This document evaluates the performance of 20 radiation-based equations for estimating reference evapotranspiration (ET0) against the FAO Penman-Monteith method using 24 years of weather data from Pantnagar, India. The FAO24-Radiation method provided ET0 values that most closely matched the FAO Penman-Monteith method based on agreement index and RMSE values on daily, weekly, and monthly timescales. The Castaneda-Rao method estimated ET0 values that were almost equal to the FAO Penman-Monteith values. Overall, the FAO24-Radiation method performed the best among the 20 radiation-based equations evaluated for the sub-humid climate
Effects of Wind Direction on VOC Concentrations in Southeast KansasSergio A. Guerra
Twenty-four-hour whole-air samples were collected in evacuated stainless steel canisters and analyzed for volatile organic compounds (VOC) at selected sites in southeast Kansas from March 1999 to October 2000. The purpose was to assess the influence on air quality of four industrial facilities that burn hazardous waste located in the communities of Coffeyville, Chanute, Independence and Fredonia. Fifteen of the VOC analytes were found at concentrations above the detection limit and above levels observed in the blanks. Data were analyzed to investigate whether sampling site and date had a significant effect on VOC concentration. Results indicate that site and/or date were significant factors for many of the VOCs. To further investigate the temporal factor, sampling days were divided into four classifications based on wind direction: predominantly north winds, predominantly south winds, calm/variable winds and
other winds. Results from statistical analyses show that wind direction was a significant factor for benzene, toluene, o-xylene, naphthalene, and carbon tetrachloride. Data from upwind and downwind samples were analyzed for the four cities of interest in the study area, to investigate the effect of the four targeted sources on VOC concentrations. Results from Fredonia showed higher concentrations of toluene, ethyl benzene, styrene, methyl chloride, and trichloroethylene in the upwind samples, although none of the results were statistically significant. Chanute also showed higher concentrations of the same compounds and m,p-xylene in the upwind samples; results were significant at the 0.05 level for toluene, ethylbenzene, and xylene. These results indicate that sources other than those targeted in the sampling network may be contributing to
the VOC levels. Results from Independence showed higher concentrations of ethylebenzene and styrene in the downwind samples; results were statistically significant. These results indicate that the source targeted in the sampling network may be contributing to the VOC levels at those sampling sites.
Effects of Wind Direction on VOC Concentrations in Southeast KansasSergio A. Guerra
Twenty-four-hour whole-air samples were collected in evacuated stainless steel canisters and analyzed for volatile organic compounds (VOC) at selected sites in southeast Kansas from March 1999 to October 2000. The purpose was to assess the influence on air quality of four industrial facilities that burn hazardous waste located in the communities of Coffeyville, Chanute, Independence and Fredonia. Fifteen of the VOC analytes were found at concentrations above the detection limit and above levels observed in the blanks. Data were analyzed to investigate whether sampling site and date had a significant effect on VOC concentration. Results indicate that site and/or date were significant factors for many of the VOCs. To further investigate the temporal factor, sampling days were divided into four classifications based on wind direction: predominantly north winds, predominantly south winds, calm/variable winds and
other winds. Results from statistical analyses show that wind direction was a significant factor for benzene, toluene, o-xylene, naphthalene, and carbon tetrachloride. Data from upwind and downwind samples were analyzed for the four cities of interest in the study area, to investigate the effect of the four targeted sources on VOC concentrations. Results from Fredonia showed higher concentrations of toluene, ethyl benzene, styrene, methyl chloride, and trichloroethylene in the upwind samples, although none of the results were statistically significant. Chanute also showed higher concentrations of the same compounds and m,p-xylene in the upwind samples; results were significant at the 0.05 level for toluene, ethylbenzene, and xylene. These results indicate that sources other than those targeted in the sampling network may be contributing to
the VOC levels. Results from Independence showed higher concentrations of ethylebenzene and styrene in the downwind samples; results were statistically significant. These results indicate that the source targeted in the sampling network may be contributing to the VOC levels at those sampling sites.
ALTERNATE METHOD TO COMBINE MONITORED AND PREDICTED CONCENTRATIONS IN DISPERS...Sergio A. Guerra
The advent of the short term NAAQS has prompted us to reassess the level of conservatism commonly used in dispersion modeling analyses. An area of conservatism in NAAQS demonstrations relates to the combining of predicted (modeled) concentrations from AERMOD with observed (monitored) concentrations. Normally, some of the highest monitored observations are combined with AERMOD results yielding a very conservative total concentration. For example, in the case of the 1-hour NO2 NAAQS, the chances of the 98th percentile monitored concentration occurring at the same time as the meteorology to generate the 98th percentile ambient concentration is extremely low. Therefore, assuming that both of these happen at the same time is overly conservative.
This presentation includes justification for the use of a reasonable background concentration to combine with the AERMOD predicted concentration. The use of this method, if accepted by regulatory agencies, can help facilities demonstrate compliance in dispersion modeling analyses by assuming a more reasonable background concentration while, at the same time being protective of the NAAQS.
