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BIRLA INSTITUTE OF MANAGEMENT TECHNOLOGY
Post Graduate Programme – AY 2017-019 - Term I
ANALYTIC HIERARCHY
PROCESS
(AHP)
Mentor: Prof. Sourabh Bishnoi
Submitted by: Megha Ahuja
megha.ahuja19@bimtech.ac.in
17IN631, PGDM-IBM
Page 02
Acknowledgements
The success of any project depends largely on the encouragement and
guidelines of many others. I take this opportunity to express my
gratitude to the people who have been instrumental in the successful
completion of this assignment. I would like to show my greatest
appreciation to Prof. Sourabh Bishnoi.
I can’t say thank you enough for his tremendous support and help.
Without his encouragement and guidance this project would not have
materialized.
Page 03
OUTLINE
— Acknowledgement……………………………………………...02
— History of AHP…………………………………………………04
— What is AHP?..............................................................................05
__How it works………………………………………………...….06
__Steps ForAHP…………………………………………………..06
— AHP process……………………………………………………08
__Uses & Applications…………………………………………….09
-Problem Statement…………………………………………10
-Step 1………………………………………………………10
-Step 2………………………………………………………11
-step 3……………………………………………………….17
-Step 4………………………………………………………19
-Step 5………………………………………………………21
— Case study……………………………………………………...23
__Advantages and diadvantages…………………………………..23
— Summary……………………………………………………….24
__ Source & References…………………………………………...25
Page 04
Analytic Hierarchy Process
History
• AHP first introduced by Saaty in 1977
• Apparent problems with the way pairwise comparisons were used pointed out by
Belton and Gear in 1983
• Belton and Gear introduced Revised-AHP
• Saaty accepted the change and introduced Ideal Mode AHP in 1994
• Best known and widely used Multi Criteria Analysis (MCA) approach
• Relative priority of each criteria • Real world decision problems
• Spend on Defence or Agriculture?
• Buy an Ecosport or Koleos?
• Integrated manufacturing (Putrus, 1990),
• In the evaluation of technology investment decisions (Boucher and McStravic,
1991)
• In flexible manufacturing systems (Wabalickis, 1988)
• Layout design (Cambron and Evans, 1991)
Page 05
What is Analytical Hierarchical Process (AHP)?
The analytic hierarchy process (HP) is a structured technique for organizing and
analyzing complex decisions, based on mathematics and psychology. It was
developed by Thomas L. Saaty in the 1970s and has been extensively studied and
refined since then. It has particular application in group decision making, and is
used around the world in a wide variety of decision situations, in fields such as
government, business, industry, healthcare, and education.
AHP transforms the comparisons, which are most of the times empirical, into
numeric values that are further processed and compared. The weight of each
factor allows the assessment of each one of the elements inside the defined
hierarchy. This capability of converting empirical data into mathematical models
is the main distinctive contribution of the AHP technique when contrasted to other
comparing techniques.
After all comparisons have been made, and the relative weights between each one
of the criteria to be evaluated have been established, the numerical probability of
each alternative is calculated. This probability determines the likelihood that the
alternative has to fulfill the expected goal. The higher the probability, the better
chances the alternative has to satisfy the final goal of the portfolio.
Page 06
How AHP works?
The AHP helpsdecisionmakersfindone thatbestsuitstheirgoal andtheir
understandingof the problem.Itprovidesacomprehensiveandrational frameworkfor
structuringa decisionproblem,forrepresentingandquantifyingitselements,for
relatingthose elementstooverall goals,andforevaluatingalternative solutions.
Steps for AHP Process -
1. Users of the AHP first decompose their decision problem into a
hierarchy of more easily comprehended sub-problems, each of
which can be analyzed independently. The elements of the
hierarchy can relate to any aspect of the decision problem—
tangible or intangible, carefully measured or roughly estimated,
Page 07
well or poorly understood—anything at all that applies to the
decision at hand.
2. Once the hierarchy is built, the decision makers systematically
evaluate its various elements by comparing them to each other two
at a time, with respect to their impact on an element above them in
the hierarchy. In making the comparisons, the decision makers can
use concrete data about the elements, but they typically use their
judgments about the elements' relative meaning and importance. It
is the essence of the AHP that human judgments, and not just the
underlying information, can be used in performing the evaluations.
