plots actual versus predicted rainfall to evaluate forecast accuracy. The goal is to aid agricultural planning and management in India's monsoon-dependent regions.
A comparative study of different imputation methods for daily rainfall data i...journalBEEI
Rainfall data are the most significant values in hydrology and climatology modelling. However, the datasets are prone to missing values due to various issues. This study aspires to impute the rainfall missing values by using various imputation method such as Replace by Mean, Nearest Neighbor, Random Forest, Non-linear Interactive Partial Least-Square (NIPALS) and Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). Daily rainfall datasets from 48 rainfall stations across east-coast Peninsular Malaysia were used in this study. The dataset were then fed into Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) model. The performance of abovementioned methods were evaluated using Root Mean Square Method (RMSE), Mean Absolute Error (MAE) and Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency Coefficient (CE). The experimental results showed that RF coupled with MLR (RF-MLR) approach was attained as more fitting for satisfying the missing data in east-coast Peninsular Malaysia.
International Journal of Engineering Research and Applications (IJERA) is an open access online peer reviewed international journal that publishes research and review articles in the fields of Computer Science, Neural Networks, Electrical Engineering, Software Engineering, Information Technology, Mechanical Engineering, Chemical Engineering, Plastic Engineering, Food Technology, Textile Engineering, Nano Technology & science, Power Electronics, Electronics & Communication Engineering, Computational mathematics, Image processing, Civil Engineering, Structural Engineering, Environmental Engineering, VLSI Testing & Low Power VLSI Design etc.
This document discusses using satellite data and meteorological variables to estimate monthly average daily solar radiation (SR) over Turkey using artificial neural network (ANN) and multiple linear regression (MLR) models. Land surface temperature, altitude, latitude, longitude and month were used as inputs to the ANN and MLR models to estimate SR, which was then evaluated against meteorological measurements. The results showed that the ANN model produced more accurate estimates of SR compared to the MLR model. The ANN model was also able to generate a yearly average SR map for Turkey using satellite data.
The document describes a method for normalizing well logging curves in the Daqingzi oilfield in China. Key steps include:
1. Selecting key wells that are evenly distributed in the area and have complete coring data to analyze. A standard marker bed is also selected.
2. Using a combined correction method including tendency surface analysis, frequency distribution histograms, and mean correction to standardize sonic logging curves. Tendency surface analysis is used initially but outliers are corrected using the other two methods.
3. The combined method is found to provide a 6% better fit than tendency surface analysis alone when fitting times are four. The combined method better addresses outliers caused by logging equipment differences and human errors.
Estimation of wind power density with artificial neural networkmehmet şahin
Industry and technology are rapidly developing with each passing day. They need energy to sustain this evolution. The demand of energy is mainly provided from fossil fuels. Unfortunately, this kind of energy reserves are consumed away day by day. Therefore, there is a need to use alternative energy sources to supply energy needs. Alternative energy sources can be listed as; solar, wind, wave, biomass, geothermal and hydro-electric power. Our country has significant potential for wind energy. Wind power density estimation is required to determine the wind potential. In this study, the wind power density was estimated by using artificial neural network (ANN) method. Forty meteorological stations were used for ANN training, while eighteen meteorological stations were used to test the trained network. Network has trained according to, respectively; trainlm, trainbfg, trainscg, traincgp traincgb, traincgf ve trainoss learning algorithms. The correlation coefficient (R) and Mean bias error (MBE) of the best developed model were calculated as 0,9767 and -0,3124 W/m2 respectively. Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) was calculated as 1,4786 W/m2. In conclusion, the obtained results demonstrate that the developed model can be used to estimate the wind power density.
ROLE OF INDIAN INSTITUTE OF TROPICAL INSTITUTEAbhimanyu Tomar
The document discusses the history and functions of the Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology (IITM). It notes that IITM was established in 1962 to study tropical weather and the Indian monsoon. Its research focuses on weather forecasting, climatology, monsoon studies, and other areas. IITM conducts both fundamental research and more application-oriented studies to understand atmospheric processes and their impacts. It carries out field experiments and develops forecasting models to advance knowledge in meteorology and support national development goals.
Assessment of Water Quality in Imo River Estuary Using Multivariate Statistic...IOSR Journals
Abstract: The water quality of Imo River Estuary, the Niger Delta region was studied for a duration of 12 months. This study was aimed at the assessment of water quality parameter of the water body. In order to have an indepth knowledge to the physical and chemical processes as well as their associated spatial distribution, the study analyses some parameters recorded at the three sampling sites through multivariate statistical methods. The principal component analysis (PCA) and factor analysis (FA) was employed to extract and recognize the major underlying factors contributing to the variations among the water quality measured. Results indicate that three principal components, that is nutrients, organic and meteorological factor account for 99.91% of the total variance among the water quality parameters. The spatial distribution of principal components further confirms that nutrient sources constitute the main pollutant contribution. Keywords: Assessment, Principal Component Analysis, Factor Analysis, Estuary, Source
This document discusses the derivation of new empirical magnitude conversion relationships for earthquakes in Turkey and surrounding regions between 1900-2012. It uses an improved earthquake catalog containing 12,674 events of magnitude 4.0 and greater. The catalog includes events reported in different magnitude scales. The study derives conversion equations to relate moment magnitude (Mw) to local magnitude (ML), duration magnitude (Md), body wave magnitude (mb), and surface wave magnitude (Ms) using 489 events that have reported Mw values. Both orthogonal regression and ordinary least squares methods are used and compared. The new relationships are meant to make the catalog more homogeneous by converting all magnitudes to the common Mw scale.