Pairing aermod concentrations with the 50th percentile monitored valueSergio A. Guerra
Presentation delivered to the Background Concentrations Workgroup for Air Dispersion Modeling organized by the Minnesota Pollution Control Agency. delivered on March 25, 2014. Three topics covered include 1) Screening monitoring data, 2) AERMOD’s time-space mismatch, and
3) Proposed 50th % Bkg Method
Advanced Modeling Techniques for Permit Modeling - Turning challenges into o...Sergio A. Guerra
Advance modeling techniques can be used in AERMOD to refine the inputs that are entered in the model to get more accurate results. This presentation covers:
-AERMOD’s Temporal Mismatch Limitation
-Building Downwash Limitations in BPIP/PRIME
-Advanced Modeling Techniques to Overcome these Limitations
Solutions include:
Equivalent Building Dimensions (EBD)
Emission Variability Processor (EMVAP)
Updated ambient ratio method (ARM2)
Pairing AERMOD values with the 50th % background concentrations in cumulative analyses.
Analyzing the rainfall and temperature influence on municipal water consumpti...eSAT Publishing House
IJRET : International Journal of Research in Engineering and Technology is an international peer reviewed, online journal published by eSAT Publishing House for the enhancement of research in various disciplines of Engineering and Technology. The aim and scope of the journal is to provide an academic medium and an important reference for the advancement and dissemination of research results that support high-level learning, teaching and research in the fields of Engineering and Technology. We bring together Scientists, Academician, Field Engineers, Scholars and Students of related fields of Engineering and Technology
The ventilation effectiveness in animal buildings can be determined by measuring the concentrations of particulate matter and gases at selected locations inside the building, upstream of the exhaust fans, and at the air inlet. A general guideline for measuring ventilation effectiveness in animal buildings was developed from this project .
Maximum Power Point Tracking using Particle Swarm Optimization Algorithm for ...IJECEIAES
This paper proposes a hybrid wind-tidal harvesting system (HWTHS). To extract maximum power from the wind and tidal, HWTHS implements particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithm in maximum power point tracking (MPPT) method. The proposed HWTHS had been tested on the range of possible input appropriate to the characteristics of the southern coast of Java. The presented result shows that by using PSO-based MPPT algorithm, maximum power point can be achieved. Thus the efficiency of HWTHS is 92 %, 94 % in wind section and 91 % in tidal section. By using PSO-based MPPT, HWTHS can respond well to changes in wind and tidal speed, whether it's a change from low speed to a higher speed or change from high speed to lower speed wherein time to reach new steady state is ± 0.1 s. At varied wind and tidal speed, PSO algorithm can maintain Cp of the system in the range of 0.47 - 0.48 so that power can be extracted to the maximum.
Particulate matter from open lot dairies and cattle feeding: recent developmentsLPE Learning Center
The full proceedings paper is at: http://www.extension.org/72731
The research community is making good progress in understanding the mechanical, biochemical, and atmospheric processes that are responsible for airborne emissions of particulate matter (PM, or dust) from open-lot livestock production, especially dairies and cattle feedyards. Recent studies in Texas, Kansas, Nebraska, Colorado, California, and Australia have expanded the available data on both emission rates and abatement measures. Although the uncertainties associated with our estimates of fugitive emissions are still unacceptably high, we have learned from our recent experience with ammonia that using a wide variety of credible measurement techniques, rather than focusing on one so-called “standard” technique, may be the better way to improve confidence in our estimates. Whereas the most promising control measures for gaseous emissions continue to be dietary strategies with management of corral-surface moisture a close second for particulate matter, corral-surface management and moisture management play comparable roles, depending on the mechanical strength of soils and the availability of water, respectively. The cost per unit reduction of emitted mass attributable to these abatement measures varies as widely as the emissions estimates themselves, so we need to intensify our emphasis on process-based emissions research to (a) reduce the variances in our emissions estimates and (b) mitigate the contingency of prior, empirically based estimates. As a general rule, although cattle feedyard emission factors may be thought a reasonable starting point for estimating emissions from open-lot dairies, such estimates should be viewed with suspicion.
Possible limits of accuracy in measurement of fundamental physical constantsirjes
The measurement uncertainties of Fundamental Physical Constants should take into account all
possible and most influencing factors. One from them is the finiteness of the model that causes the existence of
a-priori error. The proposed formula for calculation of this error provides a comparison of its value with the
actual experimental measurement error that cannot be done an arbitrarily small. According to the suggested
approach, the error of the researched Fundamental Physical Constant, measured in conventional field studies,
will always be higher than the error caused by the finite number of dimensional recorded variables of physicalmathematical
models. Examples of practical application of the considered concept for measurement of fine
structure constant, speed of light and Newtonian constant of gravitation are discussed.