3. The AHP converts these evaluations to numerical values that can be
processed and compared over the entire range of the problem. A
numerical weight or priority is derived for each element of the
hierarchy, allowing diverse and often incommensurable elements to
be compared to one another in a rational and consistent way. This
capability distinguishes the AHP from other decision making
techniques.
4. In the final step of the process, numerical priorities are calculated
for each of the decision alternatives. These numbers represent the
Page 08
alternatives' relative ability to achieve the decision goal, so they
allow a straightforward consideration of the various courses of
action.
5. Several firms supply computer software such as Microsoft excel to
assist in using the process.
Page 09
Uses and Application of AHP –
Decision situations to which the AHP can be applied include -
 Choice – The selection of one alternative from a given set of
alternatives, usually where there are multiple decision criteria
involved.
 Ranking – Putting a set of alternatives in order from most to least
desirable
 Prioritization – Determining the relative merit of members of a set
of alternatives, as opposed to selecting a single one or merely
ranking them
 Resource allocation – Apportioning resources among a set of
alternatives
 Benchmarking – Comparing the processes in one's own
organization with those of other best-of-breed organizations
 Quality management – Dealing with the multidimensional aspects
of quality and quality improvement
 Conflict resolution – Settling disputes between parties with
apparently incompatible goals or positions.
Problem statement
Problem Statement /Synopsis: Ankit wants to go on summer
vacation with his family, and he is confused aboutthe destination. He
has four options i.e. Hill stations, Desert, Beach and Religious place.
He cannot decide amongstthese options and he have to make a
decision about the location of his vacation, keeping in mind the
preferences of his family and his budget. He has identified four
criteria, which are,
Page 10
1) Travel distance
2) Vacation cost
3) Outdoor activities
4) Learning for children;
Using AHP find the most appropriatedestination, whereankit should
spend his summer vacation.
STEP -1 DEVELOPING A HIERARCHY
Decision Making Process While Planning for a
Summer Vacation
Page 11
Step-2: Ranking of Criteria and Alternatives
• Pairwise comparisons are made with the grades ranging from 1-9.
• A basic, but very reasonable assumption for comparing alternatives: If
attribute A is absolutely more important than attribute B and is rated at 9, then
B must be absolutely less important than A and is graded as 1/9.
• These pairwise comparisons are carried out for all factors to be considered,
usually not more than 7, and the matrix is completed.
This Shows:
• How important is criterion A relative to criterion B?
• Assign a weight between 1 and 9
• Reciprocal of the value is assigned to the other criterion in the pair •
How important is criterion B relative to criterion A?
• Normalize and average the weighing to obtain average weight for each
criterion
Page 12
Question 1: What is the relative Importance of ‘TRAVEL DISTANCE’ withrespect
to OTHERS?
Compare the decision criteria and circle the answer using scale below
1=Equal; 3=Moderate; 5=Strong; 7=Very Strong; 9=Extreme
TRAVEL
DISTENCE
9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 VACATION
COST
TRAVEL
DISTANCE
9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 OUTDOOR
ACTIVITIES
Page 13
TRAVEL
DISTANCE
9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 LEARNING FOR
CHILDRENS
Question 2: What is the relative Importance of ‘VACATIONCOST’ withrespectto
OTHERS?
Compare the decision criteria and circle the answer using scale below
1=Equal; 3=Moderate; 5=Strong; 7=Very Strong; 9=Extreme
VACATION
COST
9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 OUTDOOR
ACTIVITIES
VACATION
COST
9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 LEARNING FOR
CHILDREN
Question 3: What is the relative Importance of ‘OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES’ with
respectto LEARNINGFORCHILDRENS?
OUTDOOR
ACTTIVITY
9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 LEARNING
FOR
CHILDREN
WITH ‘TRAVEL DISTANCE’ BEING CONSTANT
Question 4: What is the relative Importance of ‘HILL STATION’ withrespectto
OTHERS?
Compare the decision criteria and circle the answer using scale below
1=Equal; 3=Moderate; 5=Strong; 7=Very Strong; 9=Extreme
HILL
STATION
9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 DESERT
HILL
STATION
9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 BEACH
Page 14
HILL
STATION
9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RELIGIOUS
PLACE
Question 5: What is the relative Importance of ‘DESERT’ withrespectto OTHERS?
