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Open access: a researcher’s perspective


                    Antonio Gasparrini
  London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK




                 Open Research and Data
                    Open Access Week
         22 October 2012 - Birbeck College, London
My background



Graduated in biology in Italy, then 4 years working as
epidemiologist in a cancer research center in Florence
MSc + postgraduate school (still in Italy) + PhD (in UK) in
medical statistics,
Worked at LSHTM in the last 5 years, mainly in statistical
methodology and software development
My MRC fellowship



Awarded a Research Methodology fellowship from MRC (Dec
2011 – Nov 2014)
Project developed on my previous research
Success of this project critical for next funding application
Need to comply with the MRC regulations on open access
My budget for open access costs: 6000£ in total
Outline




Some points:

    My perspective: as scientist and junior academic
    Publishing: steps and costs
    My publications as a case study
    Open research: beyond publications
The scientist’s perspective




I favour a system which:

    guarantees high-quality research
    allows the independent assessment of research findings
    ensures the dissemination of the such findings
The academic’s perspective




I favour a system which:

    covers the costs of my research
    delivers a fast and effective peer-review process
    provides tools for disseminating my work
Publishing a research paper: steps

    Literature review
    Drafting the manuscript
    Choice of the journal and submission
    Review and acceptance
    Copyright agreement
    Open access fee
    Publication

Actors: the researcher, the institution, the research community,
the funder, the journals/publishers
An efficient and fair system?
A first article




Published online in Statistics in Medicine (2012):

    The choice of the journal
    Copyright transferred
    Open access fee ∼2250£
    Impact factor 1.99
Submitted and published versions

                                                                                                                           Statistics    Research Article
Research Article                                                                                                           in Medicine   Received 9 August 2011,                 Accepted 11 May 2012                   Published online in Wiley Online Library
Received XXXX
                                                                                                                                         (wileyonlinelibrary.com) DOI: 10.1002/sim.5471
(www.interscience.wiley.com) DOI: 10.1002/sim.0000


Multivariate meta-analysis for non-linear and                                                                                            Multivariate meta-analysis for
other multi-parameter associations                                                                                                       non-linear and other multi-parameter
                                                                                                                                         associations
A. Gasparrinia ∗† , B. Armstrongb , M. G. Kenwarda
                                                                                                                                         A. Gasparrini,a * † B. Armstrongb and M. G. Kenwarda
In this paper we formalize the application of multivariate meta-analysis and meta-regression to synthesize estimates
of multi-parameter associations obtained from different studies. This modelling approach extends the standard                            In this paper, we formalize the application of multivariate meta-analysis and meta-regression to synthesize
two-stage analysis used to combine results across different sub-groups or populations. The most straightforward                          estimates of multi-parameter associations obtained from different studies. This modelling approach extends
                                                                                                                                         the standard two-stage analysis used to combine results across different sub-groups or populations. The most
application is for the meta-analysis of non-linear relationships, described for example by regression coefficients                        straightforward application is for the meta-analysis of non-linear relationships, described for example by
of splines or other functions, but the methodology easily generalizes to any setting where complex associations                          regression coefficients of splines or other functions, but the methodology easily generalizes to any setting
are described by multiple correlated parameters. The modelling framework of multivariate meta-analysis is                                where complex associations are described by multiple correlated parameters. The modelling framework of
implemented in the package mvmeta within the statistical environment R. As an illustrative example, we propose                           multivariate meta-analysis is implemented in the package mvmeta within the statistical environment R. As
a two-stage analysis for investigating the non-linear exposure-response relationship between temperature and non-                        an illustrative example, we propose a two-stage analysis for investigating the non-linear exposure–response
accidental mortality using time series data from multiple cities. Multivariate meta-analysis represents a useful                         relationship between temperature and non-accidental mortality using time-series data from multiple cities.
analytical tool for studying complex associations through a two-stage procedure. Copyright c 2011 John Wiley &                           Multivariate meta-analysis represents a useful analytical tool for studying complex associations through a
                                                                                                                                         two-stage procedure. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
Sons, Ltd.
                                                                                                                                         Keywords:     meta-analysis; multivariate analysis; multivariate meta-analysis; non-linear; splines
Keywords: meta-analysis; multivariate analysis; multivariate meta-analysis; non-linear; splines