DEVELOPING THE OPTIMIZED OCEAN CURRENT STRENGTHENING DESALINATION SEMI-PERMEA...ijbesjournal
Alongside improvements in desalination operation and development of new technologies, problems of weakened counter current and global warming have emerged. Therefore, our study suggests a new desalination model, based on the experimental Support Vector Machine (SVM) algorithm, for semipermeable membrane separation. First, the reverse osmosis (RO) process used semi-permeable membrane and osmotic pressure to remove the solutes dissolved in seawater and obtain pure freshwater. The desalination process also applied MSF and MED, which are the best technologies developed through elimination of various problems that were previously experienced. This research is directed towards suggesting a model that can effectively create the semi-permeable membrane used in the desalination process. To efficiently prevent a counter current and safely obtain the water resources, an innovative technology is suggested by applying Genetic Algorithm (GA) to the SVM model for the semi-p
Comparative Calibration Method Between two Different Wavelengths With Aureole...Waqas Tariq
A multi-stage method for calibration of sunphotometer is proposed by combining comparison calibration method between two different wavelengths with aureole observation method for long wavelength calibration. Its effectiveness in reducing the influences for calibration due to molecular and aerosolfs extinction in the unstable turbidity conditions is clarified. By comparing the calculated results with the proposed method and the existing individually calibration method, it is found that the proposed method is superior to the existing method in terms of calibration accuracy. Namely, Through a comparison between ILM and the proposed method using band 0.87um as reference, the largest calibration errors are 0.0014, 0.0428 by PM are lower than that by ILM (0.011,0.0489) for sky radiances with no error and -3~+3%, -5~+5% errors. By analyzing the observation data of 15 days with POM-1 Skyradiometer, the largest standard deviation of calibration constants by PM is 0.02016, and is lower than that by ILM (0.03858).
This paper presents optimization of condenser water loop in Heating, Ventilation and
Air Conditioning (HVAC) systems using Artificial Co-operative Search (ACS) algorithm. Condenser
water loop has various components like cooling tower, chiller, fans and pumps. Set points for this
optimization are air and water flow rates, supply water temperature, wet and ambient bulb temperature.
Energy cost obtained by multi objective optimization developed in this paper. ACS based approach is
based methodology is equipped for taking care of the improvement issue In Comparison with the routine
strategies, this technique can possibility of considerable decrease in the operating cost.
Some possible interpretations from data of the CODALEMA experimentAhmed Ammar Rebai PhD
The purpose of the CODALEMA experiment, installed at the Nan\c{c}ay Radio Observatory (France), is to study the radio-detection of ultra-high energy cosmic rays in the energy range of 10^{16}-10^{18} eV. Distributed over an area of 0.25 km^2, the original device uses in coincidence an array of particle detectors and an array of short antennas, with a centralized acquisition. A new analysis of the observable in energy for radio is presented from this system, taking into account the geomagnetic effect. Since 2011, a new array of radio-detectors, consisting of 60 stand-alone and self-triggered stations, is being deployed over an area of 1.5 km^2 around the initial configuration. This new development leads to specific constraints to be discussed in term of recognition of cosmic rays and in term of analysis of wave-front.
ALTERNATE METHOD TO COMBINE MONITORED AND PREDICTED CONCENTRATIONS IN DISPERS...Sergio A. Guerra
The advent of the short term NAAQS has prompted us to reassess the level of conservatism commonly used in dispersion modeling analyses. An area of conservatism in NAAQS demonstrations relates to the combining of predicted (modeled) concentrations from AERMOD with observed (monitored) concentrations. Normally, some of the highest monitored observations are combined with AERMOD results yielding a very conservative total concentration. For example, in the case of the 1-hour NO2 NAAQS, the chances of the 98th percentile monitored concentration occurring at the same time as the meteorology to generate the 98th percentile ambient concentration is extremely low. Therefore, assuming that both of these happen at the same time is overly conservative.
This presentation includes justification for the use of a reasonable background concentration to combine with the AERMOD predicted concentration. The use of this method, if accepted by regulatory agencies, can help facilities demonstrate compliance in dispersion modeling analyses by assuming a more reasonable background concentration while, at the same time being protective of the NAAQS.
Pairing aermod concentrations with the 50th percentile monitored valueSergio A. Guerra
Presentation delivered to the Background Concentrations Workgroup for Air Dispersion Modeling organized by the Minnesota Pollution Control Agency. delivered on March 25, 2014. Three topics covered include 1) Screening monitoring data, 2) AERMOD’s time-space mismatch, and
3) Proposed 50th % Bkg Method
Advanced Modeling Techniques for Permit Modeling - Turning challenges into o...Sergio A. Guerra
Advance modeling techniques can be used in AERMOD to refine the inputs that are entered in the model to get more accurate results. This presentation covers:
-AERMOD’s Temporal Mismatch Limitation
-Building Downwash Limitations in BPIP/PRIME
-Advanced Modeling Techniques to Overcome these Limitations
Solutions include:
Equivalent Building Dimensions (EBD)
Emission Variability Processor (EMVAP)
Updated ambient ratio method (ARM2)
Pairing AERMOD values with the 50th % background concentrations in cumulative analyses.
Analyzing the rainfall and temperature influence on municipal water consumpti...eSAT Publishing House
IJRET : International Journal of Research in Engineering and Technology is an international peer reviewed, online journal published by eSAT Publishing House for the enhancement of research in various disciplines of Engineering and Technology. The aim and scope of the journal is to provide an academic medium and an important reference for the advancement and dissemination of research results that support high-level learning, teaching and research in the fields of Engineering and Technology. We bring together Scientists, Academician, Field Engineers, Scholars and Students of related fields of Engineering and Technology
The ventilation effectiveness in animal buildings can be determined by measuring the concentrations of particulate matter and gases at selected locations inside the building, upstream of the exhaust fans, and at the air inlet. A general guideline for measuring ventilation effectiveness in animal buildings was developed from this project .