Compare the decision criteria and circle the answer using scale below
1=Equal; 3=Moderate; 5=Strong; 7=Very Strong; 9=Extreme
DESERT 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 BEACH
DESERT 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RELIGIOUS
PLACE
Question6: What is the relative Importance of ‘BEACH’ withrespectto RELIGIOUS
PLACE?
Compare the decision criteria and circle the answer using scale below
1=Equal; 3=Moderate; 5=Strong; 7=Very Strong; 9=Extreme
BEACH 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RELIGIOUS
PLACE
WITH ‘VACATION COST’ BEING CONSTANT
Question 7: What is the relative Importance of ‘HILL STATION’ withrespectto
OTHERS?
Compare the decision criteria and circle the answer using scale below
1=Equal; 3=Moderate; 5=Strong; 7=Very Strong; 9=Extreme
HILL
STATION
9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 DESERT
HILL
STATION
9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 BEACH
HILL
STATION
9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RELIGIOUS
PLACE
Page 15
Question 8: What is the relative Importance of ‘DESERT’ withrespectto OTHERS?
Compare the decision criteria and circle the answer using scale below
1=Equal; 3=Moderate; 5=Strong; 7=Very Strong; 9=Extreme
DESERT 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 BEACH
DESERT 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RELIGIOUS
PLACE
Question9: What is the relative Importance of ‘BEACH’ withrespectto RELIGIOUS
PLACE?
Compare the decision criteria and circle the answer using scale below
1=Equal; 3=Moderate; 5=Strong; 7=Very Strong; 9=Extreme
BEACH 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RELIGIOUS
PLACE
WITH ‘OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES’ BEING CONSTANT
Question 10: What is the relative Importance of ‘HILL STATION’ withrespectto
OTHERS?
Compare the decision criteria and circle the answer using scale below
1=Equal; 3=Moderate; 5=Strong; 7=Very Strong; 9=Extreme
HILL
STATION
9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 DESERT
HILL
STATION
9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 BEACH
HILL
STATION
9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RELIGIOUS
PLACE
Page 16
Question 11: What is the relative Importance of ‘DESERT’ withrespectto OTHERS?
Compare the decision criteria and circle the answer using scale below
1=Equal; 3=Moderate; 5=Strong; 7=Very Strong; 9=Extreme
DESERT 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 BEACH
DESERT 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RELIGIOUS
PLACE
Question 12: What is the relative Importance of ‘BEACH’ withrespectto RELIGIOUS
PLACE?
Compare the decision criteria and circle the answer using scale below
1=Equal; 3=Moderate; 5=Strong; 7=Very Strong; 9=Extreme
BEACH 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RELIGIOUS
PLACE
WITH ‘LEARNING FOR CHILDRENS’ BEING CONSTANT
Question 13: What is the relative Importance of ‘HILL STATION’ withrespectto
OTHERS?
Compare the decision criteria and circle the answer using scale below
1=Equal; 3=Moderate; 5=Strong; 7=Very Strong; 9=Extreme
HILL
STATION
9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 DESERT
HILL
STATION
9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 BEACH
HILL
STATION
9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RELIGIOUS
PLACE
Question 14: What is the relative Importance of ‘DESERT’ withrespectto OTHERS?
Page 17
Compare the decision criteria and circle the answer using scale below
1=Equal; 3=Moderate; 5=Strong; 7=Very Strong; 9=Extreme
DESERT 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 BEACH
DESERT 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RELIGIOUS
PLACE
Question 15: What is the relative Importance of ‘BEACH’ withrespectto RELIGIOUS
PLACE?
Compare the decision criteria and circle the answer using scale below
1=Equal; 3=Moderate; 5=Strong; 7=Very Strong; 9=Extreme
BEACH 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RELIGIOUS
PLACE
Step 3- Pairwise ComparisonMatrix
To determine the priorities for the four criteria, we
need to construct a matrix of the pair wise comparison ratings provided in
the table below. Using four criteria, the pairwise comparison matrix will
consist of four rows and four columns
Page 18
Comparison on basis of Travel Distance
Comparison on basis of Vacation Cost
Comparison on basis of Outdoor Activities
Page 19
Comparison on basis of Learning For children
Step 4– Synthesization
Using Pairwise comparison matrix, we can now calculate the priority of
each criterion in terms of its contribution to the overall goal of selecting
the best shampoo.