This study uses atmospheric measurements to estimate methane emissions from an oil and gas production field in Uintah County, Utah. The researchers calculate a methane emission rate of 55±15x103 kg/hr, equivalent to 6.2-11.7% of average natural gas production in the county for that month. This demonstrates the value of the mass balance technique for independently assessing methane emissions from oil and gas regions. The single-day estimate also illustrates the need for more atmospheric measurements to better understand inventory estimates and the variability of emissions over time.
Application of mathematical modelling in rainfall forcast a csae study in...eSAT Journals
Abstract Malaysia receives rainfall from 2000 mm to 4000 mm annually where it is greatly influenced by two monsoon periods in November to March and May to September. The state of Sarawak is well known for its long and wide rivers. Numerous activities such as commercial, industrial and residential can always be found in the vicinity of the rivers. The activities have started since decades ago and still continue to grow and spatially expanding through times providing incomes ranging from small farmers to the largest corporations. Unfortunately, these areas are expected to experience frequent flood events as well as possible receding water level in rivers based on the findings of previous studies. If the projections are accurate, the productivity of these activities will be reduced, hence, in a longer term may affect the economy of the state as whole as well. Therefore, there is an urgent need for existing knowledge on rainfall behavior to be revised as effects of climate change with the intention that the state can fully utilize the favorable conditions and make scientific based decisions in the future. Recent study reveals that the Fourier series (FS), has the ability to simulate long-term rainfall up to 300 years is viewed as an important finding in the study of rainfall forecast. Long-term rainfall forecasting is viewed to be beneficial to the state of Sarawak in its future planning in various sectors such as water supply, flood mitigation, river transportation as well as agriculture. The main goal of the study is to apply a mathematical modeling in rainfall forecasting for the Sungai Sarawak basin. Data from eight rain gauge stations was analyzed and prepared for missing data, consistency check and adequacy of number of stations. Simple statistical analysis was conducted on the data such as maximum, minimum, mean and standard deviation. 27 years of annual rainfall data were simulated with the Fourier Series equation using spreadsheet. Hence, the result was compared with the Fitting N-term Harmonic Series. The model result reveals that the Fourier Series has the ability to simulate the observed data by being able to describe the rainfall pattern and there is a reasonable relationship between the simulation and observed data with p-value of 0.93. Keywords: Fourier series, Mathematical
International Journal of Engineering Research and Development (IJERD)IJERD Editor
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penetrate and distribute from ground surface to groundwater system, is an appropriate management tool to
prevent the contamination of groundwater resources. There are several methods to assess the vulnerability of
aquifers, which are generally divided into three main groups: statistical methods, mathematical methods, and
overlapping indexes methods. In this research, due to the importance of plain aquifer for agricultural and
drinking water supply of the region, drastic method is one of the most applicable overlapping methods used. The
plain aquifer vulnerability map derived from the combination of seven raster maps of drastic model parameters
(water table depth, pure supply, aquifer type, soil type, topographic slope, non-saturated environment
ingredients and hydraulic conductivity) is used; it has been developed in seven layers in ArcGis software. The
final aquifer vulnerability map was prepared for contamination by weighting and ranking and combining the
seven layers above. Matching the nitrate ion on the final drastic map, it was determined that all points with high
nitrate are in the high contamination range, approving the accuracy of the model. According to the zoning map
obtained, about 0.98%, 12.98%, 62.56%, and 23.48% of the study area were within the low, moderate, moderate
to high, and high vulnerability ranges, respectively. The results of this study indicate that the highest
vulnerability potential is in the moderate to high class, and the northern, northwestern and western areas of the
plain have a high potential, while the southwest areas have the lowest potential.