Maximum Power Point Tracking using Particle Swarm Optimization Algorithm for ...IJECEIAES
This paper proposes a hybrid wind-tidal harvesting system (HWTHS). To extract maximum power from the wind and tidal, HWTHS implements particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithm in maximum power point tracking (MPPT) method. The proposed HWTHS had been tested on the range of possible input appropriate to the characteristics of the southern coast of Java. The presented result shows that by using PSO-based MPPT algorithm, maximum power point can be achieved. Thus the efficiency of HWTHS is 92 %, 94 % in wind section and 91 % in tidal section. By using PSO-based MPPT, HWTHS can respond well to changes in wind and tidal speed, whether it's a change from low speed to a higher speed or change from high speed to lower speed wherein time to reach new steady state is ± 0.1 s. At varied wind and tidal speed, PSO algorithm can maintain Cp of the system in the range of 0.47 - 0.48 so that power can be extracted to the maximum.
Particulate matter from open lot dairies and cattle feeding: recent developmentsLPE Learning Center
The full proceedings paper is at: http://www.extension.org/72731
The research community is making good progress in understanding the mechanical, biochemical, and atmospheric processes that are responsible for airborne emissions of particulate matter (PM, or dust) from open-lot livestock production, especially dairies and cattle feedyards. Recent studies in Texas, Kansas, Nebraska, Colorado, California, and Australia have expanded the available data on both emission rates and abatement measures. Although the uncertainties associated with our estimates of fugitive emissions are still unacceptably high, we have learned from our recent experience with ammonia that using a wide variety of credible measurement techniques, rather than focusing on one so-called “standard” technique, may be the better way to improve confidence in our estimates. Whereas the most promising control measures for gaseous emissions continue to be dietary strategies with management of corral-surface moisture a close second for particulate matter, corral-surface management and moisture management play comparable roles, depending on the mechanical strength of soils and the availability of water, respectively. The cost per unit reduction of emitted mass attributable to these abatement measures varies as widely as the emissions estimates themselves, so we need to intensify our emphasis on process-based emissions research to (a) reduce the variances in our emissions estimates and (b) mitigate the contingency of prior, empirically based estimates. As a general rule, although cattle feedyard emission factors may be thought a reasonable starting point for estimating emissions from open-lot dairies, such estimates should be viewed with suspicion.
Possible limits of accuracy in measurement of fundamental physical constantsirjes
The measurement uncertainties of Fundamental Physical Constants should take into account all
possible and most influencing factors. One from them is the finiteness of the model that causes the existence of
a-priori error. The proposed formula for calculation of this error provides a comparison of its value with the
actual experimental measurement error that cannot be done an arbitrarily small. According to the suggested
approach, the error of the researched Fundamental Physical Constant, measured in conventional field studies,
will always be higher than the error caused by the finite number of dimensional recorded variables of physicalmathematical
models. Examples of practical application of the considered concept for measurement of fine
structure constant, speed of light and Newtonian constant of gravitation are discussed.
DEVELOPING THE OPTIMIZED OCEAN CURRENT STRENGTHENING DESALINATION SEMI-PERMEA...ijbesjournal
Alongside improvements in desalination operation and development of new technologies, problems of weakened counter current and global warming have emerged. Therefore, our study suggests a new desalination model, based on the experimental Support Vector Machine (SVM) algorithm, for semipermeable membrane separation. First, the reverse osmosis (RO) process used semi-permeable membrane and osmotic pressure to remove the solutes dissolved in seawater and obtain pure freshwater. The desalination process also applied MSF and MED, which are the best technologies developed through elimination of various problems that were previously experienced. This research is directed towards suggesting a model that can effectively create the semi-permeable membrane used in the desalination process. To efficiently prevent a counter current and safely obtain the water resources, an innovative technology is suggested by applying Genetic Algorithm (GA) to the SVM model for the semi-p
Comparative Calibration Method Between two Different Wavelengths With Aureole...Waqas Tariq
A multi-stage method for calibration of sunphotometer is proposed by combining comparison calibration method between two different wavelengths with aureole observation method for long wavelength calibration. Its effectiveness in reducing the influences for calibration due to molecular and aerosolfs extinction in the unstable turbidity conditions is clarified. By comparing the calculated results with the proposed method and the existing individually calibration method, it is found that the proposed method is superior to the existing method in terms of calibration accuracy. Namely, Through a comparison between ILM and the proposed method using band 0.87um as reference, the largest calibration errors are 0.0014, 0.0428 by PM are lower than that by ILM (0.011,0.0489) for sky radiances with no error and -3~+3%, -5~+5% errors. By analyzing the observation data of 15 days with POM-1 Skyradiometer, the largest standard deviation of calibration constants by PM is 0.02016, and is lower than that by ILM (0.03858).
This paper presents optimization of condenser water loop in Heating, Ventilation and
Air Conditioning (HVAC) systems using Artificial Co-operative Search (ACS) algorithm. Condenser
water loop has various components like cooling tower, chiller, fans and pumps. Set points for this
optimization are air and water flow rates, supply water temperature, wet and ambient bulb temperature.
Energy cost obtained by multi objective optimization developed in this paper. ACS based approach is
based methodology is equipped for taking care of the improvement issue In Comparison with the routine
strategies, this technique can possibility of considerable decrease in the operating cost.
