The document discusses marketing research and forecasting demand. It covers the marketing research process in 10 steps: 1) justify need, 2) define problem and objectives, 3) identify data needs, 4) identify data sources, 5) choose research design, 6) design instrument, 7) identify sample, 8) collect data, 9) analyze data, 10) present findings. It also discusses forecasting total market demand using variables like number of buyers, quantity purchased, and price. Key variables that impact forecasting include demographics, economics, sociocultural factors, and technology.

1. Chapter 3: Collecting Information and Forecasting
Demand

2. BMGT 411: Chapter 3
• Marketing Information System: Consists of people, equipment, and
procedures to gather, sort, analyze, evaluate and distribute needed, timely
information to marketing decision makers
• Internal Company Records: CRM Systems are an effective system for
marketers
• Marketing Intelligence: Competitive and Industry Analysis
• Marketing Research: Primary and Secondary

3. American Eagle Outfitters
Types of Internal Sales Tools

4. BMGT 411: Chapter 3
• Examples of Internal Sales Tools at American Eagle Outfitters
• Raw Sales Data
• Cost per Transaction or Basket Size
• Conversion
• Repeat Visits
• STS Sales
• Seasonal Sales

5. Marketing Research
def: Systematic design,
collection, analysis, and
reporting of data and findings
relevant to a specific marketing
situation

6. The Marketing
Research Process

7. BMGT 411: Chapter 3
• Step #1: Justify the need for marketing research. If there is no need, kill the project
here.
• How will this marketing research help you improve sales?
• How will the marketing research help solve a problem?
• How will the marketing research identify a target market?
Four Considerations
1. Potential usefulness of the results
2. Management attitudes towards marketing research
3. Resources available for implementation
4. Costs vs. benefits

8. BMGT 411: Chapter 3
• Step #2: Define the problem and research objectives
• Problem and objectives should be very clear
• Problem or objectives should help define what type of research is needed
Types of Research
1. Exploratory: To investigate a general problem and possible solutions
2. Descriptive: Very specific to help forecast demand or likeness
3. Causal: To test a cause and effect relationship when adding variables

9. BMGT 411: Chapter 3
• Step #3: Identify data needs
• What type of information are you looking for
• Scrutinize the research purpose
• List the types of data that will fulfill this purpose

10. BMGT 411: Chapter 3
• Step #4: Identify data sources. If the data can be acquired using existing
secondary research, you may be able to skip to step #9
• Primary Data
• Data obtained directly from consumer to fulfill a specific purpose
• More expensive approach
• Secondary Data
• Data that are readily available from other sources
• Internal or external
• Often less expensive to use

11. BMGT 411: Chapter 3
• Step #5: Choose an appropriate research design and data collection method
Research Proposal
• Serves as a blueprint for the execution of the product
• Explains
• Purpose and scope of the project
• The specific design of the project
• Sample design
• Data collection procedures
• The data analysis plan
• The project timetable

12. BMGT 411: Chapter 3
• Step #5: Main Types of Marketing Research Approaches
Quantitative:
• Survey Research
• Behavioral Data
• Experimental research
Qualitative:
• Observation
• Focus Groups

13. BMGT 411: Chapter 3
• Step #6: Design the Research Instrument of Form
1. Questionnaires: Most common due to flexibility
2. Qualitative Measures: Unstructured and often revealing
3. Technological Devices: Often measures body’s reactions
to applied stimulation

14. BMGT 411: Chapter 3
• Step #7: Identify the sample
1. Sampling Unit: Whom should we survey?
2. Sample Size: How many people should we survey?
3. Sampling Procedure: How should respondents be
chosen?

15. BMGT 411: Chapter 3
• Step #8: Collect the Data
• In Person: Very expensive and time consuming
• Phone: Still popular, assisted by computers
• Mail: Dying form of collection
• Online: Popular and inexpensive (www.surveymonkey.com)

16. BMGT 411: Chapter 3
• Step #9: Analyze and Interpret the Data

17. BMGT 411: Chapter 3
• Step #10: Present Research Findings and
Recommendations
• Often the Most important part of the process
• Should be visual and easy to understand
• Recommendations should tie back to research
objective

18. Visual Marketing
Research

19. Forecasting Measures of Market Demand

20. Forecasting:
The art of estimating future
demand by anticipating what
buyers are likely to do under a
given set of conditions.

21. BMGT 411: Chapter 3
• Potential Market: Set of consumers with a sufficient level of interest in a market
offer
• Available Market: Set of consumers who have interest, income, and access to a
particular offer
• Target Market: The part of the available market the company decides to pursue
• Penetrated Market: The set of consumers who are buying the companies
product

22. BMGT 411: Chapter 3
• Methods to Grow Sales:
1.Attract more buyers from the target market
2. Lower qualifications for potential buyers
3. Expand it’s market by adding stores, lowering price, or repositioning itself to
attract more buyers

23. BMGT 411: Chapter 3
• Total Market Demand Equation:
Q = n x q x p
Q = total market demand
n = number of buyers in the market
q = quantity purchased by an average buyer per year
p = price of an average unit

24. BMGT 411: Chapter 3
• US Car Total Market Potential
Q = n x q x p
Q = total market demand
n = 20,000,000
q = 1
p = $25,000

25. BMGT 411: Chapter 3
• US Car Total Market Potential
Q = 20,000,000 x 1 x 25,000
Q = 500,000,000

26. Ford’s Goal: 25% $125,000,000 Forecast

27. BMGT 411: Chapter 3
• Key Variables in Forecasting:
• Demographics
• Population Growth
• Population Age Mix
• Diversity
• Education

28. BMGT 411: Chapter 3
• Key Variables in Forecasting:
• Economics
• Consumer Psychology (Groupon Effect)
• Income Distribution
• Income, Savings, Debt, Credit

29. BMGT 411: Chapter 3
• Key Variables in Forecasting:
• Sociocultural
• Views of ourselves: Today, many gen y’ers are showing behaviors similar to the greatest generation (Saving, etc)
• Views of others
• Views of organizations
• Views of Society
• Views of nature
• Views of the universe

30. Technology
Increased innovation makes
forecasting difficult, and
changes quickly compared to
the past