The document forecasts significant growth in cloud computing, predicting a $250 billion industry by 2017, with substantial investments and a rise in SaaS applications. It highlights trends such as the emergence of hybrid clouds, the increasing adoption of new cloud services, and improved cloud security measures. Additionally, it anticipates a shift in software development to cloud environments and the expansion of Internet of Things (IoT) devices driving demand.

1. Forecast on
Cloud Computing
Trends 2015
Assoc. Prof. Dr. Thanachart Numnonda
Executive Director
IMC Institute
13 November 2014

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Cloud Computing Internet of Things
Big Data

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Trend #1
Global cloud computing
is growing

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IT Market in 2017

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Cloud revenue trend
Cloud revenue is expected to be a $250B by 2017
[Gartner]
By 2016, over a quarter of all applications (around 48
million) will be available in the cloud
The Worldwide SaaS market is forecasted to grow from
US$18.2 billion in 2012 to US$45.6 billion in 2017.
[Gartner]
Around 58% of enterprises spend more than 10% of their
annual budgets on cloud services [The Everest group]

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Source: IDC

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AWS revenue prediction

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Cloud market size in Asia
Source: www.forbes.com

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Trend #2
New services make
cloud more than mature

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Cloud new services
Cloud services go beyond basic services; IaaS, PaaS
and SaaS.
Each cloud provider offer new services to become
more competitive:
New services provide us flexible large scale
infrastructure.
Each prodiver offers an application market
– AWS Application Market
– Salesforce AppExchange

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Source: aws.amazon.com

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Trend #3
Regional/Local cloud
(smaller) or (boutique) cloud

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Global large cloud providers
are far in front

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Regional Cloud
Cloud computing was based on creating massive data
centers and large number of customers (Economy of
scaleX
Many government and companies concern onwhere
their data is being stored.
While country-by-country cloud computing centers
may not be the most efficient in terms of scale, it may
be the most effective in acquiring new customers and
retaining the old. [source: eweek]
In addition, a specilized cloud may also be possible.

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Trend #4
Mobile Devices & IoT
booth cloud market

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Source: www.forbes.com

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Worldwide Devices Shipments Trends

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Smartphone & Internet of things
The Internet is expanding beyond PCs and mobile
devices into enterprise assets such as field
equipment, and consumer items such as cars and
televisions.
By 2020, there will be 4 billion people on line, 80% of
the adult on earth will own a smartphone.
There will be 50 billion devices connected to the
Internet on 2020.

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More Data/App => BYOD & personal cloud

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Trend #5
More hybrid cloud adoption

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Hybrid Cloud
iIt would be very difficult, if at all possible, to
move everything wholesale to the cloud
The hybrid cloud, a mix of on and off premises,
offers the best of both worlds:
Gartner proposes that 50% of enterprises will
have hybrid clouds by 2017.

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Trend #6
SaaS becomes de facto for
buying new applications

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Source: PwC

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Trend #7
New SW development
will be mainly on cloud

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Cloud Impacts!
Software development will shift toward the cloud.
Software company may develop their applications
on public IaaS/Paas; Microsoft Azure, Google App
Engines, Heroku, Amazon
Require new skills
Opportunity to sell aboard.

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Cloud development opportunity
More than 18 million software developers worldwide
yet less than 25% are developing for the cloud today.
[Evans Data]
85% of new software is built for cloud today [IDC]
31.5% of developers expect to build business-focused
applications in 2013, and of those respondents,
51.3% plan to publish apps by using a corporate app
store [IDC]
PaaS market to reach $14B by 2017 [IDC]

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Cloud PaaS

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Enterprise Application Platform as a Service
(aPaaS)

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Trend #8
Cloud pricing is decresed

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Cloud prices are constantly dropping
Amazon Led on Price Reductions:
AWS continued to lead the way, announcing 12
price drops in 2013, Azure, Google, and
Rackspace stepped up their pace, accounting for
a combined 13 reductions in 2013
Reductions in Compute Prices Accelerated:
Reductions in Cloud Storage Prices Got Larger:

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Price Reductions

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Trend #8
Big Data as a Service (BDaaS)

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AAnnaallyyttiiccss SSooffttwwaarree aass aa SSeerrvviiccee
Data as a Service
Data as a Service
(Database, No SQL, Hadoop, in-Memory)
(Database, No SQL, Hadoop, in-Memory)
SSttoorraaggee aass aa SSeerrvviiccee
Compute as a Service

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Big Data as a Service
The IDC estimates for Hadoop-as-a-service
market in 2012 was about $130 million, projected
to grow by 145 percent to $318 million in 2013.
More Cloud provider will offer Hadoop as a
Service
– Amazon AWS
– Microsoft Azure HD Insight
– IBM Bluemix
– Qubole

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Trend #10
Cloud security
is more acceptable

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Cloud Security
Security has always been a major concern with cloud
computing.
However, new technology makes cloud security mucj
better than before.
Cloud security standard has been adopted; e.g. Cloud
Security Alliance
There will be identity management solutions based on
new cloud based security paradigms.

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Cloud Computing in Thailand
Readiness Survey 2014 by IMC Institute

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www.facebook.com/imcinstitute

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Thank you
thanachart@imcinstitute.com
www.facebook.com/imcinstitute
www.slideshare.net/imcinstitute
www.thanachart.org