It requires three steps –
1. Sum the values in each column of the pairwise matrix comparison.
2. Divide each element in the pairwise comparison matrix by its
column total, the resulting matrix is referred to as Normalized
pairwise comparison matrix.
Page 20
3. Compute the average of the elements in each row of the
normalized pairwise comparison matrix, these averages provide the
priorities of the criteria.
On the basis of Criteria –
Comparison on basis of Travel Distance
Comparison on basis of Vacation cost
Page 21
Comparison on basis of Outdoor Activities
Comparison on basis of Learning for children
Step 5– Consistency
AHP provides a measureof the consistency for the pairwise
comparison by computing consistency ratio. A value greater than
0.10 indicates an inconsistency in the pairwisejudgments. Thus if the
consistency ratio is 0.10 or less, the consistency of pairwise
comparison is considered reasonable, and the AHP can continue with
the Synthesization computations.
Particulars Consistency Ratio
Characteristics 0.089709
Page 22
Comparisons on the basis of Travel Distance 0.091548
Comparisons on the basis of vacation cost 0.073525
Comparisons on the basis of Outdoor Activities 0.091006
Comparisons on the basis of Learning for children 0.064436
*The degree of consistency in the pairwise comparisons is
acceptable*
Page 23
OVERALL PRIORITY RANKING
Hence, The degree of consistency in the
pairwise comparisons is acceptable
Chart Title
Weight for HILL Station Weight for Desert
Weight for Beach Weight for Religious place
Page 24
INTERESTING CASES OF AHP  
 Xerox Corporation uses AHP for R&D decisions on portfolio
management, technology implementation, and engineering d
esign selection.
British Columbia Ferries Corporation in Canada uses AHP in
the selection of products, suppliers and consultants.
 NASA used AHP to consider criteria for Safety, Performanc
e, Reliability and Flexibility in recommending a power sour
ce for the first lunar outpost. § 
 General Motors use AHP to evaluate design alternatives, p
erform risk management, and arrive at the best and most
cost-‐effective automobile designs.
  Universal
Islam Antarabangsa (UIA) used AHP in benchmarking factors
influencing international students’ choice towards universities
in Malaysia.
ADVANTAGES AND DISADVANTAGES
ADVANTAGES DISADVANTAGES
• Straight-
forward and convenient
• Simplicity by using pair
wise comparisons
• Consistency in evaluation
• Versatility
• Subjective - -
=Conversion from verbal to numeric scale
=Inconsistencies imposed by 1 to 9 scale
=Conflict between Decision maker
= Decision maker capacity
Page 25
Summary
 With AHP, we can measure the degree of consistency; and if
unacceptable, we can revise pair wise comparisons.
 If we are perfectly consistent, then the consistency measures will equal
n and therefore, the CIs will be equal to zero and so will the
consistency ratio.
 If this ratio is very large (Saaty suggests > 0.10), then we are not
consistent enough and the best thing to do is go back and revise the
comparisons.
 AHP is a simple, practical and handy
 The one-‐‐to-‐‐one qualitative and quantitative comparison
 All of this work concludes the first step in the procedure. The next step
is to use similar pair wise comparisons to determine the
 AHP could apply jointly with other decision making tools such as SWOT
analysis which will generate better result.
 AHP actively nurture intellectual discussion, debate and research on
various field and study.
