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Chapter 5: Risk and Return: Portfolio Theory and Assets Pricing Models

Problem 1

                                                      (ri - 0.119)2
 Return (ri)         Prob. (p)       (ri) × p               ×p
        0.20                0.10           0.020          0.00066
        0.18                0.45           0.081          0.00167
        0.08                0.30           0.024          0.00046
        0.00                0.05           0.000          0.00071
       -0.06                0.10          -0.006          0.00320
Expected                                   0.119
Variance                                                  0.00670
Stadev                                                    0.08185

Problem 2

                           Security X                                                         Security Y
   Return             Prob.                                                Return          Prob.
                                                               2                                                                2
     (ri)              (p)          (ri) × p         (ri - 0.11) × p         (ri)           (p)         (ri) × p     (ri - 0.205) × p
                                                                                                                                              9
         1              2              3                   4                 5               6             7                8            = (4) x (7)
             0.30             0.10          0.030          0.0036                 -0.20          0.05      -0.010           0.0082      -0.00038475
             0.20             0.20          0.040          0.0016                 0.10           0.25        0.025          0.0028      -0.00047250
             0.10             0.40          0.040          0.0000                 0.20           0.30        0.060          0.0000       0.00000600
             0.05             0.20          0.010          0.0007                 0.30           0.30        0.090          0.0027      -0.00034200
             -0.10            0.10         -0.010          0.0044                 0.40           0.10        0.040          0.0038      -0.00040950
Expected                                    0.110                                                            0.205
Variance                                                   0.0104                                                          0.01748
Stadev                                                     0.1020                                                          0.13219
Covar                                                                                                                                   -0.00160275
Portfolio return = 0.110 × 0.5 + 0.205 × 0.5 = 0.1575 or 15.75%                              0.1575
Portfolio standard deviation =
                                                                                                                                             0.0785
  0.0104× .52 + 0.01748 .52 + 2 × .5 × .5 × −0.00160275 0.0785 7.85%
                       ×                               =      or

Problem 3

                           Security P                                                Market Portfolio
   Prob.             Return
    (p)               (ri)          (ri) × p     (ri - 0.11)2 × p Return (ri)             (ri) × p (ri - 0.205)2 × p

       (1)              (2)            (3)                (4)               (5)             (7)            (8)             (9)
             0.30             0.30           0.090         0.0068      -          0.10       -0.030         0.0188        -0.01125
             0.30             0.20           0.060         0.0008                 0.20        0.060         0.0008         0.00075
             0.40             0.00           0.000         0.0090                 0.30        0.120         0.0090        -0.00900
Expected                                     0.150                                            0.150
Variance                                                   0.0165                                           0.0285
Stadev                                                     0.1285                                           0.1688
Covar                                                                                                                      -0.0195
Beta                                                                                                                        -0.684

Problem 4

  STDEV Y            STDEV M                           Corr YM
      (%)                (%)
20                15              0.7        0.4               -0.25
                                                     Beta of Y
Beta (β) = (corrYM σY                           0.93        0.53               -0.33
        2
σM)/σ       M


Problem 5

New Security
     RN (%)                Prob., p      RN x p (%) (RN-ER)^2 x
                                                             p.
                 40              0.3             12       108.3
                 30              0.4             12        32.4
                -10              0.3             -3       288.3
                                 ER              21
Variance                                                  429.0
STDEV                                                                          20.71
ER (%)                                                                            21
Portfolio return, RP (%)                                                          18
Portfolio STDEV, σP (%)                                                           25
Correlation between new security and portfolio                                  0.25
New Portfolio return (%) 21 × 0.05 + 18 × 0.95                                 18.15

New Portfolio STEV (%)
  20.71 2 × .05 2 + 25 2 × .95 2 + 2 × .05 × .95 × .25 × 21 .71 × 25                       24.03

Problem 6

                        Sunrise          Sunset          Sunrise          Sunset       Sunrise      Sunset
  Prob., p              Return           Return         Expected        Expected ret. Deviation x Deviation x   Covar.
                                                           ret.                           p           p
     (1)                   (2)            (3)           (4)=(1x2)        (5)=(1x3)     (6)=[(2-    (7)=[(3-     (8)=[(2-
                                                                                      ER)^2×1]    ER)^2×1]      ER)][(3-
                                                                                                                ER)]×1
                0.1               32               30         3.20              3.00       44.94        63.50        53.42
                0.2               20               17         4.00              3.40       16.93        29.77        22.45
                0.4               14                6         5.60              2.40        4.10         0.58         1.54
                0.2               -5              -12        -1.00             -2.40       49.93        56.45        53.09
                0.1              -10              -16        -1.00             -1.60       43.26        43.26        43.26
                                                             10.80              4.80      159.16       193.56       173.76
Stdev                                                                                      12.62        13.91

  Sunrise         Sunset
  STDEV          STDEV        Covariance Correlation
        12.62         13.91        173.76        0.99
Correlation is found as follows:
                   173.76        173.76
Correlation =                  =        = 0.99
                12.62 × 13.91 175.54