                                                                                                                                         1. Introduction
1. Introduction
                                                                                                                                         Meta-analysis is a standard, well-grounded statistical procedure for combining the evidence from inde-
Meta-analysis is a standard, well-grounded statistical procedure for combining the evidence from independent studies                     pendent studies that address the same research hypothesis [1]. This methodology was developed origi-
that address the same research hypothesis [1]. This methodology was developed originally for pooling the results from                    nally for pooling the results from published observational or experimental studies, for which individual
published observational or experimental studies, for which individual data were not available. Recently, meta-analysis has               data were not available. Recently, meta-analysis has been described more broadly as a research synthesis
been described more broadly as a research synthesis method, with the aim of estimating an average association across                     method, with the aim of estimating an average association across studies and to explore the degree and
studies and to explore the degree and sources of heterogeneity [2]. The analytical approach adopted in this context may be               sources of heterogeneity [2]. The analytical approach adopted in this context may be described as a
described as a two-stage hierarchical procedure: in the first stage, study-specific estimates of the association of interest are           two-stage hierarchical procedure: in the first stage, study-specific estimates of the association of interest
derived from individual data, controlling for individual-level covariates; in the second stage, these estimates are combined             are derived from individual data, controlling for individual-level covariates; in the second stage, these
across studies, optionally exploring the association with study-level predictors. The two-stage approach, a specific form
                                                                                                                                         estimates are combined across studies, optionally exploring the association with study-level predictors.
of individual patient data (IPD) meta-analysis, has been shown to be a flexible and computationally efficient method [3],
                                                                                                                                         The two-stage approach, a specific form of individual patient data (IPD) meta-analysis, has been shown
and has been adopted in different contexts: to pool estimates from multiple randomized controlled trials [4]; to combine
results from survival models on time-to-event data in multi-centre cohorts [5]; and to synthesize associations from Poisson              to be a flexible and computationally efficient method [3] and has been adopted in different contexts: to
time series models in multi-city analyses [6].                                                                                           pool estimates from multiple randomized controlled trials [4]; to combine results from survival models
   The common approach to two-stage meta-analysis consists of summarizing the association in a single parameter                          on time-to-event data in multi-centre cohorts [5]; and to synthesize associations from Poisson time-series
estimate from the first stage, optionally controlling for individual-level confounders. This procedure allows standard meta-              models in multi-city analyses [6].
analytic techniques to be applied. However, complex associations, such as non-linear exposure-responses, are usually                        The common approach to two-stage meta-analysis consists of summarizing the association in a single
described with functions defined by multiple parameters, and require more sophisticated meta-analytical approaches,                       parameter estimate from the first stage, optionally controlling for individual-level confounders. This
capable of handling the multivariate nature of the summary estimates. Multivariate meta-analysis, a method originally                    procedure allows standard meta-analytic techniques to be applied. However, complex associations, such
                                                                                                                                         as non-linear exposure–responses, are usually described with functions defined by multiple parameters
                                                                                                                                         and require more sophisticated meta-analytical approaches capable of handling the multivariate nature
                                                                                                                                         of the summary estimates. Multivariate meta-analysis, a method originally developed to pool multiple
a
     Department of Medical Statistics, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine
b
    Department of Social and Environmental Health Research, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine
∗
    Correspondence to: Antonio Gasparrini, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Keppel Street, London WC1E 7HT, UK.
†
    E-mail: antonio.gasparrini@lshtm.ac.uk                                                                                               a Department of Medical Statistics, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, U.K.
                                                                                                                                         b Department of Social and Environmental Health Research, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, U.K.
Contract/grant sponsor: Medical Research Council (UK), grants G0701030 and G1002296
                                                                                                                                         *Correspondence to: Antonio Gasparrini, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Keppel Street, London WC1E
                                                                                                                                           7HT, U.K.
                                                                                                                                         † E-mail: antonio.gasparrini@lshtm.ac.uk
Statist. Med. 2011, 00 1–18                                            Copyright c 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
Prepared using simauth.cls [Version: 2010/03/10 v3.00]

                                                                                                                                         Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.                                                              Statist. Med. 2012
A second article


Firstly submitted to Biostatistics:

    Copyright transferred
    Open access fee ∼2250£
    Impact factor 2.145

Rejected, re-submitted to BMC Med Res Method:

    Copyright retained
    Open access fee ∼1475£ (∼1255£ with LSHTM discount)
    Impact factor 2.67
A third article



Published in Journal of Statistical Software (2011):

    Not automatically indexed in PubMed
    Included ’manually’ through PubMed Central
    Copyright retained
    Open access fee: 0£
    Impact factor 4.01
Open research: beyond publishing




Open data: research data collected with public funding available
to other researchers
Open source and free software
Reproducible research: open and thorough assessment of
research findings
A similar case



Statistical software is mainly based on commercial programs
(e.g. Stata, SAS, SPSS)
Substantial fees to be paid by research institutions
However, implementation of novel methodologies provided by
researchers
Same story: researchers working (for free) for third parties...
An alternative model




An example: the R software
A project entirely based on a community of users and developers
Comparison with commercial programs
Model also applicable to publishing
The third article again


The manuscript is freely available at journal’s web site and other
repositories
The code for the analysis is included as supplementary material
The software is implemented and fully documented in a free
statistical package
The data are stored online and freely available through the
software
All of this at no cost
The internet era