Comparative analysis of direct and four indirect methods for determination of...eSAT Journals
Abstract
This study focused on comparative analysis of five widely used methods for determining evapotranspiration, namely, Weighing lysimeter, Pan Evapotranspiration, Blaney – Morin Nigeria, Blaney – Criddle and Modified Hargreaves – Samani methods. Each of the five methods was used to estimate crop evapotranspiration of waterleaf (Talinum triangulare) in Umudike, Southeast Nigeria. The efficacy of these evapotranspiration methods is evaluated by comparing them with the Weighing lysimeter(direct method), which provides the most reasonable estimation of evapotranspiration and is one of the most reliable methods. The crop was irrigated daily and the daily data generated from the lysimeter were used to calculate the crop evapotranspiration (ETc) between the months of November/ December, 2013. Climatic data obtained for the same period were used to determine the crop evapotranspiration (ETc) using the Pan Evapotranspiration, Blaney – Morin Nigeria, Blaney – Criddle and Modified Hargreaves – Samani methods. The total crop evapotranspiration from the Lysimeter between November and December was 148.69 mm, while that of Pan Evapotranspiration (PE), Blaney – Morin Nigeria (BMN), Blaney – Criddle (BC) and Modified Hargreaves – Samani (MHS) were 152.42 mm, 151.22 mm, 147.76 mm and 135.58 mm, respectively. Test of hypothesis using z-Test indicates that there was no significant difference between the mean of the ET by lysimeter and that of each of the other four methods (Blaney - Criddle, Pan Evapotranspiration, Modified Hargreaves - Samani and Blaney - Morin Nigeria) as z-cal < z-critical at 5% level of significance for the crop growth period of 8th November to 12th December, 2013.
Keywords: Comparative analysis, Evapotranspiration methods, Crop evapotranspiration, Hydrologic cycle, Lysimeter
This document evaluates and recalibrates temperature-based methods for estimating reference evapotranspiration (ET0) in the Tirupati region of India. It compares the Blaney-Criddle, Hargreaves, and Jensen-Haise methods to the standard Penman-Monteith method using meteorological data from 1992-2001. The relationships between the Penman-Monteith method and the other methods are developed and the equations are recalibrated to improve ET0 estimation accuracy. The recalibrated Blaney-Criddle method showed satisfactory performance in monthly ET0 estimation for the study area.
Regression Modelling for Precipitation Prediction Using Genetic AlgorithmsTELKOMNIKA JOURNAL
This paper discusses the formation of an appropriate regression model in precipitation prediction.
Precipitation prediction has a major influence to multiply the agricultural production of potatoes in Tengger,
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approach, the prediction of precipitation produces more accurate results. Genetic algorithm (GA)
functioning chooses precipitation period which forms the best model. To prevent early convergence,
testing the best combination value of crossover rate and mutation rate is done. To test the accuracy of the
predicted results are used Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) as a benchmark. Based on the RMSE value
of each method on every location, prediction using GA-Non-Linear Regression is better than Fuzzy
Tsukamoto for each location. Compared to Generalized Space-Time Autoregressive-Seemingly Unrelated
Regression (GSTAR-SUR), precipitation prediction using GA is better. This has been proved that for 3
locations GA is superior and on 1 location, GA has the least value of deviation level.
This document proposes a new hybrid gradients-shape dynamic time warping (HGSDTW) algorithm to measure the similarity of meteorological sequence data during different growth periods of rice at various locations. The HGSDTW algorithm uses a weighting calculation based on morphological factors and constructs first and second-level gradient transformation sequences to represent multi-level meteorological sequences. This aims to prevent peak-valley mismatches and consider directional and magnitude changes in the sequences. The algorithm then uses dynamic time warping to obtain similarity distances between single and multiple meteorological factors. Test results show the HGSDTW algorithm maintains an accuracy of 14% for classifying rice varieties at different locations over multiple years.
Integration Method of Local-global SVR and Parallel Time Variant PSO in Water...TELKOMNIKA JOURNAL
Flood is one type of natural disaster that can’t be predicted, one of the main causes of flooding is the continuous rain (natural events). In terms of meteorology, the cause of flood is come from high rainfall and the high tide of the sea, resulting in increased the water level. Rainfall and water level analysis in each period, still not able to solve the existing problems. Therefore in this study, the proposed integration method of Parallel Time Variant PSO (PTVPSO) and Local-Global Support Vector Regression (SVR) is used to forecast water level. Implementation in this study combine SVR as regression method for forecast the water level, Local-Global concept take the role for the minimization for the computing time, while PTVPSO used in the SVR to obtain maximum performance and higher accurate result by optimize the parameters of SVR. Hopefully this system will be able to solve the existing problems for flood early warning system due to erratic weather.
The two main challenges of predicting the wind speed depend on various atmospheric factors and random variables. This paper explores the possibility of developing a wind speed prediction model using different Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) and Categorical Regression empirical model which could be used to estimate the wind speed in Coimbatore, Tamil Nadu, India using SPSS software. The proposed Neural Network models are tested on real time wind data and enhanced with statistical capabilities. The objective is to predict accurate wind speed and to perform better in terms of minimization of errors using Multi Layer Perception Neural Network (MLPNN), Radial Basis Function Neural Network (RBFNN) and Categorical Regression (CATREG). Results from the paper have shown good agreement between the estimated and measured values of wind speed.