Page 26
Source & References
 https://www.google.co.in/url?sa=t&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=web
&cd=1&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwjYnMOhxOnXAhWMOY8KH
WdWB9EQFggoMAA&url=https%3A%2F%2Fen.wikipedia.org%2Fwi
ki%2FAnalytic_hierarchy_process&usg=AOvVaw3ErPQ2NrT4n2vG5
RKTjx8M
 https://www.google.co.in/url?sa=t&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=web
&cd=2&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwjYnMOhxOnXAhWMOY8KH
WdWB9EQFgg0MAE&url=https%3A%2F%2Fen.wikipedia.org%2Fwi
ki%2FAnalytic_hierarchy_process_%25E2%2580%2593_car_exampl
e&usg=AOvVaw33DrSvBizg-btzQj925FIV
 https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/0270025587904
738
 https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Analytic_hierarchy_process
 https://www.google.co.in/url?sa=t&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=web
&cd=6&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwinvrvSxOnXAhUDKo8KHVFy
Aw8QtwIITzAF&url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.youtube.com%2Fwatch
%3Fv%3DG1xrL59RsBM&usg=AOvVaw1rONcQHMYQX-
WpwGahpBur

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AHP-ANALYTIC HIERARCHY PROCESS- How To Slove AHP in Excel

  • 1. BIRLA INSTITUTE OF MANAGEMENT TECHNOLOGY Post Graduate Programme – AY 2017-019 - Term I ANALYTIC HIERARCHY PROCESS (AHP) Mentor: Prof. Sourabh Bishnoi Submitted by: Megha Ahuja megha.ahuja19@bimtech.ac.in 17IN631, PGDM-IBM
  • 2. Page 02 Acknowledgements The success of any project depends largely on the encouragement and guidelines of many others. I take this opportunity to express my gratitude to the people who have been instrumental in the successful completion of this assignment. I would like to show my greatest appreciation to Prof. Sourabh Bishnoi. I can’t say thank you enough for his tremendous support and help. Without his encouragement and guidance this project would not have materialized.
  • 3. Page 03 OUTLINE — Acknowledgement……………………………………………...02 — History of AHP…………………………………………………04 — What is AHP?..............................................................................05 __How it works………………………………………………...….06 __Steps ForAHP…………………………………………………..06 — AHP process……………………………………………………08 __Uses & Applications…………………………………………….09 -Problem Statement…………………………………………10 -Step 1………………………………………………………10 -Step 2………………………………………………………11 -step 3……………………………………………………….17 -Step 4………………………………………………………19 -Step 5………………………………………………………21 — Case study……………………………………………………...23 __Advantages and diadvantages…………………………………..23 — Summary……………………………………………………….24 __ Source & References…………………………………………...25
  • 4. Page 04 Analytic Hierarchy Process History • AHP first introduced by Saaty in 1977 • Apparent problems with the way pairwise comparisons were used pointed out by Belton and Gear in 1983 • Belton and Gear introduced Revised-AHP • Saaty accepted the change and introduced Ideal Mode AHP in 1994 • Best known and widely used Multi Criteria Analysis (MCA) approach • Relative priority of each criteria • Real world decision problems • Spend on Defence or Agriculture? • Buy an Ecosport or Koleos? • Integrated manufacturing (Putrus, 1990), • In the evaluation of technology investment decisions (Boucher and McStravic, 1991) • In flexible manufacturing systems (Wabalickis, 1988) • Layout design (Cambron and Evans, 1991)
  • 5. Page 05 What is Analytical Hierarchical Process (AHP)? The analytic hierarchy process (HP) is a structured technique for organizing and analyzing complex decisions, based on mathematics and psychology. It was developed by Thomas L. Saaty in the 1970s and has been extensively studied and refined since then. It has particular application in group decision making, and is used around the world in a wide variety of decision situations, in fields such as government, business, industry, healthcare, and education. AHP transforms the comparisons, which are most of the times empirical, into numeric values that are further processed and compared. The weight of each factor allows the assessment of each one of the elements inside the defined hierarchy. This capability of converting empirical data into mathematical models is the main distinctive contribution of the AHP technique when contrasted to other comparing techniques. After all comparisons have been made, and the relative weights between each one of the criteria to be evaluated have been established, the numerical probability of each alternative is calculated. This probability determines the likelihood that the alternative has to fulfill the expected goal. The higher the probability, the better chances the alternative has to satisfy the final goal of the portfolio.
  • 6. Page 06 How AHP works? The AHP helpsdecisionmakersfindone thatbestsuitstheirgoal andtheir understandingof the problem.Itprovidesacomprehensiveandrational frameworkfor structuringa decisionproblem,forrepresentingandquantifyingitselements,for relatingthose elementstooverall goals,andforevaluatingalternative solutions. Steps for AHP Process - 1. Users of the AHP first decompose their decision problem into a hierarchy of more easily comprehended sub-problems, each of which can be analyzed independently. The elements of the hierarchy can relate to any aspect of the decision problem— tangible or intangible, carefully measured or roughly estimated,
  • 7. Page 07 well or poorly understood—anything at all that applies to the decision at hand. 2. Once the hierarchy is built, the decision makers systematically evaluate its various elements by comparing them to each other two at a time, with respect to their impact on an element above them in the hierarchy. In making the comparisons, the decision makers can use concrete data about the elements, but they typically use their judgments about the elements' relative meaning and importance. It is the essence of the AHP that human judgments, and not just the underlying information, can be used in performing the evaluations. 3. The AHP converts these evaluations to numerical values that can be processed and compared over the entire range of the problem. A numerical weight or priority is derived for each element of the hierarchy, allowing diverse and often incommensurable elements to be compared to one another in a rational and consistent way. This capability distinguishes the AHP from other decision making techniques. 4. In the final step of the process, numerical priorities are calculated for each of the decision alternatives. These numbers represent the
  • 8. Page 08 alternatives' relative ability to achieve the decision goal, so they allow a straightforward consideration of the various courses of action. 5. Several firms supply computer software such as Microsoft excel to assist in using the process.