Different approach to search and dissemination: what role for
journals?
Drop in editorial and publication costs: do we really need
publishers?
Role of funders, institutions and research community is critical
Why so late?!
The open access era




Important changes: Wellcome and RCUK policies
Limitations of the Finch Report
Alternative models already available
Changes require a different approach from researchers

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Antonio Gasparrini: Open access: a researcher's perspective

  • 1. Open access: a researcher’s perspective Antonio Gasparrini London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK Open Research and Data Open Access Week 22 October 2012 - Birbeck College, London
  • 2. My background Graduated in biology in Italy, then 4 years working as epidemiologist in a cancer research center in Florence MSc + postgraduate school (still in Italy) + PhD (in UK) in medical statistics, Worked at LSHTM in the last 5 years, mainly in statistical methodology and software development
  • 3. My MRC fellowship Awarded a Research Methodology fellowship from MRC (Dec 2011 – Nov 2014) Project developed on my previous research Success of this project critical for next funding application Need to comply with the MRC regulations on open access My budget for open access costs: 6000£ in total
  • 4. Outline Some points: My perspective: as scientist and junior academic Publishing: steps and costs My publications as a case study Open research: beyond publications
  • 5. The scientist’s perspective I favour a system which: guarantees high-quality research allows the independent assessment of research findings ensures the dissemination of the such findings
  • 6. The academic’s perspective I favour a system which: covers the costs of my research delivers a fast and effective peer-review process provides tools for disseminating my work
  • 7. Publishing a research paper: steps Literature review Drafting the manuscript Choice of the journal and submission Review and acceptance Copyright agreement Open access fee Publication Actors: the researcher, the institution, the research community, the funder, the journals/publishers An efficient and fair system?
  • 8. A first article Published online in Statistics in Medicine (2012): The choice of the journal Copyright transferred Open access fee ∼2250£ Impact factor 1.99
  • 9. Submitted and published versions Statistics Research Article Research Article in Medicine Received 9 August 2011, Accepted 11 May 2012 Published online in Wiley Online Library Received XXXX (wileyonlinelibrary.com) DOI: 10.1002/sim.5471 (www.interscience.wiley.com) DOI: 10.1002/sim.0000 Multivariate meta-analysis for non-linear and Multivariate meta-analysis for other multi-parameter associations non-linear and other multi-parameter associations A. Gasparrinia ∗† , B. Armstrongb , M. G. Kenwarda A. Gasparrini,a * † B. Armstrongb and M. G. Kenwarda In this paper we formalize the application of multivariate meta-analysis and meta-regression to synthesize estimates of multi-parameter associations obtained from different studies. This modelling approach extends the standard In this paper, we formalize the application of multivariate meta-analysis and meta-regression to synthesize two-stage analysis used to combine results across different sub-groups or populations. The most straightforward estimates of multi-parameter associations obtained from different studies. This modelling approach extends the standard two-stage analysis used to combine results across different sub-groups or populations. The most application is for the meta-analysis of non-linear relationships, described for example by regression coefficients straightforward application is for the meta-analysis of non-linear relationships, described for example by of splines or other functions, but the methodology easily generalizes to any setting where complex associations regression coefficients of splines or other functions, but the methodology easily generalizes to any setting are described by multiple correlated parameters. The modelling framework of multivariate meta-analysis is where complex associations are described by multiple correlated parameters. The modelling framework of implemented in the package mvmeta within the statistical environment R. As an illustrative example, we propose multivariate meta-analysis is implemented in the package mvmeta within the statistical environment R. As a two-stage analysis for investigating the non-linear exposure-response relationship between temperature and non- an illustrative example, we propose a two-stage analysis for investigating the non-linear exposure–response accidental mortality using time series data from multiple cities. Multivariate meta-analysis represents a useful relationship between temperature and non-accidental mortality using time-series data from multiple cities. analytical tool for studying complex associations through a two-stage procedure. Copyright c 2011 John Wiley & Multivariate meta-analysis represents a useful analytical tool for studying complex associations through a two-stage procedure. Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Sons, Ltd. Keywords: meta-analysis; multivariate analysis; multivariate meta-analysis; non-linear; splines Keywords: meta-analysis; multivariate analysis; multivariate meta-analysis; non-linear; splines 1. Introduction 1. Introduction Meta-analysis is a standard, well-grounded statistical procedure for combining the evidence from inde- Meta-analysis is a standard, well-grounded statistical procedure for combining the evidence from independent studies pendent studies that address the same research hypothesis [1]. This methodology was developed origi- that address the same research hypothesis [1]. This methodology was developed originally for pooling the results from nally for pooling the results from published observational or experimental studies, for which individual published observational or experimental studies, for which individual data were not available. Recently, meta-analysis has data were not available. Recently, meta-analysis has been described more broadly as a research synthesis been described more