Comparative Study of Machine Learning Algorithms for Rainfall Predictionijtsrd
Majority of Indian framers depend on rainfall for agriculture. Thus, in an agricultural country like India, rainfall prediction becomes very important. Rainfall causes natural disasters like flood and drought, which are encountered by people across the globe every year. Rainfall prediction over drought regions has a great importance for countries like India whose economy is largely dependent on agriculture. A sufficient data length can play an important role in a proper estimation drought, leading to a better appraisal for drought risk reduction. Due to dynamic nature of atmosphere statistical techniques fail to provide good accuracy for rainfall prediction. So, we are going to use Machine Learning algorithms like Multiple Linear Regression, Random Forest Regressor and AdaBoost Regressor, where different models are going to be trained using training data set and tested using testing data set. The dataset which we have collected has the rainfall data from 1901 2015, where across the various drought affected states. Nonlinearity of rainfall data makes Machine Learning algorithms a better technique. Comparison of different approaches and algorithms will increase an accuracy rate of predicting rainfall over drought regions. We are going to use Python to code for algorithms. Intention of this project is to say, which algorithm can be used to predict rainfall, in order to increase the countries socioeconomic status. Mylapalle Yeshwanth | Palla Ratna Sai Kumar | Dr. G. Mathivanan M.E., Ph.D ""Comparative Study of Machine Learning Algorithms for Rainfall Prediction"" Published in International Journal of Trend in Scientific Research and Development (ijtsrd), ISSN: 2456-6470, Volume-3 | Issue-3 , April 2019, URL: https://www.ijtsrd.com/papers/ijtsrd22961.pdf
Paper URL: https://www.ijtsrd.com/computer-science/data-miining/22961/comparative-study-of-machine-learning-algorithms-for-rainfall-prediction/mylapalle-yeshwanth
This document compares five methodologies for generating a typical meteorological year (TMY) using 15 years of weather data from Chillán, Chile. Ten TMYs were created using different weighting factors in the methodologies. The TMYs were evaluated in TRNSYS simulations of a solar hot water system to calculate the solar factor for each TMY and year of data. The most representative TMY was determined to be the one generated using the ASHRAE methodology based on dew point temperatures, as it had the lowest differences in solar factor values compared to the 15 years of actual data. This TMY is recommended for future solar thermal studies in Chillán.
This document summarizes challenges in accessing, preparing, and using climate model data for research. It notes that a large volume of climate model data is being produced but is difficult to access and use, particularly for non-climate scientists, as the data is on different grids, may need bias correction, and requires significant time and effort to prepare. Several papers are cited that found most researchers spend over 80% of their time preparing climate data rather than using it. The document discusses ongoing work to address these issues through initiatives like bias correction and the climate data factory project to help process and provide access to model outputs.
4 Review on Different Evapotranspiration Empirical EquationsINFOGAIN PUBLICATION
This document reviews different empirical equations used to calculate evapotranspiration (ET). It begins by defining ET and describing its importance for irrigation management. It then discusses three categories of empirical ET equations: temperature-based methods, radiation-based methods, and mass-transfer methods. Thirty equations from these categories are analyzed and compared to the FAO 56 Penman-Monteith equation, which is presented as the reference standard. Statistical analyses including R-squared, RMSE, and index of agreement are used to evaluate the performance of the other equations. The document focuses on temperature-based methods, presenting equations developed by Thornthwaite, Linacre, and Blaney-Criddle. It concludes by stating the review aims
Clustering and Classification in Support of Climatology to mine Weather Data ...MangaiK4
Abstract -Knowledge of climate data of region is essential for business, society, agriculture, pollution and energy applications. Climate is not fixed, the fluctuation in the climate can be seen from year to year.Thedata mining application help meteorological scientists to predictaccurate weather forecast and decisions and also provide more performance and reliability than any other methods. The data mining techniques applied on weather data are efficient when compare to the mathematical models used. Various techniques of data mining are applied on climate data to support weather forecasting, climate scientists, agriculture, vegetation, water resources and tourism. The aim of this paper is to provide a review report on various data mining techniques applied on weather data set in support of weather prediction and climate analysis
This document discusses the recalibration of reference evapotranspiration estimation methods. It evaluates 9 different ET0 estimation methods against the FAO-56 Penman-Monteith method using meteorological data from Nellore, India from 1983-2003. The methods showed percentage deviations from -14.9% to 55.3% compared to the Penman-Monteith method. The methods were then recalibrated against the Penman-Monteith method, which improved their performance metrics. The recalibrated Blaney-Criddle method showed satisfactory performance with simpler data requirements, making it appropriate for the region.
This document summarizes a study that evaluated the Penman-Monteith reference evapotranspiration (ETo) equation against 34 other ETo equations using climate data from five weather stations in New Mexico from 2009-2017. The study found that the Penman-Monteith equation performed reasonably well even with missing climate data, though it tended to underestimate daily ETo with more than one missing variable. Several simpler equations including some by Valiantzas performed nearly as well as Penman-Monteith. The study concludes these alternative equations could help irrigation managers in New Mexico's semi-arid climate where water resources and data are limited.