Some possible interpretations from data of the CODALEMA experimentAhmed Ammar Rebai PhD
The purpose of the CODALEMA experiment, installed at the Nan\c{c}ay Radio Observatory (France), is to study the radio-detection of ultra-high energy cosmic rays in the energy range of 10^{16}-10^{18} eV. Distributed over an area of 0.25 km^2, the original device uses in coincidence an array of particle detectors and an array of short antennas, with a centralized acquisition. A new analysis of the observable in energy for radio is presented from this system, taking into account the geomagnetic effect. Since 2011, a new array of radio-detectors, consisting of 60 stand-alone and self-triggered stations, is being deployed over an area of 1.5 km^2 around the initial configuration. This new development leads to specific constraints to be discussed in term of recognition of cosmic rays and in term of analysis of wave-front.
Comparative evaluation of different potential evapotranspiration estimation a...eSAT Publishing House
IJRET : International Journal of Research in Engineering and Technology is an international peer reviewed, online journal published by eSAT Publishing House for the enhancement of research in various disciplines of Engineering and Technology. The aim and scope of the journal is to provide an academic medium and an important reference for the advancement and dissemination of research results that support high-level learning, teaching and research in the fields of Engineering and Technology. We bring together Scientists, Academician, Field Engineers, Scholars and Students of related fields of Engineering and Technology.
Comparison of Different Evapotranspiration Estimation Techniques for Mohanpur...ijceronline
The accurate estimation of reference evapotranspiration (ETo) plays a pivotal role in water resources planning and management studies. The present study was attempted to estimate the reference evapotranspiration (ETo) using three temperature based methods namely, Blaney-Criddle method, Thornthwaite method and Hargreaves-Samani model and three radiation based methods namely, Turc method, Priestly-Taylor model, and FAO - 24 Radiation Model for Mohanpur area, Nadia district, West Bengal. ET estimates of the above mentioned methods were then compared with FAO Penman - Monteith (FAO-56 PM) method, which was considered as the standard method of ETo estimation, to check the capabilities of different models to predict ETo for the study area. The present analysis was carried out using 10-years daily weather data of Mohanpur weather station. The results of the study revealed that, the ETo values at Mohanpur, Nadia district, West Bengal, India were in the range of 3.5 mm/day to 5.0 mm/day. A rank was assigned to different methods based on the comparative analysis of different ETo estimation methods with FAO-56 PM method and it could be inferred that Turc method as the closest method and Thornthwaite method as the least-matched method to FAO 56 Penman-Monteith for the study area
Comparative study of evaluation of evapotranspiration methods and calculation...eSAT Journals
Abstract
Accurate estimation of evapotranspiration is necessary step in water resources management. Evapotranspiration varies spatially and temporally. Recently, the Food and Agricultural Organisation has suggested FAO-56 PM method (modified PM method) as a standard method for calculating reference evapotranspiration (ET0), because this method is applicable to all types of season and different climates and gives more accurate result when compared with the physical methods like Lysimeter and Class A Pan. FAO-56 PM method cannot be debated by any other old methods which require less data for calculating ET0. But FAO-56 PM requires very large amount of meteorological data, which is not available at full climate stations. So there is need to find out the next best suitable method after FAO-56 PM method, which will give ETo results nearer to FAO-56 PM method. Here seven different methods are considered for present study, which are radiation based, temperature based and combine parameters based (FAO-56 modified Penman Monteith, FAO-24 Penman Monteith, FAO-56 Hargreaves, Turc, Thornthwaite, Blaney-Criddle, Priestley Taylor are the methods). Chaskaman dam and its left bank canal is selected for this project. The objective of the project work is to calculate daily, monthly and yearly reference ET0 using modified PM equations for ‘left bank canal of Chaskaman dam and its command area’. Further ETc (crop evapotranspiration/crop water requirement) will be calculated for that command area.
Keywords - Penman Monteith, Hargreaves, Turc, Thornthwaite, Blaney- Criddle, Priestley Taylor, evapotranspiration, crop water requirements
4 Review on Different Evapotranspiration Empirical EquationsINFOGAIN PUBLICATION
For optimal design and management of hydrologic balance and scheduling irrigation models, the need to measure Evapotranspiration is of great importance. It helps in predicting when and how much water is required for any particular irrigation scheme. Reference Evapotranspiration is a standard nomenclature defined by FAO to provide a reference frame although it is not a full proof equation. Several scientists have developed multiple equations based of three primary directions viz. temperature based methods, radiation based methods and mass – transfer methods. Here in this paper, we have carried out a review on most of the popular equations and the objective is to elucidate the advantages and drawbacks each one of them register when put into use. The reference equation for standardization considered here is FAO 56 Penman Montheith equation. Thirty other equations from the three schools have been analysed here. Statistical Regression Analysis methods and coefficient of determination (R2), Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) and index of agreement (d) are the analytical parameters those are to be used while estimating their acceptance in evaluating the throughputs
Estimation of Weekly Reference Evapotranspiration using Linear Regression and...IDES Editor
The study investigates the applicability of linear
regression and ANN models for estimating weekly reference
evapotranspiration (ET0) at Tirupati, Nellore, Rajahmundry,
Anakapalli and Rajendranagar regions of Andhra Pradesh.
The climatic parameters influencing ET0 were identified
through multiple and partial correlation analysis. The
sunshine, temperature, wind velocity and relative humidity
mostly influenced the study area in the weekly ET0 estimation.