Problem 7

                                   P              Q
E( r )                            18              15
STDEV                             23              19
Correlation                                                         0          -1.00
Covariance            corrPQ x σP x σQ                              0           -437
Optimum
weight of P                         0.406         0.452
Optimum
weight of Q                         0.594         0.548
Optimum weight of P is calculated usin the following formula:
             2
           σ Q − cov ar PQ
w* = 2
 P             2
      σ P + σ Q - 2 cov ar PQ
cov ar PQ = 0 , then
             19 2 − 0          361
w* =
 P                         =       = 0.406
       23 + 19 2 − 2 × 0
         2
                               890
w*
 Q   = 1 − 0.406 = 0.594

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Ch 05 financial management notes

  • 1. Chapter 5: Risk and Return: Portfolio Theory and Assets Pricing Models Problem 1 (ri - 0.119)2 Return (ri) Prob. (p) (ri) × p ×p 0.20 0.10 0.020 0.00066 0.18 0.45 0.081 0.00167 0.08 0.30 0.024 0.00046 0.00 0.05 0.000 0.00071 -0.06 0.10 -0.006 0.00320 Expected 0.119 Variance 0.00670 Stadev 0.08185 Problem 2 Security X Security Y Return Prob. Return Prob. 2 2 (ri) (p) (ri) × p (ri - 0.11) × p (ri) (p) (ri) × p (ri - 0.205) × p 9 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 = (4) x (7) 0.30 0.10 0.030 0.0036 -0.20 0.05 -0.010 0.0082 -0.00038475 0.20 0.20 0.040 0.0016 0.10 0.25 0.025 0.0028 -0.00047250 0.10 0.40 0.040 0.0000 0.20 0.30 0.060 0.0000 0.00000600 0.05 0.20 0.010 0.0007 0.30 0.30 0.090 0.0027 -0.00034200 -0.10 0.10 -0.010 0.0044 0.40 0.10 0.040 0.0038 -0.00040950 Expected 0.110 0.205 Variance 0.0104 0.01748 Stadev 0.1020 0.13219 Covar -0.00160275 Portfolio return = 0.110 × 0.5 + 0.205 × 0.5 = 0.1575 or 15.75% 0.1575 Portfolio standard deviation = 0.0785 0.0104× .52 + 0.01748 .52 + 2 × .5 × .5 × −0.00160275 0.0785 7.85% × = or Problem 3 Security P Market Portfolio Prob. Return (p) (ri) (ri) × p (ri - 0.11)2 × p Return (ri) (ri) × p (ri - 0.205)2 × p (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (7) (8) (9) 0.30 0.30 0.090 0.0068 - 0.10 -0.030 0.0188 -0.01125 0.30 0.20 0.060 0.0008 0.20 0.060 0.0008 0.00075 0.40 0.00 0.000 0.0090 0.30 0.120 0.0090 -0.00900 Expected 0.150 0.150 Variance 0.0165 0.0285 Stadev 0.1285 0.1688 Covar -0.0195 Beta -0.684 Problem 4 STDEV Y STDEV M Corr YM (%) (%)
  • 2. 20 15 0.7 0.4 -0.25 Beta of Y Beta (β) = (corrYM σY 0.93 0.53 -0.33 2 σM)/σ M Problem 5 New Security RN (%) Prob., p RN x p (%) (RN-ER)^2 x p. 40 0.3 12 108.3 30 0.4 12 32.4 -10 0.3 -3 288.3 ER 21 Variance 429.0 STDEV 20.71 ER (%) 21 Portfolio return, RP (%) 18 Portfolio STDEV, σP (%) 25 Correlation between new security and portfolio 0.25 New Portfolio return (%) 21 × 0.05 + 18 × 0.95 18.15 New Portfolio STEV (%) 20.71 2 × .05 2 + 25 2 × .95 2 + 2 × .05 × .95 × .25 × 21 .71 × 25 24.03 Problem 6 Sunrise Sunset Sunrise Sunset Sunrise Sunset Prob., p Return Return Expected Expected ret. Deviation x Deviation x Covar. ret. p p (1) (2) (3) (4)=(1x2) (5)=(1x3) (6)=[(2- (7)=[(3- (8)=[(2- ER)^2×1] ER)^2×1] ER)][(3- ER)]×1 0.1 32 30 3.20 3.00 44.94 63.50 53.42 0.2 20 17 4.00 3.40 16.93 29.77 22.45 0.4 14 6 5.60 2.40 4.10 0.58 1.54 0.2 -5 -12 -1.00 -2.40 49.93 56.45 53.09 0.1 -10 -16 -1.00 -1.60 43.26 43.26 43.26 10.80 4.80 159.16 193.56 173.76 Stdev 12.62 13.91 Sunrise Sunset STDEV STDEV Covariance Correlation 12.62 13.91 173.76 0.99 Correlation is found as follows: 173.76 173.76 Correlation = = = 0.99 12.62 × 13.91 175.54 Problem 7 P Q E( r ) 18 15 STDEV 23 19 Correlation 0 -1.00 Covariance corrPQ x σP x σQ 0 -437
  • 3. Optimum weight of P 0.406 0.452 Optimum weight of Q 0.594 0.548 Optimum weight of P is calculated usin the following formula: 2 σ Q − cov ar PQ w* = 2 P 2 σ P + σ Q - 2 cov ar PQ cov ar PQ = 0 , then 19 2 − 0 361 w* = P = = 0.406 23 + 19 2 − 2 × 0 2 890 w* Q = 1 − 0.406 = 0.594