This document describes The Climate Data Factory, a service that aims to make climate projection data easier to access and use for non-climate scientists. It notes that preparing and working with raw climate model data is currently difficult and time-consuming for most users due to issues like different grids, bias, and data volume. The Climate Data Factory addresses these problems by providing re-gridded, bias-corrected, quality-controlled climate model projections that can be easily searched and accessed through their website. This is intended to help various audiences like impact researchers, adaptation practitioners, and consulting engineers make more effective use of climate model data.
Estimation of Weekly Reference Evapotranspiration using Linear Regression and...IDES Editor
The study investigates the applicability of linear
regression and ANN models for estimating weekly reference
evapotranspiration (ET0) at Tirupati, Nellore, Rajahmundry,
Anakapalli and Rajendranagar regions of Andhra Pradesh.
The climatic parameters influencing ET0 were identified
through multiple and partial correlation analysis. The
sunshine, temperature, wind velocity and relative humidity
mostly influenced the study area in the weekly ET0 estimation.
Linear regression models in terms of the climatic parameters
influencing the regions and, optimal neural network
architectures considering these climatic parameters as inputs
were developed. The models’ performance was evaluated with
respect to ET0 estimated by FAO-56 Penman-Monteith method.
The linear regression models showed a satisfactory
performance in the weekly ET0 estimation in the regions
selected for the present study. The ANN (4,4,1) models,
however, consistently showed a slightly improved performance
over linear regression models.
This document describes a methodology for identifying critical time periods from hydrological observation data that contain important information for calibrating hydrological models. The methodology uses a statistical concept called data depth to identify unusual events in discharge or precipitation time series that lie near the boundary of the multivariate data set. These unusual events, which include extremes, long dry or wet periods, and periods of strong dynamics, are considered critical periods for model calibration. The methodology is tested on discharge and precipitation data from a catchment in Germany using two hydrological models. The results show that calibration using only the critical periods identified is only slightly worse than calibration using all the data, and the model parameters have similar transferability to different time periods.
On the performance analysis of rainfall prediction using mutual information...IJECEIAES
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CHINA’S GEO-ECONOMIC OUTREACH IN CENTRAL ASIAN COUNTRIES AND FUTURE PROSPECTjpsjournal1
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Comparison of Different Evapotranspiration Estimation Techniques for Mohanpur, Nadia District, West Bengal
1. ISSN (e): 2250 – 3005 || Volume, 07 || Issue, 04|| April – 2017 ||
International Journal of Computational Engineering Research (IJCER)
www.ijceronline.com Open Access Journal Page 33
Comparison of Different Evapotranspiration Estimation
Techniques for Mohanpur, Nadia District, West Bengal
Alivia Chowdhury1
, Debaditya Gupta2
, Dhananjay Paswan Das3
,
Anirban Bhowmick4
1.
Assisstant Professor, Department of Soil and Water Engineering, Faculty of Agricultural Engineering, Bidhan
Chandra Krishi Viswavidyalaya (BCKV), Mohanpur, Nadia, West Bengal
2, 3.
M.Tech Students, Dept. of Agricultural and Food Engineering, IIT, Kharagpur
4.
M.Tech Student, Centre of Studies in Resources Engineering, IIT Bombay
ABSTRACT
I INTRODUCTION
Evapotranspiration (ET) contributes a major portion towards the hydrologic cycle of any watershed. It is a
complex and non-linear process since it depends upon various interdependent factors such as radiation,
temperature, wind speed, relative humidity etc. and it’s precise estimation plays a vital role in various water
resource planning and management studies, for example, irrigation scheduling, crop production, water
budgeting etc. Evapotranspiration mainly constitutes of two parts, one is evaporations, i.e., loss of water from
any wet surface or water body and transpiration which is the loss of water from plant body to the atmosphere.
Evapotranspiration can be classified as potential evapotranspiration (PET) and actual evapotranspiration (AET)
based upon the availability of water, canopy cover, soil type etc. Another term commonly used to theoretically
define ET is reference evapotranspiration (ETo). Reference evapotranspiration can be defined as theoretical
evapotranspiration from an extensive surface of green grass of uniform height, actively growing, completely
shading the ground, and not short of water [1]. Numerous research works were carried out in developing
various empirical and semi-empirical models for accurate estimation of this vital hydrologic cycle parameter
using various climatological data. Some of these models depend on a variety of weather parameters whereas,
some models give good results with less climatological data. The different ETo estimation methods can be
grouped under different categories according to their data requirement namely temperature based methods,
radiation based methods, combination methods etc, and their names suggest the type of data requirements by the
methods. However, not only data requirement varies from method to method, but also the performance and
accuracy of different methods vary with different climatic conditions and with the availability of data [2]. One
of the methods that are widely used to estimate reference evapotranspiration is the Penman-Monteith method [3]
and it has proved to be the most accurate method of estimating evapotranspiration. But the requirements of
large input parameters have limited the use of this method. To overcome this situation, comparative assessment
of several ETo estimation methods with FAO-Penman-56 method were carried out by various researchers in
order to select the most dependable ETo estimation method with sparse data for a particular location. Several
ABSTRACT
The accurate estimation of reference evapotranspiration (ETo) plays a pivotal role in water resources
planning and management studies. The present study was attempted to estimate the reference
evapotranspiration (ETo) using three temperature based methods namely, Blaney-Criddle method,
Thornthwaite method and Hargreaves-Samani model and three radiation based methods namely, Turc
method, Priestly-Taylor model, and FAO - 24 Radiation Model for Mohanpur area, Nadia district, West
Bengal. ET estimates of the above mentioned methods were then compared with FAO Penman -
Monteith (FAO-56 PM) method, which was considered as the standard method of ETo estimation, to
check the capabilities of different models to predict ETo for the study area. The present analysis was
carried out using 10-years daily weather data of Mohanpur weather station. The results of the study
revealed that, the ETo values at Mohanpur, Nadia district, West Bengal, India were in the range of 3.5
mm/day to 5.0 mm/day. A rank was assigned to different methods based on the comparative analysis of
different ETo estimation methods with FAO-56 PM method and it could be inferred that Turc method as
the closest method and Thornthwaite method as the least-matched method to FAO 56 Penman-Monteith
for the study area.