broadly as a research synthesis method, with the aim of estimating an average association across method, with the aim of estimating an average association across studies and to explore the degree and studies and to explore the degree and sources of heterogeneity [2]. The analytical approach adopted in this context may be sources of heterogeneity [2]. The analytical approach adopted in this context may be described as a described as a two-stage hierarchical procedure: in the first stage, study-specific estimates of the association of interest are two-stage hierarchical procedure: in the first stage, study-specific estimates of the association of interest derived from individual data, controlling for individual-level covariates; in the second stage, these estimates are combined are derived from individual data, controlling for individual-level covariates; in the second stage, these across studies, optionally exploring the association with study-level predictors. The two-stage approach, a specific form estimates are combined across studies, optionally exploring the association with study-level predictors. of individual patient data (IPD) meta-analysis, has been shown to be a flexible and computationally efficient method [3], The two-stage approach, a specific form of individual patient data (IPD) meta-analysis, has been shown and has been adopted in different contexts: to pool estimates from multiple randomized controlled trials [4]; to combine results from survival models on time-to-event data in multi-centre cohorts [5]; and to synthesize associations from Poisson to be a flexible and computationally efficient method [3] and has been adopted in different contexts: to time series models in multi-city analyses [6]. pool estimates from multiple randomized controlled trials [4]; to combine results from survival models The common approach to two-stage meta-analysis consists of summarizing the association in a single parameter on time-to-event data in multi-centre cohorts [5]; and to synthesize associations from Poisson time-series estimate from the first stage, optionally controlling for individual-level confounders. This procedure allows standard meta- models in multi-city analyses [6]. analytic techniques to be applied. However, complex associations, such as non-linear exposure-responses, are usually The common approach to two-stage meta-analysis consists of summarizing the association in a single described with functions defined by multiple parameters, and require more sophisticated meta-analytical approaches, parameter estimate from the first stage, optionally controlling for individual-level confounders. This capable of handling the multivariate nature of the summary estimates. Multivariate meta-analysis, a method originally procedure allows standard meta-analytic techniques to be applied. However, complex associations, such as non-linear exposure–responses, are usually described with functions defined by multiple parameters and require more sophisticated meta-analytical approaches capable of handling the multivariate nature of the summary estimates. Multivariate meta-analysis, a method originally developed to pool multiple a Department of Medical Statistics, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine b Department of Social and Environmental Health Research, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine ∗ Correspondence to: Antonio Gasparrini, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Keppel Street, London WC1E 7HT, UK. † E-mail: antonio.gasparrini@lshtm.ac.uk a Department of Medical Statistics, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, U.K. b Department of Social and Environmental Health Research, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, U.K. Contract/grant sponsor: Medical Research Council (UK), grants G0701030 and G1002296 *Correspondence to: Antonio Gasparrini, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Keppel Street, London WC1E 7HT, U.K. † E-mail: antonio.gasparrini@lshtm.ac.uk Statist. Med. 2011, 00 1–18 Copyright c 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Prepared using simauth.cls [Version: 2010/03/10 v3.00] Copyright © 2012 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd. Statist. Med. 2012
  • 10. A second article Firstly submitted to Biostatistics: Copyright transferred Open access fee ∼2250£ Impact factor 2.145 Rejected, re-submitted to BMC Med Res Method: Copyright retained Open access fee ∼1475£ (∼1255£ with LSHTM discount) Impact factor 2.67
  • 11. A third article Published in Journal of Statistical Software (2011): Not automatically indexed in PubMed Included ’manually’ through PubMed Central Copyright retained Open access fee: 0£ Impact factor 4.01
  • 12. Open research: beyond publishing Open data: research data collected with public funding available to other researchers Open source and free software Reproducible research: open and thorough assessment of research findings
  • 13. A similar case Statistical software is mainly based on commercial programs (e.g. Stata, SAS, SPSS) Substantial fees to be paid by research institutions However, implementation of novel methodologies provided by researchers Same story: researchers working (for free) for third parties...
  • 14. An alternative model An example: the R software A project entirely based on a community of users and developers Comparison with commercial programs Model also applicable to publishing
  • 15. The third article again The manuscript is freely available at journal’s web site and other repositories The code for the analysis is included as supplementary material The software is implemented and fully documented in a free statistical package The data are stored online and freely available through the software All of this at no cost
  • 16. The internet era Different approach to search and dissemination: what role for journals? Drop in editorial and publication costs: do we really need publishers? Role of funders, institutions and research community is critical Why so late?!
  • 17. The open access era Important changes: Wellcome and RCUK policies Limitations of the Finch Report Alternative models already available Changes require a different approach from researchers