This document discusses the future of cloud computing. It begins with an overview of the history and growth of cloud computing. Emerging trends include more organizations adopting cloud services in practice rather than just discussing them, as well as greater focus on analyzing large amounts of data ("Big Data") in the cloud. The future of cloud computing is predicted to include it becoming a standard part of IT, improved security models, centralized data as a strategic asset, more powerful mobile devices, and integrated "composite clouds". The document recommends investing in platforms as a service, centralized identity management, service-oriented architectures, mobile applications, and companies that can aggregate various cloud offerings.

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David.Linthicum@cloudtp.com / Senior Vice President / May 6, 2013
What is the True Future of
Cloud Computing?

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Topics
• The Big Picture
• Where we are now with cloud computing.
• Emerging cloud computing trends.
• What the future holds for cloud computing.
• Where to invest your time and money.
• Q&A

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1940
1950
1960
1970
1980
1990
2000
Rise of Timesharing
2010
Grids
Distributed
Computing
Datacenters Emerge
Rise of the PC
Rise of “The Cloud”
Rise of Client/Server
Rise of the Web

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2010
2012
2014
2016
2018
2020
2022
IT On-Demand
2024
Distributed
Service Sharing
Hardware/Software/Infrastructure On-Demand
Rise of
“Big Data”
Rise of
“IT In-a-Box”
Rise of
“Commodity
Data Services”
The “Big
Migration” Begins Rise of Shared
Enterprise Business
Services
Rise of
“Home
Clouds”

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Topics
• The Big Picture
• Where we are now with cloud computing.
• Emerging cloud computing trends.
• What the future holds for cloud computing.
• Where to invest your time and money.
• Q&A

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• Gartner: Cloud computing revenue will soar faster than expected and
will exceed $150 billion within five years.
• Forrester: Cloud-Based Email Is Often Cheaper Than On-Premise Email
• Vivek Kundra, CTO of Obama Government: “Growing adoption of cloud
computing could improve data sharing and promote collaboration among
federal, state and local governments.” E.g: fedbizopps.gov
• Merrill Lynch: “By 2011 the volume of cloud computing market opportunity
would amount to $160bn, including $95bn in business and productivity apps
(email, office, CRM, etc.) and $65bn in online advertising.”
• IDC: “Spending on IT cloud services will triple in the next 5 years, reaching
$42 billion and capturing 25% of IT spending growth in 2012.”
Reflecting on the Hype!
Sources: http://www.infosysblogs.com/cloudcomputing/2009/08/the_cloud_computing_quotes.htm and http://www.mytestbox.com

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Summary of Major Vendor Emphasis

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Growth of Cloud Computing

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Topics
• The Big Picture
• Where we are now with cloud computing.
• Emerging cloud computing trends.
• What the future holds for cloud computing.
• Where to invest your time and money.
• Q&A

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• Moving from talking cloud to doing cloud.
• Government entering the cloud computing game now.
• Security continues to be a priority.
• Little or no expertise in corporate and government IT.
• Moving to IaaS and then PaaS.
• Leading with private clouds, but public clouds are the
destination.
• Rise of “Big Data.”
Emerging Trends

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Why the focus on the data?

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• Data aggregation in the cloud for
common analytics within verticals.
• Combining enterprise data into
common data sets.
• Critical BI.
Big Data Trends

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Infrastructure-as-a-Service
Security-as-a-Service
Storage-as-a-Service
Integration-as-a-Service
Database-as-a-Service
Information-as-a-Service
Process-as-a-Service
Platform-as-a-Service
Application-as-a-Service
Management/Governance-as-a-Service
Testing-as-a-Service
New Stack Emerging

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Topics
• The Big Picture
• Where we are now with cloud computing.
• Emerging cloud computing trends.
• What the future holds for cloud computing.
• Where to invest your time and money.
• Q&A

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Hype Cycle for Cloud Computing, 2011

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• Buzzword “cloud computing” is
absorbed into computing.
• Focus on fit and function, and not
the hype.
• Security moves to “centralized
trust” models.
• Centralized data becomes a key
strategic advantage.
• Mobile devices become more
powerful, but thin.
• The rise of the “composite cloud.”
Evolution of Cloud Computing

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Topics
• The Big Picture
• Where we are now with cloud computing.
• Emerging cloud computing trends.
• What the future holds for cloud computing.
• Where to invest your time and money.
• Q&A

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• Focus on the reorganization and
outplacement of data.
• Focus on PaaS, and service companies that
are good at PaaS.
• Focus on centralized trust, including moving
to identity management models.
• SOA patterns and technology find new value
in the cloud.
• Continued focus on mobile computing.
• Home clouds (e.g., iCloud) create a new track
of application and appliance development.
• Rise of the “cloud aggregator.”
Where to Invest Your Time and Money

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Ask by email / David.Linthicum@cloudtp.com / www.cloudtp.com
Questions?