Keywords: Reference evapotranspiration, Mohanpur, FAO-56 Penman-Monteith method, water
resources
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researchers ([4]; [5]; [6];[7]) have compared various evapotranspiration estimation methods in order to find out
the best ETo estimation model in various parts of the country as well as the world. Alkaeed et al., [8] compared
six reference evapotranspiration method considering FAO-56 Penman method as the standard method and found
Thronthwaite method as the most appropriate method for ETo estimation for the study area. Chavan et al., [9]
conducted a comparative analysis of four ETo estimation methods with FAO-Penman method for southern hot
and humid region of Konkan platue in Maharashtra state and found Blaney-Criddle is the most reliable and
accurate methods for estimation of ETo for the study region. Nikam et al., [10] has also performed a comparetive
assessment study to select the most appropriate method for estimating reference evapotranspiration for
Pantnagar (Uttarakhand), India on a monthly as well as on a seasonal basis.
With this context, the present paper aims to compare the performance of seven broadly used ETo estimation
methods, namely Hargreaves Samani Method, Thornthwaite Method, Blaney-Criddle Method, Priestley-Taylor
Method, FAO - 24 Radiation Model, Turc Method and FAO-56 Penman-Monteith method to suggest the most
appropriate method of reference ET estimation for Mohanpur area. The estimated ETo values by different
methods were compared with the ETo values estimated by FAO-56 Penman-Monteith method which was
considered as the standard method of reference ET estimation and the most reliable ET estimation method for
the study area was suggested.
II MATERIALS AND METHODS
2.1 Study area description
The study site is located at Bidhan Chandra Krishi Viswavidyalaya, Mohanpur, Nadia, West Bengal at
latitude 230
30N, longitude 890
E and at an elevation of 9.75m above the mean sea level (MSL). It has
humid climate with an average rainfall of 1400 mm, approximately 75% of which occurs during the
month of June to September due to onset of southwest monsoon. The mean temperature, relative
humidity and bright sunshine hours of the study area vary from 8 0
C to 400
C, 30 to 95% and 6.94 to
6.97, respectively.
2.2 Data collection
Daily data of maximum temperature, minimum temperature, wind speed, sunshine hour, maximum
RH(%), minimum RH(%) for 10 years period (1st
January 2006-31st
December 2015) for the study site
were collected from “Department of Agricultural Meteorology and Physics”, Bidhan Chandra Krishi
Viswavidyalaya, Mohanpur, Nadia, West Bengal.
2.3 Description of ET estimation methods
In the present study, daily ETo values were estimated using seven different ETo estimation methods.
Three temperature based methods namely, Blaney-Criddle method, Thornthwaite method and
Hargreaves-Samani model were considered in the present study. Blaney-Criddle method requires
monthly temperature data which can be estimated from daily temperature data. It also requires
monthly percentage of annual day light hours which can be calculated from the latitude of the place.
The other two temperature based methods, i.e., Thornthwaite method and Hargreaves-Samani model
also require information on temperature and location of that particular place. The three radiation based
methods considered in the present study are Turc method, Priestly-Taylor model, and FAO-24
Radiation Model. Evapotranspiration was also estimated using FAO-56 Penman-Monteith method.
This method is based on sound physical principles considering both the mass transfer and energy
transfer approaches of evapotranspiration estimation. In the present study, ETo calculated by FAO-56
Penman-Monteith method were taken as standard reference evapotranspiration value for the location
for various comparative analysis and selection of most suitable method of ETo estimation for the study
area. The methods used in the present study are briefly described in the following sections.