  • 9. Page 09 Uses and Application of AHP – Decision situations to which the AHP can be applied include -  Choice – The selection of one alternative from a given set of alternatives, usually where there are multiple decision criteria involved.  Ranking – Putting a set of alternatives in order from most to least desirable  Prioritization – Determining the relative merit of members of a set of alternatives, as opposed to selecting a single one or merely ranking them  Resource allocation – Apportioning resources among a set of alternatives  Benchmarking – Comparing the processes in one's own organization with those of other best-of-breed organizations  Quality management – Dealing with the multidimensional aspects of quality and quality improvement  Conflict resolution – Settling disputes between parties with apparently incompatible goals or positions. Problem statement Problem Statement /Synopsis: Ankit wants to go on summer vacation with his family, and he is confused aboutthe destination. He has four options i.e. Hill stations, Desert, Beach and Religious place. He cannot decide amongstthese options and he have to make a decision about the location of his vacation, keeping in mind the preferences of his family and his budget. He has identified four criteria, which are,
  • 10. Page 10 1) Travel distance 2) Vacation cost 3) Outdoor activities 4) Learning for children; Using AHP find the most appropriatedestination, whereankit should spend his summer vacation. STEP -1 DEVELOPING A HIERARCHY Decision Making Process While Planning for a Summer Vacation
  • 11. Page 11 Step-2: Ranking of Criteria and Alternatives • Pairwise comparisons are made with the grades ranging from 1-9. • A basic, but very reasonable assumption for comparing alternatives: If attribute A is absolutely more important than attribute B and is rated at 9, then B must be absolutely less important than A and is graded as 1/9. • These pairwise comparisons are carried out for all factors to be considered, usually not more than 7, and the matrix is completed. This Shows: • How important is criterion A relative to criterion B? • Assign a weight between 1 and 9 • Reciprocal of the value is assigned to the other criterion in the pair • How important is criterion B relative to criterion A? • Normalize and average the weighing to obtain average weight for each criterion
  • 12. Page 12 Question 1: What is the relative Importance of ‘TRAVEL DISTANCE’ withrespect to OTHERS? Compare the decision criteria and circle the answer using scale below 1=Equal; 3=Moderate; 5=Strong; 7=Very Strong; 9=Extreme TRAVEL DISTENCE 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 VACATION COST TRAVEL DISTANCE 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES
  • 13. Page 13 TRAVEL DISTANCE 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 LEARNING FOR CHILDRENS Question 2: What is the relative Importance of ‘VACATIONCOST’ withrespectto OTHERS? Compare the decision criteria and circle the answer using scale below 1=Equal; 3=Moderate; 5=Strong; 7=Very Strong; 9=Extreme VACATION COST 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES VACATION COST 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 LEARNING FOR CHILDREN Question 3: What is the relative Importance of ‘OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES’ with respectto LEARNINGFORCHILDRENS? OUTDOOR ACTTIVITY 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 LEARNING FOR CHILDREN WITH ‘TRAVEL DISTANCE’ BEING CONSTANT Question 4: What is the relative Importance of ‘HILL STATION’ withrespectto OTHERS? Compare the decision criteria and circle the answer using scale below 1=Equal; 3=Moderate; 5=Strong; 7=Very Strong; 9=Extreme HILL STATION 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 DESERT HILL STATION 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 BEACH
  • 14. Page 14 HILL STATION 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RELIGIOUS PLACE Question 5: What is the relative Importance of ‘DESERT’ withrespectto OTHERS? Compare the decision criteria and circle the answer using scale below 1=Equal; 3=Moderate; 5=Strong; 7=Very Strong; 9=Extreme DESERT 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 BEACH DESERT 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RELIGIOUS PLACE Question6: What is the relative Importance of ‘BEACH’ withrespectto RELIGIOUS PLACE? Compare the decision criteria and circle the answer using scale below 1=Equal; 3=Moderate; 5=Strong; 7=Very Strong; 9=Extreme BEACH 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RELIGIOUS PLACE WITH ‘VACATION COST’ BEING CONSTANT Question 7: What is the relative Importance of ‘HILL STATION’ withrespectto OTHERS? Compare the decision criteria and circle the answer using scale below 1=Equal; 3=Moderate; 5=Strong; 7=Very Strong; 9=Extreme HILL STATION 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 DESERT HILL STATION 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 BEACH HILL STATION 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RELIGIOUS PLACE