Linear regression models in terms of the climatic parameters
influencing the regions and, optimal neural network
architectures considering these climatic parameters as inputs
were developed. The models’ performance was evaluated with
respect to ET0 estimated by FAO-56 Penman-Monteith method.
The linear regression models showed a satisfactory
performance in the weekly ET0 estimation in the regions
selected for the present study. The ANN (4,4,1) models,
however, consistently showed a slightly improved performance
over linear regression models.
EVALUATION OF REFERENCE EVAPOTRANSPIRATION ESTIMATION METHODS AND DEVELOPMENT...IAEME Publication
This study is an attempt to find best alternative method to estimate reference evapotranspiration (ETo) for the Nagarjuna Sagar Reservoir Project [NSRP], command area located at Andhra Pradesh, India. When input climatic parameters are insufficient to apply standard Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO) of the United Nations Penman–Monteith (P–M) method. To identify the best alternative climatic based method that yield results closest to the P–M method, performances of four climate based methods namely Blaney–Criddle, Radiation, Modified Penman and Pan evaporation were compared with the FAO-56 Penman–Monteith method. Performances were evaluated using the statistical indices.
Development of Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System for Estimation of Evapot...ijsrd.com
The accuracy of an adaptive neurofuzzy computing technique in estimation of reference evapotranspiration (ETo) is investigated in this paper. The model is based on Adaptive Neurofuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) and uses commonly available weather information such as the daily climatic data, Maximum and Minimum Air Temperature, Relative Humidity, Wind Speed and Sunshine hours from station, Karjan (Latitude - 22°03'10.95"N, Longitude - 73°07'24.65"E), in Vadodara (Gujarat), are used as inputs to the neurofuzzy model to estimate ETo obtained using the FAO-56 Penman.Monteith equation. The daily meteorological data of two years from 2009 and 2010 at Karjan Takuka, Vadodara, are used to train the model, and the data in 2011 is used to predict the ETo in that year and to validate the model. The ETo in training period (Train- ETo) and the predicted results (Test-ETo) are compared with the ETo computed by Penman-Monteith method (PM-ETo) using "gDailyET" Software. The results indicate that the PM-ETo values are closely and linearly correlated with Train- ETo and Test- ETo with Root Mean Squared Error (RMSE) and showed the higher significances of the Train- ETo and Test- ETo. The results indict the feasibility of using the convenient model to resolve the problems of agriculture irrigation with intelligent algorithm, and more accurate weather forecast, appropriate membership function and suitable fuzzy rules.
1. International Journal of Research in Advent Technology, Vol. 3, No.6, June 2015
E-ISSN: 2321-9637
51
Performance of Radiation-Based Reference
Evapotranspiration Equations Vs FAO 56-PM Model
at Sub-Humid Region of Uttarakhand
Arvind Singh Tomar*
, Om Prakash Kumar
Department of Irrigation & Drainage Engineering, College of Technology,
Govind Ballabh Pant University of Agriculture & Technology, Pantnagar (Uttarakhand) 263145
* Corresponding Author, Email:arvindstomar@gmail.com
Abstract-In the present study, the comparative performance of 20 radiation-based equations for estimating
reference evapotranspiration (ET0) was statistically analyzed with reference to well proven Food and
Agriculture Organization Penman-Monteith (FAO-56 PM) model for sub-humid Pantnagar, located in the Tarai
region of Uttarakhand. The higher value of Agreement index of ET0 values obtained between FAO24-Radiation
and FAO-56 PM ET0 methods observed on different timescales endorses its appropriateness as well. The
Castaneda-Rao method gave ratio of ET0 method / ET0 FAO-56 PM almost equal to 1.00 at all timescales.
Index Terms-Radiation based; reference evapotranspiration; sub-humid.
1. INTRODUCTION
In India, about 70 percent population is dependent on
agriculture and allied activities. Due to inadequate and
uneven distribution of rainfall during crop growth
period, it becomes necessary to apply additional water
to the soil in the form of irrigation for plant use.In
order to improve crop water use efficiency, accurate
estimation of evapotranspiration (ET), the sum of
amount of water returned to atmosphere through
combined process of evaporation and transpiration, is
essentially required for efficient water management.
Lysimeter are normally used for measuring ET
directly by considering change in soil moisture from
known volume of soil covered with vegetation [1], but
its use is very expensive, takes more time to install
and requires more maintenance due to which ET is
estimated with the help of a large number of empirical
or semi-empirical formulae. A modification of ET
concept is reference evapotranspiration (ET0) that
provides a standard crop (a short, clipped grass) with
an unlimited water supply so that a user can calculate
maximum evaporative demand from that surface for a
given day. This value, adjusted for a particular crop, is
the consumptive use (or demand) and its deficit
represents that component of consumptive use that
goes unfilled during the given time period. This
deficit value is the amount of water that must be
supplied through irrigation to meet the water demand
of crops [2, 3].
The FAO Penman-Monteith (FAO-56 PM) method is
recommended as the standard method for determining
ET0 as it is physically based and explicitly
incorporates both physiological and aerodynamic
parameters. The superior performance of this method
in various climates has been evaluated and confirmed
by various researchers [3-8]. The method requires
solar radiation, wind speed, air temperature and
humidity data but all these input variables may not be
available for a given location due to non-availability
of well-established weather stations and thus, some
parameters are not recorded. Especially in developing
countries like India, quality of data and difficulties in
gathering all necessary weather parameters can
present serious limitations. The FAO Expert
Consultation on Methodologies for Crop Water
Requirements recommended that empirical methods
be validated for new regions using standard FAO-56
PM method [5, 6].