2.4Temperature based methods
a) Blaney-Criddle Model
Blaney-Criddle [11] (1950) formula is purely empirical formula based on data from arid western
United States. This formula assumes that the potential evapotranspiration (PET) is related to hours of
sunshine and temperature, which are taken as measures of solar radiation at an area. The reference
evapotranspiration in a crop-growing season is given by
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Where, ET0= reference evapotranspiration (cm); P= monthly % of annual day-time hours, depends on
the latitude of the place; t = daily average temperature (0
C).
b) Thornthwaite Model
Thornthwaite [12] (1948) correlated mean monthly temperature with ET as determined by east-central
United States water balance studies. The Thornthwaite equation is:
Where, ET0 in cm ; La= adjustment of no. of day light hours and days in the month ; is the
meanmonthly air temperature in 0
c , It total 12 monthly values of heat index and can be estimated by
the following equation
I t=
Where, ;
c) Hargreaves - Samani model
Hargreaves and Samani [13] (1985) proposed an equation for estimating grass-related reference ET.
Since solar radiation data are not frequently available, this method estimates ET0 from extraterrestrial
radiation and mean monthly maximum and minimum temperatures as follows:
Where, TD is the difference between mean daily maximum and minimum temperatures (°C); and RA is
the extraterrestrial solar radiation (MJ m2
d1
).
2.5 Radiation based methods
a) Turc model
Turc (1961) [14] proposed the following equations for estimating evapotranspiration for two humidity
conditions:
For RHmean>50%
For RHmean 50%
Where, is the solar radiation in cal/cm2
/day; Where, Rs is the solar radiation in
MJ/m2
/day; RHmean(%) and λ is the latent heat of vaporization MJ/kg;
b) FAO - 24 Radiation Model
Doorenbos and Pruitt [15] (1977) proposed a radiation based approach of estimating
evapotranspiration which is known as FAO - 24 Radiation model. The development of this model is
based on an earliar evapotranspiration estimtion method develpoed by Makkink [16].
Where, a= -0.3; b is an adjustment factor
.
Where, RHmean is the mean relative humidity (%); ud is the day time wind speed(m/s); RS is the solar
radiation.
c) Priestly and Taylor model
Priestly and Taylor [17] (1972) suggested an evapotranspiration estimation model for wet surface area
which is the key condition for potential evapotranspiration. The equation can be expressed as:
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Where, Δ is slope of saturation vapor pressure-temperature curve (kPa/ºC), it can be calculated if Tmean
values are known using Teten’s expression as:
2
0
)3.237(
4098
mean
mean
T
e
Where, eo
mean is saturation vapor pressure at mean temperature (kPa); γ is Psychometric constant
(kPa/ºC); Rn is Net Radiation (MJ/m2
/day); α is short wave reflectance or albedo and its value is taken
as 0.25; G is heat flux density to the ground (MJ/m2
/day).
2.6 Combination of temperature and radiation based method
a) FAO-56 Penman-Monteith method:
FAO-56 Penman-Monteith method is considered as a sole standard method for the computation of
ET0 from meteorological data. This model contains energy balance term, aerodynamic term, and
surface resistance. It is expressed as [1]:
where, ET0 = reference evapotranspiration (mm/day); Rn= net radiation at the crop surface
(MJ/m2
/day); G = soil heat flux density (MJ/m2
/day); T = mean daily air temperature at 2 meter height
(0
c); u2 = wind speed at 2 meter height (m/sec); es= saturation vapour pressure (kPa); ea= actual
vapour pressure (kPa); Δ = slope of vapour pressure curve (kPa/0
c); γ = psychometric constant
(kPa/0
c).
2.7 Statistical Evaluation
In order to select the most appropriate method of ETo estimation for the study area the performances
of the different ETo estimation techniques were evaluated by comparing the output values of the
different methods with that of the FAO-56 PM estimated reference ET using standard error of
estimates (SEE). The following equation was used to estimate SEE.
1
)(
1
2
n
xy
SEE
n
i ii
Further, the performances of the six models were compared with the standard method (FAO-56 PM)
using coefficient of correlation (R2
). The method which had provided the lowest SEE and the highest
coefficient of correlation (R2
) was selected as the best method. The various methods were also ranked
based on the SEE values.
III RESULTS AND DISCUSSIONS
The mean daily ET0 values for different months estimated by the seven reference evapotranspiration
estimation methods as discussed in the section above for the study area are given in Table 1. The data
is represented graphically in Figure 1.