  • 15. Page 15 Question 8: What is the relative Importance of ‘DESERT’ withrespectto OTHERS? Compare the decision criteria and circle the answer using scale below 1=Equal; 3=Moderate; 5=Strong; 7=Very Strong; 9=Extreme DESERT 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 BEACH DESERT 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RELIGIOUS PLACE Question9: What is the relative Importance of ‘BEACH’ withrespectto RELIGIOUS PLACE? Compare the decision criteria and circle the answer using scale below 1=Equal; 3=Moderate; 5=Strong; 7=Very Strong; 9=Extreme BEACH 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RELIGIOUS PLACE WITH ‘OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES’ BEING CONSTANT Question 10: What is the relative Importance of ‘HILL STATION’ withrespectto OTHERS? Compare the decision criteria and circle the answer using scale below 1=Equal; 3=Moderate; 5=Strong; 7=Very Strong; 9=Extreme HILL STATION 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 DESERT HILL STATION 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 BEACH HILL STATION 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RELIGIOUS PLACE
  • 16. Page 16 Question 11: What is the relative Importance of ‘DESERT’ withrespectto OTHERS? Compare the decision criteria and circle the answer using scale below 1=Equal; 3=Moderate; 5=Strong; 7=Very Strong; 9=Extreme DESERT 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 BEACH DESERT 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RELIGIOUS PLACE Question 12: What is the relative Importance of ‘BEACH’ withrespectto RELIGIOUS PLACE? Compare the decision criteria and circle the answer using scale below 1=Equal; 3=Moderate; 5=Strong; 7=Very Strong; 9=Extreme BEACH 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RELIGIOUS PLACE WITH ‘LEARNING FOR CHILDRENS’ BEING CONSTANT Question 13: What is the relative Importance of ‘HILL STATION’ withrespectto OTHERS? Compare the decision criteria and circle the answer using scale below 1=Equal; 3=Moderate; 5=Strong; 7=Very Strong; 9=Extreme HILL STATION 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 DESERT HILL STATION 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 BEACH HILL STATION 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RELIGIOUS PLACE Question 14: What is the relative Importance of ‘DESERT’ withrespectto OTHERS?
  • 17. Page 17 Compare the decision criteria and circle the answer using scale below 1=Equal; 3=Moderate; 5=Strong; 7=Very Strong; 9=Extreme DESERT 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 BEACH DESERT 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RELIGIOUS PLACE Question 15: What is the relative Importance of ‘BEACH’ withrespectto RELIGIOUS PLACE? Compare the decision criteria and circle the answer using scale below 1=Equal; 3=Moderate; 5=Strong; 7=Very Strong; 9=Extreme BEACH 9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 RELIGIOUS PLACE Step 3- Pairwise ComparisonMatrix To determine the priorities for the four criteria, we need to construct a matrix of the pair wise comparison ratings provided in the table below. Using four criteria, the pairwise comparison matrix will consist of four rows and four columns
  • 18. Page 18 Comparison on basis of Travel Distance Comparison on basis of Vacation Cost Comparison on basis of Outdoor Activities
  • 19. Page 19 Comparison on basis of Learning For children Step 4– Synthesization Using Pairwise comparison matrix, we can now calculate the priority of each criterion in terms of its contribution to the overall goal of selecting the best shampoo. It requires three steps – 1. Sum the values in each column of the pairwise matrix comparison. 2. Divide each element in the pairwise comparison matrix by its column total, the resulting matrix is referred to as Normalized pairwise comparison matrix.
  • 20. Page 20 3. Compute the average of the elements in each row of the normalized pairwise comparison matrix, these averages provide the priorities of the criteria. On the basis of Criteria – Comparison on basis of Travel Distance Comparison on basis of Vacation cost
  • 21. Page 21 Comparison on basis of Outdoor Activities Comparison on basis of Learning for children Step 5– Consistency AHP provides a measureof the consistency for the pairwise comparison by computing consistency ratio. A value greater than 0.10 indicates an inconsistency in the pairwisejudgments. Thus if the consistency ratio is 0.10 or less, the consistency of pairwise comparison is considered reasonable, and the AHP can continue with the Synthesization computations. Particulars Consistency Ratio Characteristics 0.089709
  • 22. Page 22 Comparisons on the basis of Travel Distance 0.091548 Comparisons on the basis of vacation cost 0.073525 Comparisons on the basis of Outdoor Activities 0.091006 Comparisons on the basis of Learning for children 0.064436 *The degree of consistency in the pairwise comparisons is acceptable*
  • 23. Page 23 OVERALL PRIORITY RANKING Hence, The degree of consistency in the pairwise comparisons is acceptable Chart Title Weight for HILL Station Weight for Desert Weight for Beach Weight for Religious place
  • 24. Page 24 INTERESTING CASES OF AHP    Xerox Corporation uses AHP for R&D decisions on portfolio management, technology implementation, and engineering d esign selection. British Columbia Ferries Corporation in Canada uses AHP in the selection of products, suppliers and consultants.  NASA used AHP to consider criteria for Safety, Performanc e, Reliability and Flexibility in recommending a power sour ce for the first lunar outpost. §   General Motors use AHP to evaluate design alternatives, p erform risk management, and arrive at the best and most cost-‐effective automobile designs.   Universal Islam Antarabangsa (UIA) used AHP in benchmarking factors influencing international students’ choice towards universities in Malaysia. ADVANTAGES AND DISADVANTAGES ADVANTAGES DISADVANTAGES • Straight- forward and convenient • Simplicity by using pair wise comparisons • Consistency in evaluation • Versatility • Subjective - - =Conversion from verbal to numeric scale =Inconsistencies imposed by 1 to 9 scale =Conflict between Decision maker = Decision maker capacity
  • 25. Page 25 Summary  With AHP, we can measure the degree of consistency; and if unacceptable, we can revise pair wise comparisons.  If we are perfectly consistent, then the consistency measures will equal n and therefore, the CIs will be equal to zero and so will the consistency ratio.  If this ratio is very large (Saaty suggests > 0.10), then we are not consistent enough and the best thing to do is go back and revise the comparisons.  AHP is a simple, practical and handy  The one-‐‐to-‐‐one qualitative and quantitative comparison  All of this work concludes the first step in the procedure. The next step is to use similar pair wise comparisons to determine the  AHP could apply jointly with other decision making tools such as SWOT analysis which will generate better result.  AHP actively nurture intellectual discussion, debate and research on various field and study.
  • 26. Page 26 Source & References  https://www.google.co.in/url?sa=t&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=web &cd=1&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwjYnMOhxOnXAhWMOY8KH WdWB9EQFggoMAA&url=https%3A%2F%2Fen.wikipedia.org%2Fwi ki%2FAnalytic_hierarchy_process&usg=AOvVaw3ErPQ2NrT4n2vG5 RKTjx8M  https://www.google.co.in/url?sa=t&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=web &cd=2&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwjYnMOhxOnXAhWMOY8KH WdWB9EQFgg0MAE&url=https%3A%2F%2Fen.wikipedia.org%2Fwi ki%2FAnalytic_hierarchy_process_%25E2%2580%2593_car_exampl e&usg=AOvVaw33DrSvBizg-btzQj925FIV  https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/0270025587904 738  https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Analytic_hierarchy_process  https://www.google.co.in/url?sa=t&rct=j&q=&esrc=s&source=web &cd=6&cad=rja&uact=8&ved=0ahUKEwinvrvSxOnXAhUDKo8KHVFy Aw8QtwIITzAF&url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.youtube.com%2Fwatch %3Fv%3DG1xrL59RsBM&usg=AOvVaw1rONcQHMYQX- WpwGahpBur