Keeping in view the relevance of precise ET0
estimation, an attempt has been made in the present
study to evaluate, decide and select alternative
radiation-based methods to get almost at par ET0
values (from observed climatic data) on daily, weekly
and monthly basis on the basis of their performance
with widely acclaimed FAO-56 PM method as an
index for Pantnagar, located in the sub-humid Tarai
region of Uttarakhand.
2. MATERIALS AND METHODS
Study area and weather dataset: The present study
was conducted to perform comparative analysis of
different radiation-based ET0 methods for Pantnagar
(79.49°E, 29.03°N, 243.80 m msl) on the basis of
24 years of daily meteorological dataset consisting of
temperature (maximum and minimum); relative
humidity (maximum and minimum) and duration of
actual sunshine hours. The required meteorological
dataset was obtained from Govind Ballabh Pant
2. International Journal of Research in Advent Technology, Vol. 3, No.6, June 2015
E-ISSN: 2321-9637
52
University of Agriculture & Technology, Pantnagar
(Uttarakhand).
FAO–56 Penman Monteith Model: The original
Penman-Monteith combination equation, combined
with equations of aerodynamic and surface resistance,
called as “FAO Penman-Monteith equation” [3, 5] is
given below:
ET =
. ∆( ) ( )
∆ ( . )
(1)
where ET0 is reference evapotranspiration (mm day-1
);
Rn is net radiation at crop surface (MJ m-2
day-1
);
G is soil heat flux density (MJ m-2
day-1
); T is mean
daily air temperature (°
C); U2 is wind speed at 2 m
height (m s-1
); es is saturation vapour pressure (kPa);
ea is actual vapour pressure (kPa); es-ea is saturation
vapour pressure deficit (kPa); Δ is slope of vapour
pressure curve (kPa°
C-1
) and γ is psychometric
constant (kPa°
C-1
).
The computation of daily ET0 using Eq. (1) requires
meteorological parameters consisting of air temperature
(maximum and minimum), mean daily actual vapour
pressure (ea) derived from either dew point temperature
or relative humidity (maximum and minimum), daily
average of 24-hour wind speed measured at two meter
height (u2), and net radiation (Rn) measured or computed
from solar and long-wave radiation or from actual
duration of sunshine hours (n). Since soil heat flux (G)
has a relatively small value, therefore, it was ignored for
computing ET0 on daily basis [3].
The FAO-56 PM method is recommended as a
standard one to compute ET0 as this method gives
proximate close values with actual values measured in
a wide range of location and climatic conditions and it
was, therefore, chosen as index method in the present
study to compute reference evapotranspiration.
Radiation-based ET0methods:The commonly used
20 radiation-based ET0 equations considered in this
study (Table 1) were evaluated with the help of
MicrosoftTM
Excel®
as computing tool.
Assumptions and Statistical Analysis:The analysis
of results to draw fruitful inferences from them in
terms of statistical indices was being done as it has
been pointed out by [9, 10] that commonly used
correlation measures e.g. correlation coefficient,
coefficient of determination and tests of statistical
significance in general are often inappropriate or
misleading. Different statistical indices considered to
evaluate performance of different methods includes
Agreement index (D), Root Mean Square Error
(RMSE), Mean Bias Error (MBE), MAXimum
Absolute Error (MAXE), Percentage Error (%),
Coefficient of determination (R²) and Standard Error
of Estimate (SEE). The “Agreement Index” (D) is being
proposed [10-12] as a descriptive measure. On the
basis of literature reviewed on different statistical
indices, higher values of D and R² (near to “1.0”),
values near to “0.0” for RMSE, MBE, MAXE, PE and
SEE were considered “good” for deciding the
performance of considered methods. The
quantification of under- and over-estimation of ET0
method as compared to that obtained with FAO-56
PM model was being done in terms of their ratio and
its value near to “1.00” was considered “good”.
3. RESULTS AND DISCUSSIONS
Cross comparison of radiation-based ET0
equations
The performance of 20 radiation-based ET0 equations
was evaluated by comparing their daily, weekly and
monthly ET0 estimates with those obtained with
FAO-56 PM model. For weekly and monthly
comparisons, daily ET0 values averaged over one
week and month period were plotted against values
obtained by FAO-56 PM method. The long-term
daily, weekly and monthly average ratios of ET0
method/ET0 FAO-56 PM were computed in order to
quantify over- and under-estimation of developed
equations relative to FAO-56 PM ET0 values.
The statistical analysis of radiation-based ET0
equations for study area (Table 2) indicate that
FAO24-Radiation method was best as it gave optimal
value of D as 0.952 (daily basis), 0.961 (weekly basis)
and 0.962 (monthly basis). The lowest values of MBE
on daily, weekly and monthly basis were obtained
with Irmak Rs method as 3.640, 3.597 and 4.077
respectively. The lowest values of SEE on daily basis
(0.026) was obtained with Abtew method, whereas,
lowest values of SEE on weekly and monthly basis
were obtained with Turc method as 0.026 and 0.111
respectively. The best value of ratio of ET0 method to
that of FAO-56 PM (almost equal to “1.00”) was
obtained with Castaneda-Rao method as 0.995, 0.997
and 0.996 on daily, weekly and monthly basis
respectively.
Considering calculated values of RMSE on daily,
weekly and monthly basis, 10 best methods on daily
basis were obtained as Stephens (0.844) followed by
FAO24-Radiation (0.864), Priestley-Taylor (0.878),
Hansen (0.908), Castaneda-Rao (0.933), modified
Priestley-Taylor (0.936), Irmak Rs (0.966), de Bruin
(1.020), Irmak Rn (1.021) and Stephens-Stewart
(1.057). On weekly basis, the FAO24-Radiation
method was found best with lowest RMSE value
(0.704 mm day-1
), whereas, Stephens method was
observed best on monthly basis as it gave lowest
RMSE value as 2.798 mm day-1
among all other
considered methods.
3. International Journal of Research in Advent Technology, Vol. 3, No.6, June 2015
E-ISSN: 2321-9637
53
Similarly, in terms of D values for study area, it is
clear that FAO24-Radiation method was found best
with values of D as 0.952, 0.961 and 0.962 on daily,
weekly and monthly basis respectively. The Stephens
and Priestley-Taylor methods gave almost same D
values followed by modified Priestley-Taylor method
on weekly and monthly basis at the study area.
4. CONCLUSIONS
Considering the limitations associated with reliability
and availability of good quality weather data
especially in developing countries, the widely
acclaimed and well-proven FAO-56 PM model cannot
be used to estimate reference evapotranspiration due
to which identification of simpler ET0 equations is
required. In this study, the performance of
20 radiation-based ET0 equations as compared to
FAO-56 PM model was evaluated.
The Castaneda-Rao method gave best estimate of
FAO-56 PM model at all considered timescales. The ET0
equations proposed by McGuinness-Bordne,
Berengena-Gavilan, Caprio, FAO24-Radiation, Irmak
Rs, Irmak Rn and Hansen over-estimated FAO-56 PM
model values, whereas, de Bruin, modified Priestley-
Taylor, Stephens, Makkink, Stephens-Stewart, Jensen-
Haise, Xu-Singh, Jones-Ritchie, Turc, Christiansen and
Abtew methods under-estimated it in the sub-humid
environmentprevailing at Pantnagar on daily, weekly
and monthly basis.
On the basis of values of D and RMSE on daily,
weekly and monthly basis, the performance of
FAO24-Radiation ET0 method was found best,
however, Abtew method was observed as worst.
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E-ISSN: 2321-9637
55
Table 1 Details of radiation-based ET0 methods considered in the study
Model / method Equation References
Abtew (Abt) ET = 0.408 × 0.01786 × R T [13]
Berengena-Gavilan (BG) ET = 0.408 × 1.65
∆
∆ + γ
(R − G) [14]
Caprio (Cap) ET = (0.01092708 T + 0.0060706)R [15]
Castaneda-Rao (CR) ET = 0.408 × 0.70
∆
∆ + γ
R − 0.12 [16]
Christiansen (Chr) ET = 0.408 × 0.0385 × R [17]
de Bruin (dBr) ET = 0.408 × 0.65
∆
∆ + γ
R [18]
FAO24-Radiation (FRad) ET = 0.408 × a
∆
∆ + γ
R − 0.30 [19]
Hansen (Han) ET = 0.408 × 0.70
∆
∆ + γ
R [20]
Irmak Rn (IrRn) ET = 0.289 × R + 0.023 × T + 0.489 [21]
Irmak Rs(IrRs) ET = 0.149 × R + 0.079 × T − 0.611 [21]
Jensen-Haise (JH) ET = 0.408 × C (T − T ) R [22]
Jones-Ritchie (JR) ET = 0.00387 × (0.6T + 0.4T + 29)R × α [23]
Makkink (Mak) ET = 0.408 × 0.61
∆
∆ + γ
R − 0.12 [24]
McGuinness-Bordne (MB) ET = (0.0082 × T − 0.19)
R
1500
× 2.54 [25]
Modified Priestley-Taylor (MPT) ET = 0.408 × 1.18
∆
∆ + γ
(R − G) [13]
Priestley-Taylor (PT) ET = 0.408 × 1.26
∆
∆ + γ
(R − G) [26]
Stephens (Ste) ET = 0.408 × (0.0158 T + 0.09) × R [27, 28]
Stephens-Stewart (SS) ET = 0.408 × (0.0148 T + 0.07) × R [28]
Turc (Tur) ET = (0.3107 × R + 0.65) ×
T
T + 15
[29]
Xu-Singh (XS) ET = 0.408 × 0.98
∆
∆ + γ
(R − G) − 0.94 [30]
ET0 = reference crop evapotranspiration (mm day−1
), G = soil heat flux density (MJ m−2
day−1
),
Rn= net radiation (MJ m−2
day−1
), Rs= solar radiation (MJ m−2
day−1
), Tav = average daily air temperature (°C),
Tmax = maximum air temperature (°C), Tmin = minimum air temperature (°C), u2 = mean daily wind speed at 2 m
height (m s−1
), Δ = slope of saturation vapor pressure–temperature curve (kPa °C−1
), γ = psychometric constant
(kPa °C−1
), λ = latent heat of vaporization (MJ kg−1
), and a, CT, T1, Tx, α = experimental coefficients.