Table 1: Mean daily ET0 values estimated using seven ET0 estimation methods
Month Temeparature based method Radiation based method
Combination
method
Blaney-Criddle Thornthwaite
Hargreaves-
Samani
Priestly-
Taylor
FAO-24
Radiation
Turc FAO-PM
Jan 3.72 0.88 4.43 4.3 4.22 3.95 3.7
Feb 5.3 1.87 4.93 5.03 5.15 4.55 4.39
Mar 5.53 4.1 5.51 5.64 5.6 4.87 5.07
Apr 6.32 6.73 5.52 6.07 5.6 5.01 5.68
May 5.65 7.32 5.18 5.72 5.21 4.71 5.3
Jun 3.94 7.53 4.63 5.72 3.82 3.94 4.27
Jul 3.04 6.73 4.25 4.33 3.2 3.63 3.78
Aug 3.26 6.3 4.08 4.51 3.46 3.79 3.87
Sep 3.94 5.86 4.33 4.9 3.78 4.11 4.14
Oct 4.67 4.46 4.62 5.43 4.69 4.62 4.53
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Figure. 1 Comparison of ETo estimates of different methods with FAO-PM method
In general, the ETo values at Mohanpur, Nadia district, West Bengal, India are in the range of 3.5
mm/day to 5.0 mm/day. The peak values are found in March to May as the temperature is high during
this period. On the other hand, the least ETo values are observed in the months of November-
December. The monthly pattern produced by different methods is not similar. The Thornthwaite
method showed a different pattern than the other methods as Thornthwaite method is totally a
temperature based method. Blaney-Criddle method, Turc method and FAO-24 Radiation method
showed almost similar ETo values. The overall mean ET0 estimated by Priestly-Taylor Method was
slightly higher (5.13 mm/day) than that computed by other methods. It is apparent from Fig. 1 that
monthly ETo values estimated by all the methods (except Thornthwaite method) show almost same
trend throughout the year, i.e., ETo values decreases during the months of June, July, August and
September, which comprise the peak monsoon months with high relative humidity, low wind speed
and lower temperature. ETo values also show a decreasing trend during winter months (of November,
December and January) (but more than monsoon months) with low temperature causing low
evaporation rates as shown in Fig. 1. Fig. 1 also reveals that Thornthwaite method overestimate the
ETo values during the high temperature months as this method is solely depends on temperature.
3.1Comparison of six ET0 estimation methods with FAO-Penman Monteith method
The accuracy and reliability of the six different ETo estimation methods were assessed by comparing
the outputs of the different models with that of the reference ET estimates by FAO-Penman method
using SEE and regression analysis. The estimated values of SEE and R2
are presented in Table 2. The
graphical representations of regression relationship of the ETo estimates by six different methods with
the ETo estimates by FAO-56 PM method are presented in Figure. 2 a-f. From the Table 2 it is clear
that among the temperature based methods Thornthwaite method gives lowest R2
value and highest
error values, whereas, Blaney-Criddle and Hargreaves-Samani merthod gave the coefficient of
correlation as well as the error values in the close range. On the other hand, among the radiation
based methods, Turc method gives less SEE and Priestly-Taylor method gives highest R2
value. Less
the standard error more closest the value with respect to the standard value (here ETo calculated by
FAO-Penman-Monteith equation), so based on standard error estimation Turc method was found most
close to FAO 56-Penman-Monteith method in Mohanpur, and Thornthwaite method performed poor
as compared to FAO-Penman-Monteith method.
Nov 4.89 2.49 4.9 5.38 4.98 4.75 4.53
Dec 3.64 1.12 4.6 4.52 4.3 4.16 3.84
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Table 2: Statistical analysis between ET0 estimates by Penman-Monteith method and other models under study.
Figure 2 (a) to (f) Regression relationship between FAO-Penman Monteith method and different ET estimation
methods considered in the study.
IV CONCLUSIONS
An attempt was made to identify the most suitable method for estimation of evapotranspiration for
Mohanpur area, Nadia district using six well known reference evapotranspiration (ETo) estimation
methods by comparing the ETo estimates by FAO-56 method, which was considered as the standard
method in absence of reliable field data. The results of the study reveals that, the ETo values for
Mohanpur, Nadia district, West Bengal, India are in the range of 3.5 mm/day to 5.0 mm/day. The
mean daily ETo values estimated by all the methods (except Thornthwaite method) showed almost
same trend throughout the year, i.e., a decreasing trend during the months of June, July, August and
September, which comprised the peak monsoon months with high relative humidity, low wind speed
and lower temperature. ETo values also showed a decreasing trend during winter months (of
November, December and January) (but more than monsoon months) with low temperature causing
low evaporation rates. The peak values are found in March-May as the temperature is high during this
period. Blaney-Criddle method, Turc method and FAO - 24 Radiation method showed almost equal
ETo for all months. The overall mean ETo estimated by Pristly-Taylor Method was slightly higher
(5.13mm/day) than that computed by other methods. A ranking of different methods based on SEE
revealed Turc method as the closer method to FAO 56 Penman-Monteith method in Mohanpur, and
Thornthwaite method performed poor as compared to FAO-Penman-Monteith method.
Statistical
Parameters
Temperature Based Methods Radiation Based Methods
Thornthw
aite
Hargreaves-
Samani
Blaney-
Criddle
Turc
FAO-24
Radiation
Priestly-
Taylor
SEE 2.34 0.45 0.51 0.33 0.47 0.79
R2
(linear) 0.12 0.82 0.88 0.77 0.69 0.81
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V ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
Authors gratefully acknowledge the Physics and Meteorological Department, BCKV, Mohanpur,
Nadia, for providing the necessary data